ML20156A138

From kanterella
Jump to navigation Jump to search
Final ASP Analysis - Pilgrim (LER 293-86-027)
ML20156A138
Person / Time
Site: Pilgrim
Issue date: 06/04/2020
From: Christopher Hunter
NRC/RES/DRA/PRB
To:
Littlejohn J (301) 415-0428
References
LER 1986-027-00
Download: ML20156A138 (5)


Text

LER No.:

Event

Description:

Date of Event:

Plant:

PRECURSOR DESCRIPTION SHEET 293/86-027 LOOP occurs due to winter storm November 19, 1986 Pilgrim 1 EVENT DESCRIPTION Sequence While the reactor was shut down for refueling, an arcing of the high-voltage lines due to locally heavy ice and snow occurred at 0819 h during a severe winter storm.

A loss of offsite power occurred when both transmission lines tripped off due to near-simultaneously detected faults.

All safety systems responded as designed.

Offsite power was restored at 1015 h when the two lines were reenergized.

By 1128 h the switchyard was restored to service.

Corrective Action An inspection revealed no damage to any system.

Plant/Event Data Systems Involved:

Electrical Components and Failure Modes Involved:

Offsite power -

failed in operation Component Unavailability Duration:

NA Plant Operating Mode:

6 (0% power)

Discovery Method:

Operational Reactor Age:

14.4 years Plant Type:

BWR Comments Given the circumstances, this event could have occurred at full power and is analyzed on this basis.

Event Identifier:

293/86-027 D-87

MODELING CONSIDERATIONS AND DECISIONS Initiators Modeled and Initiator Nonrecovery Estimate LOOP 0.12 Backup power source available Branches Impacted and Branch Nonrecovery Estimate None Plant Models Utilized BWR plant Class C Event Identifier:

293/86-027 D-88

CONDITIONAL CORE DAMAGE PROBABILITY CALCULATIONS Event Identifier:

293/86-027 Event

Description:

LOOP Due to Winter Storm Event Date:

11/19/86 Plant:

Pilgrim I INITIATING EVENT NON-RECOVERABLE INITIATING EVENT PROBABILITIES LOOP 1.2E-01 SEQUENCE CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY SUMS End State/Initiator Probability CV LOOP 3.3E-08 Total 3.3E-08 CD LOOP 7.7E-06 Total 7.7E-06 ATWS LOOP 2.2E-06 Total 2.2E-06 DOMINANT SEQUENCES End State:

CV Conditional Probability:

3.2E-08 226 LOOP -EMERG.POWER SCRAM -SLC.OR.RODS HPCI RCIC/TRANS.OR.LOOP -SRV.ADS -LPCS,-RHR(SDC)

End State:

CD Conditional Probability:

5.6E-06 201 LOOP -EMERG.POWER -SCRAM SRV.CHALL/LOOP.-SCRAM -SRV.CLOSE -HPCI RHR(SDC)

RHR(SPCOOL)/-

SLPCI.RHR(SDC)

C.I.AND.V/RHR(SDC).RHR(SPCOOL)

End State:

ATWS Conditional Probability:

2.1E-06 Event Identifier: 293/86-027 D,-89

240 LOOP -EMERG.POWER SCRAM SLC.OR.ROOS SEQUENCE CONDITIONAL PROBABILITIES Sequence End State Prob N Rec**

201 LOOP -EMERS.POWER -SCRAM SRV.CHALL/LOOP.-SCRAM -SRV.CLOSE -HP CI RHR(SDC)

RHR(SPCOOL)/-LPCI.RHR(SDC)

C.I.AND.V/RHR(SD C).RHR(SPCOOL) 208 LOOP -EMERG.POWER

-SCRAM SRV.CHALL/LOOP.-SCRAM -SRV.CLOSE HP CI RCIC/TRANS.OR.LOOP CRD SRV.ADS 215 LOOP -EMERG.POWER

-SCRAM SRV.CHALL/LOOP.-SCRAM SRV.CLOSE HP CI RCIC/LOCA SRV.ADS 226 LOOP -EMERG.POWER SCRAM -SLC.OR.RODS HPCI RCIC/TRANS.OR.LOO P -SRV.ADS -LPCS -RHR(SDC) 240 LOOP -EMERG.POWER SCRAM SLC.OR.RODS 243 LOOP EMERG.POWER -SCRAM SRV.CHALL/LOOP.-SCRAM -SRV.CLOSE HP CI RCIC/TRANS.OR.LOOP 250 LOOP EMERG.POWER SCRAM CD CD CD CV 5.6E-06

  • 1.4E-02 2.1E-07 4.2E-02 1.4E-06 6.OE-02 3.2E-08
  • 5.8E-02 2.IE-06
  • 1.2E-01 2.3E-07 4.7E-02 9.6E-08 9.6E-02 ATWS CD ATWS
  • dominant sequence for end state
    • non-recovery credit for edited case SEQUENCE MODEL:

BRANCH MODEL:

PROBABILITY FILE:

c:\\aspknewmodel\\bwrctree.cmp c:\\asp\\newmodel\\pilgrim.txt c:\\asp\\newmodel\\bwrcc.pro No Recovery Limit BRANCH FREQUENCIES/PROBABILITIES Branch System Non-Recov Opr Fail TRANS LOOP Branch Model:

INITOR Initiator Freq:

LOCA SCRAM SLC.OR.RODS PCS/TRANS PCS/LOCA SRV.CHALL/TRANS.-SCRAM SRV.CHALL/TRANS.SCRAM SRV.CHALL/LOOP.-SCRAM SRV.CHALL/LOOP.SCRAM SRV.CLOSE EMERG.POWER Event Identifier: 293/86-027 8.6E-04 1.7E-05 > 1.7E-05 1.7E-05 3.3E-06 3.5E-04 1.OE-02 I.7E-01 1.OE+00 I.OE+00 1.0E+00 I.OE+00 1.OE+00 1.3E-02 2.9E-03 1.OE+00 3.2E-01 > 1.2E-01 5.OE-01 1.0E+00 1.0E+00 1.0E+00 1.0E+00 1.0E+00 1.0E+O0 1.0E+00 1.0E+00 1.0E+00 8.OE-01 4.OE-02 D-90

FW/PCS.TRANS FW/PCS.LOCA HPCI RCIC/TkANS.OR.LOOP RCIC/LOCA CRD SRV.ADS COND/FW.PCS LPCS LPCI(RHR)/LPCS RHRSW/LPCS.LPCI.TRANS RHRSW/LPCS.LPCI.LOOP RHRSW/LPCS.LPCi.LOCA RNR (SDC)

RHR (SDC)/-LPCI RHR (SDC) /LPCI RHR (SPCOOL)/-LPCI.RHR (SDC)

RHR (SPCOOL)/LPCI.RHR(SDC)

C.I.AND.V/RHR(SDC).RHR(SPCOOL)

  • branch model file
    • forced Minarick 02-24-1988 12:08:17 Event Identifier: 293/86-027 2

.9E-01 4.E-02 2

.9E-02 6

.OE-02 1.OE+00 1

.OE-02 3.71-03 1

.0OE+00 3

.0E-03 1.0E-03 5.OE-01 S.0E-01 5.0E-01

2.

1E-02 2

.OE-02 1.OE+00 2

.OE-02 5.2E-01 1

.0E+00 3.4E-0 I M.E-01 7.6E-01 7.OE-01 I.OE+00 1

.OE+00 7.1E-01 3.E-01 3

.E-01

.7.1E-01 I.OE+00 1

.0E+00 1

.0E+00 M.E-01 3

.E-01 1

.0E+00 I.OE+00 1

.OE+00 3

.E-01 4.OE-02 4.0E-02 4.0E-02 4.0E-02 4.0E-02 D-91