ML20078L563
| ML20078L563 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Saint Lucie, Turkey Point  |
| Issue date: | 08/30/1988 |
| From: | Bernreuter D LAWRENCE LIVERMORE NATIONAL LABORATORY |
| To: | Giesekoch G Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation |
| Shared Package | |
| ML20078L539 | List: |
| References | |
| FOIA-93-473 NUDOCS 9411300266 | |
| Download: ML20078L563 (127) | |
Text
.
d Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory A
NUCLEAR SYSTEMS SAFETY PROGRAM August 30,1988 EG88-68 Mr. Gus Giese-Koch, Geophysicist Mail Stop PWFN-8D22 Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation Washington, D.C. 20555
Subject:
Letter Report Transmitting the Hazard Curves for all the Sites when only G-Experts' 1-4 Models are used.
Dear Gus:
At your request we have developed hazard curves for all of the sites based only on G-Experts 1-4 ground motion models. For the twelve sites which had some structures founded on rock and some on shallow soil we developed a set of curves applicable for the structures founded rock and a set applicable to the structures founded on shallow soil in addition for each of the ten test sites we developed the table of zonal contribution and plots giving the contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from the earthquakes in four magnitude ranges.
In Section 2.3 of Vol. VI we provided a discussion of the sensitivity of the results to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G-Experts 5's ground motion model. The purpose of the discussion here is to supplement that discussion.
In Vol. VI we noted that there were four bas'.c categories for sites:
(1) Rock sites generally located in a region of relatively low seismic activity and located 200 - 600 km. from a zone such as the New Madrid zone.
(2) Rock sites where the hazard is primarily from nearby zones typically sites located in the northeast.
(3) Similar to (1) but a soil site.
(4) Similar to (2) but a soil site.
We showed that the largest impact of including /noninclusion of G-Expert 5's model is for the sites that fallinto category 1. The arithmetic mean and 85th percentiles are changed the most. The next most sensitive category is category 2. The sensitivity of the different estimators to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G Expert 5's ground motion is shown in Fig.1. In Fig.1 we plot the ratio of the probability of exceeding a PGA of 0.3g for the case when the results are based on using all 5-G-Experts input to the case when only G-Experts l 1-4 models are used for the ten test sites. The ratio of the 85th peicentiles is plotted as a "O", the ratio of the arithmetic means is plotted as a "x", and the ratio of the medians is plotted by the line. The correspondence between site name and number is given in Table 1.
l 9411300266 931122 PDR FOIA f BURFORD93-473 PDR Anr~stf>vvv w vrmnha * ! Vuevvvnf DVnm o DO Row POR l evmcre Counma 94550 e TeWohnne M15)422^100 e Twv 910-36 8330 UCI L L (WR
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i Site numbers 4,5 and 8 are soil sites and have relatively small variations in the ratios of the 85th percentiles and arithmetic means. The rest are rock sites. Site numbers 3 and 6 (Braidwood and Wolf Creek) with the largest variations in the ratios of the 85th percentiles I and arithmetic means fall into category (1) mentioned above. Site numbers 2,7, and 10 l (Shearon Harris, Watts Bar and Maine Yankee) fall somewhere between categories (1) and !
(2). Although the Watts Bar site is influenced by both New Madrid and Charleston, the local l zones are very important for the Watts Bar site. Thus, the Watts Bar site actually falls into !
category 2 with, interestingly, the smallest variation in the ratios of the 85th percentiles and arithmetic means for the rock sites. Finally site numbers 1, and 9 (Umerick and Millstone) which fall into category 2, and, as expected, have relatively small variations in ,
the ratios of the 85th percentiles and arithmetic means.
It is interesting to note from Fig.1 that although there are large variations in the ratios of the arithmetic means and 85th percentiles there is relatively little variation in the ratio of the medians regardless of the category the site falls into.
In Figs. 2,3 and 4 we plot, in a similar manner as in Fig.1, the ratios of exceeding the NUREG-0098 spectrum anchored at 0.3g at Shz,2.5hz and 1hz respectively. The same basic conclusions hold, but we see a wider variation in the ratio of the medians. We see from Fig. 4 that at the Wolf Creek site there is a very wide variation in the 85th percentile ratio.
It should be noted that if the 10,000 year return period CPUHS at the Wolf Creek Site for the case when only G-Experts 1-4 are used are compared to the case when all five G-Experts are used we do not see the large difference at 1Hz as indicated from Fig. 4 for the Wolf Creek site. This is because the retum period of the IHz value of the NUREG-0098 spectrum anchored at 0.3g is in the neighborhood of 50 million years. At these extremely low probability of exceedances odd things can happen. At return periods in the neighborhood of 10,000 years the behavior is as expected. For example, at the SSE level the ratio of the 85th percentiles at 1Hz is only 3.64.
In Figs. 5,6 and 7 we plot for all of the sites the ratio of the probability of the PGA exceeding 0.3gs (Fig. 5) or the ratio of the probability of exceeding the NUREG 0098 spectrum anchored at 0.3g at 2.5hz (Fig. 6) and 1.0Hz (Fig. 7) of the median (curve), 85th percentile (plot symbol "0"), and the arithmetic mean (plot symbol "x") estimates for the case when all 5 G-Experts models are used and the case when only G Experts 1-4 ground motion models are used. The correspondence between site numbers and names is given in Table 3. We see that the results for the ten sites, shown in Figs.1-4, reasonably mirrors the behavior for all of the sites.
In Fig. 8 we present the same results as in Fig. 5 except we only include the soil sites. The correspondence between site numbers and names is given in Table 3. We see by comparing Fig. 8 to Fig. 5 that at soll sites the sensitivity of all three estimates (median, 85th percentile, and arithmetic mean) to the inclusion /non. inclusion of G-Experts 5's model is about the same and is relatively independent of the category defined earlier the site falls into. At rock sites this is not the case. There is a wide variation in the sensitivity of the various estimators to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G Experts 5's model at rock sites as is shown in Fig. 9. In Fig. 9 we plot the same parameters as in Fig. 5 but only for rock sites. The correspondence between site numbers and names is given in Table 4.
We see from Fig. 9 and Table 4 that the most sensitivity to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G-Experts 5 model are for the sites falling into category (1) discussed earlier and the less sensitive for the sites falling into category 2.
2
' l j
, l To better understand the sensitivity of which zones contribute most to the BEHC for PGA to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G-Experts 5's model we recomouted the zonal contribution tables, Tables 5.1 to 5.10, for the ten test using only G-Experts' 14 models.
In addition we all provide plots, in Figs.10.1 to 10.10, of the contribution to the BEHC from only earthquakes in the four ranges:
3.75 s mb < 5.0 5.0 s mb < 5.75 5.75 s mb < 6.5 6.5 s mb Table 6 gives the location (Volume number and table and plot numbers) of the zonal contribution tables and magnitude contribution plots for the case when all the G Expert's models are used.
If the appropriate comparisons listed in Table 6 are made one sees, in general, for the case when only G-Experts' 1-4 models are used that the local zones are more important than for the case when all five G-Experts' models are used. The biggest change is for sites that fall into. Category 1. We also see that the contribution from the earthquakes larger than mb = 6.5 becomes less important. The sites which fall into Category 4, mentioned above,'
are least sensitive to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G-Expert 5's model. Sites that fall into Category 1 are most sensitive. Thus, for Vogtle site if we compare Fig.10.8 to Fig 2.16.4 of Vol. III we see that the curve for bin 4, contribution of earthquakes greater than 6.5, is only slightly reduced, whereas for the Braidwood Site we see by comparing Fig.10.3 to Fig.
2.3.4 of Vol. IV we see very significant changes.
In general at rock sites, we see significant changes in the contrbution to the BEHC for PGA from earthquakes greater than 6.5. Soil sites that fallinto Category 3 are also significantly affected. However, the zonal contribution tables for sites that fall into Categories 2 and 4 generally do not show significant changes, because the local zones were already dominant.
Overall we can conclude the following relative to the sensitivity of the results to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G-Experts 5's model:
. Most importantly, the impact on the median CPHC is more or less constant. For PGA at 0.3g level the probability of exceedance is about a factor of 1.4 to 2 higher if G-Expert 5's model is included.
- For most soil sites (see Fig. 8) the sensitivity of the arithmetic mean and the 85th percentile estimator to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G-Expert 5's model is about the same as for the median.
- For the rock sites that fallinto Category 1 the arithmetic means and 85th' percentile estimates are very sensitive to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G-Experts 5's model.
. Generally, for a given ground motion level the resultant probability of exceedance for the case when all five G-Experts are used is higher than the case 3
a s
when only G-Experts' 1-4 models are used. However, at a few soil sites, interestingly, the arithmetic mean is higher for the case when G-Expert 5's model is not included than for the case when G-Expert 5's model is included.
. The plots giving the contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within four magnitude ranges are very sensitive to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G Expert 5's model. The only exception are those sites which fall into Category 4.
- The zonal contribution tables are somewhat less sensitive to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G-Expert 5's model than the magnitude contribution information.
The tables, for sites that fall into categories 2 and 4 do, not significantly change.
What is the bottom line? In our view the answer depends upon the estimator being used. If the median is being used then, for the reasons given Section 2 3 of Vol. VI, we argue that --
imperfect as it is--G-Expert 5's model should be included. it however, the arithmetic mean estimator must be used then it would be temping to drop G-Expert 5's model. However, given our arguments for using G-Experts 5's model then we can not arbitrarily drop G-Expert 5 if we are going to use the arithmetic mean. The arithmetic mean is of use'just because it is influenced by high outliers, and thus to some extent models the uncertainty. I asked Dick Monsing about dropping the top and bottom outilers and then recomputing the arithmetic mean. He did not think that it is justified because we do not have a random sample, but a sample of opinions from carefully selected group of experts. Thus Dick argues that if you insist on using the arithmetic mean, and if you agree with our argument that given the imperfect nature of all of the ground motion models and our lack of data (other than intensity data) from large EUS Earthquakes we should not drop G-Expert 5's model, then you have to live with the large values that sometimes results from the uncertainties or you need some alternative approach (see below) to eliminate high outliers.
Of course, your (NRC's) collective judgement relative to G-Experts 5's model can be different from our judgement. Then you could simply use the results transmitted with this letter report as the basis for your judgement.
Alternatively, you might ask how would we (Jean Savy, Dick Mensing and Don Bernreuter) reach our decision based on using the arithmetic mean? We would recommend using the arithmetic means as it is initially. If, based on all of the data that can be used to reach your decision, it is determined that a site is a outlier (and primarity due to the arithmetic mean) then we would recommend that rather than dropping G-Expert 5's model completely that the contribution to the hazard from each S and G Expert pair be examined to determine which combinations are dominating the arithmetic mean. These combinations should be examined as it is possible in the simulation process combinatic.is of parameters are chosen which lead to results that make no sense. These values could be dropped. It might also require that we would need to ask one or two S Experts to carefully reconsider the parameters they gave ut for some zones and in particular their bounds for the uncertainty.
Note that we attempted to OC the input from each S-Expert by comparing the data to their model, the seismicity for all of the zones. However, in some cases there was so little data for given zones that such comparisons were meaningless. In some cases the bounds for the uncertainty seemed excessively large. We pointed this out to our S-Experts and asked them to reconefer their values. This helped but did not make the concern go away. At any rate thre: ,h such a process we would either have a basis to drop some simulations (or better yet change some parameters and recompute the results) which would result in a better estimate of the arithmetic mean hazard at the site. Or if the S-Experts still agreed with their 4
4 original input then you would be much more comfortable in saying that the site indeed was an outlier.
Granted, our alternative is expensive and time consuming. However, it would only need to be applied at a few sites as a last resort.
Directly attached to this letter are the figures and tables referred to in this letter. After some thought we determined the best way to transmit the results for the 69 sites using only G-Experts' 1-4 models would be to directly send the computer generated plots as that way you don't have to worry about the distortion introduced by copying the figures. To keep the data together for each site, which greatly simplifies the storage and handling tasks, we have left the sheets attached together. Each site is identified on the cover sheet by a site identification number. We have provided a sheet giving the correspondence between site name and number. In addition the site name is in each plot. Each plot has sufficient title to allow you to identify what is in the plot.
I hope this letter addresses your needs. If you have any further question do not hesitate to call.
Sincerely,
_-v r
Don L Bemreuter, Group Leader Engineering Geoscience Group i
I i
l l
5
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b NOTE: BATCH I SITES APE IN VOL. II EATCH : SITES ARE IN VOL. III ^
SATCH 3 SITES APE Ill VOL. IV SATCH 4 SITES APE IN VOL. '1 SATCH 5 EITES A:E IN VOL. .' I I I batch site plot median vartance erath, mean ,
t 16. id. [
l 1 1 lamerick .4575E+01 .6111E+00 .1725E-03 I 2 : shearon harras .4925E+0! .5524E+00 .5592E-04 3 3 3 braidwood .5038E+01 4255E+00 .3848E-04 4 4 4 la crosse .4843E+01 .7671E+00 .1772E-03 4 5 5 etver bend .5387E+01 .1030E+01 .ll43E-03 4 4 6 wolf creek .5321E+01 .5292E+00 .3046E-04 2
watts bar .4346E+01 .5255E+00 4Gl5E-03 6 3 vogtle .4788E+0! .5073E+00 4716E-03 1 9 9 millstone .4690E+01 .5918E+00 .2385E-03 1 10 10 maine yankee 4356E+01 .3817E+00 .2074E-03 I 11 11 fit patrtet .5066E+01 .6676E+00 .5573E-04 .
I 12 10 ginna .5037E+01 .9060E+00 .1416E-03 1 13 13 haddan neck .4648E+01 .4716E+00 .1527E-03 1 14 la andaan point .4543E+01 .6034E+00 .1774E-03 1 15 15 nine male point .5068E+01 .552:E+00 4748E-04 1 16 16 oyster creek .499BE+0! .1052E+01 .1070E-03 ,
1 17 17 peach bottom .4554E+01 .5473E+00 .1758E-03 i 18 18 pilgrim .4055E+01 .9135E+00 .1353E-02 1 19 19 salem .4859E+0! .921:E+00 .1:59E-03 i 1 20 20 seabrook .416:E+01 .5304E+00 4077E-03 1 21 :! shorenan .474:E+0! .9364E+00 .2559E-03 1 :: :: susouchanna .4756E+0i .6:91E+00 .ll31E-03 ,
I :3 :3 three mt. aslano .4634E+01 .Tl:7E+00 .1390E-03 1 :4 4 vermont yankee .4715E+0! .6389E+00 . 456E-03 1 5 :5 yanFee eowe .4414E+01 .1074E+0! .44:5E-03
- 26 25 browns ferry .4866E+01 .9164E+00 .1439E-03
- 27 :7 brunswad .4519E+01 .3717E+00 .5513E-03 29 :S calvert cliffs .4961E+01 .771CE+00 1077E-03
- 29 :9 catawba .4769E+01 .5368E+00 .3650E-04 2 30 30 farley .5270E+01 .5699E+30 .5731E-04
- 31 :1 heten .5163E+01 .1061E+il .II:6E-03 1 32 3: hope creet .4884E+0! .9204E+0B .iO8:E-03
- 33 23 mcguire .468:E+01 .5434E+00 7399E-04 2 34 J nortn anna .4653E+01 4963E+00 :291E-03
- 35 25 oconee .4496E+01 .5:00E+00 .~:54E-03
- 3G 25 rootnson .4794E+0! .5995E+00 . 199E-03
- 27 27 seoucyan .4356E+01 .7129E+00' .JillE-03
- 25 25 summer .4695E-01 .5960E+00 . '159E-03 2 35 :3 surry .5084E+01 .!I33E+00 .5593E-04
[
t .
3 40 40 ceever eslicy .4555E+01 7131E+00 .2925E-03 3 41 41 big roca point .5133E+01 .326 E+00 Il90E-03 3 4 42 byro, 1 &2 .4988E+01 .2531E+00 .5523E-04 3 43 43 clanton .4659E+0! .3260E+00 .!!93E-03 3 44 44 :cok 1 5: .4666E+01 .7990E+00 .1353E-03 2 45 45 davas besse 1 .4953E+01 .5797E+00 .Il80E-03
- 46 46 crescen :53 .5000E+01 4071E*00 4480E-04 3 47 47 fernt : .5054E+01 4646E+00 .6033E-04 3 48 48 6ewaunee .5134E+01 .5837E+00 .60'8E-04 2 49 49 lasalle .4744E+01 .3191E+00 .1578E-03 3 50 50 palasaces 1 .4931E+0! .5456E+00 .1641E-03 3 51 51 perry .5087E+0i .5242E+00 .6997E-04 3 52 52 point beach .5057E+01 .9381E+00 .1434E-03 3 53 53 pratete island .4956E+01 .6191E+00 .Il16E-03 3 54 54 :1on .4753E+01 .6741E+00 1653E-03 4 F5 55 arkansas .4654E+01 .6674E+00 .2943E-03 4 56 56 bellefonte .4412E+01 .6942E+00 .2690E-03 4 57 57 callaway .5135E+0! .5608E+00 .6471E-04 4 52 52 comanene peak .559:E+01 .7:59E+00 .2550E-04 4 59 59 :ooper .4515E+01 .9604E+00 .2819E-0.'
4 60 60 crye.tal river .5499E+01 .9105E+00 .4342E-04 4 61 61 duane arnold .5449E+01 .5252E+00 .3098E-04 4 6 62 fort calhoun .4616E+01 .9146E+00 .0063E-03 4 63 63 grand gulf .5460E+01 .ll39E+01 .1477E-03 4 64 54 monticello .4854E+01 .7945E+00 .:562E-03 4 65 55 auad cities .5262E+0! .4992E+00 .5733E-04 4 66 66 south te.sas .5519E+01 .1022E+0! .4937E-04 4 67 67 st. luc 2e .5494E+01 .1011E+01 489 E-04 4 68 68 turkey point .5432E+01 .6055E+00 .0015E-04 4 69 69 waterford .5402E+01 .Il86E+01 .5429E-03 5 70 70 nine mile point .4458E+01 .3798E+00 .2368E-03 5 71 71 susauenanna s-2 .4406E+01 7915E+00 .57 cE-03 5 7: 7: catawba s-: .4168E+01 .7995E+00 .5:7cE-03 5 73 3 north anna s-2 .4075E+01 7454E+00 .57:5E-03 5 74 4 oconee s-2 .397'E+0i .3403E+00 . :05E-0:
5 75 75 summer s-2 .4075E+01 .9953E+00 .5629E-03 5 75 75 arkansas s-: .4193E+01 .1035E+0! .1115E-0:
5 77 77 callaway s-2 .4441E+01 .9468E+00 .5349E-03 5 73 78 duane arnold s-: .4891E+01 .3520E+00 .2585E-03 5 79 79 browns ferry s-2 .415:E+01 .3155E+0! 1275E-02 5 E0 60 farley s-: .476EE+01 .965:E+00 .:776E-03 5 81 si three mile islan . 108E+01 .3353E+00 7:50E-03 average i:ql0 meatan ne:ard :f all sites = -4.797456
<ariance= 1.55039fE-01
I . !
l- . j l I l ,
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l TABLE 1 LIST OF TEN TEST EITES. IITE ID. AND SELECTED DATA FOR PGA AT 0.3G plot site site ratio of ratio of ratio of l 1d. id, med. 8 51 h . erith. m. I i 1 limerick 1.71 2.70 3.09 i snearon harris 1.84 4.24 10.63 i 3 3 braidwood 1,63 5.l: 15.40 4 4 la crosse 1.46 1.26 1.;9 5 5 river eeno 1.71 1.67 1.41 6 6 wolf creer. l.81 7.63 13.76 )
7 7 watts bar 1.69 3.42 3.92 l 9 8 vogtle 1.67 1.86 1.50 l 9 9 millstone I.67 4.01 2.53 :
10 10 matne yankee 1.53 4.58 4.60 i
~
1 l
l
- =
TABLE :
LIST OF SITES, FITE ID. AND SELECTED DATA COR PGA AT 0.3G olot 32te 32te ratto of rat 2o of -atso oi 2d. 2d. med. 95th.% aratn. m.
1 i 12meract 1.71 2.70 3.09
- : snearon harris 1.84 4.24 10.63 3 3 braadwood 1.63 5.12 15.40 4 4 la crosse 1.46 1.36 1.09 5 5 river bend 1.71 1.67 f.41 6 6 wolf creek t.81 7.63 13.76 7 7 watts bar 1.69 3.42 3.90 9 3 segtle 1.67 1.86 !.50 9 9 m211 stone 1,67 4.01 :.53 10 10 msane yanree 1.53 4.58 4.50 11 II fat:patr2ct i.78 7.38 10.36 10 4: g2nna 1.78 5.37 3.50 13 13 haddam nect I.64 4.03 3.19 14 14 2ndran potnt 1.62 3.53 3.04 15 15 nine mile po2nt 1.75 7.89 9.50 16 16 oyster creek 1.58 1.31 1.03 17 17 peacn botten 1.68 0.89 2.79 19 IB p21 gram 1.45 1.19 .96 19 19 salem I.44 1.26 1.10 20 00 seabroot 1.71 3.19 2.53 21 !! snorenam f.45 1.23 1.04
- :: susquensnna 1.76 3.73 3.37 23 :3 three m2. saland 1.91 2.60 3.21 24 :4 serment fantee !.51 4.60 5.53 25 :5 .enkee -:we 1.31 i.43 ' 25
- S :S trowns ferry 1.97 7.97 !5.09
!? :7 brunswict i.54 1.43 1.37 29 29 :alvert :12ffs 1.43 1.23 f.05 29 29 catawba t.73 5.61 9.13 30 20 farley 1.79 7. 7 5.55 31 31 nstch I.78 1.53 2.57 3: :: hepe creet 1.56 1.36 1.29 33 23 meguare 1.69 4.75 10.64 24 24 corth anna I.67 2.67 2.90 25 25 :cence ' .75 4.:: 2.93 36 26 ree:nson 1.67 f.9 1.39 27 27 seoucyeh I.74 .39 5.06
- 2 !! eummer 1.75 2.59 t!.55 29 :9 surry i.49 1.25 .!?
20 20 teaver +ile. f.51 ' 24
. .35 at 4 :2; r::t ::2ri .!! !.!5 .
.04 4: a: :cren I ; ; ' 56
. 4.37 5.59
43 43 clinton 1.94 2.46 0.08 44 44 c oo 6. I 5: 1,64 f.70 -I.67 45 25 eavts besse 1 1.75 3.97 3.71 46 26 crenden 2&3 1.59 5.07 11.33 47 47 ' semi : 1.61 a.26 5.05 48 18 iewaunee !.63 1.54 1.53 49 49 lasalle 1.75 2.09 .41 50 60 palisaces i 1.67 1.68 f.67 SI 51 perry 1.75 4.74- 4.78 52 52 point beach I.62 1.36 1.12 53 53 pratete island 1.38 1.25 1.11 54 54 : son 1.60 1.42 1.49 55 55 arkansas 1.70 5.29 4.55 56 56 bellefonte 1.72 4.18 8.50 57 57 callausy I.76 14.02 24.00 58 58 comanche peak 2.00 5.50 8.11 59 59 cooper I.45 1.32 1.34.
60 60 crystal river 2.00 3.88 6.48 61 61 cuane arnold 1.56 6.65' 10.56 6 52 fort calheun 1.40 1.16 1.22 63 53 grand gulf 1.87 0.26 1.58 64 64 montacello 1.17 1.04 98 S5 55 quad etties I.75 5.90 9.05 66 66 south texas 1.27 1.13 1.05 67 67 st. lucie 1.39 1.06 1.13 68 68 turkey point 1.58 2.81 9.08 69 59 waterford 1.68 1.58 1.35 70 70 nine mile point s- 1.87 f.64 1.48 71 ?! susquehanna s-2 1.63 1.50 1.11 70 ~2 catawba s-2 1.57 1.42 1.73 73 ~3 north anna s-: 1.31 1.06 .99 74 74 oconee s-2 1.41 1.32 f.04 75 75 summer s-2 1.51 1.23 1.5
'6 ~6 erkansas s-2 1.75 1.63 1.34
~'
~7 callaway s-2 1.92 2.39 f.33 79 78 cuane srnold - 1.61 1.53 1.50 79 79 browns ferry s-2 f.69 1.59 1.59 90 30 farley s-2 1.66 1.60 1.35 91 31 three mile islands-2. 1.31 1.13 1.01
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8 TABLE 2 LIST OF SOIL SITES, 3ITE ID. AND SELECTED DATA FOR PGA AT 0.3G plot .stte site ratio of ratto of -atio of tc. :d. mee. 35th.% setth. m.
I 4 la crosse 1.46 f.36 1.09 5 river bena 1.71 1.67 1.41 3 9 vogtle 1.67 1.86 1.50 4 16 oyster creek 1.58 1.31 1.23 5 IB pilgr2n 1.45 1.19 .96 6 19 salen 1.44 1.26 1.10 7 21 shorehan 1.45 1.23 1.04 8 25 yankee rowe 1.81 1.43 1.09 9 :7 brunswick i.54 1.43 1.37 10 :9 calvert -1:ffs i.43 1.29 1.08 11 21 natch I.79 1.53 3.57 12 3 hope creer. 1.56 1.36 1.29 13 36 robinson 1.67 f.82 f.89 14 39 surry 1.49 1.06 1.17 15 40 beaver valley 1.51 1.34 1.05 16 41 big rock point 1.33 1.16 1.04 17 43 clanton 1.94 2.46 2.08 18 44 :cok i &2 1.54 1.70 1.67 19 48 Lewaunee 1.63 1.54 1.53 20 AS lasalle 1.75 2.08 2.41 21 50 palisades i 1.67 1.58 1.67
- 52 point beach 1.62 1.36 1.12 23 53 pratr:e island 1.38 1.25 1.11 24 54 : ton 1.60 1.42 !.49 25 59 cooper 1.45 1.32 1.34 25 5 f:rt ralheun 40 1.16 1.::
- 7 53 grand gulf 1.97 2.25 1.59 23 54 monticello 1.17 1.04 .98 29 55 south te..as 1.27 1.13 !.05 30 57 st. luete 1.39 1.06 1.13 31 59 waterford 1.68 1.58 1 35 22 73 nine male point s- 1.87 1.64 1.48 33 71 susquehanna s-2 '
.63 1.50 1.11 34 ': catawba s-2 1.57 1.42 1.72 25 ~3 north anna 3-2 1.31 1.06 .99 25 ~4 ::ence :-: 1.41 i.32 1.34 37 ~5 summer s-2 1.51 1.23 1.52 39 5 e-tensas s-: 1.~5 1.63 !.34 29 ~7 callaway s-: 1.62 .39 1.93 40 ~3 :uane ernold s-: '
.61 1.53 1.50 Ji '9 t-owns fer-< s-2 .69 1.59 1.56 4 30 #
?rley 5- .55 ' 50
. 1.25 43 il tnree n2le islana $.31 1.!3 1.01
..1 y
1 TABLE 4 1
LIST OF ROCK SITES, IITE 10. AND SELECTED DATA l FOR PGA AT 0.3G l
1 Plot s2te site catto of- ratio of rat 20 of.
Id. 2d. med. 85th.% arith. n.
I 1 lamerack 1.71 0.70 3.09
- shearon harris 1.84- 4.24 10.63 3 3 bra 2dwood 1.63 5.12 15.40 4 6 wolf creek 1.01 7.63 13.76 5 7 watts bar 1.69 3.42 3.92 6 9 millstone 1.67 4.01 0.53 7 10 maane yankee f.53 4.58 4.60 8 11 fit: patrick 1.78 7.38 10.36 9 10 ginna 1.78 6.37 8.50 10 13 haddan neck I.64 4.03 3.19 11 14 Indian point 1.62 3.53 3.04 12 15 nine male point 1.76- 7.89 8.60 13 17 peach bottom 1.68 0.89 2.79 14 20 seabrook 1.71 3.19 2.53 15 :: susquehanna 1.75 3.73 3.37 16 23 three nt. island 1.81 0.60 3.21 17 24 vernont yankee I.81 4.60 5.53 10 :6 browns ferry 1.97 7.87 16.09 19 29 catawba 1.73 5.61 8.13 .
20 30 farley 1.79 7.27 8.56 21 33 meguire 1.68 4.75 10.64 22 34 north anna 1.67 3.67 3.90
- 3 25 oconee 1 75
. 4.23 3.93 24 37 secuoyan 1.74 3.38 5.06 25 38 summer 1.76 4.59 12.c5 S 40 byron I &: 1.56 4.37 5.59 07 45 davas besse i 1.75 3.97 3.71
- S 46 dresden 283 1.59 5.27 11.33 i 29 47 ferm: 1.61 4.06 5.05 30 El perry 1.75 4.74 4.78 31 55 arkansas 1.70 5.09 4.55 1
32 56 bellefonte 1.70 4.18 9.50 33 57 callaway 1.76 14.02 24.00 7
t 34 50 c:manche peak :.00 5.50 8.11 l
35 60 crystal river 2.00 3.88 6.48 j
!6 51 cuane arnoic 1.66 6.65 10.55 i 37 65 ouad cities 1.76 5.90 8.05
{. 33 53 turkey point i.58 .31 9.08 l
t ,,
PAGE l'
TABLE 5.1
..._____........___________........125G)....................__...._
ZONE 4 ZONE ids ZONE 4 ZONE 1 AT
.........HIGN PGA(0.60G)
ZONE 3 ZONE 15 ZONE 4 ZONE 1 ZONE 3
% CONT.: 100. O. O. 100. O.
ZONE 15
..._ ___.__ ._.__............... .. .....__.. ..O.____.___.... .... _______.______ .......____ .O. O.
2 ZONE 28 ZONE ID ZONE 28 COMP. ZON ZONE 27 ZONE 30
% CONI.: 100. ZONE 28 COMP. ZON ZONE 27 ZONE 30
. . _ _ _ _ _ . . . . . _ . _ _ _ . . . . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ . . . . . . . . ...... O.
O Q. 100.
..______......._.._____..... .....__O. D. O.
3 ZONE 5 ZONE ids ZONE 5 ZONE 8A COMP. ZON ZONE 2
% CONT.: 100. 6 ZONE 5 COMP. ZON ZONE 2 ZONE 4 O.
4 ZONE 11 ...________ .........._____..
ZONE ids ZONE 11 ZONE 12
_______..........._____.6. 100.
_____.......______O. D.
O.
% CONT.s COMP. ZOH ZONE 27 ZONE 11 COMP. ZON ZONE 27 ZONE 8 5 ZONE 1
____ ___.. 98.
.._ .. 2. ....._____
O. O.
100
___ O. O. O.
ZONE ids ZONE 1 COMP. ZON ZONE 3 ZONE 4 ZONE 1
% CONT. 100. O. COMP. ZON ZONE 3 ZONE 4 6 ZONE___...__.._..........__.........O..__..............__.
...__. O. 100. D. O.
6 ZONE ID ZONE 6 ..........__.......... .D.
% CONT. COMP. ZON ZONE 5 ZONE 7 ZONE 6 COMP. ZON ZONE 5 ZONE 7 100. O.
_7............._______.._________
ZONE 7
...____. O 6.
100 O. O. O.
ZONE ID ZONE 7 ZONE 29 ZONE 13 ZONE 2 = ZONE 7 ZONE 18
% CONT.: 96. 1. G. ZONE 17 ZONE 9
____..............__________..______ . 3.__ ________________.___....._........____..__O. 100. D. O.
10 ZONE 4B ZONE ids ZONE 5 ZONE 4R ZONE 19 = ZONE 2
% CONT.: 63. O.
ZONE 45 ZONE 5 ZONE 19 = ZONE 2
. _______ _____..._......._.._____... 34....______ 3. ..___............._..____
7 0......__.27. 4. O.
11 ZONE 5 ZONE ID ZONE 5 CZ = ZONE ZONE 1 ZONE 2 ....___ ......-_ .____
% CONT.: 100. O.
ZONE 5 CZ = ZONE ZONE 1 ZONE 2 O.
12 ZONE 32 ____.........__..........G.__..........____..................100.
ZONE ids ZONE 32 ZONE 27 ZONE 20 O.
O. O.
% CONT.s 100. ZONE 25 ZONE 32 ZONE 20 ZONE 25 ZONE 27
.........___________...... .. .._______O. C. S. 100 O.
13 CZ 15 ZONE ids CZ 15 CZ 17 ZONE 10 ____......
O.
O.
% CONT.8 ZONE 8 CZ 15 ZONE 8 ZONE 10 ZONE 11
__________.____..__ .._____ ....___....1.
- 99. O. 6. 100
.___.. __ ........... _.. .. ....... .. .......____....___ O. O. O.
er
__ _ -- e- _ _w & W
PAGE 1 TABLE 5.2
...--...AT MIGM PGAt0.60G)
% CONT.s 93.
ZONE 4 ZONE 3 ZONE 1 ZONE 2 ZONE 4
- 7. O.
ZONE ID............._____........G............_..................._...___
.._________.......... 99. 1. O. O.
2 COMP. 20 ZONE 30 COMP. ZON ZONE 27 . ZONE 29
% CON 57. 33. 6.
COMP. ZON ZONE 18 ZONE 27 ZONE.28 5.
3 ZONE 7 .._______.T.s......__..............___________..___.-_..___......
ZONE ids ZONE 7 ZONE 8A 100.
6.
O. O.
% CONT.: 97.
COMP. ZON ZONE 9 ZONE 7 COMP. ZON ZONE 5 ZONE 6 6 9. 100.
__........ ___..__....._____________ -_2._ _.....______......____________ ........__ ..D. O. O.
4 ZONE 11 ZONE ids ZONE 11 ZONE 10 ZONE 9 COMP. ZON
% CONT.s 61. 37 ZONE 11 COMP. ZON ZONE 26 ZONE 27 5 ZONE 10 ___.
1.
6.
_...__.....____....____.....____.. 100.
O D. O.
ZONE ids ZONE 10 ZONE 9 ZONE 8 ZONE 11 ZONE 10 ZONE 5
....T.
% CON 80. 15. 4. 6 100. O.
COMP. ZON ZONE 1 O.
6 COMP. 20 ...______......................... .__COMP.
ZONE ID ZONE 13 ZONE 15 ZONE 11
.... .ZON
..___________ . ......___. ____. .. G.
% CONT.: COMP. ZON ZONE 11 ZONE 15 ZONE 13
...___.................._............. 30
- 33. 26. 11.
7 ZONE 2 = ZONE ID ZONE 2 = ZONE 8
_ ... ..............................._______27.
ZONE 10 ZONE 9 55.
- 17. 2.
% CONT. 7 13. ZONE 2 = ZONE 7 ZONE 8 ZONE 9 10 ZONE 4R 3......___.... 8.
_.......__..........______..__100.
5.
O. O. O.
ZONE ID ZONE94.
% CO 48 ZONE4.28 ZONE1.28A ZONE 15 ZONE 4R ZONE O. 19 = ZONE 15 ZONE 5
.............._N__T._ __...__....___________....... ... 1............... 100. O. O.
11 ZONE 7 ZONE ids ZONE 7 ZONE 8 __....._____......______. ___...
% CON CZ = ZONE ZONE 6 ZONE 8 ZONE 7 CZ = ZONE ZONE 5
._____ _...... ___..T.: 66. 34. 1. O 59. 40. O.
12 ZONE 22 ZONE ....____ ..__........
ids ZONE 22 ZONE 20 .....___......___....__...___________.....
ZONE 23A ZONE 21 ZONE 22 ZONE 19
__ ._..______ .. .G.
% CONT.: ZONE 20 ZONE 21
____.......__...___.......__.......... 2.
13 CZ 17 98.
G. O.
100 O. O. G.
ZONE ID: CZ 17 CZ 15 ZONE 9 ZONE 8 CZ 17 CZ 15 -
% CONT. 97. ZONE 8 /.ON E9
...... ... .... ...._....._...._____ 2. 1. 6.
94 6. G. O.
a i
_ _ _ _ _ _ . _ _ _ . _ _____--m - - - - . - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ' - - ^ ^ - - - - - -
PAGE 1-TABLE 5.3
_..._... 250)_........__.
ZONE 11 ZONE 15
....__.....__....__........N ZONE 9 AT NIG PGA(0.60G)
% CONT.s 88. 11. ZONE 19 ZONE 9 ZONE 10 - ZONE 11
- 6. 100. D.
2 ZONE 21 ZONE ID ZONE 21 ....___.......___.1.......______....________........
COMP. ZON ZONE 18 ZONE 20
...........O. ....________
O.
% CONI.: 81. 14. ZONE 21 COMP. ZON ZONE 18 ZONE 19
- 1. 70.
3 ZONE 15 ZONE ID ZONE 15
_____.4..._________......... 30.
_______...______......._O. O.
ZONE 16 COMP. ZON ZONE 12 ZONE 15 ZONE 16
% CONT.e 82. 17. O. O. COMP. ZON ZONE 11
- 98. 1. 1. O.
bbbP kb kbbk ibs kbbk 2 EbbE1.55 ~kbbk 5 EbMh[Ebh kbNk k
.....__...........__...____..........__........ 1.
% CONI.s 98. O. 99.
bbbP5 kbN kbNk 55 O.
kbbk 3 O.
5 COMP. 20 ........... ......__.................1 ._.........___.._...
ZONE ids COMP. ZON ZONE 15 ZONE 12 ZONE 14 COMP. ZON ZONE 12 ZONE 15
% CONT. 86. 14 O. O. ZONE 14 100 6 ZONE 22 ZONE ids ZONE 22 ZONE 17 COMP. ZON
.....................______.O.
ZONE 9 ZONE 22 G.
O.
% CONT. 85. O. COMP. ZON ZONE 17 ZONE 9 7 ZONE 34
.................______15...____......____
ZONE ids ZONE 34 O.
100.
..O. ..___
O.
O.
% CONT. 9 3.
ZONE 2 = ZONE 6 ZONE 5 ZONE 34 ZONE 2 = ZONE 4 ZONE 3 i
- 5. 2. 6 c.
10 ZONE 26A
-___-_......... .... _.. ........._._._---..:........ .....____.--._.99. ......._._.
1 O.
ZONE
% CON ids ZONE 26A ZONE 19 = ZONE 12A ZONE 13
- 69. 31. ZONE 26A ZONE 19 = ZONE 12A ZONE 13 G.
11 CZ = ZON
..............T.s._________.______.....______ .___
6.
.___......._______ 87....______.3. 1 O.
O.
ZONE ID: CZ = ZONE ZONE 10 ZONE 9 ZONE 11 CZ = ZONE ZONE 9 ZONE 10
% CONT.: 67. ZONE 11 12 ZONE 4 =
___ --__ .._..............____ 33. O.
6.
100 D.
0.
G.
ZONE ids ZONE 15 ZONE 14 ZONE 13 ZONE 17 ZONE.1 ZONE 14
% CONT. 100. O ZONE 13 ZONE 17
__... ......... ...............______... ._......... 4. 8.
...__.._________...............O. . O. c.
13 CZ 15 ZONE ids CZ 15 ZONE 3 ZONE 5 ZONE 4 ....... __.....___ ..
% CONT. 100. CZ 15 ZONE 3 ZONE 5 ZONE 4 O.
._____.... ___.. ____.... __...........O....______.____.......... 9. 100.
............... ___.D. O.
O.
I:
i i
L h
_ m__.___._m m_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ . _ _ _ _ . _ _ _ . <_ _ _ . _ _ _ _ _ __
- _ _ _ ~ m . . - , ;----- +, .== ,*,
l l
f I
- l l -.
PAGE 1 TABLE 5.4
- BASED ON ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 s
MOST IMPORTANT ZONES PER S-EXPERT FOR L A CROSSE '
l SITE SOIL CATEGORY SAND-Z S-XPT NOST NUM. ZONE ZONES CONTRIBUTING AT LOM PGA(0 MOST SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE PGA BENC AND % OF CONTRIBUTION 1 ZONE 15 ZONE.........ID:
ZONE 125G). . _ . . . . . . _ . . . . . . . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ A_.._................._......_____
15 . . .ZONE _ . T H I GH P G A ( 0 . 6 0 G) 19 ZONE 11 ZONE 9 ZONE 15 ZONE 9
% CONT.s 94. ZONE 10 ZONE 11
.......__..__.._.......________.....___3..................
2 COMP. ZO ZONE ID COMP. ZON ZONE 18
- 3. O.
10 0. O. O.
O.
% CONT.s ZONE Z1 ZONE 13 COMP. ZON ZONE 13 ZONE 15 100. O. O. D. ZONE 18 100. O. D. O.
5 bbbP[kb kbbk ibI bbbP Ebb kbbE 55 kbbk ik kbbk~ik
% CONT. 99. 1. O. O.
bbbh[kbh 5bhk 55 Ebhk~ik bbbP kb kbbh~ibe ~kbhk'k
~ ~
100. O. O. kbbk".55 O
l l
% CONT. 95. Cbkh kbH kbhE2.55~~~kbHk k kbhE"E CbEP~~kbk~kbbk~i3~~~kbUk'~1
_____________.................__3......__.... ..... .......___..__ O.
5 COMP. 20 ZONE ids COMP. ZON ZONE 12 ZONE 13
. 94. 5. 1.
O.
% CONT. 100. ZONE 15 COMP. ZON ZONE 12 ZONE 13 ZONE 15 G. O.
6 COMP. ZO
__...........O......_____...____ ....._..____... 100. O. O.
D. >
ZONE
% CONT.:
ids COMP. ZON ZONE 22 ZONE 17 ZONE 9 COMP. ZON ZONE 9
- 94. ZONE 18 ZONE 17
__..._..._6._. ________. _____.. O.____....______.....________
.... ..__ .__ ... _ ........ O 100. O O. O.
7 ZONE 3 ZONE ID ZONE 3 ZONE 2 = ZONE 34 ZONE 4 . _____...._ ._..__
% CONT.: 95. ZONE 3 ZONE 2 = ZONE 4 ZONE 6
..... ._____............._________.... 3..... .. ....................... 1. O. 2. O.
10 ZONE 19 .. 98. O.
ZONE ids ZONE 19 = ZONEO.26A ZONE 12A ZONE 13 .......___ ......._..___.......
% CONT.s 100 ZONE 19 =
ZONE 12A ZONE 13 ZONE 24A
................. __. ..._....._. _............_... O O. 100. O.
11 CZ = ZON ZONE ids CZ = ZONE ZONE 9 ZONE 10
.........___......__ ..._.... __...O......___............ 9.
% CONT.s ZONE 17 CZ = ZONE ZONE 9 ZONE 10 100......... __..O. O. S. ZONE 17 12 ZONE 4 = ZONE ids ZONE 15 ZONE 5 ZONE 7 100.
O.
O O.
t
% CONT. ZONE 14 ZONE 5 ZONE 7 ZONE 15 100. G. O. ZONE 14
........G.
... .....__....______............... __O._ . .......___ ............ O. 6 D.
r 13 CZ 15 ZONE ID CZ 15 ZONE 5 ZONE 6 .....-_............ ..__.___..
l
% CONT.: ZONE 18 CZ 15 ZONE 5 ZONE 6 100.
...................................... O........ O. O. ZONE 18 i
l l
__ ....____.............. 100. O.
O O.
l i
PAGE 1-TABLE 5.5
_____ ......................___..... 125G)......... ..........................T A HIGN PGA(0.60G) 1 ZONE 1 ZONE ID ZONE 1 ZONE 5 ZONE 4 ...................... ____. ___
% CO ZONE 9 ZONE 1 ZONE 4 ZONE 5 ZONE 9
..__...._______._..NT.s.....___ 100. O. O. 100. O.
2 COMP. 20 ..............._............ 9... .___................. ...........O. 9.
ZONE ids COMP. ZON ZONE 18 ZONE 4 ZONE 27 COMP. ZON ZONE 4
% CONT.s 99. 1. O. 9. 100 ZONE 18 ZONE 27
...__..__..._..........____........... ........ ..._............. .. ____..__. .._______ D. O. 9.
3 COMP. ZD ZONE ids COMP. ZON ZONE 10 ZONE 8A .............._...
% ZONE 5 COMP. ZON ZONE 5 ZONE 8A ZONE 10
__.....-____..... CONT.a.. ...___. 88. 10. 2. O 100.
O. O. G.
4 ZONE 25 ZONE ids ZONE 25 20taE 4 COMP. ZON ZONE 2 ...... .........___...... .....
% CONI. 94. ZONE 25 COMP. ZON ZONE 2 ZONE 3 S.
...-............. ......... ___....... 6.....___.
5 COMP. Zo ZONE ids. ZONE 11 COMP. ZON ZONE 1....................__ .......__..___4.
15 96.
O. O.
% 75. 23.
ZONE 10 COMP. ZON ZONE 10 ZONE 11 ZONE 15
__...C.ONT.s. ..... ..............................
2.
9_...__...
...... ... 100. O.
_ .__ ...._................ .._____... O.
G 6 ZONE 21 ZONE ids ZONE 21 ZONE 20 COMP. ZON ZONE 12
% CONT.s 99. ZONE 21 COMP. ZON. ZONE 12 ZONE 18 7 ZONE 2 =
1........__ O..................._____
- 9. 98. 2.
O. S.
ZONE
% CONT.
ids ZONE 2 = ZONE 1 ZONE 6 ZONE 5 ZONE 2 = ZONE 1 ZONE 6
- 86. O. 6. ZONE 5
....._....... ... ....... .......__.. 14..._____....._.........__.........___99. 1. O. O.
10 ZONE 19 __..... .............. .___....
ZONE ids ZONE 19 = ZONE 12A ZONE 28 ZONE 29 ZONE 19 = ZONE
....._.-......... CONT.s D.12A ZONE 28 ZONE 29
% 100 O. 6. 6. O.
................................_.. .... 100. O.
11 ZONE 14 ZONE ids ZONE 14 CZ = ZONE ZONE 11 .... _....._....___..___ . __.
% CONT.s 95. ZONE 6 ZONE 4 CZ = ZONE ZONE 6 ZONE 8
............___.... ............ ..... 5.......____G. .__ ...
- 9. O.
12 ZONE 10 ZONE ID ZONE 11 ZONE 3 ZONE 8
________.....____7....___. 13. .
6.
100. O. ZONE 12 ZONE 3 ZONE 8 ZONE 11 ZONE 12 9
13 CZ 16 CONT.s.___ ._..................._______O.__ ........__________........
ZONE ids CZ 16 CZ 15 ZONE 1 ZONE 5 CZ 16 9.
......D. .___.._.
.0 G.
% CONT. 94. O. CZ 15 ZONE 1 ZONE 5
____............____................._.6.__.............._____......____....53. 9. 47.
O. 9.
1
.,..,% ,m . , ~w , =.~..._e , #.. % . . . . . . _ , . ~ ~ . . . - - - ..- . ..o~. ., .- , , ~ . . , . - . . , . ..
PAGE -1 TABLE 5.6
.......AT PGA(0.60G)
% CON ZONE 10 ZONE 15 ZONE 5 ZONE 9 ZONE 10
........._______.....T 75. 25. O.
8.....______...___.....................____...... S.
__100.. ...._......__ .....
O. O S.
2 ZONE 15 ZONE ids ZONE 15 COMP. ZON ZONE 18 ZONE 6 ZONE 5
% Col 4T.s 88. 11 1. COMP. ZON ZONE 1 ZONE 2 3 ZONE 16 ZONE ID ZONE 16 ...._._..___.........................__.........
COMP. ZON ZONE 13 9.
ZONE 12 ZONE 16 7.
3..._.._..___........._
1 O. 9.
% C0t4T. 100. O. S. COMP. ZON ZONE 13 ZONE 12
. ............................__............ ___O. 100. O O. O.
4 ZOllE 13 Z0t3E ID ZONE 1 ....._.......____ _................. ...................
ZONE 13 COMP. ZON ZONE 2 ZONE 13 ZONE 1
% CONT.: 93. G. COMP. ZON ZONE 2
____ . __....._____ . ..................7 9.
...____...______..............__ ...._... 21. 78. 1. O.
5 COMP. ZO ZONE ID: COMP. ZON ZONE 15 ZONE 14 ZONE 17
% CONT. 100. O O. 6.
COMP. ZON ZONE 15 ZONE 14 ZONE 17 6 ZONE 27 ZONE ID ZONE 27 ZONE 25 COMP. ZON ZONE 17 ZONE 100.
27 O..._________ ... .....
O. O.
% CONT.8 91. 2. 8 COMP. ZON ZONE 18 ZONE 17
.............. _____. ................ 7. 98. O.
7 ZONE 2 = ZONE ID ZONE 2 = ZONE 31 ..............___..
ZONE 30 ZONE 3 ZONE 2 = ZONE 3 2.
..............O. ..
ZONE 6 ZONE 5
......_.......__. CONT. %
77.
Z3.
O.
S
.... .........100. ........ ....... ____.
- 8. O 8.
10 ZONE 19 ZONE ID ZONE63. 19 = ZONE 32 ZONEG.12A ZONE 13 ..........
% CONT.: 37. S. ZONE 19 = ZONE 32 ZONE 12A ZONE 13
___........_........_..e .....
...........__..........................__.94. 6. O. 9.
11 CZ = ZON ZONE ID CZ = ZONE ZONE 17 ZONE 10 ZONE 11
% CONT. 93 7. O. 6.
CZ = ZONE ZONE 10 ZONE 11 ZONE 15
.____........._________....._.. ....._ ......................___........ 100. 9. 9 O.
12 ZONE 4 = .....................
ZONE ids ZONE 6 ZONE 3 ZONE 7 ZONE 15 ZONE 6 ZONE 3
% CONT.: ZONE 7 ZONE 15 13 CZ 15 ZONE ID: CZ 15 100.
....S................ .......__....... 100.
ZONE 8 4.
ZONE 1 6.
S. 9 6.
-% CONI. ZONE 3 CZ 1 ZONE 1 ZONE 3 ZONE 5
.....____........................1 87. . O. 6.
09 O. 9.
9.
I
+
e h
a
_ 5 .-
--w~ - , . - ,+ m-,,n- e ,- -. >- s. - + ~ = ,r-n> ~,m osm see ,-e w s ,-- m--m- ,.-,--s a ---- ,----vmwvar--------,a- - - - - - - - - - - - - - ---n---- - a-
i PAGE 1 IABLE 5.7
...._.. ~... .......__.. __..__PGA(0.125G)__...... ...___.__...__...........__..__AT HIGH PGA(0.60G) 1 ZONE 4 ZONE ids ZONE 4 ZONE 15 ZONE 9 _....__.._ ............._......._
% CONT.: ZONE 3 ZONE 4 ZONE 1 ZONE 2
- 99. O. O. O. 100. O.
ZONE 3 O. G.
k kbbE k7 kbbkkDYbbHEkh kbbk kk bbb[*O.kbH kbNE 3b
% C0t4T.: 92. 8. O.
kbbE kk bbk bO.kbH kbbE ik kbbk 59 100. O.
5 bbbk h kbbk kb kbbk 5 bbbi'[kbH kbNk kk kbHk 55 O.
% C0f4T.: 100 O. O. O.
kbbk 5 bbbi'[kbN kbbk h ~ kbNk'9
___....__. __ .........._____.. .___..._ .._____... ..._____ ... ____... 100. D. D. D 4 Z0llE 13 ZONE ID: ZONE 28 Z0llE 8 ZONE 13 ........__ ........ ___...__.. .
% Col 4T.: 96. ZONE 4 ZONE 28 ZONE 8 ZONE I3 COMP. ZON
__...__..._____._....... ...........___2.__..___....__ 1. 1.
5 ZONE 11 ZONE ID: ZONE 11 ZONE 15
.....__... ____ ..___94. 5. 1.
O
% C0lli.e 98 1. COMP. ZON ZONE 8 ZONE 11 COMP. ZON ZONE 8 ZONE 9 G. O.
6 ZONE 12 ZONE ID: ZONE 11 .. ___.....................
ZONE 12 ZONE 13
.__________. 100. D. O.
.__..________ ..____...._______._ O
% Cot 4T . : ZONE 17 ZONE 11 ZONE 12
- 64. 34. Z. O. 63. COMP. ZON ZONE 9
- 37. O.
h kbbk h kbbk kb5 kbbk h kbbk k kbbk k kbbk k O.
% CollT.s 99 1. O. O.
kbbkh khbk k kbHk k kbbk k
.-______...___..______._________.____......._______........._______..____.100. O. O. O 10 ZONE 28 ZONE ID ZONE 28 ZONE 26A ZONE 19 .......___..... .___..__ ..... .
% CONT. = ZONE 15 94 6. O. O. ZONE 28 ZONE O. 26A ZONEO.19 = ZONE 15 11 ZONE 6 ZONE ID ZONE 6 ZONE 13
........____100............................___._
O
% C0t4T.: 99. CZ = ZONE ZONE 5 ZONE 6 CZ = ZONE ZONE 5 ZONE 7
_____________...-____....__...__....___1....... O. O.
12 ZONE 17 ZONE ids ZONE 19 ZONE 17 ZONE 20
__......_____..100. ._....-_____
O. O.
.........._______._ O
% COf41.s 66. ZONE 15 ZONE 19 ZONE 17 ZONE 12
- 34. G. 6. 72. ZONE 15 kk kbbk k kbbk kbUkbbk k
- 28. O. o.
bk kk kbbkO.5 kbHk 4 kbbE k kk ik
% C0f4T.: 9 2. O. O.
kbbkO.k kbbk 4
__________.8.........._______......_........________...100...................... ...___O.
PAGE 1 .
TABLE 5.8
- BASED ON ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 MOST IMPORTANT ZONES PER S-EXPERT FOR V0GTLE SITE SOIL CATEGORY DEEP-SGIL S-XPT HOST !
NUM. ZONE ZONES AT LON CONTRIBUTING PGA(0.125G)MOST SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE PGA REHCHIGH AND % OF CONTRIBUTION-
___................___...... _. __ ........... ____............... _____AT PGA(0.60G)
ZONE 1 ...... .. _.......... ...... ....
1 ZONE ids ZONE 1 ZONE 2 ZONE 3. ZONE 4 ZONE 1 Z3NE 2 ZONE 3 ZONE 4
% CONT.: 60. 30. 10. 100 G.
... __..___..____.... .............__......__............O. ................... ..................'..
0.
_ O.
2 ZONE 29 ZONE ids ZONE 30 ZONE 29 COMP. ZON ZONE 27 ZONE 29 ZONE 30
% CONT.e 66. O. COMP. ZON ZONE 18
....._.......___..........O...............___........
- 34. ,
......._ ...__................ 74. 26. O. O.
3 ZONE 8 ZONE ids ZONE 9 ZONE 8 ZONE 7 COMP. ZON ZONE 8 ZONE 9
% CONT.: 78. 19. 3. COMP. ZON ZONE 5 4 ZONE 25
.._..........___....................._..O.
ZONE ids ZONE 10 ZONE 9 ZONE 25
.....____________.. 78 ... _.20. 2.
6.
% CONT. COMP. ZON ZONE 10 ZONE 25 ZONE 9 COMP. ZON 9Z. 7, 5 ZONE 8 ZONE ID ZONE 9 ZONE 10
.........O.
1.
COMP, ZON 99.
1.
O.
S.
ZONE 8 ZONE 9 ZONE 8 ZONE 10 COMP. ZON '
% CONT. 87. 9. 4.
........._......... __......................... ........ 9. _.....
- 85. 10.
- 5. c.
6 ZONE 13 ZONE ID ZONE 13 ZONE 14 ZONE 11 COMP. ZON ZONE 13 COMP. ZON ZONE 11 ZONE 12
% CONT. 99. O.
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% CONT 10 ZONE 43 s__.. . 55.... _.... 1. 4 4. 6, 1 8. 1.
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ZONE
% CONT.sids ZONE 4R ZONE 15 ZONE 28 ZONE 19 =
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..._...... 5 ...... 1.......___....... .............._....._______ ...
O. O.
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- 97. 3. O. 100. G. 6. O.
...__........................G. ........... ............_........-..............
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................___.............................. ...... 1. 6. O. 9.
13 CZ 17 ZONE ids ZONE 9 CZ 17 ...___..........................................
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% CONT.
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PAGE 1
'.ABLE 5.9
ZONE ID: ZONE 22 ZONE 1
..._..___...... ..._-_ ._AT HIGN PGA(0.60G)
% CONT.: ZONE 4 ZONE 15 ZONE 22 ZONE 1 ZONE 4
- 94. 6. G. O. 99.
ZONE 15
- 1. O. O.
k kbbk 35 kbbk hDs kbbk 55 bbhP$ kbh kbbk kh kbbk hk kbhb 5
% CONT.s 99. G. S. 100.
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.....__...._____..._.................. 1..____. ....._______........ _________......._O. D. O.
3 ZONE 4 ZONE ids ZONE 4 COMP. ZOH ZONE 3 ZONE 2
% CONT.* 100. ZONE 4 COMP. ZON ZONE 3 ZONE 2 D O.
______........ ________ ...____..__..... __......_...__....______. O. 100. O.
...._____...... .D. G.
4 ZONE 23 ZONE ids Z0llE 23 COMP. ZON ZollE 11 ZONE 8
% CONI.: 100. O O.
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5 ZONE 1 ZONE ids ZONE 1 ZONE 8 COMP. ZON ZONE 3
................___O.... .___...__.....__.
100. O. O.
% CONT.s 100. O G.
ZONE 1 COMP. ZON ZONE 3 ZONE 4
__....___......._.......___ ...____...._ ... ......... G. 100. O. O. O.
6 ZONE 6 ZONE ids ZONE 6 ..__________..____ .. ...... ..____.......________
% CONT.* COMP. ZON ZONE 5 ZONE 3 ZONE 6 COMP. ZON ZONE 3 100. O 0, 0, ZONE 4 7 ZONE 15 ZONE ids ZONE 24 ZONE 15
....___.__.......... 100.
_____...........O. D.
O.
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PAGE. -1 7
TABLE 5.10 s ene*
BASED ON ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 MOST IMPORTANT ZONES PER S-EXPERT FOR MAINE YANKEE SITE SDIL CATEGORY ROCK S-XPT HOST NUM. ZON
_________ .E __...___........._....... ZONESAT LONCONTRIBUTING PGA(0 125G) MOST SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE PGA BEHC AND % OF CONTRIBUTI 1 ZONE 22 ZONE ids ZONE 22 ZONE 1 ZONE 4
_................AT ZONE 20 HIG.N
.____ . ___PGA.(0.60G)
...____...___ . . %CONT.: ........._________
100. O 9. 8.
ZONE 22 ZONE 1 O.
ZONE 4 ZONE 20 2 ZONE 31 ZONE ids ZONE 31
% CON 100.
...__........................_________.100...................
ZONE 32 COMP. ZON COMP. ZON ZONE 31 O.
....______B. __ p
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..............._____T.....................___.....9............
3 ZONE 4 ZONE ids ZONE 4 COMP. ZON ZONE 3 O.
9 100................._________ O.
COMP.'ZON
.._O.
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. _.........__ ___.NT. O. O. ZONE 2 ZONE 5 4 ZONE 20 ZONE ids ZONE 20. ZONE 18
. ___.. . __......__. ___.O.... ..___
COMP. ZON ZONE 11
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.... .._____ 6.
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.._.._100. __ O O.
S.
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ids ZONE 5 _. _____.....___________
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O O.
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% CONT. ZONE 2 = ZONE 18 ZONE 24
...___....________.......... 97...... .........
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9.
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1 ZONE ids ZONE 23 ZONE ..._ ........ __O.__.._____D.
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.......NT...................
ZONE ids ZONE 1 57 42.... ___...1.......___. ___...___. ..
8.
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% CONT. CZ = ZONE ZONE 3 ZONE 2 ZONE 1
..._____ ..... -____.......__99.......___ .....__.........._8.__ ............. 9
- 1. 9. CZ = ZONE ZONE '2 ZONE 3 12 ZONE 32 1. O. '
ZONE ids ZONE 32 9........__.......___......._6.
% CONI s ZONE IS ZONE 33 ZONE 25 ___
- 97. 3. ZONE 32 ZONE 25 ZONE 27 13 CZ 15 ZONE ids ._.............._____.__..S........
ZONE 10 CZ 15 O.
......____ ......100. 8.
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Table 6 Correspondence Between Zonal Contribution Tables and magnited bins plots based on only G-Experts 1-4 and our previous results based en all five G-Experts input.
Site Zonal Contrib. Vol. and Mag Bin Vol. and Twa# T=Na # Plot # Plot #
Lirmerick 5.1 II II 2.8.1 10.1 2.8.4 Shearon gig III Harris 5.2 2.13.1 10.2 2.13.4 Braldwood gy IV 5.3 2.3.1 10.3 2.3.4 La Crosse V Y 5.4 2.9.1 10.4 2.9.4 River Bend y V 5.5 2.12.1 10.5 2.12.4 Wolf Creek V Y 5.8 2,17.1 10.8' 2.17.4 Watts Bar III III s.7 2.17.1 10.7 2.17.4 Vogtle III III 3,s 2.18.1 10.8 2.18.4 Millstone II II 5.g 2.8.1 10.g 2.8.4 y se 5.10 2.7.1 10.10 2.7.4 f
11
Figure 1. Plot of the ratio (5 G-Experts /G-Experts 1-4) of the probability of exceeding 0.30 PGA for the ten test sNes listed in Table 1.
Gh L ~/ L = 3 IFG= 6
_ 3i -- --- .-
, , , __.. r
,t X :
Plot Symbols
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- Arithmetic Mean O 85th percentile C,
Line Medan -
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i -1 . 6. a. 1a.
SITE PLOT IDENTIFICATION NUMBER .
Figure 2. Plot of the ratio (5 the 5 Hz ordinate of a NUREGM Spectrum 0 anchored at 0.3 .G-Experts /G-Expert Plot Symbols X Arithmetic Mean O 85th percentile Line Medan i
ili L ?L = 3 IFG: 3
_ 3g, . _ . . - - _ _ _ -
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ile X
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SITE PLOT IDEt4TIFICATION NUMBER
t 1
Figure 3.
Plot of the ratio (5 G-Exporta/G-Experts 1-4) of the probability of exceeding the 2.5 Hz ordinate of a NUREG-0098 Spectrum anchored at 0.3g.
Plot Symbols X Arithmetic Mean O 85th percentile Line Medan Gil L 'L = 3 IFO= 2 X
- t. ie. --
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SliE PLOT - IDEtJTIFICATION Nut 1BER -
Figure 4.
Plot of the ratio (5 G-Experts /G-Experts 1-4) of the probability of exceedin0 the 1.0 Hz ordinate of a NUREG-0098 Spectrum anchored at 0.3g.
Gil L/L= 3 [FO= 1 z - - - - - - . - . . . . - -
[, o J Plot Symbala -
s h X Arithmetic Mean 5 53 -
O 85th percentile -
.j.
Line Medan f ~3. -
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-1 HAZARD CURVES U$ LNG ALL EXPERTS 10 CURVE 1 3.75<uB<5.0
-2 CURVE 2 5.0<WB<5.75 to -
2 CURVE 3 5.75<u8<6.5 O
CURVE 4 6.5<wB
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I. N 10 g r< *s , .n a ~ as m C ACC[LERATION CM/SEC'*2 LtMERICK Figure 10.1 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude ranges shown.
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-2 CURVE 2 5.0<WB45.75 10 -
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.m n n n c a ~ e e o-ACCELERATION Cu/SEC"2 SHEAROld HARRIS Figure 10.2 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude ranges shown.
. y_ -. . . . - . . . . _ _ , . _ ..- --.
J CNLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 USED FROW THE EARTHOUAE5 lN 4 WAGNITUDE RANGES
-t HAZARD CURVES USING ALL EXPERTS to CURVE 1 3.75<WB45.0
-2 CURVE 2 5.0<WB<5.75 to - -
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ACCELERAT ION C'.4/SEC'2 BRA 1DWOOD Figure 10.3 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude ranges shown.
oNLY f,-EXPERTS 1-4 USED FRou THE EARTHOUAES IN 4 MAGN 1TUDE RANGES 1 HAZARD CURVES U$ LNG ALL EXPERTS 10 CURVE 1 3.75aMa*5.0
-2 CURVE 2 5.0<W0<5.75 10
{ CURVE 3 5.75<WB*6.5 U -
CURVE 4 6.5.us 5
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l LA CROSSC l
Figure 10.4 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitudo ranges shown.
1 l
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ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 USED FROM THE EARTHOUAES IN 4 MAGNITUDE RANGES
-1 HAZA*O CURVES USING ALL EX*ERTS 10 e--
~
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, -2 ,
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-g n n n .n e ~ e e C ACCELERAT ION C'A/SEC"2 RIVER GEllD Figure 10.5 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude ranges shown.
4 ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 USED FROW THE EARTHOUkES IN 4 WAONITUDE RANGES 1 HAZARD CURVES USING ALL EXPERTS to -
CURVE 1 3.75<MO<5.0
-2 CURVE 2 5.0<WB<5.75 10
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.g ca n , e c ~ e en C ACCELERATION CM/SEC'2 WOLF CREEK Figure 10.6 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude ranges shown.
r u - l~an --~ .., -.-, aa .. ";-- . - . . -
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ONLY C-EXPERT 3 1-4 USED FROW THE CARTHOUAES IN 4 MAGNITUDE RANGES
-t HAZARD CURVES USING ALL EXPERTS 10 CURVE 1 3.75<u8<5.0
-2 CURVE 2 5.0<WB<5.75 10 h \ CURVE 3 5.75<u8<6.5 e
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ACCELERAT lON Cit /SEC'O WATTS BAR Figure 10.7 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude ranges shown.
ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 USED FROW THE EARTHOUkES IN 4 MAGNITUDE RANGES
.) HAZARD CURVES USING ALL EX*ERTS 10 *-
CURVE 1 3.754MB<$.0
-2 CURVE 2 5.0<u8<S.75 10 2 CURVE 3 S.75<uR<6.5 O
, CURVE 4 6.5<u0 a.
-3 '
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i 10 g es n n .a .o mm m C ACCELERATION CM/SEC'2 V0GTLE Figure 10.8 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude rangos shown.
~
t a
CNLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 USED FROM THE EARTHOUkES IN 4 MAGNITUDE RANGES 1 HAZAPD CURVES USING ALL EXPERTS 10 CURVE 1 3.75<ue<5.0
-2 CURVE 2 5.0<Ma*5.75 10
{ CURVE 3 5.75<W8<6.5 U
\ CURVE 4 6.5<ws
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-7 I'-
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g n n w c c ~ e m C ACCELERAT ION CM/SEC"2 MILLSTONE Figure 10.9 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude ranges shown.
..,_.,_..r, . . .
~s
4 -
5 ONLY C-EXPERTS 1-4 USED FROW THE EARTHOUAES IN 4 MAGNITUDE RANGES E 10
-1 HAZARD CURVES USING ALL EXPERTS CURVE 1 3.75<uB<5,0
-2 CURYE 2 5.0cW8<5.75 10 -
{ CURYE 3 5.75<WR<6.5
," 's CURVE 4 6. 5 m8 E
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g c. m , o o s e e C ACCELERAT ION CM/SEC'*2 MAINE YA!4KEE Figure 10.10 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude ranges shown.
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SEISNIC HAEARD CHARACTERIBATION FOR THE ST. LUCIE NUCLEAR POWER PLANT 1988 I
Number of Attenuation Experts ..... 5-Number of Seismicity Experts ..... 11 l
I f -
& $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $' W 0 f f) k f f Q l
[ASTfRN UNITED STAT [S S[ISMIC HAZARD CHARACT[RIZATION HAZARD CALCULATION FOR THE ACCELERATION LOWIR MAGP!TUDE OF INTEGRATION (S 5.0 01/28/88 17:42:25 NUMBER OF P[RCENTILE VALUES , a S NW8[R OF RETURN PERIOOS . = 5 NUMDER OF FREQUENCl[(S) ..... . .= 1 NUuBER OF SIWULATIONS PER ATT[NUATION [xPERT = 50 NUWB[E OF ATT[NUATION [XP[RTS . . ... .. .= $
NWDER OF $[ISWICITY [XPERTS .. .. .. = 11 ST. LUCIE
- a m
$ Y q
W 2
- 4 e
. - u
_. - ~
o T , P,t 1 3 3 5 *
- --m _ _ _ _ .
s % q g q 3 g 3
- a ^ ^ m q q % s E.U.S SEISWIC HAZARD CHAPACTERIZAftoH LOWER MAGNITUDE CF INTEGRATION 15 5.0
-1 MAZARD CURVES U$1NG ALL EXPERTS to 9-BEST . A- AA I TWET IC ,G-<,EcuCT R I C
- PGA DE$1CN VALUE
-2 10 E
f.,
' ~
w Q
w 4 U to '\ \
g s 4
0 .
0 -5
-4 '
to 4
i 10
-7 ' \
l n n e e o n e e
- g O ACCELERATICN CW/5EC"2 ST. LUCIE
.s i
' - ~ - - - - _ - _ _ _ .
T-O O O O Ch 0 0 0 0 'O _
4, 4 4 0 0 - -
9 6, O I r.c 2
6 I
r E.U.S SEtSufCINi[GFATION HAZARD15CHAPACTIRIZATION 5.0 LCwtR MAGNITUDC CF 15 50, AND 85 P(PCENTfLES r (e HAZAPD CURvC5 U$fNG ALL [XPERTS ]
-t 10 ; --
. PGA D[$lGN VALUE Ib n
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V N s _, '\ .
0 10 -\
a \
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\ '
I Ns
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-6 s 10 N
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N 10 =,,n n f, ACCELERAT t0H CM/SEC"Z ST. LUCIE
. .J 44 jg4 *b ..
3 _
7 Q PAGE 2* f t l Q$ 5 b E = 0 67
!!jCOMB!!!!!!!!!IIII!I!!!!!!} Yi 00 o =0CAC67 .g SITE DESIGN PARAMETERS NO IN COMBIN e MILL USE THE VALUES PASSE FROM ALEAS, IN T-FILES i
1 5
~
eee**** e** *** * * ** * *
- INFORMATION FROM THE T FILES ********************
ST. LUCIE hh h kh tuMsER OF 5.:
how lHER f0NSPERA EMUATION EXPERT 50 h i SEISMIC EXPERTS ARE 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 10 11 12 13 I .$
- ** ***o**es en e RESULTS OF HAZARD CALCULATIONS ********************
.A VARIABLE IS ACCELERATION 3 HAZARD CURVE ACC BEST ESTIMATE ARITHM g GEOMEg 3D5 .05 .15 .50 .45 .95
. 9001 +02 .7354E-03 .2036E-03 .1871E-03 .1292 -05 .1976E-04 .2764E-03 .2192E-02 .7989E-02
. 4001 +02 .3479E-03 .9617E-Os .83 3E-04 .4789 -06 .8160 -05 .1291 -03 .96 31 E-0 3 .3674E-02 '
1
. 3 01 +03 1286E-03 .3587E-03 .28 5 -04 .1725E-06 .2348 -05 .4391 -04 .3399E-03 .1406E-02
.1 60 +03 47 76 E-04 .1363E-og .8915 -05 .5005E-07 .5685E-06 .1517 E- 0 4 .1216E-03 .5262E-03
- ;!8:81 :HN 81 .i!!!!:84 :llitP8F :11H!:81 :!!!!!:89 -d4526 -068F :iF3?!: : :iUiE;gg 7
. 500E+03 .3972- -05 .i2a8 -04 . -06 .4377E- 0 .5257 -08 .73301 -05 .3705 -04
- 8i
+03
- Hi!
.5043
- 81
-06
- '88
- 8; 016k-05
- g1461 41
.96
-0
- link: 1 0.
- ifti :n
.2471 -10
- flif":
.2696k-0
- lPJ :t
.10521-05
- .6954 fin :-05* '$'
TIME IN SECONDS 4 0 g
.
- f; V
-' =
g, , , , , , , , , , s s , , , .
t l
EASTERN UNITED STATES SEISMIC HAZARD CHARACTERIZATION i HAZARD CALCULATION FOR THE VELOCITY RESPONSC SP[CTRA 4 LOWER MAGNITUDE Or INT [CRATION 15 S.O I
I l 01/30/83
{
17:25:39 NUMBER OF PERCCNTILE VALUES = 5 NtMBER OF RETURN PEPIOOS a S NULeER Or rRCOUCHCIC($) = 5 NUWER OF SIWULATIONS PIR ATTENUATION EXPERT a 30 NUBS [R Cr ATTENUATION EXPERT 5 . . .. . . = 5 NtMBCR OF SCISWICITY [xPERT5 ... .. . . . = 11 ST. LUCLE
^
,. '-a P N
- a,
- l
+
S e
E.U.S SEISWIC HAZARD CHAPACTERI2ATION LCWER WAGNITUDE Cr INTECPATION 15 5.0 500 -YEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCENTILE $PECTRA FO 15., 50. AND 85.
PERCENTILES 8 3
to 2
to 8
b to 8
d 0
10
/ ,
/
-t / ,e m n , <em 10 u , .e_ u e O 3 Yo Io PCP100 ($EC)
ST. LUCIE ,
&G L
L
.~1 ,
_ 7 r
. , ci _
o=;
,- .. s e .
I l
l E.U.S SElsulC HAZARD CHAPACTERl2AT10N )
LowCR MAGNITUDE OF INTEGRATION 15 5.0 1000.-YEAR RETURN PERICO CONSTANT PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR 4 PERCENTILES = 15. 50. AND 85.
3 10 2
10 l
1 1
8 C '
3 ,0 U_
8 ci 10 /
/
/
-1 '
m , em
'O es n < cm << n < c.orsm c<
~
Yo Io PEPl00 (SEC) o S ST. LUCIE 1
1 1+,,h a y ,
a
~
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^
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l E.U.S SEISulC HAZARD CHAPACTERIZATION 3
LCwCR MAGNITUOE OF INTEGRAfl0H t$ 5.0 g
t 10000,-YEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR
- PERCENTILES
- 15. 50. AND 85, 3
10 2
10 1
8 m
to 0
g to
-1 10 es A <cm
/ << n * * * * " * * * * *
, 7o Io PEPIOO (SEC) o 3 ST. LUCIE
1 . . - - . . . . _ _ _ . .
.=.___;__- ;
e W l
- f' t' t 0 i l~ f. f 4 4 I a r e a e g l i ,
I e
?
l E.U.S $[ISWIC HAZARD CHAPACT[R17ATION j LowCR MAGNITUDC Of INTEGRAfl0N IS 5.0
$0-TH PCRC[NTILE SPECYRA FOR ALL RETLRN PERIODS I 3 to l
l l
1 l
1 to l
S 1
10 D
^
10 ,
- I 6 #
f '
FETURN F[RIODS a CURVE 5 = 10000. YEARS i
4 CURVE 4 = $000. YEARS CURVE 3 = 2000. YEARS y CURVE 2 = 1000. YEARS
.: CURv[ 1 = 500. YEARS
'O
<< m < em << n e wr<sm te n , em Yo Io PCP100 ($[0) o
~
o ST. LUCIE E
s - _ _
^^
= l v ___,_ - --
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, 4h PAGE 3
.3000E*01 .2229E-02 .9704E-02 .3395E-03 .1027E-05 .1427E-04 .5286E-03 .7354E-02 .3045E-01 .$
() .2874E-05 .1695E-03 .3193E-02 .1360E-0 1 .5000E+01 .1067E-02 .5256E-02 .9971E-04 .1288E-06
.2064E-06 .7959E-03 .3607E-0 l
.1000E+02 .3359E-03 .1865E-02 .1428E-04 .5370E-08 .2594E-04 l
.3000E+02 .5235E-04 .2101E-03 .2876E-06 .7105E-14 .8459E-09 .8941E-06 .6464E-04 .3824E-0
.5000E*02 .2519E-04 .8126E-04 .3505E-07 .1000E-19 .3167E-11 .1223E-06 1901E-04 .1259E-03
.7000E+02 .15 31 E-0 4 4947E-04 .8382E-08 .1000E-19 .1000E-19 .2532E-07 .844tE-05 .6520E-04
.3447E-04
.9000E+02 .1035E-04 .3519E-04 .3078E-08 .1000E-19 .1000E-19 .7004E-08 .4684E-05 FREQUENCY .2500E*01
.1000E*00 .6549E-01 .1140E+00 .3642E-01 .1602E-02 .6249E-02 .4032E-01 .1877E+00 .5584E+00
.1500E+01 .4151E-02 .1564E-01 .8931E-03 .6648E-05 .5169E-04 .1120E-02 .1534E-01 .5204E-01
.2000E+01 .2782E-02 .1119E-01 .5066E-03 .3073E-05 .2772E-04 .6428E-05 .9453E-02 3372E-01 $
b .2500E+01 .2032E-02 .8385E-02 .3204E-03 .1673E-05 .1713E-04 .4154E-03 .6160E-02 .2336E-01
== .3000E+01 .1567E-02 6 67E-02 .2181E-03 .9194E-06 .1025E-04 .2909E-03 .4549E-02 .1814E-01
.5000E+01 .7387E-03 . 46R-92 .6959E-04 .1766E-06 .2683E-05 .9895E-04 .1681E-02 .8068E-02
.1000E+02 .2485E-03 . 54 !-o3 .1199E-04 .1606E-07 .3431E-06 .1951E-04 4663E-03 .1977E-02 ek .3000E+02 .3667E-04 . 761-04 .2985E-06 .1097E-11 .1514E-08 .7803E-06 4673E-04 .2007E-03 g 1F .4000E+02 .2123E-04 .5091 :-04 .9234E-07 .1000E-19 .1597E-09 .2946E-06 .2347E-04 .1161E-03
.5000E+02 .1367E-04 .3378E-04 .3445E-07 .1000E-19 .1253E-10 .1292E-06 .1426E-04 .7004E-04 FREQUENCY 5000E+01
.5000E-01 .6965E-01 .1160E+00 .3777E-01 .2064E-02 .6858E-02 .4315E-01 .1986E+09 .5279E+00 p
d) .7000E+00 .8586E-02 .2439E-01 .1733E-02 .2068E-94 .1193E-03 .2006E-02 .2612E-01 .1051E+00 1 .1000E+01 .5430E-02 .1674 -01 .9400E-03 .8557E 05 .4395E-04 .1084E-02 .1579E-01 .6565E-0}
.3672E-01
.1500E+01 .3054E-02 .1034 -01 .4488E-03 .3912E 05 .2494E-04 .5650E-03 .8209E-02
.2000E+01 .1968E-02 .7088 -02 .2581E-03 .1341 E 95 .1417E-04 .3399E-03 .4898E-02 .2223E-01
.2500E+01 .1376E-02 . 5117 E- 02 .1649E-03 .6197E-b4 .8391E-05 .2244E-03 .3354E-02 .1521E-01 lh .3000E+01 .1016E-02 .3807E-02 .1127E-05 .3810E-06 .5015E-05 .1610E-03 .2409E-02 .1098E-01
.4027E-02
.5000E+01 .4106E-03 .1433E-02 .3589E-04 .8533E-07 .1340E-05 .5532E-04 .9032E-03
.1000E+02 .1047E-03 .3119E-03 .5439E-05 .6148E-08 .1b52E-06 .1036E-04 .1945E-03 .9347E-03
.3000E+02 .8827E-05 .2904E-04 .7458E-07 .7105E-14 .1775E-09 .2671E-06 .1216E-04 .5315E-04 FREQUENCY .1000E+02 II .5000E-01 .4315E-01 .8454E-01 .1791E-01 .6162E-03 .2215E-02 .1993E-01 .1387E+00 .4364E+00 $
.7000E+00 4121E-02 .1379E-01 .5333E-03 .3966E-05 .3875E-04 .5845E-03 .1211E-01 .4261E-01
.1000E+01 .2293E-02 .8650E-02 .2796E-03 .1473E-05 .2031E-04 .3128E-03 .6395E-02 .2592E-01
.1500E+01 .1088E-02 .4629E-02 .1275E-03 .4358E-06 .8476E-05 .1524E-03 .2885E-02 .1267E-01
.2000E+01 .6122E-03 .2729E-02 .6974E-04 .2068E-06 4361E-05 .8795E-04 .1621E-02 .6649E-02 f .2500E+01 .3820E-03 .1716E-02 .4226E-04 .1233E-06 .2593E-05 .5653E-04 .9823E-03 .4197E-02 $
.3000E+01 555E-03 .1140E-02 .2722 -04 .8263E-07 .1558E-05 .3823E-04 .6533E-03 .2887E-02
.5000E+01 . 7'640E-04 .3243E-03 .6715 -05 .1305: -07 .2888E-06 .1041E-04 .1888E-03 .8410E-03
.1000E+02 .1250E-04 .4786E-04 .5258 -06 .1297: -09 .9609E-08 .1158E-05 .2730E-04 .1140E-03
.2000E+02 .1787E-05 .7090E-05 .1729E-07 .10001-19 .2404E-10 .5626E-07 .2995E-05 .1420E-04
{j FREQUENCY .2500E+02 3
.2000E-01 .3689E-01 .7643E-01 .1587E-01 .6038E-03 .2048E-02 .1784E-01 .1221E+00 .3639E+00
.5000E+00 .1372E-02 .5121E-02 .2010E-03 .9859E-06 .1612E-04 .2555E-03 .3474E-02 .1624E-01
.7000E+00 .6924E-03 .2733E-02 .1054E-03 .5306E-06 .8590E-05 .1395E-03 .1838E-02 .8731E-02
.1000E+01- .3159E-03 1252E-02 .4992E-04 .2385E-06 .3783E-05 .7147E-04 .8633E-03 .3961E-02
.1500E+01 .1210E-03 .4671E-03 1921E-04 .4685E-07 .1262E-05 .2960E-04 . 3411 E- 0 3 .1443E-02 $
f .2000E+01 .5895E-04 .2270E-03 .8859E-05 .2371E-07 4697E-06 .1433E-04 .1722E-03 .4565E-05 n'
.3000E+01 .2045E-04 .8303E-04 .2352E-05 .2949E-08 .8318E-07 .4241E-05 .6102E-04 .2250E-03
.5000E+01 .5089E-05 .2470E-04 .2851E-06 .6491E-11 .5715E-08 .6871E-06 .1439E-04 .5487E-04
.1000E+02 .7016E-06 .5310E-05 .7920E-08 .1000E-19 .1660E-11 .2598E-07 .1289E-05 .7378E-05
.2000E+02 .7735E-07 1218E-05 .2015E-09 vet 0 CITY SPECTRA
.1000E-19 .1000E-19 .3389E-09 .8090E-07 .7487E-06 )
FREQUENCY BEST ESTIMATE ARITHMET1C GEOMETRIC BDS .05 .15 .50 .85 .95 MEAN MEAN RETURN PERIOD .5000E+03
.1000E+01 .3234E+01 .9544E+01 .1145E+01 .1236E+00 .2338E+00 .1532E+01 .6314E+01 .1335E+02 y$ '
.2500E+01 .2528E+01 .5877E+01 .8325E+00 .9019E-01 .1903E+00 .9680E+00 .4554E+01 .9942E+01
.5000E+01 .1979E+01 .4200E+01 .6192E+00 .5092E-01 .1116E+00 .7011E+00 .3305E+01 .6970E+01
.1000E*02 .1077E+01 .2322E+01 .2594E+00 .2781E-01 .5344E-01 .2790E+00 .1801E+01 .3493E+01 ,
.2500E+02 .3459E+00 .8074E+00 .9200E-01 .1093E-01 .2032E-01 .1051E+00 .6719E+00 .1316E+01 O'
dD .
r
- D 4
PAGE
.1000E+04 .2207E+01 .8923E+01 1874E+02 RETURN PERIOD 1797E+01 .1702E+00 .3513E+00 .1591E+01 .6621E+01 .1387E*02
.5198E+01 1368E*02 1381E+01 .1262E+00 .2815E*00 4742E+01 .9685E+01
.1000E+01 4070E+01 .8369E+01 .7576E-01 .1752E+00 .10 51 E + 01 4654E+01
.2500E+03 .5889E*01 .9646E+00 .8399E-Cl .4685E+00 .2480E+01
.5000E+01 .3027E+01 4366E+00 .5950E-01 .1777E+00 .9330E+00 .1715E+01
.1000E+02 1565E+01 .3164E+01
.1533E+00 .1549E-01 .3221E-01
.5842E+00 1097E+01 .2000E+04 .1226E+02 .2631E*02
.2500E+02 RETURN PERIOD .2344E+00 .5277E+00 .3076E+01 .1935E*02
.1939E+02 .2506E+01 .4164E+00 .2274E+01 .9630E+01
.1000E+01 7877E+01
.1198E+02 .2015E+01 .1777E+00 .2753E+00 .1607E+01 6530E*01 .1271 +02 ;
.2500E+01 6409E+01 8070E+01 .1414E*01 .1127 +00 .1320E+00 .7452E+00 .3349E+01 .5988 +01
.5000E+01 4474E+01 .7254E+00 .5578 -01 .3005E+00 .1269E+01 .2217 +01 1000E+02 2201 E* 01 .4193E+01 .2198 -01 5104E-01
.8116E+00 .1459E+01 .2555E+00 4042E*02
.2500E+02 RETURN PERIOD .5000E+04 3578E+00 9038E+00 4642E+01 .1830E+02 3006E+02
". .3080E+02 .3741E*01 6986E*00 .358'E+01 1498E+02 1805E+02
.1000E+01 .1359E+02 .1936E+02 .3119E+01 .2794E+00 .2663E+01 9876E+01 ) I
.2500E+01 1133E*02 .2271E+01 1906E+00 .5000E+00 1287E+01 4883E+01 .8229E+01
.5000E*01 .7202E+01 .1228E+02 1189E+01 9007E-01 .2400E+00 .18 7 8 E+ 01 .3131E+01
.3328E+01 .5957E+01 3481E-01 .9382E-01 .5729E+00
.1000E+02 .1213E+0i .2105E+01 .5014E+00 .5625E+02
.2500E+02 RETURN PERIOD .1000E+05 4926E+00 .1358 E+ 01 6076E+01 .2479E+02 4272E+02 4472E+02 .4994E+01 .1035E+01 4975E+01 .2086E+02 .) '
.1000E+01 .2046E+02 .2785E+02 .4252E*01 3934E+00 3768E+01 .1302E*02 .2355E+02
.2500E+01 .1686E+02 .3165E+01 .2836E+00 .7743E+00 .1870E+01 .6279E*01 1045E+02
.5000E+01 .1021E+02 .1693E+02 .1684E+01 1294E+00 .3772E+00 .8360E+00 . 247 3E+ 01 .4024E+01 l 1000E+02 4462E+01 .7657E+01 .4928E-01 .1487E+00
.1619E+08 .2783E*01 .7177E+00 }
. 2500E+02 '
1 ;
P.R.3
... 8. A R I L.I.T.I.E.S..
.O.F. .E.X.C.E.E.D A.N.C.E. .O.F..D.E.S. .I G.N. .S.P.EC. T.R.A..N.U.M. .B .E R..
FOR BEST ESTIMATE OF HA2ARD PROS. OF EXCEEDANCE FREQ(HZ3 PERIOD3.03 (5) .213E-05 2
.33 .207E-03 1.00 1.00 1.67 .60 .226E-03 2.50 40 .286E-03 '
3.30 .30 .299E-03 5.00 .20 454E-03 12.50 .08 .851E-03 25.00 .04 .844E-03 '
4 I PRO OF EXCEEDANCE FR O(H i P R OD3.03 5 .
.335E-12
.33 158E-09 1.00 1.00 d 1,67 60 .250E-03 I 2.50 40 .219E-07 3.30 .30 328E-07 5.00 .20 101E-06 12.50 .04 .431E-06 d 25.00 .04 .635E-06 T
FOR 15.0 PERCENTILE FREQ(HZ3 PERIOD3.03 (5) HAZARDPROB.OF EXCFEDANCE
.872E-08
.33 .494E-07
( 1.00 1.67 1.00
.60 .141E-06 447E-06 2.50 .40 3.30 .30 .577E-06 5.00 .20 .155E-05
.(,
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PAGE 5 ; .
12.50 .08 .746E-05 !
' 25.00 .04 .103E-04 p'
FOR 50.0 PERCENTILE HAZARD FREG(HZ) PERIOD (S)
.33 3.03 PR00. OF EXCEEDANCE
.725E-05 g'
1.00 1.00 .108E-04 1.67 .60 .148E-04 }4 2.50 40 .241E-04 t i
3.30 .30 .313E-04 g i i 5.00 .20 .623E-04 12.50 .08 .135E-03 *-
25.00 .04 .166E-03 FOR 85.0 PERCENTIL E MAZARD g l FREetHZ) PERIOD (S) PROS. OF EXCEEDANCE
- !08
.550E-03
- t :*!
- 5:!:
12.50 .2 -h2
! 25.00 .04 .2 -02 FOR 95.0 PERCENTILE HAZARD g .
FREG(HZ) PERIOD (S) PROB. OF EXCEEDANCE t
.33 3.03 .275E-02 1.00 1.00 .201E-02 .
1.67 40 .195E-02 g 2.50 .40 .237E-02 3,30 .30 .275E-02 5.00 .20 450E-02 's 12.50 .08 .995E-02 'J 25.00 .04 .194E-01 S.
f TIME IN SECONDS '
CPU 44644E+01
$YS 86988E-01 g 10 .24834E+01 i
ei I '
G i
e-
e o ,
l SEISNIC RAZARD CHARACTERIEATION FOR THE ST. LUCIE NUCLEAR POWER PLANT 1 l
I 1988 l
Number of Attenuation Experts ..... 4 ;
I Number of Soissioity Experts ..... 11 l
l 1
I I
I l
. .__ _ ~ _ ... ..
g g. p g ( ( 0 0 0 0 0 0 f f 0 0 di EASTERN UNITED STATES SEISMIC HAZARD CHARACTIRIZATION ACCELEPATION RESULTS FOR O-EXPERTS 1.2.3 ANO 4 lower MAGNITUDE OF INTEGRAfl0N IS 5.0 C5/18/88 09:46:54 NWBER OF PERCENTILE VALUE$ . . .
E $
NWBER OF RETURN PEPIOOS . = 5
= 1 NUMOER OF FREQUENCIE(S) . . . .
NUMBER OF SIWULATIONS PER ATTENUAft0N EXPERT = 50 t
NUMBER OF ATTENUAfl0H EXPERTS ... .. .
= 4 I
f 4
I NUMPER OF SEISMICITY EXPERTS . . .. .. . = 11
} ST. LUCIE 1
e W %
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E.U.S SEISWIC MAZARD CHAPACTERIZATION G-EXPERTS 1,2,3.4 AND LCwER W = 5.0 HAZARD CUPvES USING 4 G-EXPERT (S) g1
- - PCA DESIGN VALUE
-2 A - Ailj TWEfic WEAN to A
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' # # 0 V I b igi E.U.S SElsulC HAZARD CHAP ACTERIZATION G-EXPERTS 1.2.3.4 15. AND LOWER
- 50. AND 85 14 = 5.0 PERCENTILES =
j HAZAPD CURNES U$1NG ALL EXPERT $ ]
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,l emeneesseeeeeeeeeeee w k$3 w eeeeses INFORMATION FROM FILE COMBIN (INPUT FILE COMBIN)
MENU FOR COMBINING OVER SEISMICITY EXPERTS EASTERN UNITED STATES SEISMIC MAZAR 2 CHARACTERIZATION 08Eik'AiniVUBPD'fNfia.fifli.'il's.6 2 ^"" * ~
E.U.S SEISMIC HAZARD CHARACTERIZATION 3V G-EXPERTS 1.2.3.4 AND LONER M = 5.0
- REM FLAGS FOR PLOTTING AVERACES METIC HkN hkR E TI 'C E ME .
R (FRAME A) hA2= 1 ARITHMETIC. CH A SEPARATE FRAME
..................... :'G1 = 0
- "" 2-ON^ FRAME 5 GEOMITR:'C. 0 it!? PS i fAJ1 PN LAEi A Aa6 a ::::I: EDAM: .: = 0 _
ALL BEHC FOR INDIVIDUAL 3-EXPERT ON eeeee e. g
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$3E VALUES READ FROM MENU FILE
- lenli
mee***e ..e . ..
- INFORMATION FROM THE 7 FILES o y's ST. LUCIE 11 e
s NUMBER OF SEISMIC EXPERTS 5
- 4. - NUMBER OF ATTENUATION EXPERTS IM T-FILE Skk0FA A E E U TMi NN ' I""'z" e' lillM2 TIE'HAiMIFtm : 1$E 125 PERCEMTAGE OF ZERS MAZARD POINTS IN GEOMETRIC PERCENT OFMEAN CALCULATIONS ZEROS i
FREQUENCY 1 11.56 %
d-
- ******** RESULTS OF HAZARD CALCULATIONS ******************** e g
VARIABLE IS ACCELERATISM ggy HAZARD CURVE e
.05 .15 .50 .45 .95 BEST ESTIMATE ARITHMETIC BDS ACCELERATION OEOMETRgC "
- !I!!!:!! e
"" f I!!!fi!! :1112::31 :1!!!!!!! :lliiE!!j :18!!!:81 :1!!!I:81
.1414E-05
- llist:8!
.5182 -04
- 1!!!E:i
.2454E-03 .1058E-02
.1860E-0 1081E-0
.1230i +03 .1853 -
.279 -
.6086 -05 .2710 -0 36061-04 -1045 4_ G3407 E-04 4256E-0
.1960 +03 4020 - .114 -
036 -07 .18001 .- 0 6 .5757 -05 .5564E-04 .2920 -0
.1661E-06 .7289: -04 .5255 -05 .
.1707E-04 792 -04 g
.f450 +03 -05
-07 .128
.1550E-07 .2608E-04 -09 .20g .
- 2tlit:!
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"g .o92
- "!!i :ll?;t:t
.6554}-06 : :1? :2157 :81- :lli E:81 :tilit:81
- ill!I:t :lli?j::St :5041fi :14501-07 :1..iE:02 -111.e:01
. :siitt:Si :2iill:i :19?il:1 :lliiE0. !- e TIME In SECONDS g e 2t.
O s31EJ e
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O o o o o o e a e a a a a o a a pj EASTERN UNiitD STATES SEISMIC HAZARD CHARACTERIZATION ONLY G-EXPERTi 1.2.3 AND 4 USED LOWER MAGNITUDE OF INTEGRATION IS S.0 06/08/88 19:04:11 NUMBER OF PERCENTILE VALUES .. = 5 NUM8ER Or RETURN PEP 1005 . = 5 NUMBER Of TREQUENCIE(S) = 5 NUMBER OF SIMULATIONS PER ATTENUAff0N EXPERT = 30 NUWBER Or ATTENUATION EXPERTS . . . .... .. = 4 NUMBER OF SEISMICITY EXPERTS ,, , a 11 ST. LUCIE h
t
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i ONLY G-EXPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 U$ED LCwER M GNITUDE OF INTEGPATION IS 5.0 500,-YEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR PERCENitLES = 15. 50. AND 85.
3 10 l
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2 I 10 l
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o o Yo Io PEPIOD (SEC)
ST. LUCIE l I
-k._ ~ q o o o o o o o e o o o o o .o o o D N
3 ONLY 0-EXPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 USED l LCwER MAGNITUDE Of INTEGPATION is 5.0 1000,-YEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR .
PERCENTALES = 15. 50. AND 85.
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'O c. m , + m, ce n < + em te n **m 7o Io PEPt0D (SEC) 2 2 ST. LUCIE i
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1 ONLY 0-EXPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 USED LCwER WGNITUDE OF INTEGP ATION l$ $ 0 l 2000.-YEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR PERCENTILES e l$.. $0. AND $$.
3 10 l
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CNLY C-EXPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 USED LCWER MAGNITUDC CF INTEGPATION IS 5.0 e-5000.-YEAR RETURN PERICO CONSTANT PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR
- PERCENTILES = 15. 50. AND B5. 3 3
- 10 I
i' 2
10 8
R b 10 0
8
/
/ /
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- ~ ~
' ' % % % y % % ) l n )
't ONLY G--[XPERTS 1.2,3 AND 4 USCO LCwCR WAGNITUDC Cf INTCGRATION 15 $.0 10000.-TEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCCNTILE SPECTRA FOR '
PERCENTIL[$ = 15. 50. AND 85.
3 10 f
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'E IS ST. LUCIE
~
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i 5
l ONLY G-EXPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 USED LCwER MAGNITUDE OF INTEGPATION IS 5.0 50-TH PERCENilLE SPECTRA FOR ALL RETOPN PERIODS 3
10 2
, 10 I
' 8 R
10 c_
/
0 to /
j/ f tRl005 i
.- ,y VE 5 = 10000. YEARS
.' CURVE 4 = 5000, YEARS
// ,/ CURVE 5 a 2000. YEARS
_i y
/',/
CURVE 2 s 1000. YEARS CURvt 1 = 500. YEARS
- c. n <cm r< n w .a sw <<n <cm Yo Io PEPIOD (SEC) o
~
o ST. LUCIE i
,1 f
- - - a' -- -
J ) 0 0 0 0 O. O l
+0 9 Q G 'O S J 2 ?
ONLY G-EXPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 USED l LCwER 64AGNITUDE OF INTEGRAfl0N IS 5.0 i
50-TH PERCENilLE SPECTRA FOR ALL RETURN PER1005 3
to l
2 to l
l 8
5 3 to _
0 / / CTRUW NUMBER 1
[ [/ ,/ , 7 PE M VE NICOS 5 = 10000. YEARS
/, CURVE 4 = 5000. YEARS
/ CURVE 3 a 2000. YEARS 3 // f CURVE 2 = 1000. YEARS 500. YEARS CURVE 1 s
., 2',
50 n < .n m c< n w c an.
ce n < arm e<
~
Yo Io PERIOD (SEC) o 2 ST. LUCIE N
x PAGE 1 g
fgtES ASSOCIATED HITH THIS RUN AREe INPUTS I =COMBM4GX n133 1133 ,,,,ne eeeee**** INFORMATION FROM FILE COMBIN *seeeeeeeeeeeeeme**e 1133 MENU FOR COMBINING OVER SEISMICITY EXPERTS (INPUT FILE COMBIN) 1L35 n135 00tEstAL TITLE n133 EASTERN UNITED STATES SEISMIC HAZARD CHARACTERIZATION ONLY G-EXPERTS 1 2,5 AND 4 USED pggy LONER MAGNITUDE 6F INTEORATION IS 5.0 n135 -
TITLE ON PLOTS e ing33 ONLY G-EXPERTS 1 2,3 AND 4 USED LOHER MAGNITUDE 6F INTEGRATION IS 5.0 in134 o 301 MWU FLAGS FOR PLOTTING AVERAGES a gn133 A ONE = YES HILL RE PLOTTED, AND A ZERO = NO, HILL NOT -
ARITHMETIC. HITH PERCENTILE CURVES (FRAME B) IAI = 0 dn L33 ARIT HMETIC, ON A SEPARATE FRAME (FRAME A) IA2 = 1 ,
GEOMETRIC, ON FRAME B ..................... IGl = 0 gnt33 GE0 METRIC ON FRAME A ...................... IG2 = 0 BEST ESTINATE ON FRAMES A AND B ............ 181 = 0 gn133 ALL BEHC FOR INDIVIDUAL S-EXPERT ON 1 FRAME 182 = 0 gn133
$O -
NUMBER OF SEISMICITY EXPERTS. THIS RUN = 11 gynt3M # UMBER ATTENUATION EXPERT (S), THIS RUN = 4 NUMBER OF RETURN PERIODS ............. = 5 -
ggn133 NUMBER OF PERCENTILE BOUNDS .......... = $ I L ST OF S-EXPERT (S) = 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 to 11 12 13 4gn133 L ST OF G-EXPERT (S) = 1 2 3 4 R TURN PERIODS = 500. 1000. 2000. 5000. 10000.
ggot33 P CENTILE VALUES = .05 .15 .50 .85 .95 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 1567 Ngn13 . SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 2567
. SEISMIC EXPERT FILE =TSPS$67 ggn133 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 4567 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 5567 Ngn133 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 6567 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 7567 Nun 13 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 10567 N 01 Hgo13Y NM01 SS h
4
PAGE 5 RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES )
.1000E+04 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY .2500E+02 SEISMIC EXPERT 13
, MTW8 PERIOD RESULT 08TAINED BY LEAST SQUARES 1 )
e* INFORMATION FROM THE T FILES ********************
I- t)
ST. LUCIE mposER OF SEISMIC EXPERTS 11 ytpqBER OF ATTENUATICH XPER S IN T-FIL 5 ,)
myeSER OF SIMUL AT ONS ER A TENUAT ON XPERT 30 mpelER OF ATTENUA ION EXPERT (S) US D THIS RUM 4 SEISMIC EXPERT (3) LIST ... = 1 2 4 5 6 7 10 11 12 13 Afi M ATION EXPERT (S) LIST = 1 2 4 ALCULATIONS PERCENTAGEOFZEROHAgD 0NTSINGgMgRI MgA p 1 19.45 X 2 11.39 X 3 9.2 )
l 5 13:1)X 4i
)
- ::::eee**** RESULTS OF HAZARD CALCULATIONS ********************
'. )
VARIABLE IS VELOCITY SPECTRA
.)
HAZARD CURVE Ik
- VEL OCITY CM/SEC BEST ESTIMATE ARITHMETIC MEAM GEOMETRIC MEAN BDS .05 .15 .50 .85 .95 .)
FRE UENCY .1000E+01
.1000E+00 . 5157 E- 02 .107 E+00 . 3 541 E- 01 .2492E-02 .6663E-32 .3900E-01 .1797E+00 .5227E+00
!. .1500E+01 4000E*01
.6306E-04 .15 -01 .8850E-03 .6711E-05 .5253E-04 .1038E-02 .1379E-01 .6061E-01
- .pt CE+01 399E-04 449 -04
.12 -01
.8310E-02 4868E-0
.1920E-0 779E-05 137 -06 519 -04 091 -05
.5814 -03
.2195 -03
.9418E-02
.4761E-02
.4193 -0"
.2641 -O' s) t-
.iG OE+01 .418 -05 4766 -02 . 5181 E- 0 4 .588 -07 .1258 -05 .6545 -04 .1873 -02 .1134 -O
- t. *
..e +02 .621 E-06 .1779 -02 .6387E-0 . 77 E-08 .1083 -06 .9558 -05 .4061 -03 .2406 g* .
+02 .1921E-07 .1792E-03 .8801E-0 . 000 -19 .2074 -09 .2574E-06 .1677E-04 .2048 h g- *.7p'0 E+02
.3622E-08 .6496E-04 .8482E-08 .1000 -19 .4482 -13 .2768E-07 .3 -05 .5842E-04 J
- g. E+02 .4485E-09 .4047E-04 1720E-08 .1000E-19 .10 0 0 E-19 .4345 -08 .1 -05 .3168E-04 t' '90 GE+02 .1114E-09 .2979E-04 .5679E-09 .1000E-19 .1000E-19 .8477 -09 .5907E-06 .1572E-04 g FREQUENCY .2500E+01 t* *1080E+00 .3994E-02 .960lE-01 .2823E-01 .1301E-02 .4487E-02 .2862E-01 .16 51 E+ 0 0 .4844E+00 S* )
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.3393E-04 .5448E-03 8130E-02 .3482E-01 #
.1 13 2 E - 01 .5001E-03 .3860E-05 .3005E-03 .5115E-02 .2218E-01 .
- *1500E+01 .5502E-04 .8076E-02 .2753E-05 1619E-05 1660E-04 .3308E-02 .1587E-01
.2000E+01 .3242E-04 .8902E-06 .9809E-05 .1925E-03
.2415E-07 .1138 E- 01
+
.2125E-04 .6031E-02 .1704E-03 .5523E-06 .6521E-05 .1357E-03
.8102E-03 .4523E-02 I
~2500E+01 .1479E-04 .4632E-02 .1140E-03 .1159E-06 .1684E-05 4348E-04 .1210E-02
.3479E-04 .1876E-03
'3000E+01 4880E-05 .1915E-02 .1091E-07 .1939E-06 .8250E-05 .1280E-03 2 5000E+01 9114E-06 4554E-03 .5570E-05 .8 37 6 E-13 .5493E-09 .2398E-06 .1569E-04 .7585E-04 1, 1000E+02 .2173E-07 4860E-04 .1049E-06 .1000E-19 .2644E-10 .6282E-07 .7821E-05 4598E-04
.3000E+02 .4834E-08 .2674E-04 .2883E-07 .1000E-19 .7892E-12 .2296E-07 .4747E-05 4000E+02 .1645E-08 .1686E-04 .9618E-08 4458E+00 j
- .5000E+02 FREQUENCY .5000E+01 .1833E-02 4624E-02 .3080E-01 .157 6 E + 0 0 4395E-01 i
.3819E-02 .9398E-01 . 2 8 56 E- 01 .1051E-04 .8180E-04 1053E-02 .9914E-02 .2361E-01
.5000E-01 .9040E-04 .1172E-01 8641E-03 .4893E-05 .4054E-04 5636E-03 .5765E-02
.1200E-01
_^ .7000E+00 .5014E-04 .7847E-02 4543E-03 .1531E-05 .1762E-04 .2881E-03 .2913E-02 .6935E-0
.1000E+01 . 2 316 E-0 4 48701-0 117E-03 .7767E-06 .8082E-05 .1699E-03 .1848E-02 1500E+01 .1294E-04 .3402: . 205E-03 .4225E-06 4886E-05 .1151 E- 0 3 .1260E-02 .5150 -0 "
.2000E+01 .7910E-05 .2496 .7661E-04 .2595E-06 .2880E-05 .7853E-04 .8877E-05 .3619 -02
.1368E-02
.3377E-03
.2500E+01 .5100E-05 .1880 - .5225E-04 .6350E-07 .7073E-06 .2748E-04 4 .3000E+01 .1170E-05 .7 81 -03 1658E-04 .5928E-07 4773E-05 .7203E-04 .3443E-03 r .5000E+01 .8976E-07 .1 26E-0 .2418E-05 . 3 3 51 E- 0 8
.5428E-10 .7669E-07 .4255E-05 .2885E-04 L 000E+02 1340E-0 .2435E-07 .1000E-19 #
4 . 000E+02 .2620E-09 FRE UENCY 1000E+02 1593E-02 .1128E-01 .8503E-01 .2332E+00
.550 E-01 .i124E-01 .4634E-03 . 2 517 E- 0 4 .2727E-03 .2732E-02 .1080E-01
.5000E-01 .13 34 E- 02 .2245E-03 . 733E-05 .1531E-03 .1568E-02 .6002E-02 '
- .7000E+00 .3396E-04 . 4 513 E- 0 2 176E-03 455E-06 .1151E-04 .7836E-03 .3104E-02 1000E+01 .1791E-04 .3012E-02 .
-04 791E-06 5277E-05 7385E-04 4657E-03 .1808E-02 #
i
.7782E-05 1798E-02 .
.1409E-06 .2830E-05 4 318 E-0 4 1185E-02
's .1500E+01 .3416E-05 .1154E-02 . -04
.4849E-07 1675 -05 .2793E-04 . 154E-03 8809E-03
"; .2000E+01 .1934E-05 7786E-03 872 -04
.4643E-07 1054 -05 .1820E-04 081E-03
.2500E+01 .1005E-05 .5488E-03 1221E-04 1681E-06 . 510 9 E- 0 5 ..7170E-04 .3320E-03
.3000E+01 1774E-03 .3085E-05 .4047E-08 4108E-08 .5242E-06 .1169E-04 7224E-04 i h-
' .5000E+01 .1257E-06 .2542E-04 .2252E-06 4539E- 0 .1735E-07 .1103E-05 .6741E-05 #
i .1000E+02 .4455E-08 .3439E-05 .5809E-08 .1000E- 9 . 36 61 E-11 C .2000E+02 .7114E-10 2500E+02 .1023E-01 .6210E-01 1972E+00 FREQUENCY 4650 .4495E-03 1385E-02 .1062E-02 3008E-02
.2000E-01 .1481E-02 4468E-01 .5590E-06 .9415E-05 .1287E-03 1902E-02 4 .1532E-04 1166E-02 .8813 . 3176 E- 06 4933E-05 .7 566E-04 .6083E-03 1095 -02
.5000E+00 .6847E-03 4790E-04 .2237E-05 .3785 -04 . 318 7 E- 0 3 ,j I .7000E+00 .6721E-05
.3796E-03 .23841-04 .1389E-0 6929E-06 .1566 -04 .1510 E- 0 3 .5562 -03
.1000E+01 .2375E-05 .1889E-03 97521 -05 . 59 01 E- 0 .8602E-04 .3189E-03 i
? .1500E+01 .6278E-04 -03 4658' 1535 -0 .2557 -06 .7518 -05
.22 4) -05 .3437E-04 .1376E-03
.20001+01 .2434I-04 1
.1657 -08 4675I -07 4370E-04
.6350' -07 -04 264' .33 1! -06
.1126 . [0 28 ' -08
- tfi !f : fit:E:82
.30001 .
-04 454
+C4HHH4C
- lill':fi 1
- .50001 g .9841' -08 .
- 4?t;:ft :1888 L :tli!:11 .9725l:05 --
J :1880 .02 :ifti:?? :?2tE:t 5
VELOCITY SP TRA .15 .50 .45 .95 OMETRIC BDS .05 FREQUENCY BEST ESTIMATE ARITHMETIC MEAN MEAN ,j g_ RETURN PERIOD .5000E+03 1106E+00 960E+00 .9190E+00 4824E+01 086E+0 790E+00 .9210 +01 .8252E+04 565E+00 .6166E+00 .3277E+01 678E+0 3 .1000E+01 4875 +0 .5915E+0u 8270E-01 .
4239E+00 .1902E+01 .4096E+0 tm .2500E+01 . 548E+00 .3717 +00 4793E-01 .8650E-01 .8553E+00 .1895E+0
.5000E+01 .7889 -01 .2883E+0 .1602 +00 .2528 -01 .4378E-0 .1705 +00
.3030E+00 .6746E+00 *#
.1000E+02 .3783 -01 .1379E+01 .5882 -01 .9645 -02 .1589E-0 .4645 -01
.2500E+02 .165CE-01 .3105E+00 .1000E+04 .1479E+02 RETURN PERIOD 1519 E+ 0 0 .2888E+00 .1528E+01 .6646E*01
.2742E+00 1318E+02 .1372E+01 1130E+00 .2299E+00 .9903E+00 4531E+01 .1098E402
.1000E+01
.2399E+00 .4841E+01 .9420E+00 1361E+00 .7 09 +00 .2820E+01 .5852E+01
.2500E+01 .4194E+01 .6270E+00 .6816E-01 .6723E-01 86 +00 .1301E+01 .2775 +01 A-
.5000E+01 .1286E+00 .2556 +00 .3497 -01 .
106E+00 .5184E+00 .1054 +01
.1000E+02 . 6151 E- 01 .2169E+01 9460 -01 .1351 -01 .2468E-01 .
.2500E+02 .2637E-01 .5509E*00 .2000E*04 .9100E+01 .2015E+02 RETURN PERIOD .2086E+00 .4255E+00 .2130E+01 .1541E+02 4199E+00 .1836E+02 .1974E+01 .1561E+00 .3375E+00 .1564E+01 .6285E+01
.1000E+01
.2500E+01 .3718E+00 .9559E+01 .1500E+01 M
.ee A gd n133 &
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PAGE 7
.2142E+00 .1075E+01 .4063E+01 .8290E+01
.2096E+00 .5879E+01 .9482E+00 .9715E-0 .1045E+00 .4554E+00 .1923E+01 4035E+01 3129E+01 4080E+00 4837E-0 .1842E+00 .7800E+00 .1585E+01 i
adlg!++S1 02 .1013E+00 .1521E+00 .1893E-01 .3859E-01
'4 a
ogge +02 .4297E-01 .8466E+00 .3029E+02
.3172E+00 .7103E+00 .3120E+01 .1277E+02
- 7376E+00 84 02 947Iho! .2390E+00 .5610E+00 .2453E+01 .9702E+01 .2411E+02 SE+01 .6635E+00
.1491E+02 .2320E+01 .3900E+00 .1830E+01 .6324E+01 .1272E+02 i
" 0E*01 .3999E*00 .8'.0E*01 .154 4 E+ 01 .1552E+00 .1472E+00 .8478E+00 .3058E+01 .6295E+01 r *O SE*01 .4736E+01 .7461E+00 7435E-01 .3615E+00 .1258E+01 .250$E+01
- i S00E+ 02
.1957E+00 .1451E+01 .2851E+00 .2953E-01 .6967E-01 *
' .8191E-01 .1000E+05 4017E+02
'500E* 02 RETURN PERIOD .4357E+00 .1047E+01 4181 E+ 01 .1621E+02 )
i
.1130E+01 .4024E+02 .3869E+01 3300E+00 .8238E+00 .3441E+01 .1321E+02 .3436E+02
'1000E+01 .1028E+01 .2105E+02 .3175E+01 .6138E+00 .2673E+01 .8631E+01 .1729E+02
'500E+01 . 6 519 E+ 0 0 .121 E+0T! .2192E+01 .2212E+00 .2910E+00 .1267E+01 .4263E+01 .8626E*01 4000E+01 .613 E+ 0L .1089E+01 .1031E*00 .1089E+00 .5466E+49 .1852E+81 .3458E+01 .
000E+02 .3ZZOE+00 .4585E*00 .4122E-01
- 2500f+ 02 .1335E+00 .213 E+8i 1 ,
3 PR00 ABILITIES e,ameeeeeee eeOFee EXCEEDANCE e ee e eee eeeee OFeeemene DESION SPECTRA se em e seNUMBER s ses s e nes e em se p; j
'T FOR 5.8 PERCENTILE MAZARD i w'
% FREQ(HZ) PERIOD (S) PRet. OF EXCEEDANCE
.33 3.03 .594E-18 " ei
.9 .00 1.00 . 10E-11 r il
.J. .67 .60 . 49E-69 f 2.50 .40 . 48E-07 1
.30 .213E-07 .e 3.30 .744E-07 *
- ,. 5.00 .20 12.50 .08 .251E-06 t 25.00 .04 .369E-06
, p t FOR 15.0 PERCENTILE MA2ARD FREG(HZ) PERIOD3.03 (S) PROB. OF EXCEED 4NCE '
.33 .248E-08
+
1.00 1.00 .212E-07 -
1.67 60 .720E-07 2.50 40 .257E-06 0
3.30 .30 .330E-06 '
5.00 .20 829E-06 12.50 08 438E-05 /
?
25.00 .04 .586E-05 f
- FR 9t PERkOD PROS. OF EX EE,g4NdE 1.00 .00 . 73h-05 1.67 60 .570E-05 e
- 2.50 40 .102E-04 *)
3.30 .50 .140E-04 5.00 .20 .309E-04 S 12.50 .08 .643E-04
. -j 25.00 .04 .472E-04 9
hRQ(H I PER OD3.03 S PROB. OF EXC EDANCE
.' g .33 .163E-0
'.00 1.00 .177I - -
.67 .60 .1881 -
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- # j 3.30 .30 .247E-03 . , .
5.00 20 .377E-03 .
l 12.50 .08 .673E-03 25.00 .04 .706E-03 , p FOR 95.0 PERCENTILE HA2ARD PROS. OF EXCEEDANCE i .
ti FREQ tHD PERIOD3.03
($) .159E-02 i
.33 .127E-02 1.00 1.00 ', p 'i, 1.67 60 123E-02 .
2.50 40 .144E-02 .
3.30 .30 .132E-02 -
5.00 .20 .153E-02 ', 6 12.50 .08 . .258E-02 25.00 .04 ad .215E-02
- 9 '
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SEISNIC HABARD CHARACTERISATION 4 FOR THE ST. LUCIE NUCLEAR POWER PLANT i
1993 REVISION !
Number of Attenuation Experts ..... 7 Number of Seismicity Experts ..... 11 l
l l
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EUS update, 1992 Selsmicity, PGA E' SHEET 4 1992 Composite g.m. accross experts
2 mm 98m .
D 2
-1000. gear return period constant percentile spectra: ,E g percent 1Ies. = 15., 50. and 85. g 10000 7 h. F.,
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. . . . . . . . . . ......i . . ......i {
.s
.1 1 10 100 =
frequency (hz) g st. lucie 5 EUS update, 1992 Seismicity, PSV k SHEET 14 1992 Composite 9.m. accross experts
2 em 58m .
D 3'
2000. gear return period constant percentile spectra: En percent 1Ies = 15., 50. and 85. 'E g.
10000r N<
E 9 m
13 e
s -
Q" s
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st. luc.i e- p EUS update, 1992 Sel str.i c i ty , PSV T SHEET 15 1992 Composite 9.m. accross experts ;
a
~
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a 3
5000. year return period constant percentile spectra: En
, pereent1Ies = 15., 50. and 85. 9 10000r 3" 2<
E 9
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w st. lucie @
EUS update, 1992 Seismicity, PSV T SHEET 16 1992 Compos 1te g.m. acceoss experts
2 -
2~
28= .
D 2
1000R. gear return period constant percentile spectra: en i percenti1es = 15., 50. and 85. 'E y-10000:- N. n< ,
a
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st. lucie j EUS update, 1992 Seismicity, PSV T SHEET 17 1992 Composite g.m. accross experts i
. . _ . , ._ _ _ . . _ , , . , - _. .-- _ -. _-_ _ _ _ . . _ . . _ , , , - . _ _ _ _ _ ___ ~, . _ , _ _ . . -
di..
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2 50-th percentile spectra for all return periods En
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=
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=
5000, years -
curve 3 - 3. gears s curve 2 = 180 B. gears Q curve 1 500. years 8 1
. .......I . . . . . . . . I . . . .....i y e
.1 1 10 100 =
frequency (hz) -
st. lucie 5 EUS update, 1992 Seismicity, PSV T sHctr is 1992 Composite 9.m. accross experts
I F5HE 1993 I
St. Lucie acceleration best estimate arithmetic geometric 0.5000E+02 0.7909E-04 0.1470E-03 0.1643E-04 0.7500E+02 0.4349E-04 0.8565E-04 0.8569E-05 0.1500E+03 0.1367E-04 0.3037E-04 0.2539E-05 0.2500E+03 0.4828E-05 0.1263E-04 0.8010E-06 0.3000E403 0.3147E-05 0.8974E-05 0.5022E-06 0.4000E+03 0.1493E-05 0.5047E-05 0.2237E-06 j 0.5000E+03 0.7864E-06 0.3125E-05 0.1106E-06 0.6500E+03 0.3445E-06 0.1711E-05 0.4303E-07 1 i
0.8000E+03 0.1695E-06 0.1030E-05 0.1899E-07 0.1000E+04 0.7455E-07 0.5790E-06 0.7133E-08 acceleration 0.50 0.85 0.5000E+02 0.2720E-05 0.5210E-04 0.2750E-03 0.0000E+00 0.0000L+00 0.7500E+02 0.1250E-05 0.2800E-04 0.1580E-03 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.1500E+03 0.2760E-06 0.7900E-05 0.5640E-04 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.2500E+03 0.6770E-07 0.2360E-05 0.2240E-04 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.3000E+03 0.3780E-07 0.1460E-05 0.1580E-04 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.4000E+03 0.1040E-07 0.6030E-06 0.8310E-05 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.5000E+03 0.3350E-08 0.2920E-06 0.4950E-05 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 l 0.6500E+03 0.7440E-09 0.1150E-06 0.2440E-05 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.8000E+03 0.1930E-09 0.5020E-07 0.1370E-05 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.1000E+04 0.4050E-10 0.1780E-07 0.6620E-06 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 I
a.
A st. lucie .
velocity spectra .
frequency best estimate arithmetic geometric mean mean return period 0.5000E+03 0.1000E+01 0.4502E+00 0.6506E+00 0.3193Et00 0.2500E+01 0.2980E+00 0.4281E+00 0.2020Et00 0.5000E+01 0.1664E+00 0.2414E+00 0.1197E+00 0.1000E+02 0.5473E-01 0.1002E+00 0.4093E-01 0.2500E+02 0.1599E-01 0.3203E-01 0.1021E-01 return period 0.1000E+04 0.1000E+01 0.7774E+00 0.1194E+01 0.5515E+00 0.2500E+01 0.5135E+00 0.8605E+00 0.3464E+00 0.5000E+01 0.2869E+00 0.5013E+00 0.1939E+00 0.1000E+02 0.1162E+00 0.1929E+00 0.8100E-01 0.2500E+02 0.4083E-01 0.8781E-01 0.1919E-01 return period 0.2000E+04 0.1000E+01 0.1205E+01 0.2026E+01 0.9526E+00 0.2500E+01 0.8851E+00 0.1624E+01 0.5940E+00 0.5000E+01 0.4948:+00 0.1033E+01 0.3143E+00 0.1000E+02 0.2089E+00 0.3714E+00 0.1373E+00 0.2500E+02 0.1025E+00 0.1693E+00 0.3606E-01 return period 0.5000E+04 0.1000E+01 0.1905E+01 0.4077E+01 0.1470E+01 0.2500E+01 0.1572E+01 0.3675E+01 0.1135E+01 0.5000E+01 0.1013E+01 0.2262E+01 0.5948E+00 0.1000E+02 0.4537E+00 0.8830E+00 0.2518E+00 0.2500E+02 0.2136E+00 0.3765E+00 0.8305E-01 return period 0.1000E+05 0.1000E+01 0.2693E+01 0.6919E+01 0.2009E+01 0.2500E+01 0.2373E+01 0.6495E+01 0.1619E+01 0.5000E+01 0.1529E+01 0.4093E+01 0.9638E+00 0.1000E+02 0.8156E+00 0.1461E+01 0.3983E+00 0.2500E+02 0.3722E+00 0.6891E+00 0.1423E+00 results for the 3 percentilr-: l freq. (hz) 0.150** 0.500** 0.850** i return period 0.5000E+03 l 1.00 0.120E+00 0.344E+00 0.120E+01 2.50 0.754E-01 0.230E+00 0.815E+00 5.00 0.370E-01 0.136E+00 0.504E+00 l l
10.00 0.135E-01 0.501E-01 0.196E+00 l
25.00 0.494E-02 0.152E-01 0.893E-01 return period 0.1000E+04 1.00 0.196E+00 0.600E+00 0.195E+01 2.50 0.130E+00 0.402E+00 0.149E+01 5.00 0.719E-01 0.235E+00 0.105E+01 0.236E-01 0.104E+00 0.378E+00 l 10.00 25.00 0.808E-02 0.348E-01 0.168E+00 return period 0.2000E+04 1.00 0.319E+00 0.103E+01 0.316E+01 2.50 0.198E+00 0.703E+00 0.263E+01 l
'- g I . Jaco's s
4,s 9 a. Iso c. son e.ttb ,, , , m r,n;g ,, ,,,, g , H q,, y 4, 5.00 0.122E+00 0.403E+00 0.179E+01 10.00 0.412E-01 0.177E+00 0.727E+00 25.00 0. ll3 E-01 0.796E-01 0.302E+00 return period 0.5000E+04 <
1.00 0.609E+00 0.161E+01 0.599E+01 2.50 0.345E+00 0.131E+01 0.542E+01 5.00 0.206E+00 0.825E+00 0.365E+01 10.00 0.863E-01 0.358E+00 0.144E+01 25.00 0.267E-01 0.169E+00 0.652E+00 return period 0.1000E+05 1.00 0.991E+00 0.226E+01 0.915E+01 !
2.50 0.525E+00 0.194E+01 0.844E+01 l
5.00 0.306E+00 0.127E+01 0.579E+01 10.00 0.135E+00 0.611E+00 0.223E+01 25.00 0.512E-01 0.278E+00 0.111E+01 I
I l
i
ga ,
SEISMIC HAEARD CHARACTERIBATION FOR THE TURKEY POINT NUCLEAR POWER PLANT 1988 Number of Attenuation Experts ..... 5 Number of Seismicity Experts ..... 11 s
/
\, l l
l i
9 O O o o O 'N -
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EASTERN UNITED STATES $[lSMIC HAZARD CHARACT[RlIAfl0N HAZARD CALCULATION FOR THE ACCELCRAfiON lower WAGNITUDE or INi[ graft 0N 15 S.0 01/28/88 17:46:14 .
. . .s 5 NUuBER OF PERC[NTILE VALUES a S' NUuBER Of RETURN PCRIOOS s 1 NLMBER Cr rR[0utNCIC(S) 50 NWBER Or SIWULAf t0NS PER ATTENUATION [XPERT =
. . ... .= 5 NUWBER OF ATTENUAil0N EXP[RTS l
. . ... ,a 11 NWSER Or SElSMICITY EXPERTS O TURKEY POINT t
. - . R
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i E.U.S SEISWIC HAZARD CHAPACTERIZAtl0N LCwtR MAGNITUDE Cr INTEGPATION 15 $.0 HAZAPD CURVES U$1NG ALL EXPERTS 1
10 B-BEST,A-ARITHWETIC.G-CE0 METRIC
- PCA DESIGN VALUE
-2 10 E r a .\
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E.U.S SEfSWIC HAZARD CHAFACTERIZATION IS 5.0 LOwCR MAGNITUDE Cr INTEGPATf0N PERCENTILES =
15., 50. AND SS.
NAZAPC CURy[$ USING ALL EXPERTS
-l
- PGA DESIGN VALUC gg2 E
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PAGE 2 SEISMIC EXPERT FIL E = TAC 7568 ,
1 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TAC 10568 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TAC 11568 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE stAC12568 .
1Hvis SEISMIC CUTCOMB EXPERT FILE = TAC 13568 o C =0CAC68 Nfh 1HVIS SITE DESIGN PARAMETERS NOT IN COMBIN :
1Cvis - HILL USE THE VALUES PASSED FROM ALEAS. IN T-FILES If
- (
11 C3 9200 00r i Xtt poseeeeeeeeeeee INFORMATION FROM THE T FILES *****************o** C i
! hth $' TURKEY POINT t Xtf Xit Xtt -. NUMBER OF SEISMIC EXPERTS Xtt it 11 Xtt NUMBER OF ATTENUATION EXPERTS 5 1 Xtt NUMBER OF SIMULATIONS PER ATTENUATION EXPERT 50 Xft SEISMIC EXPERTS ARE 1 2 3 4 Xft 5 6 7 t o 11 12 13 '
f X{f Xt I Xit Xit ** * * *
- m es o m e n e e Xtt RESULTS OF HAZARD CALCULATIONS **eeeneesseeeeeeeeen Xtt Xtf 1 i
Xtf XEE Xtf
- Xtt xTT k!
pg VARIABLE IS ACCELERATION (
CCe2';;ettete$ HAZARD CURVE ea ACCELERATION t e te BEST ESTIMATE ARITHMETIC OE0 METRIC BDS .05 et et el eg CM/SECes2
.4900E+02 .1016E-02 MEAN MEAN
.15 .50 .85 .95
(? e_ .5287E-02 .1989E-03 .1086E-05 .1848E-04 .2887E-03
.7400E+02 .5038E-03 .3107E-02 .9786E-04 .2691E-02 .1289E-01 eSieeieeg i s :1?l8!!81 :lli!E:84 :!:sf*:8i :fi2 *'- *
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.1520E-04
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.4985E-04
.16 81 t -05
.43171 -06
.2882 -06
.3723l-07
.6782 -08
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.3433E-04
.1296E-04 03 .596i
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Lettete .7500E+03 .3141E-05 .57iiE-09 .9080e-08 .3837E-06 .iOO6E-04 .5,562 i2E-04 ej .2745E-04 .8453E-07 .4670E-10 .1475E-08 .1419E-06
.9810E+03 .1588E-05 .3292E-04 .1660E-07 0. .5034E-05 .3024E-04
.9867E-10 .3196E-07 .2025E-05 .1395E-04 b
ee EE+ TIME IN SECONDS
'ee e CPU .iS547E.0i a E0 e SYS .95045E-01
{g g 10 .14325E+01 -
ea e ee e ed f
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E ASTERN UNITED ST ATES SEISMIC HAZARD CHARACTER 6ZAtl0N HAZARD CALCULATION FOR THE VELOCfTY PESPONSE SPECTRA i 1
LOWER WAGNITUOE OF INTEGRATION IS 5.0 01/30/88 17:31:42 l
a S NWBER OF PERCENTILE VALUES NUW8ER OF RETURN PER1005 .. = 5 NWBCR OF FREQUENCIE($) . .= 5 NWBER OF SluuLATIONS PER ATTENUATION EXPERT = 30 S
NUh4ER OF ATTENUAfl0N EXPERTS .. . ... . .. s NUWBER OF SEISMICITY EXPERTS . .. .. . .= 11 TURKEY POINT 4
5
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i E.U.S SEISulC HAZARD CHAPACTERIZATION LCwCR MAGNITUDE or INTEGPATION l$ $.0 500 -YEAR RETURN PERICO CONSTANT PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR PERCENTILES = 15. 50. AND 85. ]
3 I
10 I
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o e oo o o o o o -O 0 0 0 0 0 0 E.U.S SEISWIC HAZARD CHAPACTERIZATION LCwER MAGNITUDE CF INTECPATION IS 5.0 l 1000.-YEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR l PERCENTILES = 15. 50. AND 85. )
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- O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O O 1
1 E.U.S SEISMIC HAZARD CHAPACTERIZATION LCwtR MAGNITUDE CF INTEGPAfl0N 15 S.0 10000.-YEAR RETURN PERICD CONSTANT PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR .
i PERCENTILES s 15. 50. AND 85.
3
( 10 i
k 1
2 10 i
8 R
b to t_
1 0
10 -
/
/ \
I
-1 >
1 to 6 g in M te o g anioNum c4 m g in N c4 Io o j 2 PEP 100 (SEC) o TURKEY P0lNT f 1
i g , a g em MM* * - - , -
gww . - - _ _~-
'O ,o o o 0 o o' ~ O " O - o o 0 0 o' o "O N E.U.S SEISMIC HAZARD CHARACTERIZATION LCwfR WAGNITUDC or INTEGRATION 15 5.0 50-TH PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR ALL RETURN PERIODS 3
to 2
10 1
8 .
U 1 b 10
)
C_
8 d - .
' 3 0
10 Y S NLIVRN 005 ;
m.*VE 5 --40000. YEARS CURVE 4 = 5000. YEARS CURVE 3 = 2000. YEARS f
7 CURVE 2 = 1000. YEARS
_; CURVE 1 10 ,, m ,,n,,, ,,
, , ,, _= $00. YEARS, , , , , _
~
o Yg IS PEP 100 (SEC) 2 TURKEY POINT
~
O O O e' O O 9- Q 0 0 9 ? 9 0 s %^ 1
.' O 0
- l E.U.S SEISWIC HAZARD CHAPACTERIZATION j LCWER h4AGNITUDC OF INTEGPAfl0H IS 5.0
'I I
50-TH PERCENTILE $PECTRA FOR ALL RETURN PERIDOS 10 l to l
l 1
8 10 E /
/
/ :
. 4 e N 4EECTPUW NUWBER 1 1
l 0
/ kLiu W iOOS +
vi-5-=-4 0000. YEAR $
[' CURVE 4 = 5000. YEARS CURvt 3 = 2000. YEARS CURVE 2 = 1000. YEARS 500. YEARS to
.i / CURVE 1 =
~
Io o Yo PERIOD (SEC) o TURKEY POINT O
--.e
h PAGE 1 h
RUN ARES g; FILES A530CIATED MIT I
e!
3 1NrORMAT10N rROM FItE COM.IN ....................
3 --- - .........
l il MENU FOR COMBINING OVER SEISMICITY EXPERTS (INPUT FILE COMBIN) i3 33 83 EASTERNUNITEDSTATESSEISMICNAfARDCHARACTERIZATION HAZARD CALCULATION FOR THE ACCEL RATION ll LONER MAGNITUDE OF INTEORATION IS 5.0 a3 TITLE ON PLOTS a 43 6 NR D N h
f3 33 MNU FLAGS FOR PLOTTING AVERAGES e A ONE = YES HILL BE PLOTTED, AND A ZERO = NO, MILL NOT N3 ARITHMETIC, NITH PERCENTILE CURVES (FRAME B) A1 = 0 N3 ARITHMETIC. ON A SEPARATE FRAME (FRAME A) A2 =- 1 g' N3 CE0 METRIC, ON FRAME B ..................... 101 = 0
'] GEOMETRIC, ON FRAME A .............. ....... 102 = 1 ecceneceeeee; ,.
g NUMBER OF SEISMICITY EXPERTS, THIS RUN = 11 NUMBER OF RETURN PERIODS . . . . . . . . . . . . . == $
Ojg jge e g NUMBER OF PERCENTILE SOUNDS .......... 5 9.
ee ce 6 gNggjj ! LIST OF S-EXPERTS = 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 10 11 12 13 I
COetelee.
gg $$ RETURN PERIODS = 500. 1000. 2000. 5000. 10000. g (dcetecte f#dMee g PERCENTILE VALUES = .05 .15 .50 .85 .95 i e SEISMIC EXPERT FIL E = TAC 1568 g.
8 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TAC 2568
.'*UI 6 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE =TACSS68 6 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TAC 4568 4**ij j till:18 inillI Fill : IRE!!!! 6-neeen
-eeet e3 le te g ee l h t
tegettecetee8 GH3 .
GM3 g
e Mi 4 f
PAGE 2 A
v SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 7568 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 10568 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 11568 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 12568 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 15568 gy OUTCOMB C =OCSP68 SITE DESIGN PARAMETERS NOT IN COMBIN s MILL USE THE VALUES PASSED FROM ALEAS IN T-FILES .1000E+01 BOUND .5000E-01 RETURN PERIOD .5000E+03 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY d)
RESULT
.1000E+04OBTAINED BYPOINTS REqu1RES LEAST SQUARES ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY .1000E+01 BOUND .5000E-01 RETURN PERIOD RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES .5000E-Os
.2500E+01 BOUND RETURN PERIOD .5000E+03 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES .2500E+01 BOUND .5000E-01 U-RETURN PERIOD .3000E+04 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES .5000E+01 BOUND .5000E-01 RETURN PERIOD .5000E+03 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY 13333J RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES .5000E+01 BOUND .5000E-01 RETURN PERIOD .1000E+04 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY O-RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES .1000E+02 BOUND .5000E-01 1013M RETURN PERIOD .5000E+05 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES 1000E+02 BOUND .5000E-01 RETURN PERIOD .3000E+04 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY 0 1SIl RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES .1000E+02 BOUND .5000E-01 O RETURN PERIOD .2000E*04 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES .1000E+02 BOUND .1500E+00 H38WO" RETURN PERIOD .5000E+05 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY H3tWnN RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES .2500E+02 BOUND .5000E-01 330WAN RETURN PERIOD .5000E+03 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY O RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES
.1000E+04 REqu!RES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY .2500E+02 BOUND .5000E-01 RETURN PERIOD RESUs* OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES .2500E+02 BOUND .5000E-01 RUURN PERIOD .2000E+=4 *EQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY
- 25" ' """"" ' 5 ' "' " ca hf!lll
"!!!!I'!!IiiE!"li!!!!I5!!!!Ilc^'c"'^'"""^2^""*""'"'""'""*"""
- S iS0h1 DN3W dE
- INFORMATION FROM THE T FILES ********************
s gp ild N3 31111 TURKEY POINT 11 ' t' NUM) R OF SEISMIC EXPERTS 5 NUMs R OF ATTENUATION EXPERTS So gg-NUMB R OF SIMULATIONS PdR ATTEMUATION EXPERT dIl 1VMEN30 SEISMIC EXPERTS ARE 1 2 S 4 5 6 71011 I? 11 g
i GH3W
- ************* RESULTS OF HAZARD CALCULATIONS ******************** .
II} GD ,
130SSV E3113 r ii
e 4
PAGE 5 4
VARIABLE IS VELOCITY SPECTRA HAZARD CURVE N VELDCITY BEST ESTIMATE ARITHMETIC GEOMETRIC 8DS .05 .15 CM/5EC .50 *45 I .1000E+00 .3337E-01 NEAN FREQUENCY
.6988E-01 MEAN 1000E+01
- 95
(
- .1816E-01 .8727E-03 .2937E-02 .1993E-01
.1500E+01 .1948E-02 .5771E-02 .3238E-03 .1518E-05 .1G17E-04 .4495E-03 .1129E*00 ~ 32251 + 0 0
.2000E+01 .1282E-02 .3610E-02 .1719E-03 .5720E-04 .5990E-02 ~ 26 5 e1 -01
.3000E+01 .6940E-03 .1823E-02 .660$E-04 .1511 E- 06
.7 372E-05 .2432E-03 .3579E-02 ~ 1617 :
.5000E+01 .3125E-03 .2209E-05 . 9150 E- 04 .1727E-02 '8197' I Y
.8003E-03 .17 56 E- 0 4 .2300E-07 .*374E-06 .2663E-04
.1000E+02 .1065E-03 .2842E-03 .2228E-05 .7852E-09 .6728E-03 3033 -
.3000E+02 .2030E-04 .5996E-04 .2959E-07
.3084E-07 4361E-05 .1840E-03 '9998E-0
.5000E+02 .1000E-19 .4684E-11 .8765E-07 .2104E-04 .1435E-03
.9441E-05 .2912E-04 .3597E-08 .1000E-19 .1000E-19 .6363E-08
.7000E+02
.9000E+02
.5597E-05
.3722E-05
.1769E-04
.1195E-04
.1084E-08
.5011E-09
.1C30E-ev
.1000E-19
.1000E-19
.1000E-19
.7821E-09
.1130E-09
.7815E-05
.4110E-05
.2559E-05
.5426E-04
.3024E-04
.1961 E- 0 4
[
.1000E+00 FREQUENCY .2500E+01
.3745E-01 .7119 -01 .1691E-01 .6034E-03 .2275E-02
.150 0 E + 01 .1948E-02 .4692 -02 .3102E-03 .1976E-05 .2142E-04
.1966E-Of .1165E+00 .3464E+00
.2000E+01 .1339E-02 .3224 -02 4048E-03 .4893E-02 .1960'-01 (s
- .2500E+01 .1819E-03 .9572E-06 .1090E-04 .2298E-03 .3165E-02 .1399' -01 LI1IGvsoud .9925E-03 .2389E-02 .1185E-05 .5925E-06 .6697E-05 .1511 E- 0 3 .2347E-02
.3000E+01 .7713E-03 .1857E-02 .8334E-04 .4133E-06 .4359E-05 1041E-03 .1828E-02
.1065 -01
.5000E+01 .3672E-03 .8809E-03 .2909E-04 .1167 -06 .8132E-02
.1000E+02 .1224E-03 .2940E-03 .1071E-05 3706E-04 .8276E-03 .34231-02
.3000E+02 .5405E-05 .1061 -07 .1223E-06 .7184E-05 .2563E-03 .10821 -02 20*3005Z. .18 21 E- 0 4 4507E-04 .9248E-07 .1667 -12 .2585E-09 .2331E-06 .3035E-04 .1243: -03 (
20+3000L. .4000E+02 .1063E-04 .2681E-04 .2437E-07 .1000E-19 .7712E-11 .7630E-07 .1573E-04 -04 LO+30005
.5000E+02 .6908E-05 .1774E-04 .9051E-08 .1000E-19 .1432E-12 .2860E-07 .9267E-05 ..4358 6 916 'E- 0 4 10+3005Z' .5000E-01 FREQUENCY .5000E+01 10+30001 .4387E-01 .7957E-01 .2029E-01 .8702E-03 .2763E-02 .2340E-01 .1348E*00 .37875+00
.7000E+00 .5943E-02 .1276E-01 . 9 7 36 E-0 3 .7303E-05 7723E-04 .1220E-02 1567E-01 .5659E-01 (
20+3005Z. .1000E+01 .3871E-02 .8603E-02 .5683E-03 .3340E-05 .4280E-04 .7023E-03 .9959E-02 .3623E-01 20+3000L. .1500E+01 .2264E-02 . 515 7 E- 0 2 .2978E-03 .1523E-05 .2106E-04 .3783E-03 . 702E-02 .2131E-01
.2000E+01 .4500E-02 .3438E-02 .1834E-03 .8814E-06 .1189E-04 .2405E-03 735 -02 .1413E-01 LO+000{.
40+ 005 . .2500E+01 .1069E-02 .2450E-02 .1238 -03 .6218E-06 .7410E-05 .1615E-03
. 625 ,02 .10101 -01 40+ 0004 .3000E+01 .7992E-03 .1827 -02 .8848 -04 .4378E-06 .4905 -05 .1124E-03 18981 0 .75791 (
.5000E+01 .3308E-03 .7517 -03 .3056: -04 .1145E-06 .1397 -05 .3852 -04 .74611-0 .3039
.1000E+02 .8584E-04 .1968 -03 .5089 -05 .1074E-07 .1360 -06 .6180- -05 .1839E-0 .7281 20+g . . .3000E+02 .7665E-05 .1964E-04 .6730E-07 .4557E-12 .2311 -09 .15051 -06 .1154E-04 .5493 -04 10+
l l . 000E-01 000E+00
.2943E-01
.4274E-02
. N
.9142E-02
.5672E-03 .3725k-03 .1420]-02 378E-01 .9344E-01
.1009E-01
.2565E+00 (
LO+
.1000E+01 .2528E-02 .3272E-03
.3488 -05 .4675 -- .h249E-03
. .4023E 1
.1500E+01 .1282E-02
.5640E-02
.2962E-02 1656E-03
.1966E-05 .2304:! 0404 4302E-03 .5805E-02 .2434E-01 20+300SZ.. 9 000E+01 .7547E-03
.8753E-06 .1145E-04 .2268E-03 .2991E-0 .1240g-01 20+ 000 t
. .1769E-02 9768E-04 .5301E-06 .4575!-05 .1765E-0
.7572E LO*
. 500E+01 4872 -03 .632 E-04 .4303 -05 1360g-03
.8838 -04 .1105E-0 .4945E g2 2 (
L0+
000h. . li . 000E+01 .3350 -03 .11kOE-0k
.79 7E-O .433 E-04 .h321
. 173 k-06
-06 .2919: -05 .6207E-04 .7z54E-0 .3293E-02
.0 05 "L . .5000E+01 .1079E-03 .2587E-03 .1320E-04 .6743E-07 .7518 -06 .1907E-04 .2367E 03 .1059E-02 LO+3000
.1000E+02 .1928E-04 .4850E-04 .1601E-05 .5657E-08 .5886E-07 .2290E-05 .3920E-04
.1618g-03
. .2000E+02 .2998E-05 .8282E-05 .6933E-07 .1950E-10 .9921E-09 .1310E-06 .4649E 05 .2208 04 Z0+'00G . FREQUENCY 2500E+02 20+ 000 . .2000E-01 . 2 5 58 E- 01 4959E-01 .9336E-02 .2784E-03 .1084E-01 .7553E-01 .2350E+00 LO+ '000 .5000E+00 .1680E-02 .1148E-02 4019E-02 .2323E-03 .1093E-05 .1896E-04 .3584E-03 .3447E-02 .1666E-01
.7000E+00 .8988E-03 .2238E-02 .1295E-03 .6162E-06 .9380E-05 .2120E-03 .1923E 02 .9338E-02 4
l MN3f183Md 20+30002*
20+3000L, ,
LO+30005 l 10+3000f.
i LO+3000Z LO+3005L Lo+3000L.
. (
+
mg '
II PAGE 4
.6649E-04 .3416E-06 4723E-05 .1115E-03 .9604E-03 .4704E-02 O' 1000E+01 .4342E-05 .1117E-02 .1818E-05 .5011E-04 . 37 7 5E-0 3 .1885E-02
.1761E-03 4664E-03 .2874E-04 .1716E-06 .1933E-03 .9501E-03
.1500E+01 .2393E-03 .1464E-04 .9564E-07 8092E-06 .2457E-04
.2000E+01 .8863E-04 .2500E-07 .2132E-04 .7600E-05. .7420E-04 .3169E-05
.3000E+03 . 317 5 E- 0 4 .8803E-04 4800E-05 .7123E-04
.8044E-05 .2314E-04 .7588E-06 .1522E-08 .2066E-07 .1408E-05 .1862E-04
.7649E-05
.5000E+01 .3541E-05 .2124E-07 .1000E-19 .8065E-10 .6510E-07 .1978E-05 O-
.1000E+02 .1123E-05 .10 0 0 E- 19 .1000E-19 .8057E-09 .1473E-06 .7735E-06
.2000E+02 .1331E-06 4957E-06 .4476E-09 VELOCITY SPECTRA .05 .15 .50 .85 .95 BEST ESTIMATE ARITHMETIC GEOMETFIC BDS FREQUENCY MEAN ME s.H m RETURN PERIOD .it00E+03 .5165E+00 .2765E+01 .6485E+01 T:
.1463E+01 .2839E+01 .4408E+'0 7128E-01 .1218E+00 .7030E+01 1000E+01 .5722E-01 .1078E+00 4923E+00 .2810E+01 30006" .2500E+01 .1464E+01 .2843E+01 .4245E+00
.3195E-01 .6346E-01 4502E+00 . 2913 E+ 01 .6125E+01 3000$* .5000E+01 .1636E+01 .2838E+01 .3745E+00
.1918E-01 .3918E-01 .2820E+00 .1868E+01 .3755E+01
.1000E+02 .1150E+01 .1868E+01 .2315E+00 .6844E+00 .1461E+01 3000Z" .2500E+02 4068E+00 .7415E+00 .7659E-01 .6355E-02 .1327 E- 01 .9865E-01 O RETURN PERIOD .1000E+04 .1740E+00 .8474E+00 .4033E+01 .9999E+01 3000Z' .1000E+01 .2357E+01 4354E+01 .7026E+00 .9507E-01 .7983E+00 .4426E+01 .1041 E+ 0 2 3000t* .2500E+01 .2486E+01 4584E+01 .6789E+00 7915E-01 .1611E+00
.7960E+00 .4260E+01 .8573E+01
+30005* .2607E+01 4244E+01 .6839E+00 4656E-01 .1058E+00 .5106E+01 m
+3000i' .5000E+01 .2678E+01 .4254E+00 .2846E-01 .6557E-01 .5247E+00 .2610E+01 w
+30052' .1000E+02 .1717E+01 9508E-02 .2229E-01 .1898E+00 .9794E+00 .1957E+01
.2500E+02 .6609E+00 1053E+01 .1401E+00
+3000Z* RETURN PERIOD .2000E+04 .5860E+01 .1480E+02
+3005 t * .3701E+01 .6851E+01 .1120E+01 1268E+00 .2486E+00 .139 0 E+ 01
.6736E+01 .1480E+02
+3000t* .1000E+01 7151 E+ 01 .1086E+01 .;093E+00 .2410E+00 .1294E+01 m
+3000L' .2500E+01 4044E+01
.1084E+01 6.*89(-01 .1765E+00 .1249E*01 .6095E+01 .1173E*02 W
.5000E+01 .3936E+01 6174E+01 42E?c-01 .1121E+00 .9024E+00 .3555E+01 .6595E+01
-3000$* .1000E+02 .2467E+01 .3703E+01 .7596E+00 .3839E-01 .3652E+00 .1328E+01 .2535E+01
. 93 31 E+ 0 0 1452E+01 .2564E+00 .14:3E-01
+3000f* .2500E+02 RETURN PERIOD .5000E+04 .2486E+0%
+3000L' .1874E+00 .3982E*00 .2169E+01 .95&gE+01
.1000E+01 .6664E+01 1282E*02 .1867E+01
- g,
.+30005*
- 18882: :i!!8i:31 :lif!!:31 :!*ift:af :1;88
.134th
- 'till::
. 105E-01
- ll!'l:::
.227kE+00
- iltil:81
.1610E+01 :'k$h:+32
. 0' :2g4563:gg
.4 E+ 0' i+3000Z* .1000E+02 .3786E+01 .5562E+01 .2424E-01 .7877E-01 .7230E+00 .1971E+G' . 3 512 E+ 0 L
.2500E+02 .1416E+01 2151 E + 01 .5450E+00 r+3005t* RETURN PERIOD .1000E+05 i+3000L'
- lia:E:81 :1?!!i+i :f!811:Si :lilli:31 :11111:38 :!till::: :!!!!i:31
.3172E+01
- ifi21*!
.1273E+02 :11!!'k:+81
.2326 02 dp J:18885: .5000E+01 .9246E+01 1381E+02 .2807E+01 .1651E+00 .5785E+00
.2345E+01 .6970E+01 .1182E+02
.7411E+01 .1975E+01 .1051E+00 .3889E+00
.1057E+01 .2644E+01 .4452E+01 0+3000$* .1000E+02 . 5156 E + 01
.8039E+00 .3626E-01 .1357E+00 0+3000t* .2500E+02 .1901E+01 .2849E+01 g 0+3000S' 0+3000t*
h3 0 0+3005Z*
PROBABILITIES OF EXCEEDANCE OF DESIGN SPECTRA NUMBER 1
- NI
!3 iO+3000L' FOR BEST E3 IMATE OF HAZARD FREQ(HZ) P RIOD(S)
.30 3.33 PROS. OF EXCEEDANCE
.287E-04 1.00 1.00 .365E-04 a 0+30006* 2.00 .50 .583E-04 T
- 0+3000t* 4.00 .25 .103E-03
'0+3000$*
' 7.00 .14 .185E-03
'00*3000t
+3 0 0 0t ** 10.00 .10 .354E-01 14.00 .07 478E-03 gg iO+ 0005* 33.00 .03 .541E-03 10+ 0 00g *,
ko3 FOR 5.0 PERCENTILE HAZARD FREQ(HZ1 PERIODLS) PROB. OF EXCEEDANCE 00+300 .30 3.33 . 2 37 E-26
$$kh 3A e
9 49
'I
f l- _. . . __
l4 PAGE 5
.730E-16 a 1.00 1.00
.218E-10 W
2.00 .50 I
4.00 .25 .121E-07 l
7.00 14 .838E-07 10.00 .10 .231E-06 14.00 33.00
.07
.03
.381E-06
.355E-06 O
l l FOR 15.0 PERCENTIL E HAZARD FREQ(H2) PERIOD ($1 PROB. OF EXCEEDANCE m
.30 3.33 1.00
.154E-12 106E-09 W
1.00 i
2.00 .50 .644E-08
' 4.00 .25 .148E-06 7.00 .14 .978E-06 m
( 3 10.00 .10 .309E-05 W 3 14.00 .07 .438E-05 j j 33.00 .03 .560E-05 43 FOR 50.0 PERCENTILE HAZARD a 43 FREQ(HZ) PERIOD ($) PROS. OF EXCEEDANCE w N3 .30 3.33 482E-07 H3 1.00 1.00 .350E-06 H3 2.00 .50 .143E-05 H3 4.00 .25 .710E-05 m H3 7.00 .14 .262E-04 w LH3 10.00 .10 .654E-04 IH3 14.00 .07 .101E-03
.142E-03 y33 33.00 .03 OH3 FOR 85.0 PERCENTILE HAZARD PROB. OF EXCEEDANCE O
GH3 FREQ(HZ) PERIOD (S) .182E-04 t
GH3 .50 3.33 GH3 1.00 1.00 454E-04 GH 2.00 .50 .104E-03 QN3 4.00 .25 .219 -03 412 -03 M
GH3 7.00 .14 UH3 10.00 .10 .772 -03 OH3 14.00 .07 .108E-02 GH3 33.00 .03 .113E-02 O
l ttOOCUIE8 FOR 95.0 PERCENTILE HAZARD
, FREQ(HZ) PERIOD (S) PROB. OF EXCEEDANCE r i .50 3.33 .223E-05
- EB 1.00 1.00 .286E-03 Ehe EE EE j. 2.C0 .50
.25 473E-03
.887E-03 O
cc 4.00 O EE 1 7.00 .14 .175E-02 e'e EEEE 10.00 .10 .350E-02 g:4 CEEE .07 485E-02 ge
} 14.00 33.00 .03 .581E-02 g
(( -
kek TIME IN SECONDS
.81416E+01
.14543E+00 O
.47694E+01 t.ETEE em..c.k.
eE NE gg,e i eE ce et
- Ec.e_wtil ggetBEEE
, a y
9
,1
'b F
SEISMIC HAEARD CHARACTERIEATION FOR THE TURKEY POINT NUCLEAR POWER PM P
1988 Number of Attenuation Experts ,,,,,,4 Number of Seissioity Experts .,,,,,11 i
i 1
[, N 7
1,
- O O
e o
se ---
1_ _ - ._
EASTERN UNITED STATES SEISMIC HAZARD CHARACTERIZATIEN ACCELEPATION RESULTS FOR G-[XPERTS 1,2,3 AND 4 LOWER uAGNITUDE Of INTEGRATION IS 5.0 1
05/18/88 '
09:48:01 z S NUuBER OF PERCENTILE VALUES NUMBER Or RETURN PEPIOOS = S NUuBER Or rRf0VENCIE(S) = 1 l l
NLLdBER Or SIMILAf TONS PER ATTENUAflotJ EXPERT = 50
= 4 NI.MBER OF ATTENUATION EXPEPTS i
i l
NUMBER OF SEISulCITY EXPERTS , = 11 TURKEY POINT I l' E, 2
o e e e e e e a e o o n iL h
- e o G. .
- 4
. _ _ , .. . - - ..-.-- - - - - -sh- - - - - '
^ _ _ _ _ .-
W E.U.S SEISwiC HAZARD CHARACTERIZATION G-[XPERTS 1.2.3.4 AND lower W = 5.0
. HAZARD Cupv[S USlw 4 G-[XPER T(S) 10 >
J l
- - PGA DESICH VALUE )
-2 A - ARITWETic WCAN _
10
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.g n n w e o n e e 1 ACCEL [ RATION CW/SEC"2 TURKEY POINT I l' :
$ J J J J J J B 0 A 0 0 $ $ $ $ t
_ m-HM=?-
=
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E.U.S SEISWIC HAZARD CHAPACTERIZATION i G-EXPERTS 1.2.3.4 AND lower W = 5.0 ' 1 PERCENTILES = 15. 50, AND 8$.
-1 HAZA*D CURVES USING ALL EXPERTS i
10 l
-2 * - PGA DESIGN VALUE ,
10 E
5 l
J 6 -3 ;
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10 w c e s e e
-g n n O ACCELERATION CM/SECH2 TURKEY POINT i
l l
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e e e e e 6 & v - e 0a s s 6 6 6
,.a.
.. e .
i PAGE 1 e
FILES ASSOCIATED HITH INPUTS THIS RUN AREA .
I =COMSNAC e4
~
XM
- r:eeeeee INFORMATION FROM FILE COMBIN ********************
- g. MENU FOR COMBINING OVER SEISMICITY EXPERTS (INPUT FILE COMBIN)
L-EASTERN UNITED STATES S ISM' :C HAgR CHARACTERIZATION h .
08EIR'AHif"Ull*WME!R2M!:'i35!6"*^"**
TITLE ON PLOTS e
- hv 5:hMil'"'f.d*&c"^5ti'A"I2t!!'" 0 l
IENU A FL11NE AOS=F03 ERAG S a
' SPLOTTING AV , AND A Z.RO = ido, N::LL M T AR:: HM [,:;, R -
CU VES I RAM :A' =
AR: HM ; .. ON pal 1 RAM irRAM ;:AH= !
o g' gT a .,ON ,A RAM S i ..................... ::oi = .
l jLLST 5[gfAA?1 fa^nAAES A ass s :::::::::
FOR INDIVIDUAL S-EXPERT ON 1 FRAME j.?
B2 := 0 0 i
-eeseos
- NUMBER OF SEISMICITY EXP RTS, THIS RUN =- 11 NUMBER ATTENUATION EXPER (3). THIS RUN = 4 NUM8 R OF RETURN PERIODS ............. = 5 %,
'NUM R OF PERCENTILE SOUNDS .......... = 5
.gS OF S-EXPERT (S) = 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 10 11 12 13 tv .
1s I UR Eit OD 500. 1000. 2000. 5000. 10000.
)N PkRCENT LE VALUES = .05 .15 .50 .45 .95 IN SEISMIC EXPERT FIL = TAC 1368 IN SEISMIC EXPERT F.:L = TAC 2368 IN .$ E.SM:: EXP RT F.:Ll; =TACSS68 S: :SM:: XP RT F: ; TAC 4g68
!; ric::8 in U Ng M82St!
Si ISMfCEXP i
SI RT FILif ISMIC EXPERT FILL;
= TAC 7368
= : TAC 10568 ,
eeeee**
4 SS s
I
PAGE 2 t
iiiiNISii;!!! Fill:?2811111 iS!!"M '"'"' "'COMBNAC
$$E VALUES READ FROM MENU FILE
- lenii
' O,
- eseeen INFORMATION FROM THE T FILES *****eseeeeee***eene TURKEY POINT 3
NUSBk!hhA -FIL s E UA' E 5' 11N337 J i 2" Mil
{,5 8lIlm01]gT IIEEEI!!0sil"TlHE"5N ISMIC EXPERT (S) ... *' 2 3 4 4 ' 1 11 12 is J dN II ' A TENUATION EXPERT (S) LIST = 1 2 3 4 jg <
d ALCULATIONS a PERCENTAGEOFZEROHg gNTSIN I Mg 1 8* *4
- g v easunN 3 L3tunN Ipee********** RESULTS OF HAZARD CALCULATIONS ******************** g fb3 1 e lli1"al: '
' o
!1antin;
= 3N4 y ' VARIABLE IS ACCELERATION 33 SSW13 nNK HAZARD CURVE g i *5 " " *5
tou N, au1PMNin ' ' ' ' * * " " ^ ' " ^""""MIE ***""R12 s-
- 21911::: l-ai :Ui! :8: :1?iti::: ::fift:t
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-$888E:81 :init:ji :litil:81 :lill:81 :1fti:81
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,, n,ow : : Hill:8i :11282:.! :illie:s :iz.21:.I . :'l" 1llEi. :f.2fE..I :429.1:.2 lSisl::.i 4 TIME IN SECONDS
.i5ffE.
fA e 18)
'I3*SSW 83IIJi O G
G5 L -
, 1
3 a
- ......-. -- ... -e- -
EASTERN UNITED STATES SElSulC HAZARD CHARACTERIZAll0N ONLY G-EXPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 USED LOWER WAGNITUDE Or INTEGRATION 15 5.0 06/08/88 19:07:56
= 5 NLA49ER Of PERCENTILE VALUES I
l
= 5 NUMBER OF RETURN PEP 1005 .
= 5 NUMDER Or rREQUENCIE(S) .
NUMBER Of SIWULATIONS PER ATTENUATION EXPERT = 30 NUMBER Or ATTENUAfl0N EXPERTS . . . .=4 NUMBER Or SEISWICITY [xPERTS . ....=18 l
TURKEY POINT q :
I l' e e e e e e e e o e , , , e , 39
ONLY G-EXPERTS 1,2,3 AND 4 USEDLowER E $PECTRA FOR : WAGNITUDE OF IN SOO.-YEAR 15., RETURN 50, AND 85, PERIOD CONSTANT PERC[NTit
- PERC[NTit[$ w -
3
, to r--
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b to
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I ,o PEP 100 (SEC)
Yo TURKEY P0lNT go l
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==
s s i
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l I
l I
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1 ONLY 0-EXPERTS 1.2,3 AND 4 USED lower 64AGNITUDE OF INTECPATION IS 5.0 1000.-YEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCENTILE $PECTRA FOR PERCENTILE $ = 15. 50. AND B5.
3 to 2
10 .
F.,
R b to "
O 3
w 0 /
to '
,' s
/
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<< m < <n wem t< n < <n ow te m , .n em ,
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{
a TURKEY PolNT ,
I f
- 1 1
l
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=-e e e e .. . ~e :44av. , , . . a.. , ,-
l
-- -..,w-* *A ONLY C-[XPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 USED lower MAGNITUDE or INTEGRATION 15 5.0 2000.-YEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERC[NTILE SPECTRA FOR PERCENTILES = 15. 50. AND B$.
3 to 2 -
to 8
m f 10 1
E_
8 d
7 F
0
/
/
10
/ /
-l /
10 c. n , <, .oce <. n . .r. .om <. n
- c ae
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Yo Io o PCPIOD ($[C) o TURKEY POINT F
h
- I t' O e e e e o e e e o e e e o e e e
ONLY & EXPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 USED LOWER MAGNITUDE OF INTEGPATION ($ $.0 5000.-YEAR RITURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCENTILE $PECTRA FOR PERCENTILES = 15.. $0. AND 8$.
3 to 2
to 1
v to s
10
- ~
/
"$ /
r /
10 p
-1 '- , er m, 10 <<n w .a m c. v,
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o o IO PEPIOD (SEC) o TURKEY PolNT 1
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- O e e e e e e e e e e
l j
4
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ONLY G-[XP[RTS 1,2,3 AND 4 US[D Low [R W GNITUDE Of INT [GPATION 15 5.0
. 10000.-YEAR RETURN P[RIOD CONSTANT P[RC[NTIL[ SPECTRA FOR PERC[NT!LES = 15., 50. AND 25.
3 to I
i 2
10 i
8 W
i I
I f 10 _-
l
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8 / '
J / l 5 / 6
/ . t 0
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Yo Io PEPIOD (SEC) D D TURKEY PolNT e
I l' :
, e a - o . , o o e e e e e e e .- et, -
f l
i ONLY G-[XPERTS 1.2.3 AND 15 5.0 4 USCO LOWER MAGNt TUDC OF INTCGR Af TON ER1005 50-TH PERCENTILE SPECTFA FOR ALL RITURN P 3
10 1-2 10 8
C '
3 10 C
8 a 5 d> y
.- l 0
- i to CTURN PfR ODS 5 ' ,./ .-CWe i 3 :-10000. YEARS C Pvr a su 5000. YEARS
-' /
' CtJRVE 3 a '2000. YEARS CURVI 2 s 1000. YEARS J' ,' CURVE 1 =
500. YEARS _!
/
- c. m < <> am
-1 ;
7' <, Un,
< e, n < <, wm ~
'O --
- c. m o S Io PCP100 (SEC) 7o ;
TURKEY POINT g
l'
__ _- - -+. - -
' l ONLY G-[XP[RTS 1,2,3 AND 4 US[0 lower WAGNITUDE or INTEGPATION 15 5.0 50-TN PERC[NTILE SPECTRA FOR ALL RETURN PERIOOS i 3
to 2
10 -
?
i i
' 5 b to S
/
_ 1 b
w
/
l t 0 ,/ g 2 am ECTPW OBER 1 10 ,- - '/ -
' S' / PCTURN P($ 005 f
4- ,/ Gii -s --20000. YEARS i I
Rvr 4 =q $000. YEARS
/,, . ' CURVE 3 = 2000. YEARS 3
p
./ CURv[ 2 = 1000. YEARS
_g f' CURVE 1 = $00. YEARS 10 Y- '
O 50 T'EP100 (SCO) o ~o i TURKEY POINT l 4
i i
i i
= l ge s O. U V J (J (9 (9 (9 0 's 0 0 0 0 0 O l
PAGE 7 g
-Q l*
11 5
NUMBEROF OFATTENUATION SEISMIC EXPERTSEXPERTS IN T-FILE 30 NUMBER PER ATTENUATION EXPERT 4 Q NUMBER OF SIMULATIONS USED THIS RUN NUMBER OF ATTENUATION LIST RKPEAftS)
... = 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 to 11 12 13 SEISMIC EXPERT ATTENUATION EXPER (S)T(5) LIST = 1 2 3 4 PERCENTAGE OFFREOUENCY ZERO HAZARD PERCENTPOINTS IN CE0 METRIC MEAN CALCULATIONS OF ZEROS 28.79 %
1 k 8 ks x 7.70 X Ol*
05" 4
5 20.24 % E sZ-0L*
gZ' REsULTS oP MAZARD CAtCutATIONS
... ............... g d:
>0t-
)...
esz- G 10 L * "
VARIABLE IS VELOCITY SPECTRA 15 2*
JO L
- HAZARD CURVE .95 h
152* .50 .85
.05 .15
- BDS VELOCITY BEST ESTIMATE ARITHMETgC OEOMETgC .2947E+00 25Z' NY .100 E+ 1 .2036E-02 1370 E-01 9260E-01 Q FRE .6948E-03 .1928E-03 2954E-02 .1449E-01
.2079r-02 .612hE-01 .1394E-01 .7111 -06 .9316E-05 .1022E-03 1677E-02 .8029E-0 05Z' .1000E+00 .2533E-04 .3902E-02 .1713 -03 4004 -06 4196E-05 4217 E-0 4 .7442E-03 .3578 -
00t* .1500E+01 .1371E-04 .2179E-02 . 600 -04 .1044 -06 .1187E-05 .1165E-04 2282E-03 .1124 -
.2000E+01 .9131E-03 041 -04 .1394E-07 .2132E-06 4450E-04 .2409 -
00S*
052' .3000E+01 .5725E-05
.1521E-05 .3526E-03
. 198E-05
.7532E-06 .2541E-09 .1422E-07 1290E-05 1153E-07 .2854E-05 .3803E-04 Q 00L' .5000E+01 .2620E-06 .1418E-03 .'000E-19 .2859E-12 .5094E-09 .8037E-06 .1591 E- 0 4
.1000E+02 .4053E-04 951 -08 .' 000E-19 .10 0 0 E-19 .2667E-06 .8626E-05
.3000E+02 .5350E-08 .2144E-04 564 -09 9000E-19 1000E-19 . 3 3 57 E-10
.1039E-06 .5116E-05
.5000E+02 .7591E-09 .1347E-04 478 -09 .1000E-19 .2393E-11 B3rd .7000E+02 1962E-09 .
4423E-10 .1000E-19 .3148l+00 Q
.9000E+02 6909E-10 .9228E-05 .2500 .1682E-02 47231 -03
- W: R 'Fi FRE0VENCY 00Z*
.6071E-01 242- .1329E-0d :i'
.8704E-01:llill-*f,,
02
- 94 :32 :1?*!ti 00 +00 .4$n8
- M3 soo * .100I! :2 3Igl:81 5 :Flif :31 4 41)6 -
81 2 -04 .8
.6 J 0
-6: .34p3 -
fJ Q a:
- MBO :81 1069 -02 p738 -+04 .
. 6' 4 -04 .16 -
.P500 +01 . 68 E-04 8407 -03
.a984 -04 .
.259J
.610 . 869 -04 . -0L 19 -04 .513 01 51
- d
- 0$ L' a000 +0i 136E-04 .1343'-04 .6795 --07 206! -05 4 4261 -03 00 t* .
H000 +01 228E-05 .2315E-05 52 E-08 .6841E-10
.5565 -07' 309 -05 . 5 8 %11 -
IOOL" .
. 3842E-06 1591 -03 .
.1481E-13 2'2
100$* .' 0001+02 6958E-08 .2580E-04 .2601E-07 107
.jo00E-1900pE-19. 710gE-11 .1318E
.3533 '08 *5'5't-5
.2421E-0 .17041 -84 200Z* .3000E+02
.4000E+02 .1666E-08
.5448E-09 1487
.g9g-04gg .
.5744E-08 gg .
-14
.1654E-01 .1000E+00 3328E+00 .' g g ',
.5000E+02 7165E-03 20FE-02 .5775E-02 .1941E-O' 468 E-01 .1489E-01 4015E-05 4923E-04 .6136E-03 O'
.5000E-01 2487E-02 .4676E-03 .3638E-Og .3632E-Og 1325g03 0005*
000E' .7000E*00 1235E-03 4847E-02 .2675E-03 19 g-y . g E-04 E-04 .1918E-0 .2172E-9 .7900 - g 0052' .1000E+01 .7199E-04
.3794E-04
.gg 02
. -02 .1385E-03 .96 .
- .1500E+01 000L* 9 000L' 0005*
000E' 000L*
0005* e 000E'
- ali:
I
4 .
~
1 -
! PAGE 8 i
.2000E+01 .2325E-04 1224E-02 .8504E-04 .5608E-06
.3671E-06
.7123E-05
.4500E-05
.1184E-03
.8227E-04
- 1491E-02 $171E-02
- 3847 E-02
.2500E+01 .1542E-04 .8696E-03 .5741E-04 '1099E-02 1
.3000E+01 .1074E-04 .6490E-03 4103E-04 .2676E-06 .3040E-05 .5805E-04 '8419E-03 '2844E-02 i
.5000E+01 .2825E-05 .2699E-03 .1404E-04 .9090E-07 .8287E-06 .1904E-04 3668E "1125E-02 a
.2215E-05 .8091E-08 .7388E-07 .2907E-05 ' 8 8 59 E.-e4 0 * ' 2612 E- 0 5 l .1000E+02
.3000E+02
.2398E-06 1358E-08 7488E-04 7343E-05 .2006E-07 .1492E-12 .6 6 71 E-10 .4190E-07 *.36991.-05 *1762E-04 $
4 FREQUENCY .1000E+02 l
.5000E-01 1415E-02 .3851E-01 .7262E-02 .2653E-03 . 9 4 51 E- 0 3 .8296E-02 .5028E-01 '1809E+00 7000E+00 .7503E-04 .2286E-02 .2505E-03 .2066E-05 .2697E-04 .3961E-03 .2848E-02 " 8 7 01 E- 0 2
-03 .1029E-05 .1519E-04 .2365E-03 .1717E-02 ~5249E-02 1000E+01 1500E+01 4504E-04
.2395E-04 1371E-02
.7236E-03 .14 4 7 (E - 0 4 7435 .5048E-06
.3022E-06
.4833E-05
.4064E-05
.1254E-03
.7750E-04
.9130E-03
.5390E-03
- 2815E-02
- 1721E-02 1455E-04 4439E-03 4453E-04 3+3005L' '
' .2000E+01
.2500E+01 .9542E-05 .2987E-03 .2926E-04 .2053E-06 .2528E-05 .5120E-04 .3553E-03 .1180E-02 3+3000t*
.6496E-05 138E-03 .2032E-04 .1459E-06 .1621E-05 .3663E-04 .2578E-03 .8495E-05 3+3000L' s .3000E+01 . 935E-04 4470E-07 .4580E-06 .1083E-04 .8889E-04 .2663E-03 3-30005* .5000E+01 .1686E-05 . .6372E-05 7549E-06 .3711E-08 .3749E-07 .1160E-05 .13896-04 .4930E-04 1000E+02 1122E-06 . 792E-04 .4786E-09 . 4 3 31 E-07 .1282E-05 .4591E-05 3+30005* .2000E+02 .432iE-08 .3473E-05 .2603E-07 .1425E-10 3+3000k' FREQUENCY .2500E+02 .8741E-03 .6352E-02 .3767E-01 .1145E+00
.2000E-01 137 4E-02 .2878E-01 .5617E-02 .1898E-03 3+3000E' .8858E-03 1027E-03 .8530E-06 .1020E-04 .1871E-03 .9672E-03 .2569E-02 3+3000L' 3+3000$*
.5000E+00
.7000E+00 4772E-04
.2583E-04 .5342C.03 .5862E-04 .4455E-06 .5501E-05
.2373E-05
.1114E-03
.6093E-04
.5347E-03
.2996E-03
.1428E-02
.7685E-05 3+3000E" .1000E+01 1279E-04 .3050E-03 .3121E-04 .2543E-06
.1272E-06 .9216E-06 .2709E-04 .1444E-03 .3806E-03 3+3005Z' 1500E+01 .5030E-05 1525E-03 1417E-04
.6734E-07 .4713E-06 .1345E-04 .8252E-04 .2257E-03 3+ 000Z* .2000E+01 .2271E-05 .8923E-04 7455E-05
.1825E-07 .1192E-06 .4336E-05 .3300E-04 9862E-04 2515E-05 3* 005L' 3+ 000L' '
.3000E+01 5000E+01
.5792E-06 8669E-07
.3901E-04 1222E-04 .3822E-06 .8468E-09 .1235E-07
.1554E-10 7349E-06
.2590E-07
.8960E-05
.81776-06
.2919E-04 4117E-05 1000E+02 6490E-08 .2233E-05 .8150E-08 .1000E-19
.1000E-19 .1000E-19 .1248E-09 .4193E-07 .3268E-06 '
3+30006** .2000E+02 .2252E-09 .3496E-06 .1271E-09 3+3000 VELOCITY SPECTR4 .50 .45 .95 0*3000 ** FREQUENCY BEST ESTIMATE ARITHMETIC MEAN OE0 METRIC MEAN BDS .05 .15 g 3+3000 RETURN PERIOD .5000E+03 0+3000L' .2081E+01 .3305E+00 .4544E-01 .1009E+00 .3395E+00 .1829E+01 .3877E*01 0+3000$* .1000E+01 .1024E+00 1576E+01 .3100P+00 .5250E-01 .9123E-01 .3464E+00 .1498E+01 .4337E+01 0+3000 ** .2500E+01 .1018E+00 .2717E+00 .1598E*01 .3642E+01 1414E+01 . 2 311 d
- 0 0 .2970E-01 .5156E-01 0+3000 0*3005
- 5000E+01
.1000E+02
.6056E-01
. 3711 E-01 .7684E+00 1374E+00 .1678E-01
.4990E-02
.2901E-01
.1117E-01
.1718E+00
.5746E-01
.8981E*00
.2640E*00
.1832E+01
.5772E+00 $
0+3000L' .2500E+02 .1432E-01 .2355E+00 4589E-01 RETURN PERIOD .3000E+04
.143CE+00 .5272E+00 .2589E+01 .5270E+01 1000E+01 .1548E+00 .2875E+01 .5063E+00 .8624E-01 3S/WQ .1339E+00 .5458E+00 .2248E*01 .6680E+01 LI30:3A .2500E+01
.5000E+01 1665E+00
.1114E+00
.2629E+01
.2282E+01 4764E+00 3921E+00
.7155E-01 4223E-01 .8400E-01 .4734E+00 .2667E+01 .5287E+01
.2741E+01 g
.6832E-01 .1222E+01 .2369E+00 .2442E-01 .4817E-01 .3134E+00 .1415E+01
.1000E+02 .2711E-01 4470E+00 .8014E-01 . 7 514 E- 02 .1827E-01 .1082E+00 .4855E+00 .8594E*00
.2500E+02 RETURN PERIOD .2000E+04 .8188E+00 .3563E+01 .7199E+01 1000E+01
.2500E+01
.2400E+00
.27/2E+00 4145E+01 4434E+01
.7757E+00 7319E+00
.1138 +00
.9751 -01
.2025E+00
.1975E+00 .8600E+00 .3448E+01 4133E+01 1013E+02
.7347E+0L g
.2048E+00 .3492E+01 . 66 51 E+ 0 0 .6005 -01 .1368E+00 .8049E+00 .3789E+09
.5000E+01 .1274E+00 4072E+00 .3553E-01 .8020E-01 .5719E+00 .2082E+01
.1000E+02 .1865E+01 .2996E-01 .2038E+00 .7295E+00 .1281E+01
.2500E+02 .5267E-01 7316E+00 .1399E+00 .1131E-01 RETURN PERIOD .5000E+04 .1465E+01 .5288E+01 .1117E+02 g'
. 4 214 E+ 0 0 .7698E+01 .1364E+01 .1632E+00 . 3211 E+ 0 0
.1000E+01 .5213E+00 .8514E+01 .1291F+01 .1468E+00 .3303E+00 .1553E+01 .6061E+01 .1611E+02
.2500E+01 .4584E+00 .1196E+01 .9574E-01 .2609E+00 .1461E+01 .6718E+01 .1115E*02
- &#****1 .5000E*01 .2901E+00
. 5 88 0 E + 01
.3105E+01 .8102E+00 .5830E-01 .1583E+00 1115E+01 .3389E*01 .5624E+01 1000E+02 .1944E-01 .5811E-01 .4705E+00 .1252E+01 .2122E+01
.2500E+02 .1267E+00 .1280E+01 .2924E+00 RETURN PERIOD .1000E+05 .7094E401 .1688E*02
.1000E+01 .6451E*00 .1359E+02 1878E+01 .2144E+00 .4549E+00 .2020E+01
.2500E+01 .8522E+00 .1324E+02 .1892E+01 .2002E+00 .4873E+00 .2206E+01
.2218E+01
.9102E+01
.9416E+01
.{287'+0g 479 +02
.5000E+01 .8049E+00 .8552E+01 .1818E+01 .1362E+00 4250E+00 .7478.+01
.5408E+00 .4438E+01 .1252E+01 .8497E-01 .2647E+00 .1717E+01 .4725E+01
.5000E+02 $,
vnN311V g
31W5135 U3gWnN H38WnN H3eWON W38WnN O
, N$b PAGE 9
.1812E+01 .2480E+01 1p
.2929E-01 .9594E-01 .7462E+00
.2461E+00 .1881E+01 .5079E+00
.2500E+02 P.R.O.B
. . . A.B. I L.I.T. .
I E.S.. .O.F..E.X.C.E.E.D. A.N.C.E .O.F. .D.E.S. I O.N. .S.P.EC.T.R. A..N.U.M.. i FOR 5.0 PERCENTILE HAZARD PROS.OF EXCEEDANCE ,,
FREQ(HZ) PERIO (3) i:ia 2.00
.50
- 21:i:27
.778E-11 4.00 .25 .894E-08 7.00 14 .609E-07 dr 3E-06 10.00 .
11::: :g001 .1I:1:St
- I dr lli.<Ali' i:i 2.00 Flik!"f:!!'
.50 l! "*Filt.
- [jii:10
. 8E-08 Or exCEEDAnCE 4.00 .25 . IE-07 gy I
7.00 .14 . 7E-06 10.00 .10 . 3E-05
- 11:: :31 : !!!:31
-4E i
FOR 50.0 PERCENTILE HA{ARD rROS. OF EXCEEDANCE
! FREQtHZ) PERIOD3.33 (3) .340 -08 30 .614 -07 I' 1.00 1.00 2.00 .50 .51 0 -06 .O
- i 4.00 .25 .330E-05 l
7.00 .14 .138E-04 10.00 .10 .385 -04 14.00 .07 559 -04 l 33.00 .03 .740 -04 gy FOR 85.0 PERCENTILE HAZARD Pron. F EXCEEBANCE FREQtMZ) PERIODtS) 021-05
.30 3.33 1.00
. 56 -05 ,
gy 1.00 .296 -04 l 2.00 .50 4.00 .25 936! -04
.14 178' -0L 7.00 270' -0S
'O.00 .10 4.00 .07 .367 -03
.03 .314J -03 33.00 PRO . OF EXCEEDANCE hRG(HI .30 PkRk03.k3 1.00
.268E-04
.732E-04 gy 1.00 191E-03 1 2.00 50 4.00 .25 .348E-03 7.00 14 .539E-03 %
I 10.00 10 .892E-03 4D
. 14.00 .07 .108E-02 j
gy l
60p* 01 i :Ett' SAS
.205" OJ3 4D L
. -- ~ -_ _
E s
SEISNIC HAZARD CHARACTERISATION FOR THE TURKEY POINT NUCLEAR POWER PLANT 1993 REVISION Number of Attenuation Experts ..... 7 i
Number of Seismicity Experts ..... 11
. ..s
,3 - s g,
~
Eh percentiles = 15., 50. and 85. -E-arithmetic means $n .
har ";,e d c ur ves u s i n g S & G ex p er t s ']
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e 1- h.<
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m go.
b .01 - ga ;
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3 500 1000 N I acceleration cm/ secs *2 y turkey point i EUS update, 1992 Selsmicity, PGA E SHEET 4 1992 Composite g.m. accross experts
- o. a 28m .
I D
2 En 1000. gear return period constant percentile spectra:
Peccentiles = 15., 50. and -85. 'E 2.
10000r -
9.< n m
. _ ra
?.
s -i 8
e 1000 r p u -
g.
~
o t <
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e 100 r "'
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g a
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~
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a
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e i ' -4 e
9 l._ . . ......I . . ......I . . . . ....I y .
1 1 10 100 0 frequency (hz) 7 turkey point i EUS update, 1992 Selsmicity, PSV e SHEET 14 1992 Composite g.m. accross experts i
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ . . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ . _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ = _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ . _ _ . _ . ~ . . . . - . _. - , _
U~
528 n -
D 1
2000. year return period constant percentile spectra: En percentiles = 15., 50. and 85. 'E z=
10000-- 9<
g 2m
- n
\
~
Xg
.~.,
e 1000 r p u 5 g o
T g
s - m e
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e 100 r o : m u : =
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m 10 r n i E a
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. . ......:X..... ,- . .,..1 y 1 e
.1 1 10 100 =
l frequency (bz) 7 i
turke9 Point EUS update, 1992 Seismicity, PSV E SHEET 15 1992 Composite 9.m. accross experts
28 e 2 D
2 5000. gear return period constant percentile spectra: ,$ g percentiles = 15., 50. and 85. 2 10000-- 3*
2 g,
=
_- 2m U -
h
& Ly m e 1000 r F
" i
, 0 8 : 1s e
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- e : m o : o m o
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1 e
n 10 -
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o N
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. , . . . . . . . . .....i . . . .....: y
.1 1 10 100 m frequency (bz) 7 turkey point @
EUS update, 1992 Seismicity, PSV E SHEET 16 1992 Composite 9.m. accross experts
- 1 B8
- x. g n -
1 10000. gear return period constant percentile spectra: En percentiles = 15., 50. and 85. 'E g=
10000-- N,g
- o
- .~-r
_ za s
. h.a
-i 9
e 1000 --
p u -
n o -
T e -
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s L
- e 100 r
- o e N o -
_ m u -
e -
1 a
n 10 r M
n 3 6 m
o a
g I . . ......I . . ......I . . ......I y
.1 1 10 100 0 frequency (hz) I turkey point i E
EUS update, 1992-Selsmicity, PSV SHEET 17 1992 Composite 9.m. accross experts 4 ..w,- - -----e .-_ ~ ~ ~ . - --- . - - --
- u. a .
38= -
D 2
50-th percentile spectra for all return periods ,E on 3
xa 10000r -
N. m<
- =
M ze M
s - nn H
s DO
-i e 1000 -
p u
n 8 : e
., . a, L *
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- r ."
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, n 10 r re n periods :
N n
" M :"':
curve 3 = 2000. years g
ve t . g .r. N curve 1 50kl. gears b 1
. . . . . . . . . . .....I . . . . . . . . . y
.1 1 10 100 w frequency (hz) 7 l
t turkey point i j EUS update, 1992 Selsmicity, PSV E SHEET 18 1992 Composite g.m. accross experts 1_ _ - - - ___ _ - _____ - ___ ___ - _ __
PS H C 1943 ;
l Turkey Point acceleration best estimate arithmetic geometric 0.5000E+02 0.7908E-04 0.1227E-03 0.1845E-04 0.7500E+02 0.4431E-04 0.7052E-04 0.9842E-05 0.1500E+03 0.1415E-04 0.2361E-04 0.2860E-05 0.2500E+03 0.4963E-05 0.8904E-05 0.9740E-06 0.3000E+03 0.3213E-05 0.6013E-05 0.6128E-06 0.4000E+03 0.1501E-05 0.3074E-05 0.2584E-06 0.5000E+03 0.7774E-06 0.1750E-05 0.1242E-06 0.6500E+03 0.3321E-06 0.8616E-06 0.4626E-07 0.8000E+03 0.1596E-06 0.4751E-06 0.1941E-07 0.1000E+04 0.6828E-07 0.2425E-06 0.6768E-08 acceleration 0.50 0.85 0.5000E+02 0.3120E-05 0.5140E-04 0.2530E-03 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.7500E+02 0.1680E-05 0.2770E-04 0.1430E-03 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.1500E+03 0.4660E-06 0.7780E-05 0.4600E-04 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.2500E+03 0.1180E-06 0.2340E-05 0.1690E-04 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.3000E+03 0.6450E-07 0.1420E-05 0.ll50E-04 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.4000E+03 0.2410E-07 0.5850E-06 0.5670E-05 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.5000E+03 0.8820E-08 0.2690E-06 0.3070E-05 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.6500E+03 0.2320E-08 0.9760E-07 0.1360E-05 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.8000c+03 0.6700E-09 0.4120E-07 0.7250E-06 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.1000E+04 0.1310E-09 0.1430E-07 0.3390E-06 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00
'. j r
turkey point velocity spectra frequency ~best estimate arithmetic geometric .
mean mean return period 0.5000E+03 !
0.1000E+01 0.1581E+00 0.2051E+00 0.1105E+00 0.2500E+01 0.1302E+00 0.1519E+00 0.7151E-01 j 0.5000E+01 0.8986E-01 0.1086E+00 0.4398E-01 0.1000E+02 0.3508E-01 0.5455E-01 0.1871E-01 0.2500E+02 0.1009E 0.1578E-01 0.5778E-02 '
return period 0.1000E+04 O.1000E+01 0.2564E+00 0.3819E+00 0.1792E+00 <
0.2500E+01 0.2386E+00 0.3243E+00 0.1363E+00 0.5000E+01. 0.1778E+00 0.2442E+00 0.9681E-01 :
0.1000E+02 0.1063E+00 0.1418E+00 0.4287E-01 0.2500E+02 0.3283E-01 0.5312E-01 0.1073E-01 return period 0.2000E+04 >
4 0.1000E+01 0.4158E+00 0.7110E+00 0.2904E+00 0.2500E+01 0.4375E+00 0.6926E+00 0.2299E+00 0.5000E+01 0.3443E+00 0.5494E+00 0.1656E+00 .
0.1000E+02 0.2112E+00 0.2983E+00 0.9819E-01 0.2500E+02 0.1034E+00 0.1342E+00 0.1950E-01 return period 0.5000E+04 0.1000E+01 0./879E+00 0.1536E+01 0.5498E+00 0.9749E+00 0.1718E+01 0.4591E+00 .i 0.2500E+01 0.8246E+00 0.1396E+01 -0.3317E+00 :
0.5000E+01 0.1000E+02 0.5229E+00 0.7970E+00 0.1914E+00 ;
0.2500E+02 0.2287E+00 0.3023T-u0 0.5508E-01 i retura period 0.1000E+05 0.1000E+01 0.1205E+01 0.2674E+01 0.8911E+00 0.2500E+01 0.1501E+01 0.3277E+01 0.7747E+00 t 0.5000E+01 0.1343E+01 0.2475E+01 0.5612E+00 .
0.1000E+02 0.1025E+01 0.1399E+01 0.3154E+00 0.2500E+02 0.4170E+00 0.5588E+00 0.1131E+00 ;
i results for the 3 percentiles:
freq.-(hz) 0.150** 0.500** 0.850**
return period 0.5000E+03 1.00 0.298E-01 0.129E+00 0.386E+00 2.50 0.183E-01 0.100E+00 0.333E+00 5.00 0.119E-01 0.717E-01 0.248E+00 10.00 0.676E-02 0.320E-01 0.141E+00 i 25.00 0.236E-02 0.118E-01 0.513E-01 return period 0.1000E+04 ,
1.00 0.652E-01 0.213E+00 0.761E+00 i
2.50 0.376E-01 0.179E+00 0.719E+00
.5.00 0.230E-01 0.149E+00 0.559E+00 10.00 0.102E-01 0.911E-01 0.298E+00 ,
25.00 0.411E-02 0.258E-01 0.134E+00
~
return period 0.2000E+04 i 1.00 0.120E+00 0.352E+00 0.133E+0!
2.50 0.773E-01 0.319E+00 0.138E+01 l
e;- t EurNsy fo?k W ;
- e. g go {
.4*'QA O.850 o. Coo '
0.443E-01.0.276E+00 0.115E+01 ratde m y a c'* J d. 2ooo h + y . (_ c, . i './. ) ;
5.00 '
10.00 0.203E-01 0.175E+00 0.631E+00 25.00 0.714E-02 0.781E-01 0.251E+00 return period 0.5000E+04' i l.00 0.207E+00 0.684E+00 0.248E+01 2.50 0.150E+00 0.687E+00 0.294E+01 0.104E+00 0.626E+00 0.225E+01-5.00 '
10.00 0.505E-01 0.396E+00 0.141E+01 25.00 0.128E-01 0.179E+00 0.578E+00 return period 0.1000E+05 1.00 0.313E+00 0.107E+01 0.397E+01 R2.50 0.229E+00 0.114E+01 0.513E+01-5.00 0.163E+00 0.109E+Cl 0.373E+01 ,
10.00 'O.100E+00 0.734E+00 0.228E+01 '
25.00 0.277E-01 0.304E+00 0.105E+01 r
1 5
i I
1 1
i l
i i
l l
l
.