ML19312D207

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Forwards State of Mo 800306 Ltr to Util Re Evacuation Times for Individuals Living Near Facilities,In Response to NRC 791226 Request.Time Estimates Include Peak Population Estimates for Either Day or Night
ML19312D207
Person / Time
Site: Callaway  Ameren icon.png
Issue date: 03/12/1980
From: Schnell D
UNION ELECTRIC CO.
To: Grimes B
Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation
References
ULNRC-340, NUDOCS 8003210500
Download: ML19312D207 (11)
v • d • e


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U N IO N ELCCTmc COMPANY 19 00 C a AfiO f S f

  • C t t - ST, LOW S March 12, 1980 ~?']lf t";"

s, sw.s.ao sees Mr. Brian K. Grimes Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation U.S. Nucicar Regulatory Commission ULNRC- 3 4 0

. Washington, D.C. 20555

Dear Mr. Grimes:

INFORMATION REGARDING EVACUATION TIMES UNION ELECTRIC COMPAMY CALLAWAY PLANT In accordance wi.h your letter dated December 26, 1979, for information regarding evacuation times of those individuals liv-ing in the area surrounding the Callaway Plant, we have prepared the enclosed evaluation. Should you require any addditional information or clarification, please do not hesitate to contact me.

In response to the suggestion by the State of Misscuri, our evacuation time estimates include peak population estimates whether or not they occur during the day or at night. This method-ology assures that our estimates are conservative.

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  • Donald F. Schnell Manager-Nucicar Engineering

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SOLVING PRooLEMS THROUGH INVENTION & INNOVATION 1 _ .f 8003210 500 ,

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. Joseph P. Tenedale y

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Division of Highwar Safety

- Divisene of IJguor Control

- F. M. Wilson . ND Dividon of wai.e s.fety Mrector - STATE OF 511SSOURI m.ouri counca on enmina: Ja.uc.

Robert E. Buechler DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY ,,',",'"" ,,ll,

- The Ad/utant General - OFFICE OF THE ADJUTANT GENERAL ~

DISASTER PLANNING & OPERATIONS George St. Atchison, Director 1717 Industrial - P. O. Bos 116 Jefferson City, Missouri 65102 March 6, 1980 Mr. Donald.F. .Schnell, Manager Nuclear. Engineering Union Electric Company 1901 Gratiot Street

'P.O. Box 149 St. Louis, MO 63166

Dear Don:

We have reviewed the material on evacuation times for the Callaway Plant and-find the_ population data and movement times to.be consistent with our planning.

It is suggested that the total population figures be shown somewhere in the narrative using peak daytime and night-time populations. Since some of the Special Facilities are occupied' infrequently-by the'populati~on shown, it is also recommended that this be indicated.

Unless more changes are made in local planning guidance, we will likely use peak daytime population in our evacuation planning.

Sincerely, f W 3:Ek&N.e Walter M. Clark Deputy. Director

~WMC:bb p.sCEl'!G tM fi ~ 050 3 y,SCHNELL

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'* l EVACUATION TIME INFORMATION FOR' Tile CALLA'4AY PLANT.

Estimates of evacuacion time for those individuals. residing within-10 miles of the.'Callaway Plant were made using EPA-520/2-74-002, " Evacuation Risks - An "Evalu'acion" and- EPA-520/1-75-001, " Manual of Protective Action Guides and

Protective Actions for Nuclear Incidents" as.guidelfres. The following assumptions

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,were.made in chis evaluation:

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(1) : Transportation is i= mediately' availablo. --

(2) - 35 mph lane,'4 persons / car'= Road capacity of 10,000 person /hr'or 166.7 persons / min, as given in EPA-520/1-75-001..

(3)I Primary roads' have a speed limit of 30 mph (0.5 miles / min) and secondary roads have a speed limit of 20 mph (0.33 miles / min).

(4) .Using' (1), (2). -(3) and assuming 2 persons / car yield road capacities' of 171.4 persons / min for primary roads and 47.6 persons / min for secondary roads.

- (5) ' Assumptions for adverse weather (snow) estimations: '

(a) : no accidents which might block'traf fic flow,

.b~'

1(b) maximum speed of 10 mph. (0.167 miles / min) for primary roads, and 5 mph (0.083. miles / min): for secondary roads.

(c) road = capacities of 23.8 persons / min for primary roads and 11.9 persons /

min for secondary roads..

A j(6) Year' 2000 population from' "Callspay Plant-Eny:t anmental Report Operating License Stage".

The equation used for estimating evacuation time is:

' Tf +f,(EquationdevelopedfromdatainEPA-520/6-74-002) where: T =-evacuation time, min. .

- 'P.=. number of persons in affected. area,

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. R = road capacity, persons / min' ' '

M = mileage 'on . road,Jmiles

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'~S k average speed,' miles / min. ,

' Evacuation time estimates for_ the genera 1' population within 10 miles of Callaway -

PlantLare given in Tables 1-5 (attached). . Estimates of time requ' ired ' to evacuate

- cpecial facilities is given in Table-'6. Figure 1 shows_ evacuation pathways, population densities', location of special facilities, t ecc.

, ;The time required to-verify evacuation within.10 miles of Callaway Plant -depends cimostfentirely upon the_ environmental conditions at the time of the evacuation..

fI ndividuals 1 caving the area would be instrueted to raise-the flag on their mail--

boxes and tie'a handkerchief or other, piece of cloth to the flag. Assuming all' Jindividuals evacuated as instructed and .using four survey. teams, the . verification

~

would. require a minimum.of 4.5 hours5.787037e-5 days <br />0.00139 hours <br />8.267196e-6 weeks <br />1.9025e-6 months <br /> under normal weather conditions.

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. . . TABLEi1' '

EVACUATION ' TIMES WITHIN ' 10 MILES ; OF CALLAWAY PIANT .

' Sector; Evacuation' Time !.(minutes) .

l Radius':

Sector . - Normal Adverse Population 2 ' '

' Evacuation Route ~ Weather' Weather 3

~ (mil'*s) , Direct' ion 1

~ i l-2'- -N' 10 - '14.2 miles - liwy O west to Fulton-28.5' RS b .

NNE 10 15.5 miles - IIwy 0 west'to Fulton 31-1'

. 93.3 0-NEL -

0 --- O

ENE 'O --- 0 0-

~

E- .10 13.6 miles south to liwy 94 west 32.2 111.2 ESE' 0' ---

0 0

'SE: .10 .t3 .2 miles - south to 11wy 94 east 30'.1 101.0 SSE 10 12.2 miles . south to !!wy 94 west' 27.l~ 89.0

. S' ~-10 11.7 miles -south to IIwy 94 west. 25.6 83.0.

SSW. 0 --- .0 0..

SW D --- 0 0

'WSW 10 13 miles - CC south to !!wy 94 west 26.1 78.'4

  • W 10 13,6 miles - IIwy CC south to I!wy 94 . west 27.3 82.0 WNW' ,

10 15.5 miles - east to CC south to 94 west 31.9.. 98.0 NW- 10 14.5 miles - Ilwy CC north to -O west 29.1 87.4

- NNW 10 10.7 miles .Ilwy CC north 26.1 92.0.

4 l','22.50. sector center onfthe compass heading given.

2 : Population projected for year 2000 .' ~

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! TABLE ~ 2: .

, EVACUATION TIMES WITHIN.10 MILEScOF CALLAWAY PLANT , y 1Snctor k Evacuation ' Time' (minutes)

Radius'.: J'Sec tor ' . ' . .

, Normal . Adverse-

' Wea ther3 '

O-

. (milas)( Direction 1 2 Population 2, Evacuation Route Weather.

.NNW

2-3'- J28.1 N1 10- .

11.7 miles - south to IIwy 0 west ' to IIwv- CC 9R10 <

-NNE' 10 16 miles-south to Hwy 0 eas t' t'o Hwy D North 33.0 92.8-

- NE L 10: 1 10.2 miles-north to'IIwv D-North 26.4' 96 R west --

ENE 10 , 14.2 miles-south to IIwv 335 south to 11wv 94 34.0 118.4-E 0- --- 0 0 ESE 10 12.2' miles - IIwy 335 south to 94 east 28.0 94.4 east '

SE- 10 11.7 miles-east to Ilwy 335 South to Ilwy 94 26.5 88.4 SSE 10 11.4 miles - south to Hwy 94 west 24.7 79.4 g' ld 11.1 miles - south to Hwy 94 west 23.8 75.8

,23.4-

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SSW 10 10.8 miles - south to Ilwy 94 west 74.0 '

west

-SW -10 11.5 miles - west to Hwy'CC South to Ilwy 94 23.5 71.6 west WSW 10- 11.7 miles . south to IIwy CC south ' to I!wy 94 24.1 74.0 W 0 --- 0- 0

'WNW '10 11.3 miles - north to IIwy O. wcst _

23.3 71.6 NW 10 12 miles - Hwy 0 west 24.1 72.0 NNW, 10 9.8 miles - north to !!wy JJ north 23'.8 83.6:

122.'50 ~ sector center on ' the compass heading given.

'.2 Population projected for year-2000 ~

1 3 Snow -

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TABLE 3

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-EVACUATION TIMES WITi!IN 10 MILES (OF CALLAWAY PLANT ,

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^

Evacuation- Time- (minutes)

Radius 1 Sector- Normal . Adverse (miles) Direction 12. Population 2 ' '

' Evacuation Route' Weather Weather 3

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N 0: - . - - - n g ,

north.

111~.2

NNE- 10- 13.4 miles-south to IIwy 0 west, north to JJ - ~ 3 2. 0..

north NE 10 '13.5 miles-south to IIwy 0 east to IIwy D 27.7 ___

84.8 ENE' 10 12.8 miles - IIwy D north 26.3- 80.6 E- -10 10.4 miles - IIwy. D south to IIwy 94 - east 20.9- 62.8 east

.ESE. 10 9.6 iniles - east to' 11wy D south to llwy 94 20.4 64.4 SE .- 10 10.7 miles - 335 south to 11wy 94 cast 23.5 76.4 SSE 10 12.1 miles - south to Ilwy 94 east 24.9 76.4-

'S. 10' 9.4' miles - Itwy 94 west 18.9 56'.8 w u s i.

'.. SSW 20 9.1 miles - west to 11wy CC south toillwy. 94 19.1 59.3 west SW 10 in_n miles - east to IIwy cc south to !!wv 94 22.8 71.6 WSW 0 --- 0 0 north W 30 -

10.2 miles - west to IIwy AD west to IIwy C 23.0 75.7 WW 70 9.8 miles - IIwv 0 we s t 20.6 61.7 W 0 ___

0 0 NNW 0 . --- 0 0 1

22.50 sector center on the compass heading given.

. -2 Population projected for year 2000 3 Snow - --

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" EVACUATION TIMES WITHIN 10 MILES OF'CALLAWAY. PLANT. , _..

Evacuation-Time (minutes)-

.SectQr:

' iRadius " Sector '

Normal-  : Adverse -

-(milcs)), ~ Direction 1 iPopulation2- -

' Evacuation Routo Weather Wea ther3

'4-51 N- -

O '- - --- 0

[0 .

NNE 10 8.4 miles - north to ifwy D north 21. Q_ ' 75.2 NE '- 20 ' 1.0.7- miles - east to IIwy D north 22.3 68.9 ENE .10 12.8 miles - west to IIwv D north 26.3- 80.68-east.

E 10- 11.6 miles - west to IIwy D south to IIwy 94 24.4 76.4' ESE- _

10 8.2 miles -- Ilwy D so'uth to Hwy 94 / east 16.5- '46.6 SE- 50 10.0 miles - IIwy 94 cast 20.7 '62.1 SSE 10 12.3 miles . north to IIwy 94 east

-25.3- 77.6

.S 10. 10.4 miles - north to IIwy 94 west 22.0 69.2 SSW' 40 7.7 miles - Ilwy CC south to llwy 94 west 16.0 47.9 SW '20 9.8 miles - south to IIwy 94 west 22.0 76.1 WSW 30 11.2 miles - IIwy VV west to IIwy C north 24.0 ~7 5 . 7 '

north W ,

50- 10 miles - north to IIwy AD west to IIwy C 22.5 72.6 WNW . 120 8.6 miles - I!wy 0 west 18.9 56.6 NW 60 8 miles - NW to !!wy 0 west ,

23.1 87.8 NWW 120 7.9 miles - !!wy JJ north 20.4 70.1 1

22.50 sec' tor center on th'e compass heading given.

2 Population projected for year. 2000 .

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EVACUATION TIMES.WITl!IN 10' MILES OF CALLAWAY: PLANT 4 . .'

= 4

' Evacuation Time'-(minutes)i

,S;ctor ~

Radius f.Sec tor - -

< Normal. Adverse (miles)' 'Direc tion 1- .' Population 2 - -- - -

-

  • Evacua tion Ro'ute~ Weather. Ucather3'

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SL 10 N 1En

  • 9 mil'en - - nnr t-h tn~11wv An '97 9 in?  ?- .

NNE- 4n 5.2 miles - Hwy D north 11.0 32.9-NE _..

20 10.5 miles - south to -Ilwy D north 22.5 71.3 E N E '- 60 '10.3 miles - north to llwy K ca'st 23.5 76.4 E ~ :90 ' 6.0 miles - north to IIwy K east '16.7 -

60.4

-ESE. ,

90 6.8 miles - Ilwy 94 e'ast 14.9 44'.6

^ ~

SE -

180 7.0 miles - IIwy 100 east 16.5- 49.6

_ :SSE 230 7.2 miles - Hwy 89 south 17.6 52.9

-3.. 210 7.6 miles  : north to !!wy K south 22.2 .78. 8 -

.. 'SSW- ,_ 210 8.0. miles - IIwy 100 west ,

18.9 .56.8 SW _' 270. 5.6' miles - south to Ilwy 94 west 18.3 64.7 WSW 320 10.6' miles - Ilwy W west to liwy C north 25.7 77.0

.W .~ 480 8.6 miles-- Ilwy AD west to Ilwy C north '23.9 71.8 WNW '3400 5.7 miles - Ilwy 0 west 54.0 177.1 l - NW . 4300 5.6 miles - Ilwy UU west -

71.4 214.3 NNW 950 5,8 miles - Ilwy JJ north 24.9 74.7 1 22.50; sector center on the compass heading given.

2 Population projected for year 2000 -

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" TABLE 6 - -

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', ., EVACUATION OF SPECIAL FACILITIES WITHIN 10 MILES OF CALLAWAY-PLANT Distance '-

from-

' Evacuation Time'(minutes)-

Normal-

' Plant'

. . Description &) Adverse

- (miles) : ~ Direction . Weather 2

~

' Population- Evacuation Route _ . Weather l7.8. SW: 677 South Callaway R 19.1

-57.2-School, 4.8 miles Hwy C South to !!wy 94.

West

6. 0 . S ~ 53'O Osage County R-1 17.1 53.4 School, 5.2. miles

, . IIwy K South-7.5- 'SW 88 -Riverview Nursing -10.8 32.4 ,

llome, .4. 6 miles !!wy C Sonth' to IIwy 94. West -

6.0 S- 2 Ch'amois Jail, 5.2 , 10.4 3'1. 2 -

miles !!wy K South

^6.0 -S '3000- Riverside Park, 5.2 52.4 157.2-miles Hwy K South 3

'3.0 .WNW 516 ,

Harmony Hill Youth 28'4

- Camp,10.6 miles Hwy 0 West -

2.2 N 1750 3 Lost Canyon Lake 54.5 .

15 miles l!wy O North 5.0 NW 32' Thunderbird Lake 19.6 73.7 -

l.- ,

7 miles NW to !!wy 0 West-7

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'  :-TABLE 6- .'-

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. EVACUATION OF SPECIAL FACILITIES WITHIN 10 MILES 0F CALLAWAY PLANT

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.(CONT'D)'- -

Distance,

, 'from: Evacuation Time'(minutes)

Plant" _ . Description & Normal- Adverse y' q ~

(milesF Direction. . Population Evacuation Route _ ' Weather Weather O.. -

45 Reform Wildlife 31.3 -95.3 Management Area, 15.6 miles Hwy CC North to.

Hwy 0 West:

1 No ' detailed ' attempt was made to calculate. an evacuation time for the City of Fulton which is located just outside-the 10-mile radius. ..However, utilizing the same methodology used for the above calculations and assuming the entire 1970 population of 12,248- evacuates by the same road, evacuation of the city of Fulton 2 would take'less than 3 hours3.472222e-5 days <br />8.333333e-4 hours <br />4.960317e-6 weeks <br />1.1415e-6 months <br />.- _.

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