ML102930376

Exhibit 16 of 21-Deepwater Offshore Wind in Maine: the Plan, the Timeline

ML102930376
Person / Time
Site:	Seabrook
Issue date:	06/18/2009
From:	Dagher H Univ of Maine
To:	NRC/SECY
SECY RAS
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ML102930267, ML102930373	List: ML102930374 ML102930375 ML102930376
References
License Renewal 6, RAS 18940, 50-443-LR
Download: ML102930376 (16)

Text

1 Deepwater OffshoreWindinMaine:

thePlan,theTimeline Dr.H.J.Dagher,P.E.

Director,AdvancedStructuresandCompositesCenter UniversityofMaine (207)5812138hd@umit.maine.edu June18,2009

2 Outline

1. WhyDeepwater WindintheUS?

2. WhyDeepwater WindinMaine?

3. HowwillMaineUseitsWindResource?

4. Europe

5. MaineDeepwaterR&DPlan Dr.H.J.Dagher (207)5812138 hd@umit.maine.edu

3 DeepwaterWind:

DominantUSOceanEnergyResource 1.

61%ofUSoffshorewind resourceindeepwater.

2.

USdeepwaterwind~

1,533GW.

3.

TotalUSelectrical generationcapacity~

1,100GW.

Dr.H.J.Dagher (207)5812138 hd@umit.maine.edu Source:WalterMusial,NREL(2008)

1.

8.3%ofUSDeepwater WindResourceisoffMaine.

2.

R&DCapacity:

UMAdvancedStructuresandCompositesCenter UMGISOffshoreWindDatabase (25facultyx50years) 4 Dr.H.J.Dagher (207)5812138 hd@umit.maine.edu WhyPayAttentiontoMaines Deepwater Wind?

3.GovernorEstablishedDeepwater offshoreWindTestbed 4.UniqueOceanIndustryAssets:

(a)Boatbuilding industry(BIW)

(b)Deepwater floatingexploration rigs(Cianbro) h

Maine:ASourceofGreenEnergy fortheNortheastU.S.

Maineislargerthan allotherNew Englandstates 18%ofUS populationin Northeast 5

Dr.H.J.Dagher (207)5812138 hd@umit.maine.edu 55 million people 40 Nuclear Power Plants of Wind off Maine

6 MaineDeepwater Wind:

PartoftheRegionalRPSSolution

7 TheMainePlan:

MorethanTurningtheLightson!

Dr.H.J.Dagher (207)5812138 hd@umit.maine.edu 5 GW of additional wind needed to electrify heating and transportation in Maine 5GW 3GW

8 Source:WalterMusial(NREL,2008) 89%ofMainesOffshoreWind isinDeepwater;Class6&7Winds US US US

9 0

50 100 150 200 250 300 2000 2006 2012 2018 2024 2030 Cumulative Installed Capacity (GW)

Offshore Land-based 53.9 GW offshore 293.4 GW on land 5 GW in each of top 10 offshore states Dr.H.J.Dagher (207)5812138 hd@umit.maine.edu MainesRoleinMeetingU.S.DOEs Plan:

20%WindEnergyby2030

10 40,616MW Dr.H.J.Dagher (207)5812138 hd@umit.maine.edu USisBehind:

OffshoreWindProjectsPlannedby2015 EuropeandNorthAmerica Source:WalterMusial(NREL,2008)

11 Floating Wind Turbine Testing Ongoing in Norway

12 Dr.H.J.Dagher (207)5812138 hd@umit.maine.edu MaineR&DGoal1(20092010):

EstablishDeepwaterWindTestbed Objectives:

- Evaluate deepwater platform designs in-situ, both scale models and full-size.

- Verify models necessary for design.

Partners:

Testbed open to federal, academic and industrial partners.

Approach: Establish heavily instrumented, highly characterized ocean environment, >60m

13 MaineR&DGoal2(20102014):

TestDeepwaterWindTurbines Technical Challenges:

- Predictive models.

- Cost Target ($3.5/W).

- Manufacturability.

- Deployment.

- Durability: corrosion/fatigue.

- Survivability (extreme local events).

- Foundations.

- Optimization for Class 6 and 7 winds.

Approach:

- Start with scale model(s), Laboratory Testbed

- Use macrocomposites (conventional+advanced materials).

14 Dr.H.J.Dagher (207)5812138 hd@umit.maine.edu MaineR&DGoal3(20142018):

FirstFloatingOffshoreWindFarm Stepping-Stone Project: 20-30 MW

- Design

- Build

- Monitor

1.

AdvancedDeepwaterWindPrototypingCenter:

ExpandsUMAdvancedStructureand Compositeslabto70,000ft2 Design,prototypeandtestunderoneroof Roboticscompositesprototyping Nanocomposites 2.DeepwaterWindTestbed 15 Dr.H.J.Dagher (207)5812138 hd@umit.maine.edu MainetoInvestin DeepwaterOffshoreWindResearch UM Testbed

16

• $1billionperyearover20years

• Localfab andinstall(30%)=$300M/year

• Localoffshoreservice(2.5%ofCI)=$500M/yearafter built

• With25yearlife,projectrepoweringsustainsregionaljobs BasedonVestas V903MW turbine Dr.H.J.Dagher (207)5812138 hd@umit.maine.edu EconomicOpportunitiesforMaine 5GW=250MW/Yearover20Years