ML13007A111
| ML13007A111 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Davis Besse  |
| Issue date: | 10/31/2012 |
| From: | KLD Engineering, PC |
| To: | Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation |
| References | |
| L-12-441 KLD TR-482, Rev 2 | |
| Download: ML13007A111 (45) | |
Text
APPENDIX J Representative Inputs and Outputs from the DYNEV II System
J. REPRESENTATIVE INPUTS TO AND OUTPUTS FROM THE DYNEV II SYSTEM This appendix presents data input to and output from the DYNEV II System. Table J-1 provides the volume and queues for the ten highest volume signalized intersections in the EPZ. Refer to Table K-2 and the figures in Appendix K for a map showing the geographic location of each intersection.
Table J-2 provides source (vehicle loading) and destination information for five roadway segments (link) in the analysis network. Refer to Table K-1 and the figures in Appendix K for a map showing the geographic location of each link.
Table J-3 provides network-wide statistics (average travel time, average speed and number of vehicles) for an evacuation of the entire EPZ (Region R03) for each scenario. As expected, Scenarios 8 and 11, which are snow scenarios, exhibit the slowest average speed and longest average travel times.
Table J-4 provides statistics (average speed and travel time) for several major evacuation routes
- Route 2, Route 163, Route 105 - for an evacuation of the entire EPZ (Region R03) under Scenario 1 conditions. As discussed in Section 7.3 there is minor congestion early in the evacuation. Consequently, the speeds shown in this table reflect this fact.
Table J-5 provides the number of vehicles discharged and the cumulative percent of total vehicles discharged for each link exiting the entire network, for an evacuation of the entire EPZ (Region R03) under Scenario 1 conditions. Refer to Table K-1 and the figures in Appendix K for a map showing the geographic location of each link.
Figures J-1 through J-14 plot the trip generation time versus the ETE for each of the 14 Scenarios considered. The distance between the trip generation and ETE curves is the travel time. Plots of trip generation versus ETE are indicative of the level of traffic congestion during evacuation. For low population density sites, the curves are close together, indicating short travel times and minimal traffic congestion. For higher population density sites, the curves are farther apart indicating longer travel times and the presence of traffic congestion. As seen in Figures J-1 through J-14, the curves are spatially separated as a result of the traffic congestion in the EPZ, which was discussed in detail in Section 7.3.
Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station J-1 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2
Table J-1. Characteristics of the Ten Highest Volume Signalized Intersections 2,797 0
54 US 20 & SR 590 Pre-timed 55 1,051 112 56 2,761 0
TOTAL 6,609 330 4,156 0
331 SR 163 & Buckeye Blvd TCP 333 31 0
334 0
0 TOTAL 4,187 313 765 30 316 SR 163 & Madison St Actuated 312 535 13 319 2,494 260 TOTAL 3,794 316 492 0
320 1,882 352 319 SR 163 &WPerry St TCP 325 1,280 20 TOTAL 3,654 328 3,496 117 330 1
0 329 SR 163 & Maple St Pre-timed 332 75 0
TOTAL 3,572 155 3,186 0
1 SR 2 & S Curtice Rd TCP 156 2
0 157 37 0
TOTAL 3,225 311 1,405 19 312 SR 163 &Jefferson St TCP 316 1,738 92 315 2
0 TOTAL 3,145 453 125 0
149 2,953 23 154 SR 2 & County Rd 228 TCP 155 3
0 TOTAL 3,081 148 2,575 140 452 409 12 149 SR 2 & S Howard Rd TCP 154 5
0 TOTAL 2,989 305 483 4
314 Madison St & W 3rd St Pre-timed 317 683 23 313 1,545 95 TOTAL 2,711 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate J-2 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Table J-2. Sample Simulation Model Input 3
0 SE 8447 1,698 8079 6,750 225 79 SE 8080 4,500 8433 1,698 280 36 W
8156 4,191 330 208 W
8166 1,698 8053 1,698 383 55 SW 8059 3,810 8286 3,810 8053 1,698 434 12 S
8286 3,810 8009 1,698 8079 6,750 515 1279 SE 8433 1,698 8435 4,500 8080 4,500 596 15 E
8079 6,750 8435 4,500 8079 6,750 641 177 S
8286 3,810 8009 1,698 687 33 W
8166 1,698 Vehicle loading curves are presented in Section for the following group of evacuees:
5 of this report. Loading curves are determined
- 1.
Residents who wait for returning commuters (with and without snow clearance times)
- 2.
Residents who do not wait for returning commuters (with and without snow clearance times)
- 3.
Employee
- 4.
Transient Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate J-3 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Table J-3. Selected Model Outputs for the Evacuation of the Entire EPZ (Region R03)
Network-Wide Average Travel Time (Min/Veh-Mi) 1.13 1.30 1.17 1.34 1.28 0.99 1.11 1.21 1.00 1.13 1.20 1 1.09 11.24 1.54 Network-Wide Average Speed (mph) 52.97 46.32 51.33 44.61 46.91 60.64 53.89 49.45 59.95 52.91 49.83 55.04 48.38 39.07 Total Vehicles Exiting Network 59,547 59,770 59,799 60,026 34,936 53,805 53,987 54,069 53,137 53,321 53,378 30,124 60,732 59,575 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate J-4 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Table J-4. Average Evacuation Route Travel Time (min) for Region R03, Scenario 1 SR 2
3EB Le gt Sp e lim 1 rae SaeIIrv lTae SR 2 EB 26.49 59.2 26.8 59.5 26.7 59.9 26.5 60.2 26.4 60.2 26.4 SR 2 WB 26.49 51.9 30.6 58.9 27.0 59.4 26.8 60.5 26.3 60.5 26.3 SR 163 WB 9.59 43.7 13.2 45.8 12.6 47.0 12.3 49.5 11.6 49.5 11.6 SR 105 WB 7.88 51.3 9.20 50.8 9.30 53.5 8.80 54.6 8.70 54.7 8.60 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate J-5 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Table J-5. Simulation Model Outputs at Network Exit Links for Region R03, Scenario 1 Cumulative Vehicles Discharged by the Indicated Time Cumulative Percent of Vehicles Discharged by the Indicated Time 1
5 7
8 8
3 0.01%
0.02%
0.02%
0.02%
0.01%
208 591 773 791 794 1.66%
2.00%
1.90%
1.64%
1.45%
421 1,107 1,269 1,343 1,478 3.34%
3.75%
3.12%
2.79%
2.69%
731 1,809 2,495 3,092 3,618 5.81%
6.13%
6.13%
6.43%
6.59%
691 1,617 2,294 2,822 3,290 5.49%
5.47%
5.64%
5.87%
6.00%
658 1,329 1,900 2,457 3,010 5.23%
4.50%
4.67%
5.11%
5.49%
2,256 4,570 6,843 9,096 11,342 17.92%
15.47%
16.82%
18.91%
20.67%
2,378 4,867 7,199 9,453 11,701 18.90%
16.48%
17.69%
19.65%
21.32%
2,673 6,742 8,878 9,291 9,313 21.24%
22.82%
21.82%
19.31%
16.97%
967 2,416 3,193 3,233 3,236 7.68%
8.18%
7.85%
6.72%
5.90%
225 766 922 963 968 1.78%
2.59%
2.27%
2.00%
1.76%
145 524 599 615 617 1.15%
1.77%
1.47%
1.28%
1.12%
52 220 256 263 264 363 0.42%
0.75%
0.63%
0.55%
0.48%
359 1,075 1,390 1,440 1,444 2.85%
3.64%
3.42%
2.99%
2.63%
90 175 203 252 334 664 0.71%
0.59%
0.50%
0.52%
0.61%
710 1,635 2,347 2,869 3,335 5.64%
5.54%
5.77%
5.96%
6.08%
22 91 117 124 125 726 0.17%
0.31%
0.29%
0.26%
0.23%
Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate J-6 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
ETE and Trip Generation Summer, Midweek, Midday, Good (Scenario 1)
Trip Generation ETE 100%
80%
60%
0U7 40%
C u
20%
0%
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 Elapsed Time (min)
Figure J-1. ETE and Trip Generation: Summer, Midweek, Midday, Good Weather (Scenario 1)
ETE and Trip Generation Summer, Midweek, Midday, Rain (Scenario 2)
Trip Generation ETE 4-0 0
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 Elapsed Time (min) 210 240 270 300 Figure J-2. ETE and Trip Generation: Summer, Midweek, Midday, Rain (Scenario 2)
Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate J-7 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
ETE and Trip Generation Summer, Weekend, Midday, Good (Scenario 3)
Trip Generation
-ETE In 0
-C 0
'I (U
.1'0 I-0 4,C 0U I-0,a.
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 Elapsed Time (min) 210 240 270 300 Figure J-3. ETE and Trip Generation: Summer, Weekend, Midday, Good Weather (Scenario 3)
ETE and Trip Generation Summer, Weekend, Midday, Rain (Scenario 4)
Trip Generation ETE 0
U 0
4, 100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
/00F, 0%
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 Elapsed Time (min) 210 240 270 300 Figure J4. ETE and Trip Generation: Summer, Weekend, Midday, Rain (Scenario 4)
Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate J-8 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
ETE and Trip Generation Summer, Midweek, Weekend, Evening, Good (Scenario 5)
-,Trip Generation ETE 100%
fA "O 80%
60%
0I.-
40%
20%
0%
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 Elapsed Time (min)
Figure J-5. ETE and Trip Generation: Summer, Midweek, Weekend, Evening, Good Weather (Scenario 5)
ETE and Trip Generation Winter, Midweek, Midday, Good (Scenario 6)
Trip Generation
-ETE 100%
GD GD 4-0 I-
- 1-0 4-CGD Ua-GD a.
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
,00ý 0
30 60 90 120 150 180 Elapsed Time (min) 210 240 270 300 Figure J-6. ETE and Trip Generation: Winter, Midweek, Midday, Good Weather (Scenario 6)
Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate J-9 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
ETE and Trip Generation Winter, Midweek, Midday, Rain (Scenario 7)
-Trip Generation mETE 100%
U,40 0
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
.. doopol
'.040ý
,00ý 0
30 60 90 120 150 180 Elapsed Time (min) 210 240 270 300 Figure J-7. ETE and Trip Generation: Winter, Midweek, Midday, Rain (Scenario 7)
ETE and Trip Generation Winter, Midweek, Midday, Snow (Scenario 8)
Trip Generation
-ETE IAai a'
0I-0 4-C 0
U1~a' a.
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 Elapsed Time (min) 240 270 300 330 360 Figure J-8. ETE and Trip Generation: Winter, Midweek, Midday, Snow (Scenario 8)
Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate J-lO KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
ETE and Trip Generation Winter, Weekend, Midday, Good (Scenario 9)
-Trip Generation fETE 100%
80%
0 o 60%
40%
0%
I-o 0%
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 Elapsed Time (min)
Figure J-9. ETE and Trip Generation: Winter, Weekend, Midday, Good Weather (Scenario 9)
ETE and Trip Generation Winter, Weekend, Midday, Rain (Scenario 10)
Trip Generation ETE 0
0
'p (U
4-0 I-p.-
0 4-C 0
UI-0 0.
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
/7 0%
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 Elapsed Time (min) 210 240 270 300 Figure J-10. ETE and Trip Generation: Winter, Weekend, Midday, Rain (Scenario 10)
Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate J-11 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
ETE and Trip Generation Winter, Weekend, Midday, Snow (Scenario 11)
-Trip Generation
-ETE 100%
80%
0*-0 S60%
00 40%
C 20%
0%
-Ago" i
i 0
30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 Elapsed Time (min)
Figure J-11. ETE and Trip Generation: Winter, Weekend, Midday, Snow (Scenario 11)
ETE and Trip Generation Winter, Midweek, Weekend, Evening, Good (Scenario 12)
-Trip Generation mETE 100%
'I'03 U
03 (U
4-0 I-
'I-0 4-C03 U1~
03a.
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
"00ý 0
30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 Elapsed Time (min)
Figure J-12. ETE and Trip Generation: Winter, Midweek, Weekend, Evening, Good Weather (Scenario 12)
Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate J-12 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
ETE and Trip Generation Summer, Weekend, Midday, Good, Special Event (Scenario 13)
Trip Generation ETE 100%
80%
V60%
20%
/
0%
I-o 0%
0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 Elapsed Time (min)
Figure J-13. ETE and Trip Generation: Summer, Weekend, Evening, Good Weather, Special Event (Scenario 13)
ETE and Trip Generation Summer, Midweek, Midday, Good, Roadway Impact (Scenario 14)
-Trip Generation
-ETE 12 0
40 C
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0% --1400or 0
30 60 90 120 150 180 Elapsed lime (min) 210 240 270 300 Figure J-14. ETE and Trip Generation: Summer, Midweek, Midday, Good Weather, Roadway Impact (Scenario 14)
Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate J-13 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
APPENDIX K Evacuation Roadway Network
K. EVACUATION ROADWAY NETWORK As discussed in Section 1.3, a link-node analysis network was constructed to model the roadway network within the study area. Figure K-1 provides an overview of the link-node analysis network. This figure has been divided up into 31 more detailed figures (Figures K-2 through K-
- 32) which show each of the links and nodes in the network.
The analysis network was calibrated using the observations made during the field survey conducted in November 2010. Table K-1 lists the characteristics of each roadway section modeled in the ETE analysis. Each link is identified by its road name and the upstream and downstream node numbers. The geographic location of each link can be observed by referencing the map number provided in Table K-1.
The term, "No. of Lanes" in Table K-1 identifies the number of lanes that extend throughout the length of the link.
Many links have additional lanes on the immediate approach to an intersection (turn pockets); these have been recorded and entered into the input stream for the DYNEV II System.
As discussed in Section 1.3, lane width and shoulder width were not physically measured during the road survey. Rather, estimates of these measures were based on visual observations and recorded images.
Table K-2 identifies each node in the network that is controlled and the type of control (stop sign, yield sign, pre-timed signal, actuated signal, traffic control point) at that node.
Uncontrolled nodes are not included in Table K-2.
Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-1 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-1. Link-Node Analysis Network Overview Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-2 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-2 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 1 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-3 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Cedar Pamt N-Grid 2 Seaman Rd
/
Rachel Rd I
I
/
Sacks Rd L3t 1u4 S
5)
.J Vale, Rd I
I I
I Brown Rd Figure K-3 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 2 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-4 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-4 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 3 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-S KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
G Grid 2 1
Sober" II W
WCu ceEAndWRd 0
4 0
M Ave W
j WW Krause Rd
- [
~
TI Gr Sr d61 G
I 170 72 171 I.
I"°l Iti A
Twp Hwy 68 W
abde t
d 119 G r id 4
Subs m 3, ct 1 9 2 S.
S:*
11 il iI 426 Mo5O Marti Rdk (Grid 9
'a"\\
Legow 1 3"**
I*ais-Ilesse Nuclear Power Station"(
O INK Sbwea Unk-Node Analysis Network Figures a
Node dow Re.gonl k)-SLMn~
5, 10.
Grid 4 1111 IidX rww wow wae Figure K-5 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 4 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-6 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-6 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 5 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-7 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-7 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 6 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-8 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-8 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 7 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-9 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-9 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 8 K-b Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-10
-L-r-ngln-r-n-n
- r..
Rev. 2
Figure K-10 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 9 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-11 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
(ird W)W~ e artn R
G id 4511 W St1Ckie Tw~SN.dt Rd ii!
r a
1176 IFI 176e R
Th,.Rd 236$
We9rR I
WB irR W Sodergeld Rd IS 31?wo RdilaR Grpd Wo~b~d236 (rId 10 I
_WState Rowte 163
- 3
~22 232 A-'
235 3g-'7ej Alg 2(126
)E(i22 ide Cel Water 1E r
Figure K-11 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 10 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-12 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-12 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 11 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-13 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-13 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 12 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-14 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-14 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 13 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-15 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-1S Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 14 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-16 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-16 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 15 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-17 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-17 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 16 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-18 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-18 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 17 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-19 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-19 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 18 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-20 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
U Grid 19 does not have a figure because it contains no nodes I
Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-21 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Co.,oy Road 169 Grid 8 County Road 165 (X
5:
U 5:
C).
c'0 i0=
5:
C)
Perez Lr, 0
5:
6 (3
5:*
Cocinty Road Sugar Ridge Rd County Road 121 County Road 671 5:
U, I
I Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Unk-Node Analysis Network Figures 0
0.59
ým6U, Grid 20 Figure K-20 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 20 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-22 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-21 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 21 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-23 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-22 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 22 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-24 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
W Cohlkna Rd So
_WVHefrckjRd W SloomRd W Oak Harbo( Soltheast Rd boron 5 270 272 1 County Road 143 0~
U 08 14C mm Davis-Sesse Nuclear Power Station Unk-Node Analysis Network Figures v
Grid 23 0
0.5s Figure K-23 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 23 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station K-25 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2
Grid 1.
W DWI HoPtMhg Rd Wý 011 Habor4Swxgeaslt Rd Subare I R*
Sandusky Bay D5 Figure K-24 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 24 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-26 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
I Sandusky Bay
/
/
/
/
$I
/
S//
Grid 25
,Sa ndusky Bay
'I
- 1~
/
Figure K-25 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 25 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-27 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-26 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 26 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-28 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-27 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 27 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-29 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2
Figure K-28 Link-Node Analysis Network-Grid 28 Davis-Besse Nuclear Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate K-30 KLD Engineering, P.C.
Rev. 2