ML103620049

Exhibit 50-The Case for Replacing Davis Besse with Efficiency Improvements and Renewable Energy Sources

ML103620049
Person / Time
Site:	Davis Besse
Issue date:	12/18/2010
From:	Compaan A Univ of Toledo
To:	Atomic Safety and Licensing Board Panel
SECY RAS
Shared Package
ML103620048	List: ML103620049 ML103620050 ML103620051 ML103620052 ML103620053 ML103620054 ML103620056 ML103620057
References
License Renewal 2, RAS 19320, 50-346-LR
Download: ML103620049 (8)

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DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page1 The following eight pages reproduce the slides that were used in the presentation by A. Compaan on 12/18/2010. Minor formatting changes were made and references moved beneath the related slides.

ThecaseforreplacingDavisBesse with efficiencyimprovementsandrenewable energysources AlvinD.Compaan DistinguishedUniversityProfessorofPhysics,Emeritus TheUniversityofToledo DavisBesse relicensingcommunityhearing St.MarksEpiscopalChurch,Toledo,OH December18,2010 Overviewofpresentation

1. HistoryofDavisBesse indicatesthat20moreyearsofoperationwillseriously endangerthesurroundingcommunities.

2. DavisBesse providesonly8.3%ofFirstEnergysbaseloadgenerationandcan readilybereplaced.

3. OhioSenateBill221andtheAdvancedEnergyStandardrequires FEto:

achievehigherefficiencybyreducingdemand22%by2025, achieve12.5%generationfromrenewables by2025, achieve12.5%generationfromadvancedenergyby2025,whichmay includenewadvancednuclear,butacontinuationofDBwillnotqualify.

4. DistributedGenerationwillqualifyforSB221credit.

5. AlternativesourcesareveryattractiveinOhio:

WindnearorinLakeErie(class3toclass6 betterthanTexas!)

SolarPV(costsaredecreasingrapidly;FEuseddata14yearsold!)

DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page2 Whathappenstothehighly radioactivespentfuelrods?

• ExpectationwhenDavisBesse wasbuiltafederal repositorywouldbeconstructedforstoringthehighlevel radioactivecomponentsasneededforthousandsofyears.

• YuccaMountainstilldoesnothaveanoperatinglicense andnofundingwasproposedinthefederal2011budget.

• For33years,allhighlevelradioactivecomponents includingfuelassemblieshavebeenstoredonsiteatDavis Besse.Initiallyinacoolingpondandtheninaboveground containers.

Nonuclearplantlicenseextensionsshouldbegranted untilalongtermstoragefacilityisoperating.

Atroublingindicator:Wheredoesthe tritiumintheDavisBesse ground watercomefrom?

FromAppendixE:DavisBesse EnvironmentalReportp.2.32:

Anotherwell,MW105A,whichhasbeenonaslow increasingtrendsincethespringof2009,hadatritiumlevel of4,158pCi/l.Asaresult,FENOCispursuingarootcause approachtoidentifythesourceofthetritiuminthewells.No tritiumconcentrationshavebeendetectedatorabovethe USEPAdrinkingwaterlimitof20,000pCi/l(40CFR141.66).

DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page3 Abouttritiumanditsradioactivity:

• Tritiumorhydrogen3(1protonand2neutrons)isnot naturallyoccurring.Ithasahalflifeof12.3years.

• Tritiumisproducedinnuclearreactorsbyneutron bombardmentofLithium6andBoron10.[Asmallamount isproducedintheupperatmospherebycosmicrays.]

• Tritiumisradioactiveanddecaysbyemittingahighenergy electron(betaparticle)plusanantineutrino.

• Thebetaparticlehasanaverageenergyof5.7kiloelectron volts.Itwillnotpenetratetheoutermostskinlayersbutis verydangerousifinhaledashydrogen(H2 orHT)orwater vapororswallowedaswaternotH2ObutasHTO.

Excellentalternativesexisttoextendingthe license20yearsandtheircostsaredeclining

• TheincidentandaccidentrecordofDavisBesse andthe unchartedterritoryofextendingthelifeofanynuclearplant20 yearsbeyondthe40yeardesignlifeoftheoriginalshould stimulateFEtogetseriousaboutalternatives.

• ThebestalternativesforOhioare(IMHO):

1. Energyconservation

2. Wind

3. Solar

• ThesearealreadymandatedbytheStateofOhio.FEis requiredtodevelopthesealternativesanywayANDisallowed byOhiolawtopassthecoststhroughtotheratepayers.

DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page4 EssentialfeaturesofSB221 (passedinthespringof2008)

1. AlternativeEnergyPortfolioStandard(O.R.C.4928.64.65) 25%electricitygenerationbyadvancedenergyby2025 12.5%byrenewables withsolarsetasideof0.5%

Remaining12.5%mayincludeadvancedenergysuchas:

• Cleancoal(w/oCO2 emissions)

• Advancednuclear(NRCGenerationIIItechnology)

[GenIIIincorporatespassivesafetysystemsand isdesigned for60yearsofoperation]

2. Netmetering(O.R.C.4928.67,4905.31,4928.01)

3. EnergyEfficiencyStandard(O.R.C.4928.66) 22%reductionby2025throughenergyefficiency 7%peakdemandreductionby2018 Costsmaybepassedthroughtocustomers!

http://www.bricker.com/documents/publications/1533.pdf

DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page5 LakeErieandtheLakeErieshoreisa greatresourceforwindenergy MapshowingaveragewindpowerinLakeEriebetter thanTexasandtheplainstates http://rredc.nrel.gov/wind/pubs/atlas/maps.html

DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page6 Ohio,andparticularlyNWOhio,has excellentsolarinsolation wellsuited forphotovoltaics (PV)

ErrorsintheFirstEnergyEnvironmentalReport(AppendixE):

• mustconsiderfullskyinsolation,notjustdirectsolar

• mustusecurrentcostsandcostprojectionsforPV,not datafrom1998!

(directsunlightonly)

Toledo/Orlando=75%

Toledo/SanDiego =60%(directradiation)

Toledo/Mojave=45%

http://www.nrel.gov/gis/solar.html

DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page7 PV Energy kWh/kW-yr 2

Toledo/Orlando=86%

Toledo/SanDiego=79%(fullskyradiation)

StephenORourke(212)2508670 SolarPVindustry-longtermoutlook 6%

5%

4%

0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Grid cost, solar PV price, ($/kWh) c-Si (ave) c-Si (hi/lo) c-Si (hi CE) a-Si (um)

CIGS CdTe Supply Demand cSi CIGS Si(2x)

CdTe US Averagepriceof electricityin2009est:

9.5 cents/kWh ElectricityfromsolarPVis becomingcheaper Gridcost convergence Periodicoversupplyis inevitable Potentialforexplosive growthindemandupon convergence Newtechnology wildcard Supply Demand Source:DeutscheBankestimates ElectricityPriceConvergence-5to6Years Source:DeutscheBank2009 Definitions:

FirstGenerationPV:bulkcrystallinesilicon(monocrystalline,multicrystalline)

SecondGenerationPV:Inorganicthinfilms(CdTe,aSi:H,aSiGe,ncSi:H,CIGS)

ThirdGenerationPV:nanostructures,organic/hybrid,advancedconcepts http://www.slideshare.net/gwsolar/pv-status-and-pathways-stephen-orourke

DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page8 StimulatingalternativescreatesOhio jobs

• Energyconservation/efficiencyisabigjobcreatorand savestheconsumermoney.

• Ohiohasalargenumberofmanufacturersthataresuppliers forwindturbines.

• Maintenance ofwindturbinescreatesmanyjobs.

• In2009thelargestPVmanufacturerintheworldwasFirst SolarwithallofitsU.S.manufacturing inPerrysburg.

• SeveralotherPVmanufacturersarestartingupinOhio.

• PVdesignandinstallationcreatesmanyjobs.

References http://www.bricker.com/documents/publications/1533.pdf http://rredc.nrel.gov/wind/pubs/atlas/maps.html http://www.nrel.gov/gis/solar.html http://www.slideshare.net/gwsolar/pvstatusandpathwaysstephenorourke Presentationby:

AlvinCompaan 9135W.BancroftSt.

Holland,OH43528 December18,2010 Mobile:4192652641