ML18355A687
| ML18355A687 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Issue date: | 12/20/2018 |
| From: | Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research |
| To: | |
| References | |
| Download: ML18355A687 (5) | |
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4th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Workshop 12/20/2018 DRAFT agenda only. Subject to change.
1 January 29-31, 2019 U.S. NRC Headquarters, Rockville, Maryland On January 29-31, 2019, the Nuclear Regulatory Commissions Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research (NRC/RES) will host the 4th Annual NRC Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment (PFHA) Research Workshop at NRC headquarters in Rockville, Maryland. Staff and contractors from NRC, Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI),
federal agencies, industry, and other organizations involved in flood hazard assessment, flood risk assessment, and flood protection/mitigation research will provide information on recent results, current activities, and perspectives on future research directions. This three-day workshop is open to the public at no charge.
AGENDA: TUESDAY, JANUARY 29, 2019 09:00 - 09:10 Welcome & Logistics Session 1A: Introduction Session Chair: TBD 09:10 - 09:25 Introduction 1A-1 Raymond Furstenau*, Director, Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research 09:25 - 09:45 NRC Flooding Research Program Overview 1A-2 Joseph Kanney*, Meredith Carr, Tom Aird, Elena Yegorova, Mark Fuhrmann & Jacob Philip, NRC/RES 09:45 - 10:05 EPRI Flooding Research Program Overview 1A-3 Marko Randelovic*, Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) 10:05 - 10:20 WGEV Flooding Overview 1A-4 John Nakoski*, NRC/RES 10:20 - 10:35 BREAK
- denotes presenter, ^ denotes remote presenter
4th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Workshop 12/20/2018 DRAFT agenda only. Subject to change.
2 Session 1B: Coastal Flooding Session Chair: TBD 10:35 - 11:05 KEYNOTE: NWS Storm Surge Ensemble Guidance 1B-1 Arthur Taylor*, NWS 11:05 - 11:30 Quantification of Uncertainty in Probabilistic Storm Surge Models 1B-2 Norberto C. Nadal-Caraballo*, & Victor Gonzalez, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) R&D Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory 11:30 - 11:55 Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Using the Joint Probability Method for Hurricane Storm Surge 1B-3 Michael B. Salisbury^ (EPRI Contractor) 11:55 - 12:20 Assessment of Epistemic Uncertainty for Probabilistic Storm Surge Hazard Assessment using a Logic Tree Approach 1B-4 Bin Wang*, GZA 12:20 - 13:00 Coastal Flooding Panel 1B-5 13:00 - 14:00 LUNCH Session 1C: Precipitation Session Chair: TBD 14:00 - 14:30 KEYNOTE: Satellite Precipitation Estimates, GPM, and Extremes 1C-1 George J. Huffman*, NASA/GSFC 14:30 - 14:55 Planned Improvements for NOAA Atlas 14 Process and Products 1C-2 Sanja Perica*, Sandra Pavlovic, Michael St. Laurent, Carl Trypaluk, Dale Unruh, Orlan Wilhite, NOAA/NWS 14:55 - 15:20 Factors Affecting the Development of Precipitation Areal Reduction Factors Shih-Chieh Kao*, Scott DeNeale, ORNL 1C-3 15:20 - 15:35 BREAK 15:35 - 16:00 Current Capabilities for Developing Watershed Precipitation-Frequency Relationships and Storm-Related Inputs for Stochastic Flood Modeling for Use in Risk-Informed Decision-Making 1C-4 M.G. Schaefer*, MGS Engineering Consultants, Inc.
16:00 - 16:25 Current Use of Reanalysis in Flood Hazard Assessments 1C-5 Jason Caldwell *, Weather & Water, Inc.
16:25 - 17:05 Precipitation Panel Discussion 1C-6 17:05 - 17:20 Daily Wrap-up
4th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Workshop 12/20/2018 DRAFT agenda only. Subject to change.
3 AGENDA: WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 30, 2019 08:20 - 08:30 Day 2 Welcome Session 2A: Riverine Flooding Session Chair: TBD 08:30 - 9:00 KEYNOTE: An Overview NOAAs National Water Model 2A-1 Brian Cosgrove*1, David Gochis 2, Thomas Graziano1, Ed Clark1, Trey Flowers1, Fred Ogden1; 1Office of Water Prediction, National Weather Service, NOAA; 2Research Applications Laboratory, NCAR 09:00 - 09:25 Global Sensitivity Analyses Applied to Riverine Flood Modeling 2A-2 Vincent Rebour and Claire-Marie Duluc, Institut de radioprotection et de sûreté nucléaire (IRSN) Radioprotection and Nuclear Safety Institute 09:25 - 09:50 Practical Approaches to Probabilistic Flood Estimates: an Australian perspective 2A-3 Rory Nathan*, University of Melbourne 09:50 - 10:15 Bulletin 17C Flood Frequency and Extrapolations for Dams and Nuclear Facilities 2A-4 J. England*, USACE, Risk Management Center 10:15 - 10:35 BREAK 10:35 - 11:00 Riverine Paleoflood Analyses in Risk-Informed Decision Making:
Improving Hydrologic Loading Input for USACE Dam Safety Evaluations 2A-5 Justin Pearce*, USACE, Risk Management Center; Keith Kelson, USACE, Sacramento Dam Safety Production Center; Brian Hall, USACE, Dam Safety Modification Mandatory Center of Expertise 11:00 - 11:25 Improving Flood Frequency Analysis with a Multi-Millennial Record of Extreme Floods on the Tennessee River near Chattanooga, TN 2A-6 Tess Harden*, Jim OConnor & Mackenzie Keith, U.S.
Geological Survey 11:25 - 12:05 Riverine Flooding Panel Discussion 12:05 - 13:25 LUNCH
4th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Workshop 12/20/2018 DRAFT agenda only. Subject to change.
4 Session 2B: Modeling Frameworks Session Chair: TBD 13:25 - 13:50 Structured Hazard Assessment Committee Process for Flooding (SHAC-F) for Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment 2B-1 Rajiv Prasad* & Phillip Meyer, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory; Kevin Coppersmith, Coppersmith Consulting 13:50- 14:15 Overview of the TVA PFHA Calculation System 2B-2 Shaun Carney*, RTI 14:15 - 14:40 Update on ANS-2.8: Probabilistic Evaluation of External Flood Hazards for Nuclear Facilities 2B-3 Tentative: Ray Schneider, Westinghouse 2B-4 14:40 - 15:20 Modeling Frameworks Panel Discussion 15:20 - 15:35 Daily Wrap-up 15:35 - 16:50 Session 2C: Poster Session 18:00 Group Dinner: TBD AGENDA: THURSDAY, JANUARY 31, 2019 08:20 - 08:30 Day 3 Welcome Session 3A: Climate and Non-stationarity Session Chair: TBD 08:30 - 09:00 KEYNOTE: Hydroclimatic Extremes Trends and Projections: A View from the Fourth National Climate Assessment 3A-1 Kenneth Kunkel*, North Carolina State University 09:00 - 09:25 Regional Climate Change Projections: Potential Impacts to Nuclear Facilities 3A-2 L. Ruby Leung* & Rajiv Prasad, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory 09:25 - 09:50 Role of Climate Change/Variability in the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season 3A-3 Young-Kwon Lim*, GSFC/NASA 9:50 - 10:30 Climate Panel Discussion 3A-5 10:30 - 10:50 BREAK
4th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Workshop 12/20/2018 DRAFT agenda only. Subject to change.
5 Session 3B: Flood Protection and Plant Response Session Chair: TBD 10:50 - 11:15 Qualitative Risk Ranking Process of External Flood Penetration Seals 3B-1 Marko Randelovic*, EPRI 11:15-11:40 Results of Performance of Flood-Rated Penetration Seals Tests 3B-2 William (Mark) Cummings^, Fisher Engineering, Inc. (formerly Fire Risk Management, Inc.)
11:40- 1205 Modeling Overtopping Erosion Tests of Zoned Rockfill Embankments 3B-3 Tony Wahl^, U.S. Bureau of Reclamation 12:05-12:45 Flood Protection and Plant Response Panel Discussion 3B-4 12:45 - 13:45 LUNCH Session 3C: Towards External Flooding PRA Session Chair: TBD 13:45 - 14:10 External Flooding PRA Walkdown Guidance 3C-1 Marko Randelovic*, EPRI 14:10 - 14:35 Updates on the Revision and Expansion of the External Flooding PRA Standard 3C-2 Michelle(Shelby) Bensi*, University of Maryland 14:35 - 15:00 Tentative: External Flooding PRA Presentation 3C-3 Invited Speaker 15:00 - 15:40 Towards External Flooding PRA Discussion Panel 3C-4 15:40 - 16:00 Wrap-up Discussion