ML022210147
| ML022210147 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Peach Bottom  |
| Issue date: | 08/01/2002 |
| From: | Mangano J - No Known Affiliation |
| To: | NRC/ADM/DAS/RDB |
| References | |
| 67FR44245 00005 | |
| Download: ML022210147 (12) | |
Text
Doris Mendiola - Supporting info.
From:
<Odiejoe @ aol.com>
To:
<prm@nrc.gov>
Date:
8/1/02 6:35PM
Subject:
Supporting info.
Dear Pat (or please tell me what I should call you):
Sandy Smith gave me your email, so I'm sending you the hard data I used, with sources, in my presentation yesterday. It's attached as a word file.
If you have any questions, please feel free to call me at 718-857-9825.
Best wishes, Joe Mangano C-
"e-F A - &:;
Page 1 1
¶ oris Mendiola - PEACHB-4.DOC Page 11 STATISTICAL DATA USED IN ASSESSING HEALTH RISKS FROM THE PEACH BOTTOM NUCLEAR PLANT
- 1. Cancer Death Rates, Age 0-9, 1987-99, Local Counties Area Chester Co.
Lancaster Co.
York Co.
3 PA Counties Deaths 0-9 28 45 22 95 Baltimore Co.
51 Cecil Co.
2 Harford Co.
23 3 MD Counties 76 6 Cos. < 40 Mi.
171 U.S.
16,960 Other PA/MD 887 Population 0-9 727,529 859,737 627,052 2,214,318 1,180,863 151,282 402,673 1,734,818 3,949,136 492,387,655 25,858,026 Deaths/100,000 3.85 5.23 3.51 4.29 4.32 1.32 5.71 4.38 4.33 3.44 3.43 Source: U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (www.cdc.gov, data and statistics, CDC Wonder),
accessed July 16, 2002. Includes ICD-9 codes 140.0-239.9 (1987-98), and ICD-10 codes COO-D48.9 (1999).
1
% +/- U.S.
+12.2%
+52.6%
+ 2.3%
+24.7%
+25.9%
- 61.5%
+66.5%
+27.3%
+26.2%
p<.04
Dons Mendiola - PEACHB-4.DOC 2.Pa 2
- 2. Cancer Death Rate Trends, Age 0-9, Lancaster and York Counties 1950-74 (Before Plant Startup)
Type of Cancer Leukemia Other Cancers Total Deaths % +/- U.S.
111
+ 5%
88
-19%
199 7%
1975-84 (After Plant Startup)
Type of Cancer Deaths % +/- U.S.
Leukemia 21
+11%
Other Cancers 28
+ 4%
Total 49
+ 7%
- Deaths/% +/- U.S.
1987-99 (Most Recent)
County Deaths Population Lancaster Co.
45 859,737 York Co.
22 627,052 Total 67 1,486,789 Expected*
105.7 108.6 214.3 Expected*
18.9 26.9 45.8 Rate/100,000 5.23 3.51 4.51 Summary:
1-74 7% below U.S.
1-84 7% above U.S.
1-99 31% above U.S.
Sources: Jablon S., et al. Cancer in Populations Living Near Nuclear Facilities, Volume 2, Table I -C.22 National Cancer Institute. NIH Pub. No.90-874. Washington DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1990.
(covers all data up to 1984)
U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (www.cdc.gov, data and statistics, CDC Wonder),
accessed July 16, 2002. Includes ICD-9 codes 140.0-239.9 (1987-98), and ICD-10 codes COO-D48.9 (1999). (covers 1987-99 data) 2
%+/- U.S.
+53%
+ 2%
+31%
Page 3
- 3. Cancer Death Rate Trends, Age 60 and Over, Lancaster and York Counties Includes Cancers Most Sensitive to Radiation Exposure Type of Cancer All Cancers+
Leukemia Hodgkin's Disease Other Lymphoma Multiple Myeloma Female Breast Thyroid Bone and Joint
% +/- U.S.
1950-74 (deaths) 3%(13755) 7%(
514)
-12%(
- 77)
+10% ( 387)
- 10% (
152)
+ 9%( 1203)
-11%(
+ 5%(
82)
% +/- U.S.
1975-84 (deaths)
+ 4% (9342)
+ 0% ( 344)
+ 4%(
- 30)
+ 8% ( 307)
+21%(
186)
+17%(
813)
- 52)
+35% (
- 33)
+13%(
24)
% Change
+ 7% *
+ 7%
+16%
2%
+31% *
+ 8%
+46%
+ 8%
+ Excluding leukemia
- statistically significant change Sources: Jablon S., et al. Cancer in Populations Living Near Nuclear Facilities, Volume 2, Table 1-C.22 National Cancer Institute. NIH Pub. No.90-874. Washington DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1990.
3
[Dodrs Men-diola - PEACHB-4.DOC
Page 4 Doris Mendiola - PEACHB-4.DOC
- 4.
Breast Cancer Incidence, Females. Three Counties Closest to Peach Bottom, 1999 Age Cases Popul.
Crude Rate 0-4 0
13,631 0.0 5-9 0
14,800 0.0 10-14 0
14,653 0.0 15-19 0
14,460 0.0 20-24 I
12,179 8.2 25-34 4
30,213 13.2 35-44 54 40,164 134.4 45-54 126 32,083 392.7 55-64 83 17,642 470.5 65-74 101 14,685 687.8 75-84 60 10,462 573.5 85+
22 4,318 509.5 TOT 451 219,290 205.7 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+
TOT 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+
TOT 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75-84 85+
TOT 0
0 0
0 0
8 30 79 67 89 69 21 363 0
0 0
0 0
5 40 78 91 76 75 24 389 0
0 0
0 1
17 124 283 241 266 204 67 1203 15,773 16,697 17,264 16,378 13,843 31,492 37,229 30,509 19,156 17,550 14,238 6,229 236,358 11,118 12,555 13,026 12,522 10,056 26,290 33,183 27,315 16,475 13,919 10,853 4,512 191,824 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 25.4 80.6 258.9 349.8 507.1 484.6 337.1 153.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.0 120.5 285.6 552.4 546.0 691.1 531.9 202.8 40,522 0.0 44,052 0.0 44,943 0.0 43,360 0.0 36,078 2.8 87,995 19.3 110,576 112.1 89,907 314.8 53,273 452.4 46,154 576.3 35,553 573.8 15,059 444.9 647,472 185.8 1970 Std Pop
.084416
.098204
.102304
.093845
.080561
.122569
.113614
.114265
.091480
.061195
.030112
.007435
.084416
.098204
.102304
.093845
.080561
.122569
.113614
.114265
.091480
.061195
.030112
.007435
.084416
.098204
.102304
.093845
.080561
.122569
.113614
.114265
.091480
.061195
.030112
.007435
.084416
.098204
.102304
.093845
.080561
.122569
.113614
.114265
.091480
.061195
.030112
.007435 Ado. Rate 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.6 Chester County 15.3 44.9 43.0 42.1 17.3 3.8 168.6 (1998 = 154.2) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1 Lancaster County 9.2 29.6 32.0 31.0 14.6 2.5 122.0 (1998 = 128.4) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.3 York County 13.7 32.6 50.5 33.4 20.8 4.0 157.4 (1998 = 143.7) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.4 12.7 36.0 41.4 35.3 17.3 3.3 Total 3 Counties 148.5 (1998 = 141.6)
U.S. 1998 = 118.1 Sources: Pennsylvania State Cancer Registry, Harrisburg PA, cancer cases. U.S. Centers for Disease Control and 4
!Doris Mendiola - PEACHB~4.DOC Prevention (WWW.Cdc.gov, data and statistics, CDC Wonder), population.
5 Page 51
Dods Mendiola - PEACHB-4.DOC
- 3.
Nuclear rower rialaIt With Li*C~bL *aUIoUaLllVe eases.
10 l
Swra ng*
l Ua A.
Airborne Iodine-131 and Effluents (all chemicals with half-life of over 8 days)
B. Airborne Fission and Activation Gases Plant, State
- 1.
Dresden, IL
- 2.
Oyster Creek, NJ 76.8i
- 3.
Millstone, CT
- 4.
Quad Cities, IL 26.7
- 5.
Indian Point, NY 17.4'
- 6.
Nine Mile Point, NY
- 7.
Three Mile Island, PA
- 8.
Brunswick, NC 14.1
- 9.
Monticello, MN 12.1
- 10. Turkey Point, FL 6.6
- 11.
Pilgrim, MA
- 12. Big Rock Point, MI 6.2
- 13.
San Onofre, CA 4.1
- 14. St. Lucie, FL
- 15.
Humboldt Bay, CA 3.4
- 16. Calvert Cliffs, MD 3.4
- 17. James A. Fitzpatrick, N)
- 18. Oconee, SC
- 19. Peach Bottom, PA 2.0
- In trillions of picocuries
+ In thousands of curies Total Releases*
Plant, State Total Releases+
95.58 I. Three Mile Island, PA 10,066 0
- 2. Dresden, IL 9,255 32.64
- 3. Millstone, CT 6,762 9
- 4. Oyster Creek, NJ 5,374 6
- 5. Nine Mile Point, NY 3,698 14.61
- 6. Monticello, MN 3,478 14.41
- 7. Humboldt Bay, CA 2,796 9
- 8. Browns Ferry, AL 2,490 3
- 9. Quad Cities, IL 2,306 7
- 10. Brunswick, NC 2,272 6.56
- 11. Big Rock Point, MI 1,690 0
- 12. Pilgrim, MA 1,557 6
- 13. Peach Bottom, PA 851 3-59 1
0O C. Liquid Effluents: Mixed Fission and Y 3.34 Activation Products 2.43
)6 Plant, State
- 1. Millstone, CT
- 2. Joseph M. Farley, AL
- 3. LaCrosse, WI
- 4. Nine Mile Point, NY
- 5. Surry, VA
- 6. San Onofre, CA
- 7. Dresden, IL
- 8. Browns Ferry, AL
- 9. Quad Cities, IL
- 12. Cooper, NE
- 13. Indian Point, NY
- 14. Salem, NJ
- 15. Peach Bottom, PA Total Releases*
580.97 576.73 196.00 193.20 180.87 161.10 150.12 118.56 110.33 102.64 78.73 70.79 61.03 60.09 56.69 Source: Nuclear Regulatory Commission annual reports, reprinted in Gould J. et al., The Enemy Within. New York:
Four Walls Eight Windows, 1996.
6 Page 6
Page 7]
LDofs Mendiola - PEACHB-4.DOC
- 6. Iodine-131 Concentrations in Pasteurized Milk, Washington DC and Philadelphia All measurements in picocuries of 1-131 per liter of milk Philadelphia Month Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
May June July Aug.
Sept.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 8
2 6
6
-4 3
4
-1 5
-1 3
4 2
5 2
9 6
-4 3
-2 1
7 7
3 7
1 7
4 7
2 5
4 4
3 1
6 0
1
-3
-2 4
-3 4
2 5
5 2
6 6
5 4
5 3
7 7
1 2
4 5
5 1
3 3
6 4
6 1
Washington DC Month 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 Jan.
3 Feb.
0 Mar.
3 Apr.
5 4
May June July Aug.
Sept.
Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
13 4
10 1
1 8
5 5
5 4
4 7
2 5
4 7
6 2
Totals:
U.S. Average 1985-90 for 60 cities
= 2.61 Philadelphia 224 picocuries/67 measurements = 3.34 (+28%)
Washington 105 picocuries/24 measurements = 4.38 (+68%)
Source: Office of Radiation Programs. Environmental Radiation Data, Volumes 41-64.
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Montgomery AL: 1985-1990.
Note: The Environmental Protection Agency stopped reporting monthly levels of Iodine 131, Cesium-137, and Barium-140 in milk in December 1990.
7
Do6 is Mendiola - PEACHB-4.DOC
- 7. Latest Results of Study of Strontium-90 in Baby Teeth Teeth collected 3800 Teeth processed 1463 Teeth processed, born after 1979 1352 Location (home during pregnancy)
No. Teeth
- b. after 1979 Avg. pCi Sr90/
g Ca in teeth at birth Philadelphia area*
California Florida New Jersey Connecticut New York Suffolk County Nassau County New York City Westchester County Putnam County Orange/Dutchess/Ulster County All other 22 106 121 225 44 544 59 78 65 20 18 2.57 1.73 2.08 1.55 0.96 1.38 1.25 1.44 1.55 1.88 1.86 76 1352 1.53 (similar to 1956 births)
Philadelphia average is 68% greater than all teeth (2.57/1.53)
- includes southeast Pennsylvania, plus Philadelphia suburbs in New Jersey Average Sr-90 concentration, by birth year (number of teeth in parentheses)
Phila. Area 1990-96 2.72 ( 8)
All areas 1.55 (556) 1980-89 2.45 (14) 1.51 (793) 1970-79 3.32 ( 7) 2.75 ( 77) 1960-69 3.97 ( 22)
Philadelphia area teeth have always had higher Sr90 concentrations than other areas. In all areas, there has been an increase from the 1980s to the 1990s, suggesting that a current source of Sr90, most likely nuclear reactor emissions, is building up in children's bodies.
8 TOTAL Page 8
Doris Mendiola
- PEACHB-4.DOC Page 9 Source: Radiation and Public Health Project, July 16, 2002 9
Page 9 1 SDoris Mendiola - PEACHB-4.DOC
SDoris Mendiola - PEACHB-4.DOC
- 8. Changes in Radioactivity Levels in Local Air and Water, 2001 Gross Beta in Drinking Water (Measured Monthly)
Location 4L (8.7 mi. SE of Peach Bottom) 61 (5.8 mi. NW of Peach Bottom)
Jan 1-July 31 1.90 2.00 Aug 1-Dec 31 2.90 2.76
% Chante
+52.6%
+38.0%
Gross Beta in Air Particulate Samples (Measured Weekly)
(31 weeks)
Location Jan 1 - Aug 5 3A (3.6 mi. SW of Peach Bottom) 18.48 5H2 (30.8 mi. NW of Peach Bottom) 17.19 (21 weeks)
Aug 6-Dec 31 23.90 26.05
% Change
+29.3%
+51.5%
Source: Exelon Nuclear Generation Support.Peach Bottom Atomic Power Station Units 2 and 3: Annual Radiological Environmental Operating Report, Number 59, 2001.
10 Page 10O;
!Doris Me-ndila ---F=ACHB-4,.4_1OC-
- 9. Prevailing Wind Directions, Cities Nearest to Peach Bottom Month Harrisburg Philadelphia Wilmington DE Baltimore MD Jan.
WNW WNW WNW WNW Feb.
WNW NW NW NW Mar.
WNW SW WNW WNW Apr.
WNW SW WNW WNW May W
WSW S
W June W
WSW S
WNW July W
WSW NW W
Aug.
W SW S
W Sept.
WNW SW S
S Oct.
W WSW NW NW Nov.
NNW WSW NW WNW Dec.
WNW WNW WNW WNW Number of months with prevailing winds from the Northwest, West-Northwest, West, West-Southwest, or southwest Harrisburg -
12 Philadelphia - 11 Wilmington -
8 Baltimore -
11 The majority of any airborne releases from Peach Bottom would be propelled towards the east, including the highly populated areas of southeast Pennsylvania and northern Delaware Source: Bair FE (ed.). The Weather Almanac, 6t Edition. Detroit: Gale Research Inc.,
1992. Wind patterns measured from 1951 to 1963.
11 Doris~~~~~
Med-l OPag 1
S.
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