ML12184A224
| ML12184A224 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Indian Point  |
| Issue date: | 06/29/2012 |
| From: | State of NY |
| To: | Atomic Safety and Licensing Board Panel |
| SECY RAS | |
| Shared Package | |
| ML12184A215] | List: The part "]" of the query was not understood.</br>Results might not be as expected. |
| References | |
| RAS 22882, 50-247-LR, 50-286-LR, ASBLP 07-858-03-LR-BD01 | |
| Download: ML12184A224 (6) | |
Text
These revised tables include the following changes that account for the differences with the ISR Report:
- Luna, Survey of Costs Light Moderate Heavy Light Moderate Heavy (2<DF<5)
($M/km2)
(5<DF<10)
($M/km2)
(DF>10)
($M/km2)
(2<DF<5)
($M/km2)
(5<DF<10)
($M/km2)
(DF>10)
($M/km2)
Residential 0.287
$20.8
$38.7
$36.0 8.98
$186.7
$347.8
$323.0 Commercial 0.164
$21.4
$34.5
$57.8 8.98
$192.3
$309.8
$518.6 Industrial 0.068
$33.3
$35.3
$59.3 1
$33.3
$35.3
$59.3 Streets 0.25
$4.0
$4.6
$50.0 1
$4.0
$4.6
$50.0 Vacant land 0.238
$19.3
$20.4
$21.8 1
$19.3
$20.4
$21.8 Overall cost
$98.7
$133.6
$224.8
$435.50
$717.86
$972.78 Table 2: Modified decontamination costs (2005 USD) for NYC using building density multiplier Site Restoration (Albuquerque)
ISR Using Actual Building Densities (NYC)
Land Use Area Fraction in NYC Building Density Multiplier Revisions to Tables in ISR Report 13014-01-01:
Review of Indian Point Severe Accident Off Site Consequence Analysis (21 Dec 2011)
Exclusion of compensation costs from Site Restoration and Reichmuth data (Tables 2 and 5);
Exclusion of surface water and farm area so that only nonfarm area is considered when determining CDNFRM (Tables 3-4, 7-10); and Update of conclusions as a result of these changes (Tables 11 and 13).
NYS000430 Submitted: June 29, 2012
NYC metro Area Outside NYC Metro Area NYC metro Area Outside NYC Metro Area Cost per km2 ($) from Site Restoration /Survey of Costs 4.36E+08 9.87E+07 9.73E+08 2.25E+08 Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius (km2) 558 15441 558 15441 Total cost for the area ($)
2.43E+11 1.52E+12 5.43E+11 3.47E+12 Total cost over 50-mi radius ($)
Population over 50-mi radius CDNFRM Per capita cost ($/person)
NYC metro Area Outside NYC Metro Area NYC metro Area Outside NYC Metro Area Cost per km2 ($) from Site Restoration /Survey of Costs 8.71E+08 1.97E+08 1.95E+09 4.50E+08 Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius (km2) 558 15441 558 15441 Total cost for the area ($)
4.86E+11 3.05E+12 1.09E+12 6.94E+12 Total cost over 50-mi radius ($)
Population over 50-mi radius CDNFRM Per capita cost ($/person)
NYC metro Area Outside NYC Metro Area NYC metro Area Outside NYC Metro Area Cost per km2, ($)
(Annex C)
Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius (km2) 558 15441 558 15441 Total cost for the area ($)
1.55E+10 2.81E+11 7.31E+10 1.30E+12 Total cost over 50-mi radius ($)
Population over 50-mi radius CDNFRM Per capita cost ($/person)
Table 3: Suggested values of CDNFRM assuming cost (cesium) = cost (plutonium) (costs in 2005 USD)
Table 4: Suggested values of CDNFRM assuming cost (cesium) = 2 x cost (plutonium) (costs in 2005 USD)
Table 7: Costs using CONDO values assuming the NYC metro area is classified as urban and the area outside the NYC metro area is classified as semi-urban (costs in 2005 USD) 19,228,712 19,228,712 15,422 71,255 2.78E+07 1.82E+07 1.31E+08 8.40E+07 2.97E+11 1.37E+12 19,228,712 19,228,712 183,871 417,561 Light Decontamination (DF=3)
Heavy Decontamination (DF=15)
Light Decontamination (DF=3)
Heavy Decontamination (DF=15) 3.54E+12 8.03E+12 208,780 91,936 Light Decontamination (DF=3)
Heavy Decontamination (DF=15) 1.77E+12 4.01E+12 19,228,712 19,228,712
NYC metro Area Outside NYC Metro Area NYC metro Area Outside NYC Metro Area Cost per km2, ($)
(Annex C)
Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius (km2) 558 15441 558 15441 Total cost for the area ($)
3.13E+10 4.29E+11 1.47E+11 2.02E+12 Total cost over 50-mi radius ($)
Population over 50-mi radius CDNFRM Per capita cost ($/person)
NYC metro Area Outside NYC Metro Area Cost per km2 ($) (Annex C) 5.46E+07 3.34E+07 Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius (km2) 558 15441 Total cost for the area ($)
3.05E+10 5.16E+11 Total cost over 50-mi radius ($)
Population over 50-mi radius CDNFRM Per capita cost ($/person)
NYC metro Area Outside NYC Metro Area Cost per km2 ($)(Annex C) 1.17E+08 5.46E+07 Total nonfarm area within 50-mi radius (km2) 558 15441 Total cost for the area ($)
6.53E+10 8.43E+11 Total cost over 50-mi radius ($)
Population over 50-mi radius CDNFRM Per capita cost ($/person)
Table 8: Costs using CONDO values assuming the NYC metro area is classified as hyper-urban and the area outside the NYC metro area is classified as urban (costs in 2005 USD)
Table 9: Costs using RISO values assuming the NYC metro area is classified as urban and the area outside the NYC metro area is classified as semi-urban (costs in 2005 USD)
Table 10: Costs using RISO values assuming the NYC metro area is classified as hyper-urban and the area outside the NYC metro area is classified as urban (costs in 2005 USD) 5.61E+07 2.78E+07 2.64E+08 1.31E+08 9.08E+11 19,228,712 47,240 5.46E+11 19,228,712 28,405 Light Decontamination (DF=3) 19,228,712 19,228,712 23,952 112,856 Light Decontamination (DF=3) 4.61E+11 2.17E+12 Light Decontamination (DF=3)
Heavy Decontamination (DF=15)
Target (population density)
NYC 1.0E+4 Ci (10,000 persons/km2)
(3.7E+14 Bq)
Vancouver 1.0E+3 Ci (5,000 persons/km2)
(3.7E+13 Bq)
Personal communication with Dr. Steven M Short and Dr. Tom Cousins, April 27, 2012
$97,000 Table 5: Summary of the decontamination costs (2005 USD) based on Reichmuth's studies 6 km2
$8 Billion
$150,720 Cesium Activity Affected Area Total Cost of Restoration Cost per person of Decontamination (excl.
compensation) 60 km2
$97 Billion
Entergy (Sample Problem A)
A Site Restoration /Luna 91,936 183,871 208,780 417,561 B
Reichmuth 97,000 150,720 C
CONDO 15,422 23,952 71,255 112,856 D
RISO 28,405 47,240 Aggregate 15,000 184,000 71,000 418,000 13,824 5,184 Not available Not available Table 11: Summary of ISRs decontamination costs CDNFRM ($/person, 2005)
Light Decontamination Heavy Decontamination Approach Reference or Source of Data
Parameter Description Entergy's value Minimum Maximum Minimum Maximum CDNFRM (DF=3)
Per capita cost of nonfarm light decontamination
$5,184
$15,000
$184,000 3.68E+05 1.18E+06 CDNFRM (DF=15)
Per capita cost of nonfarm heavy decontamination
$13,824
$71,000
$418,000 (1.74)
(5.57)
TIMDEC (DF=3)
Time required for light decontamination 60 d 1 y 15 y 4.43E+05 1.20E+06 TIMDEC (DF=15)
Time required for heavy decontamination 120 d 2 y 30 y (2.09)
(5.66) 1.87E+05 1.95E+05 (0.88)
(0.92) 2.23E+05 4.41E+05 (1.05)
(2.08) 6.34E+05 1.47E+06 (2.99)
(6.93)
Using all of ISRs proposed input values Notes: a The ratio shown in brackets is the ratio of the ISR-calculated OECR to the Entergy-calculated OECR ($2.12E+05/yr).
FRNFIM Nonfarm wealth improvements fraction 80%
90%
2.19E+05 POPCST Per capita cost of long-term relocation
$8,640 DSRATE Societal discount rate for property 12%
5%
7%
(1.03)
$10,640
$49,857 Per capita value of nonfarm wealth (2004 USD)
$208,838 Depreciation rate 20%
DPRATE 20%
(1) 2.51E+05
$284,189 (1.18) 2.12E+05 Table 13: Summary of ISR proposed inputs and calculated OECRs (costs in 2005 USD)
VALWNF ISR's proposed input value ISR's calculated OECR ($/yr) and ratioa