ML22060A133

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Transcript of the Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards 692nd Full Committee Meeting, February 3, 2022, Pages 1-58 (Open)
ML22060A133
Person / Time
Issue date: 02/03/2022
From:
Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards
To:
Abdullahi, Z, ACRS
References
NRC-1833
Download: ML22060A133 (58)


Text

Official Transcript of Proceedings

NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION

Title:

Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards

Docket Number: (n/a)

Location: teleconference

Date: Thursday, February 3, 2022

Work Order No.: NRC-1833 Pages 1-44

NEAL R. GROSS AND CO., INC.

Court Reporters and Transcribers 1716 14th Street, N.W.

Washington, D.C. 20009 (202) 234-4433 1

1

2

3 4 DISCLAIMER

5

6

7 UNITED STATES NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSIONS

8 ADVISORY COMMITTEE ON REACTOR SAFEGUARDS

9

10

11 The contents of this transcript of the

12 proceeding of the United States Nuclear Regulatory

13 Commission Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards,

14 as reported herein, is a record of the discussions

15 recorded at the meeting.

16

17 This transcript has not been reviewed,

18 corrected, and edited, and it may contain

19 inaccuracies.

20

21

22

23

NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1323 RHODE ISLAND AVE., N.W.

(202) 234-4433 W ASHINGTON, D.C. 20005-3701 www.nealrgross.com 1

1 UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

2 NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION

3 + + + + +

4 692ND MEETING

5 ADVISORY COMMITTEE ON REACTOR SAFEGUARDS

6 (ACRS)

7 + + + + +

8 THURSDAY

9 FEBRUARY 3, 2022

10 + + + + +

11 The Advisory Committee met at the Nuclear

12 Regulatory Commission, Two White Flint North, Room

13 T2B1, 11545 Rockville Pike, at 8:30 a.m., Joy L.

14 Rempe, Chairman, presiding.

15

16 COMMITTEE MEMBERS:

17 JOY L. REMPE, Chairman

18 WALTER L. KIRCHNER, Vice Chairman

19 DAVID A. PETTI, Member-at-Large

20 RONALD G. BALLINGER, Member

21 VICKI M. BIER, Member

22 CHARLES H. BROWN, JR., Member

23 VESNA B. DIMITRIJEVIC, Member*

24 GREGORY H. HALNON, Member

25 JOSE A. MARCH-LEUBA, Member

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1 MATTHEW W. SUNSERI, Chairman

2

3 ACRS CONSULTANT:

4 STEPHEN SCHULTZ

5

6 DESIGNATED FEDERAL OFFICIAL:

7 HOSSEIN NOURBAKHSH

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18 *Present via teleconference

19

20

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1 P R O C E E D I N G S

2 (8:30 a.m.)

3 CHAIRMAN REMPE: Okay, this meeting will

4 now come to order. This is the second day of the

5 692nd meeting of the Advisory Committee on Reactor

6 Safeguards. I'm Joy Rempe, Chairman of the ACRS.

7 Members in attendance are Ron Ballinger, Matt Sunseri,

8 Dave Petti, Walt Kirchner, Vicki Bier and Jose March-

9 Leuba. We are expecting to soon be joined by Charlie

10 Brown, Greg (Pause.)

11 MR. NGUYEN: Chairman Rempe, I think we

12 lost you after Greg. (Pause.) Can anyone externally

13 confirm my assertion?

14 MR. SNODDERLY: Yes, Quynh, we can't hear.

15 (Simultaneous speaking.) We cannot hear the ACRS

16 members though in the room.

17 MR. NGUYEN: (Pause.) I texted the

18 chairman, letting her know when we lost her.

19 MR. SNODDERLY: Thanks, Quynh. This is

20 Mike. Did you want me to text Larry or Scott and let

21 them --

22 MR. NGUYEN: Sure. Thanks, man.

23 MR. SNODDERLY: All right, I'll do that.

24 (Pause.) There we go.

25 MR. NGUYEN: Thank you. (Pause.) Good

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1 morning, I've been notified that Headquarters has

2 lost internet capability, so --

3 UNKNOWN FEMALE: Who's talking?

4 UNKNOWN MALE: Quynh.

5 UNKNOWN MALE 2: That's Quynh that's

6 talking.

7 UNKNOWN FEMALE: I know, but who's got

8 their computer on?

9 UNKNOWN MALE 2: Me.

10 UNKNOWN FEMALE: Okay, tell them that

11 we're trying.

12 UNKNOWN MALE 2: All right.

13 MR. NGUYEN: Yes, we can hear you now.

14 UNKNOWN MALE 3: We got you.

15 CHAIRMAN REMPE: So we're going through

16 (Simultaneous speaking.) Matt's computer, should we

17 go ahead and finish the intro if you can hear me?

18 MR. NGUYEN: Yes, we lost you after you

19 were announcing Greg.

20 CHAIRMAN REMPE: Okay. (Simultaneous

21 speaking.) So, Matt, should I just come over there by

22 you?

23 MEMBER SUNSERI: Yes, yes, sure.

24 CHAIRMAN REMPE: This isn't good.

25 (Pause.)

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1 UNKNOWN MALE 3: Okay, so one is the boss

2 and one is the rest? Okay.

3 CHAIRMAN REMPE: Okay, so this is Joy

4 Rempe again. I apologize that we lost internet

5 connectivity. We still do not have it on the main

6 computer. We're going through an individual member's

7 computer and (Simultaneous speaking.) we'll just cope

8 with this as we can. But, I believe, Quynh, you said

9 we lost the connectivity when I was announcing that

10 Greg Halnon, Vesna Dimitrijevic, and Charles Brown

11 will be joining us later and they have been excused

12 from the initial part of the meeting. But we do have

13 a quorum.

14 Similar to yesterday, the committee is

15 primarily meeting in person with some ACRS staff, NRC

16 staff and participants attending virtually.

17 The ACRS was established by the Atomic

18 Energy Act and is governed by the Federal Advisory

19 Committee Act. The ACRS section of the US NRC public

20 website provides information about the history of the

21 committee and documents, such as our Charter, bylaws,

22 Federal Register notices for meetings, letter reports

23 and transcripts of open portions of our full and

24 subcommittee meetings, including all slides presented

25 at these meetings.

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1 The committee provides its advice on

2 safety matters to the commission through its publicly

3 available letter reports. The Federal Register notice

4 announcing this meeting was published on December 28,

5 2021. This announcement provided an agenda and

6 instructions for interested parties to provide written

7 documents or request opportunities to address the

8 committee. We have received no written comments or

9 requests to make oral statements from members of the

10 public regarding today's session.

11 A communication channel has been opened to

12 allow members of the public to listen in on the

13 committee discussion and we periodically open the

14 meeting to accept comments for participants listening

15 to our meetings. Written comments, if not previously

16 provided, may still be forwarded to Dr. Hossein

17 Nourbakhsh, the designated federal officer for today's

18 meeting.

19 During today's meeting, the committee will

20 consider the following topic: Holtec Spent Fuel Pool

21 Heat Up Calculation Methodology Topical Report. A

22 transcript of the meeting is being kept and I request

23 that speakers identify themselves and speak with

24 sufficient clarity and volume so that they can be

25 readily heard. Additionally, participants should mute

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1 themselves when not speaking.

2 At this time, I'd normally ask Hossein

3 Nourbakhsh to lead us through the discussion, but we

4 have an internet connectivity issue and so I'm going

5 to reboot the system and rejoin the meeting. We hope

6 we get internet connectivity, but we do not have it on

7 the main system at this time. So, stay tuned and

8 we're going to have a bit of a break, okay?

9 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: So, we are on recess?

10 CHAIRMAN REMPE: Yes (Simultaneous

11 speaking.).

12 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: You're talking to

13 this microphone that helps.

14 CHAIRMAN REMPE: Yes. Okay so, we will

15 officially have a recess while we try and figure out

16 what's going to happen here.

17 (Whereupon, the above-entitled matter

18 went off the record at 8:36 a.m. and resumed at 8:44

19 a.m.)

20 CHAIRMAN REMPE: Thank you all for your

21 help remotely. Let's turn the meeting over to Member

22 March-Leuba to lead us through the Holtec discussion.

23 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Thank you, Chairman

24 Rempe. I was going to start the meeting by saying

25 that, of course, we are going to be talking about the

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1 Holtec Spent Fuel Pool Methodology, and I was going to

2 tell Holtec and the staff that I maliciously told them

3 to prepare for a 20-minute presentation so I can now

4 graciously give them 50 percent over time, which we

5 already have used so I'll stick to the original 20

6 minutes.

7 Without further adieu, Ekaterina from the

8 staff is going to give us some opening remarks.

9 MS. LENNING: Good morning, Full Committee

10 Chairman, Full Committee members and staff. My name

11 is Ekaterina Lenning, Division of Operating Reactor

12 License and Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation. I

13 am project manager for the Holtec International HI

14 2200 750, revision zero, Holtec Spent Fuel Pool Heat

15 Up Calculation Methodology Topical Report review.

16 Presenting today for the staff will be

17 Josh Kaizer, who is the lead technical reviewer for

18 this topical report, and Adam Rau, Division of Safety

19 System NRR.

20 I would to thank you for the opportunity

21 to present this staff review and evaluation of

22 Holtec's topical report and spent fuel pool heat up

23 calculation methodology. We look forward to today's

24 meeting and thank you again for the opportunity to

25 present.

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1 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Thank you. I believe

2 we also have some introductions from Holtec management

3 or the staff and then we will move straight to the

4 technical presentation. Go ahead.

5 MR. TRICE: Good morning, my name is Kelly

6 Trice. I'm the President of Holtec Decommissioning

7 International.

8 We appreciate the opportunity to address

9 the ACRS Full Committee regarding the Holtec topical

10 report on the method for determining the spent fuel

11 assembly heat up during a theoretical drain down event

12 of a spent fuel. This topical report is important to

13 Holtec and our decommissioning process as it

14 measurably enhances nuclear safety by providing an

15 innovative, yet simple to calculate, methodology for

16 arranging the spent fuel in the pool, such that the

17 risk of zirconium fire reaction is eliminated sooner

18 than the traditional methodologies currently being

19 utilized in the industry.

20 We thank you for your time this morning

21 and look forward to a constructive discussion. Ms.

22 Andrea Sterdis and Dr. Stefan Anton will be our

23 presenters for both the open and closed sessions.

24 Thank you.

25 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Dr. Anton, yes, go

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1 ahead. Are you going to share your slides?

2 DR. ANTON: Yes, just a second. We will

3 be sharing the slides momentarily.

4 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Excellent, thank you.

5 We see them now.

6 CHAIRMAN REMPE: So actually just to

7 interrupt real quick, I just want to confirm the court

8 reporter did start recording when we came back. I

9 forgot to say that we're back on the record. Could

10 the court reporter confirm that we are. (Non-verbal

11 response.) Thank you. Sorry about that, Jose, go

12 ahead.

13 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Okay, Stefan.

14 DR. ANTON: Yes, thank you very much.

15 This is Stefan Anton. I'm the Vice President of

16 Engineering at Holtec International and I'm the author

17 of the topical report, where we will present some

18 details and the background here. Second slide,

19 please.

20 Okay, on a high level what is the purpose

21 of the topical report? It is to develop and provide

22 a methodology to proactively determine the best

23 overall spent fuel pool arrangement so that the risk

24 of a zirconium fire is eliminated as soon as possible

25 after a permanent defueling of a plant. This

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1 methodology that can be then used, if it's

2 implemented, to gain a significant and real safety

3 benefit by reducing the time that such an event of a

4 zirconium fire would be feasible.

5 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Doctor, just for the

6 benefit of the public --

7 DR. ANTON: Yes?

8 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: What you mean by as

9 soon as possible is this is a spent fuel pool and we

10 are putting spent fuel from the core into the pool.

11 You refer as the number of years that have passed

12 since the last time you loaded fuel from an active

13 core, that's correct?

14 DR. ANTON: That is correct. There is

15 basically the time in months or years after the fuel

16 has been loaded into the spent fuel from the core into

17 the spent fuel pool that has to pass before it can be

18 considered that a zirconium fire is no longer

19 feasible. That is the time that we are talking about

20 and our methodology will be allowing to minimize that

21 time compared to what is being used in the past. The

22 next slide.

23 A little bit more about what kind of

24 problem we are actually addressing here. If there is

25 a theoretical beyond design basis event of a drain

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1 down of a spent fuel pool, so the loss of water then

2 of course, the cladding of the spent fuel assemblies

3 would heat up due to the fact that we don't have any

4 water cooling in the spent fuel pool.

5 Now we are concerned there about the

6 cladding temperature, that is our main concern, not

7 the fuel itself. If the cladding temperature exceeds

8 a certain value, there is the possibility of an

9 exothermal reaction with the air that is now replacing

10 the water and that possibly can result in what is

11 commonly called a zirconium fire or zirc fire. That

12 is at the heart of it and that is what we are trying

13 to show that it's not feasible after a certain period

14 of time. Next slide, please.

15 So what are the acceptance criteria and

16 what is generally the principle approach that is used

17 to evaluate that. The acceptance criteria is a

18 combination of a temperature and a time. The criteria

19 is namely that a cladding temperature, again, we're

20 talking about the fuel cladding does not exceed 900

21 degrees Celsius within 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br /> from the start of the

22 drain down event. This is not something that we

23 developed within the topical report. This is a common

24 acceptance criteria that has previously used numerous

25 times, been accepted by the NRC and there are numerous

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1 publicly available documentations that show where this

2 comes from and what the basis for this is. But just

3 in very short, the 900 degrees Celsius is one of the

4 temperature levels where certain reactions between the

5 air and the fuel cladding can occur and the 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br />

6 that is based on the assumption that within a certain

7 period of time, there would be some remedies available

8 to limit the temperature so it is assumed that within

9 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br />, you can actually initiate some kind of a

10 cooling to the spent fuel pool. Again, that was not

11 developed as part of the topical report, this is

12 generally accepted acceptance criteria that you need

13 to meet.

14 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: May I stop you here

15 and have some discussion? We have some deliberations

16 after our Full Committee. That's why I asked the

17 question earlier to clarify in the mind of the public

18 the time you were talking two slides before was two or

19 three years after you unload the fuel from the core.

20 This time, this 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br /> that you are talking to now,

21 is time from the accident that made the pool drain.

22 So these are completely different times scale, hours

23 versus years.

24 DR. ANTON: That is correct. This is

25 different. This 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br /> would be in case you

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1 actually have a drain down event that within 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br />

2 after that drain down initiated, that the cladding

3 does not reach 900 degree Celsius. The previous time

4 that we talked about is how long you have to wait

5 after loading spent fuel into the pool until you would

6 make sure that you don't reach 900 degrees Celsius

7 after 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br />.

8 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Yes, so I had an

9 opportunity to educate myself a lot more deeper on

10 NUREG-1738, which is where these numbers are reports

11 of the criteria. The way I read that 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br /> is the

12 time necessary for evacuation of the personnel or the

13 public around the plant. It's not clear which

14 evacuation they are talking about. Not time to

15 restore the level.

16 MS. STERDIS: So this is Andrea Sterdis.

17 You're correct, Jose. What that is, is that's the

18 time that if you read in the NUREG-1738, it's been

19 concurred that if you have 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br /> from an

20 instantaneous drain down to the time that the fuel

21 would reach 900 degrees C, there's plenty of time for

22 alternate methods to get water into the pool to

23 prevent the zirc fire and then there's also sufficient

24 time that if the state and local officials determine

25 there's a protective action they want to implement,

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1 then there's time there to do that as well, so you're

2 correct.

3 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Okay, so the NUREG

4 also has a sentence that says, I mean this NUREG is

5 difficult to read, I mean it took me several tries to

6 go over it. It's very noncommittal. Defined

7 temperatures of 800 and 900, 1,000, 1,200 depends on

8 the atmosphere, like if you have steam the temperature

9 is much higher than when you have only oxygen. But

10 there seems to be an agreement on the 900 degrees as

11 being a good cutoff. However, the NUREG warns that

12 the criteria should be judged based on the

13 application, so we'll go through that with the members

14 in the letter the way I wrote it. My recommendation

15 is going to be that this SER from the staff is

16 approving the methodology to calculate a temperature

17 at a given time. Whenever you want to apply it for a

18 license amendment request, you will have a different

19 license amendment and we will expect the staff to

20 review the criteria for applicability to the

21 particular application.

22 CHAIRMAN REMPE: Could I ask, tell me a

23 little more about what sites were considered? Did

24 they go through some sort of bounding site parameters

25 to come up with this time for mitigating that?

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1 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: There is no

2 description of the 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br />. Basically it is the

3 customary time we have been using forever.

4 MR. KAIZER: This is Josh Kaizer, NRC

5 staff. I was actually having discussions this morning

6 and I have a nice little document, but a lot of this

7 discussion started with a Maine Yankee backfit

8 contention. There was a SECY on it. The NUREG

9 followed it and there was another SECY after that.

10 So, I did want to provide that there is more detail

11 about the specific acceptance criterion and my

12 understanding is that 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br /> was kind of an estimate

13 of either getting a mitigation system into place or

14 doing evacuation and it's depending on whether you're

15 looking at like the SECY or the NUREG, depending on

16 which one they focused on.

17 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Okay, so we'll ask

18 you again in about half an hour when it's your time.

19 CHAIRMAN REMPE: So while you're thinking

20 about what you're going to answer to us, you know,

21 sometimes people will use a bounding set of parameters

22 from the EPRI study of 95 percent of the plants or

23 something like that or did they just pick one plant,

24 like Maine Yankee, because that's what was under

25 discussion?

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1 MR. KAIZER: I am not sure and I can tell

2 you my answer will probably be a further explanation.

3 I'd say because of that uncertainty of where this

4 acceptance criterion came from, the staff tried to

5 make it very clear in SSE that they were focusing

6 solely on that acceptance criterion. We didn't say it

7 in the SE, we're not saying that this acceptance

8 criterion is acceptable for satisfying a particular

9 regulation or anything like that in the topical report

10 SE, we're just saying that if staff. I think this is

11 kind of what Jose was saying earlier with his LARS, if

12 an applicant comes in or licensee comes in and says,

13 hey I want to use this acceptance criterion, if the

14 staff finds this acceptance criterion acceptable, for

15 lack of a better term, for a specific licensing

16 request, then the Holtec method is an acceptable way

17 to demonstrate that the specific criterion has been

18 met.

19 CHAIRMAN REMPE: Again, I appreciate

20 whoever came up with these additional details, Member

21 March-Leuba, but, yes that's an interesting little

22 tidbit.

23 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Yes and from my point

24 of view, I think the methodology and the intent from

25 Holtec is excellent. It is to be commended. What I

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1 want to get the concurrence from the members when we

2 discuss the letter is that we have a warning in the

3 body of the letter saying that the SCR only approves

4 the methodology. It does not approve the acceptance

5 criterion and it is application dependent. They will

6 have to review it. I would like to give an

7 opportunity now during the presentation for Holtec and

8 the staff to correct me if I'm wrong. My statement is

9 the SCR approves the methodology with an understanding

10 of the timing for the methodology. We are talking

11 about 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br /> for heat up because it will change the

12 methodology if it was 10 seconds, but you do have an

13 understanding of what the application is likely going

14 to be, but you don't approve a particular criterion

15 today. That will be reviewed later. If I'm mistaken

16 in my statements, please you have time now to do it.

17 DR. ANTON: This is Stefan Anton, let me

18 first apologize for not characterizing that correctly.

19 I was focusing more on the development of the

20 methodology and I'm glad that my colleague, Andrea,

21 here could clarify that. She said yes, that that's

22 also our understanding. We are just developing the

23 methodology and the acceptance criteria could

24 potentially be site specific, if I may say it that

25 way. Is that correct?

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1 MS. STERDIS: Yes.

2 DR. ANTON: Yes, okay.

3 MR. KAIZER: And I will also confirm that

4 that was the intent of the staff safety evaluation.

5 Jose said it well and I would even go so far as to say

6 I think that that is what is written clearly in the

7 staff safety evaluation.

8 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Excellent, thank you.

9 We are in violent agreement. Let's continue with the

10 presentation.

11 DR. ANTON: Yes, okay, very good. I'm

12 still on the previous slide. How do I know, what is

13 the principle approach to actually show that the

14 acceptance criteria is met. Since there is a

15 temperature involved and there is a time involved,

16 this, from a technical perspective, could be a

17 transient thermal analysis that needs to be performed

18 to see how the temperature would start rising after

19 the beginning of such an event. Then out of that

20 calculation, you would see under certain conditions if

21 the 900 degrees is met or not met within the 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br />.

22 Now the certain conditions would be the

23 heat, the decay heat of the fuel assemblies, that's

24 basically your variable that you have in there. So

25 you would determine what is the maximum decay heat of

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1 the fuel assembly that would assure that the 900

2 degrees or whatever it is, let's stay with the 900

3 degrees in 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br />, is not reached.

4 Now the decay heat of the fuel assembly is

5 linked to the cooling time of the fuel assembly. Once

6 the fuel assembly comes out of the core and goes into

7 the spent fuel, the decay heat of the fuel assemblies

8 is very high and then it goes down over time. Once

9 you determine the decay heat limit, that you would

10 provide as a criteria, you then back calculate and

11 find out what is the minimum cooling time of the fuel

12 assembly. So the minimum time that has to pass after

13 the fuel is placed out of the core into the spent fuel

14 pool. That is the time that we talked about in the

15 previous slides where we see that this time with our

16 methodology we can show that a shorter time limit can

17 be applied there and show that even after a shorter

18 time, the zirc fire is no longer feasible.

19 Any comments on here before I continue?

20 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Nothing from me.

21 DR. ANTON: Okay, thank you. Then let me

22 basically say we make an improvement compared to what

23 was done in the past and what was reviewed and

24 approved by the NRC for certain site specific

25 applications. There was a standard approach that has

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1 been used. It is using a transient thermal

2 calculation with a number of conservative assumptions.

3 I listed the five principle and relevant assumptions

4 here.

5 Number one, the transient thermal analysis

6 was only done for a single fuel assembly out of the

7 pool. You use the bounding fuel assembly, the one

8 with the highest decay heat of all assemblies that are

9 in the spent fuel pool at a certain time. That is

10 number one and two. The other three basically say you

11 look at this fuel assembly in perfect thermal

12 isolation. You do not assume that the fuel assembly

13 can transfer any of the heat to the surrounding fuel

14 assemblies. You do not consider any air flow through

15 the rack at the assembly, so it's basically completely

16 isolated and you don't consider any other heat loss of

17 this single fuel assembly with the high heat flow.

18 Basically, all the decay heat that is in the assembly

19 is used to basically increase the heat load of that

20 assembly. That's then how you come up with the

21 temperature over time to see if 900 degrees is reached

22 or not reached within 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br />.

23 This methodology, these assumptions, make

24 the calculations very simple. You can almost do it

25 with a simple analytical calculation approach on a

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1 piece of paper, just a few formulas or you can use a

2 simple spreadsheet. That has always been the

3 advantage of this. This is kind of the previously

4 used approach. So let's go to the next slide.

5 The difference in our approach, let me

6 just mention that the disadvantage of this previous

7 approach is that it doesn't give you any indication of

8 what would be a good or not so good configuration of

9 fuel assemblies in your spent fuel pool to actually

10 minimize the temperature at a given time of your

11 cladding. Your spent fuel pool has a mixture of high

12 and low decay heat assemblies so using this

13 methodology it doesn't really tell you what to do

14 there. That is one of the major disadvantages.

15 What we do, the principle difference of

16 our methodology is now that we consider limited heat

17 transfer between the assemblies. A hot assembly in

18 our methodology is allowed to exchange heat with

19 surrounding assemblies and they could be of a lower

20 heat load and so they could partially absorb some of

21 the heat from the hot assembly. With this

22 methodology, we can actually develop a thermally

23 optimized loading pattern throughout the spent fuel

24 pool, so we can basically say okay if you move fuel

25 assemblies in a certain way and put them in certain

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1 locations, you can actually get in a better situation

2 with respect to the feasibility or the possibility of

3 a zirc fire.

4 At the same time, I was talking about the

5 conservative assumptions, we still keep the

6 conservative assumption that overall there is no heat

7 transfer from the assemblies to the outside. The fuel

8 assemblies, as a whole, are assumed not to exchange

9 any heat to the environment. Most importantly, we

10 keep still the assumption that there is no air flow

11 through the vents. This is quite a significant or

12 dramatic simplifying assumption because it basically

13 assumes that fuel assemblies that sit in the

14 individual rack cells and we basically assume that the

15 rack cell is basically closed both at the top and at

16 the bottom so that we have no air flow through there.

17 There could be situations where that would be the

18 case, if somebody is lying on top of the rack or if

19 there is still water at the bottom, but it is a very

20 extreme assumption in that respect. To say that

21 again, we are not changing that assumption.

22 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: This is Jose. I

23 agree with you that that feels like a very

24 conservative assumption. My question is different,

25 can you answer this in a non-proprietary setting; if

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1 not, just tell me no, that's proprietary. Has Holtec

2 performed a scoping analysis for a particular spent

3 fuel pool and can you tell us how much benefit you get

4 from this analysis. I mean do you gain one month of

5 decay time or do you gain 10 years of decay time? If

6 you can do it in a non-proprietary setting.

7 DR. ANTON: Yes, let me just double that

8 here with my colleagues. I'll just for a second go on

9 mute if we can discuss this here. (Pause.)

10 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: This is only for our

11 benefit. This information is not necessary, so if you

12 have any problems whatsoever, please don't feel

13 obliged to do it.

14 DR. ANTON: (Pause.) Yes, I can actually

15 confirm that, I discussed that here. We have

16 performed some informal calculations just to see what

17 the effect would be. They indicate to us that if

18 there would be air flow allowed through the fuel

19 assembly, even after an infinite amount of time, it

20 would not reach the 900 degrees Celsius, so this is

21 quite a dramatic assumption. If we find out the

22 criteria that meets the 900 degrees after 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br /> and

23 at the same time if you would let the air flow in

24 there, you could leave it there indefinitely and you

25 would not reach the 900 degrees Celsius.

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1 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Thank you for that,

2 but just for the record, I'm suggesting you supplement

3 to this topical report, you are not getting air flow

4 allowed in your calculation. Your current topical

5 report says no air flow.

6 DR. ANTON: That is correct.

7 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Yes. You may want to

8 submit a supplement, but it would a different review.

9 Thank you. Continue.

10 DR. ANTON: Yes.

11 MEMBER BALLINGER: This is Ron Ballinger.

12 The way I read it, what your analysis does is simply

13 change the slope of the heat up rate. This changes

14 the slope. It extends the time, but the relaxation of

15 the air flow thing is so dramatic, I still wonder

16 whether that makes any difference at all because

17 everybody has to assume basically no air flow, then

18 changing the slope looks good from a stylized point

19 of view, but the conservatism is so large that it's

20 just a stylized calculation.

21 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: The concern with

22 allowing air flow is they will have to demonstrate

23 that when you're blowing on a fire, you don't increase

24 it, that's the concern. I don't think it is a real

25 concern because you never reach the ignition point,

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1 but that's probably why they didn't.

2 DR. ANTON: Yes.

3 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: I cannot wait until

4 the supplement to review it. Keep going.

5 DR. ANTON: Okay, yes, good. That's why,

6 if we would try to take credit for that, and we have

7 discussed that, it would get significantly more

8 complicated. That's why we stayed with the current

9 approach that we actually would not take any credit

10 for that because we were aware of the complication

11 that this would create.

12 That gets me on my slide to the last

13 bullet there because we did not want to have a

14 complicated calculation in this. We wanted to have

15 this approach, this methodology to more or less

16 straightforward and not to be too complicated. And we

17 wanted to be still consistent in our assumption with

18 the previously approved methods. That already then

19 gets me to the summary. We submitted the topical

20 report that improves on the method to determine if a

21 zirc fire is possible or not in a spent fuel pool and

22 that allows us to come up with certain criteria. But

23 at the same time, we still focus here on the

24 significant conservatism of the air flow not being

25 there, which was done to keep it simple, but also to

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1 keep it consistent with the previous analysis and make

2 it actually easier for the implementation and also for

3 the approval.

4 That gets me to the end of our

5 presentation. Any other questions here or discussions

6 that we need?

7 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Members, anybody want

8 to add something? Okay so in the interest of time, I

9 want to thank you, Stefan and Holtec, for a very

10 organized and well presented topic, which I know is of

11 value to the nuclear industry.

12 DR. ANTON: Thank you very much.

13 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Thank you very much.

14 Josh, we'll give you 20 minutes now.

15 MR. KAIZER: Okay. Thank you very much.

16 My name is Joshua Kaizer. I, along with Adam Rau,

17 were the reviewers for this topical report. Next

18 slide, please, Kate.

19 So they've already talked about the drain

20 down methodology and we've already spent a while to

21 talk about the acceptance criterion. There are two

22 other points about that I wanted to bring up.

23 The first was this 900 degrees C for at

24 least 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br /> is a bit fuzzy. Jose alluded to it.

25 If you go back and you read NUREG-1738, it actually

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1 lists a number of temperatures. It can be 900 and all

2 air, it could be 1,200 in steam. The question is

3 which environment is it. It's probably going to be a

4 mixture of air and steam. How much, we don't know.

5 So most people and I think pretty much everyone says

6 the conservative thing of, okay, we'll just go with

7 the lower temperature.

8 There is, even in the acceptance criterion

9 itself, there is some built in conservatism and you're

10 saying, okay 900 not any more than that, for following

11 the spent fuel pool drain down.

12 The other thing I wanted to kind of get up

13 and talk about, because I know Dr. Rempe kind of

14 mentioned it, was the acceptance criterion itself,

15 where it actually comes from. I'm currently viewing

16 this as kind of an acceptance criterion that the

17 applicant proposes to the NRC and then the NRC

18 accepts. We do have a number of acceptance criterion

19 that are, I'd say, enshrined in our guidance documents

20 and SRPs, but a lot of those acceptance criterion that

21 are even in SRPs were initially proposed by applicants

22 to satisfy a regulation.

23 One of my favorites because I deal with

24 CHF a lot, is this 99.9 percent of fuel rods in the

25 core will not experience a boiling transition. That

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1 number was not a number the NRC generated. That

2 number came from an old publically available GE

3 document and they said, hey NRC, we think this

4 acceptance criterion is good to satisfy this

5 regulation. So I wanted to highlight that to say that

6 when an applicant gives us something, it is not out of

7 scope for them to say we think this acceptance

8 criterion can be used to satisfy this regulation and

9 the NRC agrees to that. So I want to provide that

10 background.

11 We know the acceptance criterion and the

12 methodology goal here was Holtec's method should be

13 able to perform the analysis of the spent fuel pool

14 after drain down and demonstrate that, or predict a

15 peak clad temperature, and demonstrate that hey, for

16 at least 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br />, that temperature doesn't go above

17 900 degrees C. Next slide, please, Kate.

18 All right, so our review goal was

19 basically determine is Holtec's method credible.

20 Credible is a new term really old concept. It's just

21 can we trust their computational model. Credibility,

22 I think, I like the word because it's nice to have a

23 specific word that means can we trust this

24 computational model for its intended purpose. I think

25 it comes from one of the first uses was like a NASA

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1 paper from 2000s. There I give a picture of a recent

2 ASME standard that started to talk about credibility.

3 While the NRC has been focused on this area, I'd say

4 even before it's inception in 1975, we call it

5 credibility now. So we're really looking at is

6 Holtec's method credible, i.e., can we trust it to

7 predict the peak clad temperature following a spent

8 fuel pool drain down, in order to demonstrate that

9 that temperature remains below the 900 degrees.

10 The review challenge in this area, there

11 was very limited validation data. Normally when we

12 look at a model's credibility for a computational

13 model, you are going to base that credibility decision

14 on verification and validation. Certainly

15 quantification activities, I think, we tend to much

16 great weight the validation, the experimental data you

17 have to prove that your model is predicting reality

18 and, in this case, there is limited data, but honestly

19 in many cases there is limited data. So when you do

20 have that limited data, you default to demonstrating

21 that the methods are conservative. There are a lot of

22 conservatisms in this method. This is not out of

23 scope. I would even argue that if you go back and you

24 read Appendix K, that's what Appendix K was doing.

25 When you don't know how physics behaves, you try to

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1 figure out okay, well I don't know the exact behavior

2 of this, but can I come up with a number that bounds

3 what we believe the uncertainties are to be. That was

4 the challenge. Next slide, please.

5 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Josh, no, stay on the

6 slide three for a moment.

7 MR. KAIZER: Yes, sure.

8 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: First you have

9 Appendix K's similarity is a very good example. I

10 appreciate you wrote it to the record. I wanted to

11 ask you another question. You wrote a NUREG KM0013,

12 which we reviewed, but you are now referencing the

13 ASME standard, I have not been able to find the final

14 version of KM0013. Is it still in that form?

15 MR. KAIZER: It is. That is my fault. I

16 actually owe someone to review it. I have, I think,

17 two more things to finish off and not much has

18 changed. It is basically just getting that final

19 thing out, but because --

20 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Okay.

21 MR. KAIZER: Of some other work, it keeps

22 getting piled up.

23 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: I hate to have a

24 reference in our letter to our draft report, but it's

25 basically final draft, right?

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1 MR. KAIZER: Yes, it is. I really

2 apologize and I appreciate, I won't say yelling at me,

3 but I'll call it yelling at me because this way I can

4 justify to my bosses, hey, I really need to get this

5 done. ACRS is yelling at me for it. So that is

6 helpful to me. (Laughter.)

7 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: You can count on our

8 yelling.

9 MR. KAIZER: Thank you.

10 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Keep going.

11 MR. KAIZER: All right, next slide,

12 please. So the safety evaluation mirrors SRP 1502,

13 now SRP 1502 is the staff's guidance on how to review,

14 it's basically transient accident analysis methods.

15 I would argue it's really any computational model. If

16 you're doing modeling for aircraft seat design or

17 small medical devices, whatever, you would follow

18 pretty much the same criteria.

19 Based on, I'd say, it kind of started with

20 a CSAU, which was a document from the 1980s and then

21 developed further in through MDAP, which was from the

22 late '90s, but it is basically if you're going to

23 trust a simulation, you would need to kind of fill out

24 all these steps. The only difference between the SE

25 and what's in the SRP is we've just kind of rearranged

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1 things a little. Same criteria are all there, but we

2 just rearranged them in what we think is a more

3 logical process.

4 The other thing I wanted to stress on the

5 safety evaluation was Appendix A, which was the

6 staff's confirmatory analysis. A lot of times there's

7 confusion on what role a confirmatory analysis plays.

8 The NRC staff can't base its regulatory conclusion on

9 the confirmatory analysis because that analysis is not

10 done under Appendix B program. A lot of times it's

11 done by the staff. The staff makes their own

12 decisions, but that analysis is there to confirm the

13 staff's regulatory conclusion. I think the analysis

14 for our case was extremely helpful. It made things

15 a lot clearer and it did play a very important role,

16 but I did want to stress that we didn't base any of

17 our safety conclusions on the analysis, but we did use

18 that analysis to confirm those conclusions.

19 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: You know, I brought

20 this -- this is Jose again, I brought this up in

21 previous meetings that code to code benchmarks are to

22 be relied upon for confirmation, but not exclusively.

23 Here we are almost crossing the boundary, but I

24 believe your approval of this methodology is based

25 more on physical conservatisms.

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1 MR. KAIZER: Yes.

2 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: And not exclusively

3 on your code to code comparisons, right?

4 MR. KAIZER: I agree with that. I have

5 seen it written in papers. I feel very proud that I

6 actually have written in the paper not only why code

7 to code is not good, but give like a specific equation

8 that shows you the error of why it's not good. I do

9 agree with that. I think that it is important to note

10 that confirmatory analysis can confirm what the staff

11 is saying, but if the staff reaches a regulatory

12 conclusion, it has to be for other reasons. I mean I

13 would even argue saying that code to code comparisons

14 by the applicant, the level that you can trust those

15 comparisons is not nearly the same as if you can trust

16 validation data and also I think not nearly the same

17 as if you can trust a good conservative judgment on

18 something.

19 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Thank you. As I said

20 before, I think we are in violent agreement.

21 MR. KAIZER: Yes.

22 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: I just want to keep

23 bringing it into the record that are many new reactors

24 with esoteric fuels that are coming into review that

25 are going to have very little data available. We need

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1 to keep the code to code comparisons in mind for other

2 applications. This one doesn't have any problem in

3 this regard. Thank you.

4 MR. KAIZER: Understood. All right, next

5 slide, please. All right, this is my last slide. The

6 staff believes that the conservatisms of the method

7 more than outweigh the uncertainties. If I've said

8 that in the, I'd say a more formal speak, the NRC

9 staff believes, this is the second bullet, the NRC

10 staff believes that there is reasonable assurance that

11 the method will conservatively or accurately predict

12 peak cladding temperature following spent fuel pool

13 drain down. I did want to provide a little bit more

14 detail about what do I mean by reasonable assurance

15 because that is something that we get the language

16 from the regulation but it is not necessarily clearly

17 and explicitly defined.

18 In this sense, when I say we have

19 reasonable assurance that this method will

20 conservatively or accurately predict the peak clad

21 temperature, what I mean is there is always a balance

22 between uncertainties in the method, things you don't

23 know, things that have a variance and the

24 conservatisms of the method and you need those

25 conservatisms to kind of outweigh those uncertainties.

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1 The balance between the two here is very similar to

2 the balance in other models and simulations, where the

3 staff has also decided yes, we can trust this

4 simulation for safety analysis purposes.

5 That is the open summary of the review.

6 Any other questions or comments?

7 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Members, this is the

8 conclusion of the presentations. We will not have a

9 closed session, because we do not have time. Any

10 comments?

11 MEMBER BROWN: Can I ask a question?

12 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Yes. Speak into the

13 microphone.

14 MEMBER BROWN: My command voice is not

15 enough? This is, when I looked at this, I tried to

16 get a handle on why they feel it's credible, but why

17 isn't it, is my opinion and I listened, even though I

18 missed a bit of the first part, I did go through it.

19 What's the complicating thing that's different, other

20 than the single assembly being analyzed from a physics

21 and heat transfer standpoint that makes, I guess,

22 people not saying hey, this is okay? I mean this is

23 convected heat flow, boundary conditions. You've got

24 to know what your temperature is in the spent fuel

25 pool, you know, the elements themselves, you know,

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1 what their decay level is, I guess, to find out how

2 much heat. What is the piece that makes the

3 difference from what we did before and now we have to

4 question why the model -- the new way of being able to

5 do a bunch of assemblies and arrange them as opposed

6 to basing it on one assembly? (Simultaneous

7 speaking.) I didn't get that out of the report.

8 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Yes, I am afraid that

9 that might be a proprietary answer.

10 MEMBER BROWN: Oh.

11 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: I can fill you in off

12 the microphone if you want, but unless, Stefan, can

13 you give him a short answer in non-proprietary?

14 MEMBER BROWN: I was thinking when I look

15 at it, you've got assemblies, you've got them stacked

16 in various arrangements. You've got to do heat

17 transfer, convective heat flow with air moving up or

18 not moving up --

19 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: If you look at --

20 MEMBER BROWN: To make assumptions.

21 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: If you read the

22 transcript for the subcommittee, I personally said

23 that Holtec is not going to get the Nobel Prize for

24 this methodology. (Simultaneous speaking.)

25 MEMBER BROWN: Thank you.

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1 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: It's very simple and

2 adequate.

3 MEMBER BROWN: Okay, (Simultaneous

4 speaking.) that's fine then, we don't need to go.

5 (Simultaneous speaking.) I just did not see where this

6 was some great leap forward or anything like that,

7 it's basically stuff I learned in college.

8 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Yes, but that's why

9 I asked earlier from Holtec how many months or years

10 they earn by using this methodology.

11 MEMBER BROWN: No, that was a good

12 question.

13 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: I wouldn't be

14 surprised if they earn a lot, three or four years.

15 MEMBER BROWN: Well I would think so also

16 based on the thought process. The whole approach

17 seemed to make more sense than what we did before.

18 All right, I'll stop right there. No need to mouse

19 milk this.

20 MEMBER SUNSERI: Charlie, you with

21 Joshua's picture up there, I mean the biggest

22 uncertainty is what is the heat level of the assembly?

23 (Simultaneous speaking.) And that is --

24 MEMBER BROWN: That's what I figured.

25 MEMBER SUNSERI: Balanced by conservatisms

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1 in the model, but that's the biggest thing really in

2 going ahead and using this for optimizing a spent fuel

3 pool (Simultaneous speaking.)

4 MEMBER BROWN: Isn't there a way to

5 measure some temperatures to get some idea of what the

6 element --

7 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Fortunately, we don't

8 drain spent fuel pools very often.

9 MEMBER BROWN: No, I understand that.

10 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: That's the problem

11 with why they don't have experimental data

12 (Simultaneous speaking.)

13 MEMBER BROWN: We understand the physics

14 of decay heat, I mean we've been calculating decay

15 heat for these plants for 70 years.

16 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: And one big advantage

17 is that we are not designing a spent fuel pool for

18 future loading. We already have all the fuel that

19 came out of the core. This is decommissioning. We

20 know what's in there.

21 MEMBER BROWN: Yes.

22 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: And they have been

23 doing the burn up in the core as it was burning so

24 they know the decay heat of each bundle (Simultaneous

25 speaking.) pretty accurately.

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1 MEMBER BROWN: I'm just trying to make

2 sure I didn't miss something. I was totally

3 comfortable with reading the whole thing, so it seemed

4 to make a lot of sense to me based on, and recognizing

5 I had heat transfer in college, had at NR whether I

6 liked it or not, I had to deal with it all the time,

7 so this seemed to be fairly straightforward. It's a

8 matter of what is the complicating factor. I think

9 you've answered the question for me. All right, thank

10 you.

11 MEMBER BALLINGER: This is Ron Ballinger.

12 I don't remember whether this is true or not, but does

13 the analysis, is it truly adiabatic at least the

14 conservative one or does it allow for the positive

15 feedback from the zirc water reaction?

16 MR. JONES: Yes, this is Steve Jones. I'm

17 acting chief of the containment and plant systems

18 branch. I just wanted to go back a little bit in

19 history. NUREG-1738 did look at both an air cooled

20 scenario where there's early oxidation of a fuel

21 beginning say at 565 degrees Celsius and compared that

22 with an adiabatic heat up scenario where all the heat

23 is confined to the fuel assembly itself. Then looking

24 at 900 degrees where the reaction rate, the oxidation

25 rate, greatly accelerates beyond 900 degrees in air.

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1 The staff determined that considering all the possible

2 scenarios and configurations that could occur

3 following, you know, extreme seismic events or other

4 events that would really challenge the structure of a

5 spent fuel pool, it was best to consider an adiabatic

6 scenario in terms of evaluating when it was okay to

7 reduce the scope of emergency planning responses.

8 MEMBER BALLINGER: Yes, that's a different

9 question.

10 MR. JONES: Okay.

11 MEMBER BALLINGER: I mean the 1738 does

12 consider the feedback from the zirc water reaction,

13 but what I'm asking is does this methodology consider

14 -- I don't think it does. I think it just --

15 MR. JONES: No (Simultaneous speaking.)

16 It's not intended (Simultaneous speaking.) to because,

17 I guess, the acceptance criteria that we've been

18 working on for the last several years is the Office of

19 Nuclear Security and Incident Response has an interim

20 staff guidance document, DPR ISG 02. I have the ML

21 number, you know, the ADAMS accession number if

22 anybody is interested, but we've been using this for

23 several decommissioning plants over the last several

24 years, since 2000 --

25 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Steve, please read

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1 the ML number on the transcript.

2 MR. JONES: Sure.

3 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: So we can follow

4 this.

5 MR. JONES: The ADAMS accession number is

6 ML14106A057.

7 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Thank you. That way

8 if somebody needs to follow up, we wrote it down, too.

9 Thank you.

10 MR. JONES: Okay and that does discuss the

11 basis, how we've gone through initial proposed rule

12 making attempts in the early 2000s and just recently

13 a new rule making package was developed and presented

14 to the commission. We've maintained that 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br />,

15 900 degrees adiabatic heat up time was an appropriate

16 criterion to use to evaluate a transition away from a

17 coordinated emergency response between the plant and

18 civil authorities outside the plant boundary to going

19 to more of a reliance on all hazards emergency plan.

20 In addition, we're also considering the

21 abilities to mitigate that have resulted from the post

22 9/11 and the Fukushima actions to provide strategies

23 to mitigate different scenarios that might occur in

24 the spent fuel pool and apply those to prevent

25 cladding damage or in the worst case, mitigate the

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1 release.

2 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Steve, since you

3 brought this up, do decommissioned plants have FLEX

4 equipment? Or does it not apply to them?

5 MR. JONES: Yes. During decommissioning,

6 there's a license condition that requires them to

7 maintain some FLEX type capability with respect to the

8 spent fuel pool and (Simultaneous speaking.) we retain

9 that.

10 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Thank you. That's

11 reassuring, thank you very much. (Pause.)

12 MEMBER SUNSERI: My question is not that,

13 it was more procedural. Here we say we're not going

14 to go into closed session because we don't have time.

15 I would suggest that we should check with the members

16 to see if anybody has anything. Charlie had a

17 question that was borderline already and we didn't, so

18 I would ask that question before we decide not to go

19 into closed session.

20 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Anybody want to ask

21 a proprietary question? (Pause.) Thank you. So are

22 you going to ask for public comments or should I?

23 CHAIRMAN REMPE: It's up to you, but one

24 of us should.

25 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: All right. Any

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1 members of the public that want to make a comment?

2 Remember these are comments, not questions, please do

3 so now and if you are calling us on a cell phone, use

4 star six to unmute yourself. (Pause.) That was five

5 seconds. We are done with the subcommittee meeting.

6 Ms. Chairman?

7 CHAIRMAN REMPE: Thank you. So you have

8 said you have a draft letter you're ready to read in.

9 Tammy, are you out there?

10 MS. SKOV: I'm here.

11 CHAIRMAN REMPE: Great. If you'll bring

12 it up. Why don't we take, let's see, I'm having

13 trouble seeing the very small numbers, it's 9:35,

14 right?

15 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Yes.

16 CHAIRMAN REMPE: Yes, but it's not the

17 same. It says 9:37. (Laughter.) I've learned that

18 part. But anyway, let's take about a 15-minute break

19 and come back at 9:50 East Coast time folks, and we'll

20 read in the draft letter. Okay?

21 MEMBER MARCH-LEUBA: Okay.

22 (Whereupon, the above-entitled matter went

23 off the record at 9:37 a.m.)

24

25

NEAL R. GROSS COURT REPORTERS AND TRANSCRIBERS 1716 14th STREET, N.W., SUITE 200 (202) 234-4433 WASHINGTON, D.C. 20009-4309 www.nealrgross.com U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Review of Holtec International Topical Report HI-2200750, Revision 0, Holtec Spent Fuel Pool Heat Up Calculation Methodology Holtecs Method for Determining Fuel Assembly Heat Up During a Theoretical Drain Down Event

Joshua Kaizer, PhD Adam Rau, PhD

Division of Safety Systems Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation

February 3, 2022 Drain Down Methodology Goal

Acceptance Criterion Ensuring that the spent fuel temperature remains below 900 °C for at least 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br /> following a complete drain down of the spent fuel pool.

Methodology Goal Demonstrate that the configuration of the fuel in the spent fuel pool satisfies the acceptance criterion.

2 Review Goal

Review Goal Is Holtecs methodology credible?

(i.e., is there reasonable assurance that the methodology can be used to demonstrate that the acceptance criterion has been satisfied?)

Review Challenge Validation data is very limited.

Demonstrably Conservative Methods 3 Safety Evaluation Outline

SRP 15.0.2

1. Scenario Identification Process
2. Documentation
3. Evaluation Model Assessment 3.1 Model Applicability 3.2 Model Verification 3.3 Model Validation 3.4 Data Applicability 3.5 Uncertainty Quantification 3.6 Quality Assurance
4. Conclusion

A. The NRC staffs Confirmatory Analysis 4

Conclusions:

Conservatisms

The NRC staff believes that the conservatisms of the method, as well as the analysis performed, more than outweigh the uncertainties.

The NRC staff believes that there is reasonable assurance that this method will conservativity or accurately predict peak cladding temperature following spent fuel pool drain down. Uncertainties Conservatisms Reasonable assurance = the balance between uncertainties and conservatisms in this instances is similar to other instances where the staff has also trusted the simulation

5 www.holtec.com

Topical Report: Method for Determining Spent Fuel Assembly Heat Up During a Theoretical Drain Down Event of a Spent Fuel Pool

Holtec Presentation to ACRS Full Committee OPEN Session

February 3, 2022 Purpose of the Topical Report

Provide a methodology to proactively determine the best overall spent fuel pool arrangement to eliminate the risk of a z i rc fire as soon as possible after permanent defueling.

The methodology developed by Holtec can be used to gain a significant and real safety benefit that can be recognized.

www.holtec.com l Pa ge 2 Problem Description

During a theoretical beyond design basis drain down event of a spent fuel pool, the cladding of the fuel assemblies would heat up due to the loss of water cooling in the pool.

If the cladding temperature exceeds a certain value, there is the possibility of an exothermal reaction with the air, possibly resulting in what is commonly called a zirconium fire or zirc fire.

www.holtec.com l Pa ge 3 Acceptance Criteria and Principal Approach

The criteria to evaluate if such a condition may occur, used in previous applications and reviewed and approved by NRC, is that a cladding temperature of 900 °C is not exceeded within 10 hours1.157407e-4 days <br />0.00278 hours <br />1.653439e-5 weeks <br />3.805e-6 months <br /> from the drain-down event.

The principal approach to determine if the condition could occur or not is to perform a transient thermal analysis, and determine the parameters (e. g. cooling time of the fuel assemblies) that needs to be satisfied for the temperature to not exceed the limit within that time.

www.holtec.com l Pa ge 4 Previously used Methodology

The methodology previously used, and reviewed and approved by NRC, is a transient thermal calculation using the following main conser vative assumptions

1. A single assembly is analyzed
2. Highest decay heat of all assemblies in the spent fuel pool is applied to that assembly
3. No lateral heat loss to surrounding assemblies
4. No air flow through the rack and assembly
5. No other axial heat loss through the top and bottom of the spent fuel rack Implementation is fairly simple Can be done with a simple analytical calculational approach, or a simple spreadsheet.

www.holtec.com l Pa ge 5 Methodology proposed in Holtec Topical Report (TR)

Principal difference between the Holtec TR and the previously approved methodology is that the Holtec TR methodology considers limited heat transfer between assemblies This informs the development of thermally optimized loading patterns throughout a spent fuel pool The methodology keeps the conser vative assumption that there is no heat transfer from the assemblies to the outside environment No significant increase in the complexity of calculations

www.holtec.com l Pa ge 6 Summary

A topical report has been submitted that improves on the method to determine if a z i rc fire is possible in a spent fuel pool after the assumed drain-down of the water in the pool.

The method still employs significant conservatisms. Specifically, it still assumes there is no air flow through the rack cell and assemblies after the drain down event.

www.holtec.com l Pa ge 7