ML20156A126

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Final ASP Analysis - Peach Bottom 3 (LER 278-83-009)
ML20156A126
Person / Time
Site: Peach Bottom Constellation icon.png
Issue date: 06/04/2020
From: Christopher Hunter
NRC/RES/DRA/PRB
To:
Littlejohn J (301) 415-0428
References
LER 1983-009-00
Download: ML20156A126 (5)


Text

B.12-1 B.12 LER No. 278/83-009 Event

Description:

Two EDGs inoperable Date of Event: September 8, 1983 Plant: Peach Bottom 3 B.12.1 Summary During low-power operation on September 8, 1983, with one emergency diesel generator (EDG) out for maintenance, surveillance tests were being performed on the other EDGs. During the surveillance test, the breaker between EDG E-1 and bus E-13 failed to close. The estimated increase in core damage probability, or importance, over the duration of this event is 3.5 x 10'. The base-case core damage probability (CDP) over the duration of the event is 5.6 x 10', resulting in an estimated conditional core damage probability (CCDP) of 3.5 x 10'.

B.12.2 Event Description During low-power operation on September 8, 1983, with one emergency diesel generator out for maintenance, surveillance tests were being performed on the other EDGs. During the surveillance test, the breaker between EDG E-1 and bus E-13 failed to close. The breaker failure in conjunction with the inoperable EDG which was out for maintenance required the unit to be in cold shutdown within 24 hours2.777778e-4 days <br />0.00667 hours <br />3.968254e-5 weeks <br />9.132e-6 months <br />. The breaker was removed, and immediate testing failed to reveal the problem. The breaker was successfully tested for operability several times and was returned to service within 30 minutes.

B.12.3 Additional Event-Related Information Peach Bottom Units 2 and 3 receive offsite power from two separate sources. If both offsite sources are lost, auxiliary power is supplied to both Unit 2 and Unit 3 from four onsite EDGs which are shared between the units. Each EDG automatically starts, but requires battery power to do so. Each EDG starts automatically on total loss of offsite power, low reactor water level, or high drywell pressure coincident with low reactor pressure. Each diesel generator can be manually started and loaded locally.

B.12.4 Modeling Assumptions Since it is unknown how long the first EDG was out for maintenance and how long the breaker was degraded before it was discovered, it was assumed that both EDGs were inoperable for the maximum allowable period allowed by the Technical Specifications (one EDG can be inoperable for up to seven days before requiring the unit to shut down). Thus, the event was modeled as the unavailability of two EDGs [(two trains of emergency power (EP)] during a postulated loss of offsite power (LOOP) for a duration of seven days. The third train of EP was set to unavailable to reflect the EDG which was out for maintenance. The first train of EP was set to LER No. 278/83-009

B.12-2 failed to reflect the failure of the EDG breaker to close (it was assumed that this failure could have also occurred on the remaining trains of emergency power). The potential for common cause failure exists, even when a component is failed. Therefore, the conditional probability of a common cause failure was included in the analysis for those components that were assumed to have been failed as part of the postulated event.

B.12.5 Analysis Results The estimated increase in core damage probability over the duration of this event is 3.5 x 10-. The base-case CDP (not shown in calculation) is 5.6 x 10', resulting in an estimated CCDP of 3.5 x 10 ' The dominant sequence involved a LOOP with successful reactor shutdown, failure of emergency power (station blackout),

and failure to recover offsite power prior to battery depletion, and is highlighted on the event tree in Figure B.12.1.

LER No. 278/83-009

B.12-3 0

.9z Figure B. 12.1 Dominant core damage sequence for LER 278/83-009 LER No. 278/83-009

B.12-4 CONDITIONAL CORE DAMAGE PROBABILITY CALCULATIONS Event Identifier: 278/83-009 Event

Description:

Two EDGs inoperable Event Date: September-8. 1983 Plant: Peach Bottom 3 UNAVAILABILITY. DURATION= 168 NON-RECOVERABLE INITIATING EVENT PROBABILITIES TRANS 8.1E-02 LOOP 6.4E-04 LOCA 3.7E-04 SEQUENCE CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY SUMS End State/Initiator Probability CD TRANS O.OE+O0 LOOP 3.5E-05 LOCA O.OE+O0 Total 3.5E-05 SEQUENCE CONDITIONAL PROBABILITIES (PROBABILITY ORDER)

Sequence End State Prob N Rec**

244 loop -rx.shutdown EP ep.rec CD 3.4E-05 2.1E-01

    • non-recovery credit for edited case SEQUENCE CONDITIONAL PROBABILITIES (SEQUENCE ORDER)

Sequence End State Prob N Rec**

244 loop Lrx.shutdown EP eprec CD 3.4E-05 2.1E-01

    • non-recovery credit for edited case Note: For unavailabilities. conditional probability values are differential values which reflect the added risk due to failures associated with an event. Parenthetical values indicate a reduction in risk compared to a similar period without the existing failures.

SEQUENCE MODEL: d:\asp\models\bwrc8283.cmp BRANCH MODEL: d:\asp\models\peach3.82 PROBABILITY FILE: d:\asp\models\bwr8283.pro No Recovery Limit BRANCH FREQUENCIES/PROBABILITIES LER No. 278/83-009

B.12-5 Branch System Non- Recov Opr Fail trans 4.8E-04 1.OE+00 loop 1.6E-05 2.4E-01 loca 3.3E-06 6.7E-01 rx.shutdown 3.5E-04 1.OE-01 pcs 1.7E-01 1.0E+00 srv. ftc.<2 1.OE+00 1.0E+00 srv. ftc. 2 1.3E-03 1.0E+00 srv. ftc. >2 2.2E-04 I.OE÷OO mfw 4.6E-01 3.4E-01 hpci 2.9E-02 7.OE-01 rcic 6.0E-02 7.OE-01 srv.ads 3.7E-03 7.OE-01 1.OE-02 crd(inj) 1.0E-02 1.0 E+00 1.OE-02 cond 1.OE+00 3.4E-01 1.OE-03 I pcs 1.7E-03 1.0E+00 1pci 1.1E-03 1.OE+00 rhrsw(i nj) 2.0E-02 1.OE+00 1.OE-02 rhr 1.5E-04 1.6E-02 1.OE-05 rhr.and.pcs.nrec 1.5E-04 8.3E-03 1.OE-05 rhr/-lpci 0.OE+00 1.0E+00 1.OE-05 rhr/lpci 1.OE+O0 1.OE÷OO l.OE-05 rhr(spcool) 2.1E-03 1.OE+00 ]-.OE-03 rhr(spcool )/-lpci 2.0E-03 1.0E+00 1.OE-03 EP 7.5E-03 > 1IOE+00 8.7E-01 Branch Model: 2.0F.3 Train 1 Cond Prob: S.OE-02 > Failed Train 2 Cond Prob: 5.7E-02 Train 3 Cond Prob: 1.9E-01 > Unavailable ep.rec 6.1E-02 1.OE+00 rpt 1.9E-02 1.OE+00 slcs 2.0E-03 1.0E+00 1.OE-02 ads.inhibit O.OE+00 1.OE+00 1.OE-02 man. depress 3.7E-03 1.OE+00 1.OE-02

  • branch model file
    • forced LER No. 278/83-009