ML20064F408

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Coastal Flooding SHAC-F Research Webinar Introduction
ML20064F408
Person / Time
Issue date: 03/02/2020
From: Joseph Kanney
NRC/RES/DRA
To:
J. Kanney 415-1920
References
Download: ML20064F408 (7)


Text

1 Coastal Flooding SHAC-F Research Webinar Joseph Kanney Fire and External Hazards Analysis Branch Division of Risk Analysis Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission March 2, 2020

Outline

  • Agenda
  • Research Objectives
  • Status 2

Agenda 3

Time Topic Speaker(s) 1:00 pm Welcome and Introductions Joseph Kanney (NRC) 1:15 pm Overview of Probabilistic Coastal Flooding Hazard Assessment Methods Norberto Nadal-Caraballo (USACE) 2:00 pm Q&A Open 2:15 pm Overview of the SSHAC Process Kevin Coppersmith (CCI) 3:00 pm Break 3:10 pm Coastal SHAC-F Description Norberto Nadal-Caraballo (USACE), Rajiv Prasad (PNNL),

Joseph Kanney (NRC) 4:15 pm Open Discussion Open 5:00 pm Adjourn

4 Motivation Interest in application of PFHA to NPP flood hazard assessments

- No consensus framework or standard set of methods for performing PFHA

- Potentially large uncertainties in estimates for both magnitude and frequency of extreme floods

- Reliance on professional or expert judgment in several steps of the PFHA Current PFHA situation similar to state of probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) several decades ago

- Structured multilevel assessment approach known as the Senior Seismic Hazard Analysis Committee (SSHAC) process developed for PSHA With suitable modification and adaptions, SSHAC process might be basis PFHA framework

- Structured Hazard Assessment Committee Process for Flooding (SHAC-F)

5 Research Objectives

  • Develop Structured Hazard Assessment Committee Process for Flooding (SHAC-F)
  • Identify technically defensible data sets, models, and interpretations
  • Address key areas where expert assessment is required and use of such experts
  • Participatory peer review
  • Accommodate problems of varying complexity through an appropriate hierarchy of SHAC-F study levels

6 Research Status SHAC-F framework developed for local intense precipitation (LIP) and riverine flooding

- Presented at several NRC PFHA Research Workshops (RIL-2001)

- https://www.nrc.gov/reading-rm/doc-collections/research-info-letters/2020/

- NUREG/CR Report in preparation SHAC-F framework for coastal flooding in progress

- Presented at 5th Annual NRC PFHA Research Workshop (Feb 19-21, 2020)

- Solicit feedback in todays webinar

- Finalize and publish as a PNNL technical report

7 Contact Information Joseph Kanney Email: joseph.kanney@nrc.gov Phone: +1 301-415-1920