ML20206M331
| ML20206M331 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Seabrook  |
| Issue date: | 04/14/1987 |
| From: | Luloff A MASSACHUSETTS, COMMONWEALTH OF, NEW HAMPSHIRE, UNIV. OF, DURHAM, NH |
| To: | |
| Shared Package | |
| ML20206M323 | List: |
| References | |
| OL, NUDOCS 8704200088 | |
| Download: ML20206M331 (45) | |
Text
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d-1 UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION before the ATOMIC SAFETY AND LICENSING BOARD
)
In the Matter of
)
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DOCKET NOS. 50-443-OL PUBLIC SERVICE COMPANY of
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50-444-OL NEW HAMPSHIRE, et al.
)
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OFF-SITE EMERGENCY (Seabrook Station,
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PLANNING ISSUES Units 1 and 2)
)
)
AFFIDAVIT OF ALBERT E.
LULOFF I, Albert E. Luloff, depose and say as follows:
1.
I am Associate Professor of Rural Sociology, and Community Development Program Coordinator in the Department of Resource Economics and Community Development at the University of New Hampshire.
I have been employed at the University of New Hampshire since September, 1977, where my responsibilities are equally divided between teaching and research.
My research component has emphasized the study of the structure and impact of population redistribution and migration on New Hampshire communities.
As part of my research efforts, I have developed and maintained one of the first, and largest, integrated data banks on minor civil divisions in the state, which provides me a case of knowledge from which to do much of my work on community and population trends within New Hampshire.
I have published extensively in the area of migration and its impacts, and a statement of my professional background and qualifications is attached hereto and marked "A."
e704200008 870415 PDR ADOCK 05000443 o
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2.
I have thoroughly examined Volume 6 of the New Hampshire Radiological Smergency Response Plan, focussing my examination on the population figures it contains and the methodology used to obtain those figures, and am able to state, based on my expertise, ongoing research, and specific knowledge of the seventeen New Hampshire communities in the Seabrook EPZ, that very little or no confidence should be placed on the accuracy of many of those figures, especially those which (1) are based-on projections of the population growth rates of towns in the EPZ, (2) pertain to the size of the special needs and other transit dependent population groups, and (3) pertain to the size of the peak transient population.
3.
Population Growth in EPZ Applicants contend that an adequate treatment of growth in the seacoast area is accomplished in the KLD Report, which makes use of "mean annual growth rates over 4 years, for the New Hampshire towns."
(Lieberman, TOR III)
In fact, such treatment may be biased in that it ignores the vital and dynamic changes that have occurred in southeastern New Hampshire, in general, and the seacoast in particular since the mid-1960's.
Rockingham County, which is the home of the seventeen New Hampshire communities in the EPZ, has experienced a greater than national and regional rate of growth since the decade of the 1950's.
For the period 1950-1980, it averaged a decennial rate of growth of 39.3% compared to the national average of 14.4% and regional average of 9.9% for the same time period.
Further, for the most recent decade (1970-1980),
o Rockingham County alone accounted for more than 10% of the total New England population growth (51,400 of 501,000).
Lieberman's (TOH III) claim that a 4-year period is used to generate the annual growth rates is in error since the
" compounded annual rates were calculated using state data for the years 1980 and 1985" (Lieberman, SAPL 34), which, in fact, represents a 6-year time frame.
Further, no justification is given for the use of the 1980 and 1985 dates in the first place, especially since other data for a longer time series is readily available.
For projecting small area populations, the general rule is to make use of as much continuous information as available, unless a disjoint series presents itself, that is, unless a structural shift in population growth occurs.
Thus, regardless of whether the 1980 to 1985 series used by Lieberman is 4 years or 6 years in duration, the selection of the most recent time span for generating average annual rates of growth results in a set of conservative predictions of population since it ignores the long term and uninterrupted dynamic of growth experienced by the seacoast area communities.
Indeed, for eleven of the seventeen communties, the use of the 1980-1985 time frame produces the lowest average annual rate of growth and, therefore, the most conservative estimate of population size for these communities.
For similar reasons, it is not clear why Lieberman would use 1984 office of State Planning estimates of population as the base from which to apply the "most recent annual growth rate for each town" r-e s, !
3 (Lieberman, SAPL 34) in order to project 1986 town populations.
Since he was already in possession of 1985 data, and since 1984 is not a standard year, there appears to be no reason to use it as a baseline for projections.
Such a procedure undermines the logic of creating a 1980-1985' average annual rate.
And, that the final estimates were " confirmed by local sources" (Lieberman, SAPL 34) does not provide any.
measure of validity despite the claim for same found in Applicants Motion for Summary Disposition on SAPL 34.
Validity is cased on an assessment of the degree to which a data item measures what it is designated to measure.
The use of figures, drawn in large part from the local town offices and from a model developed by the Office of State Planning of New Hampshire (which in itself is based, in part, on a disaggregation of state and county growth models to the minor civil division level) does not provide an independent measure of validity.
Essentially, such an assessment is contaminated by the presence of an identity relationship, that is, confirmation is sought for numbers drawn in part from the suppliers of those numbers.
Similarly, the complaint of the Applicants that there is "no current regulatory requirement to project into the future when formulating ETE" (Lieberman, TOH 111) neither vitiates nor addresses the contention of SAPL 31, item 3, which raises the need for data on resident and employee growth over the expected forty-year life span of the plant.
The use of KLD's average annual rate (based on 1980-1985 data) would e
result in an aggregate population of roughly 95,000 in 1990; 103,000 in 1995; and, 112,000 in 2000.
A more realistic, and less conservative (but still not liberal) model, one which uses a fifteen-year time series, 1970-1985, to create the average annual rate of growth would result in estimates of 97,000 in 1990, 107,000 in 1995, and 121,000 in 2000.
The early differences in these models, though quite small, become much larger as one moves further from the point of projection, and in all cases, small differences can have major impacts on several of the seventeen seacoast communities since these communities vary widely in population size, ranging in 1985 from a low of 651 to a high of 26,675.
Thus, marginal increments in average annual rates of growth can cause large numerical increases in population in several of the communities.
By fixing on only the last six years of the time series sequence, as in the work of Lieberman, the average annual rate tends to decrease.
Since steady growth has occurred over.the long term, more net additions of individuals to achieve a constant rate of growth is needed when using a shorter time frame, because the larger the initial population base, the more difficult it is to maintain high average annual rates of growth.
Moreover, the Applicants' claim that the Intervenors (SAPL 31) statement "(t)he area along the coast... 'can be expected to have grown at a rate faster than the country (sic)
~.
wide average' provides no basis of fact other than the intervenor's expectation" is in error since it disputes a
experiential evidence.
Further, there is ancilliary evidence to support the SAPL 31 claim.
For example, regardless of intra-county growth differentials, many of these seventeen towns continue to experience rapid growth, far exceeding national, regional, and state averages.
Indeed, several national planning organizations have targeted this area as one which will continue to experience growth, largely as a result of its valued residential ambience, proximity to large metropolitan centers, and good highway access (especially Routes 95 and 495).
Similarly, data on both traffic counts and housing patterns support the Intervenors' contention (SAPL 31).
According to published New Hampshire Department of Transportation (NHDOT) information, traffic counts at five sites in the area (Routes 1, lA, 501, 95 Toll Plaza, and 95 State border-Mass and NH) have increased by more than 36%
between 1980 and 1986.
For example, counts at the 95 toll booths reveal an increase of 65% in average daily traffic (from 26,100 in 1980 to 43,300 in 1986); an 18% increase on 1A in Seabrook (from 8,500 in 1980 to 10,000 in 1986); a 42% increase on Route 1 in North Hampton (from 11,400 in 1980 to 16,300 in 1986); and a 49% increase on 101 in Stratham (from 13,000 in 1980 to 19,300 in 1986).
Thus, on both the major interstate and state highways and on what is essentially a commercial and shopping route, traffic patterns have grown significantly since 1980.
Such data, in part, reflects the continued increases in population of seacoast area communities.,
Housing patterns in the seacoast area during the same time period also reflect continued growth.
Between 1970 and 1985, the total number of housing units in the seventeen communities increased from 22,300 to 35,000, an increase of more than 50%.
This growth can be decomposed into increases in single family, multi-family, and mobile home units.
Single family units increased from 14,600 to 23,500, multi-family units from 6,600 to 9,900, and mobile homes from 1,000 to 2,700.
This increase was not limited to just the early part of the 1970-1985 period.
Indeed, between 1980 and 1985, over 1,000 multi-family units, 500 mobile home units, and 2,200 single family units were added to the housing stock of this region.
Further, between 1980 and 1987, more than 900 new condominium units have been sold in the Seacoast area.
According to figures compiled by the State of New Hampshire, over 19,000 building permits were issued in 1985 statewide, an increase of over 11,000 permits from 1983.
Many of these permits were issued for construction in the seacoast area, which remains a popular residential choice for immigrants to New Hampshire.
Thus, the Applicants' contention that the Intervenors' statement is not based on factual or empirical evidence is incorrect (Lieberman, SAPL 34).
Further, a report by the Energy Management Department of Public Service Company of New Hampshire (May, 1986) states that
" signs of weakening with regard to New Hampshire's above average performance are nowhere in sight."
According to the report, this performance, which the Energy Management 1
Department laoels "nothing short of robust," points to several factors which have fueled New Hampshire's economy, and the report begins this list of factors with population growth.
It also mentions the state's low unemployment rates and personal-income growth as key contributors to the state's booming economy.
It is important to note that Rockingham County, which contains the seventeen New Hampshire communities in the 10-mile EPZ, has greatly profited from this robust economy.
Numerous firms have relocated, expanded, or developed in this region, and the area continues to enjoy extremely low unemployment rates.
PSNH itself suggests that the state will experience a population growth rate "twice the rate of the region (New England) and nation in the next twenty years."
Since the rational annual average rate of growth is about 1%, then the state should enjoy about a 2% annual average rate, according to PSNH.
The state increase represents an aggregate movement of all ten counties; however, two counties, Rockingham and Hillsborough, accounted for almost 60% of the state's total population growth between 1970 and 1980, and Rockingham County alone accounted for 37% of the state's growth.
Thus, it is clear that Rockingham County's growth rate will far exceed New Hampshire's average annual rate of 2% and is in part a major driving force of that average.
What is further clear is that many of the seacoast communities will be playing important roles in driving the county average.
Thus, Lieberman's use of 1980 to 1985 average annual rates are conservative in that no fewer than 12 of the 17 communities experienced a growth rate -
of less than 2% per year, with 5 experiencing rates less than 1% per year.
It wocid appear that if it is reasonable for PSNH to use forecasts based on a 2% per year population growth rate to forecast energy demand, then it cannot be unreasonable to use the same 2% per year population growth rate to forecast resident population in the seacoast area.
While the differences between Lieberman's estimates and a " flat"2% rate, or a modified average annual rate based on the 1970-1985 time series, will be small in the short time horizon (10-15 years),
these small differences become quite large, all other things being equal, as you near the end of the 40-year expected life span of the Plant.
Thus, KLD"s repeated statement in Volume 6 of the NHRERP and in their responses to several of the Intervenors' contentions that their model for computing ETE's relies on a liberal interpretation is not correct with respect to their work on resident population growth.
Similarly, Lieberman in his response to Town of Hampton III discusses the approach he used in projecting employment figures to 1986.
While he is correct in his limited discussion of the difficulties associated with projecting employment figures, his modelling approacn again differs from that adopted by the Energy Management Department of PSNH in its forecast of energy demand.
In the report by the latter group, nonagricultural employment in the state is forecasted to average about 2.2% between 1985 and 1995 and 1.8 % between 1995 and 2005.
This is a state. average; once again, Rockingham County has enjoyed a better than state average rate of c-b employment growth.
For the years 1980 and 1985 (based on second quarter data for each year), Rockingham County had 3,689 and 5,241 units or industries, and 55,223 and 74,700 employees, respectively, and thus experienced about a 6% average annual rate of growth for industries and a 5.1% average annual rate of growth for employees.
Lieberman's claim that he used "the mean annual growth rate over 4 years, for tne New Hampshire towns" is in error, since his rates were based on the 1980-1985 experience and, in any case, do not reflect the same level of optimism found in the Electric Load Forecast Model of PSNH or in the employment and industry figures developed by the New Hampshire Department of Employment Security.
Finally, additional information on the relatively rapid growtn of the communities in the seacoast area is found in the changing patterns of land use in Rockingham County.
Between 1974 and 1982, the dates of the most recent U.S.
Department of Agriculture aerial photographs of the state which have been digitized and. entered into a geographic information system, significant land use shifts occurred.
The amount of land classified as developed experienced an average annual rate of increase of 6.88%, with most of this land coming from idle land (land recently cut from forest or land formerly in agriculture but left fallow so that the natural process of reforestation occurs), forest land, and agricultural land.
The rates of change to developed land varied across the county as well as among communities in the EPZ.
In 1974, almost 21% of Rockingham County was developed; by 1982 nearly 36% was developed.
Among the seventeen EPZ communities the comparable figures were 29% developed in 1974 and 47% developed in 1982.
Thus, the seacoast region was slightly more developed in 1974 and significantly more developed by 1982 than the county as a whole.
Indeed, seven communities in the EPZ were more than 50%
developed in 1982, with Rye at 59%, Hampton at 60%, and Portsmouth at a 74% developed rate (i.e., developed land at a percentage of total town land area).
These rates further underscore the continued growth of the communities in the EPZ.
4.
Special Needs and Other Transit Dependent Population It is the contention of the Intervenors (TOH IV) that NHRERP Rev. 2 calculates the special needs population of the Town of Hampton based upon a suspect annual survey.
According to Applicants' Motion for Summary Disposition of TOH IV, the asserted base of concern over the annual needs survey is disproved.
The claim for disproval is based on the Affidavit of Richard Strome (TOH IV) where it is state that "an additional 50% of individual bus capacity (except school requirement) has been arranged in order to provide for the effective evacuation."
This response, however, begs the concerns of TOH IV as found in Section C (labelled special needs population).
The contention of TOH IV is that the annual survey conducted by the State of New Hampshire for the Town of Hampton resulted in only a 2% response rate.
No explanation of the survey results or of why a 50% multiplier was used, or of what the final total number of special needs people was is offered in the responses of Strome or the Applicants.
Whether E
e or not enough emergency equipment is available to meet the needs of-the special needs population is simply not accessible from the responses generated by the Applicants.
Sintilarly, KLD bases its trip generation information on a survey of adult heads of households conducted by First Market Research of Boston (Lieberman, SAPL 31).
The Intervenors (SAPL 31) question the survey results on the basis of potential bias.
The question is not answered in Lieberman's response.
Rather, he argues that the " sample of 1,300 responses is extremely robust."
Statistically, robustness refers to a test's sensitivity to distortions, and is particularly difficult to evaluate whenever there are several distortions, or unmet assumptions, that apply simultaneously.
Thus, Lieberman's claim of robustness must be supported with data whicn can argue convincingly that no serious distortions exist.
Such data are not presented.
Instead, Lieberman's claim appears to rest on the size of the sample, not its adequacy.
Methodologically, one cannot use size of sample to validate robustness since the number of people interviewed has little to do with the quality of the interviews or the representativeness of the resultant sample.
The survey used to generate the information was clearly biased in that no apparent efforts at call back were made -- either the head of the household responded or the number was apparently scratched from the list and replaced with one with the last digit of the phone number increased by one unit.
Such procedures are not common in phone survey methodology, primarily because of the great T'.
potential for response bias to be generated.
- Normally, multiple efforts (at least three) at staggered times (for example, weekend day, weekend evening, weekday evening) are used.
Further, no effort was'made to identify whether or not the surveyed sample reflected any of the contextual parameters of the population living in the seacoast.
Thus, the results of the survey are questionable, and whether or not the actions of
-those employed in the EPZ are accurately represented by the survey remains unclear.
The position in SAPL 31 (Item 6) remains unaddressed by Lieberman (in his Affidavit on SAPL 31).
Similar1r, in SAPL 31 a question is raised on the number of people tequiring transit assistance as estimated by KLD.
Lieberman, in response, does not address the question of validity of estimated numbers, as posed in SAPL 31, but rather refers to his argument on validity in response to Item 6 (the First Market Research Survey).
The two estimates are drawn from and speak to two different segments of the EPZ population.
The First Market Research Survey is seriously flawed, and the NHCDA survey, which Lieberman also uses to compare the results of the KLD effort, suffered from extremely low response rates (in Hampton only 2% responded).
Thus, on almost any basis, there is little independent support for the numbers generated by KLD, including the fact that the RAC rebutted KLD's numbers with national car ownership statistics.
It is curious and patently inconsistent that KLD would rebut RAC on the grounds that only " site-specific data are relevant,"
especially, since KLD uses a study in New York State to support -.
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the trip generation data.
Furthermore, that the number of people in the EFI having no vehicles available and, therefore, requiring assistance is adequately addressed tur arbitrarily doubling the KLD count from 2,240 to 4,495 remains unsupported despite the cl.eims of Lieberman, Strome, and the Applicants.
I$Strome'sresponsetoSAPL18,itisarguedthat the correct number of busea.needed to transport all transit dependent segments of each community is available.
He specifically states (Lieberman, SAPL 18) " current counts of school populations and other special facility populations, and the most recent results of the special needs survey, have increased the maximum number required to 515.
This current number of maximum bus requirements does not impact on the suf'ficiency of resources."
Because the evidence.to support Strome's response is not readily accessible and the survey is suspect, I am currently engaged in research which will provide me with a much more reliable basis that that used by ELD for estimating the size of the special needs and transit dependent population within the EPt.
Early indications are that the size of these groups could be twice as large as that found by NHCDA in its survey.
Q)I Moreover, much RLD's basis for estimating need is drawn from data first developed by M. Kaltman which was l
published in February, 1981.
Serious oversights are present in the Kaltman report with respect to the various special facility populations; including schools, hesith support, and child care facilities.
With respect to educatonal facilities, -
only 24 institutions were identified by Kaltman in 1980-81.
A major contribution to-the undercount present in the 1980 Kaltman report is the absence of sites in Brentwood, New Castle, Newfields, and Portsmouth.
Our research in 1987 has identified 39 institutions (public and private) with a total of 12,077 students.
In 1980, the Kaltman report listed 12-day care facilities with 577 total children.
However, according to our research, there are at least 80 licensed day care facilities in 1987, not including church schools (such as Hampton Christian School, which has a church preschool day care with approximately 45 preschoolers and 15 day care) which accounted for 1,828 total children.
Thus, merely accepting the findings of the Kaltman report underestimates the number of facilities (day care plus educational buildings) by a minimum of 83 units and more than 3,000 students.
Despite the fact that student enrollments in public schools have tended to decline in some communities in the region, there are many more facilities which were apparently overlooked by Kaltman in the initial report, and simply not counted by Lieberman in his use some five years later of the same report in calculating special needs population.
Moreover, these numbers do not reflect those day care facilities not licensed by the state in which five or fewer children are cared for in a private home.
Similar problems with the Kaltman report exist in its enumeration of health care facilities in the seacoast region.
Kaltman identified 6 total institutions in 1980 which accounted for 452 beds.
In 1987, we have identified 24 total _
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-I j'
institutions with a total of 1,062 beds.
It is notable that the Kaltman report did not include one of the region's largest, health care facilities, Portsmouth Hospital (now Portsmouth 4
Regional Hospital), and only included those facilities found in i
{
Hampton and Exeter.
Furthermore, Strome's Affidavit in l
response to SAPL 31 states that
'(a)t least annually, the Director of NHODA will
~
direct that a plan review is performed to ensure that the plan reflects current emergency i
preparedness status....
Further, it is stated:
I Annually the Director of NHCDA will certify, by letter to FEMA, compliance with the periodic requirements for the preceeding year.
I am informed that although they were asked during the discovery period, applicants presented no new information on the matter of special needs populations and, therefore, a question must be raised as to whether the duties of the NHODA Director have been appropriately carried out.
That the numbers j
first developed by Kaltman and published in' February of 1981 continue to provide the core information for identifying this population group, despite the fact that the Kaltman numbers are more than 6 years old, suggests that a major undercount of a
needed transportation resources has occurred.
Such gaps in l
l the extant data set also calls into question Item 7 of Strome's I
' Affidavit in response to SAPL 18 wherein he states, "It is my l
opinion that the New Hampshire State and local RERP's identify i
l and provide for the availability of transportation resources i
that simply exceed the capacity required for persons who may need transportation assistance at the time of an emergency,"
i l
(emphasis added).
l
- i t
In addition, Lieberman's suggestion'in his Affidavit in response to SAPL 31 that the Intervenor's contention that there has been "significant growth" in seasonal accommodations in the EPZ over the past 5 years is unsupported in any way is incorrect.
Data exist which documents an increase of over 1,100 condominium units in the Town of Hampton alone between 1980 and 1985, and ancilliary data on traffic counts, aggregate and multi-family housing units, and new campground and hotel / motel bed and breakf ast/ inn units also supports the claim by the Intervenors of significant growth in the seacoast region.
Further, a report by the New Hampshire Office of State Planning, Hampton Beach Chamber of Commerce, Arthur D. Little, Inc., and Kimball Chase Company, published in 1984 and finalized in 1985 states that because of continued growth in population and economic activity in the region, demand for parking - the key to KLD's and Lieberman's estimation procedure for the peak population - will continue to grow at an estimated rate of one to three percent annually.
5.
Transient Population The KLD study attempts to estimate the size of the beach population in the EPZ by interpreting aerial photos of the beaches and their environs taken during periods of high use on summer weekends.
The final estimate given is based on a count of available parking places, multiplied by a factor relating numbers of automobiles to numbers of occupants.
Working together with William Befort, an aerial photo interpreter, I have confirmed that a great many photographs 1
were used in the course of the KLD investigation: a total of about 11,000 color slides, of which all but 1,000 or so were taken in 1979.
All were acquired using unspecialized 35mm camera systems with conventional non-photogrammetric lenses and conventional (non-aerial) films, and were taken for the purposes of this inquiry.
It is difficult at short notice to assess the value of this archive, especially in the absence of coverage maps showing the spatial layout of the photography.
Certainly the number of photographs is adequately large; complete coverage of the strip of EPZ between Interstate Highway 95 and the ocean, at scales large enough to permit counting such cars and parking spaces as may be seen from the air, could be obtained with fewer photos.
Non of the connecting links between the pictorial data and the reported numbers has been provided; in their absence, criticism must go partly by guesswork and any analysis is problematical.
There must have been some sort of data-recording form on which counts of cars or parking spaces in each photograph were compiled.
If these records were available, individual-photo counts might be sampled for verification; as it is, only the gross total for the entire area can be checked, which implies reinterpretation of the entire set.
Nor has sufficient background information been unearthed to permit even this laborious approach.
As far as can be determined from preliminary examination of the
! {
4 1
photographs, coverage of the beach and its environs is discontinuous despite the large number of exposures.
This raises various questions.
Was the intent to obtain complete coverage?
If so, how were the gaps accounted for?
If not, then the study is a sampling study rather than a complete enumeration; yet no information about sampling design or stratification accompanies the photographs.
Without such methodological details, the aerial survey data belongs in the category of irreproducible results.
A disadvantage of the 35mm slide format in aerial photo work is that it is too small to permit annotation at the original scale.
This can raise serious difficulties in any study involving counts.
Wherever two photographs overlap in their coverage, as many of these do, standard practice demands that the interpreter carefully draw a line of separation between the object to be counted on one photo and the objects to be counted on an overlapping photo.
This is easily done on large-format prints or on enlargements made from small negatives; on 35mm slides it is virtually impossible, and no such lines appear on the KLD photography.
Thus, it is difficult to guess how the interpreters avoided double-counting in cases of overlap, or how they knew where there were gaps in coverage.
Were all interpretations transferred to a master map of the area?
If so, it would be at least as valuable to have this map as to have the photographs.
If not, then how was it possible to avoid duplications and omissions between photos?
i Within individual exposures, similar difficulties _-
arise.
Without annotation on the images, an outside analyst can only guess at how the interpreters kept track of their counts of cars or parking spaces.
Perhaps the slides were projected onto some erasable surface, and each item was marked off as it was counted?
Or perhaps not: Absent a complete recount, the photos themselves provide no evidence.
Aside from these factors, which taken together make I
the photographic materials supplied nearly opaque to critical analysis, various other questions arise concerning the sufficiency of this photo data for this kind of inquiry.
It i
should be obvious that many of the actual cars and parking spaces in any such area are sheltered and concealed from aerial observation.
Can these be accounted for?
If so, do they represent a different population, with perhaps a different occupants-per-car ratio, than the autos visible in the open?
Again, nine-tenths of the photography dates from 1979, since which time very substantial developments have taken place in coastal New Hampshire.
Are the comparatively few later photographs sufficient to ensure that data derived from the earlier photos are not obsolete, and what tests have been performed to ascertain that this is so?
William Befort and I are continuing our assessment of these aerial photos, and we hope to have further conclusions ready by the hearings this summer.
Meanwhile, there is additional reason to suspect that KLD's estimates of peak transient and total populations in the EPZ are in error.
For example, KLD relies on the Kaltman report for data on seasonal accommodations.
l The Kaltman report contains the only detailed list of seasonal accommodations, including peak occupancies of the area's camp grounds, hotels, motels, inns, and bed and breakfasts.
Our ongoing verification of this data has revealed numerous omissions.
For example, we have identified six additional campground sites which increase the maximum capacity for this segment of accomm,odations to more than 7,400 (an increase of over 2,000 from the Kaltman report).
We have also identif:.sd 13 new hotels in the Hampton area, not counting f acilities under construction (such as the large Portsmouth I
sheraton) and are in the process of tabulating total capacity for these units.
However, it is clear that the Maltman report
]
undercounted seasonal accommodations in the 1981 report, where approximately 3,.300 rooms in Hampton were identified.
Not i
included in this study were the numerous cottages / bungalows located either in or abutting the Hampton Seasonal Business tone.' This tone is betwee'n Ashworth Avenue and Ocean Boulevard and generally runs from A Street to the Seabrook Bridge, with i
I the heaviest concentration of seasonal residences beginning on G and H Streets and moving ac.:h towards Seabrook.
addition, several streets (such as Atlantic,
, Epping, Dover, and Concord) which abut the state park and run from Ocean Boulevard towards the Beach contain numerous" seasonal residences.
And, many streets running from Ashworth Avenue towards the marsh, including but not limited to Dow, Fellows, Tuttle, tragg, Keefe, Perkins, Johnson, huburn, River, Haverhill, and Mooring, also contain many seasonal residences.
I l
The failure to include these units might account for the wide discrepancy in the number of units / rooms identified in the Kaltman report for Hampton (approximately 3,300) and the estimate of 6,000 in 1987 from the Hampton Chamber of Commerce.
Further, no effort was made to identify or include known special events which would raise peak population estimates of the EPZ.
Such events would include among others, Market Square Day, the Stratham Fair, and the Phillips Exeter Academy commencement exercises.
Applicants Motion for Summary disposition on TOH III and Lieberman's response to SAPL 31 both claim that several data collection methodologies were utilized in an effort to adequately account for both the permanent and transient populations of both Hampton and the EPZ.
These methodologies include the use of beach surveys, on-site parking surveys, traffic counts, large-scale photos of the beach area (Hampton -
taken July 4, 1983), and multiple sets of extension aerial photographs taken of the regions.
Whether the counts generated from the "large-scale photos" were accurate cannot be assessed since they were not produced during discovery (apparently there are three of them, see page E-6, Volume 6, NHRERP).
Since a magnifying glass was used to help. enumerate "... a total of 1,160 persons... on the beach and on the abutting sidewalk near the state facilities," opportunities for miscount of individuals clearly exist.
However, the true key to the estimates of KLD's transient population is based on their utilization of parking -
spaces.
It is argued in Volume 6 of the NHRERP (and in Lieberman's Affidavit on TOH III) that KLD " relied on empirical observation of the number of vehicles which can physically be accommodated within the beach area."
Since the counts alleged to be accurate by Lieberman, and supported by Strome and the Applicant, are the linchpins to the transient population count, this area is one which needs a thorough examination.
I do not have the answers to the assessment of Lieberman's work at this point in my research, but by the hearings this summer, William Befort and I will be in a much better position to evaluate these critical numbers.
Further, since the number of people per car, as established 1.1 the "36 surveys of vehicle occupancy," is a critical factor in Lieberman's response to TOH III's contention that inaccurate accounting has occurred, it is quite surprising that a survey of vehicle occupancy did not occur on August 11, 1985 to coincide with the aerial mission flown on that date, a date KLD claims that the highest vehicle counts were made.
In the absence of ground truth on the day of that mission, we can only hypothesize that the patterning established in the ground vehicle surveys of August 28, 1985, September 1, 1985, July 4, 1986, and July 5, 1986 are an accurate reflection of the peak day load of August 11, 1985.
Such treatment is highly questionable and not standard practice.
Moreover, there were only four days of surveys with multiple times; it is an exaggeration to speak of "36 surveys of vehicle occupancy" when it is 36 different times on these four days that is being referred to.
And, no explanation is
- ^ - - - - ' -
offered as to why the timing of counts on each of these days varies.
Repeated surveys of an area at random times does not establish a reliable estimate of vehicle occupancies.
There is additional information available which addresses increased summer transient traffic flow along the major seacoast arteries and which helps to support the toe III and SAPL 31 and 34 contentions that increased population growth i
has occurred.
For example, the average July-August 1983 daily traffic counts in Stratham on, Route 101 was 22,000 (304 greater than its average January-February daily count), on Route 51 in Exeter it was 18,500 (604 greater than January-February s
average), on Route 1 in North Hampton it was 17,500 (39%
greater than January-february average), on Route 1A in seabrook it wss l'8,450 (2134 greater than the January-February, average),
on Routt 95 at the state border it was 83,00,0 (904 greater than une vanuary-rooruary averages, ano as sne vs soAA moosne it was 62,250 (994 greater than tne January-rebruary sverage).
- Thus, increased traffic continues to be documented in the mid-Winter versus summer comparison.
hh Y)m/j.}
ett E. Luloff vv
, i l
April 14, 1987 STATE OF NEW HAMPSHIRE COUNTl OF ROCKINGing gg, The above-subscribed Albert E. t.uloff appeared before me and made oath that he has read the foregoing affidavit and that the statements set forth therein are true to the best of his knowledge.
tefore me,
\\'
AQ <\\
-N Notary Public My commission expires 10/23/90 l,
ee
- e en e me ee e
S e
e
-~...-------------r-+
- - ~ - * - - - ' - - - ' - ' " - - - ~ - - - - - - - - - ' ' ' ' ' ~ ^ '
ATTACliMENT A RESUME NAME: Albert Elliot Inloff letE ADGGBS: 12 Tanglewood Drive Dover, NK 03820 PH WE:
(603) 742-2822 OFTICE ADGESS: 316 James Hall Departaant of Resource Econtunios and Ctumunity Development Uhiversity of New Maspehire Durham, let 03824 PH NE:
(603) 862-1700 BIRDI: June 22, 1950 MARRIED, three children EDUCATICH:
'Ihe Pennsylvania State University Major Rural Sociology Minor: 'Iheory: Pural-Urban Continuum Degree: Rt. D.
Date November, 1977 Thesis
Title:
Community Adcrtion of Flood Insurance:
A Study of Structural and Interactional Influences North Carolina State University Major: Sociology Minor English Degree: M.S.
Date:
June, 1974
'Ihesis
Title:
Caenunity Differentiation:
A Study of North Carolira n = amities Cornell University Major: Rural Sociology Minors Ctamunication Arts Degree B.S.
Data he, 1971 Areas of Canoontration:
A.
Camannity 'Iheory and Developnent B.
Migration and Social Change C.
Rural Sociology D.
Methods and Statistics
2 POSITICNS AND EXPGIINCE:
Present Position - Associata Professor of Rural Sociology and cr=mmity Dmlopment (University of New Hangshiret
); Coordinator of Camnunity Developnent 7/82 Pivp. s (1979 -
).
Previous Position - Assistant Professor of Ccamunity Developnent (University of New Hangshirst 7/77 - 6/82).
Teaching:
CD 507 - Introduction to Carmunity and Ccamunity Developnent.
This course stresses the principles and methods of ocumunity developnent with emphasis placed on theoretical orientatiora to the study of ccumunity.
CD 508 - Applied community Developnant.
This course provides the student with an opportunity to engage in cxamunity action epiwas through " hands-on" experience (field placement).
Class diew=iora, -
assignments and readings are geared to the practice and utilization of comnunity developnant theory ani research.
CD 628 - Cannunity conflict and consensus.
This course stresses the major theoretical approaches to conflict analysis.
Through actual ocumunity case study raaman:h the students apply these theories in an effort to understand the critical social relationships which are part of planned or anticipated social changes in the comunity.
CD 705 - Planned Change in Nu.-Wlitan Canmunities.
This ocurse focuses on the diewalon and application of ocumunity developnent theory and principles as used in social science research. Emphasis is given to eipirical r=maarch studies of major rural developnant phananana.
RECO 803 - Approach to Basearch.
This course intr *== graduate tudents to the meaning of science and the application of logic in the scientific Method. Dphasis is placed on the principles and technicp s of scientific raamarch, experimental design procedures, organization of investigative work, problem analyses, work plans, and scientific writing.
Pasearch Activities:
NE-149 Iavels of Mortality and Econcale/ Social Structure of Counties in the United States S-297 Ccumunity and Population Trends in New Hanpahlre S-307 Iand-Use and C-.waphic Change in New Hangshire
3 NEC-24 Northeast Rural Sociological Comittee; Secretary 1979-81; 1983-1984; Vice President 1984-1986 PUBLICATICNS:
Books and h u g opha Published:
Rural Pwnlation Crewth in New Enaland.
University Park, PA:
The Northeast Regional Center for kral Development,1986.
(with T. E. Steahr).
The Directory of Rural Develotznant Workars in the Northamat.
Univer-sity Park, PA:
The Northeast Regional Center for Rural Developnant, 1986.
The Structure and Tm-t of WMation Pariiatribution in New Enaland.
University Park, PA: The Northeast Regional Centar for kral Developnent, 1985.
(with T. E. Staahr).
Stratecies for Estimatina the Effects of kral Cmmunity Develev= ant Policies and F-mis.
Under contract to Iowa State Chiversity Press.
(with M. K. Miller and D. E. Voth).
Chaptars in Books and Prwhqs
" Population Growth and Economic Developnent in New Emland." Pp. 71-78 in Jahr, Jchnson, and Wisharley (eds.) New Dimensiers in Rural Policv:
Buildina Uoon our Heritaae, 1986, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, DC; (with G. E. Frick).
"The Cultural C + 4nt of k rality in the U.S.A.:
Structural Stability Over Time." Pages 73-87 in R.C. Bealer, (editor), Rural Sociolocists at Work:
A Festschrift for M. E. John. 1985, Bellefonta, Pennsylvania Grove Press; (with M. K. Miller).
" Interpreting the 1\\1rnaround for Policymakers," in Wolensky and Miller (eds.) PrMinas of the 4th Anrutal Confersnoe on tha *aall_ City add Reaional Ccutinity.
(Fall):
17-26, 1981; (with L. E.
Swanson, Jr.).
" Migration and Its Impacts on the Nott.haast."
Pp. 123-140 in Hugh C. Davis (editor) The PrMinas of the Nortbanet Aaricultural i
Leadership. Assembly, Amherst, MA: Cantar for Environmental Policy Studies; (with T. E. Staahr).
Journal Articles:
" Social Conservatism:
Determinants snd Structural stability over Time." Joumal of kral Sevites 2(Number 1):
9-18, 1986; (with M. K. Miller and L. J. Beaulieu).
4 h-P1izing Age ard Retirement Status:
A Nota." socialenical Iguant 18 (August): 273-278,1985; (with L. E. Swanson, Jr., ard R. H. Warlard).
"Nonnetropolitan Participation in Progrees of the Great Society."
a~ 4 1 matanen n=*=-1v 65 (December):
1092-1103, 1944; (with K. P. Wilkinson ard M. J. Cumasso).
"Icoal Voluntarism in New Hespehirst to, Mty, ard at mat Benefit."
Journal of the F-mity IMv=1- - M "- '4abr 15 (Rauber 2):
17-30, 1984; (with W. H. Chittenden, E. Krias, 5. Weeks, ard L. Brushatt).
" Rural Irdustrialisation:
A Iagit Analysis."
Raral Socicicay 49 (Spring): 67-88,1984; (with W. H. Chittanden).
" Tenure and Satisfaction as Indicatore of Attadament A Note."
Jourrsal of the Noel --"a=vi L imi haul 4= m= scil 11 (Fall): 53-60,1982; (with L. E. Swaneen, Jr., and R. H. Warland).
"Antiurbania and LAMitan Growth:
A Re-evaluation."
Rital Sociolony 47 (Summer):
220-223, 1982; (with T. W. llvento).
"Who is Raral? A Typological Approacts to the Demaination of Rarality."
harel Sociology 46 (Wintar): 600-625,1981; (with M. K. Miller).
" Response Bias in Population surveyst A Reply to Ryan ard Iorens."
Jam.a1 of the r-mity b 2 mm 4*v 12 (Fall):
20-23, 1981; (with P. H. Greenwood and T. W. llvento).
" Respondents, Lw~ ;-.1 3, and Depulation surveye." Journal of the ec mity D eve l-r m t *~*iatv 12 (Fall):
1-11, 1981; (with T. W. 11vento).
" Migration and the Utility of the 085:
A Casparative Note." Review of Public Data Ues 7 (December)t 62-45, 1979.
" Factors Influencing Willingness to Mavet An Desdnation of Horsestre-politan Residents." Bural Sociology 44 (Winter):
719-735, 1979; (with L. E. Swanean, Jr. and R. H. Warland).
" Inadvertent social Theory:
Aggregation and Its Effect on Quemanity Research."
Journal of..the Northeastarn Aaricaaltural Econsstice Qaancil 8 (Spring) 44-47, 1979; (with P. H. Greenwood).
" Participation in the National Flood Insurance Progrunt A Study of Canaanity Activeness." mural sociology 44 (Spring): 137-152, 1979; (with K. P. Wilkinacn).
"socioeconcelle Impacts en Agricultural !and Use Changes in the North-east." Journal of the Northeastern Agricaaltural Rxmnaica Qaancil 7 (Fall) 67-74, 1978; (with D. E. Morris).
I
\\
O O
5 "Is Cammmity Alive and Wall in the Inner <ity? A Ctmunent on Hunter's loss of Community." Wican Sociolcaical Review 42 (October):
827-828, 1977; (with K. P. Wilkinson).
"A Note on Population Size and Ccusamity Differentiation in L.de politan ocumunities."
Socioloav and Social T----e 61 (July):
486-495, 1977; (with C. S. Stokas).
" Historical Interpretations of Developments in American Sociological
'Iheory: A Note." Irdian Journal of Social P--
t:h 14 (December): 194-209, 1973; (with R. P. Mohan).
Agricultural Experiment Station Researt::ht
" Land-Use Change Strafforti County, New Hau 1953-1982.
New Haapahlre Agricultural Experiment Station,pahlre Pammatt:h Report No.
- 1986; (with W. A. Befort, M. Morrone).
" Population Growth and Change in New Hampshire."
New Hangshire Agricultural Experiment Station, Researt:h Report No.107, 1985; (with G. W. Howe and S. G. Hutchins).
"'Ihe Senior Peculation of New Hangshirs." New Hangehire Agricultural Experiment. Station, Researt:h Report No. 104, 1984; (with E. F. Jansen, Jr., N. L. IaRay, and V. N. Parnale).
" Town Goverrunant Volunteers:
'Ihmir Characteristics, Motivations, and Costs to the Cannonity."
New Hangehfra Agricultural Experiment Station, Red Report No.101, 1984; (with W. H. Chittenden, E. Kriss, S. Weeks, L. Brushatt).
"New. Hampshire's Experience with the Current Use Pi.4
, 1974 to 1980."
New Haapahire Agricultu::al Experiment Station, Raaaarch Report No. 99,1983; (with S. D. Smith, E. A. Fountain, P. H. Greenwood, and G. E. Frick).
"An Evaluation of Econcutic Gains of Participants in the Hillsborough County's CEIA Programs."
New Haapahlre Agricultural Experiment Station, Pasaart:h Report No. 95, 1983; (with P. H. Greenwood).
" Industry in New Hampshire:
Changes in the Manufacturing Sector, 1970-1978."
New Hampshire Acricultural ExpJriment Station, Research Report No. 93,1982; (w:,th W. H. Chittanden arti J. P. Marcucci).
"A Hethodological Appraisal of the Follow Up Instrument Used in Evaluating Hillsborough County's CLTA Programs."
New Hampshire Agricultural Experiment Station, Ballatin No. 521, 1982; (with P. H. Greenwood).
6 "He Effectiveness of Wide Lath Spacing in Reducig the Handling of Short Imbaters in New Hagshire's Waters." New Hagshire Agricul-tural Experiment Statica, Researt:h Report No. 92, 1982; (with P. H. Greenwood, M. F. Grace, and the assistance of P. Tilton).
"New Hampshire's Changing Population."
New Hagshire Agricultural Experiment Station, Research Report No. 87, 1980s (with T. W. llvento and G. D. Israel).
" Definitions of Comunity:
An Illustration of Aggregation Bias." New Hagshire Agricultural Experiment Station, Bulletin No. 516, 1980; (with P. H. Greenwood).
" Migration and Its Igacts on the Northeast." New Hagshire Agricul-tural Experiment Station, Bulletin No. 511, 1979; (with T. E. Staahr).
"New Hampshire's Population:
Trends and Characteristics.H New Hagshire Agricultural Experiment Station, Research Report No. 73, 19781 (with K. T. Taylor).
"he older Population of New Hagshirs."
New Hagshiru Agricultural Experiment Station, Basearch Report No. 66, 1978; (with N. L.
IaRay and J. G. ^-*=11).
DockReviews,Newsjournals,andReports:
"New England Econcanic Development: A Pattern of Reindustrialization."
hi==ioned paper for the New England Imadership F@s m, Inc.,
January, 1987.
"We Starr Case, Tenuru, and RSS - A Perspective." Re Rural Socio-logist 6 (JarAlary): 34-38, 1986.
"Where the Surplus Milk is Being Prrrhv=4."
Hoard's Dairvman 130 (September):
1023, 1935; (with G. E. Frick).
" Rural Ctmounity Development: Se Pruliminary Program for the 1985 RSS Meetings." The Rural Sociologist 5 (May):
163-190, 1985.
" Update on the Program for the 1985 Annual MeetiM. "
He Rural Sociologist 5 (Marth):
125-126, 1985.
"On the 1985 RSS Meeting." The Pural Socioloaint 5 (January):
52-53, 1985.
"On Teach 1M Fall '82."
The_ Rural _ Sociologist 3 (July):
278, 1983.
"The Rural Sociological Society A Professional Caricatm."
2hg Rural _ Sociologist 3 (January):
23-27, 1983 (with M. K. Miller).
n.
7 t
" Book ReviW of M F-
- iitV 6.'*1 -
4t A h-
. Dellev, ard i
Ramsard h del." Eural Socialner 44 (summer): 332-334, 1943.
" Book Review of New Bleims in tP. %ml Wi-atimt The pggna-1m*ian Thurend in marmi - la=."
matal socialany 47 (Sanner) 405-400, 1942.
h
" Book Review of e--
mity and " 'imi char = in iam."
3g31
{
sociolony 44 (spring) 157-159, 1981.
"N111% County's GTh Programs:
A Report Prepared for southern i
New Mangehire services."
Title IIB and D Follow-up Evaluation Project; December,1980; (with P. M. Greenwood).
r Invited Paper.
"The Good Causmity A haral sociological Perspec-tive." Neualine 4 (My) 44-48, 1980.
i
" Reply to comments on 'The Good ocmummityt A haral sociological A w tive.'" Neweline 8 (My) 53-56, 1980.
Invited Remarks:
"A Cannant on 'The study of Small Towns in Virginia. '" analL24bD 10 (January-February): 29-30, 1980.
" Book Review of e= 1 Rim rs: r.
=tity 6=1 -
-it the case of W city, em1 ira 1da."
R2ral sociolony 44 (manner):
434-436, t
1979.
" Identifying the Incus for Actient mat Incal Residents say." hall 233B 9 (December): 11-14, 1978.
" Book Review of Socicimiemi Thaa*vt Its t21-1--
Jan and Maior BLdges." maral sociology 43 (Fall) 528-529, 1978.
Citizens concernst
" mat Iccal Residents say."
haral Duvalegment Vol.1,1974; (with J. s. Thcunssm, K. M. Martin and J. P. Madden).
(
Papers Presented "maral Iand Use and Demogreghic Omnge in a Rapidly Urbanizing Environ-f ment."
Paper presented at the 9_'-**ining Agriculture Near cities Conferenos, November,1986i Boston, Massachusetta.
"Contaporary Issues in Northeastern causmities."
Invited presenta-tion at the George D. Aiken Iacture series, University of Vermont, september,1986; harlington, Verwent.
\\
"Envircreantal Variables in hdals of Agriculture," (with M. Fischer).
l Paper presented at the Annual Mastings of haral sociological society, August,1986; salt take City, Utah.
t "Dcamination cf the Ralational structure of causmity Actions Using
{
Q-Analysis," (with C. Massab).
Paper presented at the Anrual Mastinrp of the maral sociological society, August, 1986; salt take Cnty, Utah.
I 1
_______-__.-.__.___._m..__
i I.
8 i
" Major Issues Facing kiral comunities," (with L. E. Bueneen, Jr.).
I Paper presented at the Arunaal Meetings of the haral sociological
)
society, August,1986; salt Iaha city, Utah.
i
" Identifying cueunity Power Actore and structures." Invited presenta-i tion at RTI3 rmadamship, Inc., unekehop M, Mare,1986; state college, Penns1venia.
3 session Presider and Denalist, "5 ural Ommunity studies," Presented at the arumaal meetings of the haral sociological society, August, t
1945; Blacksburg, Virginia.
r
" Agricultural Technology:
concerne for the Future II."
smainar i
presented at the annual meetings of the Rural sociological society, August,1945; Blacksburg, Virginia.
3 i
l session organiser and Participant, " population Redistribution and Migration in New England."
Presented at the anisaal meetings of the haral sociological society, August,1985; atmwg, t
)
"The Deumgraphics of Northern New England."
Invited presentation at Northern New England haral raadership Program, January,1985; sedford, New Haupahire.
i "The Nature Region."
Invited presentation 4.t 1he New Ihgland haral imademhip Program, December,1984i Fairlee, Versent.
"A Common Ianguage in Community Develegment:
Relating Theory to Practice - A Critists." Invited d4=W ocements for presen-j taticut at the annual meetings of the Omeunity Develeguent society j
of Amerios, August,1944; touisville, Muntucky.
1 i
"An Domination of the hara14fttien omntirnas: A Factor Analysis of New
{
Hespehire hanicipalities," (with T. W.11vento). Paper presented at the annual meetings of the hiral sociological r
Society, August, 1983; Immington, Mantucky.
I Hauntable organiser, "The Changing Role and Function of Cceaunity in i
leadern society."
Presented at the annual meetings of the karal sociologi.1a1 society, August, 19831 Imecington, Mantucky.
i "The cultural omycnsnt of harality:
Prevalence, Determinants, and structural stability ovac a Decade of m angs," (with M. R.
3 Miller). Paper presented at the M. E. J&n syngesimi, August, l
1983; University Park, Pennsylvania.
"Voluntarian in New Hampshire Who Volunteers and levy."
paper t
presented at the workshop of the New Erupland Resource, conser=
vation, and Development Project, september,1982; Noterville Valley, New Hespehire.
i 4
I j
l
(
9 section Otairman, "Results of the NES Musbership survey."
Papers presented at the annual meetings of the Rural sociological wi=*y, september,1982; san Francisco, California.
Participant in NE-129 Panel " Improving the DistrMi-t of socio-econcaic Resources in Rural Areast case stnadies (Monroe and lysen, N.H.)"
Paper presented at the armual meetings of the karal Sociological society, September,1982; son Francisco, California.
"Raral Industrialization: A Modal for Policymalears," (with W. H.
Otittanden). Paper presented at the annual meetings of the Rural sociological society, september, 1982; san Francisco, Califamia.
"A Researds Agenda for Pural community and Agriculture:
Implications frian the 2\\1rnaround," (with L. E. swanean, Jr.). Paper presented at the anisaal meetings of the karal sociological society, August, 1981; Guelph, Ontario, canada.
"Caumanity Activiste-Apathists:
A Brief Note," (with R. W. J. saith and A. A. Taranto).
Paper presented at the annual meetings of the Rural Sociological society, August, 1981; Guelph, Ontario, Canada.
"A Critical Evaluation of Beesley and Balyea, Bural-Crban Differences in Queunity structure; and Otristanaan and Taylor, Norestive and situational canyonents of satisfaction with osman Public services." Discussent remarks for " Community studies section," at the annual meetings of the southam sociological society, April, 1981; Imuisville, Mantucky.
" Interpreting the 2\\arnaround for Policyankers," (with L. E. swanson, Jr. ). Paper presented at the 4th Annual Conference on the small City and Reglanal Qamunity, Mardt,1981; stevens Point, Wisconsin.
" Tenure and satisfaction as Indicatore of Attaduesnt: A Ramsessmannt,"
(with L. E. swanson, Jr., and Rest H. Marland).
Paper presented at the anraani meetings of the Rural sociological society, August, 1980; Ithaca, New York.
"Antiurbanism and Nornnetropolitan Growth:
A Reevrluation," (with T. W.11vento).
Paper presented at the anraaal petings of the haral sociological society, August,1980; Ithaca, New York.
"Who le karal? A Typological Appreads to the Enemination of haralism,"
(with M. K. Miller).
Paper presented at the anrnaal meetings of the karal sociological society, August,1980; Ithaca, New York.
Discussant of section "Raral Duvalepeant Desastic Issues" at the annual meetings of the karal sociological society, August,1979; marlington, vermont.
10 Di
-- at of section " Agriculture in R1ral Development" at the annual meetings of the kral Sociological Society, August,1979; R1rlington, Vermont.
"Iha Good Oceumanity and Moral Density: A Perspective." Paper pre-sented at the annual meetings of the Rural Sociological Society, August, 1979; R1rlington Vermont.
" Retirement and Willingness to Move:
A Nota," (with L. E. Swanson, Jr., and R. H. Warland).
Paper presented at the anrsaal meetins of the Northeast Agricultural Econcunics Council, June, 1979; Newark, Delawers.
" Migration and Its Impact on the LJ, plitan Northeast," (with T. E. Staahr). Invited paper prepared for the Northeast Agricul-tural Imadership Assembly, March,1979; Cherry Hill, New Jersey.
"Migraticrt to New Hangshire Preliminary Findings."
Paper prepared l
l for New Hangshire Situation and Trends, Supplement,1579; A Basi's for F.W Development, Cooperative Extensicrt Service, University l
of New Haugehire.
Die-- at of "Explanaties of Social Indicator Differentials," Section 25, at the Rural Sociological Society, August, 1978; San Francisco, California.
" Critical Informatical for Ocuumanity Development Policy Formeulation:
Absentee ownership Considerations," (with B.
E. Lindsay).
Paper presented at the annual meetings of the Ocusaanity Develop-ment Society of America, August,1978; Blacksburg, Virginia.
" Economic opportunities and the Willingness to Move:
The Case of Nonnetropolitan Pennsylvanians," (with L.
E. Swanson and R.
H. Warland).
Paper presented at the annual meetings of the Rural Sociological Society, August, 1978; San Francisco, California.
" Socioeconomic Impacts on Agricultural land Use Changes in the North-east," (with D. E. Morris).
Paper presented at the annual meetings of the Northeast Agricultural Economias Council, June, 1978; Durham, New Haspehire.
"An Exploration of Social Structure of the Luglitan Ocessanity,"
(with K.
S.
Ham).
Paper presented at the annual meetings of the American Sociological Association, Sep**,1977; Chicago, Illinois.
"Ccusannity Structure and Intaraction:
A Synthesized Model of Flood Insurance Adoptars."
Paper presented at the annual meetings of the kral Soc:,ological Society, Septauber,1977; Nadie,ws, Wisconsin.
11 Section Chairman, " Attitudes and Values in Small Omenanities," annual meetings of the Rural Sociological Society, September, 1977; Mediam, Wiscarisin.
t Diam===nt of " Rural values and Consensus," in section:
"Hurality:
Tests of an Idea," at the arriual meetings of the Rural Socio-logical Society, August, 1976; New York, New York.
" County as a Unit of Analysis:
Pennsylvania the case in Point," (with K. P. Wilkineen).
Paper presented at the annual meetings of the Rural Sociological Society, August,.1976; New York, New York.
"A Note on Population Size and Cceanunity Differentiation," (with C. S.
Stokes).
Presented at the annual meetings of the Rural Sociological Society, August, 1975; San Francisco, California.
1 "Results of a Talephone Survey of Citizen Responses Related to Rural I
Development," Indiana University of Pennsylvania, Indiana, Pennsylvania, Nay, 1975.
RESEARW EXPERIEN2 1
Extramural Randing:
l A.E. Luloff, M.K. Miller, Omincipal Investigators; " Industrialization, Ambient Air Pollution, and Death fram Respiratory Diseases in the Northeastern United States."
Amount:
$10,000.00 Agency:
Northeast Regional Center for Rural Development. Time Period: 7/1/86 - 6/30/87 L.A. Ploch, T.E. Steahr, Co-principal Investigators; "Persistencias and Changes in Socioeconomic Characteristics of Selected Northern New England Towns and Causanities."
i Amount:
$12,993.00 Agency:
Northeast Regional Centar for Rural
+
Developeant. Tina Period: 7/1/86 - 6/30/87 A.E. Luloff, Principal Investigator; " Rural People and Places: A Syngesium on Typologies."
Amount:
$15,000.00 Agency:
Northeast Regional Centar for Rural l
Development. Time Period: 1/186 - 12/31/86 l
A.E. Luloff, T.E. Stanhr, omincipal Investigatorm; "'Iha Structure and Inpact of Population Redistribution in New England."
Amount $10,525.00 Agency:
Northeast Regional Centar for Rural l
Developannt. Time Period: 6/1/85 - 4/1/86 A.E. Iuloff, T.E. Steahr, Co-principal Investigators; " Rural Population Growth in New England."
Amount:
$8,016.00 Agency:
Northeast Regional Center for Rual Developeant. Time Period: 9/1/85 - 5/31/86 3
r l
1
12 P.H. Greenwood, A.E. Inloff, Co-principal Investigators; " Title II Fcham Evaluation (CEIA) Project."
Amount: $10,335.00 Agency: FillW County, New Hangehire, Prime Spci us (CEIA). Time Period: 6/15/79 - 3/25/80.
Additional Experience:
Director, "Isvols of Mortality and Econtanic/ Social Structure of Counties in the United States." Regional Research Project (NE-149) funded by the Agricultural Experiment Station, Durhaa, New Hampshire, 10/1/83 9/30/88.
Director, "Ctmounity and Population Trende in New Hangehire." state Station Project (S-297) funded by the Agricultural Experiment Station, Durham, New F=-hire, 10/1/84 - 4/30/88.
Co-Director, "Iand Use and Damagraphic Change in New Hampshire."
State Station Project (S-307) funded by the Agricultural Experiment Staticin, Durham, New Hangehire, 10/1/84 - 9/30/88.
Director, "Inproving the Distribution of Soci-Econtanic Resourone in Rural Areas." Regional Researth Project (NE-129) funded by the Agricultural Experiment Staticrt, Durham, New Hespehire, 10/1/79 - 9/30/83.
Director, "Inpact of In and cut Migration and Population Redistribution in the Northeast."
Regional Researth Project (NE-119) funded by the Agricultural Experiment Staticut, Durham, New Hangehire, 10/1/78 -
9/30/83.
PROFESSICt&L ACnVITIES AND HONCES Sigma Xi Alpha Kappa Delta Ho-Nun-De-Kah -- Cornell College of Agrimiture and Life Sciences Scholastic Mcziorary Member of the American Sociological Association (1974 to 1982); The Southern Sociological h==nenitien (1977 to present); the Omeunity Development Society of America (1978, 1980 to present); the Northeast Agricultural Econcatics Council (1977 to present); the Rural Sociological Society (1974 to present)
Service to Rural Sociological Society:
Membership Ctmunittee, 1979-80; Chairman, 1981-82; Cochalip.cii Iocal Arrangements comunittee, Annual Meetings, Burlington, Vermont, 1979; Member of R.S.S. Council (1981-82,1984-85);
Editorial Referee for Rural Sociolcay (1977 to present); Associata Editor of Rural Sociolcay (1982-1985); Fiw.
Chairman,1985 Meehar of Cczesanity Develogeient Society Journal and Editorial Ocan-mittee, 1983-1986; Ad Hoc Accreditation Committee, 1984-86; Researti Ctmunittee,1984 to present
13 Editorial Referee for Review of Public Data Use; P=n Orcanization_t Community Develocment Society; Journal of the Northeastern Actricultural Ecorveics Council.
Vice-PIssident of Northeast Rural Sociological Ctanittee (Farm Foundation), 1975; Secretary of NEC-24 (Northeast Rural Socio-logical emnittee), 1979-81; 1984-1985; Vice-Chairman 1985-present Secretary, NE-119 (Population Radiatribution in the Northeast, Regional Paama % Group), 1979-81 Secretary, NE-149 (Invals of Mortality and Eocncaic/ Social Structure of Counties in the United States), 1986-88 Visiting Faculty, Department of Agricultural Economics and Rural Sociology, 'Its Pennsylvania State University, Summer,1981 Member of Caputer Advisory Cmmittee to Vice President for Madamic Affairs, University of New Hampshire, 1979-1980; Member of Pad==ic Affairs emnittee, College of Life Science and Agricul-ture, University of New Hampshire (1979-81), Vice Chairman (1979-1980); Member of Community Development Resource Group (Cooperative Extension Service), University of New Hangshire,1980 i
to present; Member of the University of New Hangshire Advisory rmnittee to the University Press of New England,1980-present Member of Executive Ccanittee, Institute of Natural and Envim.Jud.al Resources, University of New Hangshire (1978-1981); Member of Quantitative and Statistical emnittee (1978 to 1981), Chairman (1978-1980); Mamhat of Curriculum Ccamittee, (1979-1981),
Chairman, (1980-1981)
Community DevelW t Pr 4 cuu Coordinator, Institute of Natural and Environmental Resources, Department of Resource Econcaics and Ccamonity Developnent, University of New Hampshire,1979 to Present Co-Advisor of the 1979 UNH Ocean Projects (TECH 697) Drew Memorial Award Winning Research Group "The Socioecancaic Response of Coastal Camunities to the Fisheries Conservaticn and Management Act of 1976" Visiting Associate Professor of Rural Sociolcgy, Northeast Regional Center for Rural Devalq=nt, 'Ihe Pennsylvania State University, January, 1986-M 2 1986 1
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14 REFERENCES S
L.
Dean, Family and Social Sciences, 990SWKT' Brigham Young University, Provo, Utah, 84602 Daryl J. Hobbs, Profmaan", University of M4* " *i, Department of Rural Sociology, 812 Clark Hall, Columbia, 10, 65201 Michaal K. Miller, Asocciate Professor of wrrtity Health and Family Medicine, Centar for Health Policy Researdi, Box J-177, J. Hillis Miller Health Center, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32610
'Ibennan E. Steahr, Professor, University of Cu.Eticut, Department of
%imitural Econmics and Rural Sociology, Storrs, CT 06268 Kenneth P. Wilkinson, Professor, h Pennsylvania State University' Department of Agricultural Econmics and Rural Sociol 2
Weaver B141 ding, University Park, PA 16802 i
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14 REFERDiCES Robert C. Bealer, Professor, The Pennsylvania State University, Department of Agricultural Econmics and Rural Sociology, 206 Weaver milldig, University Park, PA 16802 Walter Freeman, Professor, Division of Cmemnity Development, The Pennsylvania State University, S-203 Human Devel%. Bs41di_ilg, d
University Park, PA 16802 Michael K. Miller, Associate Professor of ('enemity Health and Family Medicine, Centar for Health Policy Research, Box J-177, J. Hillis Miller Health Center, University of Florida, G11nesville, FL 32610 i
Fred E. Schmidt, Associate Professor, University of Veracnt, Department of Sociology, Burlington, VI 05401 Thmas E. Steahr, Professor, University of Cu.4dcut, Department of Agricultural Econmics and Rural Sociology, Storrs, CT 06268 C. Shannon Stokes, Professor, The Pennsylvania State University, Department of Agricultural Econmics and Rural Sociology, 205B Weaver miilding, University Park, PA 16802 Rex H. Warland, Professor, The Pennsylvania State Lhiversity, Depart-ment of Agricultural Ecemics and Rural Sociology, 204A Weaver milldivig, University Park, PA 16802 Kenneth P. Wilkinscn, Professor, The Pennsylvania State University, Department of Agricultural Ecumics and Rural Sociology, 207 Weaver Bs41 ding, University Park, PA 16802 i
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15 CDISULTING ACTIVITIES New England MJnicipal CWitar New Hexico k nicipal Association Ma==ar+nasetts Imague of M2nicipalities Town Governments of Somersworth, NH; Hamden, Cr; Rocky Hill, Cr; East Hartford, CT; Mammar+n2setts Center for Rural Studies State Dcacutive Council of the M, New Hangshire Deerfield Fair Amarv iation, New Hangsnire Hillsborough County, NH, Prima SWaics (CEIA)
University of New Fa % ire Harine Advisory h y North Country Resource Conservation and Development Project, Ir-mated, New Hampshire New Hangshire council of Aging New Hangshire Depas.6.t of Highway Safety University of New Hangshire Ce=tive Extension Servios School Administrative Unit #44, New yire Rockingham County Newspapers Southern New Hangshire Services Hatthew 'Ihornten Health Plan New England Rural rwarship Rwam Rochestar, NH, Office of Planning and Development New Hangshire Business and Indus*q Association
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UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION
)
00LKETED In the Matter of
)
)
PUBLIC SERVICE COMPANY OF NEW
)
D k g tl g(pgfp-443/444-OL
)
(Seabrook Station, Units 1 and 2)
)
)
)
00CKETmc a 01i1VICi.
BRANCH CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE I, Donald S.
Bronstein, hereby certify that on April 15, 1987 I made service of the within document, by mailing copies thereof, postage prepaid, by first class mail, or as indicated by an asterisk, by Federal Express mail, to:
- Helen F. Hoyt, Chairperson
- Gustave A. Linenberger, Jr.
Atomic Safety & Licensing Board Atomic Safety & Licensing Board U.S. Nuciear Regulatory U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Commission East West Towers Building East West Towers Building 4350 East West Highway 4350 East West Highway Third Floor Mailroom Third Floor Mailroom Bethesda, MD 20814 Bethesda, MD 20814
- Dr. Jerry Harbour
- Sherwin E. Turk, Esq.
Atomic Safety & Licensing Board Office of the Executive Legal U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Director Commission U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission East West Towers Building Tenth Floor 4350 East West Highway 7735 Old Georgetown Road Third Floor Mailroom Bethesda, MD 20814 Bethesda, MD 20814
- H.
Joseph Flynn, Esq.
- Stephen E. Merrill Assistant General Counsel Attorney General Office of General Counsel George Dana Bisbee Federal Emergency Management Assistant Attorney General Agency Office of the Attorney General 500 C Street, S.W.
25 Capitol Street Washington, DC 20472 Concord, NH 03301
1
,1
- Docketing and Service Paul A.
Fritzsche, Esq.
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Office of the Public Advocate Commission State House Station 112 Washington, DC.
20555 Augusta, ME 04333 Roberta C.
Pevear Ms. Diana P. Randall State Representative 70 Collins Street Town of Hampton Falls Seabrook, NH 03874 Drinkwater Road Hampton Falls, NH 03844 Atomic Safety & Licensing Robert A. Backus, Esq.
Appeal Board Panel Backus, Meyer & Solomon U.S.
Nuclear Regulatory 116 Lowell Street Commission P.O. Box 516 Washington, DC 20555 Manchester, NH 03106 Atomic Safety & Licensing Jane Doughty Board Panel Seacoast Anti-Pollution League U.S. Nuclear Regulatory 5 Market Street Commission Portsmouth, NH 03801 Washington, DC 20555 Paul McEachern, Esq.
J. P. Nadeau Matthew T.
Brock, Esq.
Board of Selectmen Shaines & McEachern 10 Central Road 25 Maplewood Avenue Rye, NH 03870 P.O.
Box 360 Portsmouth, NH 03801 Ms. Sandra Gavutis, Chairperson Mr. Calvin A.
Canney Board of Selectmen City Manager RFD 1, Box 1154 City Hall Rte. 107 126 Daniel Street E. Kingston, NH 03827 Portsmouth, NH 03801 Senator Gordon J. Humphrey Mr. Angelo Machiros, Chairman U.S.
Senate Board of Selectmen Washington, DC 20510 25 High Road (Attn: Tom Burack)
Newbury, MA 10950 Senator Gordon J. Humphrey Mr. Peter J.
Matthews 1 Eagle Square, Suite 507 Mayor Concord, NH 03301 City Hall (Attn: Herb Boynton)
Newburyport, MA 01950 Mr. Donald E. Chick Mr. William Lord Town Manager Board of Selectmen Town of Exeter Town Hall 10 Front Street Friend Street Exeter, NH 03833 Amesbury, MA 01913 I
Brentwood Board of Selectmen Gary W.
Holmes, Esq.
RFD Dalton Road Holmes & Ellis Brentwood, NH 03833 47 Winnacunnet Road Hampton, NH 03841 Philip Ahrens, Esq.
Diane Curran, Esq.
Assistant Attorney General Harmon & Weiss Department of the Attorney Suite 430 General 2001 S Street, N.W.
State House Station #6 Washington, DC 20009 Augusta, ME 04333
- Thomas G. Dignan, Esq.
Richard A. Hampe, Esq.
R.K. Gad III, Esq.
Hampe & McNicholas Ropes & Gray 35 Pleasant Street 225 Franklin Street Concord, NH 03301 Boston, MA 02110 Beverly Hollingworth Edward A. Thomas 209 Winnacunnet Road Federal Emergency Management Hampton, NH 03842 Agency 442 J.W. McCormack (POCH)
Boston, MA 02109 William Armstrong Michael Santosuosso, Chairman Civil Defense Director Board of Selectmen Town of Exeter Jewell Street, RFD 2 10 Front Street South Hampton, NH 03827 Exeter, NH 03833 Robert Carrigg, Chairman Mrs. Anne E. Goodman, Chairperson Board of Selectmen Board of Selectmen Town Office 13-15 Newmarket Road Atlantic Avenue Durham, NH 03824 North Hampton, NH 03862 Allen Lampert Sheldon J. Wolfe, Chairperson Civil Defense Director Atomic Safety and Licensing Town of Brentwood Board Panel 20 Franklin Street U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Exeter, NH 03833 Washington, DC 20555 Dr. Emmeth A. Luebke charles P. Graham, Esq.
Atomic Safety & Licensing Board McKay, Murphy & Graham U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Old Post Office Square Commission 100 Main Street East West Towers Building Amesbury, MA 01913 4350 East West Highway Third Floor Mailroom Third Floor Mailroom Bethesda, MD 20814 Bethesda, MD 20814 Judith H.
Mizner, Esq.
Silvergate, Gertner, Baker, Fine, Good & Mizner l
88 Broad Street Boston, MA 02110 i
6:
1)
Rep. Edward J.
Markey, Chairman U.S.
House of Representatives Subcommittee on Energy Conservation and Power Room H2-316 House office Building Annex No. 2 Washington, DC 20515 Attn:
Linda Correia
-M
- M&
1 Donald S.
Bronstein Assistant Attorney General Environmental Protection Division Dated:
April 15, 1987 a
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