ML081160421

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G20080282/EDATS: OEDO-2008-0318 - William J. Shack Ltr. State-of-the-Art Reactor Consequences Analyses (Soarca) Project
ML081160421
Person / Time
Issue date: 04/21/2008
From: Shack W
Advisory Committee on Reactor Safeguards
To: Reyes L
NRC/EDO
References
EDATS: OEDO-2008-0318, G20080282, OEDO-2008-0318
Download: ML081160421 (4)


Text

1.

EDO Principal Correspondence Control FROM:

DUE: 05/22/08 William J.

Shack, ACRS EDO CONTROL: G20080282 DOC DT: 04/21/08 FINAL REPLY:

TO:

Reyes, EDO FOR SIGNATURE OF :

GRN CRC NO:

Reyes, EDO DESC:

ROUTING:

State-of-the-Art Reactor Consequences Analyses (SOARCA) Project (EDATS: OEDO-2008-0318)

DATE: 04/24/08 Reyes Virgilio Mallett Ash Ordaz Cyr/Burns

Wiggins, NRR Zimmerman, NSIR
Weber, NMSS Miller, FSME Borchardt, NRO Diaz-Toro, OEDO ACRS File ASSIGNED TO:

RES CONTACT:

Sheron SPECIAL INSTRUCTIONS OR REMARKS:

Prepare response to ACRS for the signature of the EDO.

Add the Commission on as cc's.

USE SUBJECT LINE IN RESPONSE.

We~-QIc~e

~9bO-OiW AC, U U~3

EDATS Number: OEDO-2008-0318 Source: OEDO GnrlInfomaton, Assigned To: RES Other Assignees:

Subject:

State-of-the-Art Reactor Consequences Analyses(SOARCA) Project

==

Description:==

OEDO Due Date: 5/22/2008 5:00 PM SECY Due Date: NONE CC Routing: NRR; NSIR; NMSS; FSME; NRO ADAMS Accession Numbers - Incoming: NONE Response/Package: NONE Othe Infraion Cross Reference Number: G20080282 Related Task:

File Routing: EDATS Staff Initiated: NO Recurring Item: NO Agency Lesson Learned: NO Roadmap Item: NO I

Prcs Inomtn II Action Type: Letter Priority: Medium Sensitivity: None Signature Level: EDO Urgency: b OEDO Concurrence: NO OCM Concurrence: NO OCA Concurrence: NO Special Instructions: Prepare response to ACRS for the signature of the EDO. Add the Commission on as cc's. USE SUBJECT LINE IN RESPONSE.

40 Documen Inomtn I

Originator Name: William J. Shack, ACRS Originating Organization: ACRS Addressee: L. Reyes, EDO Incoming Task Received: Letter Date of Incoming: 4/21/2008 Document Received by OEDO Date: 4/24/2008 Date Response Requested by Originator: NONE Page 1 of l

0r UNITED STATES NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION ADVISORY COMMITTEE ON REACTOR SAFEGUARDS WASHINGTON, DC 20555 - 0001 April 21, 2008 Mr. Luis A. Reyes Executive Director for Operations U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Washington, D.C. 20555-0001

SUBJECT:

RESPONSE TO YOUR APRIL 7, 2008 LETTER REGARDING STATE-OF-THE-ART REACTOR CONSEQUENCES ANALYSES (SOARCA) PROJECT

Dear Mr. Reyes:

In a letter dated April 7, 2008, you responded to our letter of February 25, 2008 on the SOARCA Project. The staff did not agree with our recommendation that a limited set of level-3 probabilistic risk assessments (PRAs) be performed to benchmark the SOARCA approach developed by the staff.

In your letter, the staff states that "with the knowledge gained from research, including extensive knowledge and experience with PRAs, [they] believe [they] can reliably identify any high consequence scenarios that should be included in SOARCA that have a probability of occurrence lower than the screening criteria."

This might be acceptable if SOARCA were primarily for internal NRC use. However, the SOARCA results are also expected to provide the foundation for communicating this aspect of nuclear safety to Federal, State and Local authorities, licensees, and the general public. We continue to believe that the credibility of the SOARCA Project cannot rely on confidence in the judgment of the staff and on a novel analysis procedure that differs substantially from previous state-of-the-art analyses of the consequences of severe reactor accidents. Such studies include the NRC's WASH-1400 (1975) and NUREG-iO150 (1990), as well as industry-sponsored PRAs such as those for Zion (1981), Indian Point (1982), Millstone 3 (1983), and Seabrook (1983). Without including benchmark analyses similar in scope, it will be difficult to demonstrate convincingly that reductions in consequences that might be indicated by the SOARCA results reflect the impact of enhancements in plant design and operation, and improvements in calculation methods for accident progression and consequence analysis, rather than changes in the scope of the calculation.

Dr. Dana Powers did not participate in the Committee's deliberations regarding this matter.

Sincerely, IRA/

William J. Shack Chairman EDO -- G20080282

2

References:

1.

Report dated February 25, 2008, from William J. Shack, Chairman, ACRS, to Dale E.

Klein, Chairman, NRC,

Subject:

State-of-the-Art Reactor Consequence Analyses Project.

2.

Letter dated April 7, 2008, from Luis A. Reyes, Executive Director for Operations, NRC, to William J. Shack, Chairman, ACRS

Subject:

State-of-the-Art Reactor Consequence Analyses Project.

3.

U.S. Nuclear Regulatory.Commission, "Reactor Safety Study - An Assessment of Accident Risks in U.S. Commercial Nuclear Power Plants," WASH-1400, (NUREG/75/014), 1975.

4.

U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, "Severe Accident Risks: An Assessment of Five U.S. Nuclear Power Plants," Final Summary Report, NUREG-1150, 1990.

5.

"Zion Probabilistic Safety Study," Commonwealth Edison Company, 1981.

6.

"Indian Point Probabilistic Safety Study," Power Authority of the State of New York and Consolidated Edison Company of New York, Inc., 1982.

7.

"Millstone Unit 3 Probabilistic Safety Study," Northeast Utilities, 1983.

8.

"Seabrook Station Probabilistic Safety Assessment," Picard, Low and Garrick, Inc.,

1983.