ML22140A335

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ML22140A335
Person / Time
Issue date: 03/08/2022
From: Matthew Humberstone
NRC/RES/DRA
To:
Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation
References
Download: ML22140A335 (15)


Text

Licensing Modernization Project for Operating Reactors

Matthew Humberstone, PhD US NRC Project Over view

  • The Licensing ModernizNRC s Level 3 probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) (L3PRA) model to test the ation Project (LMP) for operating reactors leverages the feasibility of the LMP methodology for use beyond the original intent.
  • LMP methodology
  • Licensing approach for nonlight-water reactors
  • Uses L3PRA results
  • NRC L3PRA model
  • Pressurized-water reactors
  • Initially had only internal events results available
  • Has expanded to include external hazards and other enhancements Phase 1 Feasibility Limited Scope

Phase 2 Expanded Insights L3PRA Model Enhancements

NRC Regulator y Needs

Support Proposals Objectives Study LMP Feasibility The LMP methodology is feasible for light-wate r reactors (LWRs)

Pilot LMP Used the L3PRA model results to pilot the LMP

Identif y Issues/Challenges Identified insights on implementation of the LMP

Use L3PRA Results Used L3PRA results for Phase 1 and Phase 2

Glean LWR Risk Insights LWR safety profile consistent with NRC expectations

Communication Shared progress/results Technical Approach

NRC L3PRA Model LMP Methodology

- Severe Accident - Risk-Informed, Research Performance-Based

- LWR Experience - Non-LWR licensing L3PRA Process

1

6 L3PRA

Cutsets ~50,000 Plant Damage Release States (PDS): 368 Categories: 16

Release Categor y Release Categor y Contributions LMP Frequency-Consequence Cur ve Phase 1 Results Initial Phase 2 Insights

  • Changes to the NRCs L3PRA model results vary
  • External events
  • No impact 8
  • Different impacts on release categories/accidents
  • Loss-of-coolant accidents
  • Loss of offsite power
  • Station blackout 2 6 Phase 2 Results Conclusions
  • LMP methodology is useful beyond the original intent
  • Insights gained to support future non-LWR licensing
  • Operating reactors safety profile is consistent with current NRC expectations
  • Several opportunities are being explored to leverage LMP methods and tools Next Steps
  • Continue Phase 2 research
  • Enhanced model results
  • Accident sequence evaluations
  • Uncertainty impacts
  • Engagement with NRC technical staff on future needs
  • Supporting future regulatory work
  • Continue communication effort