ML022310392

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Regulatory Conference Slides
ML022310392
Person / Time
Site: Cook  American Electric Power icon.png
Issue date: 07/25/2002
From: Greenlee S, Joseph E Pollock
American Electric Power Co
To:
Office of Nuclear Reactor Regulation
References
EA-01-286
Download: ML022310392 (37)


Text

N Donald C.Cook Nuclear Plant Regulatory Conference Essential Service Water Debris Intrusion Event July 25, 2002 Slide 1 Z wLEN POWFR

Opening Remarks Joe Pollock Site Vice President

'"IFRMI-Slide 2 =EECM POVJ

Agenda

  • Opening Remarks Joe Pollock
  • Presentation Overview Scot Greenlee
  • Event Overview Gordon Arent
  • Significance Determination Pam Cowan /

Jack Giessner

  • Updated AEP Analysis Pam Cowan /

Jack Giessner S Summary Scot Greenlee Closing Remarks Joe Pollock Slide 3 zOW=

PresentationOverview Scot Greenlee Director Nuclear Technical Services Slide 4 Z ELwMI PomWER

PresentationOverview

  • Event Sequence and Corrective Actions
  • New Information and Considerations for NRC Significance Determination
  • Updated AEP Risk Case - Confirmed by Third Party Expert Reviews Slide 5 AMSGo

or Event Overview Gordon Arent Manager Regulatory Affairs Slide 6 =AMERWM*

PI Screenhouse Layout Diagram 0' 0 N A Slide 7 -

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Essential Service Water Supply Slide 8 Z: AMER WAN PELESIC PowER

r rEvent Overview

- August 29, 2001

- Unit 1 cooling down for forced outage maintenance

- Unit 2 at 100% power

  • Unit 1 Circulating Water (CW) System Removed From Service

- Cross-flow patterns created

- Forebay debris transported into essential service water (ESW) pump bay

  • Damaged ESW Strainer Provides Bypass Pathway Slide 9 Z W

Event Overview

  • ESW Debris Intrusion Occurs
  • Debris Causes Reduced ESW Flow
  • Operators Detect Reduced ESW Flo. -

- Declare EDGs inoperable and take action to restore flow

Removed From Service; Slake 10 '4-iMMELEMTIC M!OWER.

POWER

X Event Causal Factors

  • Root Cause

- Damaged ESW pump discharge strainer caused by weaknesses in maintenance practices and procedures

  • Contributing Causes

- Two CW pump discharge valves remained partially open

- EDG coolers could be fed from either ESW train (original plant design basis)

- Center intake isolation valve (WMO-30) approximately 5%

open (increases debris availability)

- Recent biocide treatment (increases debris availability)

Slide 11  ! ELucMIC POWW

CorrectiveAction Summary

  • Inspected and Replaced ESW Strainer Baskets
  • Revised ESW Strainer Maintenance Procedures
  • Enhanced Monitoring of ESW System Performance
  • Initiated CW Pump Discharge Valve Refurbishment
  • Inspected, Cleaned, and/or Flushed Susceptible Heat Exchangers and Piping Slide 12 ZELECTIC POMFE

CorrectiveAction Summary

  • Verified Adequate ESW Flow to System Components
  • Revised Operation of Alternate ESW Supply to the EDG Coolers

- Alternate supply valves normal operating configat-ioinlose4;- le -

- Design change eliminated automatic opening following an EDG automatic start CorrectiveActions Effective Slide 13 \ km PWMERA-EUWMX2R POWER

Significance Determination Pam Cowan System Engineering Manager Jack Giessner Event Recovery Manager Slide 14 E.WERW

Significance Determination -

  • kIntroduction/ Outline
  • Background Information and Preliminary Finding Significance
  • New Information and Considerations For Significance Determination

- Discussion of information

- PSA determination results

- Conservatisms in approach Slide 15 =ELKMJC

Significance Determination

  • Background
  • Event Significance Based on Loss of Offsite Power (LOOP) With Possible Debris Intrusion and EDG Failure
  • Dual and Single Unit LOOP Events Considered
  • Single Unit LOOP Debris Transport Similar to August 29, 2001 Event
  • Dual Unit LOOP Debris Transport Caused by Forebay Transient (Refill) When Circulating Water Pumps Trip
  • Model Developed by AEP to Evaluate EDG Failure Probability Given a LOOP Slide 16 =ELWIC PCKER

Significance Determination -

Background

Unit l f I2ESWheader

_and iiG colIs _ 91 Cooling flow Unsucc~essful In P degradation Impacts performing-UnIit2 flow 2Cd6E~dGfnction r~estorain oivte Slide 17 SliIdeR7N OEWRIC

Significance Determination -

Preliminary

  • NRC Review Identified Changes in Probability Factors Used by AEP Event AEP NRC Block 1: LOOP occurs 1 1 Block 2: Sufficient suspended debris is present 0.0189 0.5 Block 3: Suspended debris reaches ESW pump suctions 0.99 1 Block 4: 1E ESW damaged strainer basket is in service 0.7708 0.77 Block 5A: Flow through 1E ESW strainer is "low" 0.851 0 Block 5B: Flow through 1E ESW strainer is "high" 0.149 1 Block 6A: Ingested debris bypasses 1E ESW strainer 0.1 ---

Block 6B: Ingested debris bypasses 1E ESW strainer 0.95 1 Condition: Bypassed debris enters Unit 1 EDG coolers 1 1 Block 7: Bypassed debris reaches Unit 2 EDG coolers 0.25 0.25 Block 8: Cooling flow degradation impacts EDG function 0.25 0.707 (Note 1)

Block 9: Condition is not identified/cleared by operators 0.13 0.36 (Note 2)

Note 1 - Block 8 value is a combined probability of 0.25 for failure of all four EDGs, which gives an individual EDG failure probability of V6I2 = 0.707 Note 2 - Block 9 value when applied on a per plant basis results in a probability of V-B = 0.36 Slide 18 POWER

Significance Determination

  • k Preliminary
  • NRC Determined Dominant Risk Sequence to be Dual Unit LOOP Followed by the Failure of All EDGs

- EDG common cause failure factor (CCFF) developed using revised probabilities from AEP model

- CCFF used to obtain change in core damage frequency (A CDF) from SPAR model -1.8E-05/year (Yellow)

- Change in large early release frequency (A LERF) determined by using 0.4 conditional containment failure probability 7.1 E-06/year (Yellow)

Slide 19 ;EUC POW=R

New Information IConsiderations Slide 20 POWER

Significance Determination -

New Information / Considerations

  • EDG Failure Probability Discussions Will Focus on Highlighted Areas Event AEP NRC Block 1: LOOP occurs 1 1 Block 2: Suf icienM sus d sp ^ K^O189.

Block 3: Suspended debris reaches ESW pump suctions 0.99 1 Block 4: 1E ESW damaged strainer basket is in service 0.7708 0.77 Block 5A: Flow through 1E ESW strainer is "loW' 0.851 0 Block 5B: Flow through 1E ESW strainer is "high" 0.149 1 Block 6A: Ingested debris bypasses 1E ESW strainer 0.1 Block 6B: Ingested debris bypasses 1E ESW strainer 0.95 1 Condition: Bypassed debris enters Unit 1 EDG coolers 1 1 Block 7: Bypassed debris reaches Unit 2 EDG coolers 0.25 0.25 Block 8: Cooling flow degradation impacts EDG function 0.25 0.707 (Note 1)I Note 1 - Block 8 value is a combined probability of 0.25 for failure of all four EDGs, which gives an individual EDG failure probability of ~ 0.25 = 0.707 Note 2 - Block 9 value when applied on a per plant basis results in a probability of V0IB = 0.36 Slide 21 ZAMERECAN'

.ELECTRIC POWE

New Information -

  • Block 2
  • Additional Information Developed to Better Assess Probability Estimate
  • Hydraulic Model Developed
  • Model Benchmarked Against 1977 Screenhouse Forebay Level Response Test

- Upward Velocities May Exist up to 135 Seconds Following Trip of CW Pumps

  • Screenhouse Water Level Maximized and Velocities Are Zero at 135 Seconds
  • Forebay Level Oscillates Until Consistent With Lake Slide 22 =ELUIPRC

New Information -

Block 2 Post Dual-Unit LOOP Screenhouse Vertical Velocity

  • Hydraulic Model Used to Develop Vertical Velocity Data
  • Maximum Upward Bulk 0 (D

Velocity 0.20 fps co I-

  • Maximum Oscillation Bulk Velocity 0.04 fps
  • 3X Multiplier for Localized Velocities 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 Seconds 3ANIERICAN 9T ZEII1RC Slide 23 o Me

New Information

  • ~Block 2 Debris Lift Following Dual-Unit LOOP
  • Terminal Settling Velocities 16.0 " 1 Recalculated 14.0

- 0.3 fps for sand 12.0 SandD - 0.5 fps for mussels 10.0 aa)

LL - Calculations Correlated to Field 6.0 Demonstration 2.0 Mussel

  • Debris Lift Determined From 00 20 60 SIp 100 120 140 160 Water and Settling Velocities seconds Assuming a sustained peak velocity of 3 times the bulk average velocity in the area of the ESW pumps.

Slide 24 WLECI POWER

New Information Block 2

  • ESW pump vulnerability is about 40 seconds

- Mussel shells rise approximately 2 feet and fall to the floor in approximately 70 seconds

- ESW pumps sequence on EDGs at TO+30 seconds

  • Other Block 2 Sub-blocks Adjusted to Reflect Revised Subjective Probability Scale 4-14,
  • Overall Probability That Suspended Debris is Sufficient to Challenge ESW is 0.04 Screenhouse Refill Not a Credible Challenge to,the Planto I MAERJCAN Slide 25 ELECIC POWE

New Information Block 9

  • Human Error Probability (HEP) Values Developed for Each Unit
  • Unit Control Rooms Act Independently and Are Physically Separated HEP Value Intendbed Fbr Application on a UnMit Basis -..

Slide 26 I I ERIC POWS&,

Significance Determination -

  • New Information I Considerations
  • Additional Considerations

- LERF

,, Approach consistent with RG 1.174

>>AEP model used in prior docketed AEP correspondence to NRC

- AEP PSA Model

>> WinNUPRA widely used and accepted

>> Peer certification process

>>Supports maintenance rule decision-making

>> Basis for previously docketed AEP correspondence to NRC Siide 27 ZELEWRIC POWER

Significance Determination -

New Information I Considerations

  • PSA Results of Dual Unit LOOP With Station Black Out - Using New Information / Considerations A CDF 3E-8 /year (Green)

A LERF 7E-9/year (Green)

Slide 28 PORER

Significance Determination

  • k New Information/ Considerations
  • Conservative Assumptions in This Approach:

- The following blocks were not modified, but AEP analysis shows conservatism

>> Block 5A: Flow through 1E ESW strainer is "low"

>> Block 5B: Flow through 1E ESW strainer is "high"

>> Block 6A: Ingested debris bypasses 1E ESW strainer

>> Block 8: Cooling flow degradation impacts EDG function

- Technical specification required charging system cross-tie not modeled

- Technical specification required 69 KV offsite power source not credited Slide 29 Z: WDVE POWER

Updated AEP Evaluation Pam Cowan System Engineering Manager Jack Giessner Event Recovery Manager Slide 30 LAMPUER

=EIECUME

Updated AEP Evaluation

  • Original Probabilistic Study Developed April 2002

- Used as input to NRC evaluations

- Revised July 2002 based on new information and expert reviews

  • EDG Failure Probability Inputs Revised (Highlighted)

Event Original Revised Block 1: LOOP occurs 1 1 Block 2: Sufficient suspended debris is present 0.0189 0.04 Block 3: Suspended debris reaches ESW pump suctions 0.99 0.99 Block 4: 1E ESW damaged strainer basket is in service 0.7708 2 O=7 tO":

Block 5A: Flow through 1 E ESW strainer is "lowv' 0.851 0.85 Block 5B: Flow through 1E ESW strainer is "high" 0.149 0.15 Block 6A: Ingested debris bypasses 1E ESW strainer 0.1 0.3 Block 6B: Ingested debris bypasses 1E ESW strainer 0.95 1 Condition: Bypassed debris enters Unit 1 EDG coolers 1 1 Block 7: Bypassed debris reaches Unit 2 EDG coolers 0.25 0.25 Block 8: Cooling flow degradation impacts EDG function 0.25 0.5 Block 9: Condition is not identified/cleared by operators 0.13 0.13 Slide 31 ZAMERICAN' ELECTRIC POWER

Updated AEP Evaluation

  • Single Unit LOOP Scenarios Eliminated

- Additional time (hours) to develop contingency strategies

- Ability to cross-connect charging from other Unit

- Use of 69 KV offsite power

>> physically separated from main switchyard

  • Most Limiting A LERF Value Used:

- .2 conditional containment failure probability factor, or

- AEP model Slide 32 AMERWM*

POWER

p.

Updated AEP Evaluation

  • Results of Updated AEP Evaluation:

Unit 1 Unit 2 A CDF 6.1 E-7 (Green) 4E-8 (Green)

A LERF 1.2E-7 (White) 9E-9 (Green)

Slide 33 '"IF0air'"O PWS

Updated AEP Evaluation

  • Conservatisms

- Technical specification required charging system cross tie not credited

- Technical specification required 69 KV offsite power source not considered

- Most limiting A LERF value used:

>> .2 conditional containment failure probability factor, or

>> AEP model Slide 34 G ELWRRC PWER

Summary Scot Greenlee Director Nuclear Technical Services Slide 35 G WMMU POWEm

Summary

  • Third Party Reviews Show Results Are Sound
  • Modified Approaches Produced Similar Results
  • Conservatism (Over-Estimation of Risk) Exists in Either Approach Considern Conservatisms1 AEP Overall EventRisk Significance Conclusion is: "GREEN" Z: AElR"CA Slide 36

, , ".A_ M o,I i, I I

Closing Remarks Joe Pollock Site Vice President Slide 37 0AMEJUCAN

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