ML19330B698
| ML19330B698 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Wolf Creek  |
| Issue date: | 07/31/1980 |
| From: | Koester G KANSAS GAS & ELECTRIC CO. |
| To: | Eisenhut D Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation |
| References | |
| KMLNRC-16, NUDOCS 8008050393 | |
| Download: ML19330B698 (25) | |
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KANSAS GAS AND ELECTRIC COMPANY 06tNasL.aotstte vict sets.or=t XWXMXXX Nuclear July 31, 1980 Mr. Darrell G. Eisenhut, Director Division of Licensing Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D.C.
20555 KMLNRC-016 Re: STN 50-482 Subj: Request for Information Regarding Evacuation Times
Dear Mr. Eisenhut:
Attached is Kansas Gas and Electric Company's respc se to Brian Grimes letter of December 26, 1979 and your s bsequent letter dated July 2,1980 requesting information reg rrding evacuation times.
This evaluation applies to segments of the public in the environs of the Wolf Creek Generating Station now under con-struction. Letters of concurrence from the State Department of Emergency Preparedness and the Coffey County Commission are also enclosed. While our technical staff has performed these evaluations as accurately as possible, they in no way are intended to firmly commit Kansas Gas and Electric Company to a specific course of action and are offered for planning purposes only.
Please advise me if further information is required.
Yours very truly, Y
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THIS DOCUMENT CONTAINS g,c,g;ges f
P00R QUAUTY PAGES 8008050
- F 201 N. Market - Wochsta, Kansas - Mast Address. P.O. Box 208 i Wensta. Kansas 67201 - Telephone: Area Code (316) 261-6451
OATH OF AFFIRMATION STATE OF KANSAS
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) SS:
COUNTY OF SEDGWICK )
I, Glenn L. Koester, of lawful age, being duly sworn upon oath, do depose, state and affirm that I am Vice President - Nuclear of Kansas Gas and Electric Company, Wichita, Kansas, that I have signed the foregoing letter of transmittal, know the contents thereof, and that all statements contained therein are true.
KANSAS CAS AND ELECTRIC COMPANY ATI'EST:
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Glenn L.
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zb Vice President - Nuclear 7WxiitxxWAkk1utxxht$tRRkR30t Jack Skelton, Asst. Secretary STATE OF KANSAS
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COUNTY OF SEDGWICK )
BE IT REMEMBERED that on this 31st day of July, 1980
, before me, Evelyn L. Fry, a Notary, personally appeared Glenn L. Koester, Vice President - Nuclear of Kansas Gas and Electric Company, Wichita, Kansas, who is personally known to me and who executed the foregoing instrument, and he duly acknowledged the execution of the same for and on behalf of and as the act and deed of said corporation.
,,.. '(,,,,,,,,IN WITNESS WHEREOF, I have hereunto set my hand and affixed my seal the yg gdh.,and year above written.
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INTRODUCTIONS AND ASSUMPTIONS In response to letters from Brian K Grimes, Director, Emergency Prepared-ness Task Group, Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation, dated December 26,
-1979,*and Darrell G-Eisenhunt, Director, Division of Licensing, dated July 2, 1980, requesting "Information Regarding Evacuation Times", Kansas Gas and Electric Company submits the following information in support of the Wolf Creek Generating Station Project (WCGS).
An assessment of evacuation of the public around WCGS was provided to the NRC-in response to PSAR Question 420-lW.
As the current request is some-what different in-nature and depth than the PSAR Question, a new assessment was developed utilizing certain assumptions supported by current references.
However, the original data presented in the response to the PSAR Question serves as a starting point for this assessment.
Several assumptions are used in this assessment. These are documented below:
From EPA 520/6-74-002
' l) The average vehicular speed during evacuation is taken to be 35 mph (an inclement weather estimate of 20 mph is used and was not taken l
from the EPA reference),
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- 2) -The capacity of readways is assumed 1000 vehicles per lane per hour which is conservative when compared to this reference.
3). Average vehicle occupancy is no more than four persons.
From the WCGS Environmental Report (ER)
' l) Current (1980) resident population was used from Figure 2.1-10.
- 2) Public Facilities and Institutions cataloged were taken from Figure
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2.1-21.
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- 3) General demography from Section 2.
Four maps are provided to depict various supplemental information. These are:
1)-.Coffey County Major Road and Roadblock Map from the Coffey County Con-tingency ' Plan for WCGS. (8/79).
- 2) Coffey County Map (Figure 2.1) depicting the Exclusion Area, Low Pop-ulation Sone (LPZ), 5-mile radius and 10 mile radius.
- 3).. Figure 2.1-10 "1980 Resident Population ~0.to'10 miles" from the.WCGS
'ER.:
- 4) Figure 2.1-21 "Public Facilities and' Institutions within 5 miles of the Site" from the WCGS ER.
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Some exceptions to the requested format must be taken due to the estab-lished formulation of the Emergency Plan for WCGS.
- 1) The 2 mile radius corrasponds roughly to the 2.5 mile LP2.
Contingency Plans call for the total evacuation of this area, if circumstances war-rant, rather than selective evacuation of two 1800 sectors.
2)
For information, it should be noted that Contingency Plans call for evacuation of the appropriate downwind sectors of the 10 mile Emergency Planning Zone (EPZ), if circumstances warrant, rather than selective evacuation out to 5 miles. However, the requested 5 mile information is provided in this assessment.
The four 900 sectors chosen for this assessment are depicted in Figure 2.1 (attached). The 22 sectors A, B, C & D make up the first 900 sector (NE),
E, F, G & H the second (SE), J, K, L & M the third (SW) and N, P, Q & R the fourth (t!W).
Population is slightly over estimated in this assessment, but this inaccuracy is not considered significant and it is conservative.
It is noted that estimates of the best evacuation times and adverse weather evacuation times are provided. Adverse weather estimates do not necessarily represent the absolute worst case imaginable, but rather weather conditions that would seriously impede mobility.
I.
Answer to Question It o A population estimate of 130 has been made for individuals within the 2.5 mile radial acne.
There are about 26 homes in this area and no home is located more than-two road miles free its edge.
(Most of the homes are 1ccated within one mile of this boundary; 17 - 26.)
Contingency Plans call for the evccuation and housing of these residents in Burlington and should subsequent' evacuation of the tewn be required, the 2.5 mile residents would be moved along with this group.
Although many of the reads are two lane, most are gravel, so all roads in the 2.5 mile zone are treated as ene lane. Capacity fac-tors are not important here, however, because of the multitude of roads and relatively few people.
Based en the above, a best case evacuation time of 15 minutes is estimated. An adverse weather case time of 30 minutes is estimated.
o For the NE 900 Sector, the population out to 5 miles is about 130, divided into 22 hemes. Road capacity factors are not considered because many roads are available and few people are present. The main roads available are FAS 149, FAS 1935, FAS 153 and FAP 75, but several gravel reads are also available. Calculations show that a distance of 5 miles (further than any household would travel) may be traversed in 8.6 minutes at 35 mph and in 15 minutes at 20 mph.
However, it is estimated that the best case time is 30 minutes and the adverse weather case is 60 minutes.
For the t:E 900. Sector out to 10 miles, the total population is 'about 500
-(including residents within the 5 mile sene). Road capacity factors are not considered critical for the above stated reasons. The main roads available are FAS-1935, FAS 2066, FAS 1133, FAS 149, FAS 153, FAS 1134, FAS 31 and FAP 75, but several gravel roads are also avail-able. Calculations show that 10 miles (further than any household would travel) could be traversed in 17.1 minutes at 35 mph and 30 minutes at 20 mph. However, it is estimated that the best case time is 30 minutes and the adverse weather case is 90 minutes.
o For the SE 900 -Sector, the population out to 5 miles is about 120.
There are about 22 homes. Road capacity factors are not considered 1
critical for reasons noted earlier. The main roads available are FAS 1935, FAS 149, FAS 135 and FAS 10, but several gravel roads are also available. Calculations show that 5 miles (further than any household would travel) may be traversed in 8.6 minutes at 35 mph and 15 minutes at 20 mph.
However,.it is estimated that the best case time is 30 minutes and the adverse weather case -is 60 minutes.
For the SE 900 Sector out to 10 miles, the total population is about 600.. Road. capacity factors are not considered critical for the above stated reasons.
The' main roads available are FAS 1935, FAS 10, FAS 149,. FAS 153, FAS.113 5, FAS 1472 and FAP 57, out several gravel roads are also available.
a Calculations show that 10 miles (further than any household would travel) may be. transited in 17.1 minutes at 35 mph and 30 minutes at 20 mph. However, it is estimated that the best case time is 30 minutes and the adverse weather case is 90 minutes.
o For the SW-900 Sector, the population out to 5 miles is about 2490 which includes the town of Burlington and the evacuated 2.5 mile zone residents. The available roads are: FAS 10, FAS 1472, FAS 1844 and FAP 75, as well as several gravel roads. FAP 75, FAS 10 and FAS 1844 provide six lanes of road for the evacuation of Burlington. That allows, at least, 3000 cars per one-half hour. Assuming four people
- per car, it can be seen that road capacity is adequate for the evac-uation of Burlington in a timely fashion.
Burlington represents the greatest permanent population in the WCGS environs for which evacuation must be considered. The majority of people in this sector (Burlington) are located within 1 mile of the edge of the 5 mile radius. Calculations show that even if 5 miles were the distance traveled, it could be transited in 8.6 minutes at 35 mph and 15 minutes at 20 mph.
It is felt that 35 mph should not be used because of in-town traffic and potential traffic jams.
Additionally, because of the excellent condition and maintenance of FAS 75 and FAS 10, adverse weather will not alter evacuation time estimates to the same degree as in other sectors.
It is estimated that the best case time is 60 minutes and the adverse weather case is 90 minutes.
For the SW 900 Sector out to 10 miles, the population is about 3000.
The available. roads are the same as noted above.
Road capacity is not a critical factor. Calculations show that 10 miles (further than any household would travel) may be transited in 17.1 minutes
'at 35 mph and 30 minutes at 20 mph.
However, it is estimated that the best case time is 75 minutes and the adverse weather case is 180 minutes.
o For the NW 900 Sector, the population out to 5 miles is about 970.
There are about 30 homes. The roads available include: FAS 1844, FAS 10, FAS 148, FAS 153, FAS 1133, FAS 152, FAS 793 and FAP 75, but several gravel roads are also available. Travel time calcu-lations presented above are similar for this sector which leads to an estimate of 30 minutes for best case and 60 minutes for adverse I
weather.
For the NW 90 Sector out to 10 miles, the population is about 1130 and the evacuation time estimates are 30 minutes for best case and 90 minutes for adverse weather.
.The results of the above assessments are tabulated below:
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Sector Best Case (Minutes)
Adverse Weather (Minutes) 2.5 mile radial zone 15 30 fiE to 5 miles 30 60
- E to 10 miles 30.
90 SE to 5 miles 30 60 SE to 10 miles 30 90 SW to 5 miles 60 90 SW to 10 miles 75 180
!T4 to 5 miles 30 60 274 to 10 miles 30 90 Answer to Question 2:
The special facilities germaine to this assessment are given in Figure 2.1-21 of the WCGS ER.
None of the facilities are located
.within 3 miles of the reactor. Several of these facilities are specifically treated in the Coffey County Emergency Plan. These include
.Coffey County Hospital (26 beds, staff of 80), Golden Age Lodge (115 beds, staff of 70),' Sunset Manor (not included in the ER Figure) and Public Schools in Waverly, LeRoy, Burlington, Gridley and Lebo. The most important of these facilities are the hospital and the schools, both of which are rather small. The schools, con-veniently, have their own buses and pre-planning will ensure that buses are also available to the hospital in a timely fashion. Although no calculational model for estimating evacuation times for special facilities can be presented. the times have been estimated based on the amount of pre-planning performed and resources available. State officials have informally concurred with these estimates.
The evacuation of schools will not be any longer than the evacuation times already presented (ie, the Burlington schools can be vacated within the times already estimated for evacuation of the SW 900 Sector.
The hospital is small, but is conservatively estimated to take four hours to evacuate. The nursing hcmes are also conservatively estimated to take four hours for evacuation. These estimates remain the same for adverse weather conditions.
State and county parks constitute a second category of special facility and may contain transient copulations which must be evacuated. The most significant park is J Redmond Reservoir, which had a peak population of 22,680 on July 2, 1972.
It should be noted that several (10-20%) of the county residents already treated in this assessment would be at this park if its occupancy approached the peak population. The roads leading from Redmond Reservoir include: FAS 153, FAS 793, FAS 1844, FAS 148, FAS 10 and FAP 75 and several gravel roads. FAP 75, FAS 153, FAS 793 and FAS 148 provide 8 lanes of road.
In this case, credit is taken for at least 4 gravel roads at i lane each. That gives 12 lanes of road.
It must be noted that a peak population would never occur during adverse weather so good road conditions can be assumed. There is capacity for 12,000 cars per hour. Since this is a transient population evacuation, only 2 people (rather.than 4) per car is assumed. The maximum distance traveled to the edge of the CPZ is taken as 10 miles.
Using these assumptions, the calculational model shows that the reservoir could be evacuated in.less than 1 hour1.157407e-5 days <br />2.777778e-4 hours <br />1.653439e-6 weeks <br />3.805e-7 months <br />. However, the time provided here is conservatively estimated to be 2 hours2.314815e-5 days <br />5.555556e-4 hours <br />3.306878e-6 weeks <br />7.61e-7 months <br />. The results of this assessment are presented below. The times presented are independent of other estimates and should be treated as the total time from notification to complete evacuation.
The last type of.special facility identified by this report is the Wolf Creek Cooling Lake. At the present, there are no plans for publim use of the lake and provisions related co-public notification and evacuation have consequently not been addressed. For purposes of this evaluation, a brief analysis of the lake area topography suggests that the area is amendable to siren or vehicle mediated. alerting mechanisms. The abundance of farm section roads,.-retained after. lake fill, is believed adequate to support a simultaneous and timely evacuation over multiple routes of egress. A more detailed analysis of notification and evacuation parameters will be performed should KG&E's present lake use policy change.
- 6
Sector
' Time (Minutes) 2.5 mile radial: zone -
. tk) special facilities NE to 5 miles No additional evacuation time NE tx) 10 miles-No addi.tional evacuation time 1SE to1 5 miles No additional evacuation time SE to 10 miles No additional evacuation time lSW to 5 miles.
240' minutes (hospital and nursing home)'
SW to 10 miles 250 minutes (hospital and nursing home) tai to 5' miles 120 minutes (reservoir)
NW to 10 miles ~
140 minutes (reservoir) i 4
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' Answer to Question 3:-
It is.now planned that the public in Coffey County'will receive written evacuation instructions. These instructions will include methods to facilitate confirmation of complete evacuation.
The time estimate for confirmation is effected by several parameters listed below o Size of-area evacuated, ie, 2.5' mile radial zone and 3 sectors (down wind and adjacent), 4 sectors.(as requested here) or 5 sectors (down wind and two adjacent).
of Manpower available which is dependent on how much time the State has had before evacuation was necessary and whether a second evacuation of additional sectors is occurring.
o Weather conditions o The sectors in question The apparent context for the present assessment is that 4 sectors be considered in excellent and adverse weather conditions. Under this context, the ::E, SE and NW Sectors differ significantly from the SW 900 Sector due to population and population density.
For an evacuation of the NE, SE or NW 900 Sectors, it is estimated that there is about 150 total miles of road and less than 100 homes.
'It is assumed that at least two vehicles would be available for con-firmation efforts. With the above parameters chosen, it is estimated
.that evacuation confirmation of any one of these 3 sectors could be accomplished within 4 hours4.62963e-5 days <br />0.00111 hours <br />6.613757e-6 weeks <br />1.522e-6 months <br /> during good weather and 7 hours8.101852e-5 days <br />0.00194 hours <br />1.157407e-5 weeks <br />2.6635e-6 months <br /> during
. adverse conditions.
For the SW 900 Sector (Burlington), there are significantly more residences, but they are much closer together. Adverse weather would not effect the. transit time in town as much as in more rural areas.
Also, more assistance might be available for confirmation duties.
I!cwever, the confirmation' time is conservatively estimated to be 6 hours6.944444e-5 days <br />0.00167 hours <br />9.920635e-6 weeks <br />2.283e-6 months <br /> during good weather and 8 hours9.259259e-5 days <br />0.00222 hours <br />1.322751e-5 weeks <br />3.044e-6 months <br /> during adverse weather.
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Answer to Question 4:
The regulatory guidance for early warning systems at nuclear stations is pre 7ently uncertain, however, indications are that an alerting mechanism of some form may be required.
If this is the case, it can be assumed that WCGS will employ an acceptable system and studies are presently planned to evaluate this area and select the best method of warning deployment. Implementation, however, will be based solely upon regulatory criteria and at this. time, no solid information exists to define system requirements, hence,'no early warning system has been installed.
The wording of Question 4 is not absolutely clear, but it is assumed that the information is requested as though a power plant is operating on site and no early warning systems have been installed (ie, WCGS's present status). Several factors are germaine in this assessment:
o Civil defense / tornado sirens presently exist in several areas of the county. These include all major towns.
o The site siren can be heard out to the 2.5 mile radial, The population density is conveniently low.
o o The population will be previously given evacuation instructions.
It is felt that the 2.5 mile radial zone, Burlington, New Strawn and any other towns could be warned almost immediately with the use of existing civil defense sirens supplemented by other sirens such as police and fire.
The low population density in the environs of the plant is a major con-sideration. Telephone fan out procedures could be enacted quite speedily should they be necessary. Both the special instructions previously given to the public and the instructions given during the telephone fan out would direct the public to leave phone lines open.
Since the typical number of households, for a sector, within the 5 mile radius is under 30, it is felt that telephone fan out supplemented by media communications (TV, radio) could notify the public within 15 minutes.
The number of homes, in a given sector, within the 10 mile radius goes up significantly to about 100. Still it is felt that under the circum-stances considered here, the public could be notified within 30 minutes utilizing telephone-fan out supplemented by media communications and other methods such as megaphone equipped vehicles and drivers. Under the context of the information request, the 30 minute notification time would cause 15 minutes to be added to all evacuation times for the 10 mile radius. However,'a compensating factor must be emphasized.
The reason evacuation of a sector out to 10 miles takes as long as it does is because the public closest to the site, ie, within 5 miles, has furthest to travel. The public in the outer areas, closer to the L.
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10 mile radius would be out of the EPZ first, hence the evacuation time estimate's do not represent the travel time of these outer area residents,,but represent the travel time of the inner' area residents.
lIt' appears that although it may.take about 15 minutes longer to notify
- people in the. outer areas, it will also take them about 15 minutes less time to transit the distance to the'10 mile radius. 'On this basis, evacuation time estimates were not altered because of the greater notification times necessary to notify residents in a given sector.who live between 5. and 10 mile = frcm the site.
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Answer to Question 5:
This site is.very well suited to accommodate an evacuation in the
. unlikely event..one should be necessary. The low population density, good road' system and general demography all contribute favorably.
The only special. problem encountered is the potential for peak crowds at Redmond Reservoir. However, as -these people would be extremely
' mobile, even.this problem is not great.
A'more. complete assessment
. of evacuation of Redmond Reservoir was offered in the answer to Question 2.
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STA rE OF KANSAS TIIE ADJUTANT GENEML gggD omsms or rmauso ratrantoms 4
f ro n u. u ss45 m i s
'N!l lyn t.
i: RECElvEO Q. Nuct. egg a'
i!;. OEPT, M9 July 8, 1980
'% gent Mr. Raymond F. Lewis Principal Health Physicist Kansas Gas and Electric Company P. O. Box 208 Wichita, Kansas 67201
Dear Ray,
I have reviewed the June 10, 1980 evacuation assessment for the Wolfe Creek Generating Station, recently conducted by the Kansas Gas and Electric _ Company, and find your assessment of evacuation times are quite reasonable and feasible.
Sincerely jRadiologicalSyst eon H. Mannell, P.E.
ems Administrator LHM:ka
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Phone ~44 2191 Coffey County Commissioners 8 8'd o' com nissioners Courthouse Dr. Ralph Barrett. Ist District Burlington, Kansse 66839 suri,esten Wayne O. Payer 2nd District q g2g s LeAcy eB-
-eM.3 Haroid Davies. 3rd District r%
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JUL1"#0 0
J E W*iam* d'n otr'et Waverty C R E C EI V E D
.2a enarne Ricn. sm oistrict G * *Y NUCLEAR !!
\\,,, DEPT.
J' soard m etse ery Monday
'm
_. -W June 24, 1980
.Str. Ray Lewis P. O. Box 208 Wichita, Kansas 67201
Dear Ray:
The Coffey County Commissioners have reviewed the evacuation assessment for Wolf Creek Generating Station (W.C.G.S.) recently conducted by Kansas Gas and Electric Company.
In comparing these assumptions with two other recently developed State and Local Emergency Evacuation Plans our commission feels your assessment of evacuation times is quite reasonable and entirely feasable.
We realize such plans take many hours of trial and error type programming and we hope our.. lateness in response to your plan have not created additional problems.
These past three or four weeks have been quite hectic with oil assessments, budgets and election problems.
On June 16, 1980, our commissions entered into the official minutes of their meeting their acknowledge. ment and approval of these plans and to corporate with you in the establishment of the monitoring equipment to be placed near the courthouse.
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If we can be of further assistance to you please let us know.
Sincerely yours, TIIE C0FFEY COUNTY COMMISSION
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' L s4 A/ /l $il~ t C
J l'i ee Ralph Barrett, Chairman
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Wayne Q( Payer, Member ATTEST:
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s liar ld Davies, Member Jagk E. Scott
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?1,,1 Winty Clerk i
J. E. Williams, Member o f)
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Charlie Rich, Member