Text

Forwards Site Specific Spectra & Hazard Analysis Info
	ML20040C314
Person / Time
Site:	Clinton
Issue date:	01/19/1982
From:	Wuller G; ILLINOIS POWER CO.
To:	Williams J; Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation
References
	U-0401, U-401, NUDOCS 8201270519
	Download: ML20040C314 (100)
	v • d • e

{{#Wiki_filter:_ l U-0401 NNO -62(01-19)-6 $1/NG/S POWER COMPANY SO4 >:To cru 1st t r orc ati:, i t ti N o i s o.'s.u, January 19, 1982 DA/ A pr J. H. Williams q, RC Clintc, Project Manager q ivision of Licensing h Or,g.gW f f ice of Nuclear Reactor Regulation 1, M, N2 6 7k2- ;-9 'a shing t on, D.C. 20555~ Commission C-1 S. Nuclear Reg'ulatory {3 c re,' kp p/ S / ear Mr. Williams, -A Clinton Power Stat ion Unit 1 Im Docket No. 50-461 ~ copy of the hand out material that Enclosed is a constitutes our presentation to the FRC of the CPS site specific spectra and hazard analysis. The following are included and represent the total and final hattachrents ackage of material Attachment 'A' " Seismic Zonation o' Central U.S." Attachment 'B' ' Evaluation of 18 ", 1857, 1891 and 1968 Earthquakes" Attachment 'C' " Geologic Structures of Southern Illinois Region" Attachment 'D' " Seismic Hazard Analyses" Attachment 'E' ' Site Specific Response Spectra from Nearby and Distant Earthquakes" Sincerely, 6 c'" 3 . n,, hYjks v' G E. Nuller Supervisor - Licensing Nuclear Station Enginee rin g GEW/lt cc H. H. Livermore, NRC Resident Inspector (w/o encl. 00k 920119 G201270519 05000461 6\\ FDp ADOCK PDR g A

i i e i ,e e ..__t----.-,,p2,...-----t-----__1.__-- i, ~ 'r-~~-~~, e -- t ------- t. ---- ---- t, - - -- -i,-------+-------t,-------,. l i, o

o

o le I

2 .hi 4, i i i ...,--------f---..... 4_____e.___ ___;__j____, 4. _ 4 o o, o, i. oi i o. o o i. o.(

2-______1.--------+.'______,i m

e, .i i o e, . r. _.3_ __ _ _ g _ _.g_, _ _ _ _, _ _ _ _, _ _ _ _ _ g. _ _ _ _ _ _- 4. --. o. !o-i a: I

o

/m y?,

l7 T o m, i mS .e . 8s > 0 . ' I, - - ------y _ _ _ _ _ _ _ f -------- ft-I. s 4 ,2 -_- I, _ _ - 3: _ ____ ___1_ .T-- m l .2. 2 ,= , we e.n. c-

7

.,e%.. o, m o, _____ _.. _ 4{ y s <---- -- -p_-.... __,.-------- y---_- y,_...___ a e o s g i s i+ > t 3 e,. aie oo

i. n ie

.e, i .i i ? - - --- + - _-.. _ _ _.y,,------ _ pl -- _ _ _ _ _ _

_,if p;x n

n y s& i, si s. t _ tn1 s i o i a _,___,__j..+-__. g 'u /

co Wdh>

-D gy4 /e\\ o

c: i. o u

, o ig etg h-:__.-__k...___f: &3 Ob td o i. 7. l.o 'j. .: ' N,.~.h_h.S D, i o ;. o m f/ r7 .e .i d, ,. m .-n-l , o e. or -c l o .p hJt.:. -], a,

s,

>o t - ..;-~+-'---,--+-------_+-----_g. 4 .,_________.'______________}___ l fo k

rr t l

o,:

i. vo

.h....qd. v s

*d&

l i l aE. 03 ,0 o g3 + _ # _.p _ _ _ _ _ _ + - _. - 4p _ _ _ --- -- 9. - - _ - - - ;. --O -- -- + _-_ __ _ _ _. 9,.__ _ _ _g:f -----,. g _e_ Q.<. d.'/i 3 i o' o' p a.Ih,',6= c,1er / ('o ?> s, *n 1 O l I, n %,. ty

I O

l 8 I . 3 m t-o 1 ri * ' v 9 o 9g 8 L 8 I ( s o a S C m. n p,', l - - - - - l- - - --- - - - p:.Qg_.. -._ _ _ _ }n_,_.. _ pr _ __gf 9 t a n .;.y. - _.,. - ....p,.. n,. g -.., --.. _ e s..,. n, ,o g i , o 1 I C 1 I I 8 c,, ,1 i e e no e h f - - - - - - -.m,...U_.. _ A _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ j)- - - - _ - - _1_[T] I I l I l 8 8 .___.,A.. ____..;_......A_...__ .t...... A_____--- kbA $ 4 --- Ew% J=. ~ % - f C 4 U, s, A..g -W %g -

- -~A-~.Cf.}_----emn......_._..

' " * ' " * " * * ' ' ' * * - - * - - - * ~ ~. - - -

i e i i i -. ( e i i i i i I I s i t .i .l g i g ,3 s : i i i i ---l5=. ,$ -----,h ---- -----h- - d, ---- - [- b-- '-_______; i, .r 4 i 4 a i } - - -... A _ _ _ _ _ _ _ t - - - -- - - - t-- - -- F - - -- - - - - F - -- - - t --- ---- - f -- -- -- - t --- - - - t - - - ---- + _,,,,,, 8 e s a e i 4. 8 i i l ___7..- e 4 i .s i i 3 o _ i._. _. i i ,. _. _,,,...-..,_,_._i i ,. _ _,. o i_ ei .o o. a i i i 4 i, t i i i 3 8 ,8 4 8 8 4 i e

- - - - _ - -. 9,. _ _ _ _ _ f - ------ F._ _ _ -l

+ -_ _ _ _ _ _ _ 4 _ 3_ _ _o.,. 9 _gp____---t------[-t.o----'i________ i i i i i +--------b-- i i e o, o)b 4 .i o i .i e

! o '.i i

o i .i .o it 4 i r s i 'l a. i 8 o a 4 =o i .i, a ,l >o i i i G. ,o o, ,i -___...2--------+'---_____4___.____y_______4_____g____.g_4____._,i... 3.__ 5_ _ _ _ __ -- m-------- }_ i i i I l l0 l l j {o. i. o ,I >o I V o .e. o je 8 8 s a s 8 8 i e i i 8 i e i a i i i i-p 4i gi --_____9,--------+'-_______4,________.____. _ _ _ _ _ _ y _ _ __ ___ y _ _ _.____9________1______-+'-

0 I

i O i e i s -9, _ __ _ _ _ 1 - y 7[ l' l l l l l l EP O oI o l l l l l m3 I o i !4 !I I k, k - - - -.t - - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2. _ - -- - - _ _,,. _ _ _ _ 3 _ _ 9 _ _ _\\ _ _ _ _ @ i a i o i ____..__2.- 3 g __ __ _ _ 9. _ _ _ __.p_ _ _.___3._----- c ,- r _ g ;,, o i i i o s c) io e i l e! l .Q o. 8.O ~ 'O i,- o h 3 ~. l 3 o i i Ci 'o I 7--- t ---- --_ t -___ ___.j __ _ _ __ __ j _ _ _ Jyp _,_ 'g _f _ _j g _ _ _ _ g __ ____j ___ o _--t y i o! l P 2(d l ! Mi n a {%-- I M [pe, mJ ,i o.'. L9 .e

u. c..g, r,

m i - i -- - +-- ---__ y_______9,____,___ 9,_,e_s_ @. _ _ _ 'g~, gg ; . _ (, ____.. 4___ $ _- +-- - - i p t y,pfw', .s, i i 6.4 go le B i ,'3 a o o I de,) @a f' !\\ o i.* ,a o o 8 o a f- ~ o-i a j j 6, o

f,-----_--+i 4

'l a -_ __ _ _ __9. .I___ _o_g _ _ e,_,9. Q _ f__4,. 9, _ _ _ _ __ _;9. _ _ __ __ _ _ o 2 a \\ .l ePg .t i e 4, d 'O \\' i ,i e f I ol lc 'I f k l ,,c!!@o 1 -- + - - - - - - - + - - _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _g _tp_ i

n.,,, 4 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ j _ _ _ _ _ _ _. o4 _.__ _o4_ _ _ _

l l e' o oI-M ia ' *o j C 4 i 3 an i i ,i 1 n e.o Gi eo e o G3 8 ^ ( <t I o 8 ,s 1 8 ,8 I i i 8 i i i 'o - - t. - - - - - - - - h _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ f. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _1. " _ _ _ _ _ >W .- M p d ,,1,- N-n .),. s a a ( i 9 i .c a e o e cl i ,.,a ,i e i . o e . i, m J ,' no !..k _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _1_ _ _ _ a o 4 ' 4 - - - - - - - -Wi - E... _ 2.. _ _ _ _ _ _ ..,_,__lQ,, E------- J - - ' 9 A m

l M l l l i i i i i i

l ' -- i m--- f --- ----- j......_j....__j._____j____j_,___{____{_____{________{,______._ ;-

i e i i,

o m,

i,, i, i i i, o i, i, . i,

=}-.__... ____,,_ _____

__,_,,___,___...__-.E Q9 o o, i, i, i, o l i o i a o i

i. m i

o( l ,o o. i i - - + - -... _ _ 1. _ _ _ _ _ 1. - - - -- - _ t. -- _ _ _ _ _ _ p _ _ _ _ _ _ _. . 3, _ _ _ _ __ g _ _ _.g_ f. _1_ _ _ _ _ +m _ _ _ _ _ _ _ + o. l*g l q. to t H .I ' l l l e i i e i, i. i p, e i e, i e U - - - - - - - - + - - - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ,,_i l-i ee e i o. o i i c. i i .i l m o, i i r .'-~~--f-------________________g',7 O, _ ' o i b., i o e

t. o ei

,i i s 8a o e i l 6 i O I O 3, V I I C. t fI o i g .\\s 8 i i i, i, l o i. i c --- -_i ____- .---V---+_______r!, ,------- t ------- t, -,- w,3g +r-xp 2-e --,

M,

( ,3 - - - - --- - -i- - -- * - - ! e n 6 o i n i m i l l l eo dRg I, F 2 o 8 %q i o -th r, CM,G i, i, O i s -o-Qi D. 7h i i l 8 s Asq i 0 " lo f

j ll R } W G j'S -

l l $0 l 0

O l

, 8 80 l,% '0 .; t FPm l* i i o t 'o D l R 7,,f,/CA/. 8 a i p (f, h i e i i - _ _ _ _ 9, ~- - - -,- - t - - -- -_ -- y _ _ _ _ _ _ _ g _gp 9_ ___ _ _ 9. _ _ _ _.,_ _ _.g. _ _ _ _ _ _ _ g _ _ _ .o l a@ ...,,M,.m e 1, l e; 12 o I l i i 9 o ;' #ss,'pi.aw; t------_-.f lt Ma, n.7 0 ..n.e. o a __m_ .,_.g ,_ p _. _ _ _ yo - i i i . o r. > ci 3 C i, o ,,,e, y, rr o gj i i O e 8 i p , o e, j I i i i 8 & O,, i, l, b i - _ _ f - - - - - - - - t - - - _ _ _ _ _ : _ _ _ _ _ _'_ :. E _ _ _ _ _ Y-@'.h (.,t. - - r 5._,y.- l l i f l-e, se I I h I B ni saa P, e o n ci j e 8 s , D 8 I-8 i i a i i i l o. o, s. e, e, i o 4 i i 8 I B I I -~~.}_'----- m'---@-.-._ A. _ _. _ _ _ _, 2 _g_____.,2,____,_j,_g_,,_____2_______2,___ __2_____...r._- + 1 e y..: .s,.. i

c., m g.7 4

i l l l V, } I. I, i, 1 I ..- - i.._ e_ __ f --- -- -- t--... -- f.... _ _ p,t .,a 4, I, i, i 3 8 i i i ________y_____,,_ _______,,_____,____ ___ y___.___ 9__..----t t . i, !, o ( o . 3 i i - - i i io i i i ,8 i I a i e a 8 .....r, ---..__ r.- -- -- - - - + - -- -... ; _. _ _ _.. . ;,i _ __ _ __ _ _, _ o 3., e i i i .i g i ,i i i i f _ _ _ _ _ _, _ _ _ __ _. _ ; _.... _ ; _... -_ _5 - ------ -. i ,/ o, .l e i o oi-i f,,./ l ,i l a o .i i i e-l, i. i i i 1,, m i o e,, _.i. _ __ -r,-------+--..____1________' ]. ,------- r-- p-./.p;;.________ g ____,,_+.. ____ +___ e e - to. -- - = p i m, I @

i, i

8 8 S b 3, l ,i.

e.,,

i. a i e 4 6 g e: I 8 1 - - ---. _ *s ... m ;d e . b M g g E,,. f E 8 I 8 r-i. t e 8 g) cc{

------Y ----

8 ---,/. _ ______2________ 3 Ct a 4, _,__...._4-.- ----i ---- --- i m o I g g I O 9 b __ ;t. e., i I. i. i 3 .s 0 ^ ._...._.p.. g, - 1 I J - - --.. g --- - - - - t -- --- - - +I ..___9._______g__.____,,,-_ 3 C' g. 3 3 8 ____9,_ _ ___ _______+---_--- (:. f j i I, /,N [ !,.mM,o e!, a 8! ,/ i w o io , CD 8 g T 8 U ,3 .- y - - - _ _ p _ _ - - - - - t,- - -- - - - - +i l i P' -.--___. 9 _ 2,-- ___J io i m,__. g g, ____ ___,___9 17----- D,' O e 8 s / [L"TTi <ab!, ' 8 8 /, i i 8 _ "3 TO $m 1,0-8 8 8 O ' N ~ ML,i s,,. >y1 8 a u. csp i i S i e s p t.ew g /! p__ ! e im i 5 -- - y-._____ f).4;).!sd NY D i ___g__------ 8 IO O se tTD e s' 8 c, oa 0 8 8 s 8 [1e -- f -----------__ __ f _ _... __., _. e,p. D:. i o a I hQ7_;__f____________b3__f________ l l 7!#gg$ 4 ' i i -i,j* 5 -~~ _______o i

pe i.

i 4. i

sr

- -- f -- -- - f ________ } ni > a w ... g_ _ 3 i i 'cKa e e o a ei i 8 '\\ s a n e e t 8 e e e' \\ s s s O e 1 8, D D , no s s ,e f e 8 8 3 g - _.4 - - - - - - - -G 8 - - 0 5 I I e C,,,,,y,,,,,,,,,, e r i 8 A________ ,___,,,_2 ,_,,___2,,,,_,.,_ 2,_,_,,,__ 2_______.2----

i r - e i I, .l l e i i i i i i i i e i e i i - ----- - - f.._ _ _ _ _ _ 1. - -- - -- - - t - -- - t - ----- --- F - - - - - - - - t - -- -- - -- t - - - - -- t ---- --- t - - - - i i e i i i -t--------t e i i i i I L l l l i -A l bli l l l i

o io i

i ""] -------- t --- ---- +l _ __ __ __ _ j _ ___ J p __ __4, o o, _ _4, __ _ p, _, 4, _ _ _.'p _ _ _ ____ '). - _ _ i e i o, i I

'e i i

\\, o i e i ,i i i - 3: -----.

t. __. --- b-],

.I. 7=== F --- g :. -g,. p im i. io o,, i o _a 3 l

t -

_ _ _@- +. _ + - ---- + -------- e---- --- $----- I 8-g f g-1 ,s a. t t lg-D 8 / l l "g N [, Q l9 a o i, g, i i i i e

i. s.

d l: s: e d I - c - - _ _ _ +. _ _ - " Y ---- --- -y --_ _._ _ _ -... _ _ _ y, _ _e,____x____.__4 i i ,i __.9_ _,4 _ _ _. g ---p- -----t-L 8 - l~ ~'l

f l

8; N., i, l fge o i. i / s 8 .ts i / ,',3 y i D i r, e i-8 8 i 9.. :. s. i i. i (. r r-------- 4,_______1,--------f....'__- 9.____..93._ _ n p __ _ _ 9 ___

g. _....

i, t. g I i .g p.. i ill 8 \\._1_>M_ _,--- -- - s o. 9____%_ .i. i. i. i 4, /: l l .i l l l 4I el. 8; o ,3 a%,.o i i i ,i l,p. n.i. s o s,6,.> i o

3 i

,u i i o i i-i i tn -l-- --+,----___+_____,gF'T-i t i i i t., 2 i ,o c-i '9

dr

...,,. qM.. _.y' ___ _+_ _ _ _ g. _ _ _ _.6, - - - '---- + -. - - o --- + - -,-v

+-

i lb '( - l'a i i ,U n e, 3 ,I O m 6 g i O, i o es % gt_( ') %,e m. [ '.. %i i 9.f. wt b *,_] e, u p i i + 8 I ,8 g . f iJ i I y e 8 eg; _[ hQ jf,j-Qq .,3, i - - -- + - ---- - _ 4. _ _ _ _ _ _ { _ _ _ 2 u f ? !o j i #d 'infds!nMd__ _ l__g__4.___ i o i gb BPE9m e.(>,.lMi- ;/ o.. : io l ,.m. s 1 = ,8 O i I i ~- - " Y - - -- -,-, --_ _ _ _ __ l j b ,8 h 7.! i i 8 'g C '_,EP /r f t D'.ne w ~.4.p s{u Q s i. s - i ,r t os n g

i i

g v f , 9h* .. -df,.t** ' / 3 i i h

g t

g y 8 i C O!9'"ls' I . i - --j_--____.[__~~~~f~[_. s e/ d, ist;---4--- tv-A 7 77T. 1o ./ I l B a e , 7gdsg t ..,, p/ i i e. ,,l. i o e o ca i i o 8 I I g ,vd 8 i 8 o I i D 8 f -e i ? / g 3 3, i ~ 7 - - . _ _ _ _ _ _. _ [',k i _ _ J _ g __. a .f,. 3 i i ne 'n e e e o n ci i 8 8 , O s e i e i 8 e I e i t 0 i i 8 e8 s e i e i e i 8 D , no l - - - +i f i i i e i i i I g -....,-- a i i i e i i 8 1----.......... _1.g.......,1...__....z.___..__1.__..___ __1_.....-1--

c ~ 6 f] j i t a 4 8 V, 6, 8 ...1.____--r,-----.3-------. _,,,, __, _ _ g _ _ _ __ _ _ g _ _ _ _ _ _ _._ g ,e . g. _ _ _ _ _ _,_ g _ _,, _ _, _ i

t. -

o i i I j V l.

l. 0 l

l l I l* ,I ~ ~~~ ',b-------f, --- '-__ j -_ __ _ _.h. _ _____ _f, _ e p_ f _ __ _ _ _ ___ _ f, _ _ __ _ f, _ _. _ _ _ _f, l e, ,e o, 4 s i o i-e i-o o I,, l l- {' 3 e ,e i, n o, o e i i m i 8 it-------1________t--------+--______f.______ i i c o h l jo l g , 7% e i, g i, o, io i, -o e ,i e i,.. r i D' i j i e .i a, i e , a ,j. -- ---- -+ - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ y __ _ _ _ _ _,7 -_______+________+________9________9,________g________+. ______1,------ i i i i 4 l l @0 l l l a + 1 i o e e i

+-_______1.-------r:-_-__+,i i

tb e y .c o _ _______+ _ _ ___ _ _____ o i o,, i ro o., o i o i (,1, to.' io i n, eio i i, i, o i r. i 8 i >r ~ 1 - - -- f, _ _ _ _ _ _ _.p, _., _, _ _ F -- - - - - - r, - 8 8 .d_,_ _ _ +i, _ _ _ _ __ _9 e(. _ __ _ y 6 ' t _q %g 3 g i, - - - - ,o o,n ,i a. o i, e i o, a i w(-A 8, i n n ~ cm.upp' of-% Q ib d @k *D 1 fMdLEN/L!-l l i o io o i i l p--- 9,+--______j.______j____ MQ {> f,yr,' ,4 d ..I. h e,w.~Js---n %_. t ao e 7 - i g. .e a i oo sou i, oa <e@ i o

i 80 i

i i. i, o i, o i i im i o o 8 o i o 0-3 D ) t I ..o p f _ldd,., l 4 l Io

E-_____.j_______+!------_-7,___g b

l e Pa / y. mf ~.3_y__,.________4,._______ q.________+________+____ e o ,o e .u ,o io ,i ty 3 e o e j_ e d, < o o 67 )ellNR a a; l ",- - - - + _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _,:______ _ _ + --------g ,-_a_ _ j g >e +6 8 i o o i ________j.,._______ 4__o_____,4 ___ _ _ y --- m 1 i, o i o. o io n !n[F,o eP l* l o '? o I "o V i i o .f qL__j.________j------_f_______/j.____],% l ol l !o [} l p p g _g_,g _.g _ p e 3 G' jo D 8 i i s io n ei e 8 e o .e [ e I i ,e 8 I e s e D e, i 8 o, o i i i, i i - _.{- - - - - - - - er,i. _ _$_ _ - - - - - - _ - _______2_$______3 2 _ _ _ _ _ _l. w. _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ _ _ _ 2 _ _ _ _ __2________2___ 8 i 8 i i e ip h. __., _ t. s *. *..,. A. /.., q s - -='-- i'., ' " ;. ', ;, s -N"e' 0. L - -4y 4, . s. s',"*---... - '

h i E w h d s'm 4 12 38; l fil, IS9I / l 1969 E dtf-M 1 I MODIFIED MERCALLI ItJ TEtJSI TY ~ m a u, e s m i O o =. l tb e O a 8 y a m o m Eb 4B O u I I i t l i O u i. e e

l ~ l. ? \\; I i MODIFIED MERCALLI INTENSITY m u m e s m I O = 0 ? ? e 9 i, O t= 0 6 g l --t () D O O ~ u O l. m o,o o m X O 2 o O i O O 45 I e i i j U 4 8

L ~ s 2 1 MODIFIED MERCALLI INTENSITY ro a a a cn y co i +ly O _., I r ' E b I o l t t i 69 kB = = = >z O ITI O g b X 13 3 (B o O O ID (9 C O 4) O O O O O 4) 41 O tb O O 1 I. I i f o u I i a

e N

i* ,i i m i C5 e l MODIFIED MERCALLI INTENSITY ~ u m aus k i 11 U (f i G I gi y 4 tl El 0 I n r a g o e u m Il o A g = G u 0 o o m o a y n n a u 9 R H 2.a l O g n i (I (I l f I it V I e i 3 I 8 i i b t s

M']DiriED MERCALLI INTENSITY N 'a s c, m y g C. T.. O" n .1g ai. dl d r i e O O O T, / r O lf Q 21 o O j a Q O L) s. es O O O O a O r O O O .n (. ) a G. m m / I I i i C) U.

4

r. + r p r,g*L.,_ f
a.1 7 t*p c *L Ty

4. m n e.).) i.T ' r pJ

.l. ..m s a L.e .) e 1a i 5 N PW L (.9 %) 9v .j ' f l r 1 i e g \\ l N u$ a -< s s N / / / / / / / i ~ L' -t z m / '

O

/ DJ /.= W / / i / / / / an. H W* / t t W ga. r,,

..--,n.~ _ 93 W 91 90 89 eg 87 gg gg 42t! ' 4 6 i i i ILLINots INDI AN A 41 s-g. gy.y 4( +. -- V-VI .VI 39- . v. i VI,.Vi + A PPR OXIM AT E .V VI EPICENTER \\ V i VI .y 3S VJ. KENTUCKY 37 . JUNE 9,1838 - 38.5 N, 8 9w Missouri b = 5.7 100 km ~ '~ ? g y f~IG. 4.1. SISI intensity v.1:ues for the carth luake of Junc 9,1833.

? 92 W 91 90 89 Ao A7 Ac C" i i 6 4 6

P ILLINOIS

+ d IN0!ANA 3 -- I 34 ~ 4 ,f, 'lV, s w ve-e 4 5 _,_, s, 4-5 's s 4-5 a i, 4 5, 's,,,,. s, 34 -- 4,5, '.- 5 ..'s.. ,---._ i.. .6

r.. yl l

l l l6-7 o e

5-6 o 6o l

e l 's '.... <,' o l l 4 ,c_ _.... 'v%. 5-6 l e ~ . 4,s., 4-5 - --- l-J a' a' 3-o OCT.8,1857-MISSCURI 3 8.7 N, 8 9.2 W ' 100 km Mb = 5.4 36-Fic. 4b.1soscismal map for the carthqu.1Le of Oeroter S.1357. The erwenter is taken to te center of the VI nosessm. _g.w,,gg, e .% e

i ~ 4 .. s i.. F F NR 5 5-6 4 6 4 NR F -5 56 S 45 NF 4-5 4 7 4 l F 5 4p 4 5 3 5 3 554 5 4 5 54 d 6 3 5 F 4 6 4 5'S F5 NR h 5 6 6-7 I /22 6-7 74 6 6 5-6 hF 4-5 6 NR 5 5 5 4 NR l 6 5 4 6 NF l NR 5 4 4 6 F 5 y I rJF F F 4 F NR F ~ W SEPTEMBER 27,1891 + EPICENTER ' l artoustres l Fec.1. Intensity map of the southern Illinois earthquake of September 27.1891 (see Table I for sources of information). MM inten-ety nlacs at nulindual points are eith r given by Arabic numtrals or by one of the following abbreviations: F. Felt; N F Not Felt; N14. M4 ltet'orted. I L f L

gdi,

.---g..e_c-. - e, s ww w y y_y gy ..y9y 9 _q,p 3_y ,9,7p_,,,,p__ mr _,-,.-nr.n.,,_._.p 7 -._q--_ -9 -_w y,j._ y.m, 47 p__ym_ 3a.

J 1 .? l 1-Summary of Earthquake Reports M i i I 90* 89* gaa g7* i + 6 a o .. FL... .V ~ om o, yo a g o o o 8 .O

- '.' y o -, " ' \\O o

.o so ,..o ?..*,4.4 ~ '.*.'* o Venceaast V O oo o' -~ o /. 5( o ' OS t.. - n\\ o ,o o .t HO'a o s O s..a i-St. Louis g o o. 'o i'os yo ') g I so ^-@' W' ;\\,; - L Lo I '. ' N S d7'"S l,fo ~ t - F,yj. ,. 'o .. - s' o I.. yo - ,o

o 5 3so

,,.,, s ', -3 .V ' ui'v., n 'o vi o, ** 'o,. ~ip o l N D.

-(

.j ..;:-;.. s o so os So. o o o os ',o .o*a o or ,.. +;, % W o .'*n '.s,r. & a.L. 7 4

s c-

?w~n.^70

.u b

.o s O o* h*o ' 4 ** .~. *

m :' < 'soi.

0 6 .t o

o'-O o

o t ,4o ., g o,

t ' o -lo o,-

-p, . o. 4... Vll E.as u. ' + 0 -38' 38,- s 05 s ,5,. i + o o q.. ..; s , VI - 6 + 'f o ^* o Ao

w-O o

s \\ O'o s o7 o o,o_ ' h Eldoradoo'. o o H end,, a oo 2 o .o 7 S - o .y# ' r. . o -)o Murphysboro ' i.~1 o YS O O O '8 o o

.O o

'4 W.,+t r% +-./ ' *...' f '

' r.4 So 1- ' V .n <os. .....a o.-

's.?

U Ml.,p:y,I'N' b' '*5 o I . '.'.'? (~ ; - r * ' s "M i S S O U R I S' o .so ' ;;, 3. o i o .i. .~ ' yj ~ ,p. s ~ .i* K E N ToU C K Y. o. o e l ^ 5',.',ifyg

o. /

5

o

.o as o -o ,o , f. a Paducari o o., ' ' c.. 'qlg g'f'y, *.,;.* -se' g s.o f? I 37*- V o y. .37 ~ ..r.,, . (o,, - U g <' ' <L, o.pa.as u. - -,, w o oi.e sivu o NOVEMBER 9,1968,11:01:41.1* CST n o c. o_4o_so e so j s V si.w. w.. o i n i so* 89* ao* si' ( Frct nr 5.-Epicentral area of I!!inois earthquale of Nove sbcr 9. i 4 i eue

q t \\ ,, ~.. f t .~ }% j~. f[ e...... y A ../ .,u s i_~ ~ - ....u. r N. __j ... - - 0 .- 4.,..,..q ........ ;v Nmi C j' i ~.3 i .- ~.- p a;p.: . c- ',.sl.,,,,,,,l',,...._... m --- ?..- .., e .c V s. .,.,,y-"' .a.. m. s. . m ....! '--' k... h, f.....~ m. ) I I" * ,,,,.t ,,Q / ......u 'f .... y-..... -l . - ~ C_tNIO.E __i

m......

./ \\ e ... 1 s, Qg'[ \\, 3.. / f f; . {...-.....g u...f- ~... .\\ - r-3I w %a . [;. - ,e L-n .g ( ./ s w i-.- (..... % -l e a-e., ~-" ,..N. jec,c s I tg ~. s g-.... . ' s..... v a* ,LN;.,,,,,,j J. -e ..-. 4..w ",e, e; J ',' J u..- } I. ......I % 7..)a- / y ..p e ;. '.l'. i 6/ \\ u* d_h, h. .! '.i '., l...... ,/ r- - S 6,, Y..'.~.~'I'-"~- V. M'. ; h, ' fi, 'b ~~- ~ '- r =a-* ,,,, b..e. l ra f . A-g s ::.*p .. c,#.. \\ r s 01 u.~ 4{k\\{;\\ ),g[ ~...,M.,'...d.T' - > q >- 6 j V"'.'3..'^' ) ^ ~ - ' F ^.... ........,-- ~ / \\ A

.,J s,.

) %. \\ h ,/ .. \\3, p

1, o,.
p.. "" R Q;

p.. -.*

g,.'s. \\- l .n..j* f.,g --n r. C,

g....... -

, p or \\ %, s;',,. ,c/,.c f

- ..,N %,'

.u.-

~

'.e.' ~. .... g- ,,,,...+- s/, g ___ g .,,. so.o -...,,,,.*. o f "y,j 'N, .."......,....".l'*- $[ * * 'T, r,,,,/ ..a-,..-. ......e ...u cgi. .u., ,i a ".*. j ,./ .q. .c...,, o.. ,4.- f , cg ..... ;:.. * -.. ;G. i <.*.,"e. e v.. { s. .... /j L.... w*.,, "~A 5* g c,

- l;**

d. c....u -f -...' ..u...-" ' +, - -l -=",,,,W,'*"...,, g- - ~ -. p[. c, <[y.gl- ';'."N, t; :..,,..... / p s. '2 " ' I s, , N,-- T'~c \\/ ~ ,3.... g Thi.re 1 - Arc., of study showing counties and r.ajor geologic provinces. I' rom A/JG Mernoir 15 Published with pernission of the Arnetican Association of Petroleurn Geologi.ts. (from Buschbach,1971) t kE t[c N-fm,f-vf,g g,.[. kn I U.. k M e f

4 b ~ ( M C' " gal \\ i vc .7 ] j \\ .04g,4 ARCH \\ I pf i ~ ~ ~ ~ ,,, u, w o so .no q o . 4Ng p- -t. L- ~~ i 7 ,j x._ J v Q-__ g ,9 i9 y r'.__I - ;[$ ' 2_, ~

Q._

's .~~~~n . t. . ~ ~~- M'{[--~

[

t ",] -~ i ~~ IN DI ANA :d Q ,f A INTONG L [ ' OHIO PL AT.FOR ht' ]. -j -\\..S TF. _.fv; ~~ .m J ~~~ ',7 l w<K w c. 9. s '.,w +e 3 L .;f. ,._ / g ',f, pg n,._.- t0 -n .x ~7 a m g -g'.&D Sg[iGfy v q s gG I. 0 (, _l^ ? .m_ '\\,.-' Q, > j/ '~~~j ~~ --, @/ p (, ~ >f ~ z i x. 'L._. P- ,_ _4 W,,,f. -.- g j ' 'wr__ - v : g. i,-2 % y= Q (w ~ ~ /

~.---.-

}. Q -- M e,*{/ N ~ h 3 FAIRFIELQ~9/mT~~% _ ..V,.M> d~ y $Mlh,e ._ 3._ g 9 a8 sesq g$ ~' o 2 94-~&. .c CC g _ g g -- sg -) .y "h' ? j; h iROUGH. CREEK F/Ut:T Z - li2fE--TiiGEIGl" N Q ? uaoRunr1

' ^-

^l ..' SYNCLINE ^ MB s,6.n,u.u Q x~y. f,,w>E r L AN D S A OL Q- -'t . A- [.v. 4 /3 ',, Q r, s s -e SOUTHERN bI), ELF. /-C)t M h s y,g y! e m y) ~ 7 N exx x,Wr l J 7 v v x s w t u s q V SS $S 3P1' ^W,m -AU4- -r* r' J'~V SAYVEK__T T n _4 1 J Pigure 2-Structural features of the Eastern Interior Eepion. Prepared in cooperation with E. Atherton, 1. E. Becker. T. A, Dawson. II. Schwalb. E. N. Wilson, A. T. Statler, and I. I!. Puehner for pub 11:ation in /AIC Memoir 15 Used with permission of the Amertean Asscciation of Petroleu n Geologists. (adapted from Buschbach,1971)

w 9, Q E l i5o s t A M* "'n' r r- ,o,o i-o w-I h p-j g-- g ,i [', 7 oi I~~ i t j V i 5 l - (---h h t -J;' , CLINTON,f t-i' E'L{ 'q. j% T ~) ss i _m f. I ( l ,l. \\ l 1 i t '.E:T- ._J' /- l gG f ~ E 1 _1 'l fi _; I h.o j- - \\': + Y' --- L! (% \\ 3 l l i F, N .4i ~ lg f J. (~ f E "__,. ". t~ l _Q 3, Hsc l ' J.} I l \\ q j _jf;. ~ j :

,, j&; (,, {^t.4,. 1 /" '

v i.. - cr p., r!' c L; / lM ,9 3 t, 1.f h;;0' bbf '?[ p ^

$t,.

. b, '. "...,/ s r J..,....r-m' q T.. \\ ,S' k \\ 1 \\ / l I xY l..l s V \\ lu. 4 1 w...m;,-. y"~-) !NS I fw \\F I 93{ f /

y h.,

A Edge of Pennsylvanion ( g/ o Edge of Chesterion L Q'~ ~ j s[' m -500* contour, top of Ottewo f>egogroup 2 Figure 3 - Various boundaries used to delimit the Illinois Basin (adapted from Buschbach,1971)

.. ~ 4 + .I 7 7 'y y 7-7 74.. i / -/ I

y. d

'\\ c 7 1 -\\ g s v \\ $y \\ \\ OH in g f.lL } ,, \\ IN + g 4 \\ q v -e i h\\ p(

[J

\\ c 's e g N 9, 1 N

~

l CU.p,ON (*

(

p'/ + ,s.. ( y \\ )e2 9', [f[Q sT ' SITE \\ S? Y + j . \\ +o \\ \\ e i \\ h \\l \\\\ / 7 g" N: KIN ?rs o y ]), '\\ n,,.a + 'S - +

Il L..

..s c.$ \\ \\ / s \\ ~ 7 e G{h pua(f[ g*} f py+,"%),. ? - KY $$$'E $ \\ ~+ 5 r D ) pa-I f SI6SiA S Asp l " "\\ bgs h' N - s%g j une T. OZh K, DOME l).$ ~ D \\$ + "+ p / 4 ,A ?. ~ ~--- y / % % Z1 ../ i q 1.T l Q 1 TH -e. ,z /f f /A AR d,_ .. < g ..j NC MS AL GA I I l-l SCAL E se aset ts C 2,5 y soo sSo O 20 40 N to IUO tho $Catt see ancest fges

r i. ~ -h-y '. f f S "+ MN ; ( lAl + + + IA p + .p 4 p + + + ..\\,-- T / y- -r-q ; ~,, .v + + + + + / N / ~ / .-p' / / i l\\ C !; / \\ \\ IN '/ I I i N I. 7- - I 3: lL g g -{ q N 'f'I l \\ ANNA I h \\. CLINTON \\ ,/ i %k -N:. I i + .N k# U. S. SIT E K i 'N \\\\ 5.., ' x. ) t '\\ i 4' .t l + -r 5 9 ..%,, I ) + 4-y + o J-(.. r r f A { SOUTHEhN o [ 3 g-4 / ILLIN0fS-l ./ i \\% ( WA XSH .r' I D 6 t MO o. N-I l J

-%}

F y 2g.. g OZARK} j i l! RANDOM J l .' 1ll $. r. [- l j I + 1 a p 'n ;. 6 L j. l U

d 6A

/ y4 f --- ,g .-.m..__...-- ( )4_- / \\ \\ t / 'T ,~- g' ,. J E g- [ ,/ + e t { 9 M A DRLD' / / / 2 / j s: / / t~ 7 .) AR - c'------ -\\ " /~~ _.. _._.-1

/

\\ / AL GA 93 6.. St aL E 88e witt1 0 z_S So 10'.1 930 b io io so eo in zie scate i= =nout tees 33 m

-h Md b I SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSES SOURCE MODEL 1 Source Recurren'ce Upper Magnitude Attenuation Model Models Truncation Models OUTPUT 4 4 Al l SIRlVM3.Al A2 l SlRlUM3.A2 /~UM3 VI l SlRlUM3.V1 } / V2 d SlRlUM3.V2 j MMI ! SlRluM3.MM1 - 51 UM1 i 51RlUM3.MM2 MM2 i -R2 Al l SIRIUM1.Al UfG Al i SlR20FO. Al M UM3 l SlSRlUM3.Al Al UM1 Al lSlSRlUM1Al t f' Al S1 - fluttli & Brill (1981)- R1 - Best Fit UM1 - Max. Historical V1 Nuttli & Herrmann (1981) { + 0.5mb. MMI SlS - Ituttli & Brill With Zone D R2 .Best Fit UM3 - Nuttli L A2 - Nuttli & Herrman (1978) Split Along 39 ft With b=.9 Hernnann (1981') V2 - WGC & McGuire (1978) 9 MM2 - WGC 7 P

_ - _.. -.... ~. i 1 SEISMIC. HAZARD. ANALYSES ' SOURCE MODEL 2 Source Recurrence Upper Magnitude Attenuation Model lbdels Truncation Models. OUTPUT i Al 1 S2RlUM2.Al. A2 l S2RluM2.A2 l VI-l S2RlUM2.V1 UM2 -V2 i S2RlVM2.V2 R1 MM1 1.S2RlUM2.MMI MM2 l S2RluM2.MM2 52 ogj MM2 l S2RlUMI.MM2 R2 UM2 Al lS2RluM2.Al i j Al.' S2 - Central Province R1 - Best Fit UMl - Max. Historical V1 y Nuttli & Herrmann (1981) With Source .+ 0.5mb MMlJ Zones At R2 - Best Fit t New Madrid With b=.9 UM2 .001/yr.' Event A2 - Nuttli & Hernnan (1978) f I St. Francois-From Recurrence -V2 - WGC & McGuire (1978).. .Wabash Valley Model MM2 - WGC i. _I

SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSES SOURCE t10 DEL 3 Source Recurrence Upper f4agnitude Attenuation liodel Models Truncation Models OUTPUT I Al i S3RlUM2.Al UM2 VI i 53RlUM2.V1 R1 MM2 l 53R IOM2.MM2 S3 UM1 MM2 i RlUMI.MM2 S3 ""2 x l ll"l".I ^ A1 S3 - Central Province R1 - Best Fit UM1 - Max. Histe '9al Al Nuttli & lierrmann (1981) With Source + 0.5mb VI Zones At R2 - Best Fit New Madrid With b=.9 UM2 .001/yr. Event MM2 - WGC St. Francois-From Recurrence Wabash Valley Model

SEISMIC HAZARD ANALYSES SOURCE MODEL 4 Source Recurreace Upper Magnitude Attenuation !!odel Models Truncation Models OUTPUT Al l S4RlUM2.Al U!t2 p VI l 54RIUM2.V1 .>4 MM2 l S4RlUM2.MM2 MM2 l S4RlUNI.MM2 UM1 R2 Al l S4R2UMI.Al ~ Al l S4R20M2.Al S4 - Arch Structure R1 - Best Fit UM1 - Max. Historical Al Nuttli & Hernnann (1981) Michigan Basin, + 0.5mb VI New Madrid, R2 - Best Fit St. Francois-With b=.9 UM2 .001/yr. Event Wabash Valley From Recurreace MM2 - WGC Model

w Q s-ge,a ro e in o o n.. o e.,8 -- o a .o o .o 9 o o o o 9 o o o a o a -o o o s o 6 8 o -a e n -o o o .a g 7, g o. o =, n --*__.--}#..-T._____-+, n 0 ~- 7 ~ ~ 1_ _ _ -, - -, _ _ -. - - - o - -, _.....,- tr r 'TEo... , o s. s. 1 i /i e

o.

o i o e .a i - T " -__o__ -.. 3, -_-4 ~--__A__, - y <__g- --* ___i.___.u l .j. & i ~ o e {.* i

=

m. r--__ - --~~,._____ _ C--

-n%f"W. i,g J ___ a [; -- - o io.t3o

-.--- - 1 w o } o t 3~- 4* ! *!*yg \\ i 'o 1 t o ~___.4-----o-T-_e____! t 4 o i

4. _ _ -- -- t -
_ _ _ _ _ _ _ a _ _ - - - ~ - " ' g,- - - -+- -- - _ _ _ _ a _ _. - - - r i

o 3 o, .o i.i t g o

y,______4_.-_ --4 a____-_-4_-

o --,,_,,,,,_____..-------f.- ""~~ + I o ,i,. o

O o.

{ ,.. _ _ _ _ - - i. - - - - - -, ; _ _ _ _ _ _. a: - o- - - - r - - - - - + _ _o - - - - - + - - 8_ _ _ _ c.---- --4 __-_.---s--- .es i e a i. i i I ((_,__ _d_------a- -----f tgr- % ""], ~ g'~ ~I ...-------+. ,c. o - - - + - - - - - - - + - 4 o .: eoggga i I. go g o + __.:._--- w da . c. G _ _ _ _ c _.,. _ - - -. - - - - a - - t, - - - D fG-.._ ..o___-...

4

~cws a e <ia a. n. o i ,. _ - _ _ _ _ _.L - - - _ - - el g.A e n*c o 5 - ; ----- - - + -- --- ]i" -" _ _ i go.. Bfr--_- $o. $Er a o l---- y g %. e: je Q ------a

gg o 1

8 o e!mco i g

8 E

Bo e *m c. c. . _ _ _ _ _ - _,. - - _ _ _ - - -,. - - - - - - + < -______-__-_,:.__... 1 , ---Eg h. +: e e u A O. a.< l L, _.... _ _ a:. _ _ .. - - _L, - _ -- - - a<. o_---_1 1 8 o i mSL' 3 o ~--..a,------t,-------+,-------t,--- -- T.------ t-.s+1

.o

,.~ 1 ,- / .te .o. i e--------+--- - - -,. - - - - - - - +

e l'

e

c:

- - - - - - - + - -- - - - - *, - - - - - - - - + - - - - - - +. - - - +. i - - - - - - - + - - - e-e

+-------e.

'o e :,. o :i ,5 r ,-------- -_-._-i o-i i .__4,_____, o 3 ______,4,____,4'_,., i o .i _ _4_,, _ _4, _ _ _4 i .--- ----,-_-_._ - +i- --- .a o j E, .o ....___-7,,------+i i __g_ _ _ _ _,. .n

.:..i.__>.

o

.e 9

.-..-------.----..c, u 8

o o:

.o o ___--_- ------ j------ o o o 9 o .8 a o f o 9 a o o v o o. o .o n o oo 5 o, s n g g n n 4 i 7 .,-._,.-,--.,.n-: .n w ,.~,.a.

l5 1 t 105 l I .i i I 9,4 9,2 9,0 8,8 8,6 8,4 O i 9,9 96 I i s i I r i' 7 _r {. ! My // b l-C J F I, l /W '( i f \\ / I 40 l\\ /T (b ' s i e t 1 \\. o *[/ o 38 J [g l N

B,

\\ / x ,l 3 4,-

4.5s mg s 5.1

.j (s v58 o 5.2 e mn h' O s.e = = = 7.4 . O 5.9 s m, 3 6.5 t 1 O 5 ao !i ) y a 2. e,- A New Madrid Fault F Michigan Basin B St Francois Uplif t G Appalachian Uphf t l 2 C Wabash Vol. Fault H Colorado Lineament D lilinois Basin J Nemaho Uphft E Cincinnati Arch K Ouachita-Mchita Mtns.

"' *.'::,:::: ::: r.' :.;':~'c.; :.':::::: ;;:::U:::::/;...,

/...:".:,;'/c:l;': ; "' * " - " * "" in'

~

NUREG/CR-1577 h

O 7/ f:/, f~ z '/t r.3 6 60 6.6 7 6. \\ 7 f c.2 % "2.m. _ Fir.urc 5. Earthquake Source Zones of the Central United States. after !;uttli and trill (11). and Cody-Wave t'ar;nitudes of Earthquakes with a Pecurrence Tino of 1000 Years. NUTTLI and HERRMANN 1981

c .s. e c .n r ~ o c.e -q...-_-,._-.. v s s t4 . 74... -. te.

n 8 I

..w-"' TV .s ~.. - - .2 e.A~%.-.%.;p.@.,$., s. ,..,..,c.,..,.. a + e 1

-P..,.

~ \\ p- -[q.9./,p \\ 1 \\ r 7",** 1.,. "i,-q\\ -q\\', k*~v t

\\.

w; .s- .?g \\ l \\ Li

~ 'Y "

\\ ft' \\. g

p

.-?-. C I.- \\ \\ k i ),- i, ,-i~.-e ".y -1 1 31 { O \\' 1 1 -r,t*/_j. - T ".E. s g s ,1 l NG-Q t ( 1 1 t b--~' 1 \\ t ,1L { L, - N. ' - k \\ 5 A. \\ i ,2:t- -4. "~~I,i U .k 4. 't } "r 1

*.L -

t t d t i ,i, ) t 1 .t s gg .\\ %) \\1

')

l'.;c,.. \\ .e u 1 .)\\ - 1. \\. ~ ~ ;. - C '3 s tr ;

N 1

.si g \\ t t tn

r..

-t _ _ : . w t

\\. - - -

1; i \\ 1 1 1 - - - y - .: - -ong .2 i x \\, \\. 1---,.,..: - - - - .i ,/ 'a \\- - \\ - g g(M, ----4 4 t _._---\\ { - f ~ ~. ,1. - - i ,1.- z. i.-n e ~ 1 \\. ..x 1 \\

3. _x:.- b - =,- - +. -

- - - } - %g. \\ } \\ t - %

)-

y p o$ --~}.. 4--,-- v a i '- " ~ ~ ~ [ ~ Q _.t - S T~~~ ~~~~l__g __4 2-- T-^t } .o L ( ' j-__._ e o- - - _ - -, w. \\.-- f e l a -7 -y.-_-.___----,. - - -. gy _ a - - - - 1 i 6 .x .-- 9---(( - 3,. Y-. ~Q~~ %: 1 s). - - i - ___._--.__2.---. b i 1 e - - - - - J, w._-__ c:, .-.-- g-g 1 i 4 - - 'l. - ~ ~ T ~ ~ Nk_ _ - - - - : _ _ _ 2 - - - - - T - -j---~ ~l___r.-- s i i

s

- _ !___g D4 -r*----~~~I~~~i \\ 3 i i N_:._---,-aI -- i i .u A,.,._ ___a-iqq4 ~ ~ ~t. } + - - - - - - _ ' N:. p i i {-_j--.i__}~~_1___m{_-_--} ~~ i 2 .ca ~ ~ ~ ~ l 2-.. 2-----

. _ _ _. _ _ _.- _ _ _ _l 3

l n T-- . _ - - - -t. } . f,_C h. ',o _ _ _ )1- - $ _4 i 1 i i .y N ,s. - l-- i-- l

m i._

-- i 1 l l 1--- i n 3 4-.]. I. --i I 3 --SMw i [_S.I -i. .i i Y i i-i - - y C, - i --: J i i. .I i 'fc l - 2, - _ _ 2. _ n, 2, - - - +- --- l@% ---2.---- i -I i. .J I 4 .tc i i i l .i .1 i I --y .._i I l i _f_ .9_ _____;:_ _a_. l___g:___J_,,__;< I 7-'-- I

sG l

f I I k f ,1,_ 3,,,, ,I -l l .sc -s-.. s 1 )i )._ _l q - ; ,l .r 3 7 t .i i

h.

i f a .-a-3 I - 7 .;:.f_. 7___ ~~ -+n ? z s s ] T. .M u i ~'7"~~. z 2 - -j. _ _ _ _ i -j- -d .a.il-J. 4. ,~ ~ a\\

I.

~~a 3 i 7 _3q. jL._ j. ~ e

g[

j ,t g .cc s i ~ s~ i -N., .I 4 ~~ ~. j r. - g.. -j. i l

._2-

.ccs 3; ~ ~ l.,. n., T -.i j ? s j -s__ g T.. t. . DI I J - a' .,,.f,,, 2 5 r I -2___,, 1 a \\ .,.l..~~. ef - i. _,,f.,,, _ gI .; _.* : :i s_ p f s I l ,7 1 ~ ~ j.s _.j_*f. _,,r,. - a. _ ~~ ~,!4._

n l

_ _ ~ ~. ? y _a. { ro: s a g .g "T' a ...T- [ ; % _a .e .-a .s l. .I t f L..- . ' ~. .r ~.. e ...T -l. ,... ~-...- 'i ~~,,'*..j> t ~ ~., - m 1 -f..._g, ..,*7*e j a.~-~~,.

t..:

e a i g ~-.<s % ' + -. .. _,.~ --ra r -i w -g a y. ,.i. ---3 1

s,, r a + z e r .c -0 . --. t \\ -g_._-y T.,//. w\\ A . 3,be \\-wrr.?, % s. -n___ 9., ~ h. p .. - $.=x. -.. _ _.. \\ n.,,, w 57 r. M. g,,, 1 w - L. A, a_ j d t s-<v ., a.. .st 2. s.p. A. ,s x, n e. 1 p.. .i ,1 9. .. 1 y .t.',J: _.a i, ). .\\ .e t \\, _.:. -_.. i~,, -{ _w -c ) s u .s +a . i. 9.e-. w a ,o 6 - ).t,'3.: r. \\ .\\ ' ;,\\ z (\\ .T N w. s s - T.. ~Q, i.\\ s_. s si t i. i a, - i. 1.

s. - _ z _ _ =

.g u

i. 3 u k n i, 1-(,. o i st -y-..__ c: i i n (i m t. r

.___4

- c i t o \\ _ l - d . _ _ w - T _ ,1. - 2 - %. 2 - - + _. i.

es i

i t ,0.J i 1 1-5--k ~~f. __\\.t _ _.c - - 1 2 4 1 1 - _ 5 - yk ;

- - ~; ~ ~ '

it -. - -. r ig. i. 73 t _ _. 1 - - -. - - d_-t __4--3 - e., t t. h[ i . T, em 4q i t ss t i i __2 w.,-- ;.___, -- ---T__e t,- --.3.J -.i- - 1.' _.k.,-----,- L --*. _..:_---- mg i i - a. i u e 3 i l va 0 I i u_ u ______ - l t, ig - e ~ t -_2--- y .m J _.x t. +. - - - - - _ _ _ _ - - . _ _ 2 _ _ - - - - T i i no i: i 1 .a r 'g$ - j} 1 1 i g [--- ]. 6 ~ ... - - - -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - J.b .os ~~ i i 1 J _ 15, - \\. _ _ - - - - - - - - i _ _ _i ___ : i ~ ' ~ ~ ]t ~ --k-28 i. - - - - ~ ~ ~ i i

c ' ~-

M_ _ _ _ _'. ~5__%.g _ _ _ _ -.. __.4' i r 1 _.------___.!__~_. { .K n ; u j . - 7, N 7 -- rr-___i 1 r s..o, h _ _ _ _:.- _ --. - _ - - - _ _ N w 1 ., N- . _ _ _ l, _ - _1 2-- , _ - - - - - _ _ _. _ _ _ _.- _ _ _.4 i l ns__ j .1 ,s I __ p. ,.-__s g; .,E,u. _ t--__.,___i i n

w

_ _(i. _ n _ _ _ - -} _ - - a.. - _ - -

j i s - { - =-- 1 . - 4 _ __. _. !. _ - i _ (.,_ __i _ _ _ ~.i _ _ _.! _ _q. ~ - Nn.,--dw . i.s i i i .r,.,, r.~3 ,,i i .tc i ____i_ -=-3,_ !_ _ 2 _ _ _ l _ _l 4 _ _.1_ _ s.. _ _ 2 _ _ s.___1___z_ _ a___3___.__3___ A hf-H,i - - -l i _3 i .ic i ij j , 7 -- I - 7,t i i j i .ss - l _ l - _.i, _ _ _ l. _ ]. y! . _ _ _ _l _ _ _ 9 _ _ _ 2 _ _ l i l I l 3 i _ -l _ 2.,c,' I* ') .z _ _ _ l. _ ~ ~ ~l t. a -. - - -.: _ _ _.i. v. s g

i. - - 2.. _. s.i

.i i ,1 ,.- 7 ,t__, .a -L_ _ ; %/-~ -;.__~7,-, ___u_ l ___. 7 T- .-- r .i .es r,, 7 --4___ -t -2__.g..__l___ __.2 r ec + -2. .v ?.. _ '. J, _.,;.__2.._-._. s i .Cet

.r

, _ _ r,, _ ~fs__.,,'. } .f r. __a r } __s . g g. g ,g t i ..,,._a,,,.s' ~a ._l.,* f. .r: -r W___ -4 g _,,T. - a..

- - - .'a* J.,. _ 7 c.:
4 _

k. l

"""f=_

.__4 _ _,j 4

- d'_-

'*e. 9

.**.._,j l

- E. T .f 1' T =__ j l 7 J 8 g = d, _, 9 ~( ~.. f .-+--; k,,f k ~... o,I %'~~,.-.. l t . ~ ___1 _~~ .. ~ .t I _~~ -., ,I l ' ~~~.-~- %. .. _ _...j n. ~ ~s-r :. h 6

e ~ c r. w *?r*. .c .c ,k' Cc z ,r, u..-w__-. .,......_m.. 'l sa 6-.W> % c= .1 ... J _ - -.. _. -, t.se.. A,,. <., p<, g g-?v.,= .5 -, u - t % _. - 4. - - -

.i

./ ' W-Me. , s a.- . + s.. m-3. .....a -

1. _ -

- 7, - .st 3, 9,r t 1 .i, .... y 3

t..

. t a. u. 1 .. \\,\\... 1 ). l..... j. - t,... 31 r t m 1 i i. 11 \\. z.

n.,

.-,--n- 't. _'... w y s _.-4.-r

b..,

a 94 i

v. _.

.i t \\ c s _.-v. w( i o = n. i _ .2 u - .. -, _ _ ;t a ~,. i-r. t. .si i. _,-_t ., 3 i. a 2.. w 2-. i \\ .2. g+ N \\..: 1 u ,__,....-_--.~.--~-2.-+-- .1

e.

e i. \\. - ,, _ _ a ~.; _ _g4 a i. 4 m o i .is

t. s 1 ': _

.t_.-./ m p% i. .'3 .--.2,_.-+- -Q;

__3, i

\\ t g 1 _--t__i _.i-----. _ - - _ a.. i + 1

i... 1 - - i - - *j.,

~ Q i p

i..

i i _-- - y y _ - - 1- _ _.s - _._ _ ,.___4 -'t----______ r._ _ _ - - - - -igw e. va .a s i i ~ m g i m._ _s __2---- ... _ d - - - [ '\\ - - ~ ~t _ _... - - - 4. - - ;g i. v a-__ g _--_-e T-- .a r - - ~ ~ - ~ ~i - ____3__.-. ---4---~; ~ i., !g% %; N_ - - -, es.._ _ _ -.. - - __Z .u N_ _ w - : - - - - i i

.-.-~~

1,_ _

a. _ _ -. _ _ _ _. - - - "g i

N e .i .oc i " - ? r, 2th_.___. ,i 7-~~ .- _ _ 2 _ _ _ _,__ I-- i -

7. g_

2-_________., i t . ic t - _ (l. _ _ 4 g i .t i: +-_.t..-2___2- -s 3 la. - _ . ;.c ._. i_.-. __-l

l. _ _ _./, 4 _I 2--~

- - ?. :.. -m .i / a _. - _. _ _ _.< t [ W ,i j v ,i g ,tc 7s. i y -l - 7- --l,__ .;,._,_a:___2-19 1 I !__2_._4___2___.___2_l_2___2__2 .to I _]_ l I l i l 7-- i .so - + - - s l - - s _ _ _1 ] ! __q_ i ! _ - -l l _{_ .so vi 1 - 2 _ _ _ 2'. - a,,c f.. s s ) J l > I

v. --i s

i .zc T-I 7 -2

i s

fe-. -.._2.- i .,_ _ M_ ~ *r l ~~~T. p. I = ~ - .es ~l.. I - t - - f - - M. - l _

CC i

I -2_ s I 7j .y,.' _~. l 4.,.,, j.j 1 .Cet -{ 3 i +.; a - a'. g'q ,l 7. ...~' -l, 7 , Set 3 .l T - a. 2. . a.? .t .i j ~7 -a.___+ .i ,i 7, ' ' '[ ~ ' - f, ~ ~ r - a _ _ i. + ~~4__ i. _2_ 7,<:: N' fl_~! + 7- ,, ~~. . ' f ..l, '. _ ~ ~ 'J f EOi l l. ~ ~ ~ ' ' ' ~f..2____ __~T -+ i. ..~~',l .l -a.,,! ~~4.g 7 I - 4 - a. n 7 /t t_ .-~~.T s. f l.. .. _,, 7 ',.t I .,, ~ p ~. ~~ ; _ + .1. ~.. -a. -a.. .I .-a, _m. -w;

e e d Y e, r ,e s i-0 ..s-C ,.r'c.. .~. / t :e..; ,,m

'.'9.j-ie----- --

e a 9, - = :\\ %? n r,m,V.. 0; v .. e, ~ s g N .n ,y

--fiQ G.. \\ - - '

-.s,-,,.. t. s . w,n - c,' 1 s 1 a i- ) <. ..... - ~, . a .%o %.ti \\ . i y yt 3 \\...). ..-z c i -n._ 1'...-- t p m, 1 i u 11 A, \\.( \\. i . - r '9 ',,1 - - i l :\\ !, _ - - -. - - a s - w i o.- a i L s \\ .a ' i j ) -91 a \\ ).\\ i, ri .e 1-q-( 2 N c.) ,x . _ - 4. - 4, s \\ i ,i -s- - s .2 u.1x s \\ 1. T.- 1) i \\ 9 ( i s i, si \\. \\. 1 i = \\

2. - - +,...a k

j - k y -[A I --.- : --i. .L .\\. .t i t - s e t t - - -- m + ~ I. - - - 1 t \\. \\ 1 k -i .ss (- ~- is 1

- - i -

- - v5 .\\ 'LM I . s \\ s; e \\. i fy t3i) h-i--- n = - %.,. - - - a - - -,. -..-- h_ \\. -. a\\ ---_\\ .()- - ~ -. - k \\) -.\\ _ - - - - +i - -]--4 - - -- - -"C s

),

+ t .ts --2------ \\. - -, J - a,. i. ra, -

,a s

0_ - -} t is i. i av. r-v d.- e t ,--1 --, _.._-,:. i 3 _ a i 3L- - - _ _ - - - - - :;u u t- \\ _.,d A - - 'j. t ---M' s%- i ~ _ _ - - vk- - --

.--2---,-

__-_._ -+- ss %, W:;M r i J -. -_--..,1 - - M, )- - -. - -. - - - I - i- - - - ~1 ~- J. )i -- j--- _t Nu% -. ,n I i i i ..p i -/---- -.,- l-m \\. ~- _ f.: - - -,w, a % - -} - - - '03 [N d M[ f- - A. Q-i -T N -+-- w------_--_.--1-,------* i .a i N /. 7-- T-- N}.WhN j i 1_-_4 - p-1-- ,{ { -- ~~~ - ' - } - - ~ ~I .i i m r ~ ~ - \\ i _m_._./, .2 - i - -N - -.---, _- -. 'g ,,)_- . I 7.- 2_. - - 1. - - \\ ) It-_,d.) 3, -)' u_--.--.-l / l 2..-s ---l c' 1-1-- - - -..mcw 'c 3 I I i 1, I

i ---!

'i i

v. - -, -

j j i . se .rc t l l 6 - I i r-5 --,i - -, - i v-- --i i i l .---r.- 1 i .t G I i i .e j s ,1 -t --{ l I i i I l. t .L T-;-. .,,,'_,_,,,l ,3_,,r j {

l

-l l l l d ,Jd, n _f 2 - _ _.l. - 2. _ l - -,, 5c {

! 3 l

7 -,- - . - -. j i i ./c l ~ 4 ' 'N',. T - ~ ~f :-] - - 4 j --9,:. -4 .p6 { t N,T. * - i 4 l d,_i,,,][- j ~ ~ -t - a _ _ a. i e ~~ r i ~~g - a.l - 2 j i .cc _I 3 l - a.t ii, r., T p- - 4 i e .casi ,i .'.,,_q- -2_ .s .c. 7-J r I i 8 L, i -s__% .e 7* .-a~ ~~r .~~-m. 7~ .*H_ .,j

==_ ~ ~ -a.,,,_ r [ ~ ~ e. ~~2

g'g i

-;-}_ ~.J. l j ,r

- E

,,,_ T - -48 T**. e _***y. .I to; m._ ~ ~ _ * -2 '5' ?. ,{ l 4 ..,.4 s .,, g s i { 4 . - \\.

i g

.I

e

.-+4 f -2 j i.,. g ~~ l 'i _, T - a[.

- .i_ j

.f y f ?*=-d I .-~~-.l. Tf ( , ~ ~ '1 T ,m I g 7,_- ,,,j m. ~~ u ;

g W

EARTl! QUAKE OCCURRENCES IN THE ILLINOIS BASIN NUTTLI AND BRILL ZONE D (NUREG/CR-1577) mb 2.8-3.2 3.3-3.7 3.8-4.2 4.3-4.7 4.8-5.2 5.3-5.7 Year 1800-1809 1810-1819 1820-1829 1830-1839 1 1840-1849 i-1850-1859 1 1860-1869 1870-1879 1880-1889 3 2 1 1890-1899 1900-1909 1 3 1 1 1 1910-1919 1920-1929 1 2 3 1 1930-1939 1 1 1940-1949 2 1 1950-1959 4 1960-1969 1 1970-1979 2 1980-1981

EARTHQUAKE OCCURRENCES IN THE ILLINOIS BASIN NUTTLI AND BRILL ZONE D (NUREG/CR-1577) mb 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 2/181 8/151 3/151 1/151 2/151 4/101 16/101 8/101 3/101 1/101 0/101 3/61 10/61 5/61 1/61 1/31 6/31 0/31 0/11 2/11 (.0110) .0530 (.0199) (.0066) (.0132) .0396 .1584 (.0792) (.0297) (.0099) 0.00 .0492 (.1639) (.0820) .0164 .0323 (.1935) 0.00 0.0 .1818 Cumulative .2806 .1167 .0375 .0176 .0110 Rates .3283 .1348 .0528 .0231 .0132

EARTilQUAKE RECURRENCE MODELS SOURCE MODEL 1 (NUITLI & BRILL (1981)) 2 Area (km ) R1 R2 UML UM3 Zone x100 a b No/yr 4.0mb a b No/yr 4.0mb Upper Magnitude Truncation New !bdrid ( A) 2.775 3.463 .873 .937 3.590 .90 .978 7.3 7.3 St. Francois (B) 5.013 .3.820 1.060 .381 3.140 .90 .347 5.5 6.6 Wabash Valley (C) 3.080 2.540 .790 .239 3.061 .90 .289 6.3 6.6 Illinois Basin (D) 5.007 2.349 .816 .121 2.772 .90 .14 8 6.0 6.0 Illinois Basin 3.296 1.697 .830 .023 1.959 .90 .023 5.0 6.0 (D-North of 39*) 111inois Basin 1.711 1.856 .738 .080 2.544 .90 .088 6.0 6.0 (D-South o f 39*) Cincinnati Arch (E) 13.088 2.738 .821 .284 3.072 .90 .296 5.8 6.3 Michigan Basin (F) 4.117 2.072 .873 .038 2.179 .90 .038 5.2 5.5 Appalachian Uplift (G) 9.544 3.110 .903 .314 3.110 .90 .314 6.3 6.3 Colorado Lineament (H) 9.603 2.386 .816 .132 2.741 .90 .138 5.5 6.2 Nemeha Uplift (J) 7.953 2.665 .856 .175 2.854 .90 .179 5.6 6.2 Ouachita - 31 ~.108 4.412 1.16 .594 3.189 .90 .388 6.0 6.2 Wichita Mtn. (K)

Background

1.000 2.291 1.16 .0045 1.258 .90 .0046 5.3 5.4 Recurrence Model; Log No/yr = a-b mb R1 = best fit, least-squares model; R2 = best fit with (b) assumed equal to .90 UM1 = max historical event +0.5 mb; UM3 = Nuttli and IIerrnann (1981)

EARTHQUAKE RECURRENCE MODELS SOURCE MODEL 2 2 Area (km ) R1 R2 UM1 UM2 Zone x104 a b No/yr 4.0mb a b No/yr 4.0mb Upper Magnitude Truncation New Madrid 2.125 3.411 .866 .886 3.573 .9 .940 7.3 7.3 St. Francois-9.130 4.198 1.064 .873 3.418 .9 .658 6.3 6.8 Wabash Valley Regions Anna, Ohio Region 1.059 2.115 .757 .122 2.721 .9 .132 6.3 6.8 Central Province 32/.39 4.512 1.040

1 Background

1.0 1.996 1.040 .007 1.437 .9 .007 5.3 5.8 Recurrenc'e Model; Log No/yr = a-b mb R1 = best fit, least-squares model; R2 = best fit with (b) assuued equal to .9 UM1 = max. historical event +0.5 md; UM2 =.001/yr event from R1 per 100,000 km2 for sources larger than 100,000 km2 8

EARTilQUAKE RECURRENCE MODELS SOURCE MODEL 3 2 Area (km ) R1 R2 UM1 UM2 Zone x104 a b No/yr 4.0mb a b No/yr 4.0mb tipper Magnitude Truncation New Madrid 2.12 5 3.411 .866 .886 3.573 .9 .940 7.3 7.3 St. Francois-9.130 4.198 1.064 .873 3.418 .9 .658 6.3 6.8 tJabash Valley Regions Central Province 328.35 4.569 1.047

===. Background=== 1.0 2.053 1.047 .007 1.466 .9 .007 5.8 5. Recurrence Model; Log No/yr = a-b mb R1 = best fit, least-squares model; R2 = best fit with (b) assumed equal to .9 UM1 = max. historical event +0.5 mb; UM2 =.001/yr event from R1 per 100,000 km for sources larger than 100,000 kh2 2

EARTHQUAKE RECURRENCE MODELS SOURCE MODEL 4 Arca(km ) R1 R2 UM1 UM2 ~~ 2 Zone x104 a b No/yr 4.0mb a b No/yr 4.Omb Upper Magnitude Truncation New Madrid 2.125 3.411 .866 .886 '3.573 .9 .940 7.3-7.3 St. Francois-9.130 4.199 1.064 .873 3.418 .9 .658 6.3 6.8 Wabash Valley Regions Cincinnati Arch 24.196 3.232 .943 .289 3.051 .9 .282 5.8 6.6 i Michigan Basin 21.239 2.440 1.000 .028 2.060 .9 .029 5.2 5.3 Central Province 282.95 4.411 1.020 l

Background

1.0 1.959 1.020 .008 1.478 .9 .008 5.3 5.8 i Recurrence Model; Log No/yr = a-b mb 4 R1 = best fit, least-squares model; R2 = best fit with (b) assumed equal to .9 i UM1 = max. historical event +0.5 mb; UM2 =.001/yr event from R1 per 100,000 km2 for sources larger than 100,000 km2 - - - - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ - - - - - - - - - = - - - - - -

i Z0ilE A i0 12 1 i i i {- -g- _g h l \\ O I 10 1 = l2 }- 8 I t-I a e l -I e* IO

.'l l2 fi

~ eu c_ ci = l [;' [] ~ 1 y w t-8 2 ? \\ f). 10 \\ 21 I_ aa _t l- \\ r b, l 0 o \\ l \\ j ~ \\n io na\\ l l' l- -4 i i 10 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 s NAGN1TUDE ANJT. REG

l ZONE B l0 j i j-r ~ W l 10 0\\ -r b e I I ~ Ig. .I g g w 10 i_ g:_ \\ r e L.3 L \\ L. \\ 9 = l-- L\\ 1 \\ m> 2 10 j_ \\ '.3 i:- \\ -= \\ ~_ 0E l-o \\ y l y E \\ -3 a .R2 10 l_. R1 \\ map em l_ M l. -A l0 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 t1AGil l TUD E nwor ecc, 4

i ZONE C to 12 i 1 e _. i 2l t_ j_ s_ I_ 9 O IO g; ic N l-n.\\ ~ sh e- \\', E 6 te \\ -1 -l w 3 2 10 s t:v cc u: a-g_ r3 o l l \\ ~ w r \\. -2 i \\ l= rg 4 8o = y _- s..; _,.j j_ \\ 3 o 3- \\ \\_ \\ i Ri -3 1 \\ 10 L R2 \\ 11

s g_

(_ j._ l -4 30 1 l i 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 M AGill T UDE CNJT.EE6 . ~,..

d l Z0!!E D 10 v; i 1 i z i 0 10 4\\ \\ c: e \\ _, L te 1 10 s = I: c a \\ u f o j z g 1 l -2 CJ in rj a 3 go o \\ j \\ i l ~ \\ -3 i0 gz\\ gi 1 4._ i -4 l 10 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 t1 AG N ) IUD E o u r. net. 7 -o-,,, w-y c--- +gy e 7-p -,m-p - ~--

I l I ZONE D - NORTH 10 _a i a i e i I _.a 0 10 em lM W I u

I w

s. 10 8 e + 1 \\ w \\ 9 1 J g -2 ~~ 10 1 sa C a r 3 o \\ \\ '3 Rf 10 j q i- -t 1 -4 i 10 l 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 MAGNITUDE CMuai. rig

ZONE D - SOUTil i 10 i f i i I e --l j;l 1g 0 10 E r \\ \\ c: E -t i.. \\ <e to cc t 2 ta a. o r( 2 m l i -2 i a-go - C3 a \\3 a 3 \\ g u \\ \\ -3 RI I 10 gg = l_. \\- l -4 s I i e s i l 3,) i 2 3 4 S. 6 7 8 0 MAGulTUDE csuar.uc.

4 4 t ZONE E 10 [2 r i i i i i j 1 i r _a 0 10 r\\- "I 2. e\\ j 1 1 "I 1 u: 10 L_

i. b f
~

o -1 c: 9 Ltj l~_ N c_ a a L = x m I -2 i 10 \\ r, \\ s; a o -3 L to l-- \\ RI 1 RZ 4 -4 1 i 10 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 MAGMITUDE (NUT. RC6 1 i y-q.r*-ye---p- -,w- ---m y 1-me---v- -,m-~.-e r---r-..- g - ey -- .+w-- r

v--,-

r e .-i--w m e,-

i ZONE F ' 10 i i i i }_ 1 1-j-L, 0 10 -y M Ml L i I_ c: _I w 10 m g e r_ .a L cm 8._ .i oz

a. -

g 1 -? 10 g ) D z __ z 3 v h -- \\ ~ -3 \\ NI 10 L \\ R2 r'. - ~- -l, r,- s ty-n l- -4 10 i I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 MAGNITUDE rewr.aEs b e .-r.,, , _ -. _... ~.

8 ZONE G 10 I I 0 a l l i M g l oe m i.- 0 i 10 i_ C r. s-- _~ I-y 3 l M l p e. t i

I g.'

3 g. i 10 c' g ^- e.1 a i.J k (-) O. f: _M m.= 2 I 10 ih E a -~ l E l. g U l i 3 i -3 i R f ' R2 10 ) _.- ~ m 4e H 1 -- E j i i 10 I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 t1AGM1TUDE co r.t:3 i.

i 10 ZONE H i i i i i i If _- i . =.. O to I-E I eq t\\ t; (N e< 3 w .I 10 L e uJ l _ n c. i-o = \\ u_ l -2 in i k \\ =. a3 l_- t 3 i o \\ \\ 1 -3 to 3 ) \\ R8 3: R2 \\ ?- t j i i -4 i i e i i to i i i 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 HAGN1TUDE twur.acc

I l 10 20!!E J Il i e i l i e 4 e t ~ _i ~ _j 0 10 ~_. ~ \\ t n\\ l a: 10 _a C n_ -I uJ L [1 c. ~ gj fl o a m-. t w -2 10 l a 3 .. _ ~ ~ 3 U \\ -3 \\ 'o L az\\ ' R i l ~ P a -4 a i e i t l0 t t 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 (1 AGtJ l TUDE JNUr.2EG

t ZONE K 10 1.. i .r I- -1 3-l- c e 10 \\c f,_ \\ 2; i _4 cc .I w 10 c a \\ r o .\\ 2 O w \\ \\ -2 i 10 \\ Jo ~<l

3. _

a _ 3, .-5 a o \\ i \\ i -3 10 Ri \\R2 F,- =; -4 t i 1 I i i i I go I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 MAGN!TUDE KNUT.fti6

I BACKGROUND SOURCE MODEL 1 10 L2 i i i e i i g k r1 n C l0 1 1. J.- Il e< \\ .I 10 l_. \\ w m ^ \\ Z w \\ c. \\ o g \\ ~ -2 Il s -- 10 n \\ r \\ a 1 g 5 2 I' r: u ~ \\ ~ -3 \\ R2 10 RI \\ I; 4._- I._ 3.. ? .i I l i i i i i i gg I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 MAGN!TUDE CACnN..tCO s

e i NEW MADRID 10 2 i i i i i i i Z 0 I 13 L:- c: I 1 w 1 0 i ~ t.\\

l c-c.

r; w \\ 5 = [- w g8 \\ C. .g 10 -c z '\\ _r, E - l u \\ E Z l .\\ -3 R2 'O _= Rt \\ =_ l- ~ 'I 10 i I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9. HAGrJ I TUDE +4n m.ncs

i ST. FRANCOIS/ WABASH VALLEY REGIONS to il i l' i 1 i i i 2 '~ [\\ 4 0 I 10 \\ ~ \\ L e 4 ro ~p _~ 4. -l w 10 ?: _~_ c: \\ w L (L f1 \\ O Z

4 Lu

~ l \\ -9 \\ ~ Q 10 h 5 ? E_i. r g s o \\ l \\ l \\ -3 10 Rt \\p? l~ ~ }_ ~ .,j 10 i I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 NAGH!TUDE WARS.RcG r v"

1 i i CIflCIfillATI ARCH IO 6-i i i i 4 z. 0 10 _1 l -1 g 10 c:: r. a O _~ o. o o .1 = Lu ~ ~ 2 + jo 2. a '\\ a r \\ 2 u \\ \\ -3 s R? 10 gi \\' 2 l h i, 4 ? t I I i t t t t gg i 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 MAGNITUDE Mcas.acc. e e ,,4.- u e

f i ANT 1A OHI0 REGI0i1 10 U i a a 4 e i e r g.- g_ i_ g i 0 10 r\\ ts 2 T3 .I w>- 10 l_ e I-- z. u c. o g 2 N g \\; -2 \\ 10 i I L-2 '\\ a r r '\\ 3 j g o l- \\ l \\ -3 \\ rn 10 l R2 . ~. ~ I 1 1 -4 l 10 e 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 MAGN 1TUDE AfvJ AS. ACG e

4 6 BACKGROUND SOURCE fl0 DEL 2 10 e i i i i r ~._- ~ y a 0 \\ r tx u g \\ m \\ .i w \\ 10 [1 i tr C \\ 2. w' 2 \\ oz m -2., c. 4 30 ti \\ d

o r

\\ x 2 o y \\ l I \\ l . -3 \\RZ 10 L RI \\ A ,.m 4-s e o r e e e gg 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 MAGNfTUDE s a sau.str, ~ *--

BACKGROUilD SOURCE MODEL 3 10 !.1 1 i I I i I i _ - ~ I N q \\ c-10 \\ = = i-r\\ l,._- n ,Z L \\ \\ c I El W t1 10 E \\ E ew g, c. 8 \\ E u. -2 r-) \\ 10 i n iT \\ 1 a f \\ E l O i o l \\ ~ t \\ -3 l RI \\R2 l 10 f 2. t j l I -4 i i 10 = l l f i 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 l MAGN 1TUDE cu s 1.Ric,

l BACKGROUND SOURCE i!ODEL 4 10 C 4 e i a i i i O.i L _l ft 0 10 f.\\ \\ ~ c \\ \\ -1 w 3 \\ io e t1 u _~ t1 \\ c. \\ ~_ o s z \\ m \\ -2 \\ ~ 10 J 1 o \\ ~_ s 2 o \\ \\ l \\ 1 l -3 10 l _. \\ gz pg \\ ( I -4 to I 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 MAGN!TUDE DLK54.3EG l

) 8 ) ) ) 7 ) 1 8 1 9 1 8 7 8 1 8 9 9 9 ( 9 1 1 1 1 ( ( ( e ( r n n n i n n n n u n a a a G a m m m c m r r r M r r r r r e e e e f I l I l ) I i i e I 0 0 R 8 8 9 9 i i i 1 i 1 l l l ( l ( t t t t t t t C t C u u u G u G N N N W N W 3 6 B 3 5 B 9 8 B 0 1 3 SL 0 A 4 E A DO A O 8 M N O I TA e U n N o 5 5 5 0 5 0 E R 1 1 1 1 2 1 TTA N O I T d 7 O 7 7 7 5 0 t M l S 1 e D d 2 N o M U m M O R d 1 4 5 6 1 7 n n V G 4 2 2 1 2 o a C 0 0 0 0 0 i d 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 t I n I M C a Md a S 0 u M e n m l I E e ru A S t os t f s r a a o 1 f n 3s 3 2 3 6 1 0 a gi s 3 8 0 8 7 7 8 i 0 e C d n u 1 1 e

o l

m 2i a Vt v a r , u 4 I n x C V e a t m + ,t 5 0 0 4 0 0 2 a n 2 1 2 0 2 3 1 r A o C n o 1 1 2 1 2 1 I ,n t l i 3 Ah m C c i ri l + oh f w b b m vo m 7 3 9 1 0 3 nt t 2 9 2 6 4 5 2 I B C C e B 1 1 8 1 0 2 c B + rn oa + g t C as A o ni A N id A ) ) ) l I 2 rrr

=

e l 2 I 2 M M ( ( (

e d

A A V V M M a vI d n" v o nnM t o" n M I I M SR I l

O O ,n i o g 111ff I t l 1 t11 ll t J i t ll11 f t I t t i j

E

/ / I ~ i q i ]; i / / / / / / p[ f. ?? j / / s ')E / .p / 3 / m 2.E / / / w O g[ s j-O ~= i / / g y o G" "y ~ 4 / / / / m sa / / / ~ c

R

/ / / ~ bh ~ / / ~ ?? l ~ / ~ CEE / / ~ / 3O. ', / / 8 a.aE a ~ R / ~ E"Ek 10 1 / Re sa / 9 J Y )w' -E L L S c giil g66 6 ii e i I"E b rjiit 6 4 i ai4 6 6 e o 46 i o o o r;; o O_

,n s )2CES/MC( NOITARELECCA 6,

~ Oo Z 'l I I I I I 2 5 g / - e / ~ / - G / / c 4 / j j m O O O- / y Z' 5z 0 / - w / / H f w a" 8+ / E I / -x k / = k +. / / l- $'e a* / M / ,.r a i ,o i y l l / I /I /l d {[' x x gE -x 2 x ~ YTISNETNI.M.M ,n; 2

CITMULATIVE SEISMIC HAZARD RESULTS (ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE FREQUENCY) Nuttli & Brill (Nureg/CR-1577) Source Model Nuttli & Hermann (1981) Peak Horizontal Acceleration OSIRIUM3.Al em/sec/sec Site Lat(N) Long(W) 10. 20. 40. 70. 100. 200. 400. 700. Clinton 40.1 88.9 9.57E-2 3.70E-2 1.24E-2 4.50E-3 2.20E-3 4.65E-4 7.54E-5 1.31E-5 N. Missouri 40.0 93.0 2.llE-2 6.69E-3 1.87E-3 5.91E-4 2.60E-4 4.06E-5 4.13E-6 4.38E-7 S. E. Illinois 38.5 88.0 2.36E-l 1.llE-1 4.58E-2 1.99E-2 1.09E-2 3.00E-3 6.64E-4 1.62E-4 S. W. Ohio 39.0 84.0 7.39E-2 3.24E-2 1.24E-2 5.09E-3 2.69E-3 6.65E-4 1.29E-4 2.69E-5 S. Illinois 38.0 89.0 3.10E-1

1. 2 3E -1 4.17E-2 1.56E-2 7.92E-3 1.81E-3 3.21E-4 6.30E-5 E. Wisconsin 43.0 88.0 2.17E-2 7.70E-3 2.25E-3 6.99E-4 3.00E-4 4.43E-5 4.30E-6 4.46E-7 N. E.

Iowa 42.5 92.0 1.41E-2 5.51E-3 1.74E-3 5.75E-4

2. 5 6E -4 4.05E-5 4.13E-6 4.38E-7

'* en

CUMULATIVE SEISMIC llAZARD RESULTS ( ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE FREQUENCY) Nattli and Brill (Nurog/CR-1577) Source Model Nuttli and florrmann (1978) Peak llorizontal Accoloration OSIRIUM3.A2 cm/sec/see Site La t(N) Long(W) 10. 20. 40. 70. 100. 200. 400. 700. Clinton 40.1 88.9 3.64E-1 1.33E-1

4. 3 3E-2 1.566-2 7.78E-3 1.65E-3 2.81E-4 5.72E-5 N. Missouri 40.0 93.0 2.24E-1 6.59E-2 1.64E-2 4.55E-3 1.84E-3 2.51E-4 2.48E-5 3.01E-6 I

S.E. Illinois 38.5 88.0 5.72E-1 2.51E-1 1.01E-1 4.4 5E-2 2.54E-2 7.5 7E-3 1.89E-3 5.35E-4 S.W. Ohio 39.0 84.0 2.82E-1 1.0 7E-l ' 3.65E-2 1.40E-2 7.21E-3 1.80E-3 3.88E-4 9.74E-5 S. Illinois 38.0 89.0 6.93E-1 2.95E-1

1. 0 6E-1 4.18E-2 2.23E-2 5.77E-3 1.20E-3 2.79E-4 E. Wisconsin 43.0 88.0 1.61E-1 4.91E-2 1.23E-2 3.39E-3 1.37E-3 1.95E-4 2.15E-5 2.84E-6 N.E.

Iowa 42.5 92.0 1.47E-1 4.22E-2 1.01E-2 2.73E-3 1.10E-3 1.60E-4 1.89E-5 2.63E-6 i

CUMULATIVE SEISMIC liAZARD RESULTS ( ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE FREQUENCY) Nuttli & Brill (Nureg/CR-1577) Source Model Nuttli & llermann (1981) MM Intensity OS1R10M3.MM1 Modified Mercalli Intensity Site Lat(N) Long(W) IV V VI VII VIII IX Clinton 40.1 88.9 1.74E-1 6.06E-2 1.78E-2 3.49E-3 3.31E-4 1.22E-5 N. Missouri 40.0 93.0 9.07E-2 2.46E-2 4.90E-3 5.83E-4 1.37E-5 1.77E-8 S. E. Illinois 38.5 88.0 3.13E-1 1.23E-1 4.23E-2 1.31E-2

3. 2 7E-3 5.02E-4 S. W. Ohio 39.0 84.0 1.41E-1 4.97E-2

1. 4 0E-2 2.82E-3 4.61E-4 4.89E-5 S. Illinois 38.0 89.0 3.64E-1 1.30E-1

4. 3 3E-2 1.30E-2 2.97E-3 4.15E-4 E. Wisconsin 43.0 88.0 6.56E-2 1.68E-2 2.70E-3 2.01E-4 4.45E-6 9.86E-9 N. E.

Iowa 42.5 92.0 5.65E-2 1.35E-2 1.96E-3 1.19E-4 1.92E-6 4.10E-9 I

CUMULATIVT SEISMIC HAZARD R'ESULTS ( ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE FREQUENCY) Nuttli and Brill (Narag/CR-1577) Source Model WOC (1980) MM Intensity OS1R1Ul!3.M:12 Modified Mercalli Intensity Site La t( N) Long(W) IV V VI VII VIII IX Clinton 40.1 88.9 2.06E-1 5.68E-2 1.20E-2 1.87E-3 2.07E-4 1.59E-5 N. Missouri 40.0 93.0 8.82E-2 1.72E-2 2.46E-3 2.53E-4 1.86E-5 9.19E-7 S.E. Illinois 38.5 88.0 3.82E-1 1.30E-1 3.53E-2 7.47E-3 1.17E-3 1.32E-4 S.W. Ohio 39.0 84.0 1.50E-1 4.'3 7E-2 1.03E-2 1.88E-3 2.56E-4 2.46E-5 S. Illinois 38.3 89.0 4.79E-1 1.55E-1 3.62E-2 6.37E-3 8.12E-4 6.90E-5 E. Wisconsin 43.0 88.0 5.69E-2 1.30E-2 2.19E-3 2.61E-4

2. 0 9E-5 1.03E-6 N.E.

Iowa 42.5 92.0 4.14E-2 8.84E-3 1.50E-3 1.88E-4 1.64E-5 8.83E-7 1 I i

1 CUMULATIVE SEISMIC HAZARD RESULTS ( ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE FREQUENCY) Nuttli and Brill (Nureg/CR-1577) Source Model Nuttli and Herrmann (1981) Peak Horizontal Acceleration OSIRIUMI.Al cm/sec/sec Site Lat(N) Long(W) 10. 20. 40. 70. 100. 200. 400. 700. Clinton 40.1 88.9 9.08E-2 3.46E-2 1.14E-2 4.20E-3 2.08E-3 4.51E-4 7.45E-5 1.30E-5 N. Missouri 40.0 93.0 1.85E-2 5.98E-3 1.73E-3 5.53E-4 2.42E-4

3. 6 8E -5 3.50E-6 3.45E-7 S.E.

Illinois 38.5 88.0 2.29E-1 1.08E-1 4.41E-2 1.88E-2 1.02E-2 2.55E-3 5.00E-4 1.05E-4 S.W. Ohio 39.0 84.0 7.03E-2

2. 9 7E -2 '

l.08E-2 4.18E-3 2.10E-3 4.46E-4 6.70E-5 1.04E-5 So Illinois 38.0 89.0 3.03E-1 1.18E-1

3. 8 7E-2 1.42E-2 7.07E-3 1.56E-3 2.65E-4 4.78E-5 E. Wisconsin 43.0 88.0 2.02E-2 7.02E-3 1.98E-3 6.04E-4 2.57E-4 3.76E-5 3.52E-6 3.45E-7 N.E.

Iowa 42.5 92.0

1. 3 7E-2 5.35E-3 1.68E-3 5.48E-4 2.41E-4 3.68E-5 3.50E-6 3.45E-7

CUMULATIVE SEISMIC llAZARD RESULTS ( ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE FREQUENCY) Nuttii and Brill (Nureg/CR-1577) Source Model Nottli and lierrmann (1981) Punk florizontal Accolcration OSIR2UM3.Al em/sec/sec Site Lat(N) Long(W) 10. 20. 40. 70. 100. 200. 400 700. Clinton 40.1 88.9 1.07E-1 4.02E-2 1.32E-2 4.77E-3 2.32E-3 4.80E-4 7.58E-5 l'. 2 8E-5 N. Missouri 40.0 .93.0 2.34E-2' 7.75E-3 2.27E-3 7.41E-4 3.35E-4 5.62E-5 6.15E-6 6.88E-7 S.E. Illinois 38.5 88.0 2.66E-1 1.23E-1 4.90E-2 2.04E-2 1.09E-2 2.76E-3 5.72E-4 1.33E-4 S.W. Ohio 39.0 84.0 7.34E-2 3.15E-2 1.18E-2 4.73E-3 2.46E-3 5.83E-4 1.08E-4 2.20E-5

s. Illinois 38.0 89.0 3.29E-1 1.31E-1 4.41E-2 1.63E-2 8.12E-3 1.77E-3 2.98E-4 5.57E-5 E. Wisconsin 43.0 88.0 2.24E-2 8.25E-3 2.52E-3 8.20E-4 3.65E-4 5.90E-5 6.29E-6 6.94E-7 N.E.

Iowa 42.5 92.0 1.53E-2 6.29E-3 2.09E-3 7.18E-4 3.30E-4 5.60E-5 6.15E-6

6. 8 8E-7 l

l l l

CUMULATIVE SEISMIC HAZARD RESULTS ( ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE FREQUENCY) Nuttli and Brill (Nureg/CR-1577) Source Model Zone D Split at 39*N; Nuttii and Herrmann (1981) Peak llorizontal Acceleration OSISRIUM3.Al cm/sec/sec Site Lat(N) Long(W) 10. 20. 40. 70. 100. 200. 400. 700. Clinton 40.1 88.9

7. 5 3E-2 2.48E-2 6.78E-3 2.04E-3 8.90E-4 1.56E-4 2.31E-5 3.99E-6

( 7.41E-2) (2.35E-2) (5.95E-3) (1.59E-3) (6.07E-4) (6.92E-5) (4.74E-6) (3.71E-7) N. Missouri 40.0 93.0 1.98E-2 6.44E-3 1.84E-3 5.88E-4 2.59E-4 4.06E-5 4.13E-6 4.36E-7 S.E. Illinois 38.5 88.0 2.47E-1 1.17E-1. 4.80E-2 2.07E-2 1.12E-2 3.05E-3 6.68E-4 1.62E-4 S.W. Ohio 39.0 84.0 7.39E-2 3.24E-2 1.24E-2 5.09E-3 2.69E-3

6. 6 5E-4 1.29E-4 2.69E-5 S. Illinois 38.0 89.0 3.28E-1

1. 3 5E -1 4.81E-2 1.87E-2 9.71E-3 2.31E-3 4.24E-4 8.42E-5 E. Wisconsin 43.0 88.0 2.12E-2 7.64E-3 2.25E-3 6.99E-4 3.00E-4 9.43E-5 4.30E-6 4.4 6E-7 N.E.

Iowa 42.5 92.0 1.33E-2

5. 3 9E-3 1.73E-3 5.74E-4 2.56E-4 4.05E-5 4.13E-6 4.38E-7 Values for sensitivity analysis OSISR1UMI. Al for the Clinton Site are given in parentheses.

J s

CUMULATIVE SEISMIC llAZARD RESULTS ( ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE FREQUENCY) SOURCE !!ODEL 2 Nott11 and lictrmann (1981) Peak llorizontal Acceleration OS2R10M2.Al cm/sec/sec Site Lat(N). Long(W) 10. _2 0. _ 40. 70. 100. 200. 400. 700. Clinton 40.1 88.9 6.13E-2 1.89E-2 5.11E-3' 1.58E-3 6.95E-4 1.15E-4 1.34E-5 1.71E-6 N. Missouri 40.0 93.0 2.58E-2 1.01E-2

3. 3 3E-3 1.17E-3 5.50E-4 1.01E-4 1.27E-5 1.66E-6 S.E. Illinois 38.5 88.0 2.41E-1 1.09E-1 4.17E-2 1.64E-2 8.36E-3 1.90E-3 3.42E-4 7.02E-5 S.W. Ohio 39.0 84.0 4.24E-2 1.65E-2' 5.27E-3 1.76E-3 7.91E-4 1.29E-4 1.45E-5 1.78E-6 S.

Illinois 38.0 89.0 3.91E-1

1. 6 5E-1 5.79E-2 2.17E-2 1.09E-2 2.37E-3 4.02E-4 7.70E-5 E. Wisconsin 43.0 88.0 2.12E-2 9.29E-3 3.23E-3 1.16E-3 5.47E-4 1.01E-4

1. 2 7E-5 1.66E-6 N.E.

Iowa 42.5 92.0 2.05E-2 9.16E-3 3.22E-3 1.16E-3 5.47E-4 1.01E-4

1. 2 7E-5 1.66E-6 I

CUMULATIVE SEISMIC HAZARD RESULTS ( ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE FREQUENCY) SOURCE MODEL 2 WGC (1980) !!M Inter.sity OS2RIUM2.MM2 Modified Mercalli Intensity Site Lat(N) Long(W) IV VI VII VIII IX Clinton 40.1 83.9 1.68E-1 3.87E-2 6.45E-3 7.70E-4 6.36E-5 3.50E-6 N. Missouri 40.0 93.0 7.87E-2 1.78E-2 3.23E-3 4.38E-4 4.24E-5 2.77E-6 S.E. Illinois 38.5 88.0 3.76E-1 1.26E-1 3.18E-2 5.88E-3 7.89E-4 7.66E-5 S.W. Ohio 39.0 84.0 8.74E-2 2.kOE-2

4. 9 8E-3 7.31E-4 6.96E-5 4.01E-6 S. Illinois 38.0 89.0 5.42E-1 1.88E-1 4.60E-2 8.19E-3

1. 0 6E-3 9.62E-5 E. Wisconsin 43.0 88.0 4.01E-2 1.14E-2 2.48E-3 3.83E-4 4.03E-5 2.73E-6 N.E.

Iowa 42.5 92.0 3.65E-2 1.05E-2 2.37E-3 3.75E-4 4.00E-5 2.73E-6

CUMULATIVE SEISMIC llAZARD RESULTS (ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE FREQUENCY) S0lIRCE MODEL 2 Nutcli and florrmann (1981) Peak Horizontal Acceleration OS2RIUMI.A cm/sec/sec Site Lat(N) Long(W) 10. 20. 40. 70. 100. 200. 400. 700. t clinton 40.1 88.9 5.85E-2 1.72E-2 4.24E-3 1.205-3 4.91E-4 6.85E-5 6.18E-6 5.82E-7 N. Missouri 40.0 93.0 2.445-2 9.08E-3 2.81E-3 9.23E-4 4.10E-4 6.34E-5 6.02E-6 5.76E-7 S.E. Illinois 38.5 88.0

2. 3 9E-1 1.08E-1 4.08E-2 1.58E-2

7. 8 7E-3

1. 6 7E-3 2.60E-4 4.38E-5 S.W. Ohio 39.0 84.0 3.81E-2 1.31E-2 3.56E-3 1.05E-3 4.43E-4 6.48E-5 6.05E-6 5.76E-7 S.

Illinois 38.0 89.0 3.90E-1 1.64E-1 5.66E-2 2.08E-2 1.02E-2

2. 0 7E-3 3.09E-4 4.99E-5 E. Wisconsin 43.0 88.0 1.97E-2 8.38E-3 2.75E-3 9.17E-4 4.09E-4 6.34E-5 6.02E-6 5.76E-7 N.E.

Iowa 42.5 92.0 1.96E-2 8.38E-3 2.75E-3 9.17E-4 4.09E-4 6.34E-5 6.02E-6 5.76E-7 1

CUMULATIVE SE!SMIC HAZARD RESULTS ( ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE FREQUENCY) SOURCE tt0 DEL 3 OS3RIUM2.Al em/sec/sec Site Lat(N) Long(W) 10, 20. 40. 70. 100. 200. 400. 700. Clinton 40.1 88.9 6.03E-2 1.87E-2 5.04E-3, 1.55E-3 6.77E-4 1.10E-4 1.2SE-5 1.53E-6 N. Missouri 40.0 93.0 2.57E-2 9.98E-3

3. 2 7E-3 1.14E-3 5.31E-4 9.57E-5 1.17E-5 1.49E-6 S.E. Illinois 38.5 88.0 2.40E-1 1.09E-1 4.16E-2 1.64E-2 8.36E-3 1.89E-3 3.42E-4 7.02E-5' S.W. Ohio 39.0 84.0 2.19E-2 9.29E-3 3.18E-3 1.13E-3 5.29E-4 9.56E-5 1.17E-5 1.49E-6 i

S. Illinois 38.0 89.0 3.91E-1 1.65E-1 5.79E-2 2.18E-2 1.09E-2 2.36E-3 4.02E-4 7.71E-5 E. Wisconsin 43.0 88.0 2.03E-2 9.05E-3 3.16E-3 1.12E-3 5.28E-4 9.55E-5 1.17E-5 1.49E-6 N.E. Iowa 42.5 92.0 2.03E-2 9.06E-2 3.16E-3 1.12E-3 5.28E-4 9.55E-5 1.17E-5 1.49E-6 Y

CUMULATIVE SEISMIC !!AZARD RESULTS ( ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE FREQUENCY) SOURCE MODEL 3 OS3RIUM2.MM2 ffodified Mercalli Intensity Site Lat(N) long(W) IV V VI VII VIII IX clinton 40.1 88.9 1.61E-1 3.73E-2 6.24E-3 7.47E-4 6.12E-5 3.30E-6 N. Missouri 40.0 93.0 7.80E-2 1.76E-2 3.18E-3 4.26E-4 4.04E-5 2.57E-6 S.E. Illinois 38.5 88.0 3.69E-1 1.25E-1 3.16E-2 5.87E-3 7.89E-4 7.66E-5 S.W. Ohio 39.0 84.0 5.27E-2 1.11E-2 2.62E-3 3.83E-4 3.87E-5 2.53E-6 S. Illinois 38.0 89.0 5.39E-1 1.87E-1 4.59E-2 8.19E-3 1.06E-3 9.62E-5 E. Wisconsin 43.0 88.0 3.32E-2 1.00E-2 2.29E-3 3.62E-4 3.80E-5 2.52E-6 N.E. Iowa 42.5 92.0 3.54E-2 1.03E-2 2.32E-3 3.63E-4 3.80E-5 2.52E-6 l

CUMULATIVE SEISMIC HAZARD RESULTS ( ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE FREQUENCY) SOURCE MODEL 3 OS3RIUMI.MM2 Modified Mercalli Intensity Site Lat(N) Long(W) IV V VI VII VIII IX Clinton 40.1 88.9 1.59E-1 3.63E-2 5.86E-3 6.68E-4 5.35E-5 3.01E-6 N. Missouri 40.0 93.0 7.69E-2 1.71E-2 3.07E-3 4.18E-4 4.10E-5 2.70E-6 S.E. Illinois 38.5 88.0 3.68E-1 1.23E-1 3.08E-2 5.50E-3 6.84E-4 5.73E-5 S.W. Ohio 39.0 84.0 5.18E-2 1 23E-2 2.58E-3 3.84E-4 3.99E-5 2.69E-6 S. Illinois 38.0 89.0 5.37E-1 1.86E-1 4.48E-2 7.69E-3 9.26E-4 7.41E-5 E. Wisconsin 43.0 88.0 3.26E-2 9.90E-3 2.29E-3 3.69E-4 3.94E-5 2.68E-6 N.E. Iowa 42.5 92.0 3.4 7E-2 1.02E-2 2.32E-3 3.70E-4 3.95E-5 2.68E-6

CUMULATIVE SEISMIC llAZARD RESULTS ( ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE FREQUENCY) SOURCE MODEL 4 OS4RIUM2.Al em/ soc /sec Site Lat(N) Long(W) 10. 20. 40. 70. _100. 200. 400.

700, clinton 40.1 88.9 6.80E-2 2.12E-2 5.80E-3, 1.81E-3 8.02E-4 1.37E-4 1.73E-5 2.44E-6 N. Missouri 40.0 93.0 2.90E-2 1.16E-2 3.87E-3 1.37E-3 6.48E-4 1.22E-4 1.65E-5 2.40E-6 S.E. Illinois 38.5 88.0 2.43E-1 1.09E-1 4.20E-2 1.66E-2 8.45E-3 1.96E-3 3.75E-4 8.4 6E-5 S.W. Ohio 39.0 84.0 4.50E-2 1.90E-2, 6.75E-3 2.57E-3 1.29E-3 2.79E-4 4.70E-5 8.80E-6 S.

Illinois 38.0 89.0 3.92E-1 1.65E-1 5.82E-2 2.20E-2 1.10E-2 2.43E-3 4.38E-4 9.31E-5 E. Wisconsin 43.0 88.0

2. 0 6E-2 9.50E-3

3. 6 8E-3 1.48E-3 7.55E-4 1.72E-4 3.00E-5 5.74E-6 M.E.

Iowa 42.5 92.0 2.45E-2 1.08E-2 3.78E-3 1.36E-3 6.46E-4 1.22E-4 1.65E-5 2.40E-6

CUMULATIVE SEISMIC HAZARD RESULTS ( ANNUAL EXCEEDANCE FREQUENCY) OS4RIUM1.MM2 Modified Mercalli Intensity Site Lat(N) Long(W) IV V VI VII VIII IX Clinton 40.I 88.9 1.77E-1 3.96E-2 6.11E-3 6.42E-4 4.44E-5 1.94E-6 N. Missouri 40.0 93.0

8. 0 7E-2

1. 7 8E-2 3.06E-3 3.76E-4 3.15E-5 1.63E-6 S.E.

Illinois 38.5 88.0 3.81E-1 1.25E-1 3.09E-2 5.51E-3 6.84E-4 5.73E-5 S.W. Ohio 39.0 84.0 8.94E-2 2.38E-2 4.94E-3 7.55E-4 8.01E-5 5.62E-6 S. Illinois 38.0 89.0 5.43E-4 1.86E-1 4.48E-2 7.70E-3 9.65E-4 7.41E-5 E. Wimconsin 43.0 88.0 3.88E-2 1.06E-2 2.47E-3 4.30E-4 5.15E-5 3.94E-6 N.E. Iowa 42.5 92.0 4.19E-2 1.15E-2 2.36E-3 3.31E-4 3.00E-5 1.61E-6

OSlRlUM3.Al i l sI t sci._'x i < l 10 C 0 x,; xs m, xx w w w W L N D 1 s D 10 N s A.. N'l-2 x 'Q..,, ' 's'N i --- o 1 xx x sx xx Z %\\ N N \\\\ NN N'N 10 N \\\\ x u. l'DM 's N 's i s. y O N N A N N Al 2 -w xx \\s \\\\ \\K \\ \\ h 10~ s X 'x's td 'Qx \\s r As N N \\\\ \\ \\ 3 Ng ,x s 5 -5 K 10 \\ \\ \\ -6 \\ 10 \\ \\r l l -7 10 1 2 3 10 10 10 HORIZ0t1TAL ACCELERAT10tl (CM/SEC/SEC)

6 m ,e OS2RlUM2.Al n-SI CG NN 10 N EN w iw u - I_N N N\\ 7 y'x g s -2 iO x w O I -+N NN + Z ' %l N \\\\ x \\ Y D N 10' Dx k-w 'M l YNN ! xN = xw w %\\ 10 %x \\ -4 X U i o b. n t i -o, s 8 i \\ i\\ l a n n 5 -5 %{h 10 I I w I L \\\\ -6 T' 10 1 i 5 I i i -7 l 10 1 2 3 10 10 10 HORIZO!1TAL ACCELERAT10t1 (CM/SEC/SEC)

OS3RlUM2.Al E SI u i. Ex SEI'% N 10 N I c i\\ \\ \\ 3 ? \\ \\ x. I,W c k \\ O N'y s -2 iO 'cs s. o s x vs = w x xx 'A.\\ NN i % x o -3 w As cc 10 m Lt. w l i 's ' si ; o i NN xx n \\\\ \\\\ \\\\ '\\\\ l 10 x X W 4 s a i d 8 a N t 1 E -5 K ~ 10 2 r s i \\ \\ \\ -6 '4"' 10 ( I I I -7 t 10 1 2 3 to 10 10 HORIZ0tiTAL ACCELERATION (CM/SEC/SEC)

f-OS4RlUM2.Al SI x SEI xN 10 c-O x

s. s.

s s M xx. N x j bW N N ii g x 4 2 i x ~ o i x-i v i Z 7' g. N'_N N N l I MA's? s N s l l 3i %N 'N'N 3 l s u. g Dx i

t s

I z yy s o %A N N x a U h \\ jo s i o Xw a ss N x d i NN \\ 'N ( I NN \\ \\ i ~ l \\ \\ io .t j \\\\ N -6 10 1 l l -7 IO 1 2 3 10 10 10 HORIZOt1TAL ACCELERAT10t1 (CM/SEC/SEC)

SEhlSITiv lT Y A M A LY SE S SOURCE MODEL 1 v_ = - - = _ - _m J l i

sI~N 11

-1 j ll N s I 'm 10 n% f;rN_=L -} s aw s i; xN w s h ' A'% N i ? it 10 7-t x xx 1 x o. I. x x -w s x.. o Z l N NN W N e 1,, N 'JN h \\ \\ \\ 1 '\\ \\ 10 o s u. ,s x1 x +A 'u ,s g x x. +sx o 's N 'A s i z y i N 's \\ NN N 10 x o X x W N s s j _ \\ x x = T 'N N A -s a \\ \\ t 42 5 -5 1 \\ N i 10 1 \\\\ s A 'j -s Y i \\ s / Jl AlfdM t vs.u n3) I \\ t \\.i (gg,3, gg) -6 N' N'j '\\s ' ests,una 10 N w i i\\ g \\y. -7 v.615 0:11) 10 3 1 2 3 10 10 10 HORIZ0tlTAL ACCELERATIOff (CM/SEC/SEC)

'SE NSIT I V I T Y To source ZON ATION CLlMTON SIT E A Henucch o n - Al _..___.L__ i l 3 I a l 10 1 _ s_ ) S2x wx%\\ l g\\ j -2 10 _m A 1 I 'NN 'N U z w x y l \\ 4 10 x u. e '\\ ^ xx s = 8 NNN N t I \\\\\\ \\ tj h 10 h \\ y 'en x N'a 'a -l 1 m \\ t a 1 \\\\\\ \\ i 5 -5 NAN N i 10 A 3 \\ t l \\ Ii m s\\ si ' N\\ .x .x J \\ \\\\ \\ \\\\ -G N N 3515 to \\'\\l5V ) j'62,53 i 5 l 1 -7 l 10 4 1 2 3 10 10 10 HORIZ0!!TAL ACCELERATIOil (CM/SEC/SEC) .s e e w w - ,e.

L i l 1 ANNUAL EXCEEDENCE PROBABILITIES OF MODIFIED MERCALLI INTENSITY AT '43.0*N 88.0*W l MODEL III IV V VI VII VIII IX X 1 1.26E-1 4.46E-2 .;1.3 5E-2 3.12E-3 5.21E 6.06E-5 4.67E-6 2.70E-7 2 1.12E-1 3.29E-2 7.37E-2 -1.20E-3 1.37E-4 1.04E-5 4.94E-7' l.3Gd-8 3 1.04E-1 3.79E-2 1.0 6E-2 -2.16E-3 3.15E-4 3.25E-5 2.29E-6 ' 1.02E-7. 1S 1.12E-1 3.82E-2 l'.15 E-2 2.73E-3' 4.83E-4 6.09E-5 5.23E-6 2.82E-7 i '8 5 2E-2 2.34E-2 5.29E-3 9.17E-3 1.16E-4 1.01E-5 5.53E-7 1.' 6 9 E - 8 ' 2S 3S - 7.04E 2.27E-2

6. 01E-3 1.17E-3 1.61E-4 1.49E-5

~8.67E-7 2.86E-8 j k- ^ \\ s )/ i T I ,f e N t

) -g a

t ,s j v s + / .h l f'

f Y

f s -' _ a._[, '( 'A

_.7-----.---- .+ -..*4-/. . 4, ,.p ') " ! 1_ . ~.. .y-7. :, h 3 ..'.f. q 1 w ). j = 4.

r, q

%.{tQ /, {. , /1 J ( ,~ ') ~,r. ) ,4 )

)

D i s k. S h e l) k ; b 9 m c 5,4 f e,t ~ / 3 -4 f,. ,I, r. k ~,' / , i ~%) \\ / A = ,>f, j s ' i -*\\ s TABi,E -Page 1 of 4 ACCELEROGRAMS SELECTED TOR CLINTON SITE JPECIFIC SPEC 7% } .,1 , Peak Other Epic Hypo. De pth Ref. Dist. Dist. Acc. Distance

t Code +

Date Time (UT) mb ML -(km) Io Location No. (km) (km) (gals) Comp. Station (km) A.B.E MAR 23195719:44:21 5.1 5.3 11.0 VII San Francisco, CA A015 11.8 16.1 81.8 N10*E Colden Cate Park 8.0 D 102.8 S80*E A,B.C JUN 28 1966 04:26:14 5.8 5.6 possible VII Parkfield, CA B034 9.3* 9.3* 347.8 N05'W Cholame #5 9.3 D.E F. surface 425.7 N85'E 4 C,I rupture A, r., C SEP 12 197014:30:52 5.2 5.4 9.0 VII Lytte Creek W334 13.4 16.1 139.0 S25'W Wrightwood 15.0 D, E.

194.0 G, 1 A B.C SEP 12 1970 14:30:52 5.2 5.4 9.0 VII Lytte Creek W336 23.8 25.4 55.9 S36*W cedar Springs 18.0 D.

,F, 69.4 Pump House G.I j A,B,C SEP 12 197014:30:52 5.2 5.4 9.0 VII Lytte Creek W338 22.9 24.6 113.0 NS San Bernardino 28.0 D.E.F. 57.5 EW Hall of Records C.I D.E.F SEP 12 1970 14:30:52 5.2 5.4 9.0 VII Lytte Creek W339 31.5 32.8 40.2 NS SCEC 29.0 + 35.3 EW Colton F.C.H. FEB 09 1971 14:00:42 6.2 6.4 13.0 XI . San Fernando L166 30.8 33.4 164.2 N00*E 3838 Lankershim 16.5 I 147.6 $90*W Blvd. (LA) F FEB 09 1971 14:00:42 6.2 6.4 13.0 XI San Fernando E081 32.9 35.4 213.0 S08'E Santa Felicia Dam 29.0 198.3 S82*W F.C.H. FEB 09 1971 14:00:42 6.2 6.4 13.0 XI San Fernando P214 36.2 38.5 ,154.0 S89*W 4867 Sunset 22.5 I 156.0 Sol'E Blvd. (LA) 4 ,4 F.C.H. FEB 09 1971 14:00:42 6.2 6.4 13.0 XI San Fernando R246 35.7 38,0 115.0 NS 6464 Sunset 22.5 I 106.0 EW Blvd. (LA) F,G,H. FEB 09 1971 14:00:42 6.2 6.4 13.0 XI San Fernando R248 35.7 38.0 184.0 N, 6430 Sunset 22.5 I 174.0 EW Blvd. (LA) Rev.-1-11-82

TABLE A Page 2 of 4 ADDITIONAL ACCELEROCRAMS SELECTED FOR CLINTON SITE SPECIFIC SPECTRA Epic.

Eypo. Peak Cther Depth Ref.

Dist. Dist. Acc. Distance

Code +

Date Time (UT)

b ML (km)

I Location No. (km) (km) (gals) Comp. Station (km) o H,I FE8 09 1971 14:00:42 6.2 6.4 13 XI San Fernando F088 34.1 36.5 265.7 S70*E 633 E. Broadway 18.0 209.0 S20*W Clendate H,I FEB 09 1971 14:00:42 '6.2 6.4 13 XI San Fernando C108 39.8 41.9 198.0 N00*E CIT 24.0 181.6 N90*E Millikan Lab H,1 FES 09 1971 14:00:42 6.2 6.4 13 XI San Fernando C110 31.5 34.1 207.8 S82*E Jet Prop. Lab 15.5 139.0 S08*W Pasadena H.I FEB 09 1971 14:00:42 6.2 6.4 13 XI San Fernando J144 23.3 26.7 346.2 N21*E Lake Hughs 21.0 277.9 N69*W Array 12 H,1 FE5 09 1971 14:00:42 6.2 6.4 13 XI San Fernando S255 38.9 41.0 123.0 N08'E 6200 Wilshire, LA 26.0 128.0 N82*W H.I FEB 09 1971 14:00:42 6.2 6.4 13 XI San Fernando S262 39.0 41.1 68.3 NS3*W 5900 Wilshire LA 26.0 93.6 N07*W -a... p,pg4 6'.h N'*

TA3LE _ (Continued) Pase 3 of 4 ACCELEROGRAMS SELECTED FOR CLINTON SITE

SPECIFIC SPECTM Epic. Hypo. Peak Other De p th Ref.

Dist. Dist. Acc. Distance

Code
Date Time (UT)
b ML (km)

I 1ocation No. (km) (k:n) (gals) Comp. Station (km) o A,5 NOV 28 19 74 2 3 :01:25 5.0 5.2 9.0 VI citroy, CA CN74 9.0 12.7 134.7 S67*W Cavilan College 10.8 D,E 94.1 S23*E A,5 C MAY 09 1976 00:53:45 5.0 5.5 1.0 IX Friuli, Italy 1051 25.2 25.2 38.6 NS Forgaria D.E.F. 35.6 EW l CI l A.B MAY 11 1976 22:44:00 4.9 5.3 19.0 VIII Friuli, Italy 1059 9.7 21.3 296.8 NS Forgaria D.E 178.7 EJ A,B MAY 11 1976 22:44:00 4.9 5.3 19.0 VIII Friuli. Italy 1061 11.7 22.3 31.0 NS Tarcento l DE 61.0 EJ A.B.C SEP 11 197616:31:12 5.0 5.5 9.0 VIII-Friuli, Italy 1131 15.8 18.2 93.0 NS Forgaria D,0,F, IX 102.3 EW C,1 A.B.C SEP 11 1976 16:31:00 5.0 5.5 9.0 VII-IX Friuli, Italy 1133 7.5 11.7 158.0 NS Tarcento D.E.F. 79.1 EJ C,1 A B.C SEP 11 1976 16:35:00 5.3 5.9 6.0 XI Friuli, Italy 1138 14.0 15.2 119.7 NS Forgaria D.E,F, 220.0 EW GI B,C SEP 15 1976 03:15:1< 5.7 6.1 9.0 VIII-Friuli, Italy Il52 9.0 12.8 254.3 NS Forgaria E.F.C.I IX 209.3 rJ AD SEP 15 1976 04:38:53 4.8 3.0 21.5 VII Friuli, Italy 1157 13.6 25.4 54.4 NS Forgaria 49.6 EW 1

t h TABLE _ (Continued) Page 4 of 4 ACCELEROGRAMS SELECTED FOR CLINTON SITE SPECIllC SPECTRA Epic. Hypo. Peak Other De p th Ref. Dist. Dist. Acc. Distance

Code
Date Time (UT)

"b ML (km) Io Location No. (km) (km) (gals) Comp. Station (km) B,C SEP 151976 09:21:18 5.4 6.0 !!.7 IX Friuli. Italy 1168 20.0 23.2 298.8 NS Forgaria E.F C,1 324.8 EW B,C SEP 15 1976 09:21:18 5.4 6.0 11.7 IX Friuli, Italy 1172 19.0 22.3 128.8 NS Tarcento E.F.C,1 103.7 EW 'Dataset Code is as follows: M =4.9 to 5.9, Distance restricted to 25 km and less. A-L 8-Mg=5.1 to 6.1, Distance restricted to 2 5 km and less. C-Mg=5.4 to 6.4. Distance restricted to 25 km and less. M *4.9 to 5.9, Maximus distance = 36.2 km. D-L E-M =5.1 to 6.1, Manimum distance = 36.2 km. L F-Mg=5.4 to 6.4, Maximum distance = 36.2 km. C-M =5.4 to 6.4, Maximum distance = 25 km when closest approach distances used for San Fernando Records. L M -6.4, all San FernanJo records (closest approach distance 125 km) H-L M =5.4 to 6.4 run "C" above plus 6 additional San Fernando records 1-L Other distances quoted are those computed by taking the closest approach of the station to the generative f ault or the closest approach o f the station to the surf ace projection of the generative f ault. Calculations are from various authors tabulated in the Lawrence Livermore Laboratory, September,1980, compilation of strong motion data (see references). ,%.e ---M*

t Page 1 of 2 o TA31.E PARAMETERS OF RESPONSE SPECTRA DATASETS FOR CLINTON Average Median

Mean*

Peak Acc.* Epic. Peak Peak 8Oh NL Average Distance Acc. Acc. Percentkle No. of N>a. of No. of Ron IJ Description of Ron Bange ML (Km) (cm/sec ) (cm/sec2) (cr.! sec2 ) Cav.panent s Stations Earthquakes 2 A Distance <~ 25 km 4.9-5.9 5.41 14.4 100.9 128.3 201.8 26 a 9 Parkfield included A' Distance i 25 km 4.9-5.9 5.39 14.9 90.2 107.6 163.4 24 7 8 Parkfield escluded B Distance e~ 2 5 km 5 1-6.1 5.56 14.8 121.2 154.6 243.5 30 8 to Parkfield included 8' Distance 125 km 5.1-6.1 5.56 15.2 111.6 137.4 212.7 28 7 9 i l Parkfield excluded C Distance 125 km 5.4-6.4 5.66 16.4 129.6 166.3 262.6 22 6 7 Parkfield included 142.9 221.0 20 5 6 i C' Distance 1 25 k:e 5.4-6.4 5.67 17.1 116.2 s Parkfield excluded I J D Distance 1' 36.2 km 4.9-5.9 5.41 15.7 94.0 121.5 192.3 28 9 9 Parkfield included I l D' Distancei 36.2 km 4.9-5.9 5.39 16.2 84.35 102.1 156.4 26 8 8 Parkfield excluded l E Distance i 36.2 km 5.1-6.1 5.55 15.9 112.7 147.5 234.6 32 9 10 Parkfield included E' Distance 1 36.2 km 5.1-6.1 5.55 16.3 103.8 130.9 205.1 30 8 9 Parkfield excludeJ -~

i Page 2 of 2 TABLE PARAMETERS OF RESPONSE SPECTRA DATASETS FOR CLINTON Average Median

Mean*

Peak Acc.* Epic. Peak teak 84th ML Average Distance Acc. Acc. Percentile No. of No. of No. o f 2 2 Run IJ Description of Ran Range ML (Km) (cm/sec2) (ca/sec ) (cm/sec ) Components Stations Earthquakes F Dis t ance 136.2 km 5.4-6.4 5.86 22.5 127.7 158.7 247.0 34 12 8 Park field included F' Distance 136.2 km 5.4-6.4 5.88 23.3 119.2 144.1 220.6 32 11 7 Parkfield excluded G Closest approach 5.4-6.4 5.86 17.6 134.2 161.8 247.4 30 10 8 Distance 125 km for San Fernando records, Parkfield included C' Closest approach 5.4-6.4 5.88 18.2 124.5 14 5.5 217.8 28 9 7 Distance 125 km for San Fernando records Parkfield excluded H Closest Approach 6.4 21.5 160.4 172.8 235.8 20 10 1 Distance Approx.< 25 km. Only San Fernando records Run "G" above plus 6 5. 4-6. t. 6.0 18.8 143.4 16v.7 256.1 42 15 8 AJJitional San Fernando records

Lognormal Distribution

e-e a ZO oa -w e >. a = 4 a bf Q I j

i,]

Ie e l 'i ). ! iN.,! ,.e.3 et t* e 3.J ,s W* .N i, s..

p..i.

.s.t e .eg s.. j .n, . 3..,.y :.: I;,,

1 !b

: 5hr, w;

4 4: - ~ e., i ,. : s' m. ! 3< a e?"ty;; u, e, 4 e ~ e.-

[ pd 'q O,

!.! ' l y; gg c. '1 e n. : W o, ... t 8 * * *; s. . h7,e.sq!its!! Q. *- Q g; ,....+..e. ,l.h. f 1 , i.e e g; 3,! o,. z. . wl W. m 1 - d y s :. g..,m.

r. ;,.vy9 e.

4

i. s; w

e

,g :3 3 i

...g ' n4..'.D. 6.' , a. i i. t b, e u e I. .v.e r /gep.: W {r. gi, s, o

yg n s j

.s ; g ,n j .U.D Q { D, p!!!!ini.0;fih I l h E x m t J ~- i t i =; ti E --(. g ' _t v. .g .t, ;. J. g r 7t. 7

-c..-.

p.y .u,..,: - 2..,8 y! s ...e,. . _ _. ;;..,...m~. ... s. y , c.

.~

$:;. }. 9.. i L

.P ' i**J ' i f J. 8 8 5 L.:+)~z. " '., ,,,j -. J sp. ;. ..p r' -n .!. : :4 T. ;< ' s

i..

4... ~. g,. h;..u. ;. ..; -,,, 's ; w: t.,, -f.l i: qj g e c

%:W..

g., t, z m iW.T. p, w.. yl w,,2 W:.. A.. vp 5; g ,;.s. t p 1, %.u.. ... ~.. g ,'*F. ,?, c l6 ga ,5st a_m )4.Si i,9...,- '.e, M,l' N,

: e

.s v v. v.. .wr [fb .jh, O r3. I h I. $ c.b..s. Ill k E si:: i e a e, .N9.%A.W, l.i-; v# l i 49 ...4 s.u,b s eu a h..., , t.. l s s e t ..-c

i.

pi, -v. - 1 sw6 5,.tt.% .in t t l g:.i _ s,, t.p: t.?y,

4. ;re.

wt 3 n

.. 4 9.

.,. s m m v. t:..z.. u; -:.y n. s s .-m :. '. .:.s 1,. n n -i . ;: 3 r. :...M @ u. :<.. .,a \\ r . ~ .p }

r;;; M

y..

/.',

2..19 A*

L Q ~ g g lgi : j p*. ~ 7, t 3 pm .r?,84 9 t

si n

.qa

r-i 3h*l,h, ' ' !

1,11 z m.i.)hA.f!. -[. } -!l ik! 1 >~ e 3::.s.. t c < y.. g. " . x, - .r.s e < ,t' i ..:[i 3:W\\ h,l n -s. m. i. .. e e. .e 4 .@s (. W. S ?..! $z,! 01' i i 'sI e

~

} I. Y. ):. '.t,Ib, A tti e lL i t t s u 4 en ts e ih1 t ? 6. .. ' k"I r..- [ '*, .f )1 s s. 2'.. ' ':9N J '/.l. *;. :.v <rp.h !j. j M] - g 1.- ?/.i aa T.. {f .$E ('for;$.] m* 1 '"', ' p[j. .. m m [,I (l IIId t l $ } I l {m ig 1.: , n. w c.s. y u t %= s Ist : j g.4.u. '*.j ; = i Sh "fl3l8 Ugl g 2 3*

l L.,' y -

.. n"* * ..S ., i.,. ...M ;/ - W i.6.

4..,

y ' '. *;..v. l.

Q

} - el ',- e d;-.~.*.; 1 4.. s . r' .m - q a l 't .l i3J t3 it!. l g l g ~,,' j l 't ; y t - f. / g c; 4 ~ q &: %c; [ J. 1s -.%.: M w.- \\~S d [-9 p.: s -te ?OF.d @g

...7.

,s l* b N :- t.8 F 8 / 88 < t .- M ?* y ,...... O q. - 't i .-1 r

7.,}

'. ? 's '.. ; j,. 3 . t g r. . y t 8 W 8 y n f ,'O.A

a. s

.e t

-i I1 8 o '

t , p== ...t.*e .s a

, s. ; ~...

-,r.. ,.. g t . o:..s m.. a ,g# 3 2.t,: r 4, . i. t u g.; ..,, :, r p.'.,. ' ". ' %m; g '..,; V "t 3 '_ J1 - .e gg,: su p. +,.L. : 0.1 .8 <t e -- o e ,. i .+

n.. : -.J.%.

3 s,. .e. "*. t 8 ..f. s ; 9,; i..,..c i a p

g.a..~

q

. >: ..~

t y i,,. -. .sm ~ .I a[ g d w l 8 ,1 l 1 ,.' ' W' vv : s

y g-2 i

3 5 r g .a ' r i ~ i i il a n...,,, m..,,, t S... 1

A t EST0's GEOPHYS! CAL'S STRC% POTION DATA BASE 34, ( BASEICNT At:D GROUND LEVEL RECOR05 ONLY) } JAPAt.CSE RECORDS t;0T IfCLUDEO 32-M: 4.9-6.3 L I 3g.. EPICENTrv*st DISTANCE: 0-40 KM i 28-- MDAVAH 26-MDADVD CVGLI 24 PC675 ~ I CYGL2 f22-PC675 C YGL3 h gg. V333 FC675 1064 6 CYGL4 u l W700 PC175 1063 U309 CYGL5 . 13-i h -I134 CYGL6 I g 0700 PG175 h E700 58GLFF SJN74 1060 @ CYSH j h J 700 SBNHC H47 4 1132 B037 MOEVAH 7700 SEmlW h A017 K335 @ 0036 itDEDVD !I77 6700 SBVHI 0059 A016 @ 1054 0035 1143 Q f, 5700 1159 SSC05 t059 h T292 1052 h3_4) 1142 1169 1156 [15 7 ) h 4700 50CH 1059 A014 V317 0033 1153 () 1153 t:4072 170 0 U307 0022 U313 A013 V316 A010 T287 h U295 1038 U310* 10 40 (297 1022 U301 U305 B323 T258 A018 05875 U312 tc99 f 150 1032 V315 lID25 i i i i 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 Mt Magnituda

6.4 MS Converted to 6.3 tit via tiuttli, 1979 l

Weston Geophysical's Strong Mo tion Da ta Base - 6.4 M L Epicentral Distance Less Than 40km Re f. ID Distance /Tyne Station U300 2 9.8 /EP Ferndale City Hall, Ferndale C041 3.2/CA Pacoima Dam, Pacoima C048 7.7/CA 8244 Orion 31vd., LA D056 26./CA Old Ridge Ro u te, CNR Si te, Castaic D057 2 3./CA Hollywood Storage Bldg., LA D058 23./CA Hollywood Storage Bldg. Pa r k ing Lo t, LA D059 23./CA 1901 Avenu e o f the Stars, LA D065 25./CA 3710 Wilshire, LA D068 2 2./CA 7080 Hollywood, LA E072 27.5/CA 4680 Wilshire, LA E075 2 5./CA 3470 Wilshire, LA E081 29./CA Ou tlet Works, Santa Felicia Dam E083 2 5./CA 3407 W 6th Street, LA F088 18./CA 633 E. Broadway, Glendale F095 2 2.5/CA 120 N. Robe r tso n, LA G106 19./CA CIT Seismo. La b. Pasadena G107 2 4./CA CIT Athenaeum, Pasadena G108 24./CA Millikan Library, CIT, Pasadena G110 15.5/CA J.P.L., Pasadena Gll4 28./CA Fire Station, Palmdale Hil5 13./CA 15250 Ventura, LA Il28 22.5/CA 435 N. Oakhurst, Beverly Hills Il31 2 2. 5/CA 450 N. Roxbu ry, Beverly Hills Il34 23./CA 1800 Century Park East, LA Il37 12./CA 15910 Ventura, LA J141 25./CA Lake Hughes Ar ray, Station 1 J142 24./CA Lak e Hughes Array, Station 4 J143 23./CA Lake Hughes Ar ray, Station 9 J144 21./CA Lak e Hughes Array, Station 12 J145 10.5/CA 15107 Van Owen, LA J148 25./CA 616 S. Normandie, LA Ll66 16.5/CA 3838 Lankershim, LA N188 3 8.9/EP 18 8 0 Cen tu ry Pa r k Eas t, LA N192 26./CA 2500 Wilshire, LA 0198 18./CA Griffith Park Observatory, LA O207 26./CA Fa irmont Reservoir, CA l P214 2 2. 5/CA 4867 Sunset, LA P217 2 5./CA 3345 Wilshire, LA 0233 13./CA 14724 Ventura, LA ~ 0236 22./CA 1760 N. Orchid, LA 0239 24./CA 910 0 Wilshire, Beverly Hills R246 2 2. 5 /CA 6464 Sunset, LA R248 2 2.5/CA 6430 Sunset, LA R249 23./CA 1900 Avenue of the Stars, LA S255 26./CA 6200 Wilshire, LA S261 24./CA 1177 Beverly Dr ive, LA S262 26./CA 5900 Wilshire, LA S265 25./CA 3411 Wilshire, LA S266 25./CA 3550 Wilshire, LA EP: Epicentral Distance. CA: Closes t approach.

M*cMDrypta"l37n t"*ParM%i?RMwSWMVx WM W"iM**WWMMW;} 90 - dj) c VELOCITY FT/SEC h5 500 000 1500 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Q l 1 i f I t I O 7 sAi / I / ./, 1 ,q

1 40-y

!'q} f n, r:: I,9, u 80-k $.n

.3 lhK i20-gj ij h

I'$l y p c w n W 160 - ] c, z G p ,4 c. wo 200 - 'd ?- t) - Ff El w ,i ,i-240- .i SHEAR WAVE VELOCITY COLUMN T for 'i y CLINTON SITE ib 280-j .i; 14 !i j 320 i 1 d. 0(, [e a 4

V E LOCl I Y FT/SEC 500 KD0 15,00 2000_ 3000 4000 50,00. 60,00 0: 7 li (CEDAR SPRINGS l 40- .I 80-120 - nww 10 0 - 1 E a 200 - COMPARISON OF 240-- SHEAR WAVE VELOCITY COLUMNS CEDAR SPRINGS DAM PUMP HOUSE-VS CLINTON SITE 280-320 am e

4 VE LOCITY FT/SEC 500 000 1500 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 t i f I f f I O-7 g / l /, s i s 1 'N I--- =y GOLDEN GATE PARK (B) s N 40-g l (SW - AA,1980) g l (SILVERSTEIN,1977)'\\ e GOLDEN GATE PARK (A) 1 i 80-120-r ww 16 0 - r 5 8 200-1 COMPARISON OF - 24 0-SHEAR WAVE VELOCITY COLUMNS GOLDEN GATE PARK VS CLINTON SITE 280-e 320 i Y' >-,-g w-r ---- g4 y .,ng

t .m VELOCIT Y - FT/ SEC ' 500 000 1500 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 0 s' - - - ~ ~ \\\\-TARCENTO ,/ \\ 40-80-120-t- W W 160-1 t-1 E 200-COMPARISON OF 240-SHEAR WAVE VELOCITY COLUMNS TAR CENTO s VS CLINTON SITE 280-n 320 i

vedOCITY' ~ ^ ~ ~ v-FT/S C ,500 CDO 15CO 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 i i i i i i 9 f ~ ~ -.- / /'s' - ~, 40- ~__~~~. I I I I INGAVILAN COLLEGE 80-t I' f 120-t.d 5 [ 16 0 - ~ xz t-c. o R 200-i L i .v COMPARISON OF 240-SHEAR WAVE VELOCITY COLUMNS ~ GAVILAN COLLEGE,GlLROY ~ VS CLINTON SITE 280-320 4,

4 h VELOCIT Y FT/SEC ~ - y COO 15,00 2000 y 4000 50,00 60,00 0-i i I i 1 I----- 40-WRIGHTWOOD 80-4 e 120-SIMID 4 td y 16 0 - u 200 - COMPARISON OF ~ 240-" SHEAR WAVE VELOCITY COLUMNS 6074 PARK DR. WRIGHTWOOD VS CLINTON SITE 280-320 1

VELOCITY FT/SEC 500 CCO 1500 2000 3000 4000 0000 6000-4 .O d [ t / i / l j-I" i ,n - - -- l 40-1 I 1 I l l I 80-1 CHOLAME SHANDON NO.5 ~~f77/f 7 ? i20-e sa y 160-ir 5 8 200-COMPARISON OF 24 O-SHEAR WAVE VELOCITY COLUMNS ~ CHOLAME SHANDON NO.5 VS CLINTON SITE 280-320

VELOCITY FT/SEC 500 -COO 1500 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 0 /d L l l 40-l 1 I I l 80-l I COLTON SCE/l l i20-l l l I rw I w 160-l l x E .I a I I 200 - COMPARISON OF 240-SHEAR WAVE VELOCITY COLUMNS ~~ COLTON SCE VS CLINTON SITE 280-l 320

VELOCITY. FT/ SEC 500 000 1500 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 0 l SAN BERNARDINO g HALL OF RECORDS g 40-1 I i l I l 80-I 4 I I l (, 4 i I 120-g ~ l l I t-i W I r w 160 - S I z E I g I I 200 - { HALL OF RECORDS SAN BERNARDINO i I 1 COMPARISON OF 24 0-SHEAR WAVE VELOCITY COLUMNS SAN BERNARDINO HALL OF RECORDS VS I CLINTON SITE - 280-I 320 i r i T-ys4 --m-.----g e.-my7 .y e. ,.w-- gp c- +--M-t e-- -*et-

VELOCITY FT/SEC 500 CDO 1500 2000 F)OO 4000 5000 6000 f I f f I f I O // i-- A ~. 8 , ) / 40-( ~~~, ~~, a 80-r,-. j-FORGARlA CORNINO C, - '~ 120-s s < _ " ~ = =. ~ " c-- w / w 160- _? '~~s 2 \\

a w

s,. O ,/ 200 - . ~ ~ ~ '~~.'~~~,. COMPARISON OF 240-SHEAR WAVE VELOCITY COL.UMNS ~ FORG ARIA-CORNINO VS CLINTON SITE 280-320 A +

e VELOCIT Y FT/SEC 500 000 1500.2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 l t t I f f I /----~~~(ZI._CLu4u- - SANTA FELICI A DAM f o ? 40-80-120-H LLl [ 16 0 - t-Q. O 200 - COMPARISON OF 240-SHEAR WAVE VELOCITY COLUMNS SANTA FELICIA DAM VS CLINTON SITE 280-320

VELOCIT Y FT/SEC ST 000 15,0 0 2000 3000 4000 50,00 60,00 /'N s\\ \\ ~40- \\ ~- \\.\\ \\ t I i BO-3838LANKERSHIM BLVD. 1 1 120-l i I p F / ww iso- ,f 1 a l E I\\ am-s N ./ COMPARISON OF 24 0-SHEAR WAVE VELOCITY COLUMNS 3838 LANKERSHIM BLVD. VS CLINTON SITE 280-320

VELOCITY FT/SEC 500 000 1500 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 t f f f f f f O 4/k N / I \\ 40-t 's / / I l 80-1 I l 1 I Is 120-N 4867 SUNSET BLVD. ) /\\ \\- / / w s W IGO-N N N Is Q. i 8 I I 200 - i 1 I I COMPARISON OF 24O-SHEAR WAVE VELOCITY COLUMNS 4867 SUNSET BLVD. VS CLINTON SITE 280- ~l. l l l l 320-M. m ,~r ~ r n., n-n ~yy_y~~ _-*~7_q_s y ~ n > ~~cs -~ ~ ? ~ *"*ns ~ W' *? ~ "W^~* ~""***~~ '

m ~- V ELOCIT Y FT/SEC 500 1000 1500 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 i i i i i I /4 l') I / 40- \\ ' sisL,'x ,V' sI 80-Kl \\ n-I ,/l N I ~ 12 0 - N jSUB SURFACE FAODEL4 DUKE et al 1971) 31 /l g g W \\ k l N 16 0 - g1 DOWN HOLE (SW-A A,1979 ) l / N r \\ a l o l L s 2CW i ,V !i M s ' I i COMPARISON OF 24 & J l 's SHEAR WAVE VELOCITY COLUMNS j l GLENDALE I I vS I I CLINTON SITE j'- 280 - il 11ll 11 II l 320

V ELOCIT Y FT/SEC 500 1000 1500 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 t 1 I I f f L_ 3 j_gSURFACE REFRACTlON (EGUCHI, et al. REPORTED BY SW-L A A, l980) 7 _._., 1 I I 40-1 I l l l 80-l 1 I l-I 120-l 1 I ? I w -DOWNHOLE ( SW - A A,1980 ) W I h 160-I I E I I I 200-I l l 1 1 I 240-i I t l l 1 l l COMPARISON OF 28 0 - I SHEAR WAVE VELOCITY COLUMNS I CIT MILIKAN LIBRARY, PASADEN A I VS i CLINTON SITE l l 320-- l I l I i l i i 1 I t i I f f f J

VELOCIT Y FT/SEC SCO 1000 1500 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 I I I i 1 i bd dd g Nl1 /,: ! f.- g __ l 4 O-I l l l t I 1 i I l I l l I 80-l I I i l 1 l L __ _, i i i I L--- i 12 0 -- l INDOWNHOLE (LEROY CRAINDALL 8 l g ASSOC REPORT ED BY l l [ l i SW-A A,19 80 ) w l-I h iso-l l I DOWNHOLE ~~ l [ ( SW -A A,19 80 ) l l l I l 20P j I I r-- 1 I I I COMPARISON CF l l SHEAR WAVE VELOC!i Y COLUMNS 24 6 1 l JET PROPULSION LAB-PASADENA I I VS l l-q CLINTON SITE l l 28 0 - 1 I I I I l I I I 320

_= _. _ - _--.- ~~ ~. A VELOCITY FT/SEC 500 000 1500 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 O iL.L-- i i* Il 'i 40- 'I------- -I 1 I SURFACE l REFRACTION l Vs (EGUCHI I EST.Vs ( DUKE ond LEEDS 1972) eI of,1976) 1 80-I ~ l i i l I I 120-1 l 1 i 1 I~ [ 16 0 - lAl I i 8 1 200-s COMPARISON OF 24 0-f SHEAR. WAVE VELOCITY COLUMNS 5900 a 6200 WILSHIRE BLVD. VS CLINTON SITE 280-l' 320 I O

s C hf p 9 Y O 4 b ..i.. 4 i.i. 2 .6 iii 10' _ N N WV \\ / ~ v 84 th PERCENTILE-g -MEDIAN i / 'N // !,E/ /' / 'N/ 'N MEAN s d / ' ^ 10-2 lo-i ioo o,i PERIOD (SEC) SITE SPECIFIC RESPONSE SPECTRA FOR CLINTON POWER PLANT MEDIAN, MEAN, AND 84TH PERCENTILE (7% DAMPING) (H - ML = 6.4, All San Fernando Records', Closest Approach Distance < 25 km)

M

A

.e %, / 'i A 4n\\ ,,.v N/ /" \\4 N / 84 th PERCENTILE-G k -M E DI AN E / y\\ f/ /'x/ 'N/ 'N d MEANs '\\' \\, ' --q [. I so-. N / / i to-r io-i goo-ici PERIOD (SEC) / SITE SPECIFIC RESP 0ilSE SPECTRA FOR CLIllTON POWER PLANT iiEDIAil, MEAN, AilD 84TH PERCEi1 TILE (5% DAMPli:G) l (H - Mt = 6.4, All San Fernando Records, Closest Approach Distance < 25 km) l l l

~ 'U g** 'o +y o, q. ./, x. i.,... i. 6 4 i. p 84th PERCENTI E / iot i/ \\/ \\"3^" 'Ne ME DI AN /( ~ \\ G k 3 o f ~ 10~ ' - / \\/ \\ N! i

x

'N / i 10 r io.' 100 10' PERIOD (SEC) SITE SPECIFIC RESP 0ilSE SPECTRA FOR CLIrlT0!i POWER PLAtlT MEDIAil, HEAlt, Ai4D 84TH PERCEttTILE (5% DAMPIf1G) 11 - ML = 5.4 to 6.4, Run "G" Plus Six Additional San Fernando Records)

4 9 +x 64 0,4 )g. 4 99 - i, 4 6 i 1 6 i i.. i 4 \\ 84th PERCENTil f u f / f sg- ~

\\

/h N ME DI AN -M U ls w =,e h! \\/ s s l .x g-y k 4 l l / 10-2 l0-' ib !O' PERIOD (SEC) SITE SPECIFIC RESPONSE SPECTRA FOR CLINTON POWER PLANT HEDIAN, MEAN, AND 84TH PERCENTILE (7% DAMPING) (I - ML = 5.4 to 6.4, Run "G" Plus Six Additional San Fernando Records) l

'0 ./, 9*' +y 0, s. 9 .,e a a s s s. ..s / 10' / i4i in/sec - 9 + s. { f 4[ 08.14 cm/sec) rlO/e o\\o o* t i D o\\o s \\ %,**c N / g 3 / O10 5 ~: / so-- ~ N 10 r io.' loo 10' FERIOD (SEC) SPECirtA FOR Ms = 3.5 EARTHQUAKE AT 200 XM AFTER flVTTLI (1981, Rolla Paper)

i 1 i i IOOC,3,,,i; ,,,,,g N'Ic' @o 's Ny 50 KM 7,, 100 KMY// 7 s j 'N '#^ N I $/ G 1007 'kg \\f 500 KM' / x sA N _-/177 km s y f/'// s N 200km '2 NN- \\ h/ y /[/ ' N x 6) rU 8 Q / R E S,P O N S,E\\S, PECTR A, - _. > io _ / s sss . //,. CENTRAL UNITED STATES. ,s [ y I 7/ O l s

- s e

,,'1 j i i,,1 ,,,,,,I l g I 10 O.1 PERIOD (SEC) l Fig. 6. tradamped Horizontal-Componeet Besperise Spectra for a Central United States Earthquake of ob = 7.2 at Various Epicentral 111 stances. l As the lone-perted end ot the spectrum is attemaated less than the ~ short-period end, strong low-f requency ground shaking can be expected y' at large epicentral distances. i f i '1 e 4

~ s, 9*' +p. $9 0, q s. 10' N/ 9 e ($,\\o ~_ g 0-N i ; / / [v / / 10*' A l s. N \\ ~ 8 10-3 l0-' loo 10 PERIOD (SEC) SPECTRA FOR mb = 7.2 at 177 km AFTER 110TTLI (1981, Knoxville Tenn-Carrected) mu 5

a 9* hg , /4 9 O 44 9 i ,i.,. i 2 ,..ii .,i 10' 'N / V N/ e ~ o\\o S le / I i V '4 'N/ 'N Y / 10-' [ - / N ? / 1 t /\\ l l 10-2 l0-' loo lo' PERIOD (SEC) SPECTRA FO.4 mb(Oct 1981 - ASCE ST. LOUIS) = 7.2 AT 177 km AFTER NUTTLI & I HERRMAN e e--r-r-, 1

6% ./, 9** y 9 0, q. i 6 i i. i.. 10' ~ /

7. 50 in/sec

\\ o\\o G 34

\\

f N 10 // N N/ N \\ v\\ /. / lo r s'0 - ' 10o 10' PERIOD ( SEC.) SPECTRA FOR mg = 7.2 AT ',77 KM AFTE2 GUPTA itVTTLI (1977) ADOPTED BY LLL/ TERA 1980 bi-

~ l. C -k f r ~ Q+> $b >~ s ~ lN /6^ / 's ^ I / ,/ I 'h / 'N /' /Y - [ 'k' 7.09 in/sec 0 o\\ q* 't /- f y^ y>p ^ A o\\o /[ 'x \\ 'h- ^x j ' ^ > ~ l m / c,. e y. / / 2 ~ N, ~'<9 ' \\ s w \\ \\ \\ V \\ \\ ,/ 'N s N \\ '\\ / \\ (('x \\. \\ / / N / \\ l'j/ N [( \\ \\ / ~ / [ '\\ ~ h ) \\ -~ ~ / 'x 7 ~ ,/N /'N / lb' 10-7 10 " .03 FERIOD ( CEC) M0dABALISTIC (1,000 YEAR) SPECTRA - PEAK HORIZONTAL COMPONENT AFTER i;UTTLI & HERRiWlU (1981, ASCE St. Louis)}}

ML20040C314

Contents

Text

Background

1 Background

Background

Navigation menu

ML20040C314

Text

Background

1 Background

Background

Navigation menu

Search