ML23076A081
| ML23076A081 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Issue date: | 03/21/2023 |
| From: | Elena Yegorova NRC/RES/DRA/FXHAB |
| To: | |
| References | |
| Download: ML23076A081 (1) | |
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8th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop March 21-24, 2023 (Hybrid)
- NRC HQ, One White Flint North 11555 Rockville Pike, Rockville, MD 20852
- MS Teams (see daily MS Teams links)
Daily Start time: 10:00AM Eastern Time FINAL AGENDA Day 1 (March 21, 2023)
Session 1A: Introduction Session Chair: Joseph Kanney, NRC/RES 1A-0 10:00 - 10:10 Meeting and Webinar Logistics Kenneth Hamburger*, NRC/RES 1A-1 10:10 - 10:20 Opening Remarks Ray Furstenau*, Director, NRC Office of Research 1A-2 10:20 - 10:35 NRC PFHA Research Program Tom Aird*, NRC/RES Update 1A-3 10:35 - 11:00 Presentation and Training: Karen Marsh, Benjamin Rance, Scott Resilience Analysis and Mahlik*; Federal Emergency Management Planning Tool (RAPT) Agency (FEMA) 1A-4 11:00 - 11:25 Committee on the Safety of Minkyu, Kim*, Korea Atomic Energy Nuclear Installations (CSNI) Research Institute, Division of Structural Working Group on External and Seismic Safety (WGEV Chair)
Events (WGEV) 11:25 - 11:40 Break Session 1B: Climate and Weather Session Chair: Elena Yegorova, NRC/RES 1B-1 11:40 - 12:05 Overview of the U.S. Global Michael Kuperberg*, Executive Director, Change Research Program U.S. Global Research Program 1B-2 12:05 - 12:30 A Coastal Flood Regime Shift Is William Sweet*, NOAA National Ocean on the Horizon Service 12:30 - 13:30 Lunch 1B-3 13:30 - 13:55 Observation-based Trajectory Benjamin Hamlington*1, Don Chambers2, of Future Sea Level for the Thomas Frederikse1, Soenke Dangendorf3, Coastal United States Tracks Severine Fournier1, Brett Buzzanga1,2, R.
Near High-end Model Steven Nerem4; 1NASA Jet Propulsion Projections Laboratory, 2University of South Florida, 3
Tulane University, 4University of Colorado, Boulder 8th Annual NRC PHFA Research Workshop Agenda Page 1 of 8
8th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop March 21-24, 2023 (Hybrid)
- NRC HQ, One White Flint North 11555 Rockville Pike, Rockville, MD 20852
- MS Teams (see daily MS Teams links)
Daily Start time: 10:00AM Eastern Time 1B-4 13:55 - 14:20 National Weather Service Mark Fresch*1, Alex Lamers*2; 1NOAA Forecasts for the late National Weather Service Office of Water December 2022 to mid-January Prediction, 2NOAA National Weather 2023 West Coast Atmospheric Service Weather Prediction Center Rivers 14:20 - 14:30 Break 1B-5 14:30 - 14:55 Sharpening of cold-season Xiaodong Chen, L. Ruby Leung*, Yang Gao, storms over the western Ying Liu, Mark Wigmosta; Pacific United States Northwest National Laboratory 1B-6 14:55 - 15:20 2022 U.S. Billion-dollar Adam Smith*, NOAA National Centers for Weather and Climate Disasters Environmental Information (NCEI)
Analysis and Tools 1B-7 15:20 - 15:40 Climate and Weather Panel All Presenters Discussion 1C 15:40 - 15:50 Day 1 Wrap-up Day 2 (March 22, 2023)
Session 2A: Precipitation Session Chair: Joseph Kanney, NRC/RES 2A-1 10:00 - 10:25 NOAAs Exploration of Future Kelly Mahoney*1, Janice Bytheway2, Diana Probable Maximum Stovern2, James Correia3, Sarah Trojniak3, Precipitation Datasets and Ben Moore1; 1NOAA Physical Sciences Methods Laboratory (PSL), 2NOAA PSL/University of Colorado Boulder & Cooperative Institute for Earth System Research and Data Science (CIESRDS), 3University of Colorado Boulder & CIESRDS, NOAA/NWS/Weather Prediction Center 2A-2 10:25 - 10:50 The Perfect Storm: Can Emilie Tarouilly*, University of California, Atmospheric Models Improve Los Angeles Confidence in Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP)?
8th Annual NRC PHFA Research Workshop Agenda Page 2 of 8
8th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop March 21-24, 2023 (Hybrid)
- NRC HQ, One White Flint North 11555 Rockville Pike, Rockville, MD 20852
- MS Teams (see daily MS Teams links)
Daily Start time: 10:00AM Eastern Time 2A-3 10:50 - 11:15 Improving the Reliability of Giuseppe Mascaro*1, Simon Papalexio2, Stochastic Modeling of Short- Daniel Wright3; 1Arizona State University, Duration Precipitation by 2 University of Calgary, 3University of Characterizing Spatiotemporal Wisconsin-Madison Correlation Structure and Marginal Distribution 11:15 - 11:25 Break 2A-4 11:25 - 11:50 Stochastic Design Storm Yuan Liu*, Daniel Wright; University of Sequence in the Lower Wisconsin-Madison Mississippi River Basin 2A-5 11:50 - 12:15 An Update to the NOAA Atlas Michael St Laurent*, Sandra Palovic, Carl 14 National Precipitation Trypaluk, Dale Unruh, Fernando Salas; Frequency Standard NOAA National Weather Service Office of Water Prediction 2A-6 12:15 - 12:35 Precipitation Panel Discussion All Presenters 12:35 - 13:30 Lunch Session 2B: Riverine Flooding Session Chair: Joseph Kanney, NRC/RES 2B-1 13:30 - 13:55 Lowering the Barriers to Daniel, Wright*1, Ankita Pradhan1, Process-Based Probabilistic Mohammad Sadegh Abbasian1, Benjamin Flood Frequency Analysis using Fitzgerald1, Gary Aaron1, Fred Ogdan2, the NextGen Water Modeling Mathew Williamson2; 1University of Framework Wisconsin-Madison, 2NOAA National Water Service Office of Water Prediction 2B-2 13:55 - 14:20 Towards the Development of a Sudershan Gangrade*1, Ganesh Ghimire1, High-Resolution Historical Shih-Chieh Kao1, Mario Morales-Flood Inundation Reanalysis Hernandez2, Michael Kelleher1, Alfred Dataset for the Conterminous Kalyanapu3; 1Oak Ridge National United States Laboratory, 2University of Zaragoza (Spain), 3Tennessee Technological University 8th Annual NRC PHFA Research Workshop Agenda Page 3 of 8
8th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop March 21-24, 2023 (Hybrid)
- NRC HQ, One White Flint North 11555 Rockville Pike, Rockville, MD 20852
- MS Teams (see daily MS Teams links)
Daily Start time: 10:00AM Eastern Time 2B-3 14:20 - 14:45 Quantifying Uncertainty for Ryan Johnson*1, Shaun Carney1, Paul Local Intense Precipitation and Micheletty1, Debbie Martin1, Bruce Riverine Flooding PFHA at Barker2; 1RTI International, 2MGS Critical Structures on the Idaho Engineering National Labs Property 14:45 - 14:55 Break 2B-4 14:55 - 15:20 Back to the Future: Paleoflood Lisa Davis*1, Ray Lombardi2, Matthew Hydrologic Analyses Provide Gage1; 1University of Alabama, 2University Insights into Extreme Flood of Memphis Risk in the Tennessee River Basin 2B-5 15:20 - 15:45 Testing New Approaches to Ray Lombardi*1, Lisa Davis2, Tessa Integrating Sediment-Based Harden3,4, John F. England, Jr.5; 1University Flood Records into Flood of Memphis, 2University of Alabama, Frequency Models 3 Thomas College, 4U.S. Geological Survey, 5
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Risk Management Center 2B-6 15:45 - 16:10 Using Paleoflood Analyses to Keith Kelson*1, Justin Pearce2, Amy Improve Hydrologic Loading for LeFebvre2, Ryan Clark3, Bryan Freymuth4, USACE Dam Safety Risk Nathan Williams5, John England2; 1US Assessments: A Nationwide Army Corps of Engineers (USACE), South Approach Pacific Division Dam Safety Production Center, 2USACE Risk Management Center, 3
USACE Dam Safety Modification Mandatory Center of Expertise, 4USACE Northwest Division Risk Cadre, 5USACE Lakes and Rivers Division Risk Cadre 2B-7 16:10 - 16:30 Riverine Flooding Panel All Presenters Discussion 2C 16:30 - 16:40 Day 2 Wrap-up 8th Annual NRC PHFA Research Workshop Agenda Page 4 of 8
8th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop March 21-24, 2023 (Hybrid)
- NRC HQ, One White Flint North 11555 Rockville Pike, Rockville, MD 20852
- MS Teams (see daily MS Teams links)
Daily Start time: 10:00AM Eastern Time Day 3 (March 23, 2023)
Session 3A: Posters Session Chair: Thomas Aird, NRC/RES 3A-1 10:00 - 10:15 Identifying and Cataloging Alyssa Dietrich*, Eric King, Seth Lawler; Major Storm Events from Dewberry Gridded Quantitative Precipitation Estimates for use in Stochastic Storm Transposition 3A-2 10:15 - 10:30 A Bayesian Network and Joy Shen*, Michelle Bensi, Mohammad Monte Carlo Simulation PRA Modarres; University of Maryland, College Approach for External Flood Park Probabilistic Risk Assessments at Nuclear Power Plants 3A-3 10:30 - 10:45 Probabilistic Compound Flood Somayeh Mohammadi*1, Ahmed Nasr2, Hazard Assessment Using Two- Muthukumar Narayanaswamy1, Celso Sided Conditional Sampling Ferreira1, Arslaan Khalid1; 1Michael Baker International Inc, 2University of Central Florida 3A-4 10:45 - 11:00 Estimation of Probabilistic Beom-Jin Kim*, Minkyu, Kim; Korea Flood Hazard Curve at the NPP Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI)
Site Considering Storm Surge 3A-5 11:00 - 11:15 Compound Flood Risk Liv Herdman*, Robert Welk, Robin Glas, Assessment of the Coastal Salme Cook, Kristina Masterson; U.S.
Watersheds of Long Island and Geological Survey New York Water Science Long Island Sound in Center Connecticut and New York 11:15 - 11:25 Break 3A-6 11:25 - 11:40 Steps Toward Extensions of Ziyue Liu*1, Michelle, Bensi1, Meredith Existing Probabilistic Coastal Carr2, Norberto Nadal-Caraballo2, Madison Hazard Analysis for Coastal Yawn2, Luke Aucoin2; 1University of Compound Flood Analysis Maryland, College Park, 2U.S. Army Corps Leveraging Bayesian Networks of Engineers, Engineer R&D Center, Coastal & Hydraulics Laboratory 8th Annual NRC PHFA Research Workshop Agenda Page 5 of 8
8th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop March 21-24, 2023 (Hybrid)
- NRC HQ, One White Flint North 11555 Rockville Pike, Rockville, MD 20852
- MS Teams (see daily MS Teams links)
Daily Start time: 10:00AM Eastern Time 3A-7 11:40 - 11:55 Assessing Uncertainty Kaveh Faraji Najarkolaie*, Michelle Bensi; Associated with Hurricane University of Maryland, College Park Predictions and Duration to Inform Probabilistic Risk Assessments for Nuclear Power Plants 3A-8 11:55 - 12:10 Assessment of Uncertainty Azin Al Kajbaf*1, Michelle Bensi2, Kaye Associated with the Brubaker2; 1Johns Hopkins University, Development of Intensity 2 University of Maryland, College Park Duration Frequency Curves under Changing Climate for the State of Maryland 12:10 - 13:10 Lunch Session 3B: Coastal Flooding Session Chair: Joseph Kanney, NRC/RES 3B-1 13:10 - 13:35 Flood Inundation Modelling on Byunghyun Kim*1, Jaewan Yoo, Beomjin Nuclear Power Plant Site due Kim2, Minkyu Kim2; 1Kyungpook National to Complex Disasters University, 2Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute 3B-2 13:35 - 14:00 Probabilistic Flood Hazard Gorkem Gungor*, Zeynep Arslan; Minstry Assessment for a Coastal of Energy and Natural Resources, Turkey Nuclear Power Plant Using Climate Change Projections 3B-3 14:00 - 14:25 Probabilistic Coastal Victor M. Gonzalez1, Meredith L. Carr*1, Compound Flood Hazard Luke Aucoin1, T. Chris Massey1, Ning Lin2, Analysis Pilot Study Dazhi Xi2, Norberto C. Nadal Caraballo1, Karlie Wellls1; 1U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory, 2Princeton University 14:25 - 14:35 Break 8th Annual NRC PHFA Research Workshop Agenda Page 6 of 8
8th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop March 21-24, 2023 (Hybrid)
- NRC HQ, One White Flint North 11555 Rockville Pike, Rockville, MD 20852
- MS Teams (see daily MS Teams links)
Daily Start time: 10:00AM Eastern Time 3B-4 14:35 - 15:00 HEC-RAS Modeling Framework Kathleen Harris*, Chase Hamilton, and Lessons Learned from Weleska Echevarria-Doyle, Meredith Carr, Coastal Flooding PFHA Pilot Victor Gonzales Nieves; U.S. Army Corps of Study: Coupling and Engineers, Engineer Research and Automation of HEC-HMS and Development Center, Coastal and ADCIRC Outputs to 2D HEC-RAS Hydraulics Laboratory Model Using Python 3B-5 15:00 - 15:25 An Overview of a Multi-Agency Margaret Owensby*1, T. Chris Massey1, Modeling Effort to Quantify Robert Jensen1, Norberto Nadal-Future Conditions in the Great Caraballo1, Madison Yawn1, David Bucaro2, Lakes Johnna Potthoff2, Kaitlyn McClain2; 1U.S.
Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory, 2U.S.
Army Corps of Engineers, Chicago District 3B-6 15:25 - 15:45 Coastal Flooding Panel All Presenters Discussion 3C 15:45 - 15:55 Day 3 Wrap-up Day 4 (March 24, 2023)
Session 4A: Operational Experience Session Chair: Tom Aird, NRC/RES 4A-1 10:00 - 10:20 PRA Modeling the FLEX John Hanna*, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Strategies for External Hazards Commission, Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation 4A-2 10:20 - 10:40 Failure to Verify Flood Dave Werkheiser*, U.S. Nuclear Restoration Times at Millstone Regulatory Commission, Region 1 Unit 2 4A-3 10:40 - 11:00 Impact of the 2022 Lake Erie Daniel Mills*1, Russ Cassara1, John Hanna2; Seiche the Davis-Besse Nuclear 1U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Power Station Davis Bessie Resident Inspector, 2U.S.
Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation 4A-5 11:00 - 11:15 Operational Experience Panel All Presenters Discussion 8th Annual NRC PHFA Research Workshop Agenda Page 7 of 8
8th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop March 21-24, 2023 (Hybrid)
- NRC HQ, One White Flint North 11555 Rockville Pike, Rockville, MD 20852
- MS Teams (see daily MS Teams links)
Daily Start time: 10:00AM Eastern Time 11:15 - 11:25 Break Session 4B: Wrapping Up Session Chair: Tom Aird, NRC/RES 4B-1 11:25 - 11:50 On Fuzzy-Systems Modeling of Boris Faybishenko*; Lawrence Berkeley Ponded Infiltration, as National Laboratory Analogue to Flooding, in Fractured-Porous Subsurface Media 11:50 - 13:00 Lunch 13:00 - 13:25 Probabilistic Flood Hazard Rajiv Prasad*1, Arun Veeramany1, Rajesh Assessment for Local Intense K. Singh1, Joseph Kanney2; 1Pacific Precipitation at Nuclear Power Northwest National Laboratory, 2U.S.
Plant Sites - A Pilot Study Nuclear Regulatory Commission 13:25 - 13:50 Research Activities on Extreme Minkyu Kim*, Daegi, Hahm; Korea Atomic External Hazard Risk Energy Research Institute (KAERI)
Assessment of Korean NPP 13:50 - 14:00 Break 14:00 - 14:25 External Flooding PRA Marko Randelovic*1, Raymond Guidance Schneider*2; 1Electric Power Research Institute, 2Westinghouse Company 14:25 - 14:50 A Proposal for Paradigm Shift Vinh Ngoc Tran*1, Valeriy Y. Ivanov1, in Hydrological Ensemble Donghui Xu1, Jongho Kim2; 1University of Predictions: From Parameter Michigan, 2University of Ulsan, South Inference to Probabilistic Error Korea Estimation 4D 14:50 - 15:10 Workshop Wrap-up Discussion 8th Annual NRC PHFA Research Workshop Agenda Page 8 of 8