ML031920658

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Yankee Atomic Electric Company, Calculation for License Termination Plan (Ltp) Development, Probabilistic Results Summary
ML031920658
Person / Time
Site: Yankee Rowe
Issue date: 06/20/2003
From: Kay J
Yankee Atomic Electric Co
To:
Document Control Desk, NRC/FSME
References
-RFPFR, BYR 2003-052 YA-CALC-00-001-03, YA-CALC-00-002-03
Download: ML031920658 (8)


Text

1RESRAD, Version 6.21 T<< Limit = 0.5 year 05/21/2003 12:08 Page 2 Probabilistic results summary : Yankee Rowe Sensitivity Analysis=soil File : NI-59.RAD Probabilistic Input 0Number of Sample Runs: 3000 Number Name Distribution Parameters 1 SHF3 UNIFORM .15 .95 2 SHF1 BOUNDED LOGNORMAL-N -1.3 .59 .044 1 3 DWIBWT TRIANGULAR 6 10 30 4 DM TRIANGULAR 0 .15 .6 5 DROOT UNIFORM .3 4 6 YV(1) TRUNCATED LOGNORMAL-N .56 .48 .001 .999 7 RWET(2) TRIANGULAR .06 .67 .95 8 WLAM TRIANGULAR 5.1 18 84 9 MLINH CONTINUOUS LINEAR 8 0 0 .000008 .0151

.000016 .1365 .00003 .8119 .00004 .9495 .00006 .9937 .000076 .9983 .0001 1 10 THICK0 UNIFORM .15 3 11 H(1) UNIFORM .01 2.85 12 UW UNIFORM 957 1689 13 DCACTC(1) TRUNCATED LOGNORMAL-N 6.05 1.46 .001 .999 14 DCACTU1(1) TRUNCATED LOGNORMAL-N 6.05 1.46 .001 .999 15 DCACTS(1) TRUNCATED LOGNORMAL-N 6.05 1.46 .001 .999 16 BRTF(28,1) TRUNCATED LOGNORMAL-N -3 .9 .001 .999 17 BRTF(28,2) TRUNCATED LOGNORMAL-N -5.3 .9 .001 .999 18 BRTF(28,3) TRUNCATED LOGNORMAL-N -3.91 .7 .001 .999 19 BBIO(28,1) LOGNORMAL-N 4.6 1.1 20 RI UNIFORM .252 .618

1RESRAD, Version 6.21 T<< Limit = 0.5 year 05/21/2003 12:08 Page 22 Probabilistic results summary : Yankee Rowe Sensitivity Analysis=soil File : NI-59.RAD Peak of the mean dose (averaged over observations) at graphical times Repetition Time of peak mean dose Peak mean dose Years mrem/yr 1 0.000E+00 6.222E-03 2 0.000E+00 6.239E-03 3 0.000E+00 6.267E-03 1 RESRAD Regression and Correlation output 05/21/03 12:09 Page: Coef 1 Title  : Yankee Rowe Sensitivity Analysis=soil Input File : NI-59.RAD Coefficients for peak of mean dose time Dose Coefficient = PCC SRC PRCC SRRC Repetition = 1 1 1 1 Description of Probabilistic Variable Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Indoor dust filtration factor 7 0.03 9 0.02 19 -0.03 20 -0.01 External gamma shielding factor 14 0.01 14 0.01 13 -0.03 16 -0.01 Well pump intake depth 15 0.01 16 0.01 10 -0.04 13 -0.01 Depth of soil mixing layer 18 -0.01 19 0.00 17 -0.03 19 -0.01 Depth of roots 3 -0.30 4 -0.17 3 -0.63 4 -0.26 Wet weight crop yield of fruit, grain and non-leafy vegetables 11 -0.02 11 -0.01 12 0.03 15 0.01 Wet foliar interception fraction of leafy vegetables 13 0.02 13 0.01 8 -0.05 11 -0.01 Weathering removal constant of all vegetation 16 -0.01 17 0.00 7 -0.05 10 -0.02 Mass loading for inhalation 6 -0.03 8 -0.02 14 0.03 17 0.01 Thickness of contaminated zone 5 0.05 3 0.20 4 0.16 3 0.34 Thickness of Unsaturated zone 1 20 0.00 15 0.01 20 -0.01 7 -0.02 Well pumping rate 8 -0.03 5 -0.06 18 0.03 6 0.03 Kd of Ni-59 in Contaminated Zone 19 0.00 20 0.00 15 0.03 18 0.01 Kd of Ni-59 in Unsaturated Zone 1 12 -0.02 12 -0.01 9 -0.04 12 -0.01 Kd of Ni-59 in Saturated Zone 4 -0.08 7 -0.04 6 0.06 9 0.02 Plant transfer factor for Ni 1 0.76 1 0.65 1 0.91 1 0.69 Meat transfer factor for Ni 17 0.01 18 0.00 11 0.04 14 0.01 Milk transfer factor for Ni 2 0.62 2 0.44 2 0.82 2 0.46 Fish transfer factor for Ni 10 0.03 10 0.01 5 -0.07 8 -0.02 Irrigation 9 0.03 6 0.06 16 -0.03 5 -0.03 R-SQUARE 0.70 0.70 0.90 0.90

-Rank is set to zero if the dose is zero or the correlation matrix is singular.

-R-SQUARE varies between 0 and 1 and is called the coefficient of determination; it provides a measure of the variation in the dependent variable (Dose) explained by regression on the independent variables.

1 RESRAD Regression and Correlation output 05/21/03 12:09 Page: Coef 2 Title  : Yankee Rowe Sensitivity Analysis=soil Input File : NI-59.RAD Coefficients for peak of mean dose time Dose Coefficient = PCC SRC PRCC SRRC

Repetition = 2 2 2 2 Description of Probabilistic Variable Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Indoor dust filtration factor 8 0.05 11 0.02 17 0.01 17 0.00 External gamma shielding factor 11 0.03 12 0.02 7 0.04 10 0.01 Well pump intake depth 7 0.05 10 0.03 19 0.00 19 0.00 Depth of soil mixing layer 19 0.00 19 0.00 6 -0.05 9 -0.02 Depth of roots 3 -0.33 4 -0.18 3 -0.62 4 -0.26 Wet weight crop yield of fruit, grain and non-leafy vegetables 20 0.00 20 0.00 11 0.02 13 0.01 Wet foliar interception fraction of leafy vegetables 16 -0.02 16 -0.01 9 -0.03 12 -0.01 Weathering removal constant of all vegetation 18 0.01 18 0.00 13 -0.02 14 -0.01 Mass loading for inhalation 6 -0.05 9 -0.03 15 -0.02 15 -0.01 Thickness of contaminated zone 5 0.09 3 0.30 4 0.13 3 0.31 Thickness of Unsaturated zone 1 14 0.02 5 0.08 12 -0.02 5 -0.05 Well pumping rate 10 0.03 7 0.06 14 -0.02 8 -0.02 Kd of Ni-59 in Contaminated Zone 15 0.02 15 0.01 20 0.00 20 0.00 Kd of Ni-59 in Unsaturated Zone 1 17 0.01 17 0.01 16 -0.02 16 -0.01 Kd of Ni-59 in Saturated Zone 12 0.03 13 0.01 8 -0.03 11 -0.01 Plant transfer factor for Ni 1 0.81 1 0.71 1 0.90 1 0.69 Meat transfer factor for Ni 4 0.11 8 0.05 5 0.07 7 0.02 Milk transfer factor for Ni 2 0.63 2 0.41 2 0.82 2 0.47 Fish transfer factor for Ni 13 -0.03 14 -0.01 18 -0.01 18 0.00 Irrigation 9 -0.04 6 -0.07 10 0.03 6 0.03 R-SQUARE 0.75 0.75 0.89 0.89

-Rank is set to zero if the dose is zero or the correlation matrix is singular.

-R-SQUARE varies between 0 and 1 and is called the coefficient of determination; it provides a measure of the variation in the dependent variable (Dose) explained by regression on the independent variables.

1 RESRAD Regression and Correlation output 05/21/03 12:09 Page: Coef 3 Title  : Yankee Rowe Sensitivity Analysis=soil Input File : NI-59.RAD Coefficients for peak of mean dose time Dose Coefficient = PCC SRC PRCC SRRC Repetition = 3 3 3 3 Description of Probabilistic Variable Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Indoor dust filtration factor 13 0.02 13 0.01 14 0.02 15 0.01 External gamma shielding factor 18 0.00 20 0.00 7 -0.05 10 -0.02 Well pump intake depth 4 -0.08 5 -0.04 12 -0.03 13 -0.01 Depth of soil mixing layer 14 -0.02 14 -0.01 15 -0.02 16 -0.01 Depth of roots 3 -0.33 4 -0.19

3 -0.62 4 -0.27 Wet weight crop yield of fruit, grain and non-leafy vegetables 15 -0.02 15 -0.01 18 -0.01 18 0.00 Wet foliar interception fraction of leafy vegetables 12 0.03 12 0.01 13 0.02 14 0.01 Weathering removal constant of all vegetation 8 -0.05 8 -0.03 17 0.01 17 0.00 Mass loading for inhalation 17 0.00 19 0.00 19 0.01 19 0.00 Thickness of contaminated zone 5 0.07 3 0.25 4 0.18 3 0.40 Thickness of Unsaturated zone 1 19 0.00 17 0.01 16 0.01 7 0.03 Well pumping rate 16 0.00 16 0.01 9 0.05 5 0.05 Kd of Ni-59 in Contaminated Zone 6 0.05 6 0.03 11 0.03 12 0.01 Kd of Ni-59 in Unsaturated Zone 1 10 0.04 10 0.02 20 0.01 20 0.00 Kd of Ni-59 in Saturated Zone 7 -0.05 7 -0.03 8 0.05 11 0.02 Plant transfer factor for Ni 1 0.79 1 0.69 1 0.89 1 0.66 Meat transfer factor for Ni 9 0.04 9 0.02 6 0.08 9 0.03 Milk transfer factor for Ni 2 0.57 2 0.37 2 0.81 2 0.47 Fish transfer factor for Ni 11 -0.03 11 -0.02 5 0.08 8 0.03 Irrigation 20 0.00 18 0.00 10 -0.04 6 -0.05 R-SQUARE 0.72 0.72 0.89 0.89

-Rank is set to zero if the dose is zero or the correlation matrix is singular.

-R-SQUARE varies between 0 and 1 and is called the coefficient of determination; it provides a measure of the variation in the dependent variable (Dose) explained by regression on the independent variables.

1RESRAD, Version 6.21 T<< Limit = 0.5 year 04/29/2003 18:18 Page 2 Probabilistic results summary : Yankee Rowe Sensitivity Analysis=soil File : YR_Ni-63.RAD Probabilistic Input 0Number of Sample Runs: 3000 Number Name Distribution Parameters 1 SHF3 UNIFORM .15 .95 2 SHF1 BOUNDED LOGNORMAL-N -1.3 .59 .044 1 3 DWIBWT TRIANGULAR 6 10 30 4 DM TRIANGULAR 0 .15 .6 5 DROOT UNIFORM .3 4 6 YV(1) TRUNCATED LOGNORMAL-N .56 .48 .001 .999 7 RWET(2) TRIANGULAR .06 .67 .95 8 WLAM TRIANGULAR 5.1 18 84 9 MLINH CONTINUOUS LINEAR 8 0 0 .000008 .0151

.000016 .1365 .00003 .8119 .00004 .9495 .00006 .9937 .000076 .9983 .0001 1 10 THICK0 UNIFORM .15 3 11 UW UNIFORM 957 1689 12 H(1) UNIFORM .01 2.85 13 DCACTC(1) TRUNCATED LOGNORMAL-N 6.05 1.46 .001 .999 14 DCACTU1(1) TRUNCATED LOGNORMAL-N 6.05 1.46 .001 .999 15 DCACTS(1) TRUNCATED LOGNORMAL-N 6.05 1.46 .001 .999 16 BRTF(28,1) TRUNCATED LOGNORMAL-N -3 .9 .001 .999 17 BRTF(28,2) TRUNCATED LOGNORMAL-N -5.3 .9 .001 .999 18 BRTF(28,3) TRUNCATED LOGNORMAL-N -3.91 .7 .001 .999 19 BBIO(28,1) LOGNORMAL-N 4.6 1.1 20 RI UNIFORM .252 .618

1RESRAD, Version 6.21 T<< Limit = 0.5 year 04/29/2003 18:18 Page 22 Probabilistic results summary : Yankee Rowe Sensitivity Analysis=soil File : YR_Ni-63.RAD Peak of the mean dose (averaged over observations) at graphical times Repetition Time of peak mean dose Peak mean dose Years mrem/yr 1 0.000E+00 1.703E-02 2 0.000E+00 1.708E-02 3 0.000E+00 1.716E-02 1 RESRAD Regression and Correlation output 04/29/03 18:21 Page: Coef 1 Title  : Yankee Rowe Sensitivity Analysis=soil Input File : YR_Ni-63.RAD Coefficients for peak of mean dose time Dose Coefficient = PCC SRC PRCC SRRC Repetition = 1 1 1 1 Description of Probabilistic Variable Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Indoor dust filtration factor 7 0.03 9 0.02 17 -0.03 20 -0.01 External gamma shielding factor 14 0.01 14 0.01 13 -0.03 16 -0.01 Well pump intake depth 15 0.01 16 0.01 10 -0.04 13 -0.01 Depth of soil mixing layer 18 -0.01 19 0.00 16 -0.03 19 -0.01 Depth of roots 3 -0.30 4 -0.17 3 -0.63 4 -0.26 Wet weight crop yield of fruit, grain and non-leafy vegetables 12 -0.02 12 -0.01 12 0.03 15 0.01 Wet foliar interception fraction of leafy vegetables 13 0.02 13 0.01 8 -0.05 11 -0.01 Weathering removal constant of all vegetation 16 -0.01 17 0.00 7 -0.05 9 -0.02 Mass loading for inhalation 6 -0.03 8 -0.02 14 0.03 17 0.01 Thickness of contaminated zone 5 0.05 3 0.20 4 0.15 3 0.34 Well pumping rate 9 -0.03 6 -0.06 19 0.01 10 0.02 Thickness of Unsaturated zone 1 20 0.00 15 0.01 20 -0.01 5 -0.03 Kd of Ni-63 in Contaminated Zone 19 0.00 20 0.00 15 0.03 18 0.01 Kd of Ni-63 in Unsaturated Zone 1 11 -0.02 11 -0.01 9 -0.04 12 -0.01 Kd of Ni-63 in Saturated Zone 4 -0.08 7 -0.04 6 0.06 8 0.02 Plant transfer factor for Ni 1 0.76 1 0.65 1 0.91 1 0.69 Meat transfer factor for Ni 17 0.01 18 0.00 11 0.04 14 0.01 Milk transfer factor for Ni 2 0.62 2 0.44 2 0.82 2 0.46 Fish transfer factor for Ni 10 0.03 10 0.01 5 -0.07 6 -0.02 Irrigation 8 0.03 5 0.06 18 -0.02 7 -0.02 R-SQUARE 0.70 0.70 0.90 0.90

-Rank is set to zero if the dose is zero or the correlation matrix is singular.

-R-SQUARE varies between 0 and 1 and is called the coefficient of determination; it provides a measure of the variation in the dependent variable (Dose) explained by regression on the independent variables.

1 RESRAD Regression and Correlation output 04/29/03 18:21 Page: Coef 2 Title  : Yankee Rowe Sensitivity Analysis=soil Input File : YR_Ni-63.RAD Coefficients for peak of mean dose time Dose Coefficient = PCC SRC PRCC SRRC

Repetition = 2 2 2 2 Description of Probabilistic Variable Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Indoor dust filtration factor 10 0.05 10 0.02 16 0.01 17 0.00 External gamma shielding factor 11 0.03 11 0.02 9 0.04 9 0.01 Well pump intake depth 9 0.05 9 0.03 19 0.00 19 0.00 Depth of soil mixing layer 18 0.00 19 0.00 6 -0.05 8 -0.02 Depth of roots 3 -0.33 4 -0.18 3 -0.62 4 -0.26 Wet weight crop yield of fruit, grain and non-leafy vegetables 20 0.00 20 0.00 12 0.02 12 0.01 Wet foliar interception fraction of leafy vegetables 16 -0.01 17 -0.01 10 -0.04 10 -0.01 Weathering removal constant of all vegetation 17 0.01 18 0.00 13 -0.02 14 -0.01 Mass loading for inhalation 8 -0.05 8 -0.03 14 -0.02 15 -0.01 Thickness of contaminated zone 5 0.06 3 0.20 4 0.16 3 0.35 Well pumping rate 6 0.06 5 0.10 7 -0.05 5 -0.06 Thickness of Unsaturated zone 1 19 0.00 12 -0.02 18 0.00 13 -0.01 Kd of Ni-63 in Contaminated Zone 14 0.02 15 0.01 20 0.00 20 0.00 Kd of Ni-63 in Unsaturated Zone 1 15 0.01 16 0.01 15 -0.02 16 -0.01 Kd of Ni-63 in Saturated Zone 12 0.03 13 0.02 11 -0.03 11 -0.01 Plant transfer factor for Ni 1 0.81 1 0.71 1 0.90 1 0.69 Meat transfer factor for Ni 4 0.11 7 0.05 5 0.07 7 0.02 Milk transfer factor for Ni 2 0.63 2 0.41 2 0.82 2 0.47 Fish transfer factor for Ni 13 -0.03 14 -0.01 17 -0.01 18 0.00 Irrigation 7 -0.06 6 -0.10 8 0.05 6 0.05 R-SQUARE 0.75 0.75 0.89 0.89

-Rank is set to zero if the dose is zero or the correlation matrix is singular.

-R-SQUARE varies between 0 and 1 and is called the coefficient of determination; it provides a measure of the variation in the dependent variable (Dose) explained by regression on the independent variables.

1 RESRAD Regression and Correlation output 04/29/03 18:21 Page: Coef 3 Title  : Yankee Rowe Sensitivity Analysis=soil Input File : YR_Ni-63.RAD Coefficients for peak of mean dose time Dose Coefficient = PCC SRC PRCC SRRC Repetition = 3 3 3 3 Description of Probabilistic Variable Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Sig Coeff Indoor dust filtration factor 13 0.02 16 0.01 14 0.02 14 0.01 External gamma shielding factor 20 0.00 20 0.00 8 -0.05 10 -0.02 Well pump intake depth 5 -0.08 6 -0.04 11 -0.03 12 -0.01 Depth of soil mixing layer 15 -0.02 17 -0.01 15 -0.02 15 -0.01 Depth of roots 3 -0.33 4 -0.19

3 -0.62 4 -0.27 Wet weight crop yield of fruit, grain and non-leafy vegetables 16 -0.02 18 -0.01 17 -0.01 17 0.00 Wet foliar interception fraction of leafy vegetables 12 0.03 15 0.01 13 0.02 13 0.01 Weathering removal constant of all vegetation 8 -0.05 11 -0.03 16 0.01 16 0.00 Mass loading for inhalation 19 0.00 19 0.00 18 0.01 19 0.00 Thickness of contaminated zone 4 0.09 3 0.31 4 0.16 3 0.38 Well pumping rate 18 0.01 10 0.03 12 0.02 6 0.03 Thickness of Unsaturated zone 1 14 0.02 5 0.07 20 0.00 18 0.00 Kd of Ni-63 in Contaminated Zone 6 0.05 8 0.03 10 0.04 11 0.01 Kd of Ni-63 in Unsaturated Zone 1 10 0.04 13 0.02 19 0.00 20 0.00 Kd of Ni-63 in Saturated Zone 7 -0.05 9 -0.03 7 0.05 9 0.02 Plant transfer factor for Ni 1 0.79 1 0.69 1 0.89 1 0.66 Meat transfer factor for Ni 9 0.04 12 0.02 5 0.08 7 0.03 Milk transfer factor for Ni 2 0.57 2 0.37 2 0.81 2 0.47 Fish transfer factor for Ni 11 -0.03 14 -0.02 6 0.08 8 0.03 Irrigation 17 -0.02 7 -0.03 9 -0.04 5 -0.04 R-SQUARE 0.72 0.72 0.89 0.89

-Rank is set to zero if the dose is zero or the correlation matrix is singular.

-R-SQUARE varies between 0 and 1 and is called the coefficient of determination; it provides a measure of the variation in the dependent variable (Dose) explained by regression on the independent variables.