ML20155D741
| ML20155D741 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Seabrook  |
| Issue date: | 06/02/1988 |
| From: | Mootz E AFFILIATION NOT ASSIGNED |
| To: | NRC OFFICE OF THE SECRETARY (SECY) |
| References | |
| FRN-53FR16435, RULE-PR-50 53FR16435-00317, 53FR16435-317, NUDOCS 8806150400 | |
| Download: ML20155D741 (2) | |
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REVIEW & OUTLOOK t
Lights Out Politicians - prominent among that basis no new rupply is needed them Mario Cuomo and Michael Du-on a nadonally averaged basis before
. kaki,-have managed to beach two IpM.
big East-Coast nuclear power proj-But as Mr. Siegel points out, elec-ects, Shoreham and Seabrook. New tric sales last year actually grew by '
York State and long Island IJghting 4.5% from the year before, about dou-Co. agreed last week to close Shore-ble NERC and DOE estimates. "And ham. The plant cost 35.3 billion to for the first quarter of 19S3," he said build, but it will never illuminate a in a recen' report, "electric sales single light bulb. "Shoreham has to grew 7.4% vs. a DOE /EIA fore-die, Shoreham will. die," Governor cast."
Cuomo the nulr 47 i proclainwd.
Mr. Siegel thinks it's reasonable to Citizens who (-
'H would have expect electricity growth averaging benehted from :
- 'ts now seem about 4% in the years just ahead. But hkely to be awr '
honor of pay-projected additions to supply are orJy ing higher taxt, % Jtility rates for 43,000 megawatt:. Moreover, that in-nothing. But the& !s more fun com-cludes both Seabrook and Shoreham.
ing. Those same ratepayers and tax. Unlike the presumably "dead" Shore-payers also can look forward to power ham plant, Seabrook may still operate shortages this summer.
even though its principal owner, Pub-John Siegel, nee president for lic Service Cn af New Hampshire, technical programs for an industry was forced k, Moter 11 by the group called the U.S. Council for En-roadblocks se % tv )ukakt e al.
ergy Awareness, predicts brownouts The capach),
.1on inclu,as as over extersive parts of the Northeast well 8,000 megawatts of fossil fueled if temperatures dse to levels that capacity not yet under construction.
bring about maximum use of air con-Coal plants also could face delays as d!tioning. The problem will be more a result of continuing uncertatnties general than the limited difficuldes about what environmental require-expenenced in New England last ments utillnes will have to meet, year.
The upshot of all this is that Mr.
Because the electrical utility indus-Siegel figures that the nation as a try developed a substantial surplus of whole, on average, will lose its 15%
capacity at the beginning of this dec-safety margin in electrical generating ade, polluelans have played the no-capacity only three years frem now.
nukes game with blissful unenneern The Eastern seaboard will lose it even over the threat of shortages. But such sooner, and quite soon indeed if Sea-folhes usually bring a day of reckon-brook is not allowed to operate and ag. This one is no excepuon. Now colorful behens take over the Shore, inose same polidelans can look for-ham facility, ward to prospects that the Northeast The political blockage of new gen-stl be a less attractive region for in-erating capacity would have been dustrial development because of un-more excusable had there been legiti-certain prospects for power.
mate reasons for doing so. But the so-The two governors reckoned with-called "safety" issue has been a red out several factors. First, Reagano-berring from the beginning. There mies has produced a far more sus-hasn't been a nuclear radiation fatal-tained and vigorous economic recov-ity in the U.S. In 30 years. Even the ery than they hetgtmed, pardcularly Chernobyl fiasco, brought about by an in the Northeast.ammmad U.S. manu-incredibly unsafe Soviet design, killed facturing ladestry 'has received a only 31 people, far fewer than will die
- bcort from the softer dollar and rapid this year la the U.S. from coalindus-
' modernization
- programs, which try accidents. Other nations-France, means that electricity usage relative South Korea, Japan, Britain-are to GNP growth is substantially higher pressing ahead with nuclear power than projected. Energy intensive development with mone of the political basic industries, such as steel, have paralysis that has occurred in the enjoyed a comeback.
U.S.
Through not taking sufficient ac-The U.S., for its part, can look for-count of this resurgence, the Depart-ward to browmouts and, possibly, re-ment of Energy's Energy Information tarded industrial development. Maybe Administration (DGE/EIAI and Mike Dukakis and Mario Cuomo will North American Electric Reilability be able to explain all this away if the Council (NERCI consistently have hghts start flickering in July or Au-been underestimating growth of elec-gust. But as a corollary to the maxim tricity usage. NERC forecasts elee-in econornics, "There's no free tricity demand growth averagtng 2.1% lunch," maybe we should add,"There a year between 1967 and 19% and on are no free rides in politics."