ML24205A021

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1-Insights from 07-18-24 Workshop on Risk Metrics and Reliability Data to Support Risk-Informed Program for Advanced Reactors
ML24205A021
Person / Time
Issue date: 07/23/2024
From: Matthew Humberstone, Martinez-Guridi G, Hanh Phan, Stutzke M, Jeffery Wood
Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation, Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research
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Download: ML24205A021 (9)


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Insights from Public Workshop on Risk Metrics and Reliability Data to Support Risk-Informed Programs for Advanced Reactors NRC Working Group on Technology Inclusive Risk Metrics Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research (RES)

  • Gerardo Martinez-Guridi
  • Matt Humberstone
  • Marty Stutzke
  • Hanh Phan Periodic Advanced Reactor Stakeholder Meeting July 24, 2024

NRC Considering Needs for Non-LWR Risk Metrics and Reliability Data In 1990, the Commission established three risk metrics for new reactors and associated quantitative goals:

Core Damage Frequency (CDF) < 1x10-4/year - A measure of overall safety performance in prevention of severe accidents Large Release Frequency (LRF) < 1x10-6/year - A measure of prevention of significant offsite consequences Conditional Containment Failure Probability (CCFP) < 0.1 - A measure of the capability of design to mitigate a severe accident Traditional risk metrics, e.g., CDF, have been used effectively in NRCs risk-informed decision-making processes May not be applicable to all advanced reactor designs SRM SECY-23-0021 provides direction on applicant proposed risk metrics The staff should revise draft 10 C.F.R. 53.220 to specify that applicants must propose a comprehensive plant risk metric (or set of metrics)

Need to consider alternative risk metrics that:

Are applicable to Non-light-water reactor (NLWR) designs Support NRC licensing and regulatory processes 2

Public Workshop on July 18, 2024

  • SRM-SECY-23-0021 provided motivation and direction to staff-related NLWR risk metrics, but this workshop was not part of the Part 53 rulemaking
  • Presented NRC staffs ongoing efforts on developing the following items related to risk metrics for NLWRs:
  • Interim staff guidance (ISG) on the review of applicant-proposed risk metrics
  • Potential NRC risk metrics
  • Reliability data
  • 166 online attendees and 19 in-person attendees 3

External Presenters (sorted by last name)

Name and Organization Presentation Title Cyril Draffin, U.S. Nuclear Industry Council USNIC Perspectives on Risk Dave Grabaskas, Argonne National Lab.

NLWR Data Insights and Experience Kyle Hope, Westinghouse Electric Company Challenges and Lessons Learned in Applying NEI 18-04 During Active Design: The eVinci' Microreactor Ed Lyman, Union of Concerned Scientists UCS Views on Advanced Reactor Risk Metrics Jessica Maddocks, X-Energy Hazard Level Selection for LMP Diego Mandelli, Idaho National Laboratory Intertwining of Data, Decisions, and Reliability Adam Stein, The Breakthrough Institute Breakthrough Institute Perspectives on Risk Metrics Eric Thornsbury, Electric Power Res. Inst.

EPRIs Risk Metric Work Patrick White, Nuclear Innovation Alliance NIA Perspectives on Comprehensive Risk Metrics Sai Zhang, Idaho National Laboratory Advanced Reactor Operating Experience Data Analysis to Support Risk Estimation - Challenges, Current Practice, and Needs 4

Development of ISG to Review Applicant-Proposed Risk Metrics

  • The staff presented its tentative approach to developing interim staff guidance (ISG) for review of applicant-proposed risk metrics:
  • ISG applicability
  • Terminology related to risk metrics
  • Flowchart for conducting the review
  • Change provisions
  • Intellectual property 5

Summary of Initial Approach to Risk Metrics for NLWRs

  • For accident prevention:
  • Use CDF whenever core damage is applicable
  • Use new metrics when core damage is not applicable (e.g., frequency of failure of initial confinement of radioactive material)
  • Consequence metrics are technology inclusive, but there are challenges associated with them
  • Desirable attributes for risk metrics and for using the metrics were proposed 6

Planned Data Activities Workshop (July 18, 2024)

Examine available existing databases of operating experience of advanced reactors Establish database templates, reporting criteria, and data methods/procedures to support risk modeling and regulatory oversight Populate the new database with operational data from prominent advanced reactor designs 7

Next Steps

  • Received many constructive and thoughtful suggestions during the workshop
  • The staff looks forward to continued stakeholder engagement
  • Develop ISG on the review of applicant-proposed risk metrics
  • Tentative plan to issue the ISG when proposed Part 53 is finalized
  • Develop NRC white paper on potential risk metrics
  • Tentative middle of calendar year 2025
  • Establish a task on reliability data
  • By the end of calendar year 2024
  • Contact if interested in providing additional feedback

Acronyms 9

CCFP Conditional Containment Failure Probability CDF Core Damage Frequency CFR Code of Federal Regulations ISG Interim Staff Guidance EPRI Electric Power Research Institute LERF Large Early Release Frequency LMP Licensing Modernization Project LRF Large Release Frequency NEI Nuclear Energy Institute NIA Nuclear Innovation Alliance NRC Nuclear Regulatory Commission NRR (NRC) Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation RES (NRC) Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research UCS Union of Concerned Scientists USNIC U.S. Nuclear Industry Council