Text

Kld TR-495, Rev. 2, Beaver Valley Power Station Development of Evacuation Time Estimates, Page 7-1 Through 8-51
	ML13007A080
Person / Time
Site:	Beaver Valley
Issue date:	12/20/2012
From:	; KLD Engineering, PC
To:	; Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation
References
	L-12-441 KLD TR-495, Rev 2
	Download: ML13007A080 (86)
	v • d • e

7 GENERAL POPULATION EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATES (ETE)

This section presents the ETE results of the computer analyses using the DYNEV II System described in Appendices B, C and D. These results cover 55 evacuation regions within the Beaver Valley Power Station EPZ and the 14 evacuation scenarios discussed in Section 6.

The ETE for all evacuation cases are presented in Table 7-1 and Table 7-2. These tables present the estimated times to clear the indicated population percentages from the evacuation regions for all evacuation scenarios. The ETE of the 2-mile region in both staged and un-staged regions are presented in Table 7-3 and Table 7-4. Table 7-5 and Table 7-6 defines the evacuation regions considered.

The tabulated values of ETE are obtained from the DYNEV II System outputs which are generated at 5-minute intervals.

7.1 Voluntary Evacuation and Shadow Evacuation "Voluntary evacuees" are people within the EPZ in sub-areas for which an Advisory to Evacuate has not been issued, yet who elect to evacuate. "Shadow evacuation" is the voluntary outward movement of some people from the Shadow Region (outside the EPZ) for whom no protective action recommendation has been issued. Both voluntary and shadow evacuations are assumed to take place over the same time frame as the evacuation from within the impacted evacuation region.

The ETE for the Beaver Valley Power Station EPZ addresses the issue of voluntary evacuees in the manner shown in Figure 7-1. Within the EPZ, 20 percent of people located in sub-areas outside of the evacuation region who are not advised to evacuate, are assumed to elect to evacuate. Similarly, it is assumed that 20 percent of those people in the shadow region will choose to leave the area.

Figure 7-2 presents the area identified as the Shadow Region. This region extends radially from the plant to cover a region between the EPZ boundary and approximately 15 miles.

The population and number of evacuating vehicles in the Shadow Region were estimated using the same methodology that was used for permanent residents within the EPZ (see Section 3.1). As discussed in Section 3.2, it is estimated that a total of 136,962 people reside in the Shadow Region; 20 percent of them would evacuate. See Table 6-5 for the number of evacuating vehicles from the Shadow Region.

Traffic generated within this Shadow Region, traveling away from the Beaver Valley Power Station, has a potential for impeding evacuating vehicles from within the evacuation region. All ETE calculations include this shadow traffic movement.

7.2 Staged Evacuation As defined in NUREG/CR-7002, staged evacuation consists of the following:

1. Sub-areas comprising the 2 mile region are advised to evacuate immediately.

Beaver Valley Power Station 7-1 KILD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

2. Sub-areas comprising regions extending from 2 to 5 miles downwind are advised to shelter in-place while the 2 mile region is cleared.

3. As vehicles evacuate the 2 mile region, people from 2 to 5 miles downwind continue preparation for evacuation while they shelter.

4. The population sheltering in the 2 to 5 mile region is advised to evacuate when approximately 90% of the 2 mile region evacuating traffic crosses the 2 mile region boundary.

5. Non-compliance with the shelter recommendation is the same as the shadow evacuation percentage of 20%.

See Section 5.4.2 for additional information on staged evacuation.

7.3 Patterns of Traffic Congestion during Evacuation Figure 7-3 through Figure 7-9 illustrate the patterns of traffic congestion that arise for the case when the entire EPZ (region R03) is advised to evacuate during the summer, midweek, midday period under good weather conditions (scenario 1).

Traffic congestion, as the term is used here, is defined as Level of Service (LOS) F. LOS F is defined as follows (HCM 2010, page 5-5):

The HCM uses LOS F to define operations that have either broken down (i.e., demand exceeds capacity) or have exceeded a specified service measure value, or combination of service measure values, that most users would consider unsatisfactory. However, particularly for planning applications where different alternatives may be compared, analysts may be interested in knowing just how bad the LOS F condition is. Several measures are available to describe individually, or in combination, the severity of a LOS F condition:

- Demand-to-capacity ratios describe the extent to which capacity is exceeded during the analysis period (e.g., by 1%, 15%, etc.);

Duration of LOS F describes how long the condition persists (e.g., 15 min, 1 h, 3 h); and

Spatial extent measures describe the areas affected by LOS F conditions. These include measures such as the back of queue, and the identification of the specific intersection approaches or system elements experiencing LOS F conditions.

All highway "links" which experience LOS F are delineated in these figures by a thick red line; all others are lightly indicated. Congestion develops rapidly around concentrations of population and traffic bottlenecks. Figure 7-3 displays the developing congestion within the population centers of Monaca Borough and Beaver Township within the EPZ, and in Crescent Township and New Cumberland within the Shadow Region at 30 minutes after the Advisory to Evacuate (ATE).

At 1 hour1.157407e-5 days 2.777778e-4 hours 1.653439e-6 weeks 3.805e-7 months after the ATE, Figure 7-4 displays fully-developed congestion within the study area.

Pronounced congestion exists in the population centers of Aliquippa, Beaver, Beaver Falls, Beaver Valley Power Station 7-2 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

Crescent, and Monaca in Pennsylvania; Calcutta and East Liverpool in Ohio; and Chester and New Cumberland in West Virginia. Congestion also exists in sub-area P-2 along State Route (SR) 168 northbound at the traffic control point at the intersection with Tuscarawas Rd as SR 168 jogs to the west. All evacuees from Midland Borough evacuate northbound on SR 168 and traverse this intersection. This congestion does not propagate into the 2-mile region. There are never LOS F conditions in the 2-mile region. Congestion has also developed farther north on SR 168 at the intersection with SR 251 and southbound on SR 168 at the intersection with SR 18 in sub-area P-12. Congestion also exists in New Manchester in sub-area W-3 as vehicles are using County Highway 2/6 southbound toward the reception center in Weirton to avoid the congestion on SR 2.

At 2 hours2.314815e-5 days 5.555556e-4 hours 3.306878e-6 weeks 7.61e-7 months and 10 minutes after the ATE, as shown in Figure 7-5, traffic congestion within the 5-mile region clears along SR 168 clears northbound leaving sub-area P-2. Congestion has cleared in Chester and East Liverpool; however, pronounced congestion persists in Aliquippa, Beaver, Calcutta and Monaca. Pronounced congestion also persists in New Cumberland as most evacuation routes servicing the West Virginia portion of the EPZ end up on SR 2 which is a single lane, low speed, and low capacity route through New Cumberland. This congestion propagates northbound along SR 2 for approximately 6, miles, but does not penetrate the EPZ boundary.

Congestion persists along SR 168 northbound through sub-area P-7 and southbound in sub-area P-12. 1-376 is congested in both directions east of the plant. Those evacuation routes with access ramps to 1-376 - especially Tuscarawas Rd eastbound along the periphery of sub-area P-3 - are also heavily congested.

At 3 hours3.472222e-5 days 8.333333e-4 hours 4.960317e-6 weeks 1.1415e-6 months after the ATE, as shown in Figure 7-6, traffic congestion in the 5-mile region persists along the boundary of sub-area P-3 along Tuscarawas Rd eastbound. The Ohio portion of the EPZ is clear of traffic congestion at this time. Congestion has cleared in Beaver and Monaca in Pennsylvania. Pronounced congestion persists along SR 2 through New Cumberland and on westbound county highways which intersect SR 2. Congestion along SR 168 has cleared in both directions. 1-376 is still congested in both directions, but is beginning to clear. There is significant congestion in the Shadow Region to the northeast in Rochester and to the southeast in the vicinity of the Pittsburgh International Airport. SR 51 southbound is congested from the EPZ boundary (Crescent Township) to Aliquippa.

At 4 hours4.62963e-5 days 0.00111 hours 6.613757e-6 weeks 1.522e-6 months and 30 minutes (the completion of mobilization time) after the ATE (Figure 7-7), the last of the traffic congestion within the EPZ clears along SR 51 southbound in Crescent Township.

Congestion still persists in the Shadow Region east of the plant along 1-376 eastbound where it merges with the Airport Expressway. Congestion is still exhibited in New Cumberland; however, this congestion is in the Shadow Region and does not impact ETE.

Figure 7-8 shows the last remaining congestion in the study area along SR 2 southbound at 5 hours5.787037e-5 days 0.00139 hours 8.267196e-6 weeks 1.9025e-6 months after the ATE. The last of this congestion clears at 15 minutes later at 5 hours5.787037e-5 days 0.00139 hours 8.267196e-6 weeks 1.9025e-6 months and 15 minutes after the ATE as shown in Figure 7-9.

Beaver Valley Power Station 7-3 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

7.4 Evacuation Rates Evacuation is a continuous process, as implied by Figure 7-10 through Figure 7-23. These Figures indicate the rate at which traffic flows out of the indicated areas for the case of an evacuation of the full EPZ (region R03) under the indicated conditions. One figure is presented for each scenario considered.

As indicated in Figure 7-10, there is typically a long "tail" to these distributions. Vehicles begin to evacuate an area slowly at first, as people respond to the ATE at different rates. Then traffic demand builds rapidly (slopes of curves increase). When the system becomes congested, traffic exits the EPZ at rates somewhat below capacity until some evacuation routes have cleared. As more routes clear, the aggregate rate of egress slows since many vehicles have already left the EPZ. Towards the end of the process, relatively few evacuation routes service the remaining demand.

This decline in aggregate flow rate, towards the end of the process, is characterized by these curves flattening and gradually becoming horizontal. Ideally, it would be desirable to fully saturate all evacuation routes equally so that all will service traffic near capacity levels and all will clear at the same time. For this ideal situation, all curves would retain the same slope until the end - thus minimizing evacuation time.

In reality, this ideal is generally unattainable reflecting the spatial variation in population density, mobilization rates and in highway capacity over the EPZ.

7.5 Evacuation Time Estimates (ETE) Results Table 7-1 through Table 7-2 present the ETE values for all 55 evacuation regions and all 14 evacuation scenarios. Table 7-3 through Table 7-4 present the ETE values for 2-mile region for both staged and un-staged 5-mile regions. They are organized as follows:

-alIonet ETE represents the elapsed time required for 90 percent of the 7-1 population within a region, to evacuate from that region. All scenarios are considered, as well as staged evacuation scenarios.

ETE represents the elapsed time required for 100 percent of the 7-2 population within a region, to evacuate from that region.

All scenarios are considered, as well as staged evacuation scenarios.

ETE represents the elapsed time required for 90 percent of the 7-3 population within the 2-mile region, to evacuate from that region with both concurrent and staged evacuations.

ETE represents the elapsed time required for 100 percent of the 7-4 population within the 2-mile region, to evacuate from that region with both concurrent and staged evacuations.

Beaver Valley Power Station 7-4 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

The animation snapshots described above reflect the ETE statistics for the concurrent (un-staged) evacuation scenarios and regions, which are displayed in Figure 7-3 through Figure 7-9.

Most of the congestion is located beyond the 2-mile region; this is reflected in the ETE statistics:

The 9 0 th percentile ETE for region R01 (2-mile region) is 2:00 or less for all non-snow scenarios.

" The 9 0 th percentile ETE for region R02 (5-mile region) are about 25 minutes longer than R01, on average, due to the congestion on the boundary of sub-area P-3 trying to access 1-376, shown in Figure 7-5.

" The 9 0 th percentile ETE for region R03 (full EPZ) are about 45 minutes longer than R02 on average due to the pronounced congestion beyond the 5-mile region, primarily in Aliquippa and along 1-376 westbound, as shown in Figure 7-6.

The 1 0 0 th percentile ETE for all regions and for all scenarios are approximately equal to mobilization time. This fact implies that the congestion within the EPZ dissipates prior to the end of mobilization, as displayed in Figure 7-7.

Comparison of scenarios 3 and 13 in Table 7-1 indicates that the Special Event - the Hookstown Fair - has no material impact on ETE for the 9 0 th percentile, which increase by at most 10 minutes; the 100th percentile ETE are unchanged. The additional 413 vehicles present for the special event increase congestion on the local roads in sub-area P-6, but do not cause congestion that persists longer than the congestion in Aliquippa.

Comparison of scenarios 1 and 14 in Table 7-1 indicates that the roadway closure - one lane westbound on 1-376 - has a significant impact on 90th percentile ETE, which increase by as much as 35 minutes for regions with wind directions from the southwest and west (regions R26 R28). Winds from the southwest and west carry the plume over Beaver and Monaca.

Evacuees from these areas primarily use 1-376 westbound.

With a lane closed on 1-376 westbound in the Beaver township area, the capacity is reduced in half, increasing congestion and prolonging ETE.

Regions with winds from the north and east would not be using 1-376 westbound to evacuate and are not materially impacted by the decreased capacity westbound along 1-376. The 100th percentile ETE are unchanged by the roadway closure.

7.6 Staged Evacuation Results Table 7-3 and Table 7-4 present a comparison of the ETE for the 2-mile area compiled for concurrent (un-staged) and staged evacuation of regions extending to 5 miles. Note that regions R07 through R15 and region R02 are the same geographic areas as regions R46 through R55, respectively.

To determine whether the staged evacuation strategy is worthy of consideration, one must show that the ETE for the 2-mile region can be reduced without significantly affecting the region between 2 miles and 5 miles. As shown in Table 7-3 and Table 7-4, the ETE for the 2-mile are unchanged when implementing a staged evacuation. The 2-mile region ETE are the same regardless of which sub-areas beyond 2 miles evacuate. As shown in Figure 7-3 through Figure Beaver Valley Power Station 7-5 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

7-9, traffic congestion (LOS F) does not propagate into the 2-mile region. Thus, staging evacuation to reduce congestion from 2 to 5 miles does not change congestion patterns for the 2-mile region.

While staging evacuation does not provide any benefits to evacuees within 2 miles of the BVPS, staging produces a negative impact on ETE for those evacuating from within the 2 to 5-mile area. A comparison of ETE between regions R07 and R46; R08 and R47; R09 and R48; R10 and R49; R11 and R50; R12 and R51; R13 and R52; R14 and R53; R15 and R54; and R02 and R55, reveals that staging retards the 9 0 th percentile evacuation time for those in the 2 to 5-mile area by up to 1 hour1.157407e-5 days 2.777778e-4 hours 1.653439e-6 weeks 3.805e-7 months and 5 minutes (See Table 7-1). This extending of ETE is due to the delay in beginning the evacuation trip, experienced by those who shelter, plus the effect of the trip-generation "spike" (significant volume of traffic beginning the evacuation trip at the same time

- see Figure 5-5) that follows their eventual ATE, in creating congestion within the EPZ area beyond 2 miles.

In summary, staged evacuation does not reduce the ETE for the 2-mile region, while prolonging the ETE for those evacuees beyond 2 miles by as much as I hour and 5 minutes. Staged evacuation is not beneficial for the BVPS EPZ.

7.7 Guidance on Using ETE Tables The user first determines the percentile of population for which the ETE is sought (The NRC guidance calls for the 9 0 th percentile). The applicable value of ETE within the chosen Table may then be identified using the following procedure:

1. Identify the applicable scenario:

Season

" Summer

" Winter (also Autumn and Spring)

Day of Week Midweek

" Weekend

" Time of Day Midday Evening Weather Condition

" Good Weather Rain

" Snow

Special Event Hookstown Fair

" Road Closure (A lane on 1-376 WB is closed)

Evacuation Staging

" No, Staged Evacuation is not considered

" Yes, Staged Evacuation is considered Beaver Valley Power Station 7-6 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

While these scenarios are designed, in aggregate, to represent conditions throughout the year, some further clarification is warranted:

The conditions of a summer evening (either midweek or weekend) and rain are not explicitly identified in the tables. For these conditions, scenarios (2) and (4) apply.

The conditions of a winter evening (either midweek or weekend) and rain are not explicitly identified in the tables. For these conditions, scenarios (7) and (10) for rain apply.

0 The conditions of a winter evening (either midweek or weekend) and snow are not explicitly identified in the tables. For these conditions, scenarios (8) and (11) for snow apply.

The seasons are defined as follows:

" Summer assumes that public schools are not in session.

" Winter (includes Spring and Autumn) considers that public schools are in session.

Time of Day: Midday implies the time over which most commuters are at work or are travelling to/from work.

2. With the desired percentile ETE and scenario identified, now identify the evacuation region:

Determine the projected azimuth direction of the plume (coincident with the wind direction). This direction is expressed in terms of degrees: from 350 - 11, 12 - 34, 35

- 56,...

Determine the distance that the evacuation region will extend from the nuclear power plant. The applicable distances and their associated candidate regions are given below:

2 miles (region R01) to 5 miles (regions R02, R07 through R15) to EPZ Boundary (regions R03, R16 through R45)

Enter Table 7-5 and identify the applicable group of candidate regions based on the distance that the selected region extends from the Beaver Valley Power Station.

Select the evacuation region identifier in that row, based on the azimuth direction of the plume, from the first column of the Table.

3. Determine the ETE table based on the percentile selected. Then, for the scenario identified in Step 1 and the region identified in Step 2, proceed as follows:

The columns of Table 7-1 are labeled with the scenario numbers. Identify the proper column in the selected Table using the scenario number defined in Step 1.

Identify the row in this table that provides ETE values for the region identified in Step 2.

The unique data cell defined by the column and row so determined contains the desired value of ETE expressed in Hours:Minutes.

Beaver Valley Power Station 7-7 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

Example It is desired to identify the ETE for the following conditions:

Sunday, August 10t' at 4:00 AM.

It is raining.

Wind direction is from 35 - 56 degrees.

Wind speed is such that the distance to be evacuated is judged to be a 5-mile radius and downwind to 10 miles (to EPZ boundary).

The desired ETE is that value needed to evacuate 90 percent of the population from within the impacted region.

0 A staged evacuation is not desired.

Table 7-1 is applicable because the 90th percentile ETE is desired. Proceed as follows:

1. Identify the scenario as summer, weekend, evening and raining. Entering Table 7-1, it is seen that there is no match for these descriptors.

However, the clarification given above assigns this combination of circumstances to scenario 4.

2. Enter Table 7-5 and locate the region described as "Evacuate 5-Mile Region and Downwind to the EPZ Boundary" for wind direction from 35 - 56 degrees and read region R33 in the first column of that row.

3. Enter Table 7-1 to locate the data cell containing the value of ETE for scenario 4 and region R33. This data cell is in column (4) and in the row for region R33; it contains the ETE value of 2:30.

7-8 KLD Engineering, P.c.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-8 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 7-1. Time to Clear the Indicated Area of 90 Percent of the Affected Population Summer Summer Summer Winter Winter winter summer summer Midweek Weekend Eiree Midweek Weekend Midwee

__nd Midweek Weekend Weekend Midday Midday Evening Midday Midday Evening Midday Midday Region Good Rin Good Rin Good Goodl Rin So Goodl Ran So Good Special Roadway Weather Ran Weather Ran Weather Weather Ri Snw Weather Rn Sow Weather Event Impact Entire 2-Mile Region, 5-Mile Region, EPZ, and States RO1 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 R02 2:25 2:25 2:25 2:25 2:20 2:20 2:20 2:55 2:10 2:10 2:45 2:10 2:25 2:25 R03 3:05 3:20 2:50 3:10 2:40 3:05 3:20 3:50 2:50 3:05 3:35 2:40 2:55 3:30 R04 3:10 3:30 2:55 3:15 2:50 3:10 3:30 4:00 2:55 3:10 3:40 2:45 3:00 3:35 ROS 2:20 2:25 2:15 2:20 2:15 2:25 2:30 3:00 2:15 2:20 2:50 2:15 2:15 2:20 R06 2:25 2:25 2:25 2:25 2:20 2:25 2:25 2:55 2:15 2:15 2:50 2:10 2:25 2:25 2-Mile Region and Keyhole to 5 Miles R07 2:05 2:05 1:55 1:55 1:55 2:05 2:05 2:45 1:55 1:55 2:45 1:55 1:55 2:05 ROB 2:05 2:05 1:50 1:50 1:55 2:05 2:05 2:45 1:55 1:55 2:45 1:55 1:50 2:05 R09 2:30 2:30 2:35 2:35 2:25 2:25 2:25 2:50 2:15 2:15 2:45 2:15 2:35 2:30 RIO 2:30 2:30 2:40 2:40 2:25 2:25 2:25 2:50 2:15 2:15 2:45 2:20 2:40 2:30 R11 2:30 2:30 2:30 2:30 2:20 2:25 2:25 2:55 2:15 2:15 2:45 2:15 2:30 2:30 R12 2:30 2:30 2:35 2:35 2:25 2:25 2:25 2:55 2:15 2:15 2:45 2:15 2:35 2:30 R13 2:25 2:25 2:30 2:30 2:20 2:20 2:20 2:55 2:15 2:15 2:45 2:15 2:30 2:25 R14 2:10 2:10 1:55 1:55 1:55 2:10 2:10 2:50 2:00 2:00 2:45 2:00 1:55 2:10 R1S 2:05 2:05 1:50 1:50 1:55 2:05 2:05 2:45 1:55 1:55 2:45 1:55 1:50 2:05 2-Mile Region and Keyhole to EPZ Boundary R16 2:25 2:30 2:25 2:30 2:15 2:20 2:30 3:00 2:15 2:20 2:55 2:15 2:35 2:25 R17 2:25 2:30 2:25 2:30 2:20 2:25 2:25 3:00 2:15 2:20 2:55 2:15 2:35 2:25 R18 2:25 2:25 2:20 2:25 2:15 2:20 2:25 2:55 2:15 2:15 2:50 2:10 2:25 2:25 R19 2:25 2:30 2:25 2:30 2:20 2:25 2:30 3:00 2:15 2:25 2:55 2:15 2:30 2:25 R20 2:30 2:35 2:25 2:35 2:25 2:25 2:35 3:00 2:20 2:25 2:55 2:20 2:30 2:30 R21 2:25 2:30 2:20 2:25 2:20 2:25 2:30 3:00 2:15 2:25 2:50 2:20 2:20 2:25 R22 2:25 2:30 2:20 2:25 2:20 2:25 2:30 3:00 2:15 2:25 2:50 2:20 2:20 2:25 R23 2:30 2:35 2:25 2:35 2:25 2:25 2:35 3:05 2:20 2:30 2:55 2:20 2:25 2:40 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-9 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Summer Summer Summer Winter Winter Winter Summer Summer Midweek Weekend Weekend Midweek Weekend Weekend Weekend Midweek Midday Midday Evening Midday Midday Evening Midday Midday Region Good Rain Good Ran Good Good Rain Sno Good Rain Sno Good Special Roadway

______Weather Weather Ran Weather Weather nw Weather nw Weather Event Impact R24 2:30 2:40 2:25 2:35 2:25 2:30 2:40 3:05 2:20 2:30 3:00 2:25 2:25 2:40 R25 2:50 3:00 2:35 2:50 2:35 2:50 3:00 3:30 2:30 2:45 3:10 2:30 2:35 3:00 R26 3:05 3:25 2:55 3:10 2:45 3:10 3:25 3:55 2:55 3:10 3:35 2:45 2:55 3:35 R27 3:10 3:30 2:55 3:15 2:45 3:10 3:25 4:00 2:55 3:10 3:40 2:45 2:55 3:40 R28 3:05 3:25 2:50 3:10 2:45 3:05 3:25 3:50 2:55 3:05 3:35 2:45 2:55 3:40 R29 2:45 3:00 2:30 2:45 2:40 2:45 3:00 3:35 2:30 2:45 3:20 2:35 2:30 3:00 R30 2:35 2:40 2:30 2:35 2:30 2:35 2:40.3:25

.2:25 2:25 3:15 2:35 2:30 2:35

~~~S-Mile Region and Keyhole to EPZ Boundary R31 2:30 2:30 2:30 2:35 2:20 2:25 2:30 3:00 2:15 2:20 2:55 2:15 2:35 2:30 R32 2:30 2:30 2:30 2:35 2:20 2:25 2:25 3:00 2:20 2:20 2:55 2:15 2:35 2:30 R33 2:25 2:30 2:25 2:30 2:20 2:20 2:25 3:00 2:15 2:15 2:50 2:15 2:30 2:25 R34 2:25 2:30 2:25 2:30 2:20 2:25 2:30 3:00 2:15 2:20 2:50 2:15 2:30 2:25 113S 2:25 2:30 2:25 2:30 2:20 2:25 2:30 3:00 2:20 2:25 2:55 2:20 2:30 2:30 R36 2:25 2:30 2:20 2:25 2:20 2:25 2:30 2:55 2:15 2:20 2:50 2:15 2:20 2:25 R37 2:25 2:30 2:20 2:25 2:20 2:25 2:30 3:00 2:15 2:20 2:50 2:15 2:20 2:25 R38 2:30 2:40 2:25 2:35 2:20 2:30 2:40 3:05 2:20 2:30 2:55 2:20 2:25 2:40 R39 2:30 2:40 2:25 2:35 2:25 2:30 2:40 3:05 2:20 2:30 2:55 2:20 2:25 2:40 R40 2:50 3:00 2:35 2:50 2:30 2:50 3:00 3:30 2:30 2:45 3:10 2:30 2:35 3:00 R41 3:05 3:25 3:00 3:15 2:45 3:10 3:25 3:55 2:55 3:05 3:35 2:45 3:00 3:35 R42 3:10 3:30 3:00 3:15 2:45 3:10 3:30 3:55 2:55 3:10 3:40 2:45 3:00 3:35 R43 3:00 3:25 2:55 3:05 2:45 3:05 3:25 3:55 2:55 3:05 3:30 2:40 2:55 3:35 R44 2:50 3:00 2:45 3:00 2:40 2:55 3:05 3:40 2:40 2:55 3:30 2:45 2:45 3:05 114S 2:35

.2:45

.2:35

.2:40 2:30 2:35

.2:45

.3:20

.2:25 12:30.3:10 2:30 2:40 2:35 7-10 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-10 Rev. 2

Summer Summer Summer Winter Winter Winter Summer Summer Midweek Midweek Midweek Weekend Weekend Midweek Weekend Weekend Weekend Midweek Weekend Weekend Midday Midday Evening Midday Midday Evening Midday Midday Region Good 1 Rain Good i

Good Good i

I Good R

I Good Special Roadway Weather Weather Rain Weather Weather [

now Weather now Weather Event Impact Staged Evacuation Mile Region and Keyhole to 5 Miles R46 2:30 2:30 2:30 2:30 2:30 2:30 2:30 3:20 2:30 2:30 3:20 2:30 2:30 2:30 R47 2:30 2:30 2:25 2:30 2:30 2:30 2:30 3:15 2:30 2:30 3:15 2:30 2:25 2:30 R48 2:35 2:35 2:40 2:40 2:30 2:35 2:35 3:20 2:30 2:30 3:20 2:30 2:40 2:35 R49 2:35 2:35 2:40 2:40 2:30 2:35 2:35 3:20 2:30 2:30 3:20 2:30 2:40 2:35 RSO 2:50 3:00 2:55 3:00 2:50 2:55 3:00 3:45 2:50 2:55 3:45 2:50 2:55 2:50 R51 2:50 3:00 2:55 3:00 2:50 2:55 3:00 3:50 2:55 3:00 3:50 2:55 2:55 2:55 R52 2:45 2:55 2:50 2:55 2:45 2:50 2:55 3:40 2:50 2:55 3:45 2:50 2:50 2:50 R53 2:50 2:55 2:50 2:55 2:50 2:50 2:50 3:45 2:50 2:55 3:45 2:50 2:50 2:55 R54 2:30 2:30 2:30 2:30 2:30 2:30 2:30 3:20 2:30 2:30 3:20 2:30 2:30 2:30 R55 2:45 2:50 2:50 2:55 2:45 2:45 2:50 3:35 2:45 2:45 3:40 2:45 2:50 2:45 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-11 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 7-2. Time to Clear the Indicated Area of 100 Percent of the Affected Population Weather Weather Weather Weather Weather Winter__

Summer__

Summer Midweek_

Weekend M_____

nirwe2Miek Rgo,5MilweRekin EPWeadetaes d

Midweek Weekend_

Midweek____

R~~~eeen 4:0 43W43e:0e:0 43k43e:0n:0 43d60

0

043

__Entire___

2-Mile Region, andeyhle tegon 5Z MileStae R01 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 4:35 RO2 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 4:35 R03 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:350 6:105 4:35 4:35 6:105 4:35 4:35 4:35 R0O 4:35 4:350 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:350 6:105 4:35 4:35 6:105 4:35 4:35 4:35 ROS 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 6:105 4:35 4:35 6:105 4:35 4:35 4:35 R06 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 6:105 4:35 4:35 6:105 4:35 4:35 4:35 R13 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35gio 4:35 Ke4:35 e6:05 4:5 4:5 6:5 43543543 R07 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 4:35 R0S 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 4:35 R10 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:105 4:40 4:40 6:105 4:40 4:40 4:40 R11 4:35 4:40 4:40 4:35 4:40 4:35 4:35 6:105 4:40 4:40 6:105 4:35 4:35 4:40 R12 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:105 4:40 4:40 6:105 4:40 4:40 4:40 R13 4:40 4:45 4:3S 4:40 4:35 4:35 4:40 6:105 4:35 4:40 6:105 4:40 4:40 4:40 R20 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:105 4:40 4:40 6:105 4:40 4:40 4:40 R21 ~

~

2 l 4:40o 4:40 4:40ol 4:4 4:40 4:0 4:0 6:0 4:04da610 44044044 R16 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R17 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-12 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Summer Summer Summer Winter Winter Winter Summer Summer Midweek Weekend Weekend Midweek Weekend Weekend Weekend Midweek Midday Midday Evening Midday Midday Evening Midday Midday Region Good Ran Good Good Good Ran SGood Ran SGood Special Roadway

_____Weather Ran Weather Rain Weather Weather Ri Snow Weather Ri Snow Weather Event Impact R24 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R2S 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R26 4:40 4:45 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:45 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R27 4:40 4:55 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:50 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R28 4:40 4:55 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:50 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R29 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R30 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40

-Mile Region and Keyhole to EPZ Boundary R31 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R32 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R33 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R34 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R35 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R36 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R37 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R38 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R39 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R41 4:40 4:55 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:50 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R42 4:40 5:00 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:50 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R43 4:40 5:00 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:50 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R44 4:40 4:50 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:50 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 R45 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 6:10 4:40 4:40 4:40 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-13 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Summer Summer Summer Winter Winter Winter Summer Summer Midweek Midweek Midweek Weekend Weekend Midweek Weekend Weekend Weekend Midweek Weekend Weekend Midday Midday Evening Midday Midday Evening Midday Midday Region Good] Rain Good R

Good Good Rain S

Good

[Rain S

Good Special Roadway Weather Rain Weather Rain Weather Weather I

now Weather now Weather Event Impact Staged Evacuation Mile Region and Keyhole to 5 Miles R46 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 4:35 R47 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 4:35 R48 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 4:35 R49 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 4:35 R50 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 4:35 R51 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 4:35 R52 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 4:35 R53 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 4:35 R54 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 4:35 R55 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 6:05 4:35 4:35 4:35 7-14 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-14 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 7-3. Time to Clear 90 Percent of the 2-Mile Area within the Indicated Region Summer Summer summer Winter Winter Winter Summer SuImer Midweek Weekend Un-taed Midweek Weekend gion weekend Midweek Weekend Weekend R0 200 2:0

4 1:45l1:50 2:0 j 2:00]

2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55] Jt 1:45]

2:00 Midday Midday Evening Midday Midday Evening Midday Midday Region Good Rin Good Rin Good Good IR in So Good Rin So Good Special Roadway Weather Weaine Wei Ran Soreter Eet Ip WahrWather Weather an So WeatherWetr Evn Ima_

Un-staged Evacuation Mile Region and 5-Mile Region R02 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 Un-staged Evacuation Mile Region and Keyhole to 5 Miles R07 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 ROB 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 R09 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 R10 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 R11 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 R12 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 R13 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 R14 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 R1S 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 Staged Evacuation Mile Region and Keyhole to 5 Miles R46 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 R47 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 R48 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 R49 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 RSO 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 RS1 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 R52 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 R53 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 R54 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 R55 2:00 2:00 1:45 1:45 1:50 2:00 2:00 2:40 1:55 1:55 2:40 1:55 1:45 2:00 7-15 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-15 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 7-4. Time to Clear 100 Percent of the 2-Mile Area within the Indicated Region Summer summer summer Winter Winter Winter Summer Summer Midweek Weekend Un-taed Midweek Weekend gionend a5M R

nd w

Weekend Weekend Midday Midday Evening Midday Midday Evening Midday Midday Regon G

4:30 4:30 [43 1

0 oo:0 oo0 143 4 I

30 6:0014:304:306:0 oo04:3014:3 Weather Ran Weather Ran Weather Weath~er Ri SnwWeather RIn Sno Weather Event Impact Un-staged Evacuation Mile Region and S-Mile Region R01 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 Un-staged Evacuation Mile Region and Keyhole to S Miles R07 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 R08 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 R09 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 R10 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 R11 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 R12 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 R13 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 R14 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 R15 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 Staged Evacuation Mile Region and Keyhole to 5 Miles R46 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 R47 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 R48 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 R49 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 RSO 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 RS1 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 R52 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 R53 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 R54 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 RSS 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 6:00 4:30 4:30 4:30 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-16 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 7-5. Description of Evacuation Regions RNI; t*Id I

I I

I S I I

R06 I

W VI I

I I

I II ote 2-Mile Reeion and Downwind to 5 Miles R07 350-11, 12-34 R08 35-56 R09 57-79,80-101 RIO 102-124 R11 125-146, 147-169 R12 170-191 R13 192-214 R14 215-236, 237-259, 260-281 R15 282-304, 305-326, 327-349 I

I I

I zIm1zIII~~~1 ____ I

_____ it

_____ IIiiiiIlIiiiIlIiII ____ I

____ I

____ I I

I I

I ZEIILIIliZILilIlIIII_

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-17 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

7-18 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-18 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 7-6. Description of Staged Evacuation Regions I

I Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-19 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Figure 7-1. Voluntary Evacuation Methodology Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-20 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Figure 7-2. Beaver Valley Power Station Shadow Region Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-21 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Figure 7-3. Congestion Patterns at 30 Minutes after the Advisory to Evacuate 7-22 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-22 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Figure 7-4. Congestion Patterns at 1 Hour after the Advisory to Evacuate Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-23 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Figure 7-5. Congestion Patterns at 2 Hours, 10 Minutes after the Advisory to Evacuate Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-24 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Figure 7-6. Congestion Patterns at 3 Hours after the Advisory to Evacuate Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-25 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Figure 7-7. Congestion Patterns at 4 Hours, 30 Minutes after the Advisory to Evacuate 7-26 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-26 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Figure 7-8. Congestion Patterns at 5 Hours after the Advisory to Evacuate 7-27 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-27 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Figure 7-9. Congestion Patterns at 5 Hours, 15 Minutes after the Advisory to Evacuate 7-28 KID Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-28 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Evacuation Time Estimates Summer, Midweek, Midday, Good (Scenario 1) Mile Region Mile Region

-Entire EPZ 0 90%

100%

80 70 S

60

~ 50

'M Ui 40 30 20 10 0

0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 390 Elapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (min)

Figure 7-10. Evacuation Time Estimates - Scenario 1 for Region R03 Evacuation Time Estimates Summer, Midweek, Midday, Rain (Scenario 2) 2-Mile Region 5-Mile Region Entire EPZ 90%

0 100%

80 70 60 S4-

"M '3A

-2 50 40 30

>l 20 10 0

0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 390 Elapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (min)

Figure 7-11. Evacuation Time Estimates - Scenario 2 for Region R03 7-29 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-29 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Evacuation Time Estimates Summer, Weekend, Midday, Good (Scenario 3) 2-Mile Region 5-Mile Region Entire EPZ 90%

0 100%

80 70 60

-a~ 50 C

40 0-- 30 20 10 0

0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 390 Elapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (min)

Figure 7-12. Evacuation Time Estimates - Scenario 3 for Region R03 Evacuation Time Estimates Summer, Weekend, Midday, Rain (Scenario 4) 2-Mile Region 5-Mile Region Entire EPZ 0

90%

0 100%

80 70 60 50 UiW 40 30 20

'0f 10 0

0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 390 Elapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (min)

Figure 7-13. Evacuation Time Estimates - Scenario 4 for Region R03 7-30 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-30 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Evacuation Time Estimates Summer, Midweek, Weekend, Evening, Good (Scenario 5) 2-Mile Region 5-Mile Region Entire EPZ 0

90%

100%

80 70 hA~

c 60

.50 40 30 20 0

0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 390 Elapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (min)

Figure 7-14. Evacuation Time Estimates - Scenario 5 for Region R03 Evacuation Time Estimates Winter, Midweek, Midday, Good (Scenario 6) 2-Mile Region Mile Region Entire EPZ 0 90%

0 100%

80 70 S60 50 wu I40

'A o 30 20 10 0

0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 390 Elapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (min)

Figure 7-15. Evacuation Time Estimates - Scenario 6 for Region R03 7-31 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-31 KLD Engineering, P.C2 Rev. 2

Evacuation Time Estimates Winter, Midweek, Midday, Rain (Scenario 7) 2-Mile Region 5-Mile Region Entire EPZ 0

90%

0 100%

80 70 t

60

.E-uM 750 L - 40 0I

-E 30 1 20 10 0

p.

p p

0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 390 Elapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (min)

Figure 7-16. Evacuation Time Estimates - Scenario 7 for Region R03 Evacuation Time Estimates Winter, Midweek, Midday, Snow (Scenario 8) 2-Mile Region 5-Mile Region Entire EPZ 0

90%

100%

80 70 ho A

60

~ u50 uJ 40 0

30 20 10 0

0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 390 Elapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (min)

Figure 7-17. Evacuation Time Estimates - Scenario 8 for Region R03 7-32 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-32 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Evacuation Time Estimates Winter, Weekend, Midday, Good (Scenario 9) 2-Mile Region 5-Mile Region Entire EPZ

90%

0 100%

U)-C 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0

0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 390 Elapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (min)

Figure 7-18. Evacuation Time Estimates - Scenario 9 for Region R03 Evacuation Time Estimates Winter, Weekend, Midday, Rain (Scenario 10) 2-Mile Region 5-Mile Region Entire EPZ

& 90%

0 100%

80 70 S

60 w ~ 40

. 30 S20 10 0

0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 390 Elapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (min)

Figure 7-19. Evacuation Time Estimates - Scenario 10 for Region R03 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-33 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Evacuation Time Estimates Winter, Weekend, Midday, Snow (Scenario 11) Mile Region Mile Region

-Entire EPZ 90%

0 100%

80 70 g

60 150

-= 40 0

S30

E 20 10 0

an pL 0

30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 Elapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (min) 330 360 390 Figure 7-20. Evacuation Time Estimates - Scenario 11 for Region R03 Evacuation Time Estimates Winter, Midweek, Weekend, Evening, Good (Scenario 12) 2-Mile Region 5-Mile Region Entire EPZ 90%

100%

80 70 60 J0 50 Z' UUj=40

~ 0 30 o>

20 10 0

0 30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 390 Elapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (min)

Figure 7-21. Evacuation Time Estimates - Scenario 12 for Region R03 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-34 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Evacuation Time Estimates Summer, Weekend, Midday, Good, Special Event (Scenario 13) 2-Mile Region 5-Mile Region Entire EPZ 90%

0 100%

80 70 S

60

'a. 50 0

u-40 c

30 20 10 0

.ZI 0

30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360 390 Elapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (min)

Figure 7-22. Evacuation Time Estimates - Scenario 13 for Region R03

Summer, Evacuation Time Estimates Midweek, Midday, Good, Roadway Impact (Scenario 14) 2-Mile Region Mile Region Entire EPZ

@ 90%

@ 100%

80 70

.C 60

-W -

50 40 30 20 10 0

I 0

30 60 90 120 150 180 210 240 270 300 Elapsed Time After Evacuation Recommendation (min) 330 360 390 Figure 7-23. Evacuation Time Estimates - Scenario 14 for Region R03 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 7-35 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

8 TRANSIT-DEPENDENT AND SPECIAL FACILITY EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATES This section details the analyses applied and the results obtained in the form of evacuation time estimates for transit vehicles. The demand for transit service reflects the needs of three population groups: (1) residents with no vehicles available; (2) residents of special facilities such as schools and medical facilities; and (3) homebound special needs population.

These transit vehicles mix with the general evacuation traffic that is comprised mostly of "passenger cars" (pc's). The presence of each transit vehicle in the evacuating traffic stream is represented within the modeling paradigm described in Appendix D as equivalent to two pc's.

This equivalence factor represents the longer size and more sluggish operating characteristics of a transit vehicle, relative to those of a pc.

Transit vehicles must be mobilized in preparation for their respective evacuation missions.

Specifically:

Bus drivers must be alerted They must travel to the bus depot They must be briefed there and assigned to a route or facility These activities consume time. Based on discussion with the offsite agencies, it is estimated that bus mobilization time will average approximately 90 minutes extending from the Advisory to Evacuate, to the time when buses first arrive at the facility to be evacuated.

During this mobilization period, other mobilization activities are taking place. One of these is the action taken by parents, neighbors, relatives and friends to pick up children from school prior to the arrival of buses, so that they may join their families. Virtually all studies of evacuations have concluded that this "bonding" process of uniting families is universally prevalent during emergencies and should be anticipated in the planning process. The current public information disseminated to residents of the Beaver Valley Power Station EPZ indicates that schoolchildren will be evacuated to host schools at the emergency action level of General Emergency, and that parents should pick schoolchildren up at host schools. As discussed in Section 2, this study assumes a fast breaking general emergency. Therefore, children are evacuated to host schools. Picking up children at school could add to traffic congestion at the schools, delaying the departure of the buses evacuating schoolchildren, which may have to return in a subsequent "wave" to the EPZ to evacuate the transit-dependent population. Based on discussions with FirstEnergy and the OROs, this report provides estimates of buses under the assumption that all schoolchildren will be evacuated by bus (no children will be picked up by their parents and no high school students will evacuate in personal vehicles) to present an upper bound estimate of buses required. It is assumed that children at day-care centers are picked up by parents or guardians and that the time to perform this activity is included in the trip generation times discussed in Section 5.

The procedure for computing transit-dependent ETE is to:

0 Estimate demand for transit service Beaver Valley Power Station 8-1 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

Estimate time to perform all transit functions Estimate route travel times to the EPZ boundary and to the reception centers 8.1 Transit Dependent People Demand Estimate The telephone survey (see Appendix F) results were used to estimate the portion of the population requiring transit service:

Those persons in households that do not have a vehicle available.

Those persons in households that do have vehicle(s) that would not be available at the time the evacuation is advised.

In the latter group, the vehicle(s) may be used by a commuter(s) who does not return (or is not expected to return) home to evacuate the household.

Table 8-1 presents estimates of transit-dependent people. Note:

Estimates of persons requiring transit vehicles include schoolchildren.

For those evacuation scenarios where children are at school when an evacuation is ordered, separate transportation is provided for the schoolchildren. The actual need for transit vehicles by residents is thereby less than the given estimates. However, estimates of transit vehicles are not reduced when schools are in session.

It is reasonable and appropriate to consider that many transit-dependent persons will evacuate by ride-sharing with neighbors, friends or family. For example, nearly 80 percent of those who evacuated from Mississauga, Ontario who did not use their own cars, shared a ride with neighbors or friends. Other documents report that approximately 70 percent of transit dependent persons were evacuated via ride sharing. We will adopt a conservative estimate that 50 percent of transit dependent persons will ride share, in accordance with NUREG/CR-7002.

The estimated number of bus trips needed to service transit-dependent persons is based on an estimate of average bus occupancy of 30 persons at the conclusion of the bus run. Transit vehicle seating capacities typically equal or exceed 60 children (roughly equivalent to 40 adults). If transit vehicle evacuees are two thirds adults and one third children, then the number of "adult seats" taken by 30 persons is 20 + (2/3 xl0) = 27. On this basis, the average load factor anticipated is (27/40) x 100 = 68 percent. Thus, if the actual demand for service exceeds the estimates of Table 8-1 by 50 percent, the demand for service can still be accommodated by the available bus seating capacity.

[20 + (3X 10)I ÷40 x 1.5 = 1.00 Table 8-1 indicates that transportation must be provided for 2,771 people. Therefore, a total of 93 buses are required to transport this population to reception centers.

Beaver Valley Power Station 8-2 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

To illustrate this estimation procedure, we calculate the number of persons, P, requiring public transit or ride-share, and the number of buses, B, required for the Beaver Valley EPZ:

n P = No. of HH x Y.f(% HH with i vehicles) x [(Average HH Size) - i]} X A1Ci i=O

Where, A = Percent of households with commuters C = Percent of households who will not await the return of a commuter P = 47,261 x [0.032 x 1.26 + 0.334 x (1.61 -

1) x 0.52 x 0.52 + 0.433 x (2.69 - 2) x (0.52 x 0.52)2] = 5,542 B = (0.5 x P) + 30 = 93 These calculations are explained as follows:

All members (1.26 avg.) of households (HH) with no vehicles (3.2%) will evacuate by public transit or ride-share. The term 47,261 (number of households) x 0.032 x 1.26, accounts for these people.

The members of HH with 1 vehicle away (33.4%), who are at home, equal (1.61-1).

The number of HH where the commuter will not return home is equal to (47,261 x 0.334 x 0.52 x 0.52), as 52% of EPZ households have a commuter, 52% of which would not return home in the event of an emergency. The number of persons who will evacuate by public transit or ride-share is equal to the product of these two terms.

The members of HH with 2 vehicles that are away (43.3%), who are at home, equal (2.69 - 2). The number of HH where neither commuter will return home is equal to 47,261 x 0.433 x (0.52 x 0.52)2. The number of persons who will evacuate by public transit or ride-share is equal to the product of these two terms (the last term is squared to represent the probability that neither commuter will return).

Households with 3 or more vehicles are assumed to have no need for transit vehicles.

The total number of persons requiring public transit is the sum of such people in HH with no vehicles, or with 1 or 2 vehicles that are away from home.

The estimate of transit-dependent population in Table 8-1 far exceeds the number of registered transit-dependent persons in the EPZ as provided by the counties (discussed below in Section 8.5). This is consistent with the findings of NUREG/CR-6953, Volume 2, in that a large majority of the transit-dependent population within the EPZs of U.S. nuclear plants do not register with their local emergency response agency.

Beaver Valley Power Station 8-3 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

8.2 School Population -Transit Demand Table 8-2 presents the school population and transportation requirements for the direct evacuation of all schools within the EPZ for the 2011-2012 school year. This information was provided by the local county emergency management agencies and through phone calls to individual schools. The column in Table 8-2 entitled "Buses Required" specifies the number of buses required for each school under the following set of assumptions and estimates:

No students will be picked up by their parents prior to the arrival of the buses.

While many high school students commute to school using private automobiles (as discussed in Section 2.4 of NUREG/CR-7002), the estimate of buses required for school evacuation do not consider the use of these private vehicles.

0 Bus capacity, expressed in students per bus, is set to 70 for primary schools and 50 for middle and high schools. Columbiana County uses a bus capacity of 50 students for all their schools.

All staff members accompany the students on the buses in Columbiana and Hancock Counties.

0 Those staff members who do not accompany the students in Beaver County will evacuate in their private vehicles.

0 No allowance is made for student absenteeism, typically 3 percent daily.

The counties in the EPZ could introduce procedures whereby the schools are contacted prior to the dispatch of buses from the depot to ascertain the current estimate of students to be evacuated. In this way, the number of buses dispatched to the schools will reflect the actual number needed. Those buses originally allocated to evacuate schoolchildren that are not needed due to children being picked up by their parents (although they are not advised to do so) can be gainfully assigned to service other facilities or those persons who do not have access to private vehicles or to ride-sharing.

Table 8-3 presents a list of the host schools for each school in the EPZ. Students will be transported to these host schools where they will be subsequently retrieved by their respective families.

8.3 Special Facility Demand Table 8-4 presents the census of special facilities in the EPZ. The capacity and current census for each facility were provided by the county emergency management agencies and through phone calls to individual facilities. This data includes the number of ambulatory, wheelchair-bound and bedridden patients at each facility. Based on the data provided, there are 1,724 people living in or being treated in these facilities.

The transportation requirements for the special facility population are also presented in Table 8-4. The number of ambulance runs is determined by assuming that 2 patients can be accommodated per ambulance trip; the number of wheelchair bus runs assumes 15 wheelchairs per trip and the number of bus runs estimated assumes 30 ambulatory patients per trip.

Beaver Valley Power Station 8-4 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

8.4 Evacuation Time Estimates for Transit Dependent People EPZ bus resources are assigned to evacuating schoolchildren (if school is in session at the time of the ATE) as the first priority in the event of an emergency. In the event that the allocation of buses dispatched from the depots to the various facilities and to the bus routes is somewhat "inefficient", or if there is a shortfall of available drivers, then there may be a need for some buses to return to the EPZ from the reception center after completing their first evacuation trip, to complete a "second wave" of providing transport service to evacuees. For this reason, the ETE for the transit-dependent population will be calculated for both a one wave transit evacuation and for two waves. Of course, if the impacted evacuation region is other than R03 (the entire EPZ), then there will likely be ample transit resources relative to demand in the impacted region and this discussion of a second wave would likely not apply.

When school evacuation needs are satisfied, subsequent assignments of buses to service the transit-dependent should be sensitive to their mobilization time. Clearly, the buses should be dispatched after people have completed their mobilization activities and are in a position to board the buses when they arrive at the pick-up points.

Evacuation Time Estimates for transit trips were developed using both good weather and adverse weather conditions. Figure 8-1 presents the chronology of events relevant to transit operations. The elapsed time for each activity will now be discussed with reference to Figure 8-1.

Activity: Mobilize Drivers (A-)B-)C)

Mobilization is the elapsed time from the Advisory to Evacuate until the time the buses arrive at the facility to be evacuated. Based on discussions with the county emergency management agencies, for a rapidly escalating radiological emergency with no observable indication before the fact, drivers would likely require 90 minutes to be contacted, to travel to the depot, be briefed, and to travel to the transit-dependent facilities. Mobilization time is slightly longer in adverse weather - 100 minutes when raining, 110 minutes when snowing. Mobilization time for bus routes servicing transit-dependent pick-up points is dependent on mobilization time of the evacuees and is discussed later in this section.

Activity: Board Passengers (C-4D)

Based on discussions with offsite agencies, a loading time of 15 minutes (20 minutes for rain and 25 minutes for snow) for school buses is used.

For multiple stops along a pick-up route (transit-dependent bus routes) estimation of travel time must allow for the delay associated with stopping and starting at each pick-up point. The time, t, required for a bus to decelerate at a rate, "a", expressed in ft/sec/sec, from a speed, "v", expressed in ft/sec, to a stop, is t = v/a. Assuming the same acceleration rate and final speed following the stop yields a total time, T, to service boarding passengers:

T = t+B +t = B + 2t = B ++/-,

a Beaver Valley Power Station 8-5 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

Where B = Dwell time to service passengers. The total distance, "s" in feet, travelled during the deceleration and acceleration activities is: s = v2/a. If the bus had not stopped to service passengers, but had continued to travel at speed, v, then its travel time over the distance, s, would be: s/v = v/a. Then the total delay (i.e., pickup time, P) to service passengers is:

P = T--= B +-

a a

Assigning reasonable estimates:

0 B = 50 seconds: a generous value for a single passenger, carrying personal items, to board per stop S

v = 25 mph = 37 ft/sec a = 4 ft/sec/sec, a moderate average rate Then, P = 1 minute per stop. Allowing 30 minutes pick-up time per bus run implies 30 stops per run, for good weather. It is assumed that bus acceleration and speed will be less in rain; total loading time is 40 minutes per bus in rain, 50 minutes in snow.

Activity: Travel to EPZ Boundary (D--)E)

School Evacuation Transportation resources available were provided by the EPZ county emergency management agencies and through phone calls to individual facilities. They are summarized in Table 8-5.

Also included in the table are the number of buses needed to evacuate schools, medical facilities, transit-dependent population, and homebound special needs population (discussed below in Section 8.5).

These numbers indicate there are sufficient resources available to evacuate all population groups in a single wave.

The buses servicing the schools are ready to begin their evacuation trips at 105 minutes after the ATE - 90 minutes mobilization time plus 15 minutes loading time - in good weather. The UNITES software discussed in Section 1.3 was used to define bus routes along the most likely path from a school being evacuated to the EPZ boundary, traveling toward the appropriate school reception center. This is done in UNITES by interactively selecting the series of nodes from the school to the EPZ boundary. Each bus route is given an identification number and is written to the DYNEV II input stream. DYNEV computes the route length and outputs the average speed for each 5 minute interval, for each bus route. The specified bus routes are documented in Table 8-6 (refer to the maps of the link-node analysis network in Appendix K for node locations). Data provided by DYNEV during the appropriate timeframe depending on the mobilization and loading times (i.e., 100 to 105 minutes after the ATE for good weather) were used to compute the average speed for each route, as follows:

Beaver Valley Power Station 8-6 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

Average.Speed (-.)

= ý= length of link i (mi) 1 Delay on link i (min.) +

length of link i (mi.)

x 60 min.

scurrent ed onlinki ( mL" 1 hr.

60 min.

X1 hr.

The average speed computed (using this methodology) for the buses servicing each of the schools in the EPZ is shown in Table 8-7 through Table 8-9 for school evacuation, and in Table 8-11 through Table 8-13 for the transit vehicles evacuating transit-dependent persons, which are discussed later. The travel time to the EPZ boundary was computed for each bus using the computed average speed and the distance to the EPZ boundary along the most likely route out of the EPZ. The travel time from the EPZ boundary to the host school was computed assuming an average speed of 45 mph, 40 mph, and 35 mph for good weather, rain and snow, respectively. Bus speeds in Pennsylvania were reduced in Table 8-7 through Table 8-9 and in Table 8-11 through Table 8-13 to 45 mph for good weather, 40 mph for rain -- 10% decrease, and 35 mph for snow - 20% decrease, for those calculated bus speeds which exceed 45 mph, 40 mph, and 35 mph for good weather, rain, and snow, respectively.

Table 8-7 (good weather), Table 8-8 (rain) and Table 8-9 (snow) present the following evacuation time estimates (rounded up to the nearest 5 minutes) for schools in the EPZ: (1) The elapsed time from the Advisory to Evacuate until the bus exits the EPZ; and (2) The elapsed time until the bus reaches the host school. The evacuation time out of the EPZ can be computed as the sum of times associated with Activities A-)B->C, C-4D, and D--E (For example: 90 min. + 15 + 41 = 2:30 for South Side Elementary School, with good weather). The average one-wave ETE for schools is less than the 9 0 th percentile general population ETE (Table 7-1) for an evacuation of the entire EPZ (region R03). The evacuation time to the host school is determined by adding the time associated with Activity E--F (discussed below) to this EPZ evacuation time.

Evacuation of Transit-Dependent Population The buses dispatched from the depots to service the transit-dependent evacuees will be scheduled so that they arrive at their respective routes after their passengers have completed their mobilization. As shown in Figure 5-4 (Residents with no Commuters), 90 percent of the evacuees will complete their mobilization when the buses will begin their routes, approximately 120 minutes (130 minutes for rain, 140 minutes for snow) after the Advisory to Evacuate.

Monaca Borough and Hopewell Township have high transit-dependent populations and require more buses than any other areas (Table 8-10). As such, two groups of buses are dispatched for Monaca Borough (Route Number 19) and three groups for Hopewell Township (Route Number Beaver Valley Power Station 8-7 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

22). These groups of buses are separated by 20 minute headways, as shown in Table 8-11 through Table 8-13.

Those buses servicing the transit-dependent evacuees will first travel along their pick-up routes, then proceed out of the EPZ. Transit-dependent pick-up locations, within the Beaver County portion of the EPZ, are provided annually to EPZ residents in the Beaver County Public Safety Calendar. Columbiana County and Hancock County define transit-dependent pick-up locations in their county plans. The 34 bus routes shown graphically in Figure 8-2 through 8-4, and described in Table 8-10, were designed by KLD to service the major routes through each sub-area and to service the pre-defined pick-up locations identified in the county plans. It is assumed that residents will walk to and congregate at these pre-designated pick-up locations, and that they can arrive at the stops within the 120 minute bus mobilization time (good weather).

As previously discussed, a pickup time of 30 minutes (good weather) is estimated for 30 individual stops to pick up passengers, with an average of one minute of delay associated with each stop. Longer pickup times of 40 minutes and 50 minutes are used for rain and snow, respectively.

The travel distance along the respective pick-up routes within the EPZ is estimated using the UNITES software.

Bus travel times within the EPZ are computed using average speeds computed by DYNEV, using the aforementioned methodology that was used for school evacuation.

Table 8-11 through Table 8-13 present the transit-dependent population evacuation time estimates for each bus route calculated using the above procedures for good weather, rain and snow, respectively.

For example, the ETE for the bus route (Route Number 1) servicing Midland Borough (sub-area P-1) is computed as 120 + 49 + 30 = 3:20 for good weather (rounded up to nearest 5 minutes).

Here, 49 minutes is the time to travel 11.5 miles at 14.1 mph, the average speed output by the model for this route. The average one-wave ETE for transit-dependent buses is comparable to the 9 0 th percentile general population ETE (Table 7-1) for an evacuation of the entire EPZ (region R03). The ETE for a second wave (discussed below) is presented in the event there is a shortfall of available buses or bus drivers, as previously discussed.

Activity: Travel to Reception Centers (E-)F)

The distances from the EPZ boundary to the reception centers are measured using GIS software along the most likely route from the EPZ exit point to the reception center. The reception centers are mapped in Figure 10-1. For a one-wave evacuation, this travel time outside the EPZ does not contribute to the ETE.

For a two-wave evacuation, the ETE for buses must be considered separately, since it could exceed the ETE for the general public. Assumed bus speeds of 45 mph, 40 mph, and 35 mph for good weather, rain, and snow, respectively, will be applied for this activity for buses servicing the transit-dependent population.

Beaver Valley Power Station 8-8 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

Activity: Passengers Leave Bus (F-4G)

A bus can empty within 5 minutes. The driver takes a 10 minute break.

Activity: Bus Returns to Route for Second Wave Evacuation (G-4C)

The buses assigned to return to the EPZ to perform a "second wave" evacuation of transit-dependent evacuees will be those that have already evacuated transit-dependent people who mobilized more quickly. The first wave of transit-dependent people depart the bus, and the bus then returns to the EPZ, travels to its route and proceeds to pick up more transit-dependent evacuees along the route. The travel time back to the EPZ is equal to the travel time to the reception center.

The second-wave ETE for the Route Number 1 servicing Midland Borough (sub-area P-i) is computed as follows for good weather:

Bus arrives at reception center at 3:57 in good weather (3:20 to exit EPZ + 37 minute travel time to reception center).

Bus discharges passengers (5 minutes) and driver takes a 10-minute rest: 15 minutes.

Bus returns to EPZ and completes second route: 37 minutes (equal to travel time to reception center) + 18 minutes (11.5 miles @ 39.7 mph) = 55 minutes Bus completes pick-ups along route: 30 minutes.

Bus exits EPZ at time 3:20 + 0:37 + 0:15 + 0:55 + 0:30 = 5:40 (rounded up to nearest 5 minutes) after the Advisory to Evacuate.

The ETE for the completion of the second wave for all transit-dependent bus routes are provided in Table 8-11 through Table 8-13. The average ETE for a two-wave evacuation of transit-dependent people, if needed, would exceed the ETE for the general population at the 90th percentile.

The relocation of transit-dependent evacuees from the reception centers to congregate care centers, if the counties decide to do so, is not considered in this study.

Evacuation of Special Facilities The bus operations for this group are similar to those for school evacuation except:

Buses are assigned on the basis of 30 patients to allow for staff to accompany the patients.

The passenger loading time will be longer at approximately one minute per ambulatory patient, 5 minutes per wheelchair bound patient, and 15 minutes per bedridden patient, to account for the time to move patients from inside the facility to the vehicles.

Table 8-4 indicates that 47 buses, 39 wheelchair buses and 41 ambulances are needed to evacuate all of the special facilities in the EPZ. According to Table 8-5, the counties can collectively provide 702 buses, 42 vans, 135 wheelchair accessible buses, 20 wheelchair Beaver Valley Power Station 8-9 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

accessible vans and 450 ambulances. Thus, there are ample resources to evacuate the all patients from the special facilities in a single wave.

As is done for the schools, it is estimated that mobilization time averages 90 minutes. Specially trained medical support staff (working their regular shift) will be on site to assist in the evacuation of patients. Additional staff (if needed) could be mobilized over this same 90 minute timeframe.

Table 8-14 through Table 8-16 summarize the ETE for medical facilities within the EPZ for good weather, rain, and snow. Based on the locations of the medical facilities in Figure E-4, it is estimated that buses will have to travel 5 miles, on average, to leave the EPZ. Average speeds output by the model, capped at 45 mph (40 mph for rain and 35 mph for snow), are used to compute travel time to EPZ boundary. The ETE is the sum of the mobilization time, total passenger loading time, and travel time out of the EPZ. Concurrent loading on multiple buses, wheelchair buses/vans, and ambulances at capacity is assumed such that maximum loading times are 30 minutes, 75 minutes, and 30 minutes, respectively. All ETE are rounded to the nearest 5 minutes. For example, the calculation of ETE for the ambulatory patients residing at medical facilities in sub-area P-8 for good weather is:

ETE: 90 + 30 x 1 + 13 = 133 min. or 2:15 rounded up to the nearest 5 minutes.

The travel time to the EPZ boundary (13 min) is determined by dividing the estimated 5 mile travel distance by the route speed output by the DYNEV model capped at the maximum speed limit (45 mph). It is assumed that special facility population is directly evacuated to appropriate host medical facilities. Relocation of this population to permanent facilities and/or passing through the reception center before arriving at the host facility is not considered in this analysis. The average one-wave ETE for special facilities is less than the 901h percentile general population ETE (Table 7-1) for an evacuation of the entire EPZ (region R03).

8.5 Special Needs Population Based on data provided by FirstEnergy, there are an estimated 36 homebound special needs people within the Beaver County portion of the EPZ, who require wheelchair transportation assistance to evacuate.

Data for homebound special needs population within the Columbiana County and Hancock County portions of the EPZ were not provided.

ETE for Homebound Special Needs Persons Table 8-17 summarizes the ETE for homebound special needs people, broken down by weather condition. The table takes into consideration the deployment of multiple vehicles to reduce the number of stops per vehicle. It is conservatively assumed that wheelchair bound special needs households are spaced 3 miles apart. Bus speeds approximate 20 mph between households in good weather (10% slower in rain, 20% slower in snow). Mobilization times of 90 minutes were used (100 minutes for rain, and 110 minutes for snow). The last HH is assumed to be 5 miles from the EPZ boundary, and the network-wide average speed, capped at 45 mph (40 mph for rain and 35 mph for snow), after the last pickup is used to compute travel time. ETE is computed by summing mobilization time, loading time at first household, travel to subsequent Beaver Valley Power Station 8-10 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

households, loading time at subsequent households, and travel time to EPZ boundary. All ETE are rounded to the nearest 5 minutes.

For example, assuming no more than one special needs person per HH implies that 36 wheelchair bound households need to be serviced. While only 3 wheelchair buses are needed from a capacity perspective, if 6 buses are deployed to service these special needs HH, then each would require 6 stops. The following outlines the ETE calculations:

1. Assume 6 wheelchair buses are deployed, each with 6 stops, to service a total of 36 HH.

2. The ETE is calculated as follows:

a. Wheelchair buses arrive at the first pickup location: 90 minutes

b. Load HH members at first pickup: 5 minutes

c. Travel to subsequent pickup locations: 5 @ 9 minutes (3 miles at 20 mph) = 45 minutes

d.

Load HH members at subsequent pickup locations: 5 @ 5 minutes = 25 minutes

e. Travel to EPZ boundary: 15 minutes (5 miles at 20.3 mph).

ETE: 90 + 5 + 45 + 25 + 15 = 3:00 As indicated in Table 8-5, there are sufficient transit resources available to evacuate all transit-dependent people in a single wave. Thus, a second wave of evacuation is not needed for the homebound special needs population. The average one-wave ETE for homebound special needs population is comparable to the 90th percentile general population ETE (Table 7-1) for an evacuation of the entire EPZ (region R03).

8.6 Correctional Facilities As detailed in Table E-7, there is one correctional facility within the EPZ - Beaver County Jail.

The total inmate population at this facility is 300 persons. The Beaver County Operations Plan indicates the Beaver County Jail would not be evacuated; rather persons would be given potassium iodide (KI) and shelter in place. Thus, ETE are not computed for this facility.

Beaver Valley Power Station 8-11 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

(Subsequent Wave)

A Advisory to Evacuate B

Bus Dispatched from Depot C

Bus Arrives at Facility/Pick-up Route D

Bus Departs for Reception Center E

Bus Exits Region F

Bus Arrives at Reception Center/Host Facility G

Bus Available for "Second Wave" Evacuation Service Time A--B Driver Mobilization B--*C Travel to Facility or to Pick-up Route C-+D Passengers Board the Bus D--E Bus Travels Towards Region Boundary E--F Bus Travels Towards Reception Center Outside the EPZ F--G Passengers Leave Bus; Driver Takes a Break Figure 8-1. Chronology of Transit Evacuation Operations Beaver Valley Power Station 8-12 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

Figure 8-2. Transit-Dependent Bus Routes in Pennsylvania, North of the Ohio River 8-13 KID Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-13 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Figure 8-3. Transit-Dependent Bus Routes in Pennsylvania, South of the Ohio River 8-14 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-14 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Figure 8-4. Transit-Dependent Bus Routes in Ohio and West Virginia 8-15 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-15 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 8-1. Transit-Dependent Population Estimates 1 113,427 1.26 1.61 2.69 47,261 3.2%

33.4%

43.3%

52%

5,542 50%

2,771 2.4%

8-16 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-16 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 8-2. School Population Demand Estimates F-P-i Midland Neel Elementary/Middle School 375 7

P-1 Lincoln Park Performing Arts Charter School 600 10 P-1 Prima Learning Center 120 2

P-3 Western Beaver Junior-Senior High School 385 7

P-4 Bethel Christian School 50 1

P-5 South Side Elementary School 604 10 P-5 South Side High School 463 9

P-5 South Side Middle School 333 6

P-7 Blackhawk Intermediate School 625 13 P-7 Fairview Elementary School 365 6

P-7 Highland Middle School 483 10 P-8 Beaver Area Academic Charter School 79 2

P-8 Beaver Area High School 735 16 P-8 Beaver Area Middle School 336 P-8 College Square Elementary School 442 P-8 Dutch Ridge Elementary 610 P-8 Patterson Primary School 221 P-8 Sts. Peter and Paul School 195 P-9 Beaver County Career & Technology Center 317 P-9 Center Grange Primary School 615 P-9 Central Valley High School 853 P-9 Central Valley Middle School 630 P-9 St. John the Baptist School 233 P-9 Todd Lane Elementary School 541 P-10 Aliquippa Elementary School 472 P-10 Aliquippa Jr./Sr. High School 728 P-10 Hope Christian Academy 22 P-10 Hopewell Elementary School 345 P-10 Hopewell Junior High School 740 P-10 Hopewell Senior High School 880 P-10 Margaret Ross Elementary School 200 P-10 Our Lady of Fatima School 202 P-11 Independence Elementary School 310 Staff evacuate in personal vehicles.

8 7

10 6

3 7

8 14 11 5

9 7

10 1

5 11 13 3

3 5

1 P-12 Pleasant Hills Wesleyan Academy 12 0-2 American Spirit Academy 151 22 4

0-2 East Liverpool High School 975 81 22 0-2 East Liverpool Jr. High School 742 62 17 8-17 KID Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-17 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

0-2 LaCroft Elementary School 504 50 10 0-2 North Elementary School 439 40 10 0-2 Westgate Middle School 327 60 8

0-3 Calcutta Elementary School 390 30 9

0-3 Employment Development Center 80 20 2

W-1 Allison Elementary School 439 26 10 W-2 Oak Glen High School 600 39 14 W-2 Oak Glen Middle School 627 41 14 W-3 New Manchester Elementary School 391 24 7

P-9 Community College of Beaver County

2,800 P-9 Penn State - Beaver Campus

870 0-2 Kent State University

1,400 S.R.

Ambridge Sr. High School **

762 S.R.

Ambridge Jr. High School **

411 S.R.

Blackhawk High School **

1,073 S.R.

Economy Elementary School **

636 S.R.

Highland Elementary School **

606 S.R.

New Brighton Area Elementary School **

729 S.R.

New Brighton Area Middle School **

408 S.R.

New Brighton Area High School **

553 S.R.

North Hills Christian School **

81 S.R.

Northwestern Primary School **

331 S.R.

Quigley Catholic High School **

220 S.R.

State Street Elementary School **

308

Students use personal vehicles to evacuate.

- These schools are identified in the county emergency plans; however, students shelter in place.

- - As noted in Section 8.2, all staff members accompany the students on the buses in Columbiana and Hancock Counties.

8-18 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-18 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 8-3. Host Schools I

Scoo Hos Schoo Blackhawk Intermediate School Blackhawk High School Highland Middle School South Side Elementary School South Side High School South Side Middle School Beaver County Career & Technology Center Center Grange Primary School Canon-McMillan High School Central Valley High School Central Valley Middle School St. John the Baptist School Todd Lane Elementary School Pleasant Hills Wesleyan Academy LaCroft Elementary School Columbiana County Career Center American Spirit Academy David Anderson High School East Liverpool High School Aliquippa Elementary School Aliquippa Jr./Sr. High School Independence Middle School Hope Christian Academy Patterson Primary School Northwestern Primary School Beaver Area Academic Charter School Beaver Area High School Beaver Area Middle School Beavr Aea iddl ScoolSlippery Rock Jr./Sr. High School College Square Elementary School Dutch Ridge Elementary Sts. Peter and Paul School Bethel Christian School Hopewell Elementary School Hopewell Junior High School Hopewell Senior High School South Park Senior High School Margaret Ross Elementary School Our Lady of Fatima School Independence Elementary School Lincoln Park Performing Arts Charter School Midland Neel Elementary/Middle School Prima Learning Center Union Area Middle/Sr. High School Western Beaver Junior-Senior High School Fairview Elementary School Oak Glen High School Weir High School 8-19 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-19 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Scoo Hos School Allison Elementary School Oak Glen Middle School Weir Middle School New Manchester Elementary School East Liverpool Jr. High School North Elementary School Columbiana County Career and Technical Westgate Middle School Center or Lisbon David Anderson High Calcutta Elementary School School Employment Development Center Ambridge Sr. High School Ambridge Jr. High School Blackhawk High School Economy Elementary School Highland Elementary School New Brighton Area Elementary School These schools are listed in the County New Brighton Area Middle School emergency plans; however, all of these New Brighton Area High School schools shelter in place North Hills Christian School Northwestern Primary School Quigley Catholic High School State Street Elementary School John D. Rockefeller Career Center Community College of Beaver County Students use personal vehicles to Kent State University evacuate.

Penn State - Beaver Campus Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-20 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 8-4. Special Facility Transit Demand P-7 Beaver Meadows Beaver 83 70 46 24 0

2 2

0 Beaver Valley Nursing &

83 69 60 9

0 2

1 0

P-7 Rehabilitation Beaver P-7 Lakeview Personal Care Darlington 70 69 66 3

0 3

1 0

P-8 Cambridge Village Beaver Falls 100 78 58 20 0

2 2

0 P-8 Friendship Ridge Beaver 589 548 352 163 33 12 11 17 P-8 Heritage Valley - Beaver Beaver 250 220 140 66 14 5

5 7

P-8 Trinity Oaks Care Center Beaver 24 18 13 5

0 1

1 0

P-9 Gateway Rehabilitation Center Aliquippa 148 132 132 0

0 5

0 0

Gateway Rehabilitation Center -

25 24 24 0

0 1

0 0

P-9 Moffett House Beaver Falls Beaver Elder Care &

West 67 53 35 16 2

2 2

1 P-10 Rehabilitation Center Aliquippa West Wet21 15 12 1

2 1

1 1

P-10 Hunter's Personal Care Aliquippa S.R.'

Elmcroft of Chippewa Beaver Falls 85 70 53 17 0

2 2

0 Beaver County Subtotal:

1,545 1,366 991 324 51 38 28 26 1 This facility is listed in the Beaver County REP Plan and will evacuate.

Beaver Valley Power Station 8-21 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

0-2 East Liverpool City Hospital East Liverpool 154 b/

4Z 15!

10 z

1 I East Liverpool Convalescent so 37 15 19 3

1 2

2 0-2 Center #1 East Liverpool 0-2 Nentwick Nursing Home East Liverpool 100 71 45 22 4

2 2

2 0-3 Calcutta Health Care East Liverpool 121 99 63 30 6

3 2

3 Columbiana County Subtotal:

425 274 165 23 8

7 12 W-1 The Orchard at Fox Crest Chester 137 84 24 55 5

1 4

3 Hancock County Subtotal:

170 il l

41 64 6

2 5

4 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-22 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 8-5. Summary of Transportation Resources Resources Available Midland Neel Elementary/Middle School 2

Western Beaver Junior-Senior High School 6

South Side Elementary School South Side High School South Side Middle School 25 i

[

- - - [ _

Blackhawk Intermediate School 13 Fairview Elementary School 6

Highland Middle School 10 Beaver Area High School 1

College Square Elementary School 7

Dutch Ridge Elementary 10 Patterson Primary School 6

Beaver County Career & Technology Center 7

Center Grange Primary School 8

Central Valley High School 14 Central Valley Middle School 11 Todd Lane Elementary School 9

Aliquippa Elementary School 7

Aliquippa Jr./Sr. High School 10 Hopewell Elementary School 5

Hopewell Junior High School 11 Hopewell Senior High School 1

Margaret Ross Elementary School 3

Independence Elementary School 5

Beaver Meadows 1

1 Beaver Valley Nursing & Rehabilitation 1

1 Elmcroft of Chippewa 1

Friendship Ridge 2

Gateway Rehabilitation Center - Moffett House 1

Hunter's Personal Care 1

Lakeview Personal Care 1

Economy Ambulance 3

Hanover VFD 1

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-23 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Northwestern Ambulance Auxiliary 2

-Medic Rescue 25 Independence Ambulance

-I1 Ambulance companies in Allegheny County 290 Butler Ambulance Service 10 Buffalo Twp. EMS 3

Chicora UFD 1

Cranberry Ambulance 2

East Butler 2

Harmony EMS 3

Petrolia EMS 2

Portersville EMS 2

Saxonberg EMS 3

Slippery Rock Rescue 3

Medevac 10 Enon Valley VFD/EMS 1

New Wilmington VFD/EMS 2

Noga Ambulance Service 12 North Beaver VFD Ambulance 1

Pulaski Rescue VFD 1

Ambulance & Chair - Washington 11 Bentworth Ambulance 2

Brownsville Ambulance 4

Canonsburg General Hospital Ambulance 5

Fort Cherry Ambulance 6

Mon Valley EMS 1

Morris Township VFD 1

Tri-Community Ambulance 3

Ambulance Service 3

Expressway Travel Center 48 Ferguson Transportation Co.

32 5

Lenzer Coach Lines 33 5

McCarter Transit, Inc.

87 Southside Garage 30 13 3

R.J. Rhodes 161 9

12 3

Beaver County Subtotal:

570 38 13 7

416 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-24 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Trnsortto Whechi Whechi Resource ~

Buse Vas Bue anmulne Columbiana County 51 4

E. Liverpool School Buses 19 2

4 East Liverpool Convalescent Center #1 1

Community Action Agency 22 1

Robert Bycroft 23 8

Columbiana County Education Service Center 10 Beaver County Local School Buses 28 2

2 Lifeteam EMS, Inc.

4 Tri-County EMS 5

Columbiana EMS 2

East Palestine EMS 4

N. Waterford EMS 2

Negley EMS 2

EMT 2

North Star 3

KLG 2

Leetonia EMS 2

Columbiana Count Subtotal:

48 4

112 13 28 Hancock County Public Schools 42 9

New Cumberland Ambulance Service 1

-Weirton Area Ambulance & Rescue Squad 5

-Brooke County Public Schools 42 1

Schools (Table 8-2):

373 Medical Facilities (Table 8-4):

47 39 41 Transit-Dependent Population (TaMe 8-10):

93 Homebound Special Needs (Section 8.5):

6 Correctional Facilities (Section 8.6):

8-25 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-25 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 8-6. Bus Route Descriptions Route.-

g

-0 1

Transportation pick-up points in Midland Borough 58,67,66,65,60,58,259,59,75,76,77,78,79,80, 521, 81, 82, 83, 84, 85, 86, 87, 88, 89, 90, 91, 92, 95, 96, 97, 98, 99, 100, 101, 102, 103 1950, 1955, 1960, 1965, 1970, 3000, 3005, 226, 227, 2

Transportation pick-up points in 228, 229, 239, 241, 247, 242, 243, 245, 246, 248, 251, 255, 252, 337, 254, 325, 320, 315, 310, 56 1880, 1875, 1870, 1865, 1860, 1855, 1850, 1845, 1842, 3

Transportation pick-up points in 1840, 1835, 1830, 1825, 1820, 1815, 1805, 1803, 1795, 1786, 1787, 1790, 340, 342, 340, 342, 34 4

Transportation pick-up points in 512, 511, 225, 353, 354, 356, 346, 360, 362, 365, 370, Brighton Township 375, 380, 385, 163 5

Transportation pick-up points in Industry 574, 573, 514, 513, 512, 511, 225, 353, 354, 356, 346, Borough 360, 362, 365, 370, 375, 380, 385, 163 229, 239, 241, 247, 242, 243, 245, 246, 248, 251, 255, 6

Transporhation pick-up points in Po2ter 52, 337, 254, 325, 320, 315, 310, 566, 567, 305, 300, 195, 1290, 190, 187, 185, 180, 175, 170, 165 1980, 538, 539, 541, 542, 543, 544, 546, 547, 548, 549, 7

ransportation pick-up points in 551, 552, 559, 553, 554, 556, 557, 558, 1305, 1290, 190, 187, 185, 180, 175, 170, 165 8

Transportation pick-up points in Greene 5205, 5200, 5210, 944, 178, 179, 181, 182, 183, 184, Township and Georgetown Borough 186, 188, 189, 191, 4050, 4045 9

Transportation pick-up points in 114,116,371,139,148,154,156,161,162 Chippewa Township 10 Transportation pick-up points ins in 85, 86, 87, 88, 89, 90, 91, 92, 95, 96, 97, 98, 99, 100, Ohioville Borough 101, 102, 103 11 Transportation pick-up points in South 754,756,746,953,747,748 Beaver Township 12 Transportation pick-up points in Beaver 1670, 1675, 361, 177, 176, 174, 368, 173, 172, 171, 169, Borough 168, 167, 166, 162 13 Transportation pick-up points in 1670, 1675, 361, 177, 176, 174, 368, 173, 172, 171, 169, Bridgewater Borough 168, 167, 166, 162 14 ransportation pick-up points in Fallston 174, 368, 173, 172, 171, 169, 168, 167, 166, 162 Borough Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-26 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Route.*~

6 0

15 Transportation pick-up points in Patterson Heights Borough 168,167 16 Transportation pick-up points in 168, 167 Patterson Township 17 Transportation pick-up points in Vanport 1779, 1778, 1780, 1785, 1787, 1790, 340, 342, 345, 350, Township 355, 360, 362, 365, 370, 375, 380, 385, 163 1225, 1220, 1217, 1210, 1205, 1190, 1088, 1185, 1192, 18 Transportation pick-up points in Center 1197, 1183, 989, 1180, 1177, 1170, 1169, 1196, 1167, 1165, 1160, 1158, 1155, 1152, 1150, 817 19 Transportation pick-up points in Monaca 1167, 1165, 1160, 1158, 1155, 1152, 1150, 817 Borough 20 Transportation pick-up points in 1310, 1390, 1395, 1400, 1405, 1410, 1425, 1420, 1115, A2 liquippa City 1110, 1105, 1100, 1095, 1090, 1087, 1085 21 Transportation pick-up points in South 284, 285, 286, 287, 1087, 1085 Heights Borough 22 Transportation pick-up points in 1265, 1320, 1426, 1325, 1330, 1427, 1340, 611, 1345, Hopewell Township 1350 23 Transportation pick-up points in 299, 298, 297, 296, 295, 294, 293, 292, 291, 1455, 1456, Independence Township 1460, 175, 170, 165 24 Transportation pick-up points in 4050,4045 Frankfort Springs Borough 25 Transportation pick-up points in 183, 184, 186, 188, 189, 191, 4050, 4045 Hanover Township 26 Transportation pick-up point at Hall 1131,1129,1128,821 China in Sub-Area 0-1 27 Transportation pick-up point at LaCroft 702, 701, 1, 698, 6285, 6255, 6260, 6265, 6090, 6095 Elementary School in Sub-Area 0-2 28 Transportation pick-up point at West 6820, 6065, 6055, 6058, 6060, 6045, 6070, 6050, 6075, Gate Elementary School in Sub-Area 0-2 080, 6085, 6090, 6095 T735, 6715, 6710, 6700, 6695, 6690, 6685, 6680, 6675, 29 Transportation pick-up point at East 89, 6670, 6660, 6655, 6650, 6278, 6280, 6275, 6270, Liverpool H.S. in Sub-Area 0-226,25,09,05 6260, 6265, 6090, 6095 T715, 6710, 6700, 6695, 6690, 6685, 6680, 6675, 689, 30 ransportation pick-up point at East 670, 6660, 6655, 6650, 6278, 6280, 6275, 6270, 6260, Elementary School in Sub-Area 0-2 265,6090,6095 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-27 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Route.

B B

31 Transportation pick-up point at Dixonville Fire Department in Sub-Area 0-2 6297,6295,6300,6310,6315,6320,6325,6330,6335, 6340,6345,6350,6355,6360,6365,6370,6375,6380, 6385,6390,6395,6400,6405,6410,6415,6420,6436, 6425,6430,6435 32 Transportation pick-up point at Calcutta 5640, 6290, 6280, 6275, 6270, 6260, 6265, 6090, 6095, Fire Dept. in Sub-Area 0-3 5100 Transportation pick-up point at 5275, 5280, 5282, 5285, 5287, 5305, 5320, 5325, 5340, 33 Lawrenceville Volunteer Fire Dept. in 545345,5350,5355,5360,5375,5380,5385,5390 Sub-Area W-1 34 Transportation pick-up point at Newell 5360, 5375, 5380, 5385, 5390 Volunteer Fire Dept. in Sub-Area W-1 35 LaCroft Elementary School 702, 701, 699, 1 36 5282, 5285, 5287, 5305, 5320, 5325, 5340, 5347, 5345, 3 ilison Elementary School 5350, 5355, 5360, 5375, 5380, 5385, 5390 3 alcutta Elementary School, mployment Development Center 290, 6280, 6275, 6270, 6260, 6265, 6090, 6095 38 i065, 1103, 6055, 6058, 6060, 6045, 6070, 6050, 6075, Westgate Middle School 3080, 6085, 6090, 6095 North Elementary School, i720, 6715, 6735, 6740, 6785, 6790, 6795, 723, 6780, 39 East Liverpool High School,

-755, 6818, 6760, 6058, 6060, 6045, 6070, 6050, 6075, East Liverpool Jr. High School 080, 6085, 6090, 6095 40 22, 6765, 654, 726, 6030, 6035, 6040, 6045, 6070, 40 merican Spirit Academy 050, 6075, 6080, 6085, 6090, 6095 Aliquippa Elementary School, 1400,1405,1410,1425,1420,1115,1110,1105,1100, 41 Aliquippa Jr./Sr. High School, 1095, 1090,1087, 1085 Hope Christian Academy 42 Fairview Elementary School 87, 88, 89, 90, 91, 92, 95, 96, 97, 98, 99, 100, 101, 102, 103 466, 4000, 4005, 4010, 4015, 4020, 4025, 4030, 4035, 43 Pleasant Hills Wesleyan Academy04,05,05 4040, 4050, 4045 44 Patterson Primary School 744, 756, 746, 953, 747, 748 outh Side Elementary School, 3090, 3085, 3095, 4000, 4005, 4010, 4015, 4020, 4025, 45 South Side Middle School, 030,4035,4040,4050,4045 South Side High School 46 St. John the Baptist School 1152, 1150, 817 8-28 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-28 KLD Engineering, P.C2 Rev. 2

Route.*0 0

0 0

0 47 309,3055,3071,3060,3065,3072,3070,1079,3080, 5125,5120,5117,5115,5110,5105,5100,5095,5093, 5090,5126,5085,5080 Bethel Christian School Western Beaver Junior-Senior High i74, 573, 514, 513, 512, 511, 225, 353, 354, 356, 346, 4 chool 360, 362, 365, 370, 375, 380, 385, 163 Midland Neel Elementary/Middle 53, 65, 60, 58, 259, 59, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80, 521, 81, 49 School, Lincoln Park Performing Arts 32, 83, 84, 85, 86, 87, 88, 89, 90, 91, 92, 95, 96, 97, 98, Charter School, Prima Learning Center 99, 100, 101, 102, 103 50 Hopewell Elementary School 1340, 611, 1345, 1350, 1362, 1365, 1370, 1375, 1380 51 Hopewell Junior High School 1340, 611, 1345, 1350, 1362, 1365, 1370, 1375, 1380 591, 589, 1340, 611, 1345, 1350, 1362, 1365, 1370, 52 Margaret Ross Elementary School 17,18 1375, 1380 53 Hopewell Senior High School, 611, 1345, 1350, 1362, 1365, 1370, 1375, 1380 Our Lady of Fatima School 299, 298, 297, 296, 295, 294, 293, 292, 291, 1455, 1456, 54 Independence Elementary School 14017,7,16 1460, 175, 170, 165 Beaver County Career & Technology 1225, 1230, 983, 1235, 563, 562, 569, 564, 1084, 568, 55

'enter, Todd Lane Elementary School, 567, 305, 300, 195, 1290, 190, 187, 185, 180, 175, 170, Central Valley Middle School, Central 165

/alley High School 5 ighland Middle School, 56 Blackhawk Intermediate School 16, 371, 139, 148, 147 50, 1230, 983, 1235, 563, 562, 569, 564, 1084, 568, 567, 305, 300, 195, 1290, 190, 187, 185, 180, 175, 170, 165 58 329, 331, 332, 333, 334, 336, 339, 341, 343, 344, 347, Dutch Ridge Elementary 346, 360, 362, 365, 370, 375, 380, 385, 163 1720, 1730, 1745, 321, 322, 324, 326, 327, 328, 329, 59 331, 332, 333, 334, 336, 339, 341, 343, 344, 347, 346, Sts. Peter and Paul School 360, 362, 365, 370, 375, 380, 385, 163 1745, 321, 322, 324, 326, 327, 328, 329, 331, 332, 333, 60 Beaver Area Acadle

School, 334, 336, 339, 341, 343, 344, 347, 346, 360, 362, 365, Beaver Area Middle School, 70,375,380,385,163 Beaver Area High School 1710, 1730, 1745, 321, 322, 324, 326, 327, 328, 329, 61 31, 332, 333, 334, 336, 339, 341, 343, 344, 347, 346, College Square Elementary School

ý60, 362, 365, 370, 375, 380, 385, 163, 164, 395 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-29 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

6 New/ Manchester Elementary School S840, 5730, 5735 63 ak Glen Middle School, 993, 5825, 5835, 5840, 5730, 5735 Oak Glen High School 64 Sub-Area P-7 medical facilities 362,360,355,350,345,342,340,338,335,330,337, Z54,325,320,315,310,566,567,305,300,195,1290, 190,187,185,180,175,170,165 65 Sub-Area P-10 medical facilities 1440,1445,1450,1452,1456,1460,175,170,165 350,345,342,340,338,335,330,337,254,325,320, 66 Sub-Area P-8 medical facility 315,310,566,567,305,300,195,1290,190,187,185, 180,175,170,165 568,567,305,300,195,1290,190,187,185,180,175, 67 Sub-Area P-9 medical facility 10 6

170,165 68 Sub-Area 0-2 medicalfacilities 6030,6035,6040,6045,6070,6050,6075,6080,6085, 6090,6095,6100 69 Sub-Area 0-3 medical facility 6295,6290,6280,6275,6270,6260,6265,6090,6095, 69

b-Ara O-meicalacilty 100 5245,6010,6005,6000,5995,5910,5900,5895,5890, 5991,5992,5993,5825,5835,5840,5730,5735 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-30 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 8-7. School Evacuation Time Estimates - Good Weather Lincoln Park Performing Arts Charter School 90 15 10.4 11.8 53 24.7 33 Midland Neel Elementary/Middle 90 15 10.4 11.8 53 School Prima Learning Center 90 15 10.4 11.8 53 Western Beaver Junior-Senior High 90 15 9.3 7.9 71 School I

Bethel Christian School 90 15 10.9 43.9 15 South Side Elementary School 90 15 8.8 13.0 41 South Side High School 90 15 8.8 13.0 41 South Side Middle School 90 15 8.8 13.0 41 Blackhawk Intermediate School 90 15 1.6 29.6 4

Fairview Elementary School 90 15 6.0 11.0 33 Highland Middle School 90 15 2.3 29.6 5

Beaver Area Academic Charter 90 15 9.7 8.6 68 School Beaver Area High School 90 15 9.7 8.6 68 Beaver Area Middle School 90 15 7.4 7.6 59 College Square Elementary School 90 15 9.7 8.8 66 Dutch Ridge Elementary 90 15 7.8 7.9 60 Patterson Primary School 90 15 3.0 16.7 11 Sts. Peter and Paul School 90 15 10.1 8.8 69 24.7 33 24.7 1

33 24.7 33 30.1 25.4 25.4 25.4 0.3 24.7 0.3 41 34 34 34 1

33 1

58.9 79 58.9 58.9 58.9 58.9 4.2 58.9 79 79 79 79 6

79 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-31 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Beaver County Career & Technology Center 90 15 10.0 12.3 49 40.6 55 Center Grange Primary School 90 15 9.1 12.3 45 Central Valley High School 90 15 9.7 12.3 48 Central Valley Middle School 90 15 9.7 12.3 48 St. John the Baptist School 90 15 0.5 6.0 5

Todd Lane Elementary School 90 15 3.9 14.2 17 Aliquippa Elementary School 90 15 5.9 2.9 123 Aliquippa Jr./Sr. High School 90 15 5.0 2.6 117 Hope Christian Academy 90 15 3.8 2.4 98 Hopewell Elementary School 90 15 2.7 10.8 16 Hopewell Junior High School 90 15 2.8 10.8 16 Hopewell Senior High School 90 15 3.0 11.8 16 Margaret Ross Elementary School 90 15 3.1 8.3 23 Our Lady of Fatima School 90 15 2.3 11.8 12 Independence Elementary School 90 15 6.2 4.3 87 Pleasant Hills Wesleyan Academy 90 15 6.2 9.5 40 American Spirit Academy 90 15 4.7 45.0 7

East Liverpool High School 90 15 5.8 43.2 9

East Liverpool Jr. High School 90 15 5.8 43.2 9

LaCroft Elementary School 90 15i 4.7 11.1 26 North Elementary School 90 15 5.5 43.2 8

40.6 40.6 40.6 40.5 40.5 25.8 25.8 25.8 30.1 30.1 30.1 30.1 30.1 30.1 25.4 55 55 55 54 54 35 35 35 41 41 41 41 41 41 34 12.6 12.6 12.5 12.5 12.4 12.4 17 17 17 17 17 17 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-32 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Employment Development Center I

15 I

4.9 I

31.4 1

10 New Manchester Elementary School I Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-33 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 8-8. School Evacuation Time Estimates - Rain Lincoln Park Performing Arts Charter School 100 20 10.4 11.0 57 24.7 38 Midland Neel Elementary/Middle 100 20 10.4 11.0 57 School Prima Learning Center 100 20 10.4 11.0 57 Western Beaver Junior-Senior High 100 20 9.3 6.9 81 School Bethel Christian School 100 20 10.9 40.0 17 South Side Elementary School 100 20 8.8 13.1 41 South Side High School 100 20 8.8 13.1 41 South Side Middle School 100 20 8.8 13.1 41 Blackhawk Intermediate School 100 20 1.6 26.9 4

Fairview Elementary School 100 20 6.0 10.1 36 Highland Middle School 100 20 2.3 26.9 6

Beaver Area Academic Charter 100 20 9.7 7.6 77 School Beaver Area High School 100 20 9.7 7.6 77 Beaver Area Middle School 100 20 7.4 7.1 63 College Square Elementary School 100 20 9.7 7.9 75 Dutch Ridge Elementary 100 20 7.8 6.8 69 Patterson Primary School 100 20 3.0 9.4 20 24.7 38 24.7=38 24.7 38 30.1 25.4 25.4 25.4 0.3 24.7 0.3 46 39 39 39 1

38 1

58.9 89 58.9 58.9 58.9 58.9 4.2 89 89 89 89 7

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-34 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Sts. Peter and Paul School 100 20 10.1 7.8 78 Beaver County Career & Technology 100 20 10.0 11.3 54 Center Center Grange Primary School 100 20 9.1 11.2 49 Central Valley High School 100 20 9.7 11.3 52 Central Valley Middle School 100 20 9.7 11.3 52 St. John the Baptist School 100 20 0.5 16.0 2

Todd Lane Elementary School 100 20 3.9 11.0 22 Aliquippa Elementary School 100 20 5.9 2.6 136 Aliquippa Jr./Sr. High School 100 20 5.0 2.3 129 Hope Christian Academy 100 20 3.8 2.0 114 Hopewell Elementary School 100 20 2.7 9.5 18 Hopewell Junior High School 100 20 2.8 9.5 18 Hopewell Senior High School 100 20 3.0 10.7 17 Margaret Ross Elementary School 100 20 3.1 8.4 23 Our Lady of Fatima School 100 20 2.3 10.7 13 Independence Elementary School 100 20 6.2 3.7 102 Pleasant Hills Wesleyan Academy 100 20 6.2 8.8 43 American Spirit Academy 100 20 4.7 45.0 7

East Liverpool High School 100 20 5.8 39.7 9

East Liverpool Jr. High School 100 20 5.8 39.7 9

58.9 89 40.6 61 40.6 40.6 40.6 40.5 40.5 25.8 25.8 25.8 30.1 30.1 30.1 30.1 30.1 30.1 7E A 61 61 61 61 61 39 39 39 46 46 46 46 46 46

q 12.6 19 12.5 19 12.5 19 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-35 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

LaCroft Elementary School 100 20 4.7 11.8 24 North Elementary School 100 20 5.5 39.7 9

North Elementary School 100 20 5.5 39.7 9

Westgate Middle School 100 20 4.6 45.0 7

Calcutta Elementary School 100 20 2.2 45.0 3

Employment Development Center 100 20 2.4 45.0 4

HANCenK COUNTY,0WV Allison Elementary School 100 20 4.9 29.2 11 Oak Glen High School 100 20 4.3 45.0 6

Oak Glen Middle School 100 20 2.4 45.0 4

New Manchester Elementary School 100 20 1.3 36.0 3

Maximum for EPZ:

Average for EPZ:

12.4 12.4 12.6 12.4 12.6 12.4 12.6 12.4 12.6 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 16.8 26 11.1 17 11.1 17 11.1 17 Maximum:

Average:

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-36 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 8-9. School Evacuation Time Estimates - Snow Lincoln Park Performing Arts Charter School 110 25 10.4 13.3 48 24.7 24.7 43 Midland Neel Elementary/Middle 110 25 10.4 13.3 48 School Prima Learning Center 110 25 10.4 13.3 48 Western Beaver Junior-Senior High 110 25 9.3 6.7 84 School Bethel Christian School 110 25 10.9 35.5 19 South Side Elementary School 110 25 8.8 12.3 43 South Side High School 110 25 8.8 12.3 43 South Side Middle School 110 25 8.8 12.3 43 Blackhawk Intermediate School 110 25 1.6 24.8 4

Fairview Elementary School 110 25 6.0 8.8 41 Highland Middle School 110 25 2.3 24.8 6

Beaver Area Academic Charter 110 25 9.7 7.3 80 School Beaver Area High School 110 25 9.7 7.3 80 Beaver Area Middle School 110 25 7.4 6.8 66 College Square Elementary School 110 25 9.7 7.5 78 Dutch Ridge Elementary 110 25 7.8 6.6 71 Patterson Primary School 110 25 3.0 16.8 11 43 24.7 j

43 24.7 43 30.1 25.4 25.4 25.4 0.3 24.7 0.3 52 44 44 44 1

43 1

58.9 101 58.9 58.9 58.9 58.9 4.2 101 101 101 101 8

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-37 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Sts. Peter and Paul School 110 25 10.1 8.0 76 58.9 101 Beaver County Career & Technology 110 25 10.0 9.5 64 Center Center Grange Primary School 110 25 9.1 9.4 59 Central Valley High School 110 25 9.7 9.5 62 Central Valley Middle School 110 25 9.7 9.5 62 St. John the Baptist School 110 25 0.5 12.5 3

Todd Lane Elementary School 110 25 3.9 9.0 26 Aliquippa Elementary School 110 25 5.9 2.2 161 Aliquippa Jr./Sr. High School 110 25 5.0 2.0 150 Hope Christian Academy 110 25 3.8 1.8 129 Hopewell Elementary School 110 25 2.7 10.9 15 Hopewell Junior High School 110 25 2.8 10.9 16 Hopewell Senior High School 110 25 3.0 12.6 15 Margaret Ross Elementary School 110 25 3.1 9.9 19 Our Lady of Fatima School 110 25 2.3 12.6 11 Independence Elementary School 110 25 6.2 3.9 96 Pleasant Hills Wesleyan Academy 110 25 6.2 8.8 43 American Spirit Academy 110 25 4.7 40.0 8

East Liverpool High School 110 25 5.8 35.1 10 East Liverpool Jr. High School 110 25 5.8 35.1 10 East Liverpool Jr. High School 110 25 5.8 35.1 10 40.6 70 40.6 40.6 40.6 40.5 40.5 25.8 25.8 25.8 30.1 30.1 30.1 30.1 30.1 30.1 25.4 70 70 70 70 70 45 45 45 52 52 52 52 52 52 44 12.6 22 12.6 22 12.5 22 12.5 22 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-38 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

LaCroft Elementary School 110 25 4.7 9.5 30 North Elementary School 110 25 5.5 35.1 10 North Elementary School 110 25 5.5 35.1 10 Westgate Middle School 110 25 4.6 40.0 7

Westgate Middle School 110 25 4.6 40.0 7

Calcutta Elementary School 110 25 2.2 40.0 4

Employment Development Center 110 25 2.4 40.0 4

Allison Elementary School 110 25 4.9 30.7 10 Oak Glen High School 110 25 4.3 40.0 7

Oak Glen Middle School 110 25 2.4 40.0 4

New Manchester Elementary School 110 25 1.3 32.0 3

Maximum for EPZ:

Average for EPZ:

12.4 12.4 12.6 12.4 12.6 12.4 12.6 12.4 12.6 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 16.8 29 11.1 20 11.1 20 11.1 20 Maximum:

Average:

8-39 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-39 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table B-10. Summary of Transit-Dependent Bus Routes Route~~

No fLnt 1~~~~~

~

No.

Bue Rot ecipin(.

1 2

Servicing transportation pick-up points in in Midland Borough 11.5 2

1 Servicing transportation pick-up points in Shippingport Borough 17.4 3

1 Servicing transportation pick-up points in Glasgow Borough 13.9 4

2 Servicing transportation pick-up points in Brighton Township 11.3 5

2 Servicing transportation pick-up points in Industry Borough 15.2 6

1 Servicing transportation pick-up points in Potter Township 14.0 7

1 Servicing transportation pick-up points in Raccoon Township 12.5 Servicing transportation pick-up points in Greene Township and Georgetown 9.0 8

2 Borough 9

2 Servicing transportation pick-up points in Chippewa Township 10.9 10 2

Servicing transportation pick-up points ins in Ohioville Borough 6.0 11 1

Servicing transportation pick-up points in South Beaver Township 1.3 12 4

Servicing transportation pick-up points in Beaver Borough 11.3 13 3

Servicing transportation pick-up points in Bridgewater Borough 7.8 14 1

Servicing transportation pick-up points in Fallston Borough 4.7 15 1

Servicing transportation pick-up points in Patterson Heights Borough 1.9 16 1

Servicing transportation pick-up points in Patterson Township 2.1 17 3

Servicing transportation pick-up points in Vanport Township 8.5 18 5

Servicing transportation pick-up points in Center Township 5.3 19 10 Servicing transportation pick-up points in Monaca Borough 2.2 20 3

Servicing transportation pick-up points in Aliquippa City 9.5 21 2

Servicing transportation pick-up points in South Heights Borough 2.4 22 13 Servicing transportation pick-up points in Hopewell Township 7.0 23 2

Servicing transportation pick-up points in Independence Township 5.2 24 1

Servicing transportation pick-up points in Frankfort Springs Borough 0.3 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-40 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

25 2

Servicing transportation pick-up points in Hanover Township 5.4 26 1

Servicing transportation pick-up point at Hall China in Sub-Area 0-1 10.0 Servicing transportation pick-up point at LaCroft Elementary School in Sub-27 3

Area 0-2 Servicing transportation pick-up point at West Gate Elementary School in Sub-4.

28 3

Area 0-2 29 3

Servicing transportation pick-up point at East Liverpool H.S. in Sub-Area 0-2 5.6 Servicing transportation pick-up point at East Elementary School in Sub-Area 70 30 2

0-2 Servicing transportation pick-up point at Dixonville Fire Department in Sub-11.1 31 1

Area 0-2 32 4

Servicing transportation pick-up point at Calcutta Fire Dept. in Sub-Area 0-3 2.0 33 Servicing transportation pick-up point at Lawrenceville Volunteer Fire Dept. in 5.0 4

Sub-Area W-1 Servicing transportation pick-up point at Newell Volunteer Fire Dept. in Sub-5.4 34 4

Area W-1 TOTAL:

93 Beaver Valley Power Station 8-41 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

Table 8-11. Transit-Dependent Evacuation Time Estimates - Good Weather z

1Lu 11.5 14.1 49 3U 2

1 120 17.4 24.1 43 30 3

1 120 13.9 21.5 39 30 4

2 120 11.3 9.1 74 30 5

2 120 15.2 11.1 82 30 6

1 120 14.0 21.3 40 30 7

1 120 12.5 15.4 49 30 8

2 120 9.0 23.8 23 30 9

2 120 10.9 12.4 53 30 10 2

120 6.0 12.2 30 30 11 1

120 1.3 25.8 3

30 12 4

120 11.3 41.1 16 30 13 3

120 7.8 41.1 11 30 14 1

120 4.7 41.3 7

30 15 1

120 1.9 45.0 3

30 16 1

120 2.1 45.0 3

30 17 3

120 8.5 12.4 41 30 18 5

120 5.3 9.4 34 30 5

120 2.2 6.9 I

19 30 19 t

5 140 2.2 7.8 17 30 20 3

120 9.5 4.6 124 30 21 2

120 2.4 6.5 22 30 28.U 3/

5 1!U 55 3

37.8 50 5

10 74 30 19.4 26 5

10 44 30 41.4 55 5

10 70 30 19.4 26 5

10 47 30 37.8 50 5

10 69 30 30.4 41 5

10 57 30 24.4 33 5

10 45 30 19.4 26 5

10 41 30 7.4 10 5

10 20 30 20.4 27 5

10 30 30 41.4 55 5

10 70 30 41.4 55 5

10 66 30 41.4 55 5

10 61 30 19.4 26 5

10 28 30 19.4 26 5

10 29 30 41.4 55 5

10 67 30 47.1 63 5

10 71 30 47.1 63 5

10 67 30 48.1 64 5

10 69 30 28.4 38 5

10 51 30 28.4 38 5

10 43 30 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-42 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

5 120 7.0 15.8 27 30 22 4

140 7.0 32.5 60 30 4

160 7.0 34.6 60 30 23 2

120 5.2 4.7 67 30 24 1

120 0.3 5.3 3

30 25 2

120 5.4 14.6 22 30 26 1

120 10.0 37.5 16 30 27 3

120 3.6 18.8 11 30 28 3

120 4.7 55.0 5

30 29 3

120 5.6 19.0 18 30 30 2

120 7.0 19.3 22 30 31 1

120 11.1 37.5 18 30 32 4

120 2.0 52.4 2

30 33 4

120 5.0 36.4 8

30 34 4

120 5.4 51.5 j

6 30 Maximum ETE:

Average ETE:

28.4 38 5

10 50 30 28.4 38 5

10 50 30 19.4 26 5

10 33 30 24.4 33 5

10 40 30 3.0 4

5 10 20 30 3.9 5

5 10 10 30 5.5 7

5 10 14 30 3.9 5

5 10 15 30 3.5 5

5 10 16 30 3.0 4

5 10 22 30 2.8 4

5 10 6

30 16.8 22 5

10 31 30 16.8 22 5

10 30 30 Maximium ETE:

Average ETE:

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-43 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 8-12. Transit-Dependent Evacuation Time Estimates - Rain 1

2 130 11.5 12.9 54 40 28.0 42 5

10 61 40 2

1 130 17.4 21.3 49 40 3

1 130 13.9 19.4 43 40 4

2 130 11.3 8.0 85 40 5

2 130 15.2 9.6 95 40 6

1 130 14.0 18.9 44 40 7

1 130 12.5 9.0 84 40 8

2 130 9.0 20.6 26 40 9

2 130 10.9 12.3 53 40 10 2

130 6.0 8.6 42 40 11 1

130 1.3 10.9 7

40 12 4

130 11.3 37.2 18 40 13 3

130 7.8 37.2 13 40 14 1

130 4.7 36.5 8

40 15 1

130 1.9 40.0 3

40 16 1

130 2.1 40.0 3

40 17 3

130 8.5 11.0 46 40 18 5

130 5.3 10.4 31 40 1

5 130 2.2 8.1 16 40 5

150 2.2 17.8 7

40 20 3

130 9.5 3.8 151 40 21 2

130 2.4 5.2 28 40 37.8 57 5

10 80 40 19.4 29 5

10 48 40 41.4 62 5

10 77 40 19.4 29 5

10 53 40 37.8 57 5

10 75 40 30.4 46 5

10 63 40 24.4 37 5

10 49 40 19.4 29 5

10 45 40 7.4 11 5

10 22 40 20.4 31 5

10 33 40 41.4 62 5

10 77 40 41.4 62 5

10 73 40 41.4 62 5

10 68 40 19.4 29 5

10 32 40 19.4 29 5

10 32 40 41.4 62 5

10 73 40 47.1 71 5

10 80 40 47.1 71 5

10 76 40 47.1 71 5

10 76 40 28.4 43 5

10 58 40 28.4 43 5

10 47 40 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-44 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

5 I 130 7.0 12.2 35 40 28.4 43 5

10 55 40 22 150 o 7.0 j 20.9 20

_ 40 4

170 7.0 31.9 13 40 23 2

130 5.2 3.7 85 40 24 1

130 0.3 4.8 4

40 25 2

130 5.4 12.5 26 40 26 1

130 10.0 34.2 18 40 27 3

130 3.6 22.4 10 40 28 3

130 4.7 50.0 6

40 29 3

130 5.6 13.4 25 40 30 2

130 7.0 15.9 26 40 31 1

130 11.1 34.2 19 40 32 4

130 2.0 47.5 3

40 33 4

130 5.0 30.7 10 40 34 4

130 5.4 38.0 9

40 Maximum ETE:

Average ETE:

28.4 43 5

10 55 40 28.4 43 5

10 55 40 19.4 29 5

10 36 40 24.4 37 5

10 37 40 24.4 37 5

10 44 40 3.0 5

5 10 23 40 3.9 6

5 10 11 40 5.5 8

5 10 15 40 3.9 6

5 10 16 40 3.5 5

5 10 17 40 3.0 5

5 10 25 40 2.8 4

5 10 7

40 16.8 25 5

10 34 40 16.8 25 5

10 32 40 Maxmum IE:

Average ETIE:

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-45 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 8-13. Transit Dependent Evacuation Time Estimates - Snow 1

2 140 11.5 14.2 48 50 2

1 140 17.4 16.0 65 50 3

1 140 13.9 16.0 52 50 4

2 140 11.3 7.1 96 50 5

2 140 15.2 9.0 102 50 6

1 140 14.0 14.2 59 50 7

1 140 12.5 10.0 75 50 8

2 140 9.0 20.0 27 50 9

2 140 10.9 9.8 67 50 10 2

140 6.0 8.2 44 50 11 1

140 1.3 18.1 4

50 12 4

140 11.3 33.9 20 50 13 3

140 7.8 33.9 14 50 14 1

140 4.7 33.9 8

50 15 1

140 1.9 35.0 3

50 16 1

140 2.1 35.0 4

50 17 3

140 8.5 8.8 58 50 18 5

140 5.3 9.4 34 50 5

140 2.2 15.8 8

50 19 59160 2.2 8.1 16 50 20 3

140 9.5 2.9 198 50 21 2

140 2.4 4.2 35 50 28.0 48 5

10 70 50 37.8 65 5

10 95 50 19.4 33 5

10 57 50 41.4 71 5

10 90 50 19.4 33 5

10 60 50 37.8 65 5

10 89 50 30.4 52 5

10 74 50 24.4 42 5

10 57 50 19.4 33 5

10 52 50 7.4 13 5

10 26 50 20.4 35 5

10 38 50 41.4 71 5

10 90 50 41.4 71 5

10 84 50 41.4 71 5

10 79 50 19.4 33 5

10 37 50 19.4 33 5

10 37 50 41.4 71 5

10 86 50 47.1 81 5

10 91 50 47.1 81 5

10 86 50 47.1 81 5

10 86 50 28.4 49 5

10 66 50 28.4 49 5

10 64 50 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-46 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

5 140 7.0 9.2 45 50 22 4___

160

[ 7.0 15.3 27 1

50 4

180 7.0 22.1 19 50 23 2

140 5.2 3.7 84 50 24 1

140 0.3 4.3 4

50 25 2

140 5.4 12.4 26 50 26 1

140 10.0 30.1 20 50 27 3

140 3.6 16.5 13 50 28 3

140 4.7 45.0 6

50 29 3

140 5.6 16.1 21 50 30 2

140 7.0 16.3 26 50 31 1

140 11.1 30.0 22 50 32 4

140 2.0 42.3 3

50 33 4

140 5.0 29.7 10 50 34 4

140 5.4 41.2 8

50 Maximum ETE:

Average ETE:

28.4 49 5

10 63 50 28.4 49 5

10 63 50 19.4 33 5

10 42 50 24.4 42 5

10 43 50 24.4 42 5

10 51 50 3.0 5

5 10 25 50 3.9 7

5 10 13 50 5.5 9

5 10 17 50 3.9 7

5 10 18 50 3.5 6

5 10 20 50 3.0 5

5 10 27 50 2.8 5

5 10 8

50 16.8 29 5

10 39 50 16.8 29 5

10 38 50 Maximum ETE:

Average ETE:

Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-47 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 8-14. Special Facility Evacuation Time Estimates - Good Weather Sub-Area P-7 medical facilities Ambulatory 90 1

172 30 12 2:15 Wheelchair bound 90 5

36 75 12 3:00 Ambulatory 90 1

616 30 13 2:15 Sub-Area P-8 medical facilities Wheelchair bound 90 5

271 75 13 3:00 Bedridden 90 15 47 30 13 2:15 Sub-Area P-9 medical facilities Ambulatory 90 1

156 30 18 2:20 Ambulatory 90 1

47 30 81 3:25 Sub-Area P-10 medical facilities Wheelchair bound 90 5

17 75 81 4:10 Bedridden 90 15 4

30 81 3:25 Ambulatory 90 1

102 30 7

2:10 Sub-Area 0-2 medical facilities Wheelchair bound 90 5

56 75 7

2:55 Bedridden 90 15 17 30 7

2:10 Ambulatory 90 1

63 30 7

2:10 Sub-Area 0-3 medical facility Wheelchair bound 90 5

30 75 7

2:55 Bedridden 90 15 6

30 7

2:10 Ambulatory 90 1

41 30 7

2:10 Sub-Area W-1 medical facility Wheelchair bound 90 5

64 75 7

2:55 I Bedridden 90 15 6

30 7

2:10 Maximum ETE:

4:10 Average ETE:

2:40 Beaver Valley Power Station 8-48 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

Table 8-15. Special Facility Evacuation Time Estimates - Rain 0*

Trav0el Tim to Ambulatory 100 1

172 30 13 2:25 Sub-Area P-7 medical facilities Wheelchair bound 100 5

36 75 16 3:15 Ambulatory 100 1

616 30 14 2:25 Sub-Area P-8 medical facilities Wheelchair bound 100 5

271 75 17 3:15 Bedridden 100 15 47 30 14 2:25 Sub-Area P-9 medical facilities Ambulatory 100 1

156 30 19 2:30 Ambulatory 100 1

47 30 81 3:35 Sub-Area P-10 medical facilities Wheelchair bound 100 5

17 75 67 4:05 Bedridden 100 15 4

30 81 3:35 Ambulatory 100 1

102 30 8

2:20 Sub-Area 0-2 medical facilities Wheelchair bound 100 5

56 75 8

3:05 Bedridden 100 15 17 30 8

2:20 Ambulatory 100 1

63 30 8

2:20 Sub-Area 0-3 medical facility Wheelchair bound 100 5

30 75 8

3:05 Bedridden 100 15 6

30 8

2:20 Ambulatory 100 1

41 30 8

2:20 Sub-Area W-1 medical facility Wheelchair bound 100 5

64 75 8

3:05 Bedridden 100 15 6

30 8

2:20 Maximum ETE:

4:05 Average ETE:

2:50 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-49 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

Table 8-16. Special Facility Evacuation Time Estimates - Snow Sub-Area P-7 medical facilities Ambulatory 110 1

172 30 19 2:40 Wheelchair bound 110 5

36 75 24 3:30 Ambulatory 110 1

616 30 20 2:40 Sub-Area P-8 medical facilities Wheelchair bound 110 5

271 75 26 3:35 Bedridden 110 15 47 30 20 2:40 Sub-Area P-9 medical facilities Ambulatory 110 1

156 30 29 2:50 Ambulatory 110 1

47 30 88 3:50 Sub-Area P-10 medical facilities Wheelchair bound 110 5

17 75 91 4:40 Bedridden 110 15 4

30 88 3:50 Ambulatory 110 1

102 30 9

2:30 Sub-Area 0-2 medical facilities Wheelchair bound 110 5

56 75 9

3:15 Bedridden 110 15 17 30 9

2:30 Ambulatory 110 1

63 30 9

2:30 Sub-Area 0-3 medical facility Wheelchair bound 110 5

30 75 9

3:15 Bedridden 110 15 6

30 9

2:30 Ambulatory 110 1

41 30 9

2:30 Sub-Area W-1 medical facility Wheelchair bound 110 5

64 75 9

3:15 Bedridden 110 15 6

30 9

2:30 Maimumr ETE: 1 4:40 Average ETE: r3:05 Beaver Valley Power Station 8-50 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Evacuation Time Estimate Rev. 2

Table 8-17. Homebound Special Needs Population Evacuation Time Estimates Normal 90 45 15 3:00 Wheelchair Buses 36 Rain 100 5

50 25 17 3:20 Snow 110 55 17 3:35 Beaver Valley Power Station Evacuation Time Estimate 8-51 KLD Engineering, P.C.

Rev. 2

ML13007A080

Text

Navigation menu

Search