ML21078A503

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NRC Regulatory Information Conference (RIC) RIC 2021 Panel Session M5 Slides on Dynamic Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA)
ML21078A503
Person / Time
Issue date: 02/26/2021
From: Gonzales M
NRC/RES/DRA
To:
James Steckel
References
Download: ML21078A503 (6)


Text

Dynamic PRA Study Michelle M. Gonzalez U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research Division of Risk Analysis

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Background===

  • DPRA has the potential to provide additional useful risk insights for operating plant design and operations.

TD TA Cue Diagnosis Action Simple Dynamic Model for Operator Action

Background (cont.)

  • DPRA plays a major role in many university PRA research and development programs, and the U.S. Department of Energy is supporting significant national laboratory work.
  • The NRC supported early DPRA efforts.
  • The NRC is developing staff capabilities to prepare for a changing environment.

Dynamic PRA Study Objectives

  • Prepare NRC staff for the efficient use of DPRA tools.
  • Prepare NRC staff for future uses of PRAs developed using DPRA methods.

Scope

  • Staff development (training)
  • DPRA applications: development of simple models of dynamic processes for use in traditional PRA models Expected Outcome
  • Better prepare staff to (1) oversee, develop, or review DPRAs in support of future licensing activities and (2) maintain awareness of a still-developing, cutting-edge PRA technology.

Dynamic PRA Study Approach

  • Leverage available resources in DPRAThe staff will initially complete a literature review to leverage ongoing DPRA activities to identify methods, approaches, and available DPRA tools.
  • Conduct staff development (training)The staff will participate in training exercises to develop capabilities to use the existing DPRA tools.
  • Develop simple models using available toolsThe staff will develop hands-on modeling experience by using DPRA tools to develop a simple DPRA model.

Deliverables

  • Interim report documenting literature review and DPRA activities
  • Staff training on the use of DPRA tools
  • Final report documenting DPRA model results

Questions?

Contact for more information:

Michelle Gonzalez Michelle.Gonzalez@nrc.gov