ML102930376

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2009/06/18-Exhibit 16 of 21-Deepwater Offshore Wind in Maine: the Plan, the Timeline
ML102930376
Person / Time
Site: Seabrook NextEra Energy icon.png
Issue date: 06/18/2009
From: Dagher H
Univ of Maine
To:
NRC/SECY
SECY RAS
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ML102930267, ML102930373 List:
References
License Renewal 6, RAS 18940, 50-443-LR
Download: ML102930376 (16)


Text

Deepwater Offshore Wind in Maine:

the Plan, the Timeline Dr. H. J. Dagher, P.E.

Director, Advanced Structures and Composites Center University of Maine (207) 5812138 hd@umit.maine.edu June 18, 2009 1

Outline

1. Why Deepwater Wind in the US?
2. Why Deepwater Wind in Maine?
3. How will Maine Use its Wind Resource?
4. Europe
5. Maine Deepwater R&D Plan Dr. H. J. Dagher (207) 5812138 2 hd@umit.maine.edu

Deepwater Wind:

Dominant US Ocean Energy Resource

1. 61% of US offshore wind resource in deepwater.
2. US deepwater wind ~

1,533 GW.

3. Total US electrical generation capacity ~

1,100 GW.

Source: Walter Musial, NREL (2008)

Dr. H. J. Dagher (207) 5812138 3 hd@umit.maine.edu

Why Pay Attention to Maines Deepwater Wind?

1. 8.3% of US Deepwater Wind Resource is off Maine.
2. R&D Capacity:

UM Advanced Structures and Composites Center UM GIS Offshore Wind Database (25 faculty x 50 years)

3. Governor Established Deepwater offshore Wind Testbed
4. Unique Ocean Industry Assets:

(a) Boatbuilding industry (BIW)

(b) Deepwater floating exploration rigs (Cianbro) h Dr. H. J. Dagher (207) 5812138 4 hd@umit.maine.edu

Maine: A Source of Green Energy for the Northeast U.S.

55 million 40 Nuclear people Power Plants of

  • Maine is larger than Wind off Maine all other New England states
  • 18% of US population in Northeast Dr. H. J. Dagher (207) 5812138 5 hd@umit.maine.edu

Maine Deepwater Wind:

Part of the Regional RPS Solution 6

The Maine Plan:

More than Turning the Lights on!

3GW 5GW 5 GW of additional wind needed to electrify heating and transportation in Maine Dr. H. J. Dagher (207) 5812138 7 hd@umit.maine.edu

89% of Maines Offshore Wind is in Deepwater; Class 6 & 7 Winds US US US Source: Walter Musial (NREL, 2008) 8

Maines Role in Meeting U.S. DOEs Plan:

20% Wind Energy by 2030 5 GW in each 300 Offshore of top 10 53.9 offshore Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW)

Land-based 250 GW states offshore 200 150 293.4 GW 100 on land 50 0

2000 2006 2012 2018 2024 2030 Dr. H. J. Dagher (207) 5812138 9 hd@umit.maine.edu

US is Behind:

Offshore Wind Projects Planned by 2015 Europe and North America 40,616MW Source: Walter Musial (NREL, 2008)

Dr. H. J. Dagher (207) 5812138 10 hd@umit.maine.edu

Floating Wind Turbine Testing Ongoing in Norway 11

Maine R&D Goal 1(20092010):

Establish Deepwater Wind Testbed Objectives:

- Evaluate deepwater platform designs in-situ, both scale models and full-size.

- Verify models necessary for design.

Partners:

Testbed open to federal, academic and industrial partners.

Approach: Establish heavily instrumented, highly characterized ocean environment, >60m Dr. H. J. Dagher (207) 5812138 12 hd@umit.maine.edu

Maine R&D Goal 2 (20102014):

Test Deepwater Wind Turbines Technical Challenges:

- Predictive models.

- Cost Target ($3.5/W).

- Manufacturability.

- Deployment.

- Durability: corrosion/fatigue.

- Survivability (extreme local events).

- Foundations.

- Optimization for Class 6 and 7 winds.

Approach:

- Start with scale model(s), Laboratory Testbed

- Use macrocomposites (conventional+advanced materials).

13

Maine R&D Goal 3 (20142018):

First Floating Offshore Wind Farm Stepping-Stone Project: 20-30 MW

- Design

- Build

- Monitor Dr. H. J. Dagher (207) 5812138 14 hd@umit.maine.edu

Maine to Invest in Deepwater Offshore Wind Research

1. Advanced Deepwater Wind Prototyping Center:
  • Expands UM Advanced Structure and Composites lab to 70,000 ft2
  • Design, prototype and test under one roof
  • Robotics composites prototyping
  • Nanocomposites
2. Deepwater Wind Testbed UM Testbed Dr. H. J. Dagher (207) 5812138 15 hd@umit.maine.edu

Economic Opportunities for Maine 5GW = 250 MW/Year over 20 Years Based on Vestas V903MW turbine

  • $1 billion per year over 20 years
  • Local fab and install (30%) = $300M/year
  • Local offshore service (2.5% of CI) = $500M/year after built
  • With 25year life, project repowering sustains regional jobs Dr. H. J. Dagher (207) 5812138 16 hd@umit.maine.edu