Text

Transmits Hazard Curves for All Plant Sites Based on G-Experts 1-4 Ground Motion Models in Response to NRR Request
	ML20078L563
Person / Time
Site:	Saint Lucie, Turkey Point
Issue date:	08/30/1988
From:	Bernreuter D; LAWRENCE LIVERMORE NATIONAL LABORATORY
To:	Giesekoch G; Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation
Shared Package
ML20078L539	List: ML20078L563;
References
	FOIA-93-473 NUDOCS 9411300266
	Download: ML20078L563 (127)
	v • d • e

.

d Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory A

NUCLEAR SYSTEMS SAFETY PROGRAM August 30,1988 EG88-68 Mr. Gus Giese-Koch, Geophysicist Mail Stop PWFN-8D22 Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation Washington, D.C. 20555

Subject:

Letter Report Transmitting the Hazard Curves for all the Sites when only G-Experts' 1-4 Models are used.

Dear Gus:

At your request we have developed hazard curves for all of the sites based only on G-Experts 1-4 ground motion models. For the twelve sites which had some structures founded on rock and some on shallow soil we developed a set of curves applicable for the structures founded rock and a set applicable to the structures founded on shallow soil in addition for each of the ten test sites we developed the table of zonal contribution and plots giving the contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from the earthquakes in four magnitude ranges.

In Section 2.3 of Vol. VI we provided a discussion of the sensitivity of the results to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G-Experts 5's ground motion model. The purpose of the discussion here is to supplement that discussion.

In Vol. VI we noted that there were four bas'.c categories for sites:

(1)

Rock sites generally located in a region of relatively low seismic activity and located 200 - 600 km. from a zone such as the New Madrid zone.

(2)

Rock sites where the hazard is primarily from nearby zones typically sites located in the northeast.

(3)

Similar to (1) but a soil site.

(4)

Similar to (2) but a soil site.

We showed that the largest impact of including /noninclusion of G-Expert 5's model is for the sites that fallinto category 1. The arithmetic mean and 85th percentiles are changed the most. The next most sensitive category is category 2. The sensitivity of the different estimators to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G Expert 5's ground motion is shown in Fig.1. In Fig.1 we plot the ratio of the probability of exceeding a PGA of 0.3g for the case when the results are based on using all 5-G-Experts input to the case when only G-Experts 1-4 models are used for the ten test sites. The ratio of the 85th peicentiles is plotted as a "O", the ratio of the arithmetic means is plotted as a "x", and the ratio of the medians is plotted by the line. The correspondence between site name and number is given in Table 1.

9411300266 931122 PDR FOIA f

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I i

t i

Site numbers 4,5 and 8 are soil sites and have relatively small variations in the ratios of the 85th percentiles and arithmetic means. The rest are rock sites. Site numbers 3 and 6 (Braidwood and Wolf Creek) with the largest variations in the ratios of the 85th percentiles and arithmetic means fall into category (1) mentioned above. Site numbers 2,7, and 10 (Shearon Harris, Watts Bar and Maine Yankee) fall somewhere between categories (1) and (2). Although the Watts Bar site is influenced by both New Madrid and Charleston, the local zones are very important for the Watts Bar site. Thus, the Watts Bar site actually falls into category 2 with, interestingly, the smallest variation in the ratios of the 85th percentiles and arithmetic means for the rock sites. Finally site numbers 1, and 9 (Umerick and Millstone) which fall into category 2, and, as expected, have relatively small variations in the ratios of the 85th percentiles and arithmetic means.

It is interesting to note from Fig.1 that although there are large variations in the ratios of the arithmetic means and 85th percentiles there is relatively little variation in the ratio of the medians regardless of the category the site falls into.

In Figs. 2,3 and 4 we plot, in a similar manner as in Fig.1, the ratios of exceeding the NUREG-0098 spectrum anchored at 0.3g at Shz,2.5hz and 1hz respectively. The same basic conclusions hold, but we see a wider variation in the ratio of the medians. We see from Fig. 4 that at the Wolf Creek site there is a very wide variation in the 85th percentile ratio.

It should be noted that if the 10,000 year return period CPUHS at the Wolf Creek Site for the case when only G-Experts 1-4 are used are compared to the case when all five G-Experts are used we do not see the large difference at 1Hz as indicated from Fig. 4 for the Wolf Creek site. This is because the retum period of the IHz value of the NUREG-0098 spectrum anchored at 0.3g is in the neighborhood of 50 million years. At these extremely low probability of exceedances odd things can happen. At return periods in the neighborhood of 10,000 years the behavior is as expected. For example, at the SSE level the ratio of the 85th percentiles at 1Hz is only 3.64.

In Figs. 5,6 and 7 we plot for all of the sites the ratio of the probability of the PGA exceeding 0.3gs (Fig. 5) or the ratio of the probability of exceeding the NUREG 0098 spectrum anchored at 0.3g at 2.5hz (Fig. 6) and 1.0Hz (Fig. 7) of the median (curve), 85th percentile (plot symbol "0"), and the arithmetic mean (plot symbol "x") estimates for the case when all 5 G-Experts models are used and the case when only G Experts 1-4 ground motion models are used. The correspondence between site numbers and names is given in Table 3. We see that the results for the ten sites, shown in Figs.1-4, reasonably mirrors the behavior for all of the sites.

In Fig. 8 we present the same results as in Fig. 5 except we only include the soil sites. The correspondence between site numbers and names is given in Table 3. We see by comparing Fig. 8 to Fig. 5 that at soll sites the sensitivity of all three estimates (median, 85th percentile, and arithmetic mean) to the inclusion /non. inclusion of G-Experts 5's model is about the same and is relatively independent of the category defined earlier the site falls into. At rock sites this is not the case. There is a wide variation in the sensitivity of the various estimators to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G Experts 5's model at rock sites as is shown in Fig. 9. In Fig. 9 we plot the same parameters as in Fig. 5 but only for rock sites. The correspondence between site numbers and names is given in Table 4.

We see from Fig. 9 and Table 4 that the most sensitivity to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G-Experts 5 model are for the sites falling into category (1) discussed earlier and the less sensitive for the sites falling into category 2.

2

j To better understand the sensitivity of which zones contribute most to the BEHC for PGA to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G-Experts 5's model we recomouted the zonal contribution tables, Tables 5.1 to 5.10, for the ten test using only G-Experts' 14 models.

In addition we all provide plots, in Figs.10.1 to 10.10, of the contribution to the BEHC from only earthquakes in the four ranges:

3.75 s mb < 5.0 5.0 s mb < 5.75 5.75 s mb < 6.5 6.5 s mb Table 6 gives the location (Volume number and table and plot numbers) of the zonal contribution tables and magnitude contribution plots for the case when all the G Expert's models are used.

If the appropriate comparisons listed in Table 6 are made one sees, in general, for the case when only G-Experts' 1-4 models are used that the local zones are more important than for the case when all five G-Experts' models are used. The biggest change is for sites that fall into. Category 1. We also see that the contribution from the earthquakes larger than mb = 6.5 becomes less important. The sites which fall into Category 4, mentioned above,'

are least sensitive to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G-Expert 5's model. Sites that fall into Category 1 are most sensitive. Thus, for Vogtle site if we compare Fig.10.8 to Fig 2.16.4 of Vol. III we see that the curve for bin 4, contribution of earthquakes greater than 6.5, is only slightly reduced, whereas for the Braidwood Site we see by comparing Fig.10.3 to Fig.

2.3.4 of Vol. IV we see very significant changes.

In general at rock sites, we see significant changes in the contrbution to the BEHC for PGA from earthquakes greater than 6.5. Soil sites that fallinto Category 3 are also significantly affected. However, the zonal contribution tables for sites that fall into Categories 2 and 4 generally do not show significant changes, because the local zones were already dominant.

Overall we can conclude the following relative to the sensitivity of the results to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G-Experts 5's model:

Most importantly, the impact on the median CPHC is more or less constant. For PGA at 0.3g level the probability of exceedance is about a factor of 1.4 to 2 higher if G-Expert 5's model is included.

For most soil sites (see Fig. 8) the sensitivity of the arithmetic mean and the 85th percentile estimator to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G-Expert 5's model is about the same as for the median.

For the rock sites that fallinto Category 1 the arithmetic means and 85th' percentile estimates are very sensitive to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G-Experts 5's model.

Generally, for a given ground motion level the resultant probability of exceedance for the case when all five G-Experts are used is higher than the case 3

a s

when only G-Experts' 1-4 models are used. However, at a few soil sites, interestingly, the arithmetic mean is higher for the case when G-Expert 5's model is not included than for the case when G-Expert 5's model is included.

The plots giving the contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within four magnitude ranges are very sensitive to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G Expert 5's model. The only exception are those sites which fall into Category 4.

The zonal contribution tables are somewhat less sensitive to the inclusion /non-inclusion of G-Expert 5's model than the magnitude contribution information.

The tables, for sites that fall into categories 2 and 4 do, not significantly change.

What is the bottom line? In our view the answer depends upon the estimator being used. If the median is being used then, for the reasons given Section 2 3 of Vol. VI, we argue that --

imperfect as it is--G-Expert 5's model should be included. it however, the arithmetic mean estimator must be used then it would be temping to drop G-Expert 5's model. However, given our arguments for using G-Experts 5's model then we can not arbitrarily drop G-Expert 5 if we are going to use the arithmetic mean. The arithmetic mean is of use'just because it is influenced by high outliers, and thus to some extent models the uncertainty. I asked Dick Monsing about dropping the top and bottom outilers and then recomputing the arithmetic mean. He did not think that it is justified because we do not have a random sample, but a sample of opinions from carefully selected group of experts. Thus Dick argues that if you insist on using the arithmetic mean, and if you agree with our argument that given the imperfect nature of all of the ground motion models and our lack of data (other than intensity data) from large EUS Earthquakes we should not drop G-Expert 5's model, then you have to live with the large values that sometimes results from the uncertainties or you need some alternative approach (see below) to eliminate high outliers.

Of course, your (NRC's) collective judgement relative to G-Experts 5's model can be different from our judgement. Then you could simply use the results transmitted with this letter report as the basis for your judgement.

Alternatively, you might ask how would we (Jean Savy, Dick Mensing and Don Bernreuter) reach our decision based on using the arithmetic mean? We would recommend using the arithmetic means as it is initially. If, based on all of the data that can be used to reach your decision, it is determined that a site is a outlier (and primarity due to the arithmetic mean) then we would recommend that rather than dropping G-Expert 5's model completely that the contribution to the hazard from each S and G Expert pair be examined to determine which combinations are dominating the arithmetic mean. These combinations should be examined as it is possible in the simulation process combinatic.is of parameters are chosen which lead to results that make no sense. These values could be dropped. It might also require that we would need to ask one or two S Experts to carefully reconsider the parameters they gave ut for some zones and in particular their bounds for the uncertainty.

Note that we attempted to OC the input from each S-Expert by comparing the data to their model, the seismicity for all of the zones. However, in some cases there was so little data for given zones that such comparisons were meaningless. In some cases the bounds for the uncertainty seemed excessively large. We pointed this out to our S-Experts and asked them to reconefer their values. This helped but did not make the concern go away. At any rate thre:,h such a process we would either have a basis to drop some simulations (or better yet change some parameters and recompute the results) which would result in a better estimate of the arithmetic mean hazard at the site. Or if the S-Experts still agreed with their 4

4 original input then you would be much more comfortable in saying that the site indeed was an outlier.

Granted, our alternative is expensive and time consuming. However, it would only need to be applied at a few sites as a last resort.

Directly attached to this letter are the figures and tables referred to in this letter. After some thought we determined the best way to transmit the results for the 69 sites using only G-Experts' 1-4 models would be to directly send the computer generated plots as that way you don't have to worry about the distortion introduced by copying the figures. To keep the data together for each site, which greatly simplifies the storage and handling tasks, we have left the sheets attached together. Each site is identified on the cover sheet by a site identification number. We have provided a sheet giving the correspondence between site name and number. In addition the site name is in each plot. Each plot has sufficient title to allow you to identify what is in the plot.

I hope this letter addresses your needs. If you have any further question do not hesitate to call.

Sincerely,

_-v r

Don L Bemreuter, Group Leader Engineering Geoscience Group i

i l

5

4 7

b NOTE:

BATCH I SITES APE IN VOL. II EATCH : SITES ARE IN VOL. III

^

SATCH 3 SITES APE Ill VOL. IV SATCH 4 SITES APE IN VOL.

'1 SATCH 5 EITES A:E IN VOL..' I I I batch site plot median vartance erath, mean t

16.

id.

[

l 1

1 lamerick

.4575E+01

.6111E+00

.1725E-03 I

2 shearon harras

.4925E+0!

.5524E+00

.5592E-04 3

3 3

braidwood

.5038E+01 4255E+00

.3848E-04 4

4 4

la crosse

.4843E+01

.7671E+00

.1772E-03 4

5 5

etver bend

.5387E+01

.1030E+01

.ll43E-03 4

4 6

wolf creek

.5321E+01

.5292E+00

.3046E-04 watts bar

.4346E+01

.5255E+00 4Gl5E-03 2

6 3

vogtle

.4788E+0!

.5073E+00 4716E-03 1

9 9

millstone

.4690E+01

.5918E+00

.2385E-03 1

10 10 maine yankee 4356E+01

.3817E+00

.2074E-03 I

11 11 fit patrtet

.5066E+01

.6676E+00

.5573E-04 I

12 10 ginna

.5037E+01

.9060E+00

.1416E-03 1

13 13 haddan neck

.4648E+01

.4716E+00

.1527E-03 1

14 la andaan point

.4543E+01

.6034E+00

.1774E-03 1

15 15 nine male point

.5068E+01

.552:E+00 4748E-04 1

16 16 oyster creek

.499BE+0!

.1052E+01

.1070E-03 1

17 17 peach bottom

.4554E+01

.5473E+00

.1758E-03 i

18 18 pilgrim

.4055E+01

.9135E+00

.1353E-02 1

19 19 salem

.4859E+0!

.921:E+00

.1:59E-03 i

1 20 20 seabrook

.416:E+01

.5304E+00 4077E-03 1

21 shorenan

.474:E+0!

.9364E+00

.2559E-03 1

susouchanna

.4756E+0i

.6:91E+00

.ll31E-03 I

3 :3 three mt. aslano

.4634E+01

.Tl:7E+00

.1390E-03 1

4 4

vermont yankee

.4715E+0!

.6389E+00

. 456E-03 1

5 :5 yanFee eowe

.4414E+01

.1074E+0!

.44:5E-03

26 25 browns ferry

.4866E+01

.9164E+00

.1439E-03

27 :7 brunswad

.4519E+01

.3717E+00

.5513E-03 29 :S calvert cliffs

.4961E+01

.771CE+00 1077E-03

29 :9 catawba

.4769E+01

.5368E+00

.3650E-04 2 30 30 farley

.5270E+01

.5699E+30

.5731E-04

31

1 heten

.5163E+01

.1061E+il

.II:6E-03 1

32 3:

hope creet

.4884E+0!

.9204E+0B

.iO8:E-03

33 23 mcguire

.468:E+01

.5434E+00 7399E-04 2 34 J

nortn anna

.4653E+01 4963E+00

291E-03

35 25 oconee

.4496E+01

.5:00E+00

.~:54E-03

3G 25 rootnson

.4794E+0!

.5995E+00

. 199E-03 27 27 seoucyan

.4356E+01

.7129E+00'.JillE-03

25 25 summer

.4695E-01

.5960E+00

. '159E-03 2 35 :3 surry

.5084E+01

.!I33E+00

.5593E-04

[

t 3 40 40 ceever eslicy

.4555E+01 7131E+00

.2925E-03 3 41 41 big roca point

.5133E+01

.326 E+00 Il90E-03 3 4 42 byro, 1 &2

.4988E+01

.2531E+00

.5523E-04 3 43 43 clanton

.4659E+0!

.3260E+00

.!!93E-03 3 44 44

cok 1 5:

.4666E+01

.7990E+00

.1353E-03 2 45 45 davas besse 1

.4953E+01

.5797E+00

.Il80E-03

46 46 crescen :53

.5000E+01 4071E*00 4480E-04 3 47 47 fernt :

.5054E+01 4646E+00

.6033E-04 3 48 48 6ewaunee

.5134E+01

.5837E+00

.60'8E-04 2 49 49 lasalle

.4744E+01

.3191E+00

.1578E-03 3 50 50 palasaces 1

.4931E+0!

.5456E+00

.1641E-03 3 51 51 perry

.5087E+0i

.5242E+00

.6997E-04 3 52 52 point beach

.5057E+01

.9381E+00

.1434E-03 3 53 53 pratete island

.4956E+01

.6191E+00

.Il16E-03 3 54 54

1on

.4753E+01

.6741E+00 1653E-03 4 F5 55 arkansas

.4654E+01

.6674E+00

.2943E-03 4 56 56 bellefonte

.4412E+01

.6942E+00

.2690E-03 4 57 57 callaway

.5135E+0!

.5608E+00

.6471E-04 4 52 52 comanene peak

.559:E+01

.7:59E+00

.2550E-04 4 59 59

ooper

.4515E+01

.9604E+00

.2819E-0.'

4 60 60 crye.tal river

.5499E+01

.9105E+00

.4342E-04 4 61 61 duane arnold

.5449E+01

.5252E+00

.3098E-04 4 6 62 fort calhoun

.4616E+01

.9146E+00

.0063E-03 4 63 63 grand gulf

.5460E+01

.ll39E+01

.1477E-03 4 64 54 monticello

.4854E+01

.7945E+00

.:562E-03 4 65 55 auad cities

.5262E+0!

.4992E+00

.5733E-04 4 66 66 south te.sas

.5519E+01

.1022E+0!

.4937E-04 4 67 67 st. luc 2e

.5494E+01

.1011E+01 489 E-04 4 68 68 turkey point

.5432E+01

.6055E+00

.0015E-04 4 69 69 waterford

.5402E+01

.Il86E+01

.5429E-03 5 70 70 nine mile point

.4458E+01

.3798E+00

.2368E-03 5 71 71 susauenanna s-2

.4406E+01 7915E+00

.57 cE-03 5 7: 7:

catawba s-:

.4168E+01

.7995E+00

.5:7cE-03 5 73 3

north anna s-2

.4075E+01 7454E+00

.57:5E-03 5 74 4

oconee s-2

.397'E+0i

.3403E+00

. :05E-0:

5 75 75 summer s-2

.4075E+01

.9953E+00

.5629E-03 5 75 75 arkansas s-:

.4193E+01

.1035E+0!

.1115E-0:

5 77 77 callaway s-2

.4441E+01

.9468E+00

.5349E-03 5 73 78 duane arnold s-:

.4891E+01

.3520E+00

.2585E-03 5 79 79 browns ferry s-2

.415:E+01

.3155E+0!

1275E-02 5 E0 60 farley s-:

.476EE+01

.965:E+00

.:776E-03 5 81 si three mile islan

. 108E+01

.3353E+00 7:50E-03 average i:ql0 meatan ne:ard :f all sites =

-4.797456

<ariance=

1.55039fE-01

I l-j l

l l

l TABLE 1 LIST OF TEN TEST EITES. IITE ID. AND SELECTED DATA FOR PGA AT 0.3G plot site site ratio of ratio of ratio of 1d.

id, med.

8 51 h.

erith. m.

i 1

limerick 1.71 2.70 3.09 i

i snearon harris 1.84 4.24 10.63 3

3 braidwood 1,63 5.l:

15.40 4

4 la crosse 1.46 1.26 1.;9 5

5 river eeno 1.71 1.67 1.41 6

6 wolf creer.

l.81 7.63 13.76

)

7 7 watts bar 1.69 3.42 3.92 9

8 vogtle 1.67 1.86 1.50 9

9 millstone I.67 4.01 2.53 i

10 10 matne yankee 1.53 4.58 4.60

~

l

=

TABLE :

LIST OF SITES, FITE ID. AND SELECTED DATA COR PGA AT 0.3G olot 32te 32te ratto of rat 2o of

-atso oi 2d.

2d.

med.

95th.%

aratn.

m.

1 i

12meract 1.71 2.70 3.09

snearon harris 1.84 4.24 10.63 3

3 braadwood 1.63 5.12 15.40 4

4 la crosse 1.46 1.36 1.09 5

5 river bend 1.71 1.67 f.41 6

6 wolf creek t.81 7.63 13.76 7

7 watts bar 1.69 3.42 3.90 9

3 segtle 1.67 1.86

!.50 9

9 m211 stone 1,67 4.01

.53 10 10 msane yanree 1.53 4.58 4.50 11 II fat:patr2ct i.78 7.38 10.36 10 4: g2nna 1.78 5.37 3.50 13 13 haddam nect I.64 4.03 3.19 14 14 2ndran potnt 1.62 3.53 3.04 15 15 nine mile po2nt 1.75 7.89 9.50 16 16 oyster creek 1.58 1.31 1.03 17 17 peacn botten 1.68 0.89 2.79 19 IB p21 gram 1.45 1.19

.96 19 19 salem I.44 1.26 1.10 20 00 seabroot 1.71 3.19 2.53 21 snorenam f.45 1.23 1.04

susquensnna 1.76 3.73 3.37 23

3 three m2.

saland 1.91 2.60 3.21 24

4 serment fantee

!.51 4.60 5.53 25

5

.enkee -:we 1.31 i.43

' 25

S

S trowns ferry 1.97 7.97

!5.09

!?

7 brunswict i.54 1.43 1.37 29 29 :alvert :12ffs 1.43 1.23 f.05 29 29 catawba t.73 5.61 9.13 30 20 farley 1.79 7.

7 5.55 31 31 nstch I.78 1.53 2.57 3:

hepe creet 1.56 1.36 1.29 33 23 meguare 1.69 4.75 10.64 24 24 corth anna I.67 2.67 2.90 25 25 :cence

'.75 4.::

2.93 36 26 ree:nson 1.67 f.9 1.39 27 27 seoucyeh I.74

.39 5.06

2 eummer 1.75 2.59 t!.55 29

9 surry i.49 1.25

.!?

20 20 teaver

+ile.

f.51

' 24

.35 at 4

2; r::t ::2ri

!.!5

.04 4:

a: :cren I ; ;

' 56 4.37 5.59

43 43 clinton 1.94 2.46 0.08 44 44 c oo 6.

I 5:

1,64 f.70

-I.67 45 25 eavts besse 1 1.75 3.97 3.71 46 26 crenden 2&3 1.59 5.07 11.33 47 47 ' semi :

1.61 a.26 5.05 48 18 iewaunee

!.63 1.54 1.53 49 49 lasalle 1.75 2.09

.41 50 60 palisaces i 1.67 1.68 f.67 SI 51 perry 1.75 4.74-4.78 52 52 point beach I.62 1.36 1.12 53 53 pratete island 1.38 1.25 1.11 54 54 : son 1.60 1.42 1.49 55 55 arkansas 1.70 5.29 4.55 56 56 bellefonte 1.72 4.18 8.50 57 57 callausy I.76 14.02 24.00 58 58 comanche peak 2.00 5.50 8.11 59 59 cooper I.45 1.32 1.34.

60 60 crystal river 2.00 3.88 6.48 61 61 cuane arnold 1.56 6.65' 10.56 6

52 fort calheun 1.40 1.16 1.22 63 53 grand gulf 1.87 0.26 1.58 64 64 montacello 1.17 1.04 98 S5 55 quad etties I.75 5.90 9.05 66 66 south texas 1.27 1.13 1.05 67 67 st. lucie 1.39 1.06 1.13 68 68 turkey point 1.58 2.81 9.08 69 59 waterford 1.68 1.58 1.35 70 70 nine mile point s-1.87 f.64 1.48 71

?!

susquehanna s-2 1.63 1.50 1.11 70

~2 catawba s-2 1.57 1.42 1.73 73

~3 north anna s-:

1.31 1.06

.99 74 74 oconee s-2 1.41 1.32 f.04 75 75 summer s-2 1.51 1.23 1.5

'6

~6 erkansas s-2 1.75 1.63 1.34

~7 callaway s-2 1.92 2.39 f.33

~'

79 78 cuane srnold -

1.61 1.53 1.50 79 79 browns ferry s-2 f.69 1.59 1.59 90 30 farley s-2 1.66 1.60 1.35 91 31 three mile islands-2.

1.31 1.13 1.01

^

8 TABLE 2 LIST OF SOIL SITES, 3ITE ID. AND SELECTED DATA FOR PGA AT 0.3G plot.stte site ratio of ratto of

-atio of tc.

d.

mee.

35th.%

setth.

m.

I 4

la crosse 1.46 f.36 1.09 5 river bena 1.71 1.67 1.41 3

9 vogtle 1.67 1.86 1.50 4

16 oyster creek 1.58 1.31 1.23 5

IB pilgr2n 1.45 1.19

.96 6

19 salen 1.44 1.26 1.10 7

21 shorehan 1.45 1.23 1.04 8

25 yankee rowe 1.81 1.43 1.09 9

7 brunswick i.54 1.43 1.37 10

9 calvert -1:ffs i.43 1.29 1.08 11 21 natch I.79 1.53 3.57 12 3

hope creer.

1.56 1.36 1.29 13 36 robinson 1.67 f.82 f.89 14 39 surry 1.49 1.06 1.17 15 40 beaver valley 1.51 1.34 1.05 16 41 big rock point 1.33 1.16 1.04 17 43 clanton 1.94 2.46 2.08 18 44

cok i &2 1.54 1.70 1.67 19 48 Lewaunee 1.63 1.54 1.53 20 AS lasalle 1.75 2.08 2.41 21 50 palisades i 1.67 1.58 1.67 52 point beach 1.62 1.36 1.12 23 53 pratr:e island 1.38 1.25 1.11 24 54 : ton 1.60 1.42

!.49 25 59 cooper 1.45 1.32 1.34 25 5

f:rt ralheun 40 1.16 1.::

7 53 grand gulf 1.97 2.25 1.59 23 54 monticello 1.17 1.04

.98 29 55 south te..as 1.27 1.13

!.05 30 57 st. luete 1.39 1.06 1.13 31 59 waterford 1.68 1.58 1 35 22 73 nine male point s-1.87 1.64 1.48 33 71 susquehanna s-2

.63 1.50 1.11 34

': catawba s-2 1.57 1.42 1.72 25

~3 north anna 3-2 1.31 1.06

.99 25

~4

ence :-:

1.41 i.32 1.34 37

~5 summer s-2 1.51 1.23 1.52 39 5

e-tensas s-:

1.~5 1.63

!.34 29

~7 callaway s-:

1.62

.39 1.93 40

~3

uane ernold s-:

.61 1.53 1.50 Ji

'9 t-owns fer-< s-2

.69 1.59 1.56

?rley 5-

.55

' 50 1.25 4

30 43 il tnree n2le islana

$.31 1.!3 1.01

..1 y

1 TABLE 4 LIST OF ROCK SITES, IITE 10. AND SELECTED DATA FOR PGA AT 0.3G l

Plot s2te site catto of-ratio of rat 20 of.

Id.

2d.

med.

85th.%

arith. n.

I 1

lamerack 1.71 0.70 3.09 shearon harris 1.84-4.24 10.63 3

3 bra 2dwood 1.63 5.12 15.40 4

6 wolf creek 1.01 7.63 13.76 5

7 watts bar 1.69 3.42 3.92 6

9 millstone 1.67 4.01 0.53 7

10 maane yankee f.53 4.58 4.60 8

11 fit: patrick 1.78 7.38 10.36 9

10 ginna 1.78 6.37 8.50 10 13 haddan neck I.64 4.03 3.19 11 14 Indian point 1.62 3.53 3.04 12 15 nine male point 1.76-7.89 8.60 13 17 peach bottom 1.68 0.89 2.79 14 20 seabrook 1.71 3.19 2.53 15

susquehanna 1.75 3.73 3.37 16 23 three nt. island 1.81 0.60 3.21 17 24 vernont yankee I.81 4.60 5.53 10

6 browns ferry 1.97 7.87 16.09 19 29 catawba 1.73 5.61 8.13 20 30 farley 1.79 7.27 8.56 21 33 meguire 1.68 4.75 10.64 22 34 north anna 1.67 3.67 3.90

3 25 oconee 1 75 4.23 3.93 24 37 secuoyan 1.74 3.38 5.06 25 38 summer 1.76 4.59 12.c5 S

40 byron I &:

1.56 4.37 5.59 07 45 davas besse i 1.75 3.97 3.71

S 46 dresden 283 1.59 5.27 11.33 i

29 47 ferm:

1.61 4.06 5.05 30 El perry 1.75 4.74 4.78 31 55 arkansas 1.70 5.09 4.55 32 56 bellefonte 1.70 4.18 9.50 1

33 57 callaway 1.76 14.02 24.00 7

34 50 c:manche peak

.00 5.50 8.11 t

l 35 60 crystal river 2.00 3.88 6.48

!6 51 cuane arnoic 1.66 6.65 10.55 j

37 65 ouad cities 1.76 5.90 8.05 i

{.

33 53 turkey point i.58

.31 9.08 l

t

PAGE l'

TABLE 5.1

- - - BASED ON ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 MDST IMPORTANT ZONES PER S-EXPERT FOR LIMERICK SITE SUIL CATEGORY ROCK S-XPT HOST ZONES CONTRIBUTING MOST SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE PGA BEHC AND % OF CONTRIBUTION NUM.

ZONE AT LOH PGA(0.

_..._____........___________........125G)....................__...._.........HIGN PGA(0.60G)

AT 1

ZONE 4 ZONE ids ZONE 4 ZONE 1 ZONE 3 ZONE 15 ZONE 4 ZONE 1 ZONE 3 ZONE 15

% CONT.:

100.

O.

100.

O.

..._ ___.__._.__......................__....O.____.___....

.O.

O.

2 ZONE 28 ZONE ID ZONE 28 COMP. ZON ZONE 27 ZONE 30 ZONE 28 COMP. ZON ZONE 27 ZONE 30

% CONI.:

100.

O O.

Q.

100.

D.

O.

........______......._.._____..........__O.

3 ZONE 5 ZONE ids ZONE 5 ZONE 8A COMP. ZON ZONE 2 ZONE 5 COMP. ZON ZONE 2 ZONE 4

% CONT.:

100.

6 O.

6.

100.

.......__....________.........._____.. _______..........._____. _____.......______O.

D.

O.

4 ZONE 11 ZONE ids ZONE 11 ZONE 12 COMP. ZOH ZONE 27 ZONE 11 COMP. ZON ZONE 27 ZONE 8

% CONT.s 98.

____ ___...._.. 2.

O.

100 O.

O.

5 ZONE 1 ZONE ids ZONE 1 COMP. ZON ZONE 3 ZONE 4 ZONE 1 COMP. ZON ZONE 3 ZONE 4

% CONT.

100.

O.

100.

___...__.._..........__.........O..__..............__.

.D.

D.

O.

6 ZONE 6 ZONE ID ZONE 6 COMP. ZON ZONE 5 ZONE 7 ZONE 6 COMP. ZON ZONE 5 ZONE 7

% CONT.

100.

O O.

6.

100 O.

O.

7 ZONE 7 ZONE ID ZONE 7 ZONE 29 ZONE 13 ZONE 2 =

ZONE 7 ZONE 18 ZONE 17 ZONE 9

% CONT.:

96.

1.

G.

100.

3.__________________.___....._........____..__O.

D.

O.

10 ZONE 4B ZONE ids ZONE 5 ZONE 4R ZONE 19 = ZONE 2

ZONE 45 ZONE 5 ZONE 19 = ZONE 2

% CONT.:

63.

3.

O.

7

. _______ _____..._......._.._____... 34....______

0......__.27.

4.

O.

11 ZONE 5 ZONE ID ZONE 5 CZ = ZONE ZONE 1 ZONE 2 ZONE 5 CZ = ZONE ZONE 1 ZONE 2

% CONT.:

100.

O.

____.........__..........G.__..........____..................100.

O.

12 ZONE 32 ZONE ids ZONE 32 ZONE 27 ZONE 20 ZONE 25 ZONE 32 ZONE 20 ZONE 25 ZONE 27

% CONT.s 100.

.._______O.

C.

S.

100 O.

O.

13 CZ 15 ZONE ids CZ 15 CZ 17 ZONE 10 ZONE 8 CZ 15 ZONE 8 ZONE 10 ZONE 11

% CONT.8 99.

....___....1.

O.

6.

100 O.

O.

er e-w W

PAGE 1

TABLE 5.2

- - - BASED ON ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 MOST IMPORTANT ZONES PER S-EXPERT FOR SHEARON NARRIS SITE SOIL CATEGORY ROCK S-XPT HOST ZONES CONTRIBUTING MOST SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE PGA NUM.

ZONE AT LOM PGA(0.125G)

BEHC AND % OF CONTRIBUTION

_.........-- --...-._-..........__..--_..._...._..._._.___..-...--...AT MIGM PGAt0.60G) 1 ZONE 3 ZONE ids ZONE 3 ZONE 1 ZONE 2 ZONE 4 ZONE 3 ZONE 1 ZONE 2 ZONE 4

% CONT.s 93.

7.

O.

99.

1.

............._____........G............_..................._...___

O.

2 COMP. 20 ZONE ID ZONE 30 COMP. ZON ZONE 27

. ZONE 29 COMP. ZON ZONE 18 ZONE 27 ZONE.28

% CON 57.

33.

6.

5.

.._______.T.s......__..............___________..___.-_..___......

100.

6.

O.

3 ZONE 7 ZONE ids ZONE 7 ZONE 8A COMP. ZON ZONE 9 ZONE 7 COMP. ZON ZONE 5 ZONE 6

% CONT.:

97.

6 9.

100.

-_2._ _.....______......____________........__..D.

O.

4 ZONE 11 ZONE ids ZONE 11 ZONE 10 ZONE 9 COMP. ZON ZONE 11 COMP. ZON ZONE 26 ZONE 27

% CONT.s 61.

37 1.

6.

100.

O D.

O.

5 ZONE 10 ZONE ids ZONE 10 ZONE 9 ZONE 8 ZONE 11 ZONE 10 ZONE 5 COMP. ZON ZONE 1

% CON

....T.

80.

15.

4.

6 100.

O.

...______..........................__.......___________.......___. ____... G.

6 COMP. 20 ZONE ID ZONE 13 ZONE 15 ZONE 11 COMP. ZON COMP. ZON ZONE 11 ZONE 15 ZONE 13

% CONT.:

33.

30 26.

11.

55.

..............................._______27.

17.

2.

7 ZONE 2 =

ZONE ID ZONE 2 = ZONE 8 ZONE 10 ZONE 9 ZONE 2 = ZONE 7 ZONE 8 ZONE 9

% CONT.

7 13.

8.

5.

3......___.... _.......__..........______..__100.

O.

10 ZONE 4R ZONE ID ZONE 48 ZONE 28 ZONE 28A ZONE 15 ZONE 4R ZONE 19 = ZONE 15 ZONE 5

% CO 94.

4.

1.

.............._N__T._

1...............

100.

O.

11 ZONE 7 ZONE ids ZONE 7 ZONE 8 CZ = ZONE ZONE 6 ZONE 8 ZONE 7 CZ = ZONE ZONE 5

% CON

___..T.:

66.

34.

1.

O 59.

40.

O.

....____..__.............___......___....__...___________..... __._..______...G.

12 ZONE 22 ZONE ids ZONE 22 ZONE 20 ZONE 23A ZONE 21 ZONE 22 ZONE 19 ZONE 20 ZONE 21

% CONT.:

98.

____.......__...___.......__.......... 2.

G.

O.

100 O.

O.

G.

13 CZ 17 ZONE ID: CZ 17 CZ 15 ZONE 9 ZONE 8 CZ 17 CZ 15 -

ZONE 8

/.ON E 9

% CONT.

97.

2.

1.

6.

94 6.

G.

O.

a i

--m

- - -. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ' - - ^ ^ - - - - - -

PAGE 1-TABLE 5.3

- me BASED ON ONLY G. EXPERTS 1-1 MOST IMPORTANT ZONES PER S-EXPERT FOR BRAIDHOOD SITE SOIL CATEGORY ROCK S-XPT HOST ZONES CONTRIBUTING MOST SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE PGA BEHC AND % OF CONTRIBUTION NUM.

ZONE AT LOM PGA(0.1

__........________....__... _..._... 250)_........__.....__.....__....__........N PGA(0.60G)

AT NIG 1

ZONE 19 ZONE ID ZONE 19 ZONE 11 ZONE 15 ZONE 9 ZONE 19 ZONE 9 ZONE 10

- ZONE 11

% CONT.s 88.

11.

6.

100.

D.

....___.......___.1.......______....________........

...........O.

O.

2 ZONE 21 ZONE ID ZONE 21 COMP. ZON ZONE 18 ZONE 20 ZONE 21 COMP. ZON ZONE 18 ZONE 19

% CONI.:

81.

14.

1.

70.

30.

._____- __..._...______..___..... __._. _____.4..._________......... _______...______......._O.

O.

3 ZONE 15 ZONE ID ZONE 15 ZONE 16 COMP. ZON ZONE 12 ZONE 15 ZONE 16 COMP. ZON ZONE 11

% CONT.e 82.

17.

O.

98.

1.

O.

bbbP kb kbbk ibs kbbk 2 EbbE 55 ~kbbk 5 EbMh[Ebh kbNk k bbbP5 kbN kbNk 55 kbbk 3

% CONI.s 98.

1.

O.

99.

1 O.

O.

5 COMP. 20 ZONE ids COMP. ZON ZONE 15 ZONE 12 ZONE 14 COMP. ZON ZONE 12 ZONE 15 ZONE 14

% CONT.

86.

14 O.

O.

100

.....................______.O.

G.

O.

6 ZONE 22 ZONE ids ZONE 22 ZONE 17 COMP. ZON ZONE 9 ZONE 22 COMP. ZON ZONE 17 ZONE 9

% CONT.

85.

O.

100.

.................______15...____......____

..O.

O.

7 ZONE 34 ZONE ids ZONE 34 ZONE 2 = ZONE 6 ZONE 5 ZONE 34 ZONE 2 = ZONE 4 ZONE 3 i

% CONT.

9 3.

5.

2.

6.....____.--._.99.

1 c.

O.

10 ZONE 26A ZONE ids ZONE 26A ZONE 19 = ZONE 12A ZONE 13 ZONE 26A ZONE 19 = ZONE 12A ZONE 13

% CON 69.

31.

G.

6.

1

..............T.s._________.______.....______

87....______.3.

O.

11 CZ = ZON ZONE ID: CZ = ZONE ZONE 10 ZONE 9 ZONE 11 CZ = ZONE ZONE 9 ZONE 10 ZONE 11

% CONT.:

67.

___.... ___ --__.._..............____ 33.

O.

6.

100 D.

0.

G.

12 ZONE 4 ZONE ids ZONE 15 ZONE 14 ZONE 13 ZONE 17 ZONE.1 ZONE 14 ZONE 13 ZONE 17

=

% CONT.

100.

O 4.

8.

...__.._________...............O.

O.

c.

13 CZ 15 ZONE ids CZ 15 ZONE 3 ZONE 5 ZONE 4 CZ 15 ZONE 3 ZONE 5 ZONE 4

% CONT.

100.

O.

9.

100.

__...........O....______.____..........

___.D.

O.

I:

i i

L h

m

. m m

~

m

+,

.==

l l

f I

l l

PAGE 1

TABLE 5.4

- - - BASED ON ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 s

MOST IMPORTANT ZONES PER S-EXPERT FOR L A CROSSE l

SITE SOIL CATEGORY SAND-Z S-XPT NOST ZONES CONTRIBUTING MOST SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE PGA BENC AND % OF CONTRIBUTION NUM.

ZONE AT LOM PGA(0

...________...____................ 125G)..... _...... _....... _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _. T H I GH P G A ( 0. 6 0 G)

A 1

ZONE 15 ZONE ID: ZONE 15 ZONE 19 ZONE 11 ZONE 9 ZONE 15 ZONE 9 ZONE 10 ZONE 11

% CONT.s 94.

3.

O.

10

.......__..__.._.......________.....___3..................

0.

O.

2 COMP. ZO ZONE ID COMP. ZON ZONE 18 ZONE Z1 ZONE 13 COMP. ZON ZONE 13 ZONE 15 ZONE 18

% CONT.s 100.

O.

D.

100.

O.

D.

O.

5 bbbP[kb kbbk ibI bbbP Ebb kbbE 55 kbbk ik kbbk~ik bbbh[kbh 5bhk 55 Ebhk~ik kbbk".55

% CONT.

99.

1.

O.

100.

O.

O bbbP kb kbbh~ibe ~kbhk'k Cbkh kbH kbhE 55~~~kbHk k kbhE"E CbEP~~kbk~kbbk~i3~~~kbUk'~1

~

l l

% CONT.

95.

2.

O.

_____________.................__3......__................___..__. 94.

5.

1.

O.

5 COMP. 20 ZONE ids COMP. ZON ZONE 12 ZONE 13 ZONE 15 COMP. ZON ZONE 12 ZONE 13 ZONE 15

% CONT.

100.

G.

O.

__...........O......_____...____....._..____... 100.

O.

D.

6 COMP. ZO ZONE ids COMP. ZON ZONE 22 ZONE 17 ZONE 9 COMP. ZON ZONE 9 ZONE 18 ZONE 17

% CONT.:

94.

O O.

100.

O O.

O.

__..._..._6._. ________.

7 ZONE 3 ZONE ID ZONE 3 ZONE 2 = ZONE 34 ZONE 4 ZONE 3 ZONE 2

% CONT.:

95.

1.

O.

ZONE 4 ZONE 6

=

......_____............._________.... 3.....

........................... 98.

2.

O.

10 ZONE 19 ZONE ids ZONE 19 = ZONE 26A ZONE 12A ZONE 13 ZONE 19 ZONE 12A ZONE 13 ZONE 24A

% CONT.s 100 O.

O

=

O.

100.

__...O.

O.

9.

11 CZ = ZON ZONE ids CZ = ZONE ZONE 9 ZONE 10 ZONE 17 CZ = ZONE ZONE 9 ZONE 10 ZONE 17

% CONT.s O.

O.

S.

100......... __.. _______..........._...____.... 100.

O.

O O.

12 ZONE 4

=

ZONE ids ZONE 15 ZONE 5 ZONE 7 ZONE 14 ZONE 5 ZONE 7 ZONE 15 ZONE 14 t

% CONT.

100.

G.

O.

__O._........___............

........G.

O.

6 D.

13 CZ 15 ZONE ID CZ 15 ZONE 5 ZONE 6 ZONE 18 CZ 15 ZONE 5 ZONE 6 ZONE 18 r

l

% CONT.:

100.

O.

...................................... O........ __....____.............. 100.

O.

O O.

i l

l l

i

PAGE 1-TABLE 5.5 BASED ON ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 MOST IMPORTANT ZONES PER S-EXPERT FOR RIVER BEND SITE SOIL CATEGORY DEEP-SDIL S-XPT HOST ZONES CONTRIBUTING MOST SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE PGA BEHC AND % OF CONTRIBUTION NUM.

ZONE AT LOM PGA(0 125G)...................................T HIGN PGA(0.60G)

A 1

ZONE 1 ZONE ID ZONE 1 ZONE 5 ZONE 4 ZONE 9 ZONE 1 ZONE 4 ZONE 5 ZONE 9

% CO 100.

O.

100.

O.

..__...._______._..NT.s.....___

9...

...........O.

9.

2 COMP. 20 ZONE ids COMP. ZON ZONE 18 ZONE 4 ZONE 27 COMP. ZON ZONE 4 ZONE 18 ZONE 27

% CONT.s 99.

1.

O.

9.

100 D.

O.

9.

3 COMP. ZD ZONE ids COMP. ZON ZONE 10 ZONE 8A ZONE 5 COMP. ZON ZONE 5 ZONE 8A ZONE 10

__.....-____..... CONT.a.....___. 88.

10.

2.

O 100.

O.

G.

4 ZONE 25 ZONE ids ZONE 25 20taE 4 COMP. ZON ZONE 2 ZONE 25 COMP. ZON ZONE 2 ZONE 3

% CONI.

94.

S.

96.

...-...................... ___....... 6.....___. 1....................__.......__..___4.

O.

5 COMP. Zo ZONE ids. ZONE 11 COMP. ZON ZONE 15 ZONE 10 COMP. ZON ZONE 10 ZONE 11 ZONE 15 75.

23.

2.

__...C.ONT.s.................................... 9 100.

O.

G O.

6 ZONE 21 ZONE ids ZONE 21 ZONE 20 COMP. ZON ZONE 12 ZONE 21 COMP. ZON. ZONE 12 ZONE 18

% CONT.s 99.

O.

9.

1........__

98.

2.

O.

S.

7 ZONE 2 =

ZONE ids ZONE 2 = ZONE 1 ZONE 6 ZONE 5 ZONE 2 = ZONE 1 ZONE 6 ZONE 5

% CONT.

86.

O.

6.

....._........................__.. 14..._____....._.........__.........___99.

1.

O.

10 ZONE 19 ZONE ids ZONE 19 = ZONE 12A ZONE 28 ZONE 29 ZONE 19 = ZONE 12A ZONE 28 ZONE 29

....._.-......... CONT.s 100 O.

6.

D.

O.

................................_...... 100.

11 ZONE 14 ZONE ids ZONE 14 CZ = ZONE ZONE 11 ZONE 6 ZONE 4 CZ = ZONE ZONE 6 ZONE 8

% CONT.s 95.

G.

9.

............___..................... 5.......____

________.....____7....___.

13.

O.

6.

12 ZONE 10 ZONE ID ZONE 11 ZONE 3 ZONE 8 ZONE 12 ZONE 3 ZONE 8 ZONE 11 ZONE 12

...______......% CONT.s.___._..................._______O.__

......D.

.0 G.

100.

O.

9 9.

13 CZ 16 ZONE ids CZ 16 CZ 15 ZONE 1 ZONE 5 CZ 16 CZ 15 ZONE 1 ZONE 5

% CONT.

94.

O.

9.

____............____................._.6.__.............._____......____....53.

47.

O.

9.

1

,m

~w

=.~... e

. ~ ~...

..o~.

.-,, ~

PAGE

- 1 TABLE 5.6

- - - BASED ON ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 MOST IMPORTANT ZONES PER S-EXPERT FOR HOLF CREEK SITE SOIL CATEGORY ROCK S-XPT HOST ZONES CONTRIBUTING MOST SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE PGA BEHC AND % OF CONTRIBUTION NUM.

ZONE AT LOM PGA(0.125G)

.._...........___........... _........._..____.......__....____.......AT HIGH PGA(0.60G) 1 ZONE 15 ZONE ID ZONE 15 ZONE 14 ZONE 5 ZONE 10 ZONE 15 ZONE 5 ZONE 9 ZONE 10

........._______.....T 8.....______...___.....................____...... __100.

O.

O S.

% CON 75.

25.

O.

S.

2 ZONE 15 ZONE ids ZONE 15 COMP. ZON ZONE 18 ZONE 6 ZONE 5 COMP. ZON ZONE 1 ZONE 2

% Col 4T.s 88.

11 1.

9.

7.

1

....._____................__..........._._..___.........................__......... 3.

O.

9.

3 ZONE 16 ZONE ID ZONE 16 COMP. ZON ZONE 13 ZONE 12 ZONE 16 COMP. ZON ZONE 13 ZONE 12

% C0t4T.

100.

O.

___O.

S.

100.

O O.

O.

4 ZOllE 13 Z0t3E ID ZONE 1 ZONE 13 COMP. ZON ZONE 2 ZONE 13 ZONE 1 COMP. ZON ZONE 2

% CONT.:

93.

7 G.

9.

78.

...____...______..............__...._... 21.

1.

O.

5 COMP. ZO ZONE ID: COMP. ZON ZONE 15 ZONE 14 ZONE 17 COMP. ZON ZONE 15 ZONE 14 ZONE 17

% CONT.

100.

O O.

6.

100.

........___...______....__......._.....__..........___......______..._.............. O.

O.

6 ZONE 27 ZONE ID ZONE 27 ZONE 25 COMP. ZON ZONE 17 ZONE 27 COMP. ZON ZONE 18 ZONE 17

% CONT.8 91.

.............. _____................. 7.

2.

8 98.

2.

O.

..............___......_.....................................O.

7 ZONE 2 =

ZONE ID ZONE 2 = ZONE 31 ZONE 30 ZONE 3 ZONE 2 = ZONE 3 ZONE 6 ZONE 5

......_.......__. CONT.

77.

Z3.

O.

S

............... __........_......................100.

8.

O 8.

10 ZONE 19 ZONE ID ZONE 19 = ZONE 32 ZONE 12A ZONE 13 ZONE 19 = ZONE 32 ZONE 12A ZONE 13

% CONT.:

63.

37.

G.

S.

6.

O.

9.

...........__..........................__.94.

___........_........_..e 11 CZ = ZON ZONE ID CZ = ZONE ZONE 17 ZONE 10 ZONE 11 CZ = ZONE ZONE 10 ZONE 11 ZONE 15

% CONT.

93 7.

O.

6.

....._......................___........ 100.

9.

9 O.

12 ZONE 4 =

ZONE ids ZONE 6 ZONE 3 ZONE 7 ZONE 15 ZONE 6 ZONE 3 ZONE 7 ZONE 15

% CONT.:

100.

4.

6.

............... ____..................S.......................__....... 100.

S.

9 6.

13 CZ 15 ZONE ID: CZ 15 ZONE 8 ZONE 1 ZONE 3 CZ 1 ZONE 1 ZONE 3 ZONE 5

-% CONI.

87.

O.

6.

09 O.

9.

.....____........................1 I

+

e h

a 5

--w~

-,. -,+

m-,,n-e,-

s.

- + ~ =

,r-n>

~,m osm see,-e w s m--m-

,.-,--s a

,----vmwvar--------,a-

---n----

a-

i PAGE 1

IABLE 5.7 BASED ON ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4

- m*

MOST IMPORTANT ZONES PER S-EXPERT FOR HATTS BAR SITE SDIL CATEGORY ROCK S-XPT HOST ZONES CONTRIBUTING MOST SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE PGA BEHC AND % OF CONTRIBUTION NUM.

ZONE AT LOH

...._.. ~..........__..

__..__PGA(0.125G)__.........___.__...__...........__..__AT HIGH PGA(0.60G) 1 ZONE 4 ZONE ids ZONE 4 ZONE 15 ZONE 9 ZONE 3 ZONE 4 ZONE 1 ZONE 2 ZONE 3

% CONT.:

99.

O.

100.

O.

G.

k kbbE k7 kbbkkDYbbHEkh kbbk kk bbb[* kbH kbNE 3b kbbE kk bbk b kbH kbbE ik kbbk 59

% C0t4T.:

92.

8.

O.

100.

O.

5 bbbk h kbbk kb kbbk 5 bbbi'[kbH kbNk kk kbHk 55 kbbk 5 bbbi'[kbN kbbk h ~

kbNk'9

% C0f4T.:

100 O.

O.

D.

D

.___..._.._____......_____... ____... 100.

4 Z0llE 13 ZONE ID: ZONE 28 Z0llE 8 ZONE 13 ZONE 4 ZONE 28 ZONE 8 ZONE I3 COMP. ZON

% Col 4T.:

96.

1.

...........___2.__..___....__

..___94.

5.

1.

O 5 ZONE 11 ZONE ID: ZONE 11 ZONE 15 COMP. ZON ZONE 8 ZONE 11 COMP. ZON ZONE 8 ZONE 9

% C0lli.e 98 1.

G.

O.

D.

O.

O

.. ___......................__________. 100.

6 ZONE 12 ZONE ID: ZONE 11 ZONE 12 ZONE 13 ZONE 17 ZONE 11 ZONE 12 COMP. ZON ZONE 9

% Cot 4T. :

64.

34.

Z.

O.

63.

37.

O.

h kbbk h kbbk kb5 kbbk h kbbk k kbbk k kbbk k kbbkh khbk k kbHk k kbbk k

% CollT.s 99 1.

O.

.-______...___..______._________.____......._______........._______..____.100.

O.

O 10 ZONE 28 ZONE ID ZONE 28 ZONE 26A ZONE 19

= ZONE 15 ZONE 28 ZONE 26A ZONE 19 = ZONE 15

% CONT.

94 6.

O.

___________....--_._...__._..___...____.........__....................____100.

O.

O 11 ZONE 6 ZONE ID ZONE 6 ZONE 13 CZ = ZONE ZONE 5 ZONE 6 CZ = ZONE ZONE 5 ZONE 7

% C0t4T.:

99.

O.

_____________...-____....__...__....___1.......

__......_____..100.

O.

O 12 ZONE 17 ZONE ids ZONE 19 ZONE 17 ZONE 20 ZONE 15 ZONE 19 ZONE 17 ZONE 12 ZONE 15

% COf41.s 66.

34.

G.

6.

72.

28.

O.

o.

kk kbbk k kbbk kbUkbbk k bk kk kbbk 5 kbHk 4 kbbE k kk ik kbbk k kbbk 4

% C0f4T.:

9 2.

O.

__________.8.........._______......_........________...100.........................___O.

PAGE 1

TABLE 5.8

- - - BASED ON ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 MOST IMPORTANT ZONES PER S-EXPERT FOR V0GTLE SITE SOIL CATEGORY DEEP-SGIL S-XPT HOST ZONES CONTRIBUTING MOST SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE PGA REHC AND % OF CONTRIBUTION-NUM.

ZONE AT LON PGA(0.125G)

___................___...... _. __........... ____............... _____AT HIGH PGA(0.60G) 1 ZONE 1 ZONE ids ZONE 1 ZONE 2 ZONE 3.

ZONE 4 ZONE 1 Z3NE 2 ZONE 3 ZONE 4

% CONT.:

60.

30.

10.

.............__......__............O.

100 G.

0.

O.

2 ZONE 29 ZONE ids ZONE 30 ZONE 29 COMP. ZON ZONE 27 ZONE 29 ZONE 30 COMP. ZON ZONE 18

% CONT.e 66.

34.

O.

74.

....._.......___..........O...............___........

26.

O.

3 ZONE 8 ZONE ids ZONE 9 ZONE 8 ZONE 7 COMP. ZON ZONE 8 ZONE 9 COMP. ZON ZONE 5

% CONT.:

78.

19.

3.

.._..........___....................._..O.

78... _.20.

2.

6.

4 ZONE 25 ZONE ids ZONE 10 ZONE 9 ZONE 25 COMP. ZON ZONE 10 ZONE 25 ZONE 9 COMP. ZON

% CONT.

9Z.

7, 1.

.........O.

99.

1.

O.

S.

5 ZONE 8 ZONE ID ZONE 9 ZONE 10 ZONE 8 COMP, ZON ZONE 9 ZONE 8 ZONE 10 COMP. ZON

% CONT.

87.

9.

4.

........._......... __................................. 9.

85.

10.

5.

c.

6 ZONE 13 ZONE ID ZONE 13 ZONE 14 ZONE 11 COMP. ZON ZONE 13 COMP. ZON ZONE 11 ZONE 12

% CONT.

99.

1.

O.

.....O.

100.

G.

O.

7 ZONE 8 ZONE ids ZONE 10 ZONE 8 ZONE 2 = ZONE 1 ZONE ZONE 2 = ZONE 10 ZONE 1

% CONT 4

s__..

55.... _.... 1.

4.

6, 1

8.

1.

6.

10 ZONE 43 ZONE ids ZONE 4R ZONE 15 ZONE 28 ZONE 19

=

ZONE 4R ZONE 19 = ZONE 15 ZONE 26A

% CONT.s 55.

3 9.

5...... 1.......___.......

99.

1.

O.

11 ZONE 8 ZONE ids ZONE 8 ZONE 7 CZ = ZONE ZONE 6 ZONE 8 CZ = ZONE ZONE 6 ZONE 7

% CONT.:

97.

3.

O.

...__........................G.

100.

G.

6.

O.

12 ZONE 23 ZONE ids ZONE 23 ZONE 23A ZONE 24 ZONE 22 ZONE 23 ZONE 15 ZONE 17 ZONE 19 i

X CONT.

71.

25.

2...... 1.

let.

6.

O.

9.

13 CZ 17 ZONE ids ZONE 9 CZ 17 CZ 15 ZONE 5 CZ 17 CZ 15 ZONE 9 ZONE 5

% CONT.

52...... 8.

4 8.

..............___8.

94 3.

1.

G.

j l

l i

I

{

l i

t 1

w

~---,,.w

--w-w i+4v----erw e

w

~w-w

,-r

=

w w,-

e-

,w-we--

PAGE 1

'.ABLE 5.9

- - - 8ASED ON ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 MOST IMPJRTANT ZONES PER S-EXPERT FOR MILLSTONE SITE SOIL CATEGORY ROCK S-XPT HOST ZONES CONTRIBUTING MOST SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE PGA BENC AND % OF CONTRIBUTION NUM.

ZONE AT LON PGA(0.125G)

_....-___.............___....... __..________..._..___........._-_._AT HIGN PGA(0.60G) 1 ZONE 22 ZONE ID: ZONE 22 ZONE 1 ZONE 4 ZONE 15 ZONE 22 ZONE 1 ZONE 4 ZONE 15

% CONT.:

94.

6.

G.

O.

99.

1.

O.

k kbbk 35 kbbk hDs kbbk 55 bbhP$ kbh kbbk kh kbbk hk kbhb 5 bbMPI~kbh kbHk kk kbHk 52

% CONT.s 99.

G.

S.

100.

1..____.

_________......._O.

D.

O.

3 ZONE 4 ZONE ids ZONE 4 COMP. ZOH ZONE 3 ZONE 2 ZONE 4 COMP. ZON ZONE 3 ZONE 2

% CONT.*

100.

D O.

O.

100.

O.

G.

__......_...__....______....._____.......D.

4 ZONE 23 ZONE ids Z0llE 23 COMP. ZON ZollE 11 ZONE 8 ZONE 23 COMP. ZON ZONE 8 ZONE 11

% CONI.:

100.

O O.

6.

100.

O.

................___O.

5 ZONE 1 ZONE ids ZONE 1 ZONE 8 COMP. ZON ZONE 3 ZONE 1 COMP. ZON ZONE 3 ZONE 4

% CONT.s 100.

O G.

G.

100.

O.

6 ZONE 6 ZONE ids ZONE 6 COMP. ZON ZONE 5 ZONE 3 ZONE 6 COMP. ZON ZONE 3 ZONE 4

% CONT.*

100.

O 0,

0, 100.

________...____...._....____. _......____.._.......___.__.......... _____...........O.

D.

O.

7 ZONE 15 ZONE ids ZONE 24 ZONE 15 ZONE 29 ZONE 2 =

ZONE 24 ZONE 15 ZONE 2 = ZONE la

% CON

.T.:

65.

34.

1.

O 87.

11.

2.

.______O.

10 ZONE 2

ZONE ids ZONE 2 ZONE 4A ZONE 19 = ZONE 4R ZONE 2 ZONE 4A ZONE 19

% CONT.

72.

2 4.

1.

6 ZONE 45 3... ____....____....._____.........

4.

21.

11.

4.

=

11 ZONE 1 ZONE ids ZONE 1 CZ = ZONE ZONE 5 ZONE 2 ZONE 1 CZ = ZONE ZONE 2 ZONE 3

% CONT.s 95.

4.

1.

S.

99 1.

O.

12 ZONE 32 ZONE ids ZONE 32 ZONE 25 ZONE 27 ZONE 30 ZONE 32 ZONE 25 ZONE 27 ZONE 30

% CON

......_____.._.._....T.......

100.

O.

..........._____......................_.... 100.

O.

6 13 ZONE 10 ZONE ids ZONE 10 CZ 15 CZ 18 ZONE 11 ZONE 10 CZ 15 ZONE 11 ZONE 12

% CONT.s 98.

O.

D.

...__........._____..... _____.__..... 2....___........__.. ____...__..... 99.

1.

O.

PAGE.

- 1 7

TABLE 5.10 s

BASED ON ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 ene*

MOST IMPORTANT ZONES PER S-EXPERT FOR MAINE YANKEE SITE SDIL CATEGORY ROCK S-XPT HOST ZONES CONTRIBUTING MOST SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE PGA BEHC AND % OF CONTRIBUTIO NUM.

ZON

_________.E AT LON PGA(0

__...___........._....... 125G)

_................AT HIG.N PGA.(0.60G) 1 ZONE 22 ZONE ids ZONE 22 ZONE 1 ZONE 4 ZONE 20 ZONE 22 ZONE 1 ZONE 4 ZONE 20

...____...___.. CONT.:

100.

O 9.

8.

...__........................_________.100.......................______B.

O.

2 ZONE 31 ZONE ids ZONE 31 ZONE 32 COMP. ZON COMP. ZON ZONE 31 COMP.-ZON ZONE 32 COMP.'ZON p

% CON 100.

9.

O.

..............._____T.....................___.....9............

100................._________.._O.

9 O.

3 ZONE 4 ZONE ids ZONE 4 COMP. ZON ZONE 3 ZONE 2 ZONE 4 ZONE 3 ZONE 2 ZONE 5

% CO

___.NT.

100 O.

O.

___.O....

_....100,..__.................. ____O...

9.

O.

4 ZONE 20 ZONE ids ZONE 20.

ZONE 18 COMP. ZON ZONE 11 ZONE 20 COMP. ZON ZONE 11 ZONE 15 93.

6.

O.

....COHi.:.................... 7._____.__....._____________.._.._100.

O O.

S.

5 ' ZONE

-1 ZONE ids ZONE 1 COMP. ZON. ZONE 3 ZONE 4 ZONE 1 COMP. ZON ZONE 3 ZONE 4

% CO

...................NT.

100.

O O.

O.

..............____... _. _____.....___________.....100.

O O.

O 6 ZONE 5 ZONE ids ZONE 5 COMP. ZON ZONE 3 ZONE 2 ZONE 5.

COMP. ZON ZONE 3

' ZONE 2

% CO 100.

O.

8.

______NT.s___....__....______

....._..O.______

._..100.__...____....._..

______G.

9.

D.

7 ZONE 24 ZONE ids ZONE 24 ZONE 19 ZONE 2 = ZONE 18 ZONE 24 ZONE 2 = ZONE 18 ZONE 17

% CONT.

3.

9.

...___....________.......... 97......

....8..._...___

__O.__.._____D.

8.

100.

10 ZONE 1

ZONE ids ZONE 23 ZONE 1. ZONE 19 = ZONE 21 ZONE 1

ZONE 23 ZONE 19 = ZONE 20 i

% CO 57 8.

.......NT...................

42.... ___...1.......___.

62..________ _________.___._____8.__

37.

1.

11 ZONE-1 ZONE ids ZONE 1 CZ = ZONE ZONE 3 ZONE 2 ZONE 1 CZ = ZONE ZONE

'2 ZONE 3

% CONT.

1.

9.

-____.......__99.......___.....__.........._8.__

9........__.......___......._6.

9 1.

O.

12 ZONE 32 ZONE ids ZONE 32 ZONE IS ZONE 33 ZONE 25 ZONE 32 ZONE 25 ZONE 27 ZONE i'

% CONI s 97.

3.

._.............._____.__..S........

......100....____..........__..__.__.O.30 O.

8.

O.

13 CZ 15 ZONE ids ZONE 10 CZ 15 ZONE 11 ZONE'12 ZONE 10 CZ 15 ZONE 11 ZONE 12 -

% CON

...._....__...T.:

81 19................._____...._......___55.

45.

O O.

9.

O.

b

.I d

.n..

y e

Table 6 Correspondence Between Zonal Contribution Tables and magnited bins plots based on only G-Experts 1-4 and our previous results based en all five G-Experts input.

Site Zonal Contrib.

Vol. and Mag Bin Vol. and Twa#

T=Na #

Plot #

Lirmerick 5.1 II II 2.8.1 10.1 2.8.4 Shearon gig III Harris 5.2 2.13.1 10.2 2.13.4 Braldwood gy IV 5.3 2.3.1 10.3 2.3.4 La Crosse V

Y 5.4 2.9.1 10.4 2.9.4 River Bend y

V 5.5 2.12.1 10.5 2.12.4 Wolf Creek V

Y 5.8 2,17.1 10.8' 2.17.4 Watts Bar III III s.7 2.17.1 10.7 2.17.4 Vogtle III III 3,s 2.18.1 10.8 2.18.4 Millstone II II 5.g 2.8.1 10.g 2.8.4 y

se 5.10 2.7.1 10.10 2.7.4 f

11

Figure 1. Plot of the ratio (5 G-Experts /G-Experts 1-4) of the probability of exceeding 0.30 PGA for the ten test sNes listed in Table 1.

Gh L ~/ L =

3 IFG=

6 3i

__.. r

,t X

u.

1s.

Plot Symbols C

X X

Arithmetic Mean C,

O 85th percentile Line Medan

.s i

x T.

la.

z O

t

^

6 W

X C.

w d,

u,

=

x o

i

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- - ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~. ~ ~.. _

g y.

^

T l

m i

i 0-2.

-1.

6.

a.

1a.

SITE PLOT IDENTIFICATION NUMBER

Figure 2. Plot of the ratio (5 the 5 Hz ordinate of a NUREGM Spectrum anchored at 0.3.G-Experts /G-Experts 0

Plot Symbols X

Arithmetic Mean O

85th percentile Line Medan ili L ?L =

3 i

IFG:

3 3g, r

i r

7 x

C H

nr

d 6.

x ile X

.tl i

i:- -

O O

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s X

tr nu 4.

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p

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X o

C<a i

g, i

i i

c 2.

4 6.

8.

10.

SITE PLOT IDEt4TIFICATION NUMBER

-. t 1

Figure 3.

Plot of the ratio (5 G-Exporta/G-Experts 1-4) of the probability of exceeding the 2.5 Hz ordinate of a NUREG-0098 Spectrum anchored at 0.3g.

Plot Symbols X

Arithmetic Mean O

85th percentile Line Medan Gil L 'L =

3 IFO=

2 X

t.

ie.

iIf tLb

,' 1.1.

3 o

O

.[

r.

X b.

w a

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x._,o w

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C*

x y

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E E

___a_______.

a g_

_,n

.i.

2.

4.

6.

G.

10.

SliE PLOT - IDEtJTIFICATION Nut 1BER

Figure 4.

Plot of the ratio (5 G-Experts /G-Experts 1-4) of the probability of exceedin0 the 1.0 Hz ordinate of a NUREG-0098 Spectrum anchored at 0.3g.

Gil L/L=

3

[FO=

1 z

[, o J Plot Symbala s

h X

Arithmetic Mean 5 53 O

85th percentile

.j.

Line Medan f

~3.

~

, r.

{

30.

O tu

.I>

zs_

tis i

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p o

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gn i

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4 ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 USED FROW THE CARTHOUkES IN 4 MAGNITUDE RANGES

-1 HAZARD CURVES U$ LNG ALL EXPERTS 10 CURVE 1 3.75<uB<5.0

-2 CURVE 2 5.0<WB<5.75 to 2

CURVE 3 5.75<u8<6.5 O

CURVE 4 6.5<wB

,a,,

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$ 10

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ACC[LERATION CM/SEC'*2 LtMERICK Figure 10.1 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude ranges shown.

i

. ~

I i

i i

i l

CNLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 USED rROW THE EARTHOUAES IN 4 WAGNITUDE RANGES

.g HAZARD CURVES USING ALL EXPERTS 10 CURVE 1 3.75<u8<5.0

-2 CURVE 2 5.0<WB45.75 10

{

CURVE 3 5.75<wB<6.5 w"

g CURVE 4 6.5=WB

-3

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10

.m n

n n

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o ACCELERATION Cu/SEC"2 SHEAROld HARRIS Figure 10.2 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude ranges shown.

. y_ -.... -.... _ _,. _

J CNLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 USED FROW THE EARTHOUAE5 lN 4 WAGNITUDE RANGES

-t HAZARD CURVES USING ALL EXPERTS to CURVE 1 3.75<WB45.0

-2 CURVE 2 5.0<WB<5.75 to

'm]

CURVE 3 5.75<W886.5 Y

CURVE 4 6.5<MS

-3 wc.

10

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g ACCELERAT ION C'.4/SEC'2 BRA 1DWOOD Figure 10.3 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude ranges shown.

oNLY f,-EXPERTS 1-4 USED FRou THE EARTHOUAES IN 4 MAGN 1TUDE RANGES 1

HAZARD CURVES U$ LNG ALL EXPERTS 10 CURVE 1 3.75aMa*5.0

-2 CURVE 2 5.0<W0<5.75 10

{

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l LA CROSSC l

Figure 10.4 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitudo ranges shown.

1 l

1 i

ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 USED FROM THE EARTHOUAES IN 4 MAGNITUDE RANGES

-1 HAZA*O CURVES USING ALL EX*ERTS 10 e--

CURVE 1 3.75<uB<5.0

~

J

, -2 CURVE 2 5.0<M8<5.75 CURVE 3 5.75<u8<6.5 CURVE 4 6.5<W8

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ACCELERAT ION C'A/SEC"2 RIVER GEllD Figure 10.5 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude ranges shown.

4 ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 USED FROW THE EARTHOUkES IN 4 WAONITUDE RANGES 1

HAZARD CURVES USING ALL EXPERTS to CURVE 1 3.75<MO<5.0

-2 CURVE 2 5.0<WB<5.75 10

{

CURVE 3 5.75<uBc6.5 CURVE 4 6.5<WB

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ACCELERATION CM/SEC'2 WOLF CREEK Figure 10.6 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude ranges shown.

u - l~an --~.., -.-, aa.. ";--. -.. -

-.. : : 2;c:.

r e

\\

l e

i ONLY C-EXPERT 3 1-4 USED FROW THE CARTHOUAES IN 4 MAGNITUDE RANGES

-t HAZARD CURVES USING ALL EXPERTS 10 CURVE 1 3.75<u8<5.0

-2 CURVE 2 5.0<WB<5.75 10 h

\\

CURVE 3 5.75<u8<6.5 e

.\\

CURVE 4 6.5<M8 g

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ACCELERAT lON Cit /SEC'O WATTS BAR Figure 10.7 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude ranges shown.

ONLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 USED FROW THE EARTHOUkES IN 4 MAGNITUDE RANGES

.)

HAZARD CURVES USING ALL EX*ERTS 10 CURVE 1 3.754MB<$.0

-2 CURVE 2 5.0<u8<S.75 10 2

CURVE 3 S.75<uR<6.5 O

CURVE 4 6.5<u0

-3 a.

10 w

a

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w 7's, 1

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s, 10 s.

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ACCELERATION CM/SEC'2 V0GTLE Figure 10.8 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude rangos shown.

~

t a

CNLY G-EXPERTS 1-4 USED FROM THE EARTHOUkES IN 4 MAGNITUDE RANGES 1

HAZAPD CURVES USING ALL EXPERTS 10 CURVE 1 3.75<ue<5.0

-2 CURVE 2 5.0<Ma*5.75 10

{

CURVE 3 5.75<W8<6.5 U

\\

CURVE 4 6.5<ws

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S 10

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-7 I'-

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ACCELERAT ION CM/SEC"2 MILLSTONE Figure 10.9 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude ranges shown.

..,_.,_..r,

~s

4 5

ONLY C-EXPERTS 1-4 USED FROW THE EARTHOUAES IN 4 MAGNITUDE RANGES E

-1 HAZARD CURVES USING ALL EXPERTS 10 CURVE 1 3.75<uB<5,0

-2 CURYE 2 5.0cW8<5.75 10

{

CURYE 3 5.75<WR<6.5

's CURVE 4

6. 5 m8 E

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C ACCELERAT ION CM/SEC'*2 MAINE YA!4KEE Figure 10.10 Contribution to the BEHC for PGA only from earthquakes within the four magnitude ranges shown.

O

's.

e s

r SEISNIC HAEARD CHARACTERIBATION FOR THE ST. LUCIE NUCLEAR POWER PLANT 1988 I

Number of Attenuation Experts.....

5-Number of Seismicity Experts..... 11 f

W 0

f f) k f

f Q

l

[ASTfRN UNITED STAT [S S[ISMIC HAZARD CHARACT[RIZATION HAZARD CALCULATION FOR THE ACCELERATION LOWIR MAGP!TUDE OF INTEGRATION (S 5.0 01/28/88 17:42:25 a

S NUMBER OF P[RCENTILE VALUES

= 5 NW8[R OF RETURN PERIOOS NUMDER OF FREQUENCl[(S)

.=

1 NUuBER OF SIWULATIONS PER ATT[NUATION [xPERT = 50 NUWB[E OF ATT[NUATION [XP[RTS.

.= $

NWDER OF $[ISWICITY [XPERTS

.. = 11 ST. LUCIE a

m Y

q W

2 4

e u

~

T P,t

- o 1

3 3 5

--m s

s q

g q

3 g

3 a

^

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q E.U.S SEISWIC HAZARD CHAPACTERIZAftoH LOWER MAGNITUDE CF INTEGRATION 15 5.0 MAZARD CURVES U$1NG ALL EXPERTS

-1 to 9-BEST. A-AA I TWET IC,G-<,EcuCT R I C PGA DE$1CN VALUE

-2 10 E

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ACCELERATICN CW/5EC"2 ST. LUCIE

.s i

' - ~ - - - - _ - _ _ _.

T-9 6,

O 4

4 0

0 0

0

'O O

O O

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6 I

r E.U.S SEtSufC HAZARD CHAPACTIRIZATION INi[GFATION 15 5.0 LCwtR MAGNITUDC CF 15 50, AND 85 P(PCENTfLES r

(

e HAZAPD CURvC5 U$fNG ALL [XPERTS

]

-t 10 PGA D[$lGN VALUE Ib n

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f, ACCELERAT t0H CM/SEC"Z ST. LUCIE

.J 44 jg4

b 3

Q 7

f PAGE 2*

t l b

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5 0 67 E

=

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.g SITE DESIGN PARAMETERS NO IN COMBIN e MILL USE THE VALUES PASSE FROM ALEAS, IN T-FILES i

1 5

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INFORMATION FROM THE T FILES ST. LUCIE how lHER h

i hh h kh f0NSPERA EMUATION EXPERT 50 tuMsER OF 5.:

SEISMIC EXPERTS ARE 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 10 11 12 13 I

- - - - ** ***o**es en e RESULTS OF HAZARD CALCULATIONS

.A 3

VARIABLE IS ACCELERATION HAZARD CURVE 3D5

.05

.15

.50

.45

.95 ACC BEST ESTIMATE ARITHM g GEOMEg 9001 +02

.7354E-03

.2036E-03

.1871E-03

.1292 -05

.1976E-04

.2764E-03

.2192E-02

.7989E-02 4001 +02

.3479E-03

.9617E-Os

.83 3E-04

.4789 -06

.8160 -05

.1291 -03

.96 31 E-0 3

.3674E-02 1

3 01 +03 1286E-03

.3587E-03

.28 5 -04

.1725E-06

.2348 -05

.4391 -04

.3399E-03

.1406E-02

.1363E-og

.8915 -05

.5005E-07

.5685E-06

.1517 E- 0 4

.1216E-03

.5262E-03

.1 60

+03 47 76 E-04

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.3705 -04 500E+03

.3972- -05

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.2696k-0 016k-05

.96

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.10521-05

.6954 -05

+03

.5043

-06 TIME IN SECONDS 4 0 g

f; V

-' =

g, s

s t

l EASTERN UNITED STATES SEISMIC HAZARD CHARACTERIZATION i

HAZARD CALCULATION FOR THE VELOCITY RESPONSC SP[CTRA 4

LOWER MAGNITUDE Or INT [CRATION 15 S.O I

I l

01/30/83

{

17:25:39 NUMBER OF PERCCNTILE VALUES

= 5 NtMBER OF RETURN PEPIOOS a

S NULeER Or rRCOUCHCIC($)

= 5 NUWER OF SIWULATIONS PIR ATTENUATION EXPERT a 30 NUBS [R Cr ATTENUATION EXPERT 5

= 5 NtMBCR OF SCISWICITY [xPERT5...

.. = 11 ST. LUCLE

^

'-a P

N a,

l

+

S e

E.U.S SEISWIC HAZARD CHAPACTERI2ATION LCWER WAGNITUDE Cr INTECPATION 15 5.0 500 -YEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCENTILE $PECTRA FO PERCENTILES 8 15., 50. AND 85.

3 to 2

to 8<

b to 8

d>

0 10

/

-t

/

n

,

/

10

/

-1 es n < cm

<< n < c.orsm c<

m, em

'O

~

Yo Io PEPl00 (SEC) o S

ST. LUCIE 1

1+,,h

~

=u-

^^

^

a a

y

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O - b~ ::. O :: o-1 l

E.U.S SEISulC HAZARD CHAPACTERIZATION 3

LCwCR MAGNITUOE OF INTEGRAfl0H t$ 5.0 g

10000,-YEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR

t PERCENTILES
15.
50. AND 85, 3
10 2
10 1
8 m
to 0
to g
/
-1 10 es A <cm
<< n * * *
7o Io PEPIOO (SEC) o 3
ST. LUCIE
1
.=.___;__-
W e
f' t'
t 0
i l~
f.
f 4
4 I
a r
e a
e g
i I
e
?
l E.U.S $[ISWIC HAZARD CHAPACT[R17ATION j
LowCR MAGNITUDC Of INTEGRAfl0N IS 5.0
$0-TH PCRC[NTILE SPECYRA FOR ALL RETLRN PERIODS I
3 to l
1 l
to S
1 10 D
^
10 If FETURN F[RIODS a 6
i CURVE 5 = 10000. YEARS CURVE 4 = $000. YEARS 4
CURVE 3 = 2000. YEARS y
CURVE 2 = 1000. YEARS CURv[ 1 =
500. YEARS
'O
<< m < em
<< n e wr<sm te n, em Yo Io PCP100 ($[0) o o
~
ST. LUCIE E
^^
=
s v
y w
4h PAGE 3
.3000E*01
.2229E-02
.9704E-02
.3395E-03
.1027E-05
.1427E-04
.5286E-03
.7354E-02
.3045E-01
()
.5000E+01
.1067E-02
.5256E-02
.9971E-04
.1288E-06
.2874E-05
.1695E-03
.3193E-02
.1360E-0 1
.1000E+02
.3359E-03
.1865E-02
.1428E-04
.5370E-08
.2064E-06
.2594E-04
.7959E-03
.3607E-0 l
l
.3000E+02
.5235E-04
.2101E-03
.2876E-06
.7105E-14
.8459E-09
.8941E-06
.6464E-04
.3824E-0
.5000E*02
.2519E-04
.8126E-04
.3505E-07
.1000E-19
.3167E-11
.1223E-06 1901E-04
.1259E-03
.7000E+02
.15 31 E-0 4 4947E-04
.8382E-08
.1000E-19
.1000E-19
.2532E-07
.844tE-05
.6520E-04
.9000E+02
.1035E-04
.3519E-04
.3078E-08
.1000E-19
.1000E-19
.7004E-08
.4684E-05
.3447E-04 FREQUENCY
.2500E*01
.1000E*00
.6549E-01
.1140E+00
.3642E-01
.1602E-02
.6249E-02
.4032E-01
.1877E+00
.5584E+00
.1500E+01
.4151E-02
.1564E-01
.8931E-03
.6648E-05
.5169E-04
.1120E-02
.1534E-01
.5204E-01
.2000E+01
.2782E-02
.1119E-01
.5066E-03
.3073E-05
.2772E-04
.6428E-05
.9453E-02 3372E-01 b
.2500E+01
.2032E-02
.8385E-02
.3204E-03
.1673E-05
.1713E-04
.4154E-03
.6160E-02
.2336E-01
.3000E+01
.1567E-02 6 67E-02
.2181E-03
.9194E-06
.1025E-04
.2909E-03
.4549E-02
.1814E-01
==
.5000E+01
.7387E-03 46R-92
.6959E-04
.1766E-06
.2683E-05
.9895E-04
.1681E-02
.8068E-02
.1000E+02
.2485E-03 54 !-o3
.1199E-04
.1606E-07
.3431E-06
.1951E-04 4663E-03
.1977E-02 ek
.3000E+02
.3667E-04 761-04
.2985E-06
.1097E-11
.1514E-08
.7803E-06 4673E-04
.2007E-03 g
1 F
.4000E+02
.2123E-04
.5091 :-04
.9234E-07
.1000E-19
.1597E-09
.2946E-06
.2347E-04
.1161E-03
.5000E+02
.1367E-04
.3378E-04
.3445E-07
.1000E-19
.1253E-10
.1292E-06
.1426E-04
.7004E-04 FREQUENCY 5000E+01
.5000E-01
.6965E-01
.1160E+00
.3777E-01
.2064E-02
.6858E-02
.4315E-01
.1986E+09
.5279E+00 d)
.7000E+00
.8586E-02
.2439E-01
.1733E-02
.2068E-94
.1193E-03
.2006E-02
.2612E-01
.1051E+00 p
1
.1000E+01
.5430E-02
.1674 -01
.9400E-03
.8557E 05
.4395E-04
.1084E-02
.1579E-01
.6565E-0}
.1500E+01
.3054E-02
.1034 -01
.4488E-03
.3912E 05
.2494E-04
.5650E-03
.8209E-02
.3672E-01
.2000E+01
.1968E-02
.7088 -02
.2581E-03
.1341 E 95
.1417E-04
.3399E-03
.4898E-02
.2223E-01
.2500E+01
.1376E-02
. 5117 E- 02
.1649E-03
.6197E-b4
.8391E-05
.2244E-03
.3354E-02
.1521E-01 lh
.3000E+01
.1016E-02
.3807E-02
.1127E-05
.3810E-06
.5015E-05
.1610E-03
.2409E-02
.1098E-01
.5000E+01
.4106E-03
.1433E-02
.3589E-04
.8533E-07
.1340E-05
.5532E-04
.9032E-03
.4027E-02
.1000E+02
.1047E-03
.3119E-03
.5439E-05
.6148E-08
.1b52E-06
.1036E-04
.1945E-03
.9347E-03
.3000E+02
.8827E-05
.2904E-04
.7458E-07
.7105E-14
.1775E-09
.2671E-06
.1216E-04
.5315E-04 FREQUENCY
.1000E+02 II
.5000E-01
.4315E-01
.8454E-01
.1791E-01
.6162E-03
.2215E-02
.1993E-01
.1387E+00
.4364E+00
.7000E+00 4121E-02
.1379E-01
.5333E-03
.3966E-05
.3875E-04
.5845E-03
.1211E-01
.4261E-01
.1000E+01
.2293E-02
.8650E-02
.2796E-03
.1473E-05
.2031E-04
.3128E-03
.6395E-02
.2592E-01
.1500E+01
.1088E-02
.4629E-02
.1275E-03
.4358E-06
.8476E-05
.1524E-03
.2885E-02
.1267E-01
.2000E+01
.6122E-03
.2729E-02
.6974E-04
.2068E-06 4361E-05
.8795E-04
.1621E-02
.6649E-02 f
.2500E+01
.3820E-03
.1716E-02
.4226E-04
.1233E-06
.2593E-05
.5653E-04
.9823E-03
.4197E-02 555E-03
.1140E-02
.2722 -04
.8263E-07
.1558E-05
.3823E-04
.6533E-03
.2887E-02
.3000E+01 7'640E-04
.3243E-03
.6715 -05
.1305: -07
.2888E-06
.1041E-04
.1888E-03
.8410E-03
.5000E+01
.1000E+02
.1250E-04
.4786E-04
.5258 -06
.1297: -09
.9609E-08
.1158E-05
.2730E-04
.1140E-03
.2000E+02
.1787E-05
.7090E-05
.1729E-07
.10001-19
.2404E-10
.5626E-07
.2995E-05
.1420E-04 FREQUENCY
.2500E+02 3
{j
.2000E-01
.3689E-01
.7643E-01
.1587E-01
.6038E-03
.2048E-02
.1784E-01
.1221E+00
.3639E+00
.5000E+00
.1372E-02
.5121E-02
.2010E-03
.9859E-06
.1612E-04
.2555E-03
.3474E-02
.1624E-01
.7000E+00
.6924E-03
.2733E-02
.1054E-03
.5306E-06
.8590E-05
.1395E-03
.1838E-02
.8731E-02
.1000E+01-
.3159E-03 1252E-02
.4992E-04
.2385E-06
.3783E-05
.7147E-04
.8633E-03
.3961E-02 f
.1500E+01
.1210E-03
.4671E-03 1921E-04
.4685E-07
.1262E-05
.2960E-04
. 3411 E- 0 3
.1443E-02
.2000E+01
.5895E-04
.2270E-03
.8859E-05
.2371E-07 4697E-06
.1433E-04
.1722E-03
.4565E-05 n
.3000E+01
.2045E-04
.8303E-04
.2352E-05
.2949E-08
.8318E-07
.4241E-05
.6102E-04
.2250E-03
.5000E+01
.5089E-05
.2470E-04
.2851E-06
.6491E-11
.5715E-08
.6871E-06
.1439E-04
.5487E-04
.1000E+02
.7016E-06
.5310E-05
.7920E-08
.1000E-19
.1660E-11
.2598E-07
.1289E-05
.7378E-05
.2000E+02
.7735E-07 1218E-05
.2015E-09
.1000E-19
.1000E-19
.3389E-09
.8090E-07
.7487E-06
)
vet 0 CITY SPECTRA FREQUENCY BEST ESTIMATE ARITHMET1C GEOMETRIC BDS
.05
.15
.50
.85
.95 MEAN MEAN RETURN PERIOD
.5000E+03
.1000E+01
.3234E+01
.9544E+01
.1145E+01
.1236E+00
.2338E+00
.1532E+01
.6314E+01
.1335E+02 y$ '
.2500E+01
.2528E+01
.5877E+01
.8325E+00
.9019E-01
.1903E+00
.9680E+00
.4554E+01
.9942E+01
.5000E+01
.1979E+01
.4200E+01
.6192E+00
.5092E-01
.1116E+00
.7011E+00
.3305E+01
.6970E+01
.1000E*02
.1077E+01
.2322E+01
.2594E+00
.2781E-01
.5344E-01
.2790E+00
.1801E+01
.3493E+01
.2500E+02
.3459E+00
.8074E+00
.9200E-01
.1093E-01
.2032E-01
.1051E+00
.6719E+00
.1316E+01 O'
dD.
r
D PAGE 4
.1000E+01
.5198E+01 1368E*02 1797E+01
.1702E+00
.3513E+00
.2207E+01
.8923E+01 1874E+02 RETURN PERIOD
.1000E+04
.2500E+03 4070E+01
.8369E+01 1381E+01
.1262E+00
.2815E*00
.1591E+01
.6621E+01
.1387E*02
.5000E+01
.3027E+01
.5889E*01
.9646E+00
.7576E-01
.1752E+00
.10 51 E + 01 4742E+01
.9685E+01
.1000E+02 1565E+01
.3164E+01 4366E+00
.5950E-01
.8399E-Cl
.4685E+00
.2480E+01 4654E+01
.2500E+02
.5842E+00 1097E+01
.1533E+00
.1549E-01
.3221E-01
.1777E+00
.9330E+00
.1715E+01
.1000E+01 7877E+01
.1939E+02
.2506E+01
.2344E+00
.5277E+00
.3076E+01
.1226E+02
.2631E*02 RETURN PERIOD
.2000E+04
.2500E+01 6409E+01
.1198E+02
.2015E+01
.1777E+00
.4164E+00
.2274E+01
.9630E+01
.1935E*02
.5000E+01 4474E+01 8070E+01
.1414E*01
.1127 +00
.2753E+00
.1607E+01 6530E*01
.1271 +02 1000E+02 2201 E* 01
.4193E+01
.7254E+00
.5578 -01
.1320E+00
.7452E+00
.3349E+01
.5988 +01
.2500E+02
.8116E+00
.1459E+01
.2555E+00
.2198 -01 5104E-01
.3005E+00
.1269E+01
.2217 +01
.1000E+01
.1359E+02
.3080E+02
.3741E*01 3578E+00 9038E+00 4642E+01
.1830E+02 4042E*02 RETURN PERIOD
.5000E+04
.2500E+01 1133E*02
.1936E+02
.3119E+01
.2794E+00 6986E*00
.358'E+01 1498E+02 3006E+02
.5000E*01
.7202E+01
.1228E+02
.2271E+01 1906E+00
.5000E+00
.2663E+01 9876E+01 1805E+02
) I
.1000E+02
.3328E+01
.5957E+01 1189E+01 9007E-01
.2400E+00 1287E+01 4883E+01
.8229E+01
.2500E+02
.1213E+0i
.2105E+01
.5014E+00 3481E-01
.9382E-01
.5729E+00
.18 7 8 E+ 01
.3131E+01
.1000E+01
.2046E+02 4472E+02
.4994E+01 4926E+00
.1358 E+ 01 6076E+01
.2479E+02
.5625E+02 RETURN PERIOD
.1000E+05
.2500E+01
.1686E+02
.2785E+02
.4252E*01 3934E+00
.1035E+01 4975E+01
.2086E+02 4272E+02
.)
.5000E+01
.1021E+02
.1693E+02
.3165E+01
.2836E+00
.7743E+00 3768E+01
.1302E*02
.2355E+02 1000E+02 4462E+01
.7657E+01
.1684E+01 1294E+00
.3772E+00
.1870E+01
.6279E*01 1045E+02 2500E+02
.1619E+08
.2783E*01
.7177E+00
.4928E-01
.1487E+00
.8360E+00
. 247 3E+ 01
.4024E+01 l
}
P.R.3 8. A R I L.I.T.I.E.S..O.F..E.X.C.E.E.D A.N.C.E..O.F..D.E.S..I G.N..S.P.EC. T.R.A..N.U.M..B.E R..
1 FOR BEST ESTIMATE OF HA2ARD FREQ(HZ3 PERIOD (5)
PROS. OF EXCEEDANCE 2
.33 3.03
.213E-05 1.00 1.00
.207E-03 1.67
.60
.226E-03 2.50 40
.286E-03 3.30
.30
.299E-03 5.00
.20 454E-03 12.50
.08
.851E-03 25.00
.04
.844E-03 4
I FR O(H i P R OD 5 PRO OF EXCEEDANCE
.33 3.03
.335E-12 1.00 1.00 158E-09 d
1,67 60
.250E-03 I
2.50 40
.219E-07 3.30
.30 328E-07 5.00
.20 101E-06 12.50
.04
.431E-06 d
25.00
.04
.635E-06 T
FOR 15.0 PERCENTILE HAZARD OF EXCFEDANCE FREQ(HZ3 PERIOD (5)
PROB.
.33 3.03
.872E-08
(
1.00 1.00
.494E-07 1.67
.60
.141E-06 2.50
.40 447E-06 3.30
.30
.577E-06 5.00
.20
.155E-05
.(,
$l {
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n H.
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PAGE 5 ;
12.50
.08
.746E-05 25.00
.04
.103E-04 FOR 50.0 PERCENTILE HAZARD p'
. g' FREG(HZ) PERIOD (S)
PR00. OF EXCEEDANCE
.33 3.03
.725E-05
}4 1.00 1.00
.108E-04 1.67
.60
.148E-04 2.50 40
.241E-04 t
i 3.30
.30
.313E-04 i
5.00
.20
.623E-04 g i 12.50
.08
.135E-03 25.00
.04
.166E-03 FOR 85.0 PERCENTIL E MAZARD l
FREetHZ) PERIOD (S)
PROS. OF EXCEEDANCE g
.33 3.03 430E-03 1.00 1.00 414E-03 1.67
.60
.441E-03 40
.550E-03 g.50 5:!:
t
-h2 12.50 08
.2 25.00
.04
.2
-02 FOR 95.0 PERCENTILE HAZARD g.
FREG(HZ) PERIOD (S)
PROB. OF EXCEEDANCE t
.33 3.03
.275E-02 1.00 1.00
.201E-02 1.67 40
.195E-02 2.50
.40
.237E-02 g
3,30
.30
.275E-02 5.00
.20 450E-02
's 12.50
.08
.995E-02
'J 25.00
.04
.194E-01 S.
f TIME IN SECONDS CPU 44644E+01
$YS 86988E-01 g
10
.24834E+01 i
ei I
G e-i
e
o SEISNIC RAZARD CHARACTERIEATION FOR THE ST. LUCIE NUCLEAR POWER PLANT 1
l 1988 Number of Attenuation Experts..... 4 Number of Soissioity Experts..... 11 I
.__ _ ~ _.....
g g.
p g
(
(
0 0
0 0
0 0
f f
0 0
di EASTERN UNITED STATES SEISMIC HAZARD CHARACTIRIZATION ACCELEPATION RESULTS FOR O-EXPERTS 1.2.3 ANO 4 lower MAGNITUDE OF INTEGRAfl0N IS 5.0 C5/18/88 09:46:54 E
NWBER OF PERCENTILE VALUE$
NWBER OF RETURN PEPIOOS
= 5
=
1 NUMOER OF FREQUENCIE(S)
NUMBER OF SIWULATIONS PER ATTENUAft0N EXPERT = 50 t
=
4 NUMBER OF ATTENUAfl0H EXPERTS.....
I f
4 I
NUMPER OF SEISMICITY EXPERTS.
= 11
}
ST. LUCIE 1
e g#
.pq W
hr - #
~
I F 2 0
=
. Y
[
- ~.
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'O O'
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E.U.S SEISWIC MAZARD CHAPACTERIZATION G-EXPERTS 1,2,3.4 AND LCwER W = 5.0 HAZARD CUPvES USING 4 G-EXPERT (S) g1
- PCA DESIGN VALUE
-2 A - Ailj TWEfic WEAN to A
O i i5'
\\
_l
\\
-4
\\
g to w
o w
-5 g to I
I
.i 6
I
-6 10 e
1
-7 j
10 a
n n
~
3 g
j O
ACCELERATION CW/SEC**2 r
1 ST. LUCIE r
s Ii i
i
?
4 k
0 V
I b igi
~ ~ _. _,
. 1 E.U.S SElsulC HAZARD CHAP ACTERIZATION G-EXPERTS 1.2.3.4 AND LOWER 14 = 5.0 15.
50. AND 85 PERCENTILES =
HAZAPD CURNES U$1NG ALL EXPERT $ ]
j 10
- PGA DESIGN VALUE
-2 10 E
5" O
-3
~ ~ ~.
to g
w M
a
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-4 s
= to
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to a
h ii.
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4 to x
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7
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__~g ACCELERAT60N CM/SEC"2 n
w n
O ST. LUCIE
=
I 7
g
.a J
bt PAGE 1
[
L
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p3ggs ASSOCIATED NIT g RUN ARES j
, l k$3 INFORMATION FROM FILE COMBIN emeneesseeeeeeeeeeee w
w eeeeses (INPUT FILE COMBIN)
MENU FOR COMBINING OVER SEISMICITY EXPERTS EASTERN UNITED STATES SEISMIC MAZAR CHARACTERIZATION 08Eik'AiniVUBPD'fNfia.fifli.'il's.6 2 ^""
2
~
E.U.S SEISMIC HAZARD CHARACTERIZATION G-EXPERTS 1.2.3.4 AND LONER M = 5.0 3V REM FLAGS FOR PLOTTING AVERACES HkN hkR E TI
'C E
ME hA2=
R METIC 1
ARITHMETIC. CH A SEPARATE FRAME (FRAME A)
'G1 = 0 GEOMITR:'C. ON FRAME 5 2-it!? PS fAJ1 PN LAEi A Aa6 a ::::I: EDAM:.:
= 0 i
^
0 ALL BEHC FOR INDIVIDUAL 3-EXPERT ON eeeee e. g MlpihiHi"ISPjx!iRf"If:TuliR8:
I Mid 8F plI8EyI"bE't!SN6i :
1 1 1::::::'"::is }
2"i6 7""
'2 "
lia;8:'I;iir
[!!!!nfifi i!!UfS
?
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il;I!ISE!;gR-e SM C ExrE F t :! 812t
!!!!O8II;itiF!t:Tijt!!?
illiti8 E!;i!I Fit!! :TiCfiti SEISMICkXPERTFIL: = TAC 10SA7 es I
Sp"
L t
PAGE 2
e
!!!!:I8iniIlit!:Ii8Hiti
~
iSient '"'"' "'s :lenli
$3E VALUES READ FROM MENU FILE COMBNAC INFORMATION FROM THE 7 FILES mee***e
..e...
o y's e
ST. LUCIE 11 NUMBER OF SEISMIC EXPERTS NUMBER OF ATTENUATION EXPERTS IM T-FILE 5
s
4. -
TMi NN I""'z" e'
Skk0FA lillM2 TIE'HAiMIFtm : 1$E 125 A
E E U
PERCEMTAGE OF ZERS MAZARD POINTS IN GEOMETRIC MEAN CALCULATIONS FREQUENCY PERCENT OF ZEROS i
1 11.56 %
d-RESULTS OF HAZARD CALCULATIONS e
g VARIABLE IS ACCELERATISM ggy e
HAZARD CURVE BDS
.05
.15
.50
.45
.95 ACCELERATION BEST ESTIMATE ARITHMETIC OEOMETRgC f
I!!!fi!!
1112::31
1!!!!!!!
lliiE!!j
18!!!:81
1!!!I:81
llist:8!
1!!!E:i
!I!!!:!!
e
.1230i +03
.1853
.279
.1860E-0 1081E-0
.1414E-05
.5182 -04
.2454E-03
.1058E-02
.1960 +03 4020
.114
.6086 -05
.2710
-0 36061-04
-1045 4_ G3407 E-04 4256E-0
?
.f450 +03
.1661E-06
.7289: -04
.5255 -05 036 -07
.18001.- 0 6
.5757 -05
.5564E-04
.2920
-0
-07
.128
-05
.1707E-04 792 -04 g
.20g
-09
.o92
.1550E-07
.2608E-04
.6554}-06
1?
2157 :81- :lli E:81
tilit:81
2tlit:!
"!!i
ill!I:t
ll?;t:t
lli?j::St
"g
siitt:Si
2iill:i
19?il:1
lliiE0.
5041fi
14501-07
1..iE:02
-111.e:01 e
TIME In SECONDS g
e 2t.
O s31EJ e
e
t, pj O
o o
o o
o e
a e
a a
a a
o a
a EASTERN UNiitD STATES SEISMIC HAZARD CHARACTERIZATION ONLY G-EXPERTi 1.2.3 AND 4 USED LOWER MAGNITUDE OF INTEGRATION IS S.0 06/08/88 19:04:11 NUMBER OF PERCENTILE VALUES
= 5 NUM8ER Or RETURN PEP 1005
= 5
= 5 NUMBER Of TREQUENCIE(S)
NUMBER OF SIMULATIONS PER ATTENUAff0N EXPERT = 30 NUWBER Or ATTENUATION EXPERTS...
.. =
4 NUMBER OF SEISMICITY EXPERTS a 11 ST. LUCIE h
1 t
-.4 M,
l t
~ u% -
-w.
~
_ -;=.
ya
~
' st s
n n
)>
w l
i l
I I
i i
ONLY G-EXPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 U$ED LCwER M GNITUDE OF INTEGPATION IS 5.0 500,-YEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR PERCENitLES =
15.
50. AND 85.
3 10 l
l
\\
2 I
10 u
M N
b to C
3 5
l 0
10
\\
/
/
\\
/
-1
/
se m < em e, <.o.wm>
ce m <.> wa 10
~ o Yo Io PEPIOD (SEC) o ST. LUCIE I
-k._ ~ q o o
o o
o o
o e
o o
o o
o
.o o
o D
N 3
ONLY 0-EXPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 USED l
LCwER MAGNITUDE Of INTEGPATION is 5.0 1000,-YEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR PERCENTALES =
15.
50. AND 85.
3 to 2
10 I
l 8
mfo I
t i
O 8d>
0 to
/,
/
./
/
-l
/
'O c.
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m 7o Io PEPt0D (SEC) 2 2
ST. LUCIE i
A..
+i.-
1 i
l O
o O
9 0
o 0
0 0
O-OL 1'
1 l~
I b
1 ONLY 0-EXPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 USED LCwER WGNITUDE OF INTEGP ATION l$ $ 0 2000.-YEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR PERCENTILES e l$.. $0. AND $$.
3 10 10 n
d R
b to O
8 ay
/
,/
10
/
/
/
_i f'
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<< n
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< + ww Yo Io PEPtOD (SEC) o S
ST. LUCIE m
e o
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I. '
CNLY C-EXPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 USED LCWER MAGNITUDC CF INTEGPATION IS 5.0 5000.-YEAR RETURN PERICO CONSTANT PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR
e-PERCENTILES =
15.
50. AND B5.
3 3
10 I
i' 2
10 8R b
10 0
8
/
/
/
/
/
/
0 10
/
/
-1
/
10
,,,, _ g n n
,o m
,,,, o m Yo Io PEPIOD (SEC) 2 2
ST. LUCIE
- ~ ~
y
)
l n
)
't ONLY G--[XPERTS 1.2,3 AND 4 USCO LCwCR WAGNITUDC Cf INTCGRATION 15 $.0 10000.-TEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCCNTILE SPECTRA FOR PERCENTIL[$ =
15.
50. AND 85.
3 10 f
2 to 8R b
10 8
/
0 10
,/
/
/
lb
" *
cm
<< n < om
,, n,,, _
~
IS PEPloo (SEC) g g
'E ST. LUCIE
~
.s
O o
o o
o o
0 0
0 e
e o
e e
e oy I
i 5
l ONLY G-EXPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 USED LCwER MAGNITUDE OF INTEGPATION IS 5.0 50-TH PERCENilLE SPECTRA FOR ALL RETOPN PERIODS 3
10 2
10 I
8 R
10 c_
/
0 to
/
j/ f tRl005 i
.-,y VE 5 = 10000. YEARS
/,/.'
CURVE 4 = 5000, YEARS
/
CURVE 5 a 2000. YEARS
/',/
CURVE 2 s 1000. YEARS y
CURvt 1 =
500. YEARS
_i c.
n <cm r<
n w.a sw
<<n
<cm Yo Io PEPIOD (SEC) o o
~
ST. LUCIE i
,1 f
a' 9
Q G
'O S
J J
2
?
)
0 0
0 0
O.
O l+0 ONLY G-EXPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 USED l
LCwER 64AGNITUDE OF INTEGRAfl0N IS 5.0 i
50-TH PERCENilLE SPECTRA FOR ALL RETURN PER1005 3
to l
2 to 85 3
to
/ /
CTRUW NUMBER 1 0
[ [/,/, 7 PE M NICOS VE 5 = 10000. YEARS
/,
CURVE 4 = 5000. YEARS
/
CURVE 3 a 2000. YEARS
//
f CURVE 2 = 1000. YEARS 3
CURVE 1 s 500. YEARS 2',
ce n < arm e<
n <.n m c<
n w c an.
50
~
Yo Io PERIOD (SEC) o 2
ST. LUCIE N
x PAGE 1
g fgtES ASSOCIATED HITH THIS RUN AREe INPUTS I =COMBM4GX n133 1133
,,,,ne eeeee****
INFORMATION FROM FILE COMBIN
seeeeeeeeeeeeeme**e 1133 MENU FOR COMBINING OVER SEISMICITY EXPERTS (INPUT FILE COMBIN) 1L35 n135 00tEstAL TITLE EASTERN UNITED STATES SEISMIC HAZARD CHARACTERIZATION n133 ONLY G-EXPERTS 1 2,5 AND 4 USED LONER MAGNITUDE 6F INTEORATION IS 5.0 pggy n135 TITLE ON PLOTS e ing33 ONLY G-EXPERTS 1 2,3 AND 4 USED LOHER MAGNITUDE 6F INTEGRATION IS 5.0 in134 o
301 MWU FLAGS FOR PLOTTING AVERAGES a gn133 A ONE = YES HILL RE PLOTTED, AND A ZERO = NO, HILL NOT ARITHMETIC. HITH PERCENTILE CURVES (FRAME B) IAI = 0 dn L33 ARIT HMETIC, ON A SEPARATE FRAME (FRAME A) IA2 = 1 GEOMETRIC, ON FRAME B IGl = 0 gnt33 GE0 METRIC ON FRAME A IG2 = 0 BEST ESTINATE ON FRAMES A AND B 181 0
=
gn133 ALL BEHC FOR INDIVIDUAL S-EXPERT ON 1 FRAME 182 = 0 gn133
$O NUMBER OF SEISMICITY EXPERTS. THIS RUN =
11 gynt3M
UMBER ATTENUATION EXPERT (S), THIS RUN =
4 NUMBER OF RETURN PERIODS
=
5 ggn133 NUMBER OF PERCENTILE BOUNDS
=
I L ST OF S-EXPERT (S) = 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 to 11 12 13 4gn133 L ST OF G-EXPERT (S) 1 2 3 4
=
R TURN PERIODS 500.
1000.
2000.
5000.
10000.
=
ggot33 P CENTILE VALUES
=
.05
.15
.50
.85
.95 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 1567 Ngn13 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 2567 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE =TSPS$67 ggn133 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 4567 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 5567 Ngn133 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 6567 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 7567 Nun 13 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 10567 N 01 Hgo13Y NM01 SS h
4
PAGE 5
RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES
)
.1000E+04 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY
.2500E+02 SEISMIC EXPERT 13 MTW8 PERIOD RESULT 08TAINED BY LEAST SQUARES 1
)
e*
INFORMATION FROM THE T FILES I-t)
ST. LUCIE mposER OF SEISMIC EXPERTS 11 ytpqBER OF ATTENUATICH XPER S IN T-FIL 5
,)
myeSER OF SIMUL AT ONS ER A TENUAT ON XPERT 30 mpelER OF ATTENUA ION EXPERT (S) US D THIS RUM 4
= 1 2 4 5 6 7 10 11 12 13 SEISMIC EXPERT (3) LIST Afi M ATION EXPERT (S) LIST = 1 2 4
ALCULATIONS PERCENTAGEOFZEROHAgD 0NTSINGgMgRI MgA p
1 19.45 X 2
11.39 X 9.2
)
13:1)X 3
4i 5
l
)
- ::::eee****
RESULTS OF HAZARD CALCULATIONS
)
VARIABLE IS VELOCITY SPECTRA
.)
HAZARD CURVE Ik VEL OCITY BEST ESTIMATE ARITHMETIC GEOMETRIC BDS
.05
.15
.50
.85
.95
.)
CM/SEC MEAM MEAN FRE UENCY
.1000E+01
.1000E+00
. 5157 E- 02
.107 E+00
. 3 541 E- 01
.2492E-02
.6663E-32
.3900E-01
.1797E+00
.5227E+00
.1500E+01
.6306E-04
.15
-01
.8850E-03
.6711E-05
.5253E-04
.1038E-02
.1379E-01
.6061E-01 4000E*01 399E-04
.12
-01 4868E-0 779E-05 519 -04
.5814 -03
.9418E-02
.4193
-0" s)
.pt CE+01 449 -04
.8310E-02
.1920E-0 137 -06 091 -05
.2195 -03
.4761E-02
.2641
-O' t-
.iG OE+01
.418
-05 4766 -02
. 5181 E- 0 4
.588
-07
.1258 -05
.6545 -04
.1873 -02
.1134
-O' t.
..e
+02
.621 E-06
.1779 -02
.6387E-0 77 E-08
.1083 -06
.9558 -05
.4061 -03
.2406
+02
.1921E-07
.1792E-03
.8801E-0 000 -19
.2074 -09
.2574E-06
.1677E-04
.2048 h
g*
p'0 E+02
.3622E-08
.6496E-04
.8482E-08
.1000 -19
.4482 -13
.2768E-07
.3
-05
.5842E-04 J
g-
.7 E+02
.4485E-09
.4047E-04 1720E-08
.1000E-19
.10 0 0 E-19
.4345 -08
.1
-05
.3168E-04 g.
t'
'90 GE+02
.1114E-09
.2979E-04
.5679E-09
.1000E-19
.1000E-19
.8477 -09
.5907E-06
.1572E-04 g
FREQUENCY
.2500E+01 t*
1080E+00
.3994E-02
.960lE-01
.2823E-01
.1301E-02
.4487E-02
.2862E-01
.16 51 E+ 0 0
.4844E+00 S*
)
q
t*
f*
's.
)
L i
8 5 *.
in*
.L
.)
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t PAGE 6
1500E+01
.5502E-04
.1 13 2 E - 01
.5001E-03
.3860E-05
.3393E-04
.5448E-03 8130E-02
.3482E-01
.2000E+01
.3242E-04
.8076E-02
.2753E-05 1619E-05 1660E-04
.3005E-03
.5115E-02
.2218E-01
~2500E+01
.2125E-04
.6031E-02
.1704E-03
.8902E-06
.9809E-05
.1925E-03
.3308E-02
.1587E-01
'3000E+01
.1479E-04
.4632E-02
.1140E-03
.5523E-06
.6521E-05
.1357E-03
.2415E-07
.1138 E- 01 2
5000E+01 4880E-05
.1915E-02
.3479E-04
.1159E-06
.1684E-05 4348E-04
.8102E-03
.4523E-02 I
+
1000E+02 9114E-06 4554E-03
.5570E-05
.1091E-07
.1939E-06
.8250E-05
.1876E-03
.1210E-02
.3000E+02
.2173E-07 4860E-04
.1049E-06
.8 37 6 E-13
.5493E-09
.2398E-06
.1569E-04
.1280E-03 4000E+02
.4834E-08
.2674E-04
.2883E-07
.1000E-19
.2644E-10
.6282E-07
.7821E-05
.7585E-04 1,
.5000E+02
.1645E-08
.1686E-04
.9618E-08
.1000E-19
.7892E-12
.2296E-07
.4747E-05 4598E-04
.5000E-01
.3819E-02
.9398E-01
. 2 8 56 E- 01
.1833E-02 4624E-02
.3080E-01
.157 6 E + 0 0 4458E+00 j
FREQUENCY
.5000E+01 i
_^
.7000E+00
.9040E-04
.1172E-01 8641E-03
.1051E-04
.8180E-04 1053E-02
.9914E-02 4395E-01
.1000E+01
.5014E-04
.7847E-02 4543E-03
.4893E-05
.4054E-04 5636E-03
.5765E-02
.2361E-01 1500E+01
. 2 316 E-0 4 48701-0 117E-03
.1531E-05
.1762E-04
.2881E-03
.2913E-02
.1200E-01
.2000E+01
.1294E-04
.3402:
. 205E-03
.7767E-06
.8082E-05
.1699E-03
.1848E-02
.6935E-0
.2500E+01
.7910E-05
.2496
.7661E-04
.4225E-06 4886E-05
.1151 E- 0 3
.1260E-02
.5150
-0 4
.3000E+01
.5100E-05
.1880 -
.5225E-04
.2595E-06
.2880E-05
.7853E-04
.8877E-05
.3619 -02
.5000E+01
.1170E-05
.7 81 -03 1658E-04
.6350E-07
.7073E-06
.2748E-04
.3377E-03
.1368E-02 L
000E+02
.8976E-07
.1 26E-0
.2418E-05
. 3 3 51 E- 0 8
.5928E-07 4773E-05
.7203E-04
.3443E-03
. 000E+02
.2620E-09 1340E-0
.2435E-07
.1000E-19
.5428E-10
.7669E-07
.4255E-05
.2885E-04 r
.5000E-01
.13 34 E- 02
.550 E-01
.i124E-01
.4634E-03 1593E-02
.1128E-01
.8503E-01
.2332E+00 FRE UENCY 1000E+02 4
.7000E+00
.3396E-04
. 4 513 E- 0 2
.2245E-03 733E-05
. 2 517 E- 0 4
.2727E-03
.2732E-02
.1080E-01 i
1000E+01
.1791E-04
.3012E-02 176E-03 455E-06
.1151E-04
.1531E-03
.1568E-02
.6002E-02
's
.1500E+01
.7782E-05 1798E-02
-04 791E-06 5277E-05 7385E-04
.7836E-03
.3104E-02
.2000E+01
.3416E-05
.1154E-02
-04
.1409E-06
.2830E-05 4 318 E-0 4 4657E-03
.1808E-02
.2500E+01
.1934E-05 7786E-03 872
-04
.4849E-07 1675 -05
.2793E-04 154E-03 1185E-02
.3000E+01
.1005E-05
.5488E-03 1221E-04
.4643E-07 1054 -05
.1820E-04 081E-03 8809E-03 h-
.5000E+01
.1257E-06 1774E-03
.3085E-05
.4047E-08 1681E-06
. 510 9 E- 0 5
..7170E-04
.3320E-03 i
i
.1000E+02
.4455E-08
.2542E-04
.2252E-06 4539E- 0 4108E-08
.5242E-06
.1169E-04 7224E-04 C
.2000E+02
.7114E-10
.3439E-05
.5809E-08
.1000E-9
. 36 61 E-11
.1735E-07
.1103E-05
.6741E-05 4
.2000E-01
.1481E-02 4468E-01 4650
.4495E-03 1385E-02
.1023E-01
.6210E-01 1972E+00 FREQUENCY 2500E+02
.5000E+00
.1532E-04 1166E-02
.8813
.5590E-06
.9415E-05
.1287E-03
.1062E-02 3008E-02 I
.7000E+00
.6721E-05
.6847E-03 4790E-04
. 3176 E- 06 4933E-05
.7 566E-04
.6083E-03 1902E-02 i
.1000E+01
.2375E-05
.3796E-03
.23841-04
.1389E-0
.2237E-05
.3785 -04
. 318 7 E- 0 3 1095 -02
,j
?
.1500E+01
.6278E-04
.1889E-03 97521 -05
. 59 01 E- 0 6929E-06
.1566
-04
.1510 E- 0 3
.5562 -03
.20001+01
.2434I-04 1
-03 4658' 1535
-0
.2557 -06
.7518
-05
.8602E-04
.3189E-03
+C4HHH4C
.30001 1
.6350' -07
-04 264'
.1657 -08 4675I -07
.22 4) -05
.3437E-04
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.9725l:05 : fit:E:82
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FREQUENCY BEST ESTIMATE ARITHMETIC OMETRIC BDS
.05
.15
.50
.45
.95 VELOCITY SP TRA MEAN MEAN
,j 3
.1000E+01 790E+00
.9210 +01
.8252E+04 1106E+00 960E+00
.9190E+00 4824E+01 086E+0 RETURN PERIOD
.5000E+03 678E+0 t
.2500E+01 548E+00 4875
+0
.5915E+0u 8270E-01 565E+00
.6166E+00
.3277E+01
.4096E+0
.5000E+01
.7889 -01
.2883E+0
.3717 +00 4793E-01
.8650E-01 4239E+00
.1902E+01
.1000E+02
.3783 -01
.1379E+01
.1602 +00
.2528 -01
.4378E-0
.1705 +00
.8553E+00
.1895E+0
.2500E+02
.165CE-01
.3105E+00
.5882 -01
.9645 -02
.1589E-0
.4645 -01
.3030E+00
.6746E+00 m
.1000E+01
.2742E+00 1318E+02
.1372E+01 1519 E+ 0 0
.2888E+00
.1528E+01
.6646E*01
.1479E+02 RETURN PERIOD
.1000E+04
.2500E+01
.2399E+00
.4841E+01
.9420E+00 1130E+00
.2299E+00
.9903E+00 4531E+01
.1098E402 A-
.5000E+01
.1286E+00
.4194E+01
.6270E+00
.6816E-01 1361E+00
.7 09 +00
.2820E+01
.5852E+01
.1000E+02
. 6151 E- 01
.2169E+01
.2556 +00
.3497 -01
.6723E-01 86 +00
.1301E+01
.2775 +01
.2500E+02
.2637E-01
.5509E*00 9460 -01
.1351 -01
.2468E-01 106E+00
.5184E+00
.1054 +01
.1000E+01 4199E+00
.1836E+02
.1974E+01
.2086E+00
.4255E+00
.2130E+01
.9100E+01
.2015E+02 RETURN PERIOD
.2000E*04
.2500E+01
.3718E+00
.9559E+01
.1500E+01
.1561E+00
.3375E+00
.1564E+01
.6285E+01
.1541E+02 M
.ee A gd n133
M e
PAGE 7
.2096E+00
.5879E+01
.9482E+00
.9715E-0
.2142E+00
.1075E+01
.4063E+01
.8290E+01 02
.1013E+00 3129E+01 4080E+00 4837E-0
.1045E+00
.4554E+00
.1923E+01 4035E+01
.4297E-01
.8466E+00
.1521E+00
.1893E-01
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'4 ogge +02 947Iho!
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.7103E+00
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0E*01
.6635E+00
.1491E+02
.2320E+01
.2390E+00
.5610E+00
.2453E+01
.9702E+01
.2411E+02 7376E+00 84 02 r
O SE*01
.3999E*00
.8'.0E*01
.154 4 E+ 01
.1552E+00
.3900E+00
.1830E+01
.6324E+01
.1272E+02 SE+01
i S00E+ 02
.1957E+00
.4736E+01
.7461E+00 7435E-01
.1472E+00
.8478E+00
.3058E+01
.6295E+01 i
.8191E-01
.1451E+01
.2851E+00
.2953E-01
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.250$E+01
.1130E+01
.4024E+02
.3869E+01
.4357E+00
.1047E+01 4181 E+ 01
.1621E+02 4017E+02
'500E* 02 RETURN PERIOD
.1000E+05 i
)
'1000E+01
.1028E+01
.2105E+02
.3175E+01 3300E+00
.8238E+00
.3441E+01
.1321E+02
.3436E+02 4000E+01
. 6 519 E+ 0 0
.121 E+0T!
.2192E+01
.2212E+00
.6138E+00
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'500E+01 000E+02
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.613 E+ 0L
.1089E+01
.1031E*00
.2910E+00
.1267E+01
.4263E+01
.8626E*01
2500f+ 02
.1335E+00
.213 E+8i
.4585E*00
.4122E-01
.1089E+00
.5466E+49
.1852E+81
.3458E+01 1
PR00 ABILITIES OF EXCEEDANCE OF DESION SPECTRA NUMBER e,ameeeeeee ee ee e ee e eee eeeee eeemene se em e se s ses s e nes e em se j
3 p;
'T FOR 5.8 PERCENTILE MAZARD w'
FREQ(HZ) PERIOD (S)
PRet. OF EXCEEDANCE i
.9
.33 3.03
.594E-18 ei r
.00 1.00 10E-11 il
.J.
.67
.60 49E-69 f
2.50
.40 48E-07 1
3.30
.30
.213E-07
.e 5.00
.20
.744E-07 12.50
.08
.251E-06 t
25.00
.04
.369E-06 p
t FOR 15.0 PERCENTILE MA2ARD FREG(HZ) PERIOD (S)
PROB. OF EXCEED 4NCE
.33 3.03
.248E-08 1.00 1.00
.212E-07
+
1.67 60
.720E-07 2.50 40
.257E-06 0
3.30
.30
.330E-06 5.00
.20 829E-06
?
12.50 08 438E-05
/
25.00
.04
.586E-05 f
PERkOD PROS. OF EX EE,g4NdE FR 9t 73h-05 1.00
.00 1.67 60
.570E-05 2.50 40
.102E-04 3.30
.50
.140E-04
)
e 5.00
.20
.309E-04 S
12.50
.08
.643E-04
. -j 25.00
.04
.472E-04 9
hRQ(H I PER OD S PROB. OF EXC EDANCE
.' g
.33 3.03
.163E-0
'.00 1.00
.177I
?
.67
.60
.1881
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2.50
.A0
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i PAGE 4
j 3.30
.30
.247E-03 5.00 20
.377E-03 12.50
.08
.673E-03 l
25.00
.04
.706E-03 p
FOR 95.0 PERCENTILE HA2ARD FREQ tHD PERIOD ($)
PROS. OF EXCEEDANCE ti i
i
.33 3.03
.159E-02 1.00 1.00
.127E-02 1.67 60 123E-02 p
'i, 2.50 40
.144E-02 3.30
.30
.132E-02 5.00
.20
.153E-02 6
12.50
.08
.258E-02 9
25.00
.04 ad.215E-02 TIML' IN SECONDS W.fff 7E+00 m
.522 1E+01
~
i e
y
-a J
f i
s k
9 c
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SEISNIC HABARD CHARACTERISATION 4
FOR THE ST. LUCIE NUCLEAR POWER PLANT i
1993 REVISION Number of Attenuation Experts..... 7 Number of Seismicity Experts..... 11 l
/ 3 i
t vgf.
'ii
-E' s
15.,
50. and 85.
percent 11arithmet$c me.
En.
ans hazard curves usIng S & G experts
'l_
hg
.1 -
^
n E
~
m K"
Qa h
.01 d
o.
p n
b C
.001 E
N' o
le-4 O
E Iv O
m ie-5 T
n M
~
E
.o g
j le-6 E
A o.
3 te 0 500 1000 N
acceleration cm/sec
2-g st.
lucie EUS update, 1992 Selsmicity, PGA E'
1992 Composite g.m.
accross experts SHEET 4
2 mm 98mD 2
-1000. gear return period constant percentile spectra:
,E g percent 1Ies.
15.,
50. and 85.
=
g
h. F.,
10000 7:
ze
\\,
Mn-a X. O
-,1
)
1000 "F
r u
n o
c
~
y a
s Ne e
se E
100 r:
ts N
u N
u r
e A
m o
10 7 g
5 n
O m
N
{
......i
......i 1
.s
.1 1
10 100
=
frequency (hz) g st.
lucie 5
EUS update, 1992 Seismicity, PSV k
SHEET 14 1992 Composite 9.m.
accross experts
2 em 58 m
D3' 2000. gear return period constant percentile spectra:
En 15.,
50. and 85.
'E percent 1Ies
=
g.
10000r N<
E 9
13 m
e s
Q"
=0 Ms
-i e
1000 p
i r
u E
g 8
i t
A.
e s-L 100 :r uu m
e c
i s
e g
m
-e m
~
O s
7 m
....I
....I
.....I 1
.1 1
10 100 0
frequency (hz) st.
luc.i e-p EUS update, 1992 Sel str.i c i ty, PSV T
SHEET 15 1992 Composite 9.m.
accross experts a
2
~
em 58
=
a 3
5000. year return period constant percentile spectra:
En 15.,
50. and 85.
9 pereent1Ies
=
3" 10000r 2<
E 9
.r 2
Y h.a 9
s
-i e
1000 u
n O
E T
a g
m.
e s
t e
o 100 r
S 6
o y
ue 1
m n
10 M
n o
e N
Ne
.....I
.....I
......i y
i
.1 1
10 100 frequency (hz)
-w st.
lucie EUS update, 1992 Seismicity, PSV T
SHEET 16 1992 Compos 1te g.m.
acceoss experts
2 2~
28=
D 2
1000R. gear return period constant percentile spectra:
en 15.,
50. and 85.
'E percenti1es
=
i y-10000:-
N. n<
a
.~ r 2.
\\
~
Mn 1
XO u
2 g
1 e
1000 r p
u n
o C
m o
X g
e s
L.
e 100 1
i e
/
n l
u u.
.x n
[
l
~
n U
l
~
s t
m
.......i
......i
......i y
1 e
.1 1
10 100 m
frequency (hz) st.
lucie j
EUS update, 1992 Seismicity, PSV T
SHEET 17 1992 Composite g.m.
accross experts i
~,.
di..
'.i $.
D 2
50-th percentile spectra for all return periods En
O 3 10000
, y,
=
ze
?.
0."3 5
s
-i e
1000
~;:
u 8'l o
c s
O As e
ru ca e
Ne e
100 g
ru 4
L o
e u
"x s
e e
a m
M 10 i
re n eriods :
n gears 6
curve 5 =
5000, years
=
curve 3 -
3.
gears s
curve 2 =
180 B.
gears Q
curve 1 I
500. years 8
.......I
.....i y
1 e
.1 1
10 100
=
frequency (hz) st.
lucie 5
EUS update, 1992 Seismicity, PSV T
sHctr is 1992 Composite 9.m.
accross experts
I F5HE 1993 St. Lucie acceleration best estimate arithmetic geometric 0.5000E+02 0.7909E-04 0.1470E-03 0.1643E-04 0.7500E+02 0.4349E-04 0.8565E-04 0.8569E-05 0.1500E+03 0.1367E-04 0.3037E-04 0.2539E-05 0.2500E+03 0.4828E-05 0.1263E-04 0.8010E-06 0.3000E403 0.3147E-05 0.8974E-05 0.5022E-06 0.4000E+03 0.1493E-05 0.5047E-05 0.2237E-06 j
0.5000E+03 0.7864E-06 0.3125E-05 0.1106E-06 0.6500E+03 0.3445E-06 0.1711E-05 0.4303E-07 i
0.8000E+03 0.1695E-06 0.1030E-05 0.1899E-07 0.1000E+04 0.7455E-07 0.5790E-06 0.7133E-08 acceleration 0.50 0.85 0.5000E+02 0.2720E-05 0.5210E-04 0.2750E-03 0.0000E+00 0.0000L+00 0.7500E+02 0.1250E-05 0.2800E-04 0.1580E-03 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.1500E+03 0.2760E-06 0.7900E-05 0.5640E-04 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.2500E+03 0.6770E-07 0.2360E-05 0.2240E-04 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.3000E+03 0.3780E-07 0.1460E-05 0.1580E-04 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.4000E+03 0.1040E-07 0.6030E-06 0.8310E-05 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.5000E+03 0.3350E-08 0.2920E-06 0.4950E-05 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.6500E+03 0.7440E-09 0.1150E-06 0.2440E-05 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.8000E+03 0.1930E-09 0.5020E-07 0.1370E-05 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.1000E+04 0.4050E-10 0.1780E-07 0.6620E-06 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 I
a.
A st. lucie velocity spectra.
frequency best estimate arithmetic geometric mean mean return period 0.5000E+03 0.1000E+01 0.4502E+00 0.6506E+00 0.3193Et00 0.2500E+01 0.2980E+00 0.4281E+00 0.2020Et00 0.5000E+01 0.1664E+00 0.2414E+00 0.1197E+00 0.1000E+02 0.5473E-01 0.1002E+00 0.4093E-01 0.2500E+02 0.1599E-01 0.3203E-01 0.1021E-01 return period 0.1000E+04 0.1000E+01 0.7774E+00 0.1194E+01 0.5515E+00 0.2500E+01 0.5135E+00 0.8605E+00 0.3464E+00 0.5000E+01 0.2869E+00 0.5013E+00 0.1939E+00 0.1000E+02 0.1162E+00 0.1929E+00 0.8100E-01 0.2500E+02 0.4083E-01 0.8781E-01 0.1919E-01 return period 0.2000E+04 0.1000E+01 0.1205E+01 0.2026E+01 0.9526E+00 0.2500E+01 0.8851E+00 0.1624E+01 0.5940E+00 0.5000E+01 0.4948:+00 0.1033E+01 0.3143E+00 0.1000E+02 0.2089E+00 0.3714E+00 0.1373E+00 0.2500E+02 0.1025E+00 0.1693E+00 0.3606E-01 return period 0.5000E+04 0.1000E+01 0.1905E+01 0.4077E+01 0.1470E+01 0.2500E+01 0.1572E+01 0.3675E+01 0.1135E+01 0.5000E+01 0.1013E+01 0.2262E+01 0.5948E+00 0.1000E+02 0.4537E+00 0.8830E+00 0.2518E+00 0.2500E+02 0.2136E+00 0.3765E+00 0.8305E-01 return period 0.1000E+05 0.1000E+01 0.2693E+01 0.6919E+01 0.2009E+01 0.2500E+01 0.2373E+01 0.6495E+01 0.1619E+01 0.5000E+01 0.1529E+01 0.4093E+01 0.9638E+00 0.1000E+02 0.8156E+00 0.1461E+01 0.3983E+00 0.2500E+02 0.3722E+00 0.6891E+00 0.1423E+00 results for the 3 percentilr-:
freq. (hz) 0.150**
0.500**
0.850**
i return period 0.5000E+03 1.00 0.120E+00 0.344E+00 0.120E+01 2.50 0.754E-01 0.230E+00 0.815E+00 5.00 0.370E-01 0.136E+00 0.504E+00 10.00 0.135E-01 0.501E-01 0.196E+00 l
25.00 0.494E-02 0.152E-01 0.893E-01return period 0.1000E+04 1.00 0.196E+00 0.600E+00 0.195E+01 2.50 0.130E+00 0.402E+00 0.149E+01 5.00 0.719E-01 0.235E+00 0.105E+01 10.00 0.236E-01 0.104E+00 0.378E+00 l
25.00 0.808E-02 0.348E-01 0.168E+00return period 0.2000E+04 1.00 0.319E+00 0.103E+01 0.316E+01 2.50 0.198E+00 0.703E+00 0.263E+01
g I. Jaco's 4,s 9
a. Iso
c. son e.ttb s
r,n;g,,,,,, g, H q,, y 4,
,,,, m 5.00 0.122E+00 0.403E+00 0.179E+01 10.00 0.412E-01 0.177E+00 0.727E+00 25.00
0. ll3 E-01 0.796E-01 0.302E+00return period 0.5000E+04 1.00 0.609E+00 0.161E+01 0.599E+01 2.50 0.345E+00 0.131E+01 0.542E+01 5.00 0.206E+00 0.825E+00 0.365E+01 10.00 0.863E-01 0.358E+00 0.144E+01 25.00 0.267E-01 0.169E+00 0.652E+00return period 0.1000E+05 1.00 0.991E+00 0.226E+01 0.915E+01 2.50 0.525E+00 0.194E+01 0.844E+01 5.00 0.306E+00 0.127E+01 0.579E+01 10.00 0.135E+00 0.611E+00 0.223E+01 25.00 0.512E-01 0.278E+00 0.111E+01 i
ga SEISMIC HAEARD CHARACTERIBATION FOR THE TURKEY POINT NUCLEAR POWER PLANT 1988 Number of Attenuation Experts..... 5 Number of Seismicity Experts..... 11 s
/
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'N 9
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t EASTERN UNITED STATES $[lSMIC HAZARD CHARACT[RlIAfl0N HAZARD CALCULATION FOR THE ACCELCRAfiON 15 S.0 lower WAGNITUDE or INi[ graft 0N 01/28/88 17:46:14
.s 5
NUuBER OF PERC[NTILE VALUES a
S' NUuBER Of RETURN PCRIOOS s
1 NLMBER Cr rR[0utNCIC(S) 50 NWBER Or SIWULAf t0NS PER ATTENUATION [XPERT =
.= 5 NUWBER OF ATTENUAil0N EXP[RTS.....
l
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TURKEY POINT t
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E.U.S SEISWIC HAZARD CHAPACTERIZAtl0N LCwtR MAGNITUDE Cr INTEGPATION 15 $.0 HAZAPD CURVES U$1NG ALL EXPERTS 1
10 B-BEST,A-ARITHWETIC.G-CE0 METRIC PCA DESIGN VALUE
-2 10 E
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I E.U.S SEfSWIC HAZARD CHAFACTERIZATION IS 5.0 LOwCR MAGNITUDE Cr INTEGPATf0N PERCENTILES =
15., 50. AND SS.
NAZAPC CURy[$ USING ALL EXPERTS
-l PGA DESIGN VALUC gg2 E
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PAGE 2
SEISMIC EXPERT FIL E = TAC 7568 1
SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TAC 10568 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TAC 11568 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE stAC12568 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TAC 13568 o
1Hvis CUTCOMB C =0CAC68 Nfh SITE DESIGN PARAMETERS NOT IN COMBIN :
1HVIS HILL USE THE VALUES PASSED FROM ALEAS. IN T-FILES If 1Cvis
(
11 C3 9200 00r i Xtt poseeeeeeeeeeee INFORMATION FROM THE T FILES
o**
C i
! hth TURKEY POINT t Xtf Xit Xtt NUMBER OF SEISMIC EXPERTS 11 Xtt it Xtt NUMBER OF ATTENUATION EXPERTS 5
1 Xtt NUMBER OF SIMULATIONS PER ATTENUATION EXPERT 50 Xft SEISMIC EXPERTS ARE 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 t o 11 12 13 Xft X{f f
Xt I
Xit Xit
* * *
m es o m e n e e Xtt RESULTS OF HAZARD CALCULATIONS
eeeneesseeeeeeeeen Xtt i
Xtf 1
Xtf XEE Xtf Xtt k!
VARIABLE IS ACCELERATION
(
xTT pg CCe2';;ettete$
HAZARD CURVE ea t
ACCELERATION BEST ESTIMATE ARITHMETIC OE0 METRIC BDS
.05
.15
.50
.85
.95 e
te el CM/SECes2 MEAN MEAN et et e
.4900E+02
.1016E-02
.5287E-02
.1989E-03
.1086E-05
.1848E-04
.2887E-03
.2691E-02
.1289E-01 g
(?
eSieeieeg e_
.7400E+02
.5038E-03
.3107E-02
.9786E-04
.5848E-06
.9296{-05 i
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1?l8!!81
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.1446E-03
.136 4 g'- o g
.6532E-02
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.3920
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.1520E-04
.1442E-03
.16 81 t -05
-06 104 03
.596i
.6782 -08
.9493
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.5500
+03
.6745E-05
.6244E-04
.43171 -06
.1013E-08
.15971 -07
.5 20E-06
.1296E-04
.7 1 -05
.3433E-04
.1802
eeeeece e
.6000E+03
.5455e-05
.4985E-04
.2882
-06
.57iiE-09
.9080e-08
.3837E-06
.iOO6E-04
.5,562
-04
(
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.7500E+03
.3141E-05
.2745E-04
.8453E-07
.4670E-10
.1475E-08
.1419E-06
.5034E-05
.3024E-04 i2E-04 ej
.9810E+03
.1588E-05
.3292E-04
.1660E-07 0.
.9867E-10
.3196E-07
.2025E-05
.1395E-04 b
ee EE+
TIME IN SECONDS a
'ee e
CPU
.iS547E.0i E0 e
SYS
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E ASTERN UNITED ST ATES SEISMIC HAZARD CHARACTER 6ZAtl0N HAZARD CALCULATION FOR THE VELOCfTY PESPONSE SPECTRA i
1 LOWER WAGNITUOE OF INTEGRATION IS 5.0 01/30/88 17:31:42 a
S NWBER OF PERCENTILE VALUES
= 5 NUW8ER OF RETURN PER1005 NWBCR OF FREQUENCIE($)
.= 5 NWBER OF SluuLATIONS PER ATTENUATION EXPERT = 30 NUh4ER OF ATTENUAfl0N EXPERTS......... s S
NUWBER OF SEISMICITY EXPERTS.
.= 11 TURKEY POINT 4
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E.U.S SEISulC HAZARD CHAPACTERIZATION i
LCwCR MAGNITUDE or INTEGPATION l$ $.0 500 -YEAR RETURN PERICO CONSTANT PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR PERCENTILES =
15.
50. AND 85.
]
3 10 I
2 10 l
84 3
,O t
8d>
0 1
10
/
l
-l
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7 IS PEPtOO (SEC) 9 2
3 TURKEY POINT E-
i 0
0 0
0 0
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o -O E.U.S SEISWIC HAZARD CHAPACTERIZATION LCwER MAGNITUDE CF INTECPATION IS 5.0 1000.-YEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR PERCENTILES =
15.
50. AND 85.
)
3 10 I
l 2
10 s
b to 8a 5
/
10
/
/
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<< n < cm 10
,,,,o_
"o IO PEP 100 (SEC) o 3
TURKEY POINT I
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1 E.U.S SEISMIC HAZARD CHAPACTERIZATION LCwtR MAGNITUDE CF INTEGPAfl0N 15 S.0 10000.-YEAR RETURN PERICD CONSTANT PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR.
i PERCENTILES s 15.
50. AND 85.
3
(
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k 1
2 10 i
8R b
to t_
1 0
10
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o' o "O N E.U.S SEISMIC HAZARD CHARACTERIZATION LCwfR WAGNITUDC or INTEGRATION 15 5.0 50-TH PERCENTILE SPECTRA FOR ALL RETURN PERIODS 3
to 2
10 8
U 1
b 10
)
C_
8d 3
0 10 Y
S NLIVRN 005 ;
m.*VE 5 --40000. YEARS CURVE 4 = 5000. YEARS f
CURVE 3 = 2000. YEARS 7
CURVE 2 = 1000. YEARS
,,,, _= $00. YEARS CURVE 1 10
,, m
,,n,,,
~
Yg IS PEP 100 (SEC) 2 o
TURKEY POINT
.' O O
O O
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O 9-Q 0
0 9
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0 E.U.S SEISWIC HAZARD CHAPACTERIZATION LCWER h4AGNITUDC OF INTEGPAfl0H IS 5.0 j
I 50-TH PERCENTILE $PECTRA FOR ALL RETURN PERIDOS 10 l
to 1
8 10 E
/
/ :
1 N 4EECTPUW NUWBER 1 l
4 e 0
/
kLiu W iOOS +
/
vi-5-=-4 0000. YEAR $
['
CURVE 4 = 5000. YEARS CURvt 3 = 2000. YEARS CURVE 2 = 1000. YEARS CURVE 1 =
500. YEARS
/
.i to
~
Yo Io PERIOD (SEC) o o
TURKEY POINT O
--.e
h PAGE 1
h FILES A530CIATED MIT RUN ARES g;
I e!
3 3
1NrORMAT10N rROM FItE COM.IN l
MENU FOR COMBINING OVER SEISMICITY EXPERTS (INPUT FILE COMBIN) ili3 33 EASTERNUNITEDSTATESSEISMICNAfARDCHARACTERIZATION 83 HAZARD CALCULATION FOR THE ACCEL RATION ll LONER MAGNITUDE OF INTEORATION IS 5.0 a3 TITLE ON PLOTS a 6 NR D
N 43 h
f3 MNU FLAGS FOR PLOTTING AVERAGES e 33 A ONE = YES HILL BE PLOTTED, AND A ZERO = NO, MILL NOT N3 ARITHMETIC, NITH PERCENTILE CURVES (FRAME B)
A1 = 0 N3 ARITHMETIC. ON A SEPARATE FRAME (FRAME A)
A2 =- 1 g'
N3 CE0 METRIC, ON FRAME B 101
= 0
']
GEOMETRIC, ON FRAME A 102 = 1 ecceneceeeee; g
NUMBER OF SEISMICITY EXPERTS, THIS RUN =
11 e
NUMBER OF RETURN PERIODS............. =
Ojg jge g
NUMBER OF PERCENTILE SOUNDS 5
=
ee ce 6
9.
gNggjj LIST OF S-EXPERTS =
1 2
3 4
5 6
7 10 11 12 13 I
COetelee.
gg RETURN PERIODS 500.
1000.
2000.
5000.
10000.
g
=
(dcetecte f#dMee g
PERCENTILE VALUES
.05
.15
.50
.85
.95 i
=
e SEISMIC EXPERT FIL E = TAC 1568 8
SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TAC 2568 g.
6 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE =TACSS68
.'*UI 6
SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TAC 4568 4**ij j
till:18 inillI Fill : IRE!!!!
6-neeen
-eeet l
e3 e
te g
l h
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PAGE 2
A SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 7568 v
SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 10568 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 11568 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 12568 SEISMIC EXPERT FILE = TSP 15568 OUTCOMB C =OCSP68 gy SITE DESIGN PARAMETERS NOT IN COMBIN s IN T-FILES USE THE VALUES PASSED FROM ALEAS
.5000E+03 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY
.1000E+01 BOUND
.5000E-01 MILL RETURN PERIOD RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES d)
RETURN PERIOD
.1000E+04 REqu1RES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY
.1000E+01 BOUND
.5000E-01 RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES RETURN PERIOD
.5000E+03 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY
.2500E+01 BOUND
.5000E-Os RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES RETURN PERIOD
.3000E+04 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY
.2500E+01 BOUND
.5000E-01 U-RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES RETURN PERIOD
.5000E+03 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY
.5000E+01 BOUND
.5000E-01 RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES RETURN PERIOD
.1000E+04 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY
.5000E+01 BOUND
.5000E-01 13333J O-RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES 1013M RETURN PERIOD
.5000E+05 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY
.1000E+02 BOUND
.5000E-01 RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES RETURN PERIOD
.3000E+04 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY 1000E+02 BOUND
.5000E-01 0 1SIl RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES RETURN PERIOD
.2000E*04 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY
.1000E+02 BOUND
.5000E-01 O
RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES H38WO" RETURN PERIOD
.5000E+05 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY
.1000E+02 BOUND
.1500E+00 SQUARES RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST
.5000E+03 REQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY
.2500E+02 BOUND
.5000E-01 H3tWnN 330WAN RETURN PERIOD O
RESULT OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES RETURN PERIOD
.1000E+04 REqu!RES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY
.2500E+02 BOUND
.5000E-01 RESUs* OBTAINED BY LEAST SQUARES
.2500E+02 BOUND
.5000E-01
.2000E+=4 *EQUIRES POINTS ABOVE CALCULATED HAZARD CURVE FOR FREQUENCY RUURN PERIOD
"!!!!I'!!IiiE!"li!!!!I5!!!!Ilc^'c"'^'"""^2^""*""'"'""'""*"""
25" ' """""
' 5 ' "' "
ca hf!lll S
iS0h1 DN3W dE INFORMATION FROM THE T FILES s
gp ild N3 31111 TURKEY POINT 11
' t' NUM) R OF SEISMIC EXPERTS 5
NUMs R OF ATTENUATION EXPERTS NUMB R OF SIMULATIONS PdR ATTEMUATION EXPERT So gg-dIl 1VMEN30 SEISMIC EXPERTS ARE 1 2 S 4 5 6 71011 I? 11 g
i GH3W RESULTS OF HAZARD CALCULATIONS II}
GD,
130SSV E3113 r
ii
e 4
PAGE 5
4 VARIABLE IS VELOCITY SPECTRA HAZARD CURVE N
VELDCITY BEST ESTIMATE ARITHMETIC GEOMETRIC 8DS
.05
.15
.50
45
95 CM/5EC NEAN MEAN
(
FREQUENCY 1000E+01 I
.1000E+00
.3337E-01
.6988E-01
.1816E-01
.8727E-03
.2937E-02
.1993E-01
.1129E*00
~ 32251 + 0 0
.1500E+01
.1948E-02
.5771E-02
.3238E-03
.1518E-05
.1G17E-04
.4495E-03
.5990E-02
~ 26 5 e1 -01
.2000E+01
.1282E-02
.3610E-02
.1719E-03
.5720E-04
.7 372E-05
.2432E-03
.3579E-02
~ 1617 :
.3000E+01
.6940E-03
.1823E-02
.660$E-04
.1511 E- 06
.2209E-05
. 9150 E- 04
.1727E-02
'8197' I
Y
.5000E+01
.3125E-03
.8003E-03
.17 56 E- 0 4
.2300E-07
.*374E-06
.2663E-04
.6728E-03 3033
.1000E+02
.1065E-03
.2842E-03
.2228E-05
.7852E-09
.3084E-07 4361E-05
.1840E-03
'9998E-0
.3000E+02
.2030E-04
.5996E-04
.2959E-07
.1000E-19
.4684E-11
.8765E-07
.2104E-04
.1435E-03
.5000E+02
.9441E-05
.2912E-04
.3597E-08
.1000E-19
.1000E-19
.6363E-08
.7815E-05
.5426E-04
[
.7000E+02
.5597E-05
.1769E-04
.1084E-08
.1C30E-ev
.1000E-19
.7821E-09
.4110E-05
.3024E-04
.9000E+02
.3722E-05
.1195E-04
.5011E-09
.1000E-19
.1000E-19
.1130E-09
.2559E-05
.1961 E- 0 4 FREQUENCY
.2500E+01
.1000E+00
.3745E-01
.7119 -01
.1691E-01
.6034E-03
.2275E-02
.1966E-Of
.1165E+00
.3464E+00
.150 0 E + 01
.1948E-02
.4692 -02
.3102E-03
.1976E-05
.2142E-04 4048E-03
.4893E-02
.1960'-01
(
.2000E+01
.1339E-02
.3224 -02
.1819E-03
.9572E-06
.1090E-04
.2298E-03
.3165E-02
.1399' -01
.2500E+01
.9925E-03
.2389E-02
.1185E-05
.5925E-06
.6697E-05
.1511 E- 0 3
.2347E-02
.1065
-01 s
LI1IGvsoud
.3000E+01
.7713E-03
.1857E-02
.8334E-04
.4133E-06
.4359E-05 1041E-03
.1828E-02
.8132E-02
.5000E+01
.3672E-03
.8809E-03
.2909E-04
.1167
-06
.1071E-05 3706E-04
.8276E-03
.34231-02
.1000E+02
.1224E-03
.2940E-03
.5405E-05
.1061
-07
.1223E-06
.7184E-05
.2563E-03
.10821 -02
.3000E+02
.18 21 E- 0 4 4507E-04
.9248E-07
.1667
-12
.2585E-09
.2331E-06
.3035E-04
.1243: -03
(
20*3005Z.
.4000E+02
.1063E-04
.2681E-04
.2437E-07
.1000E-19
.7712E-11
.7630E-07
.1573E-04 20+3000L.
.5000E+02
.6908E-05
.1774E-04
.9051E-08
.1000E-19
.1432E-12
.2860E-07
.9267E-05
. 6 916 'E- 0 4
-04
.4358 LO+30005 FREQUENCY
.5000E+01 10+3005Z'
.5000E-01
.4387E-01
.7957E-01
.2029E-01
.8702E-03
.2763E-02
.2340E-01
.1348E*00
.37875+00 10+30001
.7000E+00
.5943E-02
.1276E-01
. 9 7 36 E-0 3
.7303E-05 7723E-04
.1220E-02 1567E-01
.5659E-01
(
.1000E+01
.3871E-02
.8603E-02
.5683E-03
.3340E-05
.4280E-04
.7023E-03
.9959E-02
.3623E-01 20+3005Z.
.1500E+01
.2264E-02
. 515 7 E- 0 2
.2978E-03
.1523E-05
.2106E-04
.3783E-03
. 702E-02
.2131E-01 20+3000L.
.2000E+01
.4500E-02
.3438E-02
.1834E-03
.8814E-06
.1189E-04
.2405E-03 735
-02
.1413E-01 LO+000{.
.2500E+01
.1069E-02
.2450E-02
.1238
-03
.6218E-06
.7410E-05
.1615E-03
. 625,02
.10101 -01 40+ 005
.3000E+01
.7992E-03
.1827 -02
.8848
-04
.4378E-06
.4905 -05
.1124E-03 18981 0
.75791
(
40+ 0004
.5000E+01
.3308E-03
.7517 -03
.3056: -04
.1145E-06
.1397 -05
.3852
-04
.74611-0
.3039
.1000E+02
.8584E-04
.1968 -03
.5089
-05
.1074E-07
.1360 -06
.6180- -05
.1839E-0
.7281 20+g.
.3000E+02
.7665E-05
.1964E-04
.6730E-07
.4557E-12
.2311 -09
.15051 -06
.1154E-04
.5493
-04 000E-01
.2943E-01 N
l l
378E-01
.9344E-01
.2565E+00
(
.3725k-03
.1420]-02
.h249E-03 10+
000E+00
.4274E-02
.9142E-02
.5672E-03
.1009E-01
.4023E 1
.3488 -05
.4675 LO+
.1000E+01
.2528E-02
.5640E-02
.3272E-03
.1966E-05
.2304:! 04 4302E-03
.5805E-02
.2434E-01 04
.1500E+01
.1282E-02
.2962E-02 1656E-03
.8753E-06
.1145E-04
.2268E-03
.2991E-0
.1240g-01 20+300SZ.
9 000E+01
.7547E-03
.1769E-02 9768E-04
.5301E-06
.4575!-05
.1765E-0
.7572E g2
(
1360g-03
.1105E-0 20+ 000 t
500E+01 4872 -03
.11kOE-0k LO* 000h.
l 000E+01
.3350 -03
.632 E-04
.h321 k-06
.4303 -05
.4945E 2
.8838 -04
.79 7E-O
.433 E-04 173 -06
.2919: -05
.6207E-04
.7z54E-0
.3293E-02 L 0 +.0 05 "L.
.5000E+01
.1079E-03
.2587E-03
.1320E-04
.6743E-07
.7518
-06
.1907E-04
.2367E 03
.1059E-02 i
LO+3000
.1000E+02
.1928E-04
.4850E-04
.1601E-05
.5657E-08
.5886E-07
.2290E-05
.3920E-04
.1618g-03
.2000E+02
.2998E-05
.8282E-05
.6933E-07
.1950E-10
.9921E-09
.1310E-06
.4649E 05
.2208 04 Z0+'00G.
.2000E-01
. 2 5 58 E- 01 4959E-01
.9336E-02
.2784E-03
.1148E-02
.1084E-01
.7553E-01
.2350E+00 FREQUENCY 2500E+02 20+ 000.
.5000E+00
.1680E-02 4019E-02
.2323E-03
.1093E-05
.1896E-04
.3584E-03
.3447E-02
.1666E-01 LO+ '000%.
.7000E+00
.8988E-03
.2238E-02
.1295E-03
.6162E-06
.9380E-05
.2120E-03
.1923E 02
.9338E-02 4
l MN3f183Md 20+30002*
20+3000L, LO+30005 l
10+3000f.
LO+3000Z i
LO+3005L Lo+3000L.
(
+
mg II PAGE 4
1000E+01
.4342E-05
.1117E-02
.6649E-04
.3416E-06 4723E-05
.1115E-03
.9604E-03
.4704E-02 O'
.1500E+01
.1761E-03 4664E-03
.2874E-04
.1716E-06
.1818E-05
.5011E-04
. 37 7 5E-0 3
.1885E-02
.2000E+01
.8863E-04
.2393E-03
.1464E-04
.9564E-07 8092E-06
.2457E-04
.1933E-03
.9501E-03
.3000E+03
. 317 5 E- 0 4
.8803E-04 4800E-05
.2500E-07
.2132E-04
.7600E-05.
.7420E-04
.3169E-05
.5000E+01
.8044E-05
.2314E-04
.7588E-06
.1522E-08
.2066E-07
.1408E-05
.1862E-04
.7123E-04
.1000E+02
.1123E-05
.3541E-05
.2124E-07
.1000E-19
.8065E-10
.6510E-07
.1978E-05
.7649E-05 O-
.2000E+02
.1331E-06 4957E-06
.4476E-09
.10 0 0 E-19
.1000E-19
.8057E-09
.1473E-06
.7735E-06 VELOCITY SPECTRA FREQUENCY BEST ESTIMATE ARITHMETIC GEOMETFIC BDS
.05
.15
.50
.85
.95 MEAN ME s.H m
RETURN PERIOD
.it00E+03 1000E+01
.1463E+01
.2839E+01
.4408E+'0 7128E-01
.1218E+00
.5165E+00
.2765E+01
.6485E+01 T:
30006"
.2500E+01
.1464E+01
.2843E+01
.4245E+00
.5722E-01
.1078E+00 4923E+00
.2810E+01
.7030E+01 3000$*
.5000E+01
.1636E+01
.2838E+01
.3745E+00
.3195E-01
.6346E-01 4502E+00
. 2913 E+ 01
.6125E+01 3000Z"
.1000E+02
.1150E+01
.1868E+01
.2315E+00
.1918E-01
.3918E-01
.2820E+00
.1868E+01
.3755E+01
.2500E+02 4068E+00
.7415E+00
.7659E-01
.6355E-02
.1327 E- 01
.9865E-01
.6844E+00
.1461E+01 O
RETURN PERIOD
.1000E+04 3000t*
.1000E+01
.2357E+01 4354E+01
.7026E+00
.9507E-01
.1740E+00
.8474E+00
.4033E+01
.9999E+01 3000Z'
+30005*
.2500E+01
.2486E+01 4584E+01
.6789E+00 7915E-01
.1611E+00
.7983E+00
.4426E+01
.1041 E+ 0 2
+3000i'
.5000E+01
.2607E+01 4244E+01
.6839E+00 4656E-01
.1058E+00
.7960E+00
.4260E+01
.8573E+01
+30052'
.1000E+02
.1717E+01
.2678E+01
.4254E+00
.2846E-01
.6557E-01
.5247E+00
.2610E+01
.5106E+01 m
+3000Z*
.2500E+02
.6609E+00 1053E+01
.1401E+00 9508E-02
.2229E-01
.1898E+00
.9794E+00
.1957E+01 w
RETURN PERIOD
.2000E+04
+3000t*
.1000E+01
.3701E+01
.6851E+01
.1120E+01 1268E+00
.2486E+00
.139 0 E+ 01
.5860E+01
.1480E+02
+3005 t *
+3000L'
.2500E+01 4044E+01 7151 E+ 01
.1086E+01
.;093E+00
.2410E+00
.1294E+01
.6736E+01
.1480E+02
-3000$*
.5000E+01
.3936E+01 6174E+01
.1084E+01 6.*89(-01
.1765E+00
.1249E*01
.6095E+01
.1173E*02 m
.1000E+02
.2467E+01
.3703E+01
.7596E+00 42E?c-01
.1121E+00
.9024E+00
.3555E+01
.6595E+01 W
+3000f*
.2500E+02
. 93 31 E+ 0 0 1452E+01
.2564E+00
.14:3E-01
.3839E-01
.3652E+00
.1328E+01
.2535E+01 RETURN PERIOD
.5000E+04
.2486E+0%
.95&gE+01
.+30005*
.1000E+01
.6664E+01 1282E*02
.1867E+01
.1874E+00
.3982E*00
.2169E+01
+3000L'
2g4563:gg g,
ll!'l:::
iltil:81
'k$h:+32
1;88
'till::
18882:
i!!8i:31
lif!!:31
!*ift:af
.4 E+ 0'
.227kE+00
.1610E+01 0'
.134th
. 105E-01 i+3000Z*
.1000E+02
.3786E+01
.5562E+01 r+3005t*
.2500E+02
.1416E+01 2151 E + 01
.5450E+00
.2424E-01
.7877E-01
.7230E+00
.1971E+G'
. 3 512 E+ 0 L RETURN PERIOD
.1000E+05 J:18885:
lia:E:81
1?!!i+i
f!811:Si
lilli:31
11111:38
!till:::
!!!!i:31
ifi21*!
11!!'k:+81 dp i+3000L'
.5000E+01
.9246E+01 1381E+02
.2807E+01
.1651E+00
.5785E+00
.3172E+01
.1273E+02
.2326 02 0+3000$*
.1000E+02
. 5156 E + 01
.7411E+01
.1975E+01
.1051E+00
.3889E+00
.2345E+01
.6970E+01
.1182E+02 0+3000t*
.2500E+02
.1901E+01
.2849E+01
.8039E+00
.3626E-01
.1357E+00
.1057E+01
.2644E+01
.4452E+01 g
0+3000S' 0+3000t*
PROBABILITIES OF EXCEEDANCE OF DESIGN SPECTRA NUMBER 1 h3 0
NI 0+3005Z*
!3 FOR BEST E3 IMATE OF HAZARD iO+3000L' FREQ(HZ) P RIOD(S)
PROS. OF EXCEEDANCE
.30 3.33
.287E-04 0+30006*
1.00 1.00
.365E-04 a
0+3000t*
2.00
.50
.583E-04 T
4.00
.25
.103E-03
'0+3000$*
7.00
.14
.185E-03
'0 +3 0 0 0t **
10.00
.10
.354E-01 0*3000t iO+ 0005*
14.00
.07 478E-03 33.00
.03
.541E-03 gg 0 00g *,
10+
ko3 FOR 5.0 PERCENTILE HAZARD 00+300 FREQ(HZ1 PERIODLS)
PROB. OF EXCEEDANCE
.30 3.33
. 2 37 E-26
$$kh 3A e
9 49
'I
f l-l4 PAGE 5
a 1.00 1.00
.730E-16 W
2.00
.50
.218E-10 I
4.00
.25
.121E-07 7.00 14
.838E-07 l
10.00
.10
.231E-06 14.00
.07
.381E-06 O
l 33.00
.03
.355E-06 l
FOR 15.0 PERCENTIL E HAZARD FREQ(H2)
PERIOD ($1 PROB. OF EXCEEDANCE m
.30 3.33
.154E-12 W
1.00 1.00 106E-09 i
2.00
.50
.644E-08 4.00
.25
.148E-06 7.00
.14
.978E-06
(
m 3
10.00
.10
.309E-05 W
3 14.00
.07
.438E-05 j j 33.00
.03
.560E-05 43 FOR 50.0 PERCENTILE HAZARD 43 FREQ(HZ) PERIOD ($)
PROS. OF EXCEEDANCE aw N3
.30 3.33 482E-07 H3 1.00 1.00
.350E-06 H3 2.00
.50
.143E-05 H3 4.00
.25
.710E-05 m
H3 7.00
.14
.262E-04 w
LH3 10.00
.10
.654E-04 IH3 14.00
.07
.101E-03 33.00
.03
.142E-03 y33 OH3 FOR 85.0 PERCENTILE HAZARD O
GH3 FREQ(HZ) PERIOD (S)
PROB. OF EXCEEDANCE GH3
.50 3.33
.182E-04 t
GH3 1.00 1.00 454E-04 GH 2.00
.50
.104E-03 QN3 4.00
.25
.219 -03 M
GH3 7.00
.14 412 -03 UH3 10.00
.10
.772 -03 OH3 14.00
.07
.108E-02 GH3 33.00
.03
.113E-02 O
l ttOOCUIE8 FOR 95.0 PERCENTILE HAZARD FREQ(HZ)
PERIOD (S)
PROB. OF EXCEEDANCE r
i
.50 3.33
.223E-05 EB 1.00 1.00
.286E-03 2.C0
.50 473E-03 O
Ehe EE j.
4.00
.25
.887E-03 EE cc EE 1
7.00
.14
.175E-02 O
e'e EEEE 10.00
.10
.350E-02 g:4 CEEE
}
14.00
.07 485E-02 ge
(( -
33.00
.03
.581E-02 g
kek TIME IN SECONDS
.81416E+01 O
.14543E+00
.47694E+01 em..c.k.
t.ETEE e NE E
gg i
,e eE ce e
Ec.e_wtil t
ggetBEEE
, a y
9
'b
,1 F
SEISMIC HAEARD CHARACTERIEATION FOR THE TURKEY POINT NUCLEAR POWER PM P
1988 Number of Attenuation Experts
,,,,,,4 Number of Seissioity Experts
.,,,,,11 i
i 1
N
[,
7
1, OO eo se 1_ _ -
EASTERN UNITED STATES SEISMIC HAZARD CHARACTERIZATIEN ACCELEPATION RESULTS FOR G-[XPERTS 1,2,3 AND 4 LOWER uAGNITUDE Of INTEGRATION IS 5.0 1
05/18/88 09:48:01 z
S NUuBER OF PERCENTILE VALUES
= S NUMBER Or RETURN PEPIOOS
=
1 NUuBER Or rRf0VENCIE(S)
NLLdBER Or SIMILAf TONS PER ATTENUAflotJ EXPERT = 50
=
4 NI.MBER OF ATTENUATION EXPEPTS i
i l
NUMBER OF SEISulCITY EXPERTS
= 11 TURKEY POINT I
l' E,
2 n G..
iL h e
o o
e e
e e
e e
a e
o o
4
^
-sh-W E.U.S SEISwiC HAZARD CHARACTERIZATION G-[XPERTS 1.2.3.4 AND lower W = 5.0 HAZARD Cupv[S USlw 4 G-[XPER T(S) 10 J
- PGA DESICH VALUE
)
-2 A - ARITWETic WCAN _
10
^a O
5
-3 i
e, 10
\\
i w
g Y
\\-
a g
v to J
O
\\
o C
-5 1
d
'O
\\
N, 4
10 il
-7 10 n
n w
e o
n e
e 1
.g ACCEL [ RATION CW/SEC"2 TURKEY POINT I
l' J
J J
J J
J B
0 A
0 0
t m-HM=?-
J
=
1 1
e h
__m I
?
_.a ?
I E.U.S SEISWIC HAZARD CHAPACTERIZATION i
G-EXPERTS 1.2.3.4 AND lower W = 5.0 PERCENTILES =
15.
50, AND 8$.
HAZA*D CURVES USING ALL EXPERTS
-1 10 i
- PGA DESIGN VALUE
-2 10 E
5 l
J 6
-3 S
'o s
\\
w M
'\\
i a
s 10
\\,
\\
w
\\,
s l
g I'
w t
-5
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8 x
~
g
-6 10 s,
N l
N
' N.
-7 10 n
n w
c e
s e
e
-g O
ACCELERATION CM/SECH2 TURKEY POINT i
l l
I l'
s s
6 6
6 e
e e
e e
6 v
e 0
,.a. e a..
i PAGE 1
e FILES ASSOCIATED HITH THIS RUN AREA INPUTS I =COMSNAC e4
~
XM
r:eeeeee INFORMATION FROM FILE COMBIN g.
MENU FOR COMBINING OVER SEISMICITY EXPERTS (INPUT FILE COMBIN)
L-EASTERN UNITED STATES S ISM' h
08EIR'AHif"Ull*WME!R2M!:'i35!6"*^"**
C HAgR CHARACTERIZATION TITLE ON PLOTS e hv 5:hMil'"'f.d*&c"^5ti'A"I2t!!'"
l 0
IENU FL AOS F03 PLOTTING AV ERAG S a
A 11NE = '
S AND A Z.RO = ido, N::LL M T AR:: HM [,:;,
R CU VES I RAM
A'
=
AR:
HM ;
ON o g' gT a.,ON,A S pal 1 RAM irRAM
AH=
RAM i
oi =
jLL 5[gfAA?1 fa^nAAES A ass s :::::::::
j.? :
l ST 0
i FOR INDIVIDUAL S-EXPERT ON 1 FRAME B2 = 0
-eeseos NUMBER OF SEISMICITY EXP RTS, THIS RUN 11
=-
NUMBER ATTENUATION EXPER (3). THIS RUN =
4 NUM8 R OF RETURN PERIODS
=
5
'NUM R OF PERCENTILE SOUNDS
=
5
.gS OF S-EXPERT (S) = 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 10 11 12 13 I UR Eit OD tv.
PkRCENT LE VALUES 500.
1000.
2000.
5000.
10000.
1s
.05
.15
.50
.45
.95
=
)N SEISMIC EXPERT FIL = TAC 1368 IN SEISMIC EXPERT F.:L
= TAC 2368 IN
.$ E.SM:: EXP RT F.:Ll; =TACSS68 IN S:
' :SM::
XP RT F:
!; ric::8 in U Ng TAC 4g68 M82St!
RT FILif : TAC 10568 ISMfCEXP Si
= TAC 7368 SI ISMIC EXPERT FILL;
=
i eeeee**
4 SS s
I
PAGE 2
iiiiNISii;!!! Fill:?2811111 t
iS!!"M '"'"' "' :lenii
$$E VALUES READ FROM MENU FILE COMBNAC O,
eseeen INFORMATION FROM THE T FILES
eseeeeee***eene TURKEY POINT 3
NUSBk!hhA s
IIEEEI!!0sil"TlHE"5N ' 1 11 12 is J
E
-FIL 8lIlm01]gT E UA' 5'
i 2" Mil 2 3 4 4
11N337 J
{,5 ISMIC EXPERT (S)
A TENUATION EXPERT (S) LIST = 1 2 3 4 dN II jg I
ALCULATIONS PERCENTAGEOFZEROHg gNTSIN Mg d
a 1
8* *4
g v easunN 3 L3tunN Ipee**********
RESULTS OF HAZARD CALCULATIONS g
fb3 1 e lli1"al:
!1antin; o
VARIABLE IS ACCELERATION
= 3N4 y 33 SSW13 nNK HAZARD CURVE g
i
5
5
' ' ' ' * * " " ^ ' " ^""""MIE
""R12 tou N, au1PMNin
Is!!i:8
1881E:i
filil:!
s-
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d"iti ai
Ui! :8:
1?iti:::
fift:t
l-
21911:::
ina!***8f __..go,gg:g.!.8;:o4
.b;g:af sze-o.
.ui4
-oS
.3474 -oS
.u ss
-o4
.n s
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. u12l :gs
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gg g
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82
f2!3:81
lose l-ol Wi
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i
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tHil :81-:1Hf 81--:llill :-84--:ltii,j:23
-o
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.42 2 :-o
.i444
-o.
inu,voa oE.os
. :'l" "
1llEi.
f.2fE..I
429.1:.2 lSisl::.i 4
-$888E:81
init:ji
litil:81
lill:81
Hill:8i
11282:.!
illie:s
iz.21:.I
,, n,ow TIME IN SECONDS fA
.i5ffE.
e 18)
'I3*SSW 83IIJi O
G G5 L
1
3 a:
-e-EASTERN UNITED STATES SElSulC HAZARD CHARACTERIZAll0N ONLY G-EXPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 USED LOWER WAGNITUDE Or INTEGRATION 15 5.0 06/08/88 19:07:56
= 5 NLA49ER Of PERCENTILE VALUES
= 5 NUMBER OF RETURN PEP 1005
= 5 NUMDER Or rREQUENCIE(S)
NUMBER Of SIWULATIONS PER ATTENUATION EXPERT = 30 NUMBER Or ATTENUAfl0N EXPERTS
.=4 NUMBER Or SEISWICITY [xPERTS.
....=18 l
TURKEY POINT q
I l'
e e
e e
e e
e e
o e
e 39
ONLY G-EXPERTS 1,2,3 AND 4 USEDLowER WAGNITUDE OF IN E $PECTRA FOR :
SOO.-YEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERC[NTit 85, 15., 50, AND PERC[NTit[$ w 3
to r--
I t
2 to O
/
/
O 10 i
..r, m,
/
to n
u n
,.>wm f
1
-1
~
<.n m, 0
10 L.
n as o
I,o PEP 100 (SEC)
Yo TURKEY P0lNT go l
4
==
i s
s I
l I
l I
r j
i 1
ONLY 0-EXPERTS 1.2,3 AND 4 USED lower 64AGNITUDE OF INTECPATION IS 5.0 1000.-YEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCENTILE $PECTRA FOR PERCENTILE $ = 15.
50. AND B5.
3 to 2
10 F.,
R b
to O
3 w
/
0 to s
/
_t 7
<< m < <n wem t<
n < <n ow te m,.n em I
PEPIOD (SEC) o n
{
'O IO o
o a
TURKEY PolNT I
f l
f
=-e e
e e
. ~e :44av.,,
.. a..,,-
A
-..,w-*
ONLY C-[XPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 USED lower MAGNITUDE or INTEGRATION 15 5.0 2000.-YEAR RETURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERC[NTILE SPECTRA FOR PERCENTILES =
15.
50. AND B$.
3 to 2
to 8
m f
1 10 E_
8d 7
F 0
/
10
/
/
/
-l
/
10 c.
n, <,.oce
<. n.
.r..om
<. n
c ae
~
Yo Io PCPIOD ($[C) o o
TURKEY POINT F
h I
t' O
e e
e e
o e
e e
o e
e e
o e
e e
ONLY & EXPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 USED LOWER MAGNITUDE OF INTEGPATION ($ $.0 5000.-YEAR RITURN PERIOD CONSTANT PERCENTILE $PECTRA FOR PERCENTILES =
15.. $0. AND 8$.
3 to 2
to 1
v tos 10
~
/
/
r
/
10 p
10
-1
<* m o <> m
<<n w.a m c.
v,
, er m,
~
IO PEPIOD (SEC) o o
o TURKEY PolNT 1
g g,
Y: ~
O e
e e
e e
e e
e e
e e
j 4
._n.
l I
ONLY G-[XP[RTS 1,2,3 AND 4 US[D Low [R W GNITUDE Of INT [GPATION 15 5.0 10000.-YEAR RETURN P[RIOD CONSTANT P[RC[NTIL[ SPECTRA FOR PERC[NT!LES =
15., 50. AND 25.
3 to I
i 2
10 i
8 i
W I
f l
I 10 N
O
/
8
/
J
/
l 5
/
6
/
t 0
10
/
/
/
/
-l
/
10
,, n,,,,
,,,,,,n Yo Io PEPIOD (SEC)
D D
TURKEY PolNT e
I l'
e.- et, -
e a
o o
o e
e e
e e
e
f i
ONLY G-[XPERTS 1.2.3 AND 4 USCO 15 5.0 LOWER MAGNt TUDC OF INTCGR Af TON ER1005 50-TH PERCENTILE SPECTFA FOR ALL RITURN P 3
10 1-2 10 8
C 3 10 C
8 5
d a
y 0
CTURN PfR ODS i
to 3 :-10000. YEARS 5 ',./
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PAGE 7
g
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11 NUMBER OF SEISMIC EXPERTSEXPERTS IN T-FILE 5
OF ATTENUATION ATTENUATION EXPERT 30 NUMBER USED THIS RUN 4
Q PER NUMBER OF SIMULATIONS NUMBER OF ATTENUATION RKPEAftS)
= 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 to 11 12 13 LIST SEISMIC EXPERT (S)T(5) LIST = 1 2 3 4 EXPER ATTENUATIONPERCENTAGE OF ZERO HAZARD POINTS IN CE0 METRIC MEAN CALCULATIONS PERCENT OF ZEROS FREOUENCY 28.79 %
1 k
8 ks x 7.70 X Ol*
4 20.24 %
E 05" 5
sZ-0L*
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VARIABLE IS VELOCITY SPECTRA 15 2*
JO L
h HAZARD CURVE BDS
.05
.15
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.6948E-03
.2036E-02 1370 E-01 9260E-01
.2947E+00
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.1713 -03
.7111 -06
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1 PAGE 8
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. 4 3 31 E-07
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.4591E-05 FREQUENCY
.2500E+02 3+3000E'
.2000E-01 137 4E-02
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.05
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FOR 5.0 PERCENTILE HAZARD OF EXCEEDANCE FREQ(HZ) PERIO (3)
PROS.
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Number of Seismicity Experts..... 11
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EUS update, 1992 Selsmicity, PSV E
SHEET 18 1992 Composite g.m.
accross experts 1
PS H C 1943 Turkey Point acceleration best estimate arithmetic geometric 0.5000E+02 0.7908E-04 0.1227E-03 0.1845E-04 0.7500E+02 0.4431E-04 0.7052E-04 0.9842E-05 0.1500E+03 0.1415E-04 0.2361E-04 0.2860E-05 0.2500E+03 0.4963E-05 0.8904E-05 0.9740E-06 0.3000E+03 0.3213E-05 0.6013E-05 0.6128E-06 0.4000E+03 0.1501E-05 0.3074E-05 0.2584E-06 0.5000E+03 0.7774E-06 0.1750E-05 0.1242E-06 0.6500E+03 0.3321E-06 0.8616E-06 0.4626E-07 0.8000E+03 0.1596E-06 0.4751E-06 0.1941E-07 0.1000E+04 0.6828E-07 0.2425E-06 0.6768E-08 acceleration 0.50 0.85 0.5000E+02 0.3120E-05 0.5140E-04 0.2530E-03 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.7500E+02 0.1680E-05 0.2770E-04 0.1430E-03 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.1500E+03 0.4660E-06 0.7780E-05 0.4600E-04 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.2500E+03 0.1180E-06 0.2340E-05 0.1690E-04 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.3000E+03 0.6450E-07 0.1420E-05 0.ll50E-04 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.4000E+03 0.2410E-07 0.5850E-06 0.5670E-05 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.5000E+03 0.8820E-08 0.2690E-06 0.3070E-05 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.6500E+03 0.2320E-08 0.9760E-07 0.1360E-05 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.8000c+03 0.6700E-09 0.4120E-07 0.7250E-06 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00 0.1000E+04 0.1310E-09 0.1430E-07 0.3390E-06 0.0000E+00 0.0000E+00
j r
turkey point velocity spectra frequency
~best estimate arithmetic geometric mean mean return period 0.5000E+03 0.1000E+01 0.1581E+00 0.2051E+00 0.1105E+00 0.2500E+01 0.1302E+00 0.1519E+00 0.7151E-01 0.5000E+01 0.8986E-01 0.1086E+00 0.4398E-01 j
0.1000E+02 0.3508E-01 0.5455E-01 0.1871E-01 0.2500E+02 0.1009E 0.1578E-01 0.5778E-02 return period 0.1000E+04 O.1000E+01 0.2564E+00 0.3819E+00 0.1792E+00 0.2500E+01 0.2386E+00 0.3243E+00 0.1363E+00 0.5000E+01.
0.1778E+00 0.2442E+00 0.9681E-01 0.1000E+02 0.1063E+00 0.1418E+00 0.4287E-01 0.2500E+02 0.3283E-01 0.5312E-01 0.1073E-01 return period 0.2000E+04 0.1000E+01 0.4158E+00 0.7110E+00 0.2904E+00 4
0.2500E+01 0.4375E+00 0.6926E+00 0.2299E+00 0.5000E+01 0.3443E+00 0.5494E+00 0.1656E+00 0.1000E+02 0.2112E+00 0.2983E+00 0.9819E-01 0.2500E+02 0.1034E+00 0.1342E+00 0.1950E-01 return period 0.5000E+04 0.1000E+01 0./879E+00 0.1536E+01 0.5498E+00 0.2500E+01 0.9749E+00 0.1718E+01 0.4591E+00
.i 0.5000E+01 0.8246E+00 0.1396E+01 -0.3317E+00 0.1000E+02 0.5229E+00 0.7970E+00 0.1914E+00 0.2500E+02 0.2287E+00 0.3023T-u0 0.5508E-01 retura period 0.1000E+05 i
0.1000E+01 0.1205E+01 0.2674E+01 0.8911E+00 0.2500E+01 0.1501E+01 0.3277E+01 0.7747E+00 t
0.5000E+01 0.1343E+01 0.2475E+01 0.5612E+00 0.1000E+02 0.1025E+01 0.1399E+01 0.3154E+00 0.2500E+02 0.4170E+00 0.5588E+00 0.1131E+00 i
results for the 3 percentiles:
freq.-(hz) 0.150**
0.500**
0.850**
return period 0.5000E+03 1.00 0.298E-01 0.129E+00 0.386E+00 2.50 0.183E-01 0.100E+00 0.333E+00 5.00 0.119E-01 0.717E-01 0.248E+00 10.00 0.676E-02 0.320E-01 0.141E+00 i
25.00 0.236E-02 0.118E-01 0.513E-01return period 0.1000E+04 1.00 0.652E-01 0.213E+00 0.761E+00 2.50 0.376E-01 0.179E+00 0.719E+00 i
.5.00 0.230E-01 0.149E+00 0.559E+00 10.00 0.102E-01 0.911E-01 0.298E+00
~
25.00 0.411E-02 0.258E-01 0.134E+00 return period 0.2000E+04 i
1.00 0.120E+00 0.352E+00 0.133E+0!
2.50 0.773E-01 0.319E+00 0.138E+01
e;-
t EurNsy fo?k W
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- e. g go 5.00 0.443E-01.0.276E+00 0.115E+01 ratde m y a c'* J d. 2ooo h + y. (_ c,. i './. )
10.00 0.203E-01 0.175E+00 0.631E+00 25.00 0.714E-02 0.781E-01 0.251E+00return period 0.5000E+04' i
l.00 0.207E+00 0.684E+00 0.248E+01 2.50 0.150E+00 0.687E+00 0.294E+01 5.00 0.104E+00 0.626E+00 0.225E+01-10.00 0.505E-01 0.396E+00 0.141E+01 25.00 0.128E-01 0.179E+00 0.578E+00return period 0.1000E+05 1.00 0.313E+00 0.107E+01 0.397E+01 R2.50 0.229E+00 0.114E+01 0.513E+01-5.00 0.163E+00 0.109E+Cl 0.373E+01 10.00
'O.100E+00 0.734E+00 0.228E+01 25.00 0.277E-01 0.304E+00 0.105E+01 r
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ML20078L563

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