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Kld TR-528, Final Report, Rev. 1, Development of Evacuation Time Estimates, Chapter 8 Transit-Dependent and Special Facility Evacuation Time Estimates, Page 8-1 Through Appendix H, Evaluation Regions Cover Page
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8 TRANSITDEPENDENTANDSPECIALFACILITYEVACUATIONTIMEESTIMATES

Thissectiondetailstheanalysesappliedandtheresultsobtainedintheformofevacuationtime

estimates for transit vehicles. The demand for transit service reflects the needs of three

populationgroups:(1)residentswithnovehiclesavailable;(2)residentsofspecialfacilitiessuch

as schools, medical facilities, and correctional facilities; and (3) homebound special needs

population.

These transit vehicles mix with the general evacuation traffic that is comprised mostly of

passengercars(pcs).Thepresenceofeachtransitvehicleintheevacuatingtrafficstreamis

representedwithinthemodelingparadigmdescribedinAppendixDasequivalenttotwopcs.

Thisequivalencefactorrepresentsthelongersizeandmoresluggishoperatingcharacteristics

ofatransitvehicle,relativetothoseofapc.

Transit vehicles must be mobilized in preparation for their respective evacuation missions.

Specifically:

Busdriversmustbealerted

Theymusttraveltothebusdepot

Theymustbebriefedthereandassignedtoarouteorfacility

Theseactivitiesconsumetime.Basedondiscussionwiththeoffsiteagencies,itisestimated

thatbusmobilizationtimeswillaverageapproximately180minutesfortheschoolbusesofthe

combined James City County and Williamsburg school district, 110 minutes for York County

schoolsbuses,145minutesforschoolbusesinallothercities/countiesand180minutesfor

transitbuses,extendingfromtheAdvisorytoEvacuate,tothetimewhenbusesfirstarriveat

the facility to be evacuated. These mobilization times are increased for rain and snow/ice

conditionsby10and20minutesrespectively.

Duringthismobilizationperiod,othermobilizationactivitiesaretakingplace.Oneoftheseis

theactiontakenbyparents,neighbors,relativesandfriendstopickupchildrenfromschool

prior to the arrival of buses, so that they may join their families. Virtually all studies of

evacuations have concluded that this bonding process of uniting families is universally

prevalentduringemergenciesandshouldbeanticipatedintheplanningprocess.Thecurrent

publicinformationdisseminatedtoresidentsoftheSPSEPZindicatesthatschoolchildrenmay

beevacuatedtoreceivingschoolsatemergencyactionlevelsofAlertorhigher.Asdiscussedin

Section 2, this study assumes a fast breaking general emergency. Therefore, children are

evacuatedtoreceivingschools.Pickingupchildrenatschoolcouldaddtotrafficcongestionat

theschools,delayingthedepartureofthebusesevacuatingschoolchildren,whichmayhaveto

returninasubsequentwavetotheEPZtoevacuatethetransitdependentpopulation.This

reportprovidesestimatesofbusesundertheassumptionthatnochildrenwillbepickedupby

their parents (in accordance with NUREG/CR7002), to present an upper bound estimate of

buses required. It is assumed that children at daycare centers without dedicated

transportationresourcesarepickedupbyparentsorguardiansandthatthetimetoperform

thisactivityisincludedinthetripgenerationtimesdiscussedinSection5.

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TheprocedureforcomputingtransitdependentETEisto:

Estimatedemandfortransitservice

Estimatetimetoperformalltransitfunctions

EstimateroutetraveltimestotheEPZboundaryandtotheEvacuationAssembly

Centers(EAC)

8.1 TransitDependentPeopleDemandEstimate

The telephone survey (see Appendix F) results were used to estimate the portion of the

populationrequiringtransitservice:

Thosepersonsinhouseholdsthatdonothaveavehicleavailable.

Thosepersonsinhouseholdsthatdohavevehicle(s)thatwouldnotbeavailableat

thetimetheevacuationisadvised.

Inthelattergroup,thevehicle(s)maybeusedbyacommuter(s)whodoesnotreturn(orisnot

expectedtoreturn)hometoevacuatethehousehold.

Table81presentsestimatesoftransitdependentpeople.Note:

Estimatesofpersonsrequiringtransitvehiclesincludeschoolchildren.Forthose

evacuationscenarioswherechildrenareatschoolwhenanevacuationisordered,

separatetransportationisprovidedfortheschoolchildren.Theactualneedfor

transitvehiclesbyresidentsistherebylessthanthegivenestimates.However,

estimatesoftransitvehiclesarenotreducedwhenschoolsareinsession.

Itisreasonableandappropriatetoconsiderthatmanytransitdependentpersons

willevacuatebyridesharingwithneighbors,friendsorfamily.Forexample,nearly

80percentofthosewhoevacuatedfromMississauga,Ontariowhodidnotusetheir

owncars,sharedaridewithneighborsorfriends.Otherdocumentsreportthat

approximately70percentoftransitdependentpersonswereevacuatedviaride

sharing.Wewilladoptaconservativeestimatethat50percentoftransit

dependentpersonswillrideshare,inaccordancewithNUREG/CR7002.

Theestimatednumberofbustripsneededtoservicetransitdependentpersonsisbasedonan

estimateofaveragebusoccupancyof30personsattheconclusionofthebusrun.Transit

vehicleseatingcapacitiestypicallyequalorexceed60childrenonaverage(roughlyequivalent

to40adults).Iftransitvehicleevacueesaretwothirdsadultsandonethirdchildren,thenthe

numberofadultseatstakenby30personsis20+(2/3x10)=27.Onthisbasis,theaverage

loadfactoranticipatedis(27/40)x100=68percent.Thus,iftheactualdemandforservice

exceeds the estimates of Table 81 by 50 percent, the demand for service can still be

accommodatedbytheavailablebusseatingcapacity.

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Table 81 indicates that transportation must be provided for 3,480 people. Therefore, an

estimated116busrunsarerequiredtoservicethisdemand.However,122busesareneededin

ordertomeetthenecessarydemandinurbanareaswhileservicingallofthe9rural,lightly

populatedbusroutesoutlinedthecountyemergencyplanswithonebuseach.

Toillustratethisestimationprocedure,wecalculatethenumberofpersons,P,requiringpublic

transitorrideshare,andthenumberofbuses,B,requiredfortheSPSEPZ:

Where,

A=Percentofhouseholdswithcommuters

C=Percentofhouseholdswhowillnotawaitthereturnofacommuter

Thesecalculationsareexplainedasfollows:

Allmembers(1.50avg.)ofhouseholds(HH)withnovehicles(3.23%)willevacuateby

publictransitorrideshare.Theterm61,813(numberofhouseholds)x0.0323x

1.50,accountsforthesepeople.

ThemembersofHHwith1vehicleaway(27.27%),whoareathome,equal(1.791).

ThenumberofHHwherethecommuterwillnotreturnhomeisequalto(61,813x

0.2727x0.57x0.40),as57%ofEPZhouseholdshaveacommuter,40%ofwhich

wouldnotreturnhomeintheeventofanemergency.Thenumberofpersonswho

willevacuatebypublictransitorrideshareisequaltotheproductofthesetwo

terms.

ThemembersofHHwith2vehiclesthatareaway(50.71%),whoareathome,equal

(2.57-2).ThenumberofHHwhereneithercommuterwillreturnhomeisequalto

61,813x0.5071x(0.57x0.40)2.Thenumberofpersonswhowillevacuatebypublic

transitorrideshareisequaltotheproductofthesetwoterms(thelasttermis

squaredtorepresenttheprobabilitythatneithercommuterwillreturn).

Householdswith3ormorevehiclesareassumedtohavenoneedfortransit

vehicles.

ThetotalnumberofpersonsrequiringpublictransitisthesumofsuchpeopleinHH

withnovehicles,orwith1or2vehiclesthatareawayfromhome.

TheestimateoftransitdependentpopulationinTable81farexceedsthenumberofregistered

transitdependent persons in the EPZ as provided by thecities/counties (discussed below in

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Section8.5).ThisisconsistentwiththefindingsofNUREG/CR6953,Volume2,inthatalarge

majorityofthetransitdependentpopulationwithintheEPZsofU.S.nuclearplantsdoesnot

registerwiththeirlocalemergencyresponseagency.

TheRERPofthecitiesandcountiesstatethatifanevacuationadvisoryisissued,newsreleases

willprovidethepublicwithtelephonenumberstocallinordertogettransportationassistance.

8.2 SchoolPopulation-TransitDemand

Table 82 presents the school population and transportation requirements for the direct

evacuationofallschoolswithintheEPZforthe20112012schoolyear.Thisinformationwas

provided by the local emergency management agencies. The column in Table 82 entitled

BusesRequiredspecifiesthenumberofbusesrequiredforeachschoolunderthefollowing

setofassumptionsandestimates:

Nostudentswillbepickedupbytheirparentspriortothearrivalofthebuses.

Whilemanyhighschoolstudentscommutetoschoolusingprivateautomobiles(as

discussedinSection2.4ofNUREG/CR7002),theestimateofbusesrequiredfor

schoolevacuationdonotconsidertheuseoftheseprivatevehicles.

Buscapacity,expressedinstudentsperbus,issetto70forprimaryschoolsand50

formiddleandhighschools.

Thosestaffmemberswhodonotaccompanythestudentswillevacuateintheir

privatevehicles.

Noallowanceismadeforstudentabsenteeism,typically3percentdaily.

It is recommended that the cities/counties in the EPZ introduce procedures whereby the

schoolsarecontactedpriortothedispatchofbusesfromthedepot,toascertainthecurrent

estimate of students to be evacuated. In this way, the number of buses dispatched to the

schoolswillreflecttheactualnumberneeded.Theneedforbuseswouldbereducedbyany

high school students who have evacuated using private automobiles (if permitted by school

authorities).Thosebusesoriginallyallocatedtoevacuateschoolchildrenthatarenotneeded

due to children being picked up by their parents, can be gainfully assigned to service other

facilitiesorthosepersonswhodonothaveaccesstoprivatevehiclesortoridesharing.

Table83presentsalistofthereceivingschoolsforeachschoolintheEPZthatdoesnotrelyon

parentstoprovideforthetransportationofstudents.Studentswillbetransportedtothese

schools where they will be subsequently retrieved by their respective families. York County

schools may evacuate to either New Kent High School (NKHS) or Grafton Complex (GC)

dependingonprevailingconditions.

8.3 MedicalFacilityDemand

Table84presentsthecensusofmedicalfacilitiesintheEPZ.993peoplehavebeenidentified

aslivingin,orbeingtreatedin,thesefacilities.Thecapacityandcurrentcensusforeachfacility

were provided by the local emergency management agencies. This data also includes the

number of ambulatory, wheelchairbound and bedridden patients for a portion of these

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facilities.Theaveragedistributionofambulatory,wheelchairboundandbedriddenpatientsfor

thoseprovidedwereappliedtotheremainingfacilities.

ThetransportationrequirementsforthemedicalfacilitypopulationarealsopresentedinTable

84. The number of ambulance runs is determined by assuming that 2 patients can be

accommodated per ambulance trip; the number of wheelchair bus runs assumes 20

wheelchairspertripandthenumberofbusrunsestimatedassumes30ambulatorypatientsper

trip.

8.4 EvacuationTimeEstimatesforTransitDependentPeople

EPZbusresourcesareassignedtoevacuatingschoolchildren(ifschoolisinsessionatthetime

oftheATE)asthefirstpriorityintheeventofanemergency.Intheeventthattheallocationof

busesdispatchedfromthedepotstothevariousfacilitiesandtothebusroutesissomewhat

inefficient,orifthereisashortfallofavailabledrivers,thentheremaybeaneedforsome

busestoreturntotheEPZfromtheassemblycenteraftercompletingtheirfirstevacuationtrip,

tocompleteasecondwaveofprovidingtransportservicetoevacuees.Forthisreason,the

ETE for the transitdependent population will be calculated for both a one wave transit

evacuationandfortwowaves.Ofcourse,iftheimpactedEvacuationRegionisotherthanR03

(the entire EPZ), then there will likely be ample transit resources relative to demand in the

impactedRegionandthisdiscussionofasecondwavewouldlikelynotapply.

Whenschoolevacuationneedsaresatisfied,subsequentassignmentsofbusestoservicethe

transitdependentshouldbesensitivetotheirmobilizationtime.Clearly,thebusesshouldbe

dispatchedafterpeoplehavecompletedtheirmobilizationactivitiesandareinapositionto

boardthebuseswhentheyarriveatthepickuppoints.

Evacuation Time Estimates for transit trips were developed using both good weather and

adverseweatherconditions.Figure81presentsthechronologyofeventsrelevanttotransit

operations.TheelapsedtimeforeachactivitywillnowbediscussedwithreferencetoFigure

81.

Activity:MobilizeDrivers(ABC)

MobilizationistheelapsedtimefromtheAdvisorytoEvacuateuntilthetimethebusesarriveat

thefacilitytobeevacuated.Localemergencyplannersprovidedestimatesforlengthoftime

schoolbusdriverswouldlikelyrequiretobecontacted,totraveltothedepot,bebriefed,and

to travel to the transitdependent facilities. The responses varied by city/county from 110

minutesto180minutes,withanaverageof145minutes.Mobilizationtimeisslightlylongerin

adverseweather-10minuteslongerwhenraining,20minuteslongerwhensnowing.

Activity:BoardPassengers(CD)

Basedondiscussionswithoffsiteagencies,aloadingtimeof15minutes(20minutesforrain

and25minutesforsnow)forschoolbusesisused.

For multiple stops along a pickup route (transitdependent bus routes) estimation of travel

timemustallowforthedelayassociatedwithstoppingandstartingateachpickuppoint.The

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time,t,requiredforabustodecelerateatarate,a,expressedinft/sec/sec,fromaspeed,

v,expressedinft/sec,toastop,ist=v/a.Assumingthesameaccelerationrateandfinal

speedfollowingthestopyieldsatotaltime,T,toserviceboardingpassengers:

,

WhereB=Dwelltimetoservicepassengers.Thetotaldistance,sinfeet,travelledduringthe

deceleration and acceleration activities is: s = v2/a. If the bus had not stopped to service

passengers,buthadcontinuedtotravelatspeed,v,thenitstraveltimeoverthedistance,s,

wouldbe:s/v=v/a.Thenthetotaldelay(i.e.pickuptime,P)toservicepassengersis:

Assigningreasonableestimates:

B=50seconds:agenerousvalueforasinglepassenger,carryingpersonalitems,to

boardperstop

v=25mph=37ft/sec

a=4ft/sec/sec,amoderateaveragerate

Then,P1minuteperstop.Allowing30minutespickuptimeperbusrunimplies30stopsper

run,forgoodweather.Itisassumedthatbusaccelerationandspeedwillbelessinrain;total

loadingtimeis40minutesperbusinrain,50minutesinsnow.

Activity:TraveltoEPZBoundary(DE)

SchoolEvacuation

Transportation resources available were provided by the EPZ city/county emergency

managementagenciesandaresummarizedinTable85. Alsoincludedinthetablearethe

numberofbusesneededtoevacuateschools,medicalfacilities,transitdependentpopulation,

andhomeboundspecialneeds(discussedbelowinSection8.5).Thesenumbersindicatethere

aresufficientresourcesavailabletoevacuateeveryoneinasinglewave,withtheexceptionof

the bedridden population within the EPZ, which requires two waves of ambulance

transportation.

Thebusesservicingtheschoolsarereadytobegintheirevacuationtripsatanaverageof160

minutesaftertheadvisorytoevacuate-145minutesmobilizationtimeonaverageplus15

minutesloadingtime-ingoodweather.TheUNITESsoftwarediscussedinSection1.3was

usedtodefinebusroutesalongthemostlikelypathfromaschoolbeingevacuatedtotheEPZ

boundary, traveling toward the appropriate receiving school. This is done in UNITES by

interactivelyselectingtheseriesofnodesfromtheschooltotheEPZboundary.Eachbusroute

isgivenanidentificationnumberandiswrittentotheDYNEVIIinputstream.DYNEVcomputes

theroutelengthandoutputstheaveragespeedforeach5minuteinterval,foreachbusroute.

The specified bus routes are documented in Table 86 (refer to the maps of the linknode

analysis network in Appendix K for node locations). Data provided by DYNEV during the

appropriate timeframe depending on the mobilization and loading times (i.e., 145 to 150

minutesaftertheadvisorytoevacuateforgoodweather)wereusedtocomputetheaverage

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speedforeachroute,asfollows:

The average speed computed (using this methodology) for the buses servicing each of the

schoolsintheEPZisshowninTable87throughTable89forschoolevacuation,andinTable

811throughTable813forthetransitvehiclesevacuatingtransitdependentpersons,which

arediscussedlater.

ThetraveltimetotheEPZboundarywascomputedforeachbususingthecomputedaverage

speedandthedistancetotheEPZboundaryalongthemostlikelyrouteoutoftheEPZ.The

traveltimefromtheEPZboundarytothereceivingschoolwascomputedassuminganaverage

speedof45mph,40mph,and35mphforgoodweather,rainandsnow,respectively.Speeds

werereducedinTable87throughTable89andinTable811throughTable813to45mph

(40mphforrain-10%decrease,roundedtothenearest5mph-and35mphforsnow-20%

decrease,roundedtothenearest5mph)forthosecalculatedbusspeedswhichexceed45mph,

astheschoolbusspeedlimitfornoninterstateroadsinVirginiais45mph,orthespeedlimit,

whicheverisless.

Table 87 (good weather), Table 88 (rain) and Table 89 (snow) present the following

evacuationtimeestimates(roundeduptothenearest5minutes)forschoolsintheEPZ:(1)The

elapsedtimefromtheAdvisorytoEvacuateuntilthebusexitstheEPZ;and(2)Theelapsed

time until the bus reaches the receiving school. The evacuation time out of the EPZ can be

computed as the sum of times associated with Activities ABC, CD, and DE (For

example:180min+15+64=4:20forClaraByrdBakerElementarySchool,withgoodweather).

Theevacuationtimetothereceiverschoolisdeterminedbyaddingthetimeassociatedwith

ActivityEF(discussedbelow),tothisEPZevacuaon.EvacuationtripsoriginatingatanyYork

Countyschoolmaytakeoneoftwopathstoeitherofthetwopotentialreceivingschools.ETE

arereportedforbothpotentialtripsforallYorkCountyschoolsandaredesignatedwiththe

initialsoftherelevantreceiverschool(NKHSorGC)attheendoftheevacuatingschoolsname.

EvacuationofTransitDependentPopulation

The buses dispatched from the depots to service the transitdependent evacuees will be

scheduledsothattheyarriveattheirrespectiveroutesaftertheirpassengershavecompleted

theirmobilization.AsshowninFigure54(ResidentswithnoCommuters),approximately95

percentoftheevacueeswillcompletetheirmobilizationwhenthebuseswillbegintheirroutes,

approximately180minutesaftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate.

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Thosebusesservicingthetransitdependentevacueeswillfirsttravelalongtheirpredestinated

routes,thenproceedoutoftheEPZ.Thecity/countyemergencyplansdefinebusroutes.For

eachlocalityTable86outlinesthe43Generalpopulationbusroutesoutlinedinthecity/county

emergencyplans.Itisassumedthatresidentswillwalktoandcongregateatpredesignated

pickuplocations,andthattheycanarriveatthestopswithinthe180minutebusmobilization

time(goodweather).DetaileddescriptionsofeachbusrouteareavailableinAppendix3ofthe

RadiologicalEmergencyPreparednessPlanforeachrespectivecity/countywithintheEPZ.

As previously discussed, a pickup time of 30 minutes (good weather) is estimated for 30

individualstopstopickuppassengers,withanaverageofoneminuteofdelayassociatedwith

eachstop.Alongerpickuptimeof40minutesand50minutesareusedforrainandsnow,

respectively.

ThetraveldistancealongtherespectivepickuprouteswithintheEPZisestimatedusingGIS

software.BustraveltimeswithintheEPZarecomputedusingaveragespeedscomputedby

DYNEV,usingtheaforementionedmethodologythatwasusedforschoolevacuation.

Table 811 through Table 813 present the transitdependent population evacuation time

estimatesforeachbusroutecalculatedusingtheaboveproceduresforgoodweather,rainand

snow,respectively.

Forexample,theETEforthebusrouteservicingRoute1iscomputedas180+12+30=3:45for

goodweather(roundeduptonearest5minutes).Here,12minutesisthetimetotravel9.1

miles at 44.3 mph, the average speed output by the model for this route starting at 180

minutes.TheETEforasecondwave(discussedbelow)ispresentedintheeventthereisa

shortfallofavailablebusesorbusdrivers,aspreviouslydiscussed.

Activity:TraveltoEvacuationAssemblyCenters(EF)

ThedistancesfromtheEPZboundarytotheevacuationassemblycentersaremeasuredusing

GISsoftwarealongthemostlikelyroutefromtheEPZexitpointtotheassemblycenter.The

assembly centers are mapped in Figure 101. For a onewave evacuation, this travel time

outsidetheEPZdoesnotcontributetotheETE.Foratwowaveevacuation,theETEforbuses

must be considered separately, since it could exceed the ETE for the general population.

Assumed bus speeds of 45 mph, 40 mph, and 35 mph for good weather, rain, and snow,

respectively, will be applied for this activity for buses servicing the transitdependent

population.

Activity:PassengersLeaveBus(FG)

Abuscanemptywithin5minutes.Thedrivertakesa10minutebreak.

Activity:BusReturnstoRouteforSecondWaveEvacuation(GC)

The buses assigned to return to the EPZ to perform a second wave evacuation of transit dependentevacueeswillbethosethathavealreadyevacuatedtransitdependentpeoplewho

mobilizedmorequickly.Thefirstwaveoftransitdependentpeopledepartthebus,andthe

bus then returns to the EPZ, travels to its route and proceeds to pick up more transit dependentevacueesalongtheroute.ThetraveltimebacktotheEPZisequaltothetraveltime

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totheEAC.

ThesecondwaveETEforRoute1iscomputedasfollowsforgoodweather:

BusarrivesatEACat3:55ingoodweather(3:45toexitEPZ+10minutetraveltime

toEAC).

Busdischargespassengers(5minutes)anddrivertakesa10minuterest:15

minutes.

BusreturnstoEPZandcompletessecondroute:22minutes{equaltotraveltimeto

EAC(10minutes)+timetoreturntothebeginningofthebusroute(9.1miles@45

mph)}+12minutes(outboundroutetravel,9.1miles@45mph)=34minutes

Buscompletespickupsalongroute:30minutes.

BusexitsEPZattime3:45+0:10+0:15+0:34+0:30=5:15(roundeduptonearest

5minutes)aftertheAdvisorytoEvacuate.

The ETE for the completion of the second wave for all transitdependent bus routes are

provided in Table 811 through Table 813. The average ETE for a twowave evacuation of

transitdependentpeopleexceedstheETEforthegeneralpopulationatthe90thpercentileby

over2hours.

TherelocationoftransitdependentevacueesfromtheEACtocongregatecarecenters,ifthe

cities/countiesdecidetodoso,isnotconsideredinthisstudy.

EvacuationofMedicalFacilities

Asstatedinthecity/countyRERPs,itisexpectedthatInstitutionswillprovidetransportation

for their own individuals. Additional transportation resources may be available from the

city/county,thedetailsaboutwhichvarybycity/county.

Theevacuationofthesefacilitiesissimilartoschoolevacuationexcept:

Busesareassignedonthebasisof30patientstoallowforstafftoaccompanythe

patients.Wheelchairbusescanaccommodate20patients,andambulancescan

accommodate2patients.

Loadingtimesof1minute,5minutes,and15minutesperpatientareassumedfor

ambulatorypatients,wheelchairboundpatients,andbedriddenpatients,

respectively.

Table84indicatesthat24busruns,24wheelchairbusrunsand56ambulancerunsareneeded

toserviceallofthemedicalfacilitiesintheEPZ.AccordingtoTable85,thecities/countiescan

collectively provide 783 buses, 101 wheelchair buses, and 38 ambulances. Thus, there are

sufficient resources to evacuate the ambulatory and wheelchair bound persons from the

medical facilities in a single wave, but, unless additional ambulances are available from

neighboringcounties,atwowaveevacuationisneededforambulancesevacuatingbedridden

patients.

As in the case of the transit dependent residential population, it is estimated that bus

mobilizationtimeaverages180minutes.Speciallytrainedmedicalsupportstaff(workingtheir

regularshift)willbeonsitetoassistintheevacuationofpatients.Additionalstaff(ifneeded)

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couldbemobilizedoverthissame180minutetimeframe.

Table814throughTable816summarizetheETEformedicalfacilitieswithintheEPZforgood

weather,rain,andsnow.AveragespeedsoutputbythemodelforScenario6(Scenario7for

rainandScenario8forsnow)Region3,cappedat45mph(40mphforrainand35mphfor

snow),areusedtocomputetraveltimetoEPZboundary.ThetraveltimetotheEPZboundary

iscomputedbydividingthedistancetotheEPZboundarybytheaveragetravelspeed.TheETE

isthesumofthemobilizationtime,totalpassengerloadingtime,andtraveltimeoutofthe

EPZ.Concurrentloadingonmultiplebuses,wheelchairbuses/vans,andambulancesatcapacity

isassumedsuchthatthemaximumloadingtimesforbuses,wheelchairbusesandambulances

are30,100and30minutes,respectively.AllETEareroundedtothenearest5minutes.For

example,thecalculationofETEfortheChambrelatWilliamsburgwith46ambulatoryresidents

duringgoodweatheris:

ETE:180+30+49=259min.or4:20roundedtothenearest5minutes.

Itisassumedthatmedicalfacilitypopulationisdirectlyevacuatedtoappropriatehostmedical

facilities.Relocationofthispopulationtopermanentfacilitiesand/orpassingthroughtheEAC

beforearrivingatthehostfacilityarenotconsideredinthisanalysis.

8.5 SpecialNeedsPopulation

The city/county emergency management agencies have a registration for transitdependent

andhomeboundspecialneedspersons.Basedondataprovidedbythecounties,therearean

estimated348peoplewithintheEPZwhorequiretransportationassistancetoevacuate.Details

onthenumberofambulatory,wheelchairboundandbedriddenpeoplewerenotprovidedfor

alllocalities.Itisassumedthatthesamedistributionofambulatory(72.7%),wheelchairbound

(27%)andbedriddenpersons(0%)isapplicabletothoselocations wherespecificswerenot

reported. This results in 253 ambulatory persons, 95 wheelchairbound persons and no

bedriddenpersons.

ETEforHomeboundSpecialNeedsPersons

Table817summarizestheETEforhomeboundspecialneedspeople.Thetableiscategorized

bytypeofvehiclerequiredandthenbrokendownbyweathercondition.Thetabletakesinto

considerationthedeploymentofmultiplevehiclestoreducethenumberofstopspervehicle.

Itisconservativelyassumedthatambulatoryandwheelchairboundspecialneedshouseholds

arespaced3milesapartandbedriddenhouseholdsarespaced5milesapart.Vanandbus

speedsapproximate20mphbetweenhouseholdsandambulancespeedsapproximate30mph

ingoodweather(10%slowerinrain,20%slowerinsnow).Mobilizationtimesof180minutes

wereused(190minutesforrain,and200minutesforsnow).ThelastHHisassumedtobe5

milesfromtheEPZboundary,andthenetworkwideaveragespeed,cappedat45mph(40mph

for rain and 35 mph for snow), after the last pickup is used to compute travel time. ETE is

computedbysummingmobilizationtime,loadingtimeatfirsthousehold,traveltosubsequent

households,loadingtimeatsubsequenthouseholds,andtraveltimetoEPZboundary.AllETE

areroundedtothenearest5minutes.

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For example, assuming no more than one special needs person per HH implies that 253

ambulatoryhouseholdsneedtobeserviced.Whileonly9busesareneededfromacapacity

perspective, if 30 buses are deployed to service these special needs HH, then each would

requireabout9stops.ThefollowingoutlinestheETEcalculations:

1. Assume30busesaredeployed,eachwithabout9stops,toserviceatotalof253HH.

2. TheETEiscalculatedasfollows:

a. Busesarriveatthefirstpickuplocation:180minutes

b. LoadHHmembersatfirstpickup:5minutes

c. Traveltosubsequentpickuplocations:8@9minutes=72minutes

d. LoadHHmembersatsubsequentpickuplocations:8@5minutes=40minutes

e. TraveltoEPZboundary:24minutes(5miles@12.5mph).

ETE:180+5+72+40+24=5:25roundeduptothenearest5minutes

8.6 CorrectionalFacilities

As detailedin Table E6, there is one correctional facilitywithin the EPZ -Virginia Peninsula

RegionalJail.Thecapacityofthisfacilityis595persons.Accordingtoinformationprovidedby

localemergencymanagementofficials,thisfacilitywouldshelterinplaceintheeventofan

evacuationofthegeneralpublic.

SurryPowerStation

812

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Event A

AdvisorytoEvacuate B

BusDispatchedfromDepot C

BusArrivesatFacility/PickupRoute D

BusDepartsforReceptionCenter E

BusExitsRegion F

BusArrivesatAssemblyCenter/HostFacility

G

BusAvailableforSecondWaveEvacuationService Activity AoB DriverMobilization BoC TraveltoFacilityortoPickupRoute CoD PassengersBoardtheBus DoE BusTravelsTowardsRegionBoundary EoF BusTravelsTowardsAssemblyCenterOutsidetheEPZ FoG PassengersLeaveBus;DriverTakesaBreak

Figure81.ChronologyofTransitEvacuationOperations

A B

C D

E F

G Time (SubsequentWave)

SurryPowerStation

813

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

E

Figure82.TransitDependentBusRoutesforIsleofWightCounty

SurryPowerStation

814

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

E

Figure83.TransitDependentBusRoutesforSurryCounty

SurryPowerStation

815

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Figure84.TransitDependentBusRoutesforYorkCounty

SurryPowerStation

816

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Figure85.TransitDependentBusRoutesfortheCityofWilliamsburg

SurryPowerStation

817

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Figure86.TransitDependentBusRoutesforJamesCityCounty

SurryPowerStation

818

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Figure87.TransitDependentBusRoutes2429fortheCityofNewportNews

SurryPowerStation

819

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Figure88.TransitDependentBusRoutes3035fortheCityofNewportNews

SurryPowerStation

820

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Figure89.TransitDependentBusRoutes3643fortheCityofNewportNews

SurryPowerStation

821

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Table81.TransitDependentPopulationEstimates

2010EPZ

Population

SurveyAverageHH

Size

withIndicatedNo.of

Vehicles

Estimated

No.of

Households

SurveyPercentHH

withIndicatedNo.of

Vehicles

Survey

PercentHH with

Commuters

Survey

PercentHH withNon Returning Commuters

Total

People

Requiring Transport

Estimated

Ridesharing Percentage

People

Requiring Public

Transit

Percent

Population Requiring Public

Transit

0

1

2

0

1

2

152,677

1.50

1.79

2.57

61,813

3.23%

27.27%

50.71%

57%

40%

6,960

50%

3,480

2.3%

SurryPowerStation

822

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Table82.SchoolandDaycarePopulationDemandEstimates

PAZ

SchoolName

Local

Enrollment Buses

Required

23

ClaraByrdBakerElementarySchool

509

8

23

DJMontagueElementarySchool

469

7

24

JamestownHighSchool

1,186

24

MatoakaElementarySchool

732

11

24

ProvidenceClassicalSchool

195

4

18C

GileadChristianAcademy

15

0

18D

JamesRiverElementarySchool

493

8

22B

RawlsByrdElementarySchool

461

7

14

GeneralStanfordElementarySchool

575

9

15

BCCharlesElementarySchool

546

8

15

FirstBaptistChurchDenbigh

120

2

15

JenkinsElementarySchool

440

7

15

MenchvilleHighSchool

1,776

36

15

SanfordElementarySchool

630

9

15

WarwickRiverChristianSchool

260

5

16

DavidADutrowElementarySchool

487

7

16

DenbighChristianAcademy

180

0

16

DenbighHighSchool

1,421

29

16

EpesElementarySchool

532

8

16

GeorgeJMcIntoshElementary

500

8

16

HolyTabernacleChristianAcademy

94

2

16

JMDozierMiddleSchool

1,145

23

16

LeeHallElementarySchool

634

10

16

MaryPassageMiddleSchool

969

20

16

OliverCGreenwoodElementarySchool

630

9

16

RichneckElementarySchool

674

10

16

RONelsonElementarySchool

584

9

16

WoodsideHighSchool

2,102

43

21

BerkeleyMiddleSchool

829

17

21

CollegeofWilliamandMary

8,200

34

21

MatthewWhaleyElementarySchool

471

7

21

WalsinghamAcademy(LowerSchool)

318

0

21

WalsinghamAcademy(UpperSchool)

243

0

17

YorktownMiddleSchool

621

15

19A

MagruderElementarySchool

322

9

19A

YorkCountyHeadStart

574

1

20A

BrutonHighSchool

65

13

SurryPowerStation

823

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

PAZ

SchoolName

Local

Enrollment Buses

Required

20A

WallerMillElementarySchool

609

5

20A

WilliamsburgHeadStart

747

1

20B

QueensLakeMiddleSchool

68

12

TOTAL:

31,426

437

Note:Schoolswhichrequire0busesrelyonparentstoprovidetransportationforstudents.

SurryPowerStation

824

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Table83.ReceivingSchools

School

ReceivingSchool

ClaraByrdBakerElementarySchool

NewKentHighSchool

DJMontagueElementarySchool

NewKentHighSchool

JamestownHighSchool

LafayetteHighSchool

MatoakaElementarySchool

JBBlaytonElementary

ProvidenceClassicalSchool

NewKentHighSchool

JamesRiverElementarySchool

ToanoMiddleSchool

RawlsByrdElementarySchool

StonehouseElementary

GeneralStanfordElementarySchool

DeerParkElementarySchool

BCCharlesElementarySchool

CarverElementary

FirstBaptistChurchDenbigh

NewKentHighSchool

JenkinsElementarySchool

CrittendonMiddleSchool

MenchvilleHighSchool

HinesMiddleSchool

SanfordElementarySchool

RiversideElementary

WarwickRiverChristianSchool

TabernacleBaptistChurch

DavidADutrowElementarySchool

NewsomeParkElementary

DavidADutrowElementarySchool

NewsomeParkElementary

DenbighHighSchool

AnAchieveableDreamHighSchool

EpesElementarySchool

KilnCreekElementarySchool

GeorgeJMcIntoshElementary

AnAchievableDreamElementary

HolyTabernacleChristianAcademy

NewportNewsColiseum

JMDozierMiddleSchool

HuntingtonMiddleSchool

LeeHallElementarySchool

WatkinsEarlyChildhoodCenter

MaryPassageMiddleSchool

CrittendonMiddleSchool

OliverCGreenwoodElementarySchool

PalmerElementarySchool

RichneckElementarySchool

HidenwoodElementary

RONelsonElementarySchool

YatesElementarySchool

WoodsideHighSchool

HeritageHighSchool

BerkeleyMiddleSchool

HornsbyMiddleSchool

CollegeofWilliamandMary

NewKentHighSchool

MatthewWhaleyElementarySchool

NewKentHighSchool

YorktownMiddleSchool

GraftonComplex(GC)and/orNewKentHigh

School(NKHS)

MagruderElementarySchool

YorkCountyHeadStart

BrutonHighSchool

WallerMillElementarySchool

WilliamsburgHeadStart

QueensLakeMiddleSchool

SurryPowerStation

825

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Table84.MedicalFacilityTransitDemand

PAZ

FacilityName

City/County

Cap

acity

Current

Census

Ambu

latory

Wheel

chair

Bound

Bed

ridden

WCBus

Runs

Bus

Runs

Ambulance

Runs

23

ChambrelatWilliamsburg

JamesCity

53

50

46

3

1

2

1

23

HancockGeriatricTreatmentCenter

JamesCity

300

265

215

20

30

1

8

15

24

ConsulateHealthCare

JamesCity

90

85

0

43

44

3

0

22

24

TheCovalescentatPatriotsColony Williamsburg

JamesCity

60

58

13

45

0

3

1

0

18B

MorningsideofWilliamsburg

JamesCity

85

80

64

15

1

3

1

18C

ColonialManorSeniorCommunity

JamesCity

65

54

29

25

0

2

1

0

22B

WoodhavenHallAtWilliamsburg

JamesCity

15

9

5

3

1

16

St.FrancisNursingCenter

Newport

News

115

105

57

37

11

2

6

21

EnvoyHealthCare

Williamsburg

150

0

130

20

7

0

10

21

MadisonRetirementCenter

Williamsburg

90

75

65

10

0

1

3

0

21

SpringArborofWilliamsburg

Williamsburg

50

46

4

0

1

2

0

21

WindsormeadeofWilliamsburg

Williamsburg

12

3

9

0

1

0

Totals

1085

993

543

344

108

24

56

SurryPowerStation

826

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Table85.SummaryofTransportationResources

Transportation

Resource

Buses

WC

Buses

Ambulances ResourcesAvailable

NewportNewsPubicSchools 321

0

12

SurryCounty 32

1

3

YorkCounty 205

36

9

WilliamsburgAreaTransportationAuthority(WATA) 20

0

W/JCCSchools 156

52

0

CityofWilliamsburg 0

0

3

IsleofWightCounty 49

12

11

TOTAL:

783

101

38

ResourcesNeeded

PopulationGroup/MobilityLevel

Buses

WC

Buses

Ambulances Schools(Table82):

437

0

MedicalFacilities(Table84):

24

56

TransitDependentPopulation(Table810):

122

0

HomeboundSpecialNeeds(Section8.5):

30

5

0

TOTALTRANSPORTATIONNEEDS:

613

29

56

Note:YorkCountyhasaccessto2trolleyswhicharecountedasbusesinthetableaboveduetosimilaritiesinpassengercapacityandusage.

SurryPowerStation

827

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Table86.BusRouteDescriptions

Bus

Route

Number

Description

NodesTraversedfromRouteStarttoEPZBoundary

1

IsleofWightCounty,Route1

1337,945,1013,946,1014,947

2

IsleofWightCounty,Route2

944,945,1013,946,1014,947

3

IsleofWightCounty,Route3

942,943,944,945,1013,946,1014,947

4

IsleofWightCounty,Route4

1316,1024,1022,1338,1021,1023,1352,1003,1004

5

SurryCounty,Route1

931,1309,930,1310,1311,1057,1056,1313,1314,1025,

976,1316

6

SurryCounty,Route2

939,938,937,936,935,934,933,932,1308,931,941,

1012,930,1260,1052,1051,1261,1271,1050,1049,

1262,1259,1047,1258,1048,1030,1084,1083

7

SurryCounty,Route3

1271,1272,1273,1274,1275,1276,1277,1278,1279,

1280,1281,1282,1029

8

SurryCounty,Route4

941,1012,930,1260,1052,1051,1261,1271,1050,1049,

1262,1259,1047,1258,1048,1030,1084,1083

9

SurryCounty,Route5

1263,1262,1259,1047,1258,1048,1030,1084,1083

10

YorkCounty,Route1

245,246,241,242,354,355,356,357,358,359,350,

1216,360,361,362,363,364,365,366,367,368,369,

370,373,673,674

11

YorkCounty,Route2

250,248,339,1218,341,308,1225,309,342,353,432,

345,344,346,1219,1221,347,1214,348,349,1215,350,

1216,360,361,362,363,364,365,366,367,368,369,

370,373,673,674

12

YorkCounty,Route3

309,310,1234,410,430,433,438,436,434,377,1236,

378,1557,379,1558,1237,376,675,385

13

YorkCounty,Route4

1239,379,1558,1237,376,675,385

14

CityofWilliamsburg,Route1

215,221,1121,176,1117,1111,1107,1108,1109,1110,

1135,1136,1137,185,184,183,1141,123,1157,33,34,

35

15

CityofWilliamsburg,Route2

226,228,189,218,1533,188,187,176,1122,193,1125,

1126,180,198,255

16

CityofWilliamsburg,Route3

335,336,337,219,216,214,215,221,1121,176,1122,

193,1125,1126,180,198,255,256,112,118

17

CityofWilliamsburg,Route4

223,226,228,189,218,1533,188,187,176,1122,193,

1125,1126,180,198,255,256,112,118

18

CityofWilliamsburg,Route5

258,257,208,1092,191,194,1124,193,1125,1126,180,

198,255,256,112,118

19

JamesCityCounty,Route1

319,318,320,321,322,323,324,305,304,303,1534,263

SurryPowerStation

828

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Bus

Route

Number

Description

NodesTraversedfromRouteStarttoEPZBoundary

20

JamesCityCounty,Route2

313,1227,315,326,327,429,411,1235,416,419,426,

421,425,423,464,461,458,460,457,455,445,441,447,

442,444,439,440,19,20,21,1440,1441,22,23,24,

1437,25,1436

21

JamesCityCounty,Route3

304,303,1534,263,262

22

JamesCityCounty,Route4

303,1534,263,262

23

JamesCityCounty,Route5

279,302,301,300,1552

24

CityofNewportNews,RouteD1

457,455,445,441,448,454,451,510,1449,511,509,

1453,505,507,508,502,1452,506,22,23,24,1437

25

CityofNewportNews,RouteD2

378,1236,377,1447,512,380,1438,1439,1440,1441,

22,23,24,1437

26

CityofNewportNews,RouteE1

1454,499,1457,497,495,482,478,485,487,490,493,

1520,1518,571,564,560,559,555,1515,569,1512,590,

599,608,1481,592

27

CityofNewportNews,RouteE2

492,490,493,1520,1518,571,564,560,559,555,1515,

569,1512,590,1483,600,591,594,595

28

CityofNewportNews,RouteE3

492,490,493,1520,1518,571,564,560,559,555,1515,

569,1512,590,599,608,1481,592

29

CityofNewportNews,RouteE4

521,1469,1470,527,528,554,553,551,1524,713,1474,

592

30

CityofNewportNews,RouteE5

527,528,554,553,551,1524,713,1474,592

31

CityofNewportNews,RouteE6

520,521,1469,1470,527,528,554,553,551,1524,713,

1474,592

32

CityofNewportNews,RouteF1

566,565,564,560,559,555,1515,569,1512,590,1483,

600,591,594,595

33

CityofNewportNews,RouteF2

1519,1518,571,564,560,559,555,1515,569,1512,590,

599,608,1481,592

34

CityofNewportNews,RouteF3

576,575,1458,574,573,572,1461,571,564,560,559,

555,1515,569,1512,590,599,608,1481,592

35

CityofNewportNews,RouteF4

576,578,579,1462,582,580,563,555,1515,569,1512,

590,599,608,1481,592

36

CityofNewportNews,RouteF5

1462,582,580,563,555,1515,569,1512,590,599,608,

1481,592

37

CityofNewportNews,RouteF6

563,570,1465,569,1512,590,599,608,1481,592

38

CityofNewportNews,RouteF7

568,1465,569,1512,590,599,608,1481,592

39

CityofNewportNews,RouteF8

589,586,591,594,595

40

CityofNewportNews,RouteF9

593,1484,595

41

CityofNewportNews,RouteF10

584,583,589,586,1477,590,599,608,1481,592

42

CityofNewportNews,RouteF11

581,583,589,586,1477,590,599,608,1481,592

43

CityofNewportNews,RouteF12

587,596,597,598,593,1484,595

SurryPowerStation

829

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Bus

Route

Number

Description

NodesTraversedfromRouteStarttoEPZBoundary

50

RawlsByrdElementarySchool

1536,1534,263,262,1165,30,31,32,33,34,35

51

MatoakaElementarySchool

1169,1167,146,1155,147,149

52

GeneralStanfordElementary

School

479,478,485,487,490,493,1520,1518,571,564,560,

559,555,1515,569,1512,590,1483,600,591,594,595

53

BCCharlesElementarySchool

596,597,598,593,1484,595

54

HolyTabernacleChristianAcademy

560,559,555,1515,569,1512,590,599,608,1481,592

55

ClaraByrdBakerElementarySchool

282,281,1176,262,1165,30,31,32,33,34,35

56

WarwickRiverChristianSchool

583,589,586,1477,590,599,608,1481,592

57

EpesElementarySchool

1461,571,564,560,559,555,1515,569,1512,590,599,

608,1481,592

58

CollegeofWilliamandMary

1101,1100,264,260,174,262,1165,30,31,32,33,34,35

59

BrutonHighSchool(NKHS)

79,76,1212,77,78,8,7

60

JenkinsElementarySchool

1482,594,595

61

DavidADutrowElementarySchool

571,564,560,559,555,1515,569,1512,590,599,608,

1481,592

62

GeorgeJMcIntoshElementary

528,554,553,551

63

JamesRiverElementarySchool

427,413,1231,417,418,14,431,13,12,11,10,9,78,8,7

64

JamestownHighSchool

1552,1184,1183,266,267,268,270,145,1167,146,

1155,147,149

65

JMDozierMiddleSchool

497,1457,499,1454,501,502,1452,506,22,23,24,

1437,25,1436

66

LeeHallElementarySchool

442,447,441,448,454,451,510,1449,511,509,1453,

505,507,508,502,1452,506,22,23,24,1437,25,1436

67

MagruderElementarySchool

248,250,1528,236,213,212,210,211,209,76,1212,77,

78,8,7

67

YorkCountyHeadStart(NKHS)

248,250,1528,236,213,212,210,211,209,76,1212,77,

78,8,7

68

MatthewWhaleyElementary

School

189,1531,190,202,203,208,1091,1211,209,76,1212,

77,78,8,7

69

MenchvilleHighSchool

596,597,598,593,1484,595

70

BerkeleyMiddleSchool

173,172,1161,177,178,179,1136,1137,185,184,183,

1141,123,1142,1158,1159,1144,124,119

71

DJMontagueElementarySchool

130,131,132

72

ProvidenceClassicalSchool

1172,276,275,274,1160,152,161,162,165,167,166,

1163,31,32,33,34,35

73

WallerMillElementarySchool

(NKHS)

196,195,194,191,1092,208,1091,1211,209,76,1212,

77,78,8,7

73

WilliamsburgHeadStart(NKHS)

196,195,194,191,1092,208,1091,1211,209,76,1212,

77,78,8,7

SurryPowerStation

830

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Bus

Route

Number

Description

NodesTraversedfromRouteStarttoEPZBoundary

74

QueensLakeMiddleSchool(NKHS)

246,241,243,239,244,210,211,209,76,1212,77,78,8,

7

75

YorktownMiddleSchool(NKHS)

379,1557,378,1236,377,434,436,18,17,16,414,15,

14,431,13,12,11,10,9,78,8,7

76

OliverCGreenwoodElementary

School

513,544,543,542,541,1444,380,1438,1439,1440,

1441,22,23,24,1437,25,1436

77

RichneckElementarySchool

527,528,554,553,551,1524,713,1474,592

78

MaryPassageMiddleSchool

1522,1520,1518,571,564,560,559,555,1515,569,

1512,590,1483,600,591,594,595

79

DenbighHighSchool

580,563,555,1515,569,1512,590,1483,600,591,594,

595

80

FirstBaptistChurchDenbigh

599,608,1481,592

81

SanfordElementarySchool

583,589,586,591,594,595

82

RONelsonElementarySchool

579,1462,582,580,563,555,1515,569,1512,590,1483,

600,591,594,595

83

WoodsideHighSchool

539,513,544,543,542,541,1444,380,1438,1439,1440,

1441,22,23,24,1437,25,1436

90

MadisonRetirementCenter

256,112,118

91

ChambrelatWilliamsburg

1106,1120,172,171,170,169,168,1164,167,166,1163,

31,32,33,34,35

91

HancockGeriatricTreatment

Center

1106,1120,172,171,170,169,168,1164,167,166,1163,

31,32,33,34,35

92

ConsulateHealthCare

263,262,1165,30,31,32,33,34,35

93

TheCovalescentatPatriotsColony Williamsburg

269,137,138,139,140

94

MorningsideofWilliamsburg

331,342,353,432,345,344,13,12,11,10,9

95

ColonialManorSeniorCommunity

427,413,1231,417,418,14,431,13,12,11,10,9,78,8,7

96

WoodhavenHallAtWilliamsburg

263,262,1165,30,31,32,33,34,35

97

St.FrancisNursingCenter

551,1524,713,1474,592

98

EnvoyHealthCare

309,342,353,432,345,344,13,12,11,10,9,78,8,7

99

SpringArborofWilliamsburg

210,211,209,76,1212,77,78,8,7

100

WindsormeadeofWilliamsburg

1169,1167,146,1155,147,149

101

YorktownMiddleSchool(GC)

381,657,693,1504,699

102

MagruderElementarySchool(GC)

308,1225,309,310,1234,410,430,433,438,436,434,

377,1447,512,380,1444,541,542,543,544,513,535,

1386,381,657,693,1504,699

103

YorkCountyHeadStart(GC)

308,1225,309,310,1234,410,430,433,438,436,434,

377,1447,512,380,1444,541,542,543,544,513,535,

1386,381,657,693,1504,699

SurryPowerStation

831

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Bus

Route

Number

Description

NodesTraversedfromRouteStarttoEPZBoundary

104

BrutonHighSchool(GC)

78,9,10,11,12,13,431,14,15,415,1232,1233,16,17,

18,437,440,19,20,21,1440

105

WallerMillElementarySchool(GC)

78,9,10,11,12,13,431,14,15,415,1232,1233,16,17,

18,437,440,19,20,21,1440

106

WilliamsburgHeadStart(GC)

78,9,10,11,12,13,431,14,15,415,1232,1233,16,17,

18,437,440,19,20,21,1440

107

QueensLakeMiddleSchool(GC)

308,1225,309,310,1234,410,430,433,438,436,434,

377,1447,512,380,1444,541,542,543,544,513,535,

1386,381,657,693,1504,699

SurryPowerStation

832

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

Table87.SchoolEvacuationTimeEstimatesGoodWeather

School

City/County

Driver

Mobilization

Time(min)

Loading

Time

(min)

Dist.To

EPZ

Bdry

(mi)

Average Speed

(mph)

Travel

Timeto

EPZ

Bdry

(min)

ETE

(hr:min)

Dist.

EPZ

Bdryto

R.S.

(mi.)

Travel

Time

from

EPZ

Bdryto

R.S.

(min)

ETEto

R.S.

(hr:min)

ClaraByrdBakerElementarySchool

JamesCity

180

15

6.0

5.6

64

4:20

27.4

36

4:55

DJMontagueElementarySchool

JamesCity

180

15

0.2

2.1

4

3:20

22.9

31

3:50

JamestownHighSchool

JamesCity

180

15

5.6

4.2

79

4:35

1.8

2

4:40

MatoakaElementarySchool

JamesCity

180

15

3.1

2.5

75

4:30

3.4

5

4:35

ProvidenceClassicalSchool

JamesCity

180

15

5.6

6.4

53

4:10

27.4

36

4:45

JamesRiverElementarySchool

JamesCity

180

15

5.6

9.8

34

3:50

1.8

2

3:55

RawlsByrdElementarySchool

JamesCity

180

15

5.3

6.1

52

4:10

9.6

13

4:20

GeneralStanfordElementarySchool

NewportNews

145

15

5.3

9.6

33

3:15

4.5

6

3:20

BCCharlesElementarySchool

NewportNews

145

15

1.5

12.6

7

2:50

7.5

10

3:00

FirstBaptistChurchDenbigh

NewportNews

145

15

0.5

1.1

26

3:10

11.1

15

3:25

JenkinsElementarySchool

NewportNews

145

15

0.8

33.0

1

2:45

7.4

10

2:55

MenchvilleHighSchool

NewportNews

145

15

2.4

12.5

12

2:55

5.9

8

3:00

SanfordElementarySchool

NewportNews

145

15

2.1

17.0

7

2:50

4.1

5

2:55

WarwickRiverChristianSchool

NewportNews

145

15

2.3

4.1

34

3:15

11.1

15

3:30

DavidADutrowElementarySchool

NewportNews

145

15

2.9

4.4

39

3:20

15.1

20

3:40

DavidADutrowElementarySchool

NewportNews

145

15

2.9

4.4

39

3:20

15.1

20

3:40

DenbighHighSchool

NewportNews

145

15

2.8

6.4

26

3:10

9.4

13

3:20

EpesElementarySchool

NewportNews

145

15

2.7

4.0

41

3:25

2.9

4

3:25

GeorgeJMcIntoshElementary

NewportNews

145

15

1.8

9.2

12

2:55

16.3

22

3:15

HolyTabernacleChristianAcademy

NewportNews

145

15

1.9

3.2

37

3:20

10.9

15

3:35

JMDozierMiddleSchool

NewportNews

145

15

5.5

23.4

14

2:55

14.2

19

3:15

LeeHallElementarySchool

NewportNews

145

15

6.3

25.8

15

2:55

5.5

7

3:05

MaryPassageMiddleSchool

NewportNews

145

15

4.1

7.2

34

3:15

7.4

10

3:25

OliverCGreenwoodElementarySchool

NewportNews

145

15

5.8

8.0

43

3:25

3.5

5

3:30

RichneckElementarySchool

NewportNews

145

15

4.6

11.4

24

3:05

3.7

5

3:10

RONelsonElementarySchool

NewportNews

145

15

3.8

7.9

29

3:10

1.7

2

3:15

SurryPowerStation

833

KLDEngineering,P.C.

EvacuationTimeEstimate

Rev.1

School

City/County

Driver

Mobilization

Time(min)

Loading

Time

(min)

Dist.To

EPZ

Bdry

(mi)

Average Speed

(mph)

Travel

Timeto

EPZ

Bdry

(min)

ETE

(hr:min)

Dist.

EPZ

Bdryto

R.S.

(mi.)

Travel

Time

from

EPZ

Bdryto

R.S.

(min)

ETEto

R.S.

(hr:min)

WoodsideHighSchool

NewportNews

145

15

6.2

8.2

45

3:25

13.0

17

3:45

BerkeleyMiddleSchool

Williamsburg

180

15

3.5

3.7

58

4:15

4.3

6

4:20

CollegeofWilliamandMary

Williamsburg

180

15

6.0

6.3

58

4:15

27.4

37

4:50

MatthewWhaleyElementarySchool

Williamsburg

180

15

3.8

6.4

35

3:50

26.9

36

4:30

YorktownMiddleSchool(NKHS)

York

110

15

14.7

9.1

96

3:45

26.9

36

4:20

MagruderElementarySchool(NKHS)

York

110

15

4.0

3.3

72

3:20

26.9

36

3:55

YorkCountyHeadStart(NKHS)

York

110

15

4.0

3.3

72

3:20

26.9

36

3:55

BrutonHighSchool(NKHS)

York

110

15

2.0

4.6

27

2:35

26.9

36

3:10

WallerMillElementarySchool(NKHS)

York

110

15

4.4

59

3:05

27.0

36

3:40

WilliamsburgHeadStart(NKHS)

York

110

15

4.4

59

3:05

27.0

36

3:40

QueensLakeMiddleSchool(NKHS)

York

110

15

4.1

4.2

58

3:05

26.9

36

3:40

YorktownMiddleSchool(GC)

York

110

15

2.4

4.7

31

2:40

2.7

4

2:40

MagruderElementarySchool(GC)

York

110

15

12.1

10.6

69

3:15

3.8

5

3:20

YorkCountyHeadStart(GC)

York

110

15

12.1

10.1

72

3:20

3.8

5

3:25

BrutonHighSchool(GC)

York

110

15

14.8

10.2

87

3:35

3.9

5

3:40

WallerMillElementarySchool(GC)

York

110

15

17.1

10.7

96

3:45

11.8

16

4:00

WilliamsburgHeadStart(GC)

York

110

15

17.1

10.7

96

3:45

11.8

16

4:00

QueensLakeMiddleSchool(GC)

York

110

15

13.3

9.2

87