ML19309H269
| ML19309H269 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Issue date: | 03/31/1980 |
| From: | Lurie D, Rowland C, Young S NRC OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND PROGRAM ANALYSIS (MPA) |
| To: | |
| Shared Package | |
| ML19309H266 | List: |
| References | |
| FOIA-81-104 NUDOCS 8005090463 | |
| Download: ML19309H269 (35) | |
Text
{{#Wiki_filter:8005090[bh) A STUDY OF HEAP.ING PROCESS DURATION FOR NUCLEAR POWER REACTDRS IN THE U.S. Prepared by Dan Lurie Susan B. Young Craig R. Rowland Applied Statistics Branch Division of Technical Supper: Office of Management and Program Analysis March 31,1980
1 TABLE OF CONTENTS List of Figures List of Tables Page 1. Introduction.............................................. 1 2. D a t a P ro c e s s i n g........................................... 3 .i. Descriptive Statistics.................................... a 4 Trend Analyses............................................ 18 5. Findings.................................................. 23 A;pendices Ap pendix A -- Data Base and Data El ements.................... A-1 Acpendi x B -- Sel ected Time Interval s......................... B-1
LIST OF FIGURES Page Figure 1. Schemati c Di spl ay of Sel ected Mil estones................. 2 Figure 2. Display of Time Between Selected Milestones Radiation / Safety Hearing -- Construction Permit Phase.. 6 Figure 3. Display of Time Between Selected Milestones Environmental Hearing -- Construction Permit Phase..... 7 Figure 4 Display of Time Between Selected Milestones Combined Hearing -- Construction Permit Phase.......... 8 Figure 5. Displa/ of Time Between Selected Milestones Radiation / Safety Hearing -- Operating License Phase.... 9 Figure 6. Display of Time Between Selected Milestones Envi ronmental Hearing -- Operating License Phase...... 10 l Figure 7. Display of Time Between Selected Milestones Ccmbined Hearing -- Operating License Phase........... 11 Figure 8. Hearing Duration for Nuclear Reactors Con s tructi on Pe rmi t Ph as e............................. 19 i Figure 9. Hearing Duration for Nuclear Reactors Operating License Phase............................... 20
l i I i LIST OF TABLES Page Table 1. Time Between Selected Milestones Radiation / Safety Hearing -- Construction Permit Phase.. 12 Table 2. Time Between Selected Milestones Environmental Hearing -- Construction Permit Phase..... 13 Table 3. Time Between Selected Milestones Combined Hearing -- Construction Permit Phase.......... 14 Table 4 Time Between Selected Milestones Padiation/ Safety Hearing -- Operating License Phase.... 15 Table 5. Time Between Selected Milestones l Environmental Hearing -- Operating License Phase....... 16 4 Table 6. Time Between Selected Milestones Combined Hearing -- Operating License Phase............ 17 1 e -r.- -.-,77_
i 1. Introduction This study was conducted in order to summarize and analyze information on the duration of the hearing process associated with the construction of nuclear power reactors in this country. A specific task of this study was to identify, whenever possible, significant trends in the duration of the hearing. The process of licensing a nuclear reactor in the U.S. is made up of two major phases: the Construction Permit (CP) phase and the Operating License (OL) phase. The beginning of a phase is defined in this report as the date of docketing of the Safety Analysis Report (SAR) or the date of docketing of the Environmental Report (ER), whichever is earlier. In this report, the end of the CP phase is defined as the date of CP issuance, and the end of the OL phase as the date of OL issuance. Important milestones in the hearing process are listed in Appendix A for the CP Phase (Table A.1) and for the OL phase (Table A.2). The relative position of milestones within the hearing process is schematically drawn in Figure 1. A listing of time intervals of interest, given relative to the milestones in Appendix A, is given in Appendix B for the CP phase (Table B.1) and for the OL phase (Table B.2). A radiation / safety hearing has always been mandatory for the licensing process for every U.S. nuclear reactor, whereas the environmental hearings did not become mandatory until July 23,1971 (Calvert Cliffs decision). Reactors under construction in July of 1971 were required to be re-examined for environ-mental issues. These reactors are included in the data base but are excluded from the statistical summary of the duration of the environmental hearing be-causa necessary milestones were out of sequence. In recent years, the hearing process for environmental matters has been com-bined with the hearing process for radiation / safety matters for many reactors for the CP phase, for the OL phase, or for both. For the sake of compactness, (;*as for the combined hearings are stored in the data base as radiation / safety dates. In performing the data summary and analysis, however, the combined hearing dates are properly treated as combined hearing data. One hundred and eighty (180) reactors (limited to PWRs, BWRs, or HTGRs) are studied in this report; they are classified as follows: 12 have had a CP hearing started but do not have a CP. 96 have had a CP and/or OL hearing started, have received a CP, but not an OL. 72 have had a CP and/or OL hearing started and completed, and received an OL. )
i PA61s O Ri l'OR I DAIE AHD IINE: t1 A R Cil 19. 1980 7:54Ari LA5I DATA REVISIDH: HARCil 14. 1980 l~ i q~ u re 1 SitiCIID F1ILEsintiLS OF IllE lit ARING PROCE 55 H A t1E 5till M A I M SIAlts DESIGil IHLRNAL POWER: 0 l)OL S : D REGION: ilArif PIAIL RATING: 0 IrPl: 14555 Ist SIGH Ll LCIRIC AL RATING: 9 D2 D4 (16 D8 DIO -- 0/ 0/ 0-- 0/ 0/ 0-- 0/ 0/ 0-- 0/ O/ 0- 0/ 0/ 0- / ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( 0.000) \\ \\ 5 Ali I Y \\ pl2m D13m Dl4 DOS DI / 0/ c/ 0 Cutis t RUCT IGH PE Rt1II PHASE -- 0/ 0/ 0-- 0/ 0/ 0-- 0/ O/ O-- 8/ 9/ 0 / ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( o.000) N i HV I k urittitil / \\ pl D5 D7 D9 Dit / -- 0/ 0/ 0-- 0/ 0/ 0-- 0/ 0/ 0-- 0/ 0/ 0-- 0/ O/ 0-- ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( 0.000) pli DS9 D20 D23 D25 -- 0/ 0/ 0-- 0/ 0/ 0-- 0/ 0/ 0-- 0/ O/ 0-- t/ 3 0-- / ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( e At4) \\ ro \\ S AI I lY \\ D21mm D28mm D29 D30 D39 D16 / -- 0/ 0/ 0-- 0/ 0/ 0-- 0/ 8/ 0-- 0/ 0/ 0-- 0/ O/ 0 0/ 0/ 0 HPI R AIING L IClHSE l*llASE / ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( o.000) N / [ HV I R ul4Hf ill N DIS D20 D22 D24 D26 / -- 0/ 0/ 0-- 0/ 0/ 0-- 0/ O/ 0-- 0/ O/ 0-- 0/ 0/ 0-- ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( 0.000) ( 0.000) t>PLAHAIIO!I 0F DATES DI.D t6 : DOCKt'IIIIG OF APPlICAIIGH Dl2: ISSUANCE OF LIMITED NORK AUTHORIZATION I (tWA-1) D2 D17 DOCKll ttlG UI S Af-ETY AN AL YSIS REPORI (SAR) Dil ISSUANCE Of LIlllIED NORK AUIHORIZATIDH 2 (LNA-2) D3,D18: DOClr ci g HG Of (HVIROHiig ill AL RLPORI (LR) Dl4: ISSUAtlCE Of CONSIRUCTIDH PERT 1II (CP) D4,DI98 ISSU ANCE OF S AI EIY EV AL U AT IDH SilPPL Ellf H P ($ES) D15: SIARI 0F CONSTRUCTION DS.D20: ISSUANCE Si FINAL ENVIRONMfHIAL ST All t1EHI (FES) D27: ISSHAfiCE OF INIIIAL LICENSE (It) D6,921: L ARI It SI SIARI or R ADI AIInil/S AFElY lif ARING (RSH) D28 155 HANCE Of futL POWLR OPER AT ING L ICtH5E (01 ) DJ.D22: E art it SI SIARI Of EHVIROHHfHIAL llEARING (LH) D29: I Ut t 10AD I68, D2 3 : IND OF RADIAIIDH/SAIEIY HEARING D30 IIRSI CRITICALIIY D 9,112 4 : IHD Of l'HVIROHNt HI At lif ARIllG D18: 8 0til1E RC I AL OPERATIDH ~~Dio.D25: AlonIC S Af t IY AllD I ICt H5IllG BO ARD ( A5t B) DECISIDH 0/ O/ 0 AND ( 0.000) DEH0iE DAIES IllAT ARE t11SSING Oil RADIAI!OH/ sal [lY OR Hul APPLICABLE FOR IllIS RLPORI DII.D26: A5t h Di CISIUll UH filVIR0tir1LHI AL tlAIT ERS m It LWA-1 (D12) AND/OR t il A - 2 (Dl3) IS 1550fD, ill[H ST ARI 0F CONSTRUCTIDH (Dl5) PRECEDES ISSUANCE OF COH$iRUCTION PERtlli (D14). ~ Il 1814 - 1 OR LWA-2 15 1841 155HID, HORt1At SIQULHCI IS ISSUANCE OF Cull 51RUCIIDH PERttli AHD START OF CONSIRUCTIGH. mm IF ItlIII AL L ICitist (D21) 15 GRAHIED, TUEL LOAD (D29) NAY PRECE DE ISSUANCE OF f utL POWER OPERATING LICENSE (D28). IF IHIllAt i I Ci rl5 F IS Hui 6RAlllID, IHEN HORf1At SEQUENCE IS ISSUANCE OF IHit POWER OPERAIING LICENSE AHD FUEE LOAD.
. 2. Data Processino i Key milestones in the licensing process are listed in Appendix A for the CP phase (Table A.1) and for the OL phase (Table A.2). The dates for these milestones (in MMDDYY form) are a WYLBUR* data base named CALENDAR. CALENDAR also contains other plant characteristics, as shown in Figure 1. The first stage of data processing is carried out by a computer program named HEARING operating on the data base CALENDAR. The program HEARING has three major functions: (1) Convert each calendar date to a decimal configuration ** to allow algebraic manipulations (such as subtractions) on the
- dates,
( 2) Produce a computer printout showing the milestones along the time axes (radiation / safety, environmental, and combined hearing) for the CP and the OL chases, (3) Test dates for proper sequencing. In performing the second function, the program PEAPING generated a port-folio of printouts of reactor characteristics and history data for the 180 reactors in the study. The printcuts follow the format of the sche'- matic diagram given by Figure 1. A copy of the Reactor Portfolio may be obtained upon request ***. Numerous examples of inconsistent tata-secuencing were discovered during the assembly of CALENDAR. Most of ne inconsistencies arose frem varia-tions among the several data sources that were consulted in the construc-tion of CALENDAR. Most of the errors flagged by the program HEARING have been explained and corrected. Some incensistencies are still unresolved, and time intervals involving dubicus dates were not included in the statistical study.
- WYLBUR is an NIF-implemented computer utility program which functions as a remote job entry facility.
- The transformaticn of dates in the form of ?"#nFYY is made as YY + (PM-1)/12 + (00-1:/355. Ac:Ordingly, 9/15/f 5 is transferred as 68.705 and 1/1/75 as 75.0C0.
- Please acdress recuests to Can Lurie, Acoliec Statistics Bran 1,
- The transformaticn of dates in the form of ?"#nFYY is made as YY + (PM-1)/12 + (00-1:/355. Ac:Ordingly, 9/15/f 5 is transferred as 68.705 and 1/1/75 as 75.0C0.
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory C0mmission, Washingt:n, DC 20555.
9 i 3. Descriptive Statistics Tire intervals for various activities of interest are summarized separately for each time axis (radiation / safety, environmental, or combined) for each phase (CP or OL). The summaries are presented both in a tabular form and in a graphical form. In each table and graph, time intervals are summarized by the year of docketing. The time intervals of interst are listed below. The terms given in brackets refer to time designations listed in Appendix B. Interval A: Time from docketing of Safety Analysis Report (SAR) or Environmental Report (ER) to issuance of Safety Evaluation Supplement (SES) or Final Environmental Statement (FES) [T(2,4), T(3,5), T(17,19), or T(18,20)] Interval B: Time from issuance of SES or FES to corresponding start of hearing [T(4,6),T(5,7),T(19,21), ort (20,22)] Interval C: Time from start of hearing to end of hearing [T(6,8),T(7,9),T(21,23), ort (22,24)] l Interval D: Time from end of hearing to corresponding ASLB l decision 1 i [T(R,10), T(9,ll), T(23,25), or T(24,26)] Irterval E: Time from ASLP decision to issuance of CP or OL [T(10,14), T(ll,14), T(25,28), or T(26,28)] Interval F: Time from docketing of application (SAR or ER, whichever earlier) to issuance of CP or OL [T(2,14), T(3,la), T(17,28), or T(18,28)] Interval G: Tire from issuance of SES or FES to corresponding ASLB decision [T(4,10), T(5,il), T(19,25), or T(20,26)] I w
. The summaries presented in Tables 1 - 6 show the average time for intervals B, C, 0, F, and G, according to the year of docketing. The tables also list, along with each average, the shortest interval (labeled MIN), the longest i 1 interval (labeled MAX), and the number of intervals (labeled N) used in the computation of the average. The graphical summaries (Figures 2-7) represent the averages of Intervals A - E according to the year of docketing, where the number of printed letters indicate the average number of months in the corresponding intervals. Clearly, this representation for any of the Intervals A - E is correct to the nearest number of months. The summation of contiguous intervals to obtain an average for a combined interval is, generally, not permissible unless the identical reactors are used in the computation of the individual intervals as in the combined interval. If the summation is permissible, however, it should be realized that a rounding error in the combined interval may accumulate at the rate of up to 1/2 month for every non-overlapping interval used in the surmation.
e W i l'U R I DAIL figure 2 LAST DAIA REVISION MARCll 19. 1980 DisPtAY Of ilNE BLIWLtH SEtECitD Nil [5I0HE5 MARCH I4 1980 RADIATION /SATLIY llLARING ------- CONSIRutil0H PERNIT PilASE Dun t i ilAR 19S5 19S6 AAAAAAAAAAAAABBC legentl (f at b letter represents one month): 89Si A Time from docketing of SAR to issuance of SES 9958 H Time from issuance of SES to start of hearing 19S9 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAhBDDE C fime from start of hearing to end of hearing D Time frun end of hearing to ASLR decision 1960 AAAAAAAAABDE F Time from ASLB decision to issuance of CP 1968 8962 ABBD 1963 AAAAAAAABDDL s 1964 AAAAAAAHi>D CD e 4s65 AAAAAABD 1066 AAAAAAAAAAbD 8961 AAAAAAAAAAABD 1968 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABCCCDDDDD i 1969 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBDDD 1970 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBCCCCDDDDDDD 1918 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBDBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBDDDDD 1972 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBCCCCCDDDDE 1913 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBCDDE 1914 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBDDDDE ~1975 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABCCDDDD 1976 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAADDDDD 1971 Att _ YEARS AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBCDDD
,-----------s-
s-----------s-----------s-----------s-----------s-----------s-----------s 1nne 12 24 36 48 68 72 84 96 188 (MONIHS)
I
e REP 0Hf DAIE figure 3 EAST DATA REVISIDM NARCll 99 1980 DISPLAY of IINE BE1WELH SELECIED NILESIDHES NARCH 14. 1980 ENVIRONM[HIAL HEANING -------- CONSIRUCll0N PERMIT PHASE ....................................................n..... DOCKEI YtAR 5955 1956 Legend (Each letter represents one month): ,,33 A Time from docketing of ER to issuance of FES B Time from issuance of FES to start of hearing 8959 C Time from start of hearing to end of hearing i96o D Time from end of hearing to ASLB decision E Time from AStB decision to issuance of CP 1t61 1962 1963 e 1964 e 1965 1966 1967 l 1968 1969 1970 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABCDDD 1971 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABDDD 1972 AAAAAAAAAAAABBBDDDEEEEEE 1973 AAAAAAAAAAAABBCDDDEEEEEEEEEE i 1974 AAAAAAAAAAAABBCDDDDDDELEE[EEEEEE ~ ~1975 AAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBCCDDDDDDELEEEEE 1976 AAAAAAAAAAABBBDDEl EEE 8977 AIE , YEARS AAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBCDDDDEEE[EEE
,_----------,-----------,-----------,-----------,-----------,-----------o-----------,-----------e TIME 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 (NOHIHS) i
e k E l'nR f DAIE ligiare 4 LASI DATA REVISIDH tlakCII 19. 1980 DISI'tAY OF 1IME Bf ILJi t H Si t t ClE D Mit ESTOHL5 MARCH I4. 1980 COMBIHip RADIATION /5AlflY AND LHVIR0hMEHIAL lit ARING ------ CONSIRUCTION PERM ...............................................................................IT PHASE DOCKEl itAR l 1955 1956 legend (EaCh letter represents one month): ,,3, i9Sa A Ilme from doCLeting of SAR to issuance of SES h Time from issuance of SES to start of hearing i,3, C Time from start of hearing to end of hearing '968 D Time from end of hearing to ASLB decision E Time from AStB decision to issuance of CP i,5, 1962 8963 i l 1964 03 e 196S 1966 896/ 1968 1969 1970 A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A A ABbHBBBBCCCCCCCCCCtl#DDL 1918 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABCCCCDD 1972 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAbbCCCCCD 1971 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAACCCCCCCCCDDDD 8974 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABCCCCCCDDDDDDD ~197S 1976 l 4977 All _ lARS AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBCCCCCCCDDDDE ) __________,___________,___________,___._______,___________,___________,___________,___________,-----------+ TIME 12 24 36 48 6w 72 84 96 108 (MONIH5) I
i k i l'uR I DAlt figure 6 1ASI DAIA REV!51oM 11Rktp 97, 1950 DISPtAY OF IIME Bl itJE LN $fttritD MitESloH[$ M A R Cll 14 1980 N ADI AIIDH/S AI LIY HE ARIH(
nPE R AllHG R ICENSE PilASE parats ilAR 1955 IS$6 Legend (LaCh letter represents one month):
1958 AAAAAAAAAAAfbCClistittE A Time fruii docketing of SAR to issuance of SES H Time frun issuance of SES to start of hearing 19s9 AAAAAAAAB(t C Time from start of hearing to end of hearing 1960 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABCDDE D Time from end of hearing to ASLB decision E Time f rom ASLB decision to issuance of OL 1968 AAAAAAAABD 1962 1961 8 1964 AAAAAAAAAAA 1965 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAA 1966 AAAAAAAAAA 1967 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA 9968 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCDDDDDtELEEEEEE 1969 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBCDDDDEtEE 1970 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBCCCDDDDDEE 1971 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAEEEEE 197? AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA\\AAAAAAAAACCCCCCCDLELE8 8973 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBCCCCCCCCCCCDDDDDDDELEE 1774 tt3333433A,*.AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBDDDDDDDD ~1975 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA 1976 1977 C4 l , YEARS AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBCCCCCDDDDEEEE ~
*-----------*-----------*-----------*-----------*-----------*-----------*-----------*-----------+
ilME 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 188 (MOH ills ) I
~_ a WIPORI DAIE figure 6 LASI DATA RLtISION NAkCl4 19, 1980 DISPLAY of 11NL BtlWilH SfttCl[D Mitts 10HES N A RCil 14. 1980 ENVIRoHNtHIAL HLANING ---------- Ol .....................................' I R A l l H G L I C E N S E P H A S E DOCVLI iLAR 1955 1956 Legend (Each letter represents one month): 1951 1958 A Time frun docketing of ER to issuance of FFS B lime from issuance of FES to start of hearing 1959 C lime frun start of hearing to end of hearing 68 D Time from end of hearing to ASI.B decision I lime from AStB decision to issuance of Ol 1968 4962 196 5 e 1964 ~$ 1965 s 1906 1961 1968 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAACCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCCEE 1969 1910 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBDDDDDD 1911 AAAAAAAAAAAAABRLCDDbbbillllLLE 19/2 A A A A A A AbblabbDilDDI[I iI(l LI Elf LL Lil f l913 AAAAAAAA 4914 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBbBDuhMLDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD0D ~I915 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA 1916 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA 1911 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA All ,YIAks AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAHHHCCDDDDDDDDELILLLfItL ________,_....___.__._e___________,_-. _______e.__________,___________,___________,___________,_____------+ TIME 12 24 36 48 60 12 84 96 108 (N0 Hills) l
a I'isjill'e / (ASI DATA REVISION REPORI DAll tlAkCH 89, 1980 I)lsrtAY Of IINE B t' I WL i H St t i CIE D Nit iSIGHES MARCH 14, 1980 COMBlHt h R ADI AIIDH/SAI EIY AND ENVIROHN[HI Al lit AklHG -- ---- DPERATING L ICENSE PHASE ..........nename..n nn..n== man............................... .anaamannammamammannen DOCKEI YlAR 1955 1956 legend (EaCh letter represents one month): ,93, 195a A Time frca docketing of SAR to issuance of SES B Time frun issuance of SES to start of hearing C lime from start of hearing to end of hearing 1960 0 Time from end of hearing to ASLD d? Cision E Time from ASLB decision to issuante of OL 1962 1963 e 1964 1965 8 1966 1967 1968 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABCCCDEEEEE 1969 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBCCCCCDDD 1970 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBBCDDDEEEE 1971 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBCDDDDDDELEEE 1972 AAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBCDDDLELEEEEEEE 1973 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAADDDEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE 1974 AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABCCCDDDDDEE ~1975 1976 1977 I Att ,YtARS AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAABBBBBCCDDDi[EEEE' TIME 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 (MOHIHS) I
e NtPORI DAll. Idhle I LASI DATA REVISION (I A k CH 19 1980 ilNE BEINEEH SELECIED MilfS10HES MARCH 14. 1980 R ADI A T Iull/S Af f l Y HEARING ------- CONSTRUCil0H PERMIT PHASE mannaanaamannanannamanamnenmome.mamenen... an enanmanammana I(4.6) 116.8) 118.10) I(2.14) I(4.10) fROM SES TO SIART OF I Ruti SIART TO END OF FROM END OF R/S HEARING FROM SAR TO ISSUANCE FROM SES TO ASLB DECISIDH R/S HEARING R/S HLARING 10 ASlB DICISIGH Oil R/S OF CUNSIRUCTIDH PERMIT OH R/S DOCKEI YLAR AVG MIN MAX H AVG MIH NAX H AVG Mill MAX H AVG MlH MAX H AVG MlH MAX H 1955 83.1 83.1 13.8 2 1956 2.2 2.2 2.2 1 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 0.2 0.2 0.2 1 15.8 85.8 15.8 8 3.0 3.0 3.0 t 1957 8958 1959 1.9 1.9 1.9 i O.0 0.0 0.1 2 1.9 1.7 2.2 2 15.8 13.4 18.3 2 3.7 3.7 3.7 1 1960 1.0 0.5 1.6 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 1.4 1.2 1.5 2 11.7 4.4 88.9 2 2.4 1.7 3.0 2 8968 1962 1.8 8.8 1.8 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 I l.3 1.3 1.3 1 4.8 4.8 4.8 8 3.8 3.1 3.1 l 1965 0.6 0.6 0.6 2 0.1 0.0 0.1 2 1.8 f.4 2.2 2 10.7 8.6 12.9 2 2.5 2.0 2.9 2 1964 4.3 0.7 8.9 2 0.1 0.e 0.1 2 2.0 1.6 2.3 2 10.4 8.5 12.4 2 3.3 2.4 4.3 2 l965 0.5 0.4 0.6 4 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 0.5 0.3 0.7 4 7.8 5.8 10.3 4 1.8 0.7 1.3 4 1966 0.8 0.5 1.0 IS 0.2 0.0 8.2 18 1.2 0.2 3.0 18 12.3 8.8 22.9 48 2.1 1.1 5.0 18 1967 1.0 0.6 2.2 23 0.3 0.0 2.3 23 1.3 0.2 2.9 23 14.2 10.2 27.6 23 2.7 1.8 5.8 23 1908 1.5 0.6 7.0 14 2.7 0.0 13.5 14 4.8 0.4 87.2 14 26.3 16.6 59.0 14 9.0 1.6 37.7 14 1969 0.8 1.0 5.3 10 0.3 0.0 2.1 10 3.5 0.9 10.8 10 25.0 17.8 40.9 80 5.6 8.9 16.2 le 1970 4.0
- 1. 9 6.8 10 3.7 0.0 82.5 to 6.7 3.1 83.0 le 36.5 26.6 51.7 to 14.4 5.0 30.5 10 d
1974 35.0 8.0 55.0 6 0.2 0.0 0.3 6 5.8 3.6 8.3 6 68.4 31.0 76.7 6 43.3 16.3 56.9 6 BJ 1972 l.8 0.6 5.0 4 5.1 0.0 10.2 4 4.0 4.0 4.8 4 27.5 28.6 33.3 4 10.9 4.6 17.3 s 4973 4.2 0.3 27.3 26 0.5 0.0 7.7 26 2.2 0.5 9.9 24 27.5 16.5 52.1 24 6.9 0.9 28.8 24 1974 3.9 0.2 14.5 15 0.4 0.0 1.6 15 4.0 1.2 10.5 15 32.7 17.6 44.3 IS 8.2 1.6 22.0 45 1975 1.5 1.1 2.2 6 1.6 0.0 4.6 6 4.4 2.6 6.8 4 28.4 26.3 30.6 4 6.0 3.6 8.4 4 1976 0.3 0.1 0.3 2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2 4.6 4.6 4.6 2 28.4 28.4 28.4 2 4.9 4.9 4.9 2 1977 All YtARS 3.7 0.2 55.0 147 1.0 0.0 13.5 148 2.9 0.2 17.2 144 24.0 4.4 76.7 146 7.6 0.7 56.9 143 e l
= O kil'UR I DAIL Id t)l t' 2 tASI DAIA REVISION ll A h fil 19. l980 IINE Bt IMELN SE L LCit D Mill 510HES MARCH 84. 1980 fHVikut!NtHIAL lil ARillG -------- CONSTRUCil0H PERNIT PHASE manan=4.......ae.....nnammmenmanamnw.*nnemannamnennenummum 1(5.11 f(7.9) I(9.III I( 3.14 ) T(5.II) I N0ll i t S 10 $1Aki of ikon STARI'10 t ilD Of tROM IND OF LH 10 A5tB TRON ER 10 IS5UANCE OF IRON FES 10 ASLB DECISION l ilVIROHilt HI AL lllARPHG (HVIROHNLHIAl lilARING DLCISION OH INVIROHNINI CONSIRUCIIDH PLHNIT OH EHVIROHNENT final I it AH vVG fil H FI A X H AVC NIH tl A 4 H AVG NIH MAX H AVG HIH HAX H AVG HIH HAX H 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1961 1962 1965 1964 1965 1966 1961 1968 1969 1910 0.9 0.1 2.0 9 1.2 0.0 3.1 9 2.9 1.0 6.0 9 30.7 23.2 43.6 9 4.9 8.6 8.2 9 'd 1911 06 0.2 1.2 6 0.0 0.0 0.8 6 2.6 1.0 3.6 6 45.4 16.2 76.7 10 3.2 1.2 4.4 6 8912 2.9 1.5 5.9 7 0.3 0.0 0.7 7 2.7 1.5 4.8 7 24.4 17.8 33.3 7 5.9 4.8 7.5 7 e 1911 2.5 0.7 8.4 28 is 3 0.0 9.0 27 2.5 0.5 8.0 27 27.2 85.2 54.0 24 6.2 2.7 12.7 27 1914 1.7 0.4 4.1 17 1.2 0.0 1.4 17 6.2 8.2 28.4 17 32.7 17.6 42.4 85 9.1 3.1 22.2 17 1975 6.0 5.5 6.5 4 1.9 1.8 2.0 4 6.4 3.6 9.1 4 30.8 30.8 30.8 2 14.3 18.0 17.5 4 1916 2.7 0.5 4.9 4 0.2 0.0 0.5 4 2.8 1.2 3.0 4 22.4 28.5 23.3 4 5.0 2.2 7.9 4 8917 All VIARS 2.2 0.1 8.4 75 1.0 0.0 9.0 74 3.6 0.5 28.4 74 30.9 15.2 76.7 71 6.8 1.2 22.2 74 ) l 1 l 1
e RIPORI DAIE Idble 3 LAST DATA REVISIDH NARCH $9. 1980 IINE BEINEEH SELECitD MILES 10HES MARCH 14, 1980 COMBIHED RADIA1 ION / SAFETY AND ENVIROHNLHIAL HEARING ------ CONSIRUCTION PERNIT PHASE mamannammmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmannamananmaannamnummmemannammmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmeummmmmmmmmmmun 1(4.6) 1(6.8) f(8,10) 1(2,14) T(4.10) IRON SES 10 SIART OF FRON SIARI 10 END OF F ROM EHD OF COMB To ASLB FROM SAR TO ISSUAHCE FROM SES TO ASLB DECISILM COMB HEARING COMB HEARIHG DECISIDH ON CONB M41TERS OF CONSTRUCTIDH PERMIT OH CONS MAIIERS DOCKET YEAR AVG NIH NAX H AVG MIN MAX H AVG MIH MAX H AVG MIH MAX H AVG MIN MAX H 1955 8956 1957 1958 4959 1960 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 s 1968 m 8969 w 1970 7.1 5.8 8.6 6 St.4 0.1 23.6 6 3.3 1.5 4.8 6 45.3 34.2 56.2 6 28.7 80.9 34.2 6 1971 1.2 0.1 2.5 6 3.7 0.0 18.1 6 2.0 0.0 3.3 6 24.8 19.0 34.4 6 6.9 1.1 16.9 6 1972 2.5 2.1 2.5 1 4.7 2.6 6.8 2 1.2 1.0 1.4 2 28.4 18.4 24.3 2 6.5 2.9 10.2 2 1973 9.0 9.0 9.0 2 4.1 4.1 4.8 2 35.9 35.9 35.9 2 10.3 10.3 10.3 2 1974
- 1. 8 0.4 3.2 4
6.1 8.9 14.9 6 7.0 1.1 18.6 6 33.5 19.6 58.9 6 12.2 3.4 23.3 6 1975 1976 1977 All YEARS 3.3 0.1 8.6 47 7.0 0.0 23.6 22 3.8 0.0 18.6 22 35.5 18.4 56.2 22 12.7 1.1 34.2 22 i 1
Y o RituRI DAl[ Idble 4 LASI DATA REVISIDH tl Ald tl 19, 1980 IINE BEIWELH SLitCi[D Mit[SIONES NAtCH 14, 1980 R ADI AIIDH/S AFEIY llE ARING --------- OPERAIING llCENSE PHASE mannan==namn nananannan nnnannannannmannannannannananannanam I(19.21) f(21,23) I(23,25) 1(87,28) T(19,25) IROH SES 10 SIART Of fROM Sil.Ri 10 END OF IRON IND Of R/S HEARING I R0f1 S AR TO ISSUANCE FRON SES 10 ASLB DECISION R/S lilARING R/S HEARING 10 A$tB DECISIGH ON R/S of OPERATING LICENSE OH R/S Dut Ki i VIAR AVG HIH fl A X H AVG NIH NAX H AVG NIH MAX H AVG NIH MAX H AVG HIN NAX H 8955 1956 1957 4958 1.9 1.9 1.9 8 2.2 2.2 2.2 1 0.l 0,t 0.1 I 23.8 23.8 23.8 1 4.3 4.3 4.3 1 1959 0.5 0.5 0.5 1 1.4 1.4 1.4 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 8 10.4 10.4 10.4 1 2.0 2.0 2.0 l 1960 0.7 0.7 0.7 1 0.9 0.9 0.9 1 8.6 I.6 1.6 1 25.9 25.9 25.9 8 3.8 3.8 3.1 I l961 0.7 0.7 0.7 2 0.2 0.4 0.5 2 1.4 0.9 4.2 2 10.3 8.9 11.7 2 2.0 1.9 2.8 2 8962 20.7 20.7 20.7 I 8963 1964 34.6 34.6 34.6 8 1965 19.4 15.9 23.0 2 1966 II.3 11.3 11.3 8 1967 30.4 25.2 39.5 4 e 1968 0.9 0.9 0.9 2 16.8 4.0 28.3 2 5.0 5.0 5.0 2 40.4 89.8 59.4 7 22.0 9.8 34.2 2 m 1969 4.4 l.9 8.1 3 1.1 0.0 3.3 3 4.8 8.9 8.5 3 44.8 88.6 68.6 8 9.4 3.8 20.5 3 on 1970 2.7 0.9 4.3 4 3.2 0.0 42.2 4 5.4 0.3 11.1 4 40.5 28.1 70.8 8 11.4 2.1 16.0 4 1971 53.0 34.6 82.7 to 4.1 4.1 4.1 2 1972 0.4 0.4 0.4 4 7.8 7.1 7.5 .l 1.2 8.2 l.2 1 41.0 37.5 44.5 2 8.7 8.7 8.7 1 1973 88.8 5.0 32.6 4 18.0 6.1 15.9 4 6.9 5.8 7.4 3 47.3 35.9 59.0 4 42.9 16.9 55.9 3 1974 2.9 2.9 2.9 2 0.3 0.3 0.3 2 7.6 7.6 7.6 2 55.9 55.9 55.9 1 10.8 10.8 10.8 2 1975 38.4 31.4 31.4 8 8976 1971 088 YLARS 5.3 0.4 32.6 24 5.0 0.0 28.3 21 4.2 0.0 11.5 20 39.3 8.9 82.7 55 13.5 1.9 55.9 22 i
e RtPORI UAIE IdlJI t' b tASI DATA REVISIDH tl ARCH 19. 1950 I Irtt Bill 4EtH SELECilD MllESIONES MARCH I4, 1980 ENVIROHNfHIAt HEARING ---------- OPER Al!HG L ICENSE PHASE m...n.................n...................nm.m.mmmmmmmm... I(20,22) f(22.24) 1(24,26) It18,28) T(20.26) IRON ttS lo SI AN T Of IRON SIARI 10 (HD OF I N0f1 (HD OF (H 10 A5t B I R ott E R TO ISSUANCE OF FRON FES TO ASLB DECISION E NVIRutH1( HI Al Hl AkitHi (HVIROHNINIAl til ARING 1)lC ISIHf4 UH [HVIRilHNI HI OP[ RATING LICENSE OH ENVIRONNEHi DOC D 1,8 YEAR A V ti Nlti llAX H AVG NIH 11 A X H AVG til H HAX H AVG NIH MAX H AVG NIH MAX H 8955 1956 1957 19'38 1959 1960 25.9 25.9 25.9 I l968 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 e 1968 20.8 20.8 20.8 1 0.5 0.5 0.5 I 34.6 28.9 47.4 2 1.6 8.6 1.6 I m 1969 m 1970 1,6 1.5 l.8 2 0.8 0.0 0.1 2 5.9 2,4 9.4 2 29.0 7.3 70.8 9 7.6 4.0 11.2 2 1978 1.8 0.0 6.3 5 1.6 0.0 4.7 5 5.3 0.0 17.8 5 34.3 8.4 73.5 16 14.7 6.1 24 5 5 8 1972 l.8 0.0 5.6 5 0.4 0.0 l.3 ,5 6.7 0.0 23.2 4 43.4 2.2 12.5 " 6 16.2 7.5 30.1 4 1973 48.7 45.8 51.6 2 1974 II.3 18.3 18.3 2 0.8 0.8 0.8 2 23.9 23.9 23.9 2 55.9 55.9 55.9 9 35.9 35.9 35.9 2 1975 31.4 31.4 31.4 8 1976 1977 All YEARS 3.9 0.0 II.3 14 2.1 0.0 20.8 15 8.8 0.0 23.9 14 35.5 2.2 73.5 38 16.2 8.6 35.9 14 E
e NEPORI DAIE Table 6 LASI DATA REVISIDH ttAkCH 19, 1980 IINE BEINEEN 5tt ECIED NILLSIDHES MARCH I4, 1980 CONBIHtD WADIAIIDH/SAitIY AND ENVIROHNENIAL HEARING -------- OPERATING LICENSE PHASE mm.m.m..mmamannannunnam nammmennnummmenanamaammmmm. mmm.m mmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmum I(19.28) T(21,25) 1823,25) I(47,28) T ( 19,25 ) TRON SES 10 SIARI 0F IRON SIART IO LHD OF FRON E ND OF C 0rl8 in ASID IRON SAR 10 ISSUANCE FROM SES TO ASLB DECISION COMB HEAklHG CONB HEARING DECISIUH OH COMB NATTERS OF UPERAIING tICENSE ON COMB NATIERS DOCktI )LAR AVG NIH tl A X H AVG NIH MAX H AVG NIH MAX H AVG NIH MAX H AVG NIH MAX H 1955 1956 1957 1958 1959 1960 1968 1962 1963 l964 1965 1966 1967 8 1968 8.3 1.3 1,3 8 3.3 3.3 3.3 3 0.6 0.6 0.6 8 26.4 26.4 26.4 I 5.2 5.2 5.2 3 _a 1969 4.8 4.1 4.8 4 5.2 5.2 5.2 4 2.7 2.7 2.1 8 44.4 44.4 44.4 5 12.0 12.0 12.0 t 'a 1970 6.3 0.7 15.1 6 f.3 0.0 3.6 6 2.6 0.0 5.2 6 45.3 34.8 64.0 6 10.2 0.7 20.4 6 1978 3.7 8.6 4.6 4 0.9 0.0 1.7 4 5.8 4.8 8.3 4 39.5 34.7 44.9 4 10.4 9.4 18.1 4 8972 4.7 0.8 6.6 3 0.8 0.0 1.2 3 2.5 1.6 3.0 3 32.5 28.4 49.3 3 8.0 2.4 10.8 3 1973 0.1 0.t 0.I I 2.9 2.9 2.9 8 33.4 33.i 33.4 8 1974 0.8 0.8 0.8 1 3.0 3.0 3.0 1 5.5 5.5 5.5 8 46.1 46.1 46.1 1 9.3 9.3 9.3 1 1975 1976 1977 All YEARS 4.6 0.7 15.1 16 1.5 0.0 5.2 17 3.4 0.0 8.3 17 39.9 21.4 64.0 87 9.6 0.7 20.4 16 b e 1
. 4 Trend Analyses The hearing duration discussed in this section is given relative to Interval G of Section 3 of this report. The duration is thus defined: for radiation / safety hearings, as the interval from issuance of Safety Evaluation Supplement (SES) to ASLB decision on radiation / safety matters, for environmental hearings, as the interval from issuance of Final Environmental Statement (FES) to ASLB decision on environmental
- matters, for combined hearings, as the interval from issuance of SES to ASLB decision on combined matters.
The average of the hearing duration is further displayed in annualized form in Figures 8 and 9 for the CP and OL phases, respectively, for the radiation / safety, environmental, and combined hearings. The lower part of Figures 8 and 9 display the average hearing duration as a percentage of the average total length of the corresponding licensing phase (from the appropriate docket date to CP issuance or to OL issuance, whichever applicable). This percentage is also given by the year of docketing. The trend of the average hearing duration over time was investigated for statistical significance using regression analyses. In the analyses, per-formed separately for each phase (CP and OL) and time axis (radiation / safety, environmental, and combineJ), the hearing duration was treated as the de-cendent (predicted) variable. The independent (predicting) variables were 'he date of accketing (in decimal configuration) and the size of the reactor (Cesign El ectrical Rating, in PWe). It should be enchasized at this point that the number of reactors analyzed for the OL phase is substantially smaller t'an t"at of the CP chase. The reason for this is attributable to: (1) milestenes reached by a reactor in the CP phase may not have bee, reacned in the OL onase, and (2) unless construction was contestec, a hearing was not mandatcry during the OL phase. e The results of the statistical analyses are summarized below. (a) CP Pnase, Padiation/ Safety Hearing. Trend over time was detected in the analysis of data from 143 reactors as positive (longer duration ass:ciatad with later docketing) and statistically significant (P < 0.013 A close inspection of the data revealed that entries for 1974 may be out of lir.e because of four reactors (Farris 1, 2, 3, and 4) with unusually long duratier (15 montns each). A second regression analysis was thus performed on the radiation / safety CP data after deleting the four Harris reactors. The new analysis still icentified the trend over time as positive and significant (P < 0.001). The prediction equation, based on 139 reacters, is given as : Durat en (months) = -29.60 - 0.51 X (docket date, decimally configured). d
_ 19 - m R E m e M e 5 W ~ m o C m O e co F-O m u s m 9 - m ~m x s% <w 9O man -.1 .ummm e r L o E " " " " "JtH E zs etw sur 95 5 5 = m .mm zw m> s ~ _o - e - e w x m m o m x aw F *- x U U O e o ^ ~- C ku1 3=9 -atk .w, C u. - 8 w g
- sum,
/**'" % %%=%'
- ae v
me k%%%%%%%%%%%%e 7 h: - e ) C m c e W 5 0
- ~
g - u: _;; ee: 0, 3 1
==c =
- p um,
- F 7
=.= - v =e E
- c., - =-
<5 h k '5 fM ~ T'0-e~
- C 0
/2 WM1 _wG552 ~E9 y* = ~< --t *O.
===1'9 = > =~ T O.. = -e .=.<(** e _ =_ " "Q" 6 -2 I" ad. % .u- .O- . =. - - Z b
- E.= :
b. e E: = 0a = =- -..e _3.=. 2. : N Q Y - _E :-,. 2 :_E x ;5 5 3 <, ". ,f* :: M ) _% ;1
- - E :
C L' 0
::.=
4 ( l<_u oe 555G1$5 <scse-u sw= ~_ s_ l -E pa a a g =E y l$ i i i e i i + i i e n ~
-, - - O O N ~ O N N O O C O <se u ~ ~ ~ O O y C O <e 6 g 5 m;$ 0. a S <* O ,M Zw$ hE '""1 =o e e o i
===m 5 .%u%w w w9 ~ m u w 7 cf. 2 1 s ~, H i m c 4 cc 09 O w O w ~ x x ) h. U U <L c o 2 O O CN D5 = mw v O d O c) -2 m .u ; M e 9 X 0) c l ~ C) ,d, O 5
- a 3
s%%%i-m = m - 7 3 -Z; GJ W
=
I C .w 7 e =..,. = e h['>b ~ { {5 5 k%% -{2,g;I ~ e E 2 ". 5 / 3 = s.. e pee L. = - - .i. t N b N-O Y
- h k
l b. { m# = 5 =a fC - lC e %4 CC 0 O <d y 5 O d25 e z s -. <-e i <: -. c
- =~
ku%0 3w?2EE .= .= OO 0 Z - Z " 52 T EO O, O N "g C 50 C .. A QO 2 w h3 3 2 7bc0 m O .: ED C
- Re.. -xk--
< c d = O 's : 0 ~ 7. e r < >:v d <50<O0 s 65 c 0 ~a-u w .n u h l l l 2 h E l ~ O O Oh EO O C O O O= j ~ 2 O ,O WO = c v N N v >= f,,,- a
. This equation clearly suggests that the radiation / safety hearing is lengthened, on the average, by 1/2 month per year. (b) CP Phase, Environmental Hearing. The regression analysis, based on 74 reactors, detected the trend over time as positive and statistically significant (P < 0.001). The prediction equation is given as: Duration (months) = -71.31 + 1.06 X (docket date, decimally configured). This equation suggests that the environmental hearing is lengthened, on the average, by one month per year. (c) CP Phase, Combined Hearing. Based on 22 reactors docketed between 1970 and 1974, the regression analysis did not detect the hearing duration as significantly correlated with either time or size of the reactor. (d) OL Phase, Radiation / Safety Hearing. The regression analysis based on 22 reactors detected a positive and significant (P < 0.05) trend re-lating docket date to hearing duration. The analysis also detected a significant correlation between hearing duration and reactor size. This is not surprising since reactor size in itself is positively correlated with docket date. The contribution of reactor size, above and beyond the contribution of docket date, to the prediction of hearing duration, however, is not statistically significant. Inspection of Figure 8 shows that no hearing took place between 1962 and 1967. The average radiation / safety hearing duration for 5 reactors dock-eted prior to 1962 is about 3 months, compared to a much higher average for reactors docketed after 1967. Further investigation identifies three reactors (Indian Point 2, Diablo Canyon 1, Diablo Canyon 2) with unusually long haaring duration (34 months, 56 months, 56 months, respectively), all docke* ed af ter 1967. When these three reactors were deleted from the analy.is, the average of la reactors docketed after 1967 was calculated to be about 10 months; significantly higher (P < 0.01) than the average duration for reactors of early vintage. (e) OL Phas?, Environmental Hearing. No environmental hearings were con-ducted prior to 1968. The regression ecuation for 14 reactors docketed for OL after 1967 detected date of docketing to ce a significant pre-dictor (P < 0.01) of the corresconding hearing duration, as given in the #clicwing ecuation: Duration (months) = 421.56 - 6.08 X (docket date, decinally configured). Thus the hearing duration accears to have been on the increase at the rate of 6 months per year.
, (f) OL Phase, Combined Hearing. The average hearing for 22 reactors docketed between 1968 and 1974 was about a year. The regression analysit detected no significant trend in the duration of the hearing. Neither was reactor size significant as a predictor in this analysis.
. 5. Findings The findings of this study are given below: 1. The CP radiation / safety hearing duration averaged about 3 months for reactors docketed prior to 1968. Excepting the year 1971 (Harris 1, 2, 3, and 4 docketed for CP in 1971; the hearing for the Harris reactors lasted close to 5 years), the corresponding average hearing duration rose to about 8 months for reactors docketed in the years 1968 through 1976. The regression analysis run on 129 reactors detected a general upward trend in the hearing duration. The hearing process was found to be prolonged at the rate of 1/2 month per year. 2. The CP environrental hearing duration averaged about 7 months. The statistical analysis for 74 reactors detected a significant upward trend, with a one month extension of the hearing duration for Every year of delay in docketing. 3. The CP combined hearing duration for 22 reactors scattered around an average of one year. The statistical analysis did not detect any trend in the behavior of the duration of the combined hearing. 4 The CL radiation / safety hearing duration averaged 3 months for 5 reactors docketed before 1962, and about 10 months for 17 reactors docketed after 1967. The increase was detected significant at the 0.01 level. It should be noted that there were no hearings at the OL phase between 1962 and 1967. l 5. The CL environmental hearing duration had a strong upward trend since 1968. The regression analysis, based on la reactors, indicated a 6 month increase in the hearing duration for every year of delay in docketing. 6. The OL combined hearing duration was analyzed for 22 reactors docketed between 1968 and 1974 The duration was scattered arcurd an average of one year without an apparent trenc. 7 Generally speaking, the radiation / safety hearing in the 1970s constituted a larger share (percentage, as appears in Figures 8 and 9) of the length of the CP and the CL phases than in the 1350s and the 19fCs. The shar? (percentage) of the environmental nearings a ears to increase over time. The share of the duration of the cortired hear ngs was fluctuating witn-d out pattern for the CP :hase and essentially constant (arounc 205) for the CL phase, f 1
A-1 APPENDIX A -- DATA BASE AND DATA ELEMENTS Numerous milestones may be identified in the process leading to the commercial operation of a nuclear reactor. Many of the milestones are unique to the reactor, to its site, to the state in which it is built, or to its manufacturer. The milestones selected for study in this report appear to be a part in the development of most. if not all, nuclear reactors built in the U.S. Tables A.1 and A.2 list key milestones in various stages of development or operation. The dates of these milestones are stored in a WYLBUR* data base named CALENDAR in a calendar format (MMDDYY), where the day of the month (DD) is entered as 15 when DD is not known. A second 'JYLBUR data base, named DECIMAL, stores the same dates in a decimal configuration. This con-figuration is done via a computer program named HEARING. Data for this study were obtained from the following sources: Licensing Online Retrievable Data System - Progress Summary Report, Active File. Run date 11/30/79 - Progress Sunmary Report, History File. Run date 12/01/79 - Facility Master File. Run date 11/29/79 USNRC Program Summary Report (Rrown Book) - Vol. 3, No.11,11/16/79 The criterion for including a reactor in the data base was a start of a hearing (radiation / safety, environmental, or combined). 'W(LEUR is an NIn-imoiementec computer utility program whicn functions as a re cte job entry facility.
A-2 TABLE A.1 SELECTED MILESTONES IN THE LICENSING PROCESS -- CONSTRUCTION PERMIT APPLICATION PHASE Dl: Date of docketing - the earlier of D2 or D3 D2: Date of the Safety Analysis Report (SAR) was docketed D3: Date the Environmental Report (ER) was docketed 04: Date of issuance of Safety Evaluation Supplement (SES) DS: Date of issuance of Final Environmental Statement (FES) 06: Date of earliest start of Radiation / Safety If RSH and EH are com-Hearing (RSH) f bined, D6 contains the I date of the start of the D7: Date of earliest start of Environmental I Combined Hearing (CH), Hearing (EH) and no entry is made for i D7. l D8: Date of end of RSH If RSH and EH are com-I bined, D8 contains the 09: Date of end of EH [ date of the start of CH, and no entry is made for 09. i D10: Date of Atomic Safety and Licensing Board If RSH and EH are com-(ASLS) decision on Radiation / Safety matters bined, D10 contains the f date of the ASLB decision, Dil: Date of ASLB decision on Environmental matters and no entry is made for Dll. D12: Date of issuance of Limited Work Authorization (LWA 1) 4 013: Date of issuance of Second Limited Work Authorization (LWA 2) Dla: Date of issuance of Construction Pemit (CP) 015: Date of start of construction
A-3 TABLE A.2 SELECTED MILESTONES IN THE LICENSING PROCESS -- OPERATING LICENSE APPLICATION PHASE D16: Date of docketing - the earlier of D17 or D18 D17: Date the Safety Analysis Report (5AR) was docketed D18: Date the Environmental Report (ER) was docketed D19: Date of issuance of Safety Evaluation Supplement (SES) D20: Date of issuance of Final Environmental Statement (FES) 021: Date of earliest start of Radiation / Safety If RSH and EH are com-Hearing (RSH) bined, D21 is identified 5 as the start of the Com-022: Date of earliest start of Environmental I bined Hearing (CH), and Hearing (EH) D22 is not given. D23: Date of end of Radiation / Safety Hearing If RSH and EH are com-bined, D23 is identified as tne enc of tne Com-D24: Date of end of Environmental Hearing bined Hearing, and D24 is not given. A combined RSH and EH D25: Date of Atomic Safety and Licensing Board (ASLB) decision on Radiation / Safety decision date is given i ( by D25, anc D25 is not 026: Date of ASLB decision on Environmental
- given, matters i
D27: Date of issuance of Initial License (IL) D28: Date of issuance of Full Pcwer Operating License (CL) D29: Date of fuel load D3D: Date of first criticality l 031: Date of ccreercial operation t l l l l l
== \\.- t B-1 l APPENDIX B -- SELECTED TIME INTERVALS l l Time intervals in this study were selected to reflect duration of major activities in the licensing process. Tables B.1 and B.2 identify and i provide a systematic notation for the selected intervals. In the con-text of this report, T(I,J) denotes the time interval between two mile-stones DI and DJ, where DI and DJ are any two dates defined by Tables A,1 and A.2 of Appendix A. t i a l i t
B-2 TABLE B.1 SELECTED TIME INTERVALS IN THE LICENSING PROCESS CONSTRUCTION PERMIT APPLICATION PHASE Notation
- Interval T(2,4):
Time from locketing of Safety Analysis Report (SAR) to issuance of Safety Evaluation Supplement (SES) T(3,5): Time from docketing of Environmental Report (ER) to issuance of Final Environmental Statement (FES) T(?,6): Time from issuance of SES to earliest start of Radiation / Safety Hearing (RSH) T(5,7): Time from issuance of FES to earliest start of Environmental Hearing (EH) T(6,8): Time from earliest start of RSH to end If RSH and EH are com-of RSH binsd, T(6, 8) denotes time from start of Com-T(7,9): Time from earliest start of EH to end bined Hearing (CH) to of EH J end of CH and T(7, 9) is not applicable. i 1 If RSH and EH are com-T(8,10): Time from end of RSH to ASLB decision on Radiation / Safety matters cined, T(8, 10) denotes I time from end of CH to T(9,11): Time from end of EH to ASLB decision ASL3 combined decision a on Environmental matters i and T(9, 11) is not acplicable. T(4,10): Time from issuance of SES to ASLB decisicn cn Raciation/ Safety ratters, which is equivalent to T(?, 6) + T(6, 8) - T(3, 10). This cuantity is not computed for CH. T(5,11): Time from issuance of FES to ASLB decision on Environmental matters, which is equivalent to T(5, 7) + T(7, 9) + T(9, 11). This quantity is not cceputed for CH. T(10,la): Time from ASLB decision on Radiation / If RSH and EH are com-Safety matters to issuance of Con-bined, T(10, 14) denotes time from combined ASLE struction Permit (CP) - f decision to issuance of T(ll,la): Time from ASLB cecision on Environmental CP and T(ll, la) is not l 1 acclicable. ) matters to issuance of CP t
- Tne sycool T(I, J) cenotes time interval between I:n rilestone cate (DI) ana Jtn milestone date (DJ); e.g. T(2, a) = D' - 02. The miles:cnes are given in Appendix A.
B-3 TABLE B.1 (Continued) T(1,14): Time from docketing of SAR or ER, which-If RSH and EH are com-ever carlier, to issuance of CP bined, T(2, 14) is used and T(1, 14) and T(3, 14) T(2,14): Time from docketing of SAR t.; issuance ) are not applicable. of CP T(3,14): Time from docketing of ER to issuance of CP j
B-4 TABLE B.2 SELECTED TIME INTERVALS IN THE LICENSING PROCESS -- CPERATING LICENSE APPLICATION PHASE Notation
- Interval T(17,19):
Time from docketing of Safety Analysis Report (SAR) to issuance of Safety Evaluation Supplement (SES) T(18,20): Time from docketing of Environmental Report (ER) to issuance of Final Environmental Statement (FES) T(19,21): Time from issuance of SES to earliest start of Radiation / Safety Hearing (RSH) j T(20,22): Time from issuance of FES to earliest start of Environmental Hearing (EH) T(21,23): Time from earliest start of RSH to end of' If RSH and EH are con-RSH bined, T(21, 23) denotes ( time from start of Com-T(22,24): Time from earliest start of EH to end of I bined Hearing (CH) to EH end of CH and T(22, 24) l is not applicable. i T(23, 25): Time from end of RSH to ASLB decision on If RSH and EH are com-Radiation / Safety matters bined, T(23, 25) denotes I time from end of CH to T(24,26): Time from end of EH to ASLB decision on I ASLB combined decision Environmental matters i and T(24, 26)is not applicable. i T(19,25): Time frc.n issuance of SES to ASLB decision on Radiation / Safety matters, which as equivalent to T(19, 21) + T(21, 23) + T(23, 25). This quantity is not computed for CH. T(20,26): Time from issuance of FES to ASLB decision on Environmental matters, which is equivalent to T(20, 22) + T(22, 24) + T(24, 26). This quantity is not computed for CH. If RSH and EH are com-T(25, 2S): Time from ASLB decision on Radiation / Safety matters to issuance of Operating bined, T(25, 23) denotes License (OL) ( time from combined ASLB 1 decision to issuance of T(26,23): Time from ASLB decision on Environmental OL and T(26, 28) is not matters to issuance of OL applicable.
- Tne symcoi T(1, J) denotes time intervai between Itn milestone cate (DJ) and the Jth milestone date (DJ); e.g. T(17,19) = D19 - 017 The milestones are given in Appendix A.
l i i B-5 i TABLE B.2 (Continued) f T(16,28): Time from docketing of SAR or ER, If RSH and EH are com-whichever earlier, to issuance of OL bined. T(17, 28) is used and T(16, 28) and T(18, 28) T(17,28): Time from docketing of SAR to issuance ) are not applicable. of OL T(18,28): Time from docketing of ER to issuance of 0L s e i 1 s I J \\ 4 i i i I s.,_ -,_. - - - -. _ -., +. - - -,, _. - -. -,. --....,----,,-.m ,-r..- e}}