ML20148S924

Testimony of Dp Dreikorn & Eb Lieberman on the Remanded Issue of Bases & Accuracy of Lilco Hosp Evacuation Time Estimates.* Certificate of Svc Encl.Related Correspondence

ML20148S924
Person / Time
Site:	Shoreham File:Long Island Lighting Company icon.png
Issue date:	04/13/1988
From:	Dreikorn D, Lieberman E KLD ASSOCIATES, INC., LONG ISLAND LIGHTING CO.
To:
References
CON-#288-6097 OL-3, NUDOCS 8804200082
Download: ML20148S924 (53)

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UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION Before the Atomic Safety and Licensing Board lO In the Matter of

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LONG ISLAND LIGHTING COMPANY

) Docket No. 50-322-OL-3

) (Emergency Planning)

'O (Shoreham Nuclear Power Station,

) (Hospital Evacuation Time Unit 1)

)

Estimates) e O

TESTIMONY OF DIANE P. DREIKORN AND EDWARD B. LIEBERMAN ON THE REMANDED ISSUE OF THE BASES AND ACCURACY OF LILCO's HOSPITAL EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATES O

O HUNTON & WILLIAMS 707 East Main Street P. O. Box 1535 Richmond, Virginia 23219 O

April 13,1988 O

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UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION Before the Atomic Safety and Licensing Board O

In the Matter of

)

)

LONG ISLAND LIGHTING COMPANY

) Docket No. 50-322-OL-3 O

) (Emergency Planning)

(Shoreham Nuclear Power Station,

) (Haspital Evacuation Time Unit 1)

)

Estimates)

O TESTIMONY OF DIANE P. DREIKORN AND EDWARD B. LIEBERMAN ON THE REMANDED ISSUE OF THE BASES AND ACCURACY OF LILCO's HOSPITAL EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATES

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HUNTON & WILLIAMS 707 East Main Street P. O. Box 1535 Richmond, Virginia 23219 O

April 13,1988

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LILCO, April 13,1988 UNITED STATES OF AMERICA NUCLEAR REGULATORY COMMISSION v

Before the Atomic Safety and Licensing Board In the Matter of

)

)

i)

LONG ISLAND LIGHTING COMPANY

) Docket No. 50-322-OL-3

) (Emergency Planning)

(Shoreham Nuclear Power Station,

) (Hospital Evacuation Time Unit 1)

)

Estimates) a O

TESTIMONY OF DIANE P. DREIKORN AND EDWARD B. LIEBERM AN ON THE REMANDED ISSUE OF THE BASES AND ACCURACY OF LILCO's HOSPITAL EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATES IO CONTENTS Page l

l, I.

Identity and Qualifications of witnesses....................... 2 0

11.

Scope of Testimony...................................... 3 III.

LILCO's Hospital Evacuation Time Estimates (ETEs)............. 4 IV.

Bases and Accuracy of LILCO's Hospital ETEs................... 4 Attachments A - Resume of Diane P. Dreikorn B - Resume of Edward B. Lieberman C - LILCO Plan, Appendix A (Rev. 9),

pp. IV-172 through IV-187

'O D - Reception Hospital Listing (Rev. 9) i i

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IDENTITY AND QUALIFICATIONS OF WITNESSES O

1.

Q.

Please state your name and business address.

A.

( Dreikorn] My name is Diane P. Dreikorn. My business address is Long O

Island Lighting Company,131 Hoffman Lane, Central Islip, New York 11722.

(Lieberman] My name is Edward B. Lieberman. My business address is

O KLD Associates, Incorporated, 300 Broadway, Huntington Station, New York 11746.

lO 2.

Q.

Please summarize your professional qualifications and your role in de-termining LILCO's hospital evacuation time estimates for the Shoreham Y

Nuclear Power Station.

i lO A.

(Dreikorn] I am Supervisor of Offsite Plans and Facilities for the Long Is-land Lighting Company. My professional qualifications are being offered into evidence as Attachment A to this testimony. I am participating on 10 this panel as the LILCO representative to describe why LILCO calculated the hospital evacuation time estimates and the precess by which we ac-complished this goal. I supervise the development of the Local Offsite O

Radiological Emergency Response Plan for Shoreham (the LILCO Plan).

My familiarity with LILCO's hospital evacuation time estimates is based upon my involvement in and review of portions of Revision 9 to the O

LILCO Plan dealing with hospital evacuation and reception hospitals.

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[Lieberman] I am President of KLD Associates, Incorporated. My profes-sional qualifications are Attachment B to this testimony. Previously, KLD Associates performed work for LILCO on evacuation time estimates for the general population and special facilities for the Shoreham EPZ. Re-cently, I assisted LILCO in applying the methodology and extending the assumptions used in determining the ETES for special f acilities to include hospitals, and coordinating and reviewing the calculations of the hospital evacuation time estimates.

10 SCOPE OF TESTIMONY 3.

Q.

Please summarize the scope of this testimony.

A.

[Dreikorn, Lieberman) This testimony will focus on the issues regarding hospital evacuation time estimates as framed by the Board in its O

February 24, 1988 Memorandum and Order Ruling on LILCO's Motion for Summary Disposition of the Hospital Evacuation Issue at page 12. Specifi-cally, the Board ordered evidenilary hearings on "the accuracy and bases O

of the evacuation time estimates presented in Revision 9 to LILCO's Plan." There are three hospitals at issue in this proceeding, Two (The John T. Mather Memorial and St. Charles Hospitals) are located just inside O

the 10-mile boundary, and the third (Central Suffolk Hospital)is just out-side the 10-mile emergency planning zone (EPZ). LBP-85-12,21 NRC 6 ic.

829, 846 (1985) ("PID"): LILCO Test. Cont. 24.J, N, 72.C D, and 96.B O

(Planning for Special Facilities), ff. Tr. 9017. Vol. II, at 12, 14, 26, 3.

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LILCO'S HOSPITAL EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATES

)

4.

Q.

What is the purpose of determining evacuation time estimates for hospitals?

i A.

[Dreikorn, Lieberman] Thes7 estimates of evacuation time serve as a

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basis for a reasoned protective action recommendation to either shelter or evacuate one or more of these hospitals.

)

5.

Q.

Have estimates of the time required to evacuate these three hospitals been developed?

l A.

(Lieberman] Yes Details of this analysis and evacuation time estimates on a facility-by-facility basis are presented on pages IV-172 through l

IV-187 of Appendix A to the LILCO Plan. This section is Attachment C to this testimony. As explained in Attachment C, the prior *ty of evacuation, which was previously litigated, is that the home-bound handicapped are evacuated first; the special facilities are avacuated next, followed by i

Suffolk Infirmary and the hospitals, using buses and the 63 ambulances and

)

l 130 ambulettes noted in the PID at 829-31. In the case vihere the entire EPZ is evacuated under normal (summer) weather conditions, the resulting time estimate to evacuate all three hospitals, assuming 100 percent occu-l0 l

pancy of these hospitals, is 12.33 hours3.819444e-4 days <br />0.00917 hours <br />5.456349e-5 weeks <br />1.25565e-5 months <br />.

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BASES AND ACCURACY OF LILCO's MOSPITAL ETEs l

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6.

Q.

Please explain how these evacuation time estimates for hospitals were de-veloped.

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4 A.

(Dreikorn) LILCO retained KLD Associates as consultants to define the procedures for developing evacuation time estimates for hospitals, to par-

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ticipate in the analysis effort, and to review the final results. The calcu-lations were performed by personnel of consultants, including KLD.

[Lieberman} The calculation of evacuation time estimates for hospitals involved adapting and extending the method used to calculate ETEs for special f acilities to include hospitals, and consisted of a series of discrete

)

steps. These steps include:

\\

(1)

Updating Information, as necessary:

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Number, type, locations of all special iacilities including the home-bound handicapped, health care facilities, nursing homes, schools for the

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handicapped, and the hospitals.

Number, type, locations of all host facilities including monitoring centers, dispatch facili-ties, hospitals, and reception centers.

Number and type of all emergency vehicles and their schedules of availability at the dispatch facilities.

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O' (2)

Stating Postulates:

0-Estimates of travel speeds, stratified by route, by elapsed time relative to the start of evacua-tion, by direction of travel, by vehicle loca-Ci tion, by weather condition, and by vehicle type.

Estimates of driver processing time, passenger O

loading and unloading times, and monitoring times.

Establishing sequence of evacuation activities, O

stratified by evacuating facility type and loca-tion.

O (3)

Developing Data Base:

Estimating travel distances and delineating O

routes between evacuating facilities, the EPZ boundary, and host facilities, stratified by di-rection of travel.

O (4)

Performing Calculations:

Selecting the sequence of f acilities to be evac-

.O uated.

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Defining the "platoon" of vehicles (up to six in number) for each run (i.e., round trip), consis-D.

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tent with this sequence.

Delineating the path of travel for each run and 3

for each "platoon" of vehicles.

This path l

Identifies the starting point (e.g. dispatch f a-cility), the route to the EPZ boundary, the route from the boundary to the selected facill-O ty to be evacuated within the EPZ, the route from this facElty to the EP:' boundarf. the

.O route from the boundary to the first (if more I

than one) host facility, then to the final host facility which is usually the dispatch facility, O

to complete the run.

Calculating the time of travel for each route segment, the times for loading and unloading O

passengers, any queuing delays associated with l

the loading / unloading activities, and time for briefing and reassignment.

O Estimating the starting time of each run based on vehicle availability.

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Establishing the identities of all vehicles which perform multiple runs.

(5)

Summarizing Results:

Establishing a schedule of all runs for three evacuation scenarios (see below).

Identifying the elapsed times to evacuate the hospitals for three separate evacuation scenarios:

o Central Suffolk Hospital, only.

o John T. Mather Memorial and St. Charles Hospitals, only

(

o All three hospitals, concurrently

)

7.

Q.

What did you use for guidance in developing the assumptions and the hos-pital evacuation time estimates?

l A.

(Lieberman) 10 C.F.R. Part 50, App. E and NUREG-0654. App. 4. We de-

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rived most of the assumptions from the ETEs for the general population and special facilities, including analyses conducted previously to respond to Contentions 72.A and E. It is conservatively assumed that the hospital D

occupancy is 100 percent at the time of evacuation.

8.

Q.

Please describe the bases of the hospital evacuation time estimates.

?

A.

(Lieberman) All of the estimates which are postulated for LILCO's hospi-tal evacuation time estimates are stated in Revision 9 of Appendix A to

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the LILCO Plan. Most assumptions were contained in LILCO's Testimony n Contentions 72.A and E, ff. Tr. 9:01, and were discussed in the PID at O.

pages 835-38. Certain of the previously litigated assumptions are clarified below:

}

l0 Loading Vehicles at Evacuating Facilities:

Ambulettes carry 7 people and can be loaded in 25 minutes for normal weather and 30 minutes for in-clement weather. Ambulances carry 2 people and can be loaded in 20 minutes for normal weather and 30 0

minutes for inclement weather. Up to 6 ambulances and 6 ambulettes can be loaded simultaneously at a given f acility. Residents of the facilities are ready for loading at time of vehicle arrival. LILCO Plan, App. A at IV-176.

l lO Loading Buses at Evacuating Facilities:

Buses carry a maximum of 40 adult passengers and l

can be loaded in 10 minutes. Up to 6 buses can be loaded simultaneously. I_d. at IV-177.

The calculations of the evacuation time estimates for hospitals were for-mulated so that generally, vehicles were scheduled to arrive at the lO evacuating f acilities so as to avoid or minimize queuing.

Another assumption stated in Appendix A is:

All three hospitals receive vehicles concurrently as tO they become available. I_d. at IV-178.

In the calculation of the hospital evacuation time estimates, vehicles were generally allocated to hospitals in proportion to the number of pa-tients remaining to be evacuated at each hospital as vehicles became t

available for reassignment.

O 1 0

9 Another assumption stated in Appendix A is:

Af ter delivering evacuees to reception hospitals, the vehicle drivers are immediately available for addi-tional trips, if necessary. Id. at IV-178.

In the calculation of the hospital evacuation time estimates, ambulances

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which may be needed for multiple trips were assigned to receptior hospi-tals that, generally, were closer to the EPZ than the reception hospitals to which ambulettes and buses were assigned.

O 9.

Q.

Why did you select this methodology for calculating the ETEs for hospi-tals?

O A.

(Lieberman] First, it is the same methodology employed previously and found to be appropriate for calculating ETEs for special f acilities PID at 835-38. Second, the methodology is a representation of the dynamic evac-O uation process and reasonably represents the vehicle movements along the inbound and outbound routes. Thus, this method is directly responsive to the guidelines of NUREG-0654, Rev.1 Supp. I which states that "[t]ime C

estimates for evacuation of various sectors and distances (should be]

based on a dynamic analysis." NUREG-0654, Rev.1, Supp.1, at 19.

10.

Q.

Revision 9 of Appendix A identifies various travel speed estimates for dif-lO ferent hospital evacuation routes. Explain the bases for these estimates.

A.

(Lieberman) As explained in my affidavit attached to LILCO's Motion for O

Summary Disposition of the Hospital Evacuation Issue (Dec. 18, 1987),

most of the procedural steps and assumptions used in calculating the evacuation time estimates for hospitals are identical to those used

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O previously for calculating evacuation time estimates for the special f acili-ties in the EPZ. Those evacuation time estimates, and the procedures and O

assumptions used in calculating them, ha'!e already been litigated in this proceeding. They were contained in uLCO's Testimony on Contentions 72.A and E., if. Tr. 9101, and were discussed in the Licensing Board's Par-O tial Initial Decision (PID), at pages 835-38. Most host facilities for the hospital evacuees are located throughout Nassau County and Western Suffolk County at distances considerably farther from the EPZ than the host facilities considered in prior litigation. For this reason, estimated travel speeds for areas west of the EPZ were modified to reflect the up-dated speeds used in LILCO's testimony in the reception centers remand proceeding. S_ee_, e.g., LILCO Exhibit 1 ("Written Testianony of Douglas M.

Crocker, Dale E. Donaldson, Diane P. Dreikorn, Edward B. Lieberman, Roger E. Linnemann, Michael K. Lindell, Dennis S. Mileti, and Richard J.

Watts on the Sultability of Reception Centers"), ff. Tr.17,421 at 7-8.

l 11.

Q.

What are the bases of the assumptions set forth at pages IV-176 through lO IV-178 of Appendix A of the LILCO Plan?

A.

(Dreikorn, Lieberman) Except as noted below, the assumptions set forth in Appendix A were contained in LILCO's Testimony on Contentions 72.A and E, ff. Tr. 9101, and were discussed in the PID at pages 833-38. Except for the modifications involving travel speeds which were discussed above, two other assumptions have been modified since the prior litigation.

O (Dreikorn] The assumption stated Gt p. IV-176 of Appendix A that the "time required for ambulance /ambulette drivers to receive dosimetry, O

I i

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O briefing and assignment at Brentwood/Peconic, is 30 minutes" dffers from the previous estimitte of 15 minutes for special facilities. Previously, I

drivers received dosimetry, briefing and assignment at one of - three staging areas. Now, all ambulances and ambulettes, except

= dis-patched from Peconic, report to the EWDF in BrentNood. The revisrd es-timate of 30 minutes is more representative of the duration of such activ-ities at the EWDF, and is consistent with previcus findings regarding the mobilizatiot' of LERO field workers. See PID at 725.

O The assumption stated at p. IV-176 that "(m]onitoring time for the occu-pants for all vehicles is 15 minutes" is based upon observations of drills of M

LERO field workers involving monitoring people in vehicles.

12.

Q.

What is the starting point f or the hospital evacuation time estimates?

O A.

(Lieberman) The starting point for the evacuation time estimates for the hospitals is when a prowetive action recommendation of evacuation is given. For the calculation of the hospital ETEs, this starting point in-

-O cludes the assumptf an, Lited in Appendix A at p. IV 76, that ambulance and ambulette companim are notified to dispatch vehicles at the Site Area Emergency level and inat the Site Are Emergency level precedes

.O the order to evacuate by 25 minutes. These assumptions iepresent a rap-idly escalating accident at the Shoreharr Station which was used as the basis for all prior ETE studies.

'O Q.

T' hat is the ending point for the hospital evacuation time estimates?

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(Lieberman) The ending point for any hospital evacitation is when the last vehicle evacuating f rom the hospitals that are within the EPZ crosses the boundary of the EPZ. For Central Suffolk Hospital, which is outside j

the EPZ, the ending point is wht.n the last vehicle evacuating from the hospital completes its loading.

14.

Q.

How did LILCO determine the schedule of availability of the types of ve-hicles (ambulances, ambulettes, buses) needed to evacu3te the hosp!tals?

O A.

( Licberman) The schedule of availability of ambulances and ambulettes is based on data obtained from a survey of ambulance /ambulettes compa-nies. PID at 828-31. This data was utilize.

a the original calculation of O

the special facility evacuation time estimates which was litigated four years ago. PID at 835-38. Using that schedule, we assumed a uniform ve-hicle arrival rate over each period of time for which vehicle availability data was provide 1.

The availability of buses was also based on estimates previously developed

,0 for special f attiiities. PID at 817-22. Specifically, the few buses needed for hospital evacuation were assumed to be dispatched from the Patchogue staging area,2 hours2.314815e-5 days <br />5.555556e-4 hours <br />3.306878e-6 weeks <br />7.61e-7 months <br /> and 15 minutes af ter the site area emer-O gency level is declared.

15.

Q.

How did you choose the routes assumed to be taken by vehicles evacuating patients from the three hospitals?

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A.

(Lieberman) All routes outside the El'Z, and those inbound routes within the JPZ, were choten on the bases that they follow major (numbered)

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9 roads or collector roads and approximate minimum distance paths. Such selection also took into account the objective to limit the number of turns which would have to be negotiated by the vehicles.

The outbound (evacuating) routes within the EPZ are those which are documented in Appendix A.

16.

Q.

What reception hospitals are assumed to be available in the calculation of the evacuation time estimates?

O A.

( Dreikorn) The reception hospitals assumed to be available as hosts for hospital evacuees are those listed in OPl? 3.6.5, Attachment 5 which is Attachment D to this testimony. This list of hospitals was drawn from the list of hospitals capable of treating contaminated / injured individuals.

OPIP 4.2.2., Attachment 1. All host hospitals are at least 5 miles outside the EPZ boundary.

.O 17.

Q.

Are you aware of any enanges of fact since Revision 9 that might affect the results just described?

.O A.

(Dreikorn, Lieberman] Yes. During the course of the continuing planning process, LILCO has identified, since Revision 9, certain additL. sal f acili-ties not accounted for in Rev. 9. Updated evacuation time estimates for

O the hospitals will be included in a future iipdate to the LILCO Plan. The LILCO Plan requires an annual review and updating of the Plan and its provisions. OPIP 5.4.1, "Document Conttol."

18.

Q.

Does this conclude your testimony?

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[Dreikorn, Liebe man] Yes.

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ATTACHMENT A DIANE PALLAS DREIKORN 70 Eaton's Neck Road Northport, New York 11768 Telephone: 516/754-4162 EDUCATION:

Rochester Institute of Technology, Rochester, New York Major: Physics (Nuclear Medicine)

Degree: Bachelor of Science Cum Laude, June 1976 State University of New York, Agricultural and Technical College 3

Alfred, New York Major: Medical Lab Technology Degree: Applied Associate of Science, June 1974 ADDITIONAL TRAINING:

Health Physics & Radiation Protection - 5 Weeks -(February March 1985 - Oak Ridge Associated Universities,

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Oak Ridge, TN Advanced Health Physics Topics (November 1984)

- Oak Ridge Associated Universities, Oak Ridge, TN O

Biological Eifccts of lonizing Radiation (October 1985)- Harvard School of Public 11ealth, Boston, MA Teletherapy Calibration (June 1984)- M.D. Anderson Hospital, Houston, TX J

Inspection Procedures (July 1982) - U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission l

Medical Accelerator Course (April 1982)- New York State Health Department J

Radiation Accident Assessment (November 1981)-

Federal Emergency Management Agency l

Licensing of Radioactive Material (September 1981)-

U.S. Nuclear Regulatory CommLssion Medical Use of Radioisotopes (May 1981)- U.S.

Nuclear Regulatory Commission WORK EXPERIENCE:

2/87 to present Long Island Lighting Company 8

175 E. Old Country Road Hicksville, New lork 11801 D

- Supervisor, Offsite Plans and Facilities (12/87 - present) n v

Duties: Supervise staff of approximately fif teen personnel in two functional groups to ensure maintenance of f acilities and equipment to minimize equipment-related problems during drills and a FEMA-evaluated exercise, and maintenance of offsite emergency plans / procedures to satisfy FEMA and NRC requirements, maintain qualifications as a LERO Radiation Health n"

Coordinator, provide litigation technical support, and function as company liaison on radiological issues to governmental agencies and medical f acilities.

Senior Emergency Planner (2/87-12/87)

Duties: Assist in the development and maintenance of the onsite g'

and offsite emergency preparedness program for the Shoreham Nuclear Power Station to ensure compliance with 10 CFR 50, NUREG-0396, NUREG-0654 and FEMA Guidance Memoranda, present emergency plan training on health physics related topics to members of the onsite and offsite emergency organization, act as company liaison with offsite medical facilities to secure letters of n"

agreement and provide training for handling injured / contaminated members of the general pulslic, serve in the capacity of Radiological Health Coordinator in the offsite emergency organization, performing dose projections and protective action recommendations, provide litigation support on radiological issues, O

and serve as an observer / controller for drills / exercises of the emergency plan and procedures.

10/85-2/87 Impell Corporation / Radiological Services 225 Broad Hollow Road Melville, New York 11747 O

Senior Engineer Duties: Provide consulting services to the nuclear power industry, ccnduct training sessions in radiological emergency preparedness for onsite and offsite organizations, perform audits of nuclear power electric generating plant radioactive material package and O

trar. sport procedures and radioactive waste handling to determine compliance with 10 CFR and 49 CFR, and perform audits of onsite and offsite emergency preparedness procedures to determine compliance with NUREG-0654.

2/81-10/85 New York State Health Department U_

Bureau of Environmental Radiation Protection Albany, New York 12237 Principal Radiological Health Specialist (10/34-10/85)

Duties:

Responsible for the administration of the U.S. Nuclear Regulate. y Commission (NRC)/ New York State Department of

,n Health (NYS0GH) Agreement Program for licensing and u

comp 11snee of radioactive materials use in medical and academic f acilities, maintain compatibility between NRC regulations and NYSDOH Sanitary Code, coordinate response to radiological O

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) emergencies and incident investigations through f!ve regional offices, and provide technical support for emergency exarcises

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involving nuclear power reactors.

Associate Raololocical Health Specialist (4/83-9/84)

Duties:

Reviewed and approved radioactive material license applications and amendment requests for limited and broad-scopo programs, reviewed Investigational New Drug research protocols

)

for completeness and coordinated review by Department's Radiological Health Advisory Committee members, reviewed proposed changes to NRC regulations and recommended Department reaction, proposed changes to NYSDOH Sanitary code to maintain compatibility with NRC regulations, provided assistance to regional personnel for inspection of complex licenses.

Senior Radiological Health Specialist (2/81-4/83)

Duties:

Reviewed and recommended for approval radioactive materials license applications and amendments for medical and academic f acilities with limited-scope programs, reviewed research protocols for Invest!<;ational New Drug usage for

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completeness, conducted inspections of limited-scope programs to assure compliance with NYSDOH Sanitary Code.

3/80-5/80 New York State Education Department Bureau of Health Occupations Education Albany, New York 12230 g

Consultant - Designed curriculum guidelines for a nuclear medicine apprenticeship program.

9/77-2/81 Nuclear Medicine Technologist O

Various Medical Centers in New York State, l

PROFESSIONAL AFFILIATIONS:

American Nuclear Society Long Island Chapter

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Health Physics Society Northeastern New York Chapter i

American Association of Physicists in Medicine Upstate New York Chapter c3 i

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O ATTACHMENT B PROFESSION AL QUALIFICATIONS EDWARD LIEBERMAN President KLD ASSOCIATES, LTD.

O My name is Edward Lieberman and my business address is KLD Associates, Inc.

300 Broadway, Huntington Station, New York 11746. I am presently President of KLD Associates, Inc.

O I received the Bachelor of Science degrees in Civil Engineering in 1951 from Polytechnic Institute of Brooklyn. I was granted the Master of Science degrees in Civil Engineering in 1954 from Columbia University and in Aero Engineering in 1967 from O

Polytechnic Institute of Brooklyn. I am currently working on a Dantorate degree in Transportation Planning at Polytechnic University. I am a member of Chi Epsilon Honorary Fraternity.

O With over 30 years of professional experience, I have managed numerous major projects. I pioneered the development and application L( traffic simulation models',

making major innovations in the state-of-the-art in the Traffic Engineering profession.

lO I have also been responsible for many engineering studies involving data collection, analysis, and design of traffic control systems to expedite traffic flow and relieve congestion.

O I have developed simulation models to study trcffic performance on urban networks, freeways, freeway corridors, and two-way rural roads.

These programs i

include consideration of pedestrians' interacting with vehicular traffic, truck and bus lO operations, special turning lanes, and vehicle fuel consumption and emissions; both pretimed and actuated traffic signal controls are copresented.

I was responsible to a large extent for the theoretical development of DYNEV, a Dynamic Network Evacuation model.

The DYNEV model consists of two major i

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components:

an equilibrium traffic assignment model and a macroscopic dynamic traffic simulation model designed for all types of roadway facilities (urban streets, freeways, rural roads).

DYNEV is designed to be used as a tool to assist in the development and organization of evacuation plans needed as part of general disaster preparedness g

planning, and for calculating evacuation routes and estimated evacuation travel time.

DYNEV was used to analyze an existing evacuation scenario at the Con Edison Indian P int Nu lear P wn station and was used to melop an extensive evacuation plan for O

the LILCO Shoreham Nuclear Power Station on Long Island, New York.

Under contr1ct with the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA),1 managed a project which extended and anhanced the DYNEV model, leading to the O

development of IDYNEV, which is a major model component of FEMA's Integrated Emergency Management Information System (IEMIS).

The IDYNEV model has been extended to accommodate regional evacuation studies for hurricanes and other large g

scale emergencies. It is currentiv being extended to incorporate an integrated trip distribution and assignment model which will increase effectiveness and ease of use.

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This extension includes a new formulation and sof tware which I developed.

In developing the evacuation plan for LILCO's Shoreham Nuclear Power Station, my activitics included definition of evacuation scenarios, definition of the evacuation O

network, development of traffic control treatments and of traffic routing patterns, analysis of trip tables, analysis of simulation results, evaluation of evacuation strategies and the preparation of formal documentation. This effort included the development of O

evacuation time estimates (ETEs) for special f acilities. Recently, the methodology was extended to include the calculation of ETES for hosptials.

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O 1

I was also responsible for the designs of the NETSIM microscopic urban traffic J

simulation model(formerly UTCS-1) and of the SCOT freeway traffic simulation model.

The NETSIM microscopic traffic simulation model, developed for the Federal Highway Administ ation, enables agencies to evaluate traffic operations in urban environments.

The SCOT model was developed for the Transportation Systems Center of the

'O Department of Transportation. This program includes a dynamic traffic assignment i

algorithm which routes traffic over a network in response to changing traffic flow

O haracteristics to satisfy a specified origin-destination table, in addition, I have developed advanced traffic control policies for urban traffic f ar the FHWA-sponsored UTCS Project, as well as a bus preemption policy to enhance the performance of mass O

transit operations within urban environs.

I designed and programmed the advanced "Third generation" area-wide, cycle-free introl policies for moderate and congested traffic flow for computer-monitored O

real-time systems. I also developed a cycle-based, off-line computational procedure named SIGOP-II to optimize traffic signal timing patterns to minimize system "disutility."

lO I led a group of traffie engineers and systems analysts in developing a system of macroscopic traffic simulation models designed to evaluate Transportation Systems Management (TSM) strategies. Thir.sof tware system, named TRAFLO, consists of three

'O macroscopic traffic simulation models named NEJFLO I, II, III, and includes an equilibrium traf fic assignment model named TR AFFIC and a queue-theoretic intersection capacity model.

This model has been distributed to other agencies c

O including FEM A.

I designed an "Integrated Traffic Simulation System," named TRAF, which incorporates the best traf fic simulation models available. Using structured O

programming techniques, TR AF integrates: NETSIM and TRAFLO.

t O

O I served as Principal Investigator on NCHRP Project 3-20 entitled, "Traffic Signal Warrants." This project involved both field data collection and the application of C,

the NETSIM model to study intersec:fon delay as a function of traffic volume, type of control, and geometrics. In turn, I developed and documented new signal warrants, sm f which will be incorporated in the next version of the Manual on Uniform O

Traffic Control Devices (MUTCD).

Under NHTSA sponsorship, I directed a research study to evaluate a Driver Vehicle Evaluation Model named DRIVEM.

This model simulates the response of O

motorists to hazardous events. The effort included analysis of the model formulation and sof tware and sensitivity testing. A workshop was designed, organized, scheduled, and ndu ted by myself and other KLD professionals; experts from all over the U.S.

O were invited to recommend specific NHTSA reseach activities for the further development of the model. A recommended research program constituted the major O

utput of the contract.

I supervised several studies performed by KLD in connection with developing evacuation plans ind ETEs for other nuclear powc: stations including GINNA, Davis O

Bosse, Pilgrim, and Seabrook.

I am currently Principal Investigator on two projects:

(1) to explore the feasibility of applying Artificial Intelligence (AI) to address the problems of congested

.O corridors for FHWA and (2) to develop traffic control strategies for oversaturated rictworks for NCHRP.

Over the years I have been involved in a number of other studies to evaluate

!O traffic operations on large-scale road networks, using one or more of the models described above.

lO 1

..s.

O

r-O Frior to 1968 I applied my skills to the areas of stress analysis, vibrations, fluid dynami s, and num ri al analysis of the differential equations. These analyses were O

programmed for the IBM 7090 and System 360, CDC 6600 and 7600, G.E. 625 and UNIVAC 1108 digital computers in assembly language, FORTRAN and PLI.

I also designed the logic and real-time programming for a sonar simulator built for the g

Department of Navy and monitored by a PDP-8 process-control digital computer.

I am a member of the American Society of Civil Engineers, the Institute of Transportation Engineers, the Association of Computing Machinery and the g

Transportation Research Board (TRB). I am also a member of the Traffic Flow Theory and Characteristics Committee of the TRB. I am a licensed Professional Engineer in O

New York, Mary.?and, and Florida.

The following list comprises selected publications of my studies and findings:

O "DYNET - A Dynamic Network Simulation of Urban Traffic Flow," Proceedings, Third Annual Simulation Symposium,1970.

"Simulation of Traffic Flow at Signalized Intersections: The SURF System," Proceedings,1970 Summer Computer Simulation Conference,1970.

O "Dynamic Analysis of Freeway Corridor Traffic," ASME paper, Trans. 70-42.

"Simulation of Corridor Traffic: The SCOT Model," "Highway Research Record No. 409,1972.

!O "Logical Design and Demonstration of UTCS-1 Network Simulation Model," Hichway Research Record No. 409,1972 (with R.D. Worrall and J.M. Bruggerman).

"Variable Cycle Signal Timing Program: Volumes 1-4," Final lO Report of Contract DOT-FH-11-7924, June,1974.

"Traffic Signal Warrants," KLD TR-51, Final Report on NCHRP Project 3-20/1, December 1976 (with G.F. King and R.

Goldblatt).

O l '

O 1

\\

f

'O

- "Rapid Signal Transition Algorithm," Transportation Research Record No. 509,1974 (with D. Wicks).

O "Suhnetwork Structuring and Interf acing for UTCS Project-Program of Simulation Studies," KLD TR-5, January, 1972.

"Development of a Bus Signal Preemption Policy and a System Analysis of Bus Operations," KLD TR-11, April,1973.

g "SIGOP-Il-Program to Calculate Optimal Cycle-Based Traffic Signal Timing Patterns, Volumes 1 and 2," Final Report, Contract DOT-FH-11-7924, KLD TR-29 and TR-30, December 1974. Summary report in Transportation Research Record 596, 1878 I*I*h #'

• I' O

"Developing a Predictor for Highly Responsive System-Based Control," Transportation Research Record 596,1976 (with W.

McShane and R. Goldblatt).

"A New Approach for Specifying Delay-Based Traffic Signal O

Warrants," Transportation Research Special Report 153 - Better Use of Existing Transportation Facilitly.1976.

"Network Flow Simulation for Urban Traffic Control Systerns,"

Vols.1-5, PB230-760, PB230-761, PB230-762, PB230-763, O

PB230-764,1974 (with R. Worrall). Vols. 2-4 updated 1977, KLD TR-60. TR-61, TR-62 (with D. Wicks and J. Woo).

"Extension of the UTCS-1 Traffic Simulation Program to Incorporate Computation of Vehicular Fuel Consumption and Emissions," KLD TR-63,1976 (with N. Rosenfield).

O "Analysis and Comparison of the UTCS Second and Third-Generation Predictor Models," KLD TR-35,1975.

"Urban Traffic Control System (U'ICS) Third Generation Control (3-GC) Policy," Vol.1,1976 (with A. Liff).

O "Design of TRAFIC Operating System (TOS), KLD TR-57,1977.

"Revisions to the UTCS-1 Traffic Simulation Model to Enhance Operational Efficiency," KLD TR-59,1977 (with A. Wu).

O "The Role of Capacity in Computer Traffic Control,"in Research Directions in Computer Control of Urban Traffic Systems, ASCE,1979.

"Traffic Simulation: Past, Present and Potential,"in Hamburger, W.S. and Steinman, L., eds., Proceedines of the International

,O Symposium of Traffie Control Systems. University of California, Berkeley,1979. O

O

-o-

"TR FLO: A New Tool to Evaluate Transportation System Management Strategies," presented at the 59th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board,1980 (with B. Andrews).

_:U "Determination of the Lateral Deployment of Traffic on an Approach to an Intersection." presented at the 59th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board,1980.

"Service Rates of Mixed Traffic on the Lett-Most Lane of an O

Approach," presented at the 59th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board,1980 (with W.R. McShane).

"Development of a TRANSYT-Based Traffic Simulation Model,"

presented at the 5th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board,1980 (with M. Yedlin).

.Q "Hybrid Macroscopic-Microscopic Traffic Simulation Model,"

presented at the 59th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board,1980 (with M.C. Davila).

"A Model for Calculating Safe Passing Distance on Two Lane

O Rural Road," presented at the 60th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board,1981.

"A Review of the Driver-Vehicle Effectiveness (DRIVEM)

Model", KLD TR-119, February 1981.

O "Addendum: A Review of the Driver Vehicle Effectiveness (DRIVEM) Model", KLD TR-119, November 1981 (with R.

Goldblatt).

"The TR AF System, Creation of TRAF !.5", KLD TR-124, May 1982 ('vith B. Andrews, K. Sheridan and M. Yedlin).

O "The TRAF System, Calibration of Netsim Enhancements", KLD TR-125, May 1982 (with K. Sheridan).

"The TRAF System - Analytic Formulation and Logical Design of O

the Roadsim Model," KLD: TR-129, June 1983.

"PREDYN User's Guide," KLD: TR-131, June 1983.

"The TRAF System - Technical Report", dLD: TR-136, August 1983 (with M. Yadlin, B. Andrews and K. Sheridan).

O "Application of the I-DYNEV System to Compute Estimates of Evacuation Travel Time at Nuclear Power Stations - Four Demonstration Case Studies" KLD: TR-142 December 1983.

"Users Manual for the Interactive Dynamic Network Evacuation O

Model: I-DY NEV", KLD: TR-144, February 1984.

7 O

"O "Formulations of the DYNEV and I-DYNEV Traffic Simulation Models Used in EESF", KLD: TR-154, March 1984.

O

- PREDYN/IDYNEV Training Guide". KLD: TR-155, April 1984 (with R. Goldblatt),

"Specifications of Recommended Interactive Graphics Hardware Configuration and Graphics Support Sof tware for the Netsim Graphics Display Package", KLD: TM-93, July 1985.

"Metering of High-Density Sectors Comparison of Traffic Operations Along Fif th Avenue in Mid-Manhattan: Metering Control vs. Existing Control," KLD: TM-94, July 1985.

"Description of an Integrated Traffic Assignment and

.O Distribution Model (TRAD) for the IDYNEV System", KLD:

TR-187, April 1986.

"Updated User's Guide for the IDYNEV System including the TRAD Model", KLD TR-188, April 1986.

O -

"Esacuation Plan Update (Robert G. Ginna Nuclear Power Station)", KLD: TR-189, May 1986 (with R. Goldblatt).

"Evacuation Plan Update (Davis Bessc)", KLD: TR-190, July 1986 (with R. Goldblatt).

O "Seabrook Station Evacuation Time Estimates and Traffic Management Plan Update", KLD: TR-174, August 1986.

"Capacity Analysis of Highways in the Vicinity of Reception Centers for Evacuees f rom within the Shoreham Station O

Emergency Planning Zone", KLD TR-192, August 1986.

"Reducing T raffic Congestion at Herald Square", ITE Journal, September 1986, pp. 27-31 (with A.K. Rathi).

"Congestion Based Traffic Control Scheme for High Traffic O

Density Sectors", Transportation Research Record No.10E, TRB, National Research Council, Washington, D.C.,1986, pp.

49-57 (with A.K. Rathi and G.F. King).

"Overview of the Evacuation Plan and of the Evacuation Time Estimates for the Seabrook Nuclear Power Station". KLD:

O TM-98, October 1986.

"Overview of the Evacuation Plan and of the Evacuation Time Estimates for the Ginna Nuclear Power Station", KLD: TM-99, November 1986 (with R. Goldblatt).

'O 3

O

0-

"Overview of the Coastal Region within the Pilgrim Station Emergency Planning Zone", KLD: TM-100, November 1986.

!O "Enhanced Freflo Program: Simulation of Congested Environments", paper submitted for presentation at Transportation Research Board's 66th Annual Meeting, January 1987 (with A.K. Rathi and M. Yedlin),

l "The Netsim Graphics System", paper submitted for presentation O

at Transportation Research Board's 66th Annual Meeting, January 1987 (with B. Andrews and A. Santiago).

"Capacity Analysis on Approach Routes to the Shoreham Nuclear Power Station Reception Centers". KLD TR-201, March 1987.

O "Pilgrim Evacuation Plan Update", KLD TR-203, May 1987.

"Metering of High Density Sectors of the Central Business District", KLD TR-207, July 1987 (with A. Rathi).

"Report on the Vehicle Occupancy Rate (VOR) Survey Process",

O KLD TR-208, August 1987.

O O

O

'O O O

O-0 0

0 O

ATTACHMENT C O

O e

O O

O O

[)

ATTACllMENT C Hospitals 3

There are three hospitals located at the edge of the Shoreham 10 mile Emergency Planning Zone (EPZ):

John T. !!ather Memorial Hospital, St. Charles Hospital and Central Suffolk Hosp *tal.

Two of the hospitals are located at 10 miles with the third located just outside the EPZ at 10 and one-quarter miles from the plant.

Due to their distance from the plant, the high shielding factors these facilities provide, and the risks of evacuating their patients, sheltering will normally be the preferable protective action in the event of an eaergency at the SNPS.

It is possible, however, under certain circumstances that evacuation may be required for any of these hospitals.

If evacuation is recommended, LERO will evacuate these facilities using the transpcreation resources available after t'ie general population and other special facilities have been E) evacuated.

Priority will be give-to evacuation of radiossasitive patients (maternity, newborns, pediatrics).

Upon declaration of any A' ERT or higher emergency classi-O fication, the hospitals will be notified, by their tone alert radios and apprised of the situation at the plant via UPLR-FM broadcasted l

EBS messages.

Each hospital has been issued a tone alert receiver which silently monitors the radio WPLR-FM frequency.

When WPLR l

O generates its EBs signal, these units wi'_1 automatically activate and transmit the message being broadcast over the air.

This message contains general information about the status of the plant and may l

contain specific instructions for the hospitals.

l l

O 0

Q,)

IV-172 Rev. 9 O

O Should sheltering be the recommended protective action for the hospitals, the Health Facilities Coordinator will notify, by telephone, each of the hospitals to verify that they heard the EBS S

message and are implementing their sheltering plans which include having pstients either remain in place or relocate within the hospital.

7 Although it is anticipated that sheltering will be the primary protective action recommended, an evacuatin a:rategy has been developad for Mather, St. Charles and/or Central Suffolk Hospitals.

If evacuation is recommended, the Health facilities

')

Coordinator will notify each hospital of the recommendation.

Upon notification each hospital will determine their transportation reouirements 41] iscac t t 'i ;.

. r,: i n:

the Health Facilities Coordinator.

Priority will be given to evacuation of radiosensitive 3

patients.

Arrangements for the resortces needed to transport patients will be made by the Transportation Support Coorjiqator and Ambulance Coordinator.

The <ources of these vehicles will be the companies 3

who are supplying vehicles for the evacuation of other segments of the population.

These vehicles will he supplied on an as available basis as the rest of the affected population evacuation nears complettbn.

Should evacuation be implemented for John T. Mather Memorial Hospital, St. Charles Hospital and/or Central Suffolk Hospitals, the patients will be relocated to hospitals outside the E P 7..

O Nursinz/ Adult Homes Upon declaration of any Alert or higher emergency classification, all nursing / adult homes will be notified by their tone alert radios O

and apprised of the situation at the plant via WPLR-FM broadcasted l

EBS mesesges.

7 IV-173 Rev. 9 n

o

r N

g Sheltering or evacuation may be the recommended protective e

action for nursing / adult homes.

If sheltering is recommended, the Health Fact 11 ties Coordinator will notify by telephone each affected facility to verify that the facility received the EBS message and is implementing their sheltering p rocedure, f

4 I I

If evacuation of nursing / adult homes is recommended, the f

predetermined vehicles will be dispatched to the f acilities.

l In addition, the Health Facilities Coordinator will contact each vl facility by celephone, verify that the facility received the EBS l

j message, and verify their transportation requirements, i

Due to the Suffolk Infirmary's distance from Shoreham, I

j building construction and risks associated with evacuation, O'

sheltering will be the primary p roccctive action.

As it is witn the j

hospitals, if evacuation is recommended, transportation will be provided using transportation resources available af ter the general I

public and other special f acilities are evacuated.

i O

Also included with this table is an estimate of the transport requirements for the non-ambulatory general population.

O Because of the number of nursing home patients and the i

speciali:ed care and facilities some of them require, it was felt that the public Reception Centers were not adequate for all their

[

needs.

Therefore, some nursing / adult home patients will be sent to special pre-designated recep tion centers.

O O

O IV-174 Rev. 5 l

O,

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U O

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~

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Besidents Yehiclees_Reguired Ambulatory Non-Ambulatory Fac111tv BNiei 8mbuleitel 8mbullatti lhisei 8mbulantel 8Lahulettes YAni Oak Hollow Nursing 53 211 2C 2

10 31 2

Center / Crest Hall Health Related Facility Hillcrest Adult 16 0

0 1

0 0

0 Home Our Lady of Perpetual 15 4

1 1

1 1

0 Help Convent Ridge Rest isome 58 0

0 2

c.

0 0

Riverhead Nursing 60 119 2

2 1

17 0

Home and Health s

?

Related Facility f,

Suffolk Infirmary 27 58 130 1

65 9

0 Sunrest Health 27 162 18 1

9 23 0

i l

Fact 11tles. Inc.

Woodhaven Nurslag Home and Home for Adults 114 207 3

_3

_2

_30 2

i 13 88 til 2

l Totals Holt: Ambulettes are assumed to carry 7 passengers. Ambulances are assuued to carry 2 l

passengers. Buses are standard 40 passenger vehicles. Vans are for transporting equipment.

1 Rev. 9

\\

t

---m--

C)

Special Facility Evacuation Time Estimates Assumptions:

C)

Aebulances and Ambulettes Ambulance and Ambuletto Companies sie notified to dispatch vehicles at the Site Area Emergency level.

The Site Area Emergency level is assumed to precede the bs order to evacuate by 25 minutes.

u Ambulances and Ambulottes arrive at LILC0 Brentwood or Peconic Ambulance over a time interval which varies froe 15 minutes to 5 hours5.787037e-5 days <br />0.00139 hours <br />8.267196e-6 weeks <br />1.9025e-6 months <br /> after notification.

An arrival distribution is based on information provided by the ambulance /ambulette companies.

The distribution 13 used to calculate these evacuation time estimates (ETE) reflects the slower response times for of f peal hours.

The time required for ambulance /ambulette drivers to receive dosimetry, briefing and assignment at Brentwood/Peconic, is 30 minutes.

)

Travel to assigned facilities is at travel speeds listed in Table XIIIB.

I Loading Vehicles at Facility:

Aebulettes carry 7 people and can be loaded in 25

,13 minutes f or normal weather and 30 minutes f or inclement weather.

Ambulances carry 2 people and can be loaded in 20 minutes for normal weather and 30 minutes for inclement weather.

Up to 6 ambulances and 6 ambulettes can be loaded simultaneously at a given facility.

Residents of the facilities are ready for loading at (3

time of vehicle arrival.

Trave

• from the facility to the EPZ boundary is along the facility's zone evacuation route at the speeds listed in Table XIIIB.

l

!()

Travel f rom the EPZ Boundary to the designated monitoring facility is at speeds indicated in Table XIIIB.

Monitoring time for the occupants for all vehicles is 15 minutes.

C)

Travel f rom the monitoring f acility to a designated reception center is at speeds indicated in Table XIIIB.

Unloading at Reception Center takes the same amount of time as loading the vehicles at the facility (see above).

1 IV-176 Rev. 9 10

O Drivers return to Brentwood for reassignment at speeds indicated in Table XIIIB.

Reassignment at Brentwood takes 15 einutes.

Adverse winter ETE's are 6.25% longer than adverse summer ETE's.

While the difference in travel times is greater than 6.25%, loading time and oueuing time at racilities is assumed to be uneffected by weather, 6.25% for winter vs. summer adverse is computed as

()

follows:

0.75/0.8 = 0.9375 or 6.25% reduction, where

{0.75, 0.8))is capacity / speed reduction factor for rain, snow Buses LE30 bus drivers (not including LERO School Bus

()

Drivers) are notified to report at the Site Area Energency Level.

It is assumed that they leave the Patchogue Staging Area with a bus 2.25 hours2.893519e-4 days <br />0.00694 hours <br />4.133598e-5 weeks <br />9.5125e-6 months <br /> after notification.

Travel from Patchogue a the special facility is at 7) travel speeds indicated in Table XIIIB.

Loading huses at facility:

Buses carry a maximum of 40 adult passengers and can be loaded in 10 minutes.

Up to 6 buses can be loaded C) simultaneously.

Travel to the EPZ boundary along the facility's zone evacuation route takes place at the travel speeds indicated in Table XIIIB.

()

Homebound Handicapped Ambulances and Ambulettes:

It is necessary to calculate the travel times for homebound pick-ups because they effect subsequent vehicle availability for the special facilities.

The same

()

assumptions apply as for Special Facility Ambulances /Ambulettes except as follows:

Travel to homehound pick-ups:

Vehicles travel from origination location to EPZ boundary at speeds listed in Table XIIIB.

Trips originating to the west of the

(-)

EPZ travel 10 miles from the EPZ boundary to the first pick-up at inbound travel speeds.

Trips originating from Peconic Ambulance travel 5 miles at inbound speeds and 5 miles at evacuation traffic speeds.

("g Arbulances carry 2 passengers.

Loading takes 10 33

(>

ninutes per person for normal weather and 15 minutes per person for inclenent weather.

IV-177 Rev. 9

J.

Ambulettes carry 4 passengers.

(Although ambulettes can carry 7 passengers, homebound pick-ups were limited to 4 to reduce pick-up time).

Loading takes 10 minutes per person for normal weather and 15 minutes per person o

for inclement weather.

Travel between pick-ups is 15 minutes for normal weather and 20 ninutes for inclement weather.

Travel fr S last pick-up to EPZ boundary is for a

~

O distance of 8 miles at evacuation travel speeds listed in Table XIIIB.

Homebound Handicapped are taken directly to the closest useable reception hospitals.

Evacuees are monitored inside the reception hospital; no delay is incurred by

.O the ambulance /ambulette driver.

Homebound handicapped have first priority to available vehicles.

Suffolk Infirmarv and Hospitals 40 Priority of evacuation is as follows:

Homebound handicapped are evacuated first.

Then, those in special facilities, ordered by proximity to Shorehan, are evacuated next.

Suffolk Infireary is then evacuated, f 11 wed by the three hospitals.

All lO three hospitals receive vehicles concurrently as they become available The Suffolk Infir=ary and the Hospitals evacuate patients to reception hospitals.

Reception hospitals are a minimum of 5 miles from the EPZ boundarv and are d

capable of accoemodating contaminated personn'e1.

Each reception hospital is assumed to have 14 percent of its total capacity available for homebound handicapped, infirmary and hospital evacuees.

After delivering evacuees to reception hospitals, the O

vehicle drivers are immediately available for additional trips, if necessary.

Vehicles will shuttle evacuees from the hospital facilities to the reception hospitals without being reassigned at Brentwood between trips.

Vhen all such O

pick-ups have been completed the vehicles will return to Brentwood for reassignment.

All travel speeds are listed in Table XIIIB.

O ()

IV-178 Rev. 9 sO

):

Special Facilities evacuating using their own vehicles The same assunptions apply as for special facilities evacuated by LERO vehicles except as follows:

)

All of the facilities are ready to-start loading vehicles 2 hours2.314815e-5 days <br />5.555556e-4 hours <br />3.306878e-6 weeks <br />7.61e-7 months <br /> after the evacuation recommendation.

These vehicles are not reused after their first evacuation trip.

St ->cial Facility Evacuation Time Estimates (ETE)

Table XIII A summarizes t% -e.icua tion time estimates for the special facilities.

For each facility, the, table presents:

o Zone in which facility is located.

l

)

o Transport requirements based on the patient inventory, o

Assigned monitoring and reception centers, o

Time, bours and minutes, that t% last vehicle leaves

)

the EPZ, referenced to the evacuation recommendation.

Estimates are given f or normal and adverse weather.

Sebool Evacuation Time Estimates Assumptions:

Sus Drivers arrive at assigned bus yards in a unifore l

distribution from 1 to 2.5 hours5.787037e-5 days <br />0.00139 hours <br />8.267196e-6 weeks <br />1.9025e-6 months <br /> after notification, I

Notification for bus drivers to report occurs at the l

Site Area Emergency Level which precedes the evacu di u

)

recommendation by 25 minutes.

Accessing a bus and obtaining the dosimetry / assignment packet at bus yards takes 20 minutes.

Travel to school from bus company take4 place at travel speeds listed in Table XIIIB.

)

Total number of students requiring buses:

l Reduce school enrollments by 5% to account for l

absences.

(use 1/2 enrollment for schools on split t

session, if applicable).

Reduce high school population

)

by 20% to account for students who drive to school and r

f students that ride with them, f

i

) ('i IV-179 Rev. 9

)

O Loading Students:

Buses carry /Other students.40 high school students or 50

. /~ S Elementary

'O Loading a bus takes 10 minutes and a maximum of 6 buses can be loaded simultaneously.

Travel from the school to the EPZ Boundary along the appropriate zone's evacuation route takes place it (3

speeds listed 'in Table XIIIB.

Bus assignment reflects evacuation pciority of schools based on proximity to Shoreham Power Station with closer schools having a higher priority.

Nursery and elementary schools have a higher priority than other schools at the same distance from Shoreham.

.()

Table XIIIC summarizes the evacuation time estimates for schools.

For each school, the table presents:

o Zone in which the school is located o

Number of students enrolled in the school 13 o

Number of students requiring transport o

Number of buses required for one wave evacuation Bus companies where vehicles are obtained o

o Time, hours and minutes for each school's last bus to leave the EPZ.

Estimates are given f or noreal and adverse weather conditions and are ref erenced to the (3

evacuation recommendation.

Transit Ooeration All transit operations are described in OFIP's 3.6.4 and r

O Casoline Continrency Plan LILCO fuel tank trucks capable of refueling vehicles will be dispatched to locations along evacuation routes.

These trucks will service evacuees vehicles which require gas, by providing a l

eaximum of three gallons of f uel to ass'ure passage out of the

-<3 10-mile EPZ

O i

T I

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IA8t[ XIIIA LWALUATION IINE E511 MAILS FOR $PLCIAL FACILIIIES (Continued)

JLHICLL5_f0! LIV.ACD&110N

._EYAE;ATION TIME ESIIPMTE NORMAL INCLEMENT l

FACILITY MONITORING RECEPTION WEATHER WEATMCR I

FACILITY AD0d[SS IONE OWMED LERO CLMIER. _

CLMIER SMd WINTER Options for Community 126 Tangler Drive F

Transp.

LILCO -

LILCO -

2:52 3:01 3:12 Living Sound 8each, N.Y.

11789 Avall.

Brentwood Babylon l

Oak Hollow / Crest Hall Church Land &

K 2 Buses LILCO -

La Salle 4:44 5:37 5:58 10 Ambulances 8rentwood Military Academy l

Oak Crest Avenue Middle Island, N.Y.

11953 31 Ambulettes i

Independent Group Home P.O. Son 651 M

2 Ambolettes LILCO -

IGHL Day 3:08 3:38 3:52 i

Patchogue Treatment Center Living Longwood Road East doriches i

Middle Island, N.Y.

11953 Maryhaven Hostel II 77 Landing Road F

fransp.

LILCO -

LILCO -

2:49 2:57 3:08 Miller Place, N.Y.

11764 Avall.

Brentwood Melville I

UCP, Hostel Residence 6 Hemlock Road K

Transp.

LILCO -

UCP Residence 2:50 2:59 3:10 Mt. Sinal, N.Y.

11766 Avall.

Brentwood 9 Acorn Road St. James, N.Y.

i Independent Group Home 135A Woodland Avenue N

Transp.

LILCO -

IGHL Day 3:09 3:20 3:33 l

Living Manorville, N.Y.

11979 Avall.

Patchogue Treatment Center i

East Moriches l

Independent Group Home 288 Chapman Boulevard O

Transp.

LILCO -

IGHL Day 3:43 4:01 4:16 Living Manorville, N.Y.

11949 Avall.

Patchogue Teestment Center East Moriches i

Independent Group Home 133 West Shore Road K

1ransp.

LILCO -

IGHL Day 2:32 2:37 2:47 Living Mt. Sinal Avall.

Patchogue Treatment Center East Moriches Gordon Heights 501CF 85 West Yaphank Road L

Some 4 Ambulettes LILCO -

LILCO-2:39 3:03 3:14 Coram, N.Y.

1172F Transp.

Brentwood 300 Wheeler Rd.

Avall.

Rev. 9 l

O O

O O

O O

O o

O O

O p

)

TABLE XIIIA EVACtlATION IIME ESTIMATES FOR SPECIAL FACILITIES (Continued)

I

.. YEtilCLL1JW EVAGalION

_IVACUA110ff TIME ESTiflME.

NORf%L IdL[MLNi FACILITY MONITORING RECEPTION WEATHER WEAfgR FACILITY ADDRESS ZQ8tL _J4 FED LERO CDil[R CENJiR SUPTTR WINT[R Maryhaven, Self 655 8elle Terre Road Q

Transp.

LILCO -

LILCO -

2:20 2:22 2:30 Apartments Port Jefferson, N.Y.

11777 Avall.

Brentwood Melville AHRC 1180 Old Country Road P

Transp.

LILCO -

AHRC 2:25 2:28 2:37 Work Activities Alverhead, N.Y.

11901 Avall.

Brentwood Bohemia Millcrest Adult Home Mill Road L

1 Bus LILCO -

LILCO -

2:36 2:45 2:55 Yaphank, N.Y.

11960 Brentwood Melville Riverhead Nursing Home 1146 Woodcrest Avenue P

2 Buses LILCO -

La Salle 4:00 4:30 4:47 Riverhead, N.Y.

11901 1 Ambulance Riverhead Military Academy 17 Ambulettes H<

s Woodhaven Nursing Home &

1360 Route 112 K

3 esses LILCO -

LILCO -

5:04 5:40 6:01 W

Home for Adults Port Jefferson Station 2 Ambulances Patchogue Patchogue

[

N.Y.

11776 30 Ambulcites 1350 Route 112 Port Jefferson Station N.Y.

11776 Maryhaven ICF Facility ICF facility Q

Some 2 Ambulettes LILCO -

LILCO -

2:45 3:04 3:15 450 Myrtle Avenue Transp.

Patchogue Patchogue Port Jefferson, N.Y.

11777 Avall.

Maryhaven Day Residential 450 Myrtle Avenue Q

some 2 Ouses LILCO -

LILCO -

2:46 3:00 3:11 Scheel Port Jef fes ion, N.Y.

11777 Transp.

Patchogue Patchegue Port Jefferson Avail.

Maryhaven CSS Continuing CSS Continulag Treatment 5

Transp.

LitCO -

LitCO -

2:10 2:10 2:18 Treatment, Riverhead 240 W.

Avell.

Brentwood Melville Rev. 9 l

O O

O O

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r-4 IABLE XIIIA

[VACUATION TIME ESTIMATES FOR SPECIAL FACILITIES (Continued) 6 1

t N7)RMAL[VACUAIION_IIME[ML

__YLt!!CL[130RlYACUAIIOL_ _

INCL FACILITY Ps#41TORING RECEPTION WEATHER V[A"HER FACILITY AJDEE15

. _IQNE_ _ QWNLD LLR0 C MIER CLNIER SUPPER VINTER Maryhaven Hostel IV 322 Thompson Street Q

Transp.

LILCO -

LitCO -

2:20 2:22 2:30 Port Jef ferson, N.Y.

11777 Avall.

Brentwood Melville Sunrest Health Facilities 70 North Country Road Q

1 Bus LILCO -

LILCO -

5:14 5:34 5:55 Port Jefferson, N.Y.

11777 9 Ambulances Brentwood Melville 23 Ambulettes Maryhaven Hostel III 279 Terryville Rosd K

Transp.

LILCO -

LILCO -

2:31 2:35 2:44 Port Jefferson, N.Y.

11777 Avail.

Brentwood Melville AHRC, Comunity Residence 542 Roanoke Ave..:::

5 Transp.

LILCO -

AHRC 2:10 2:10 2:18 Riverhead, N.Y.

11901 Avall.

Brentwood Bohemia

)i BOCES Learning Center St. Ch rles Hospital Q

Iransp.

LILCO -

LILCO -

e 200 Belle Terre Road Avall.

Brentwood 300 wheeler Road 3:10 3:22 3:34

{

Port Jefferson, N.Y.

11777 AHRC Comunity Residence 126 Lincoln Street 5

Transp.

LILCO -

.AHRC 2:10 2:10 2:18 Riverhead, N.Y.

11901 Avall.

Brentwood Boheela Timothy Hill Children 260 Middle Road P

Transp.

LILCO -

LILCO -

2:25 2:28 2:37 Ranch Riverhead, N.Y.

11901 Avall.

Brentwood 300 Wheeler Road Suf folk Infirmary Yaphank Avenue L

65 Ambulances Reception Reception 8:47 11:34 12:17 Yaphank 9 Ambulettes Hospitals Hospitals 1 Sus Johr T. Mather Hospital North Country Road Q

2 Buses Reception Reception 12:00 15:42 16:41 Port Jefferson, N.Y.

11777 17 Ambolettes Hospitals Hospitals 30 Ambulances Rev. 9

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TABLE XIIIB TRAVEL SPEEDS FOR CALCULATION OF SPECIAL FACILITY AND SCHOOL EVACUATION TIME ESTIHATES Eastbound Travel - Hest of Brentwood, (Route 111)

Routei NormALHeather inclement Heather I-495 40 mph 32 mph RT-27 30 mph 24 aph Other Roads 20 mph 16 aph Eastbound (Inbound) Travel - East of Brentwood, (Route 111)

Normal Heather inclement _Healher s<

Eoutei Speedi Prior to Speed _Afterfard Speedi Erlor_to Speed _ Afterward I-495 20 mph 6.0 hrs 40 mph 16 mph 7.75 hrs 32 mph RT-27 20 mph 6.25 hrs 30 mph 16 mph 8.0 hrs 24 mph Other Roads 20 mph 6.5 hrs 20 mph 16 mph 8.25 hrs 16 aph Westbound Travel - Hest of Brentwood, (Route 111)

Normal Heather Ipclement Heather Routei Speedi Prior to Speed _A[terward Speedi erior_tn Speed After ard I-495 15 mph 6.5 hrs 40 mph 12 mph 8.25 hrs 32 mph RT-27 12 mph 6.75 hrs 30 mph 10 mph 8.5 hrs 24 mph Other Roads 10 mph 7.0 hrs 20 mph 8 mph 8.75 hrs 16 mph Rev. 9

O O

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O O

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f.

t l

TABLE XIIIB TRAVEL SPEEDS FOR CALCULATION OF SPECIAL FACILITY AND SCHOOL EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATES (Continued)

Hestbound Travel - From EPZ Boundary to Brentwood (Route 111)

Normal Heather Inclement _HeAthfE Routti S91241 Prior to Spitd_AfttD'AEd Spftdi Prior to Safed Afterward I-495 15 mph 6.0 hrs 40 mph 12 mph 7.75 hrs 32 aph RT-27 12 mph 6.25 hrs 30 mph 10 mph 8.0 hrs 24 uph Other Roads 10 mph 6.5 hrs 20 mph 8 mph 8.25 hrs 16 aph Evacuation Travel Hithin EPZ Normal _ Heather inclement _Hetther Speed Yehicle Rout 11 Safedi Prior to

&[tenard Speedi Prior to Speed Afterward Ambulance All 6 sph 5.0 hrs 35 mph 5 mph 6.0 hrs 30 mph Ambulette All 6 mph 5.0 hrs 30 mph 5 mph 6.0 hrs 25 mph Bus All 6 mph 5.0 hrs 30 mph 5 mph 6.0 hrs 25 mph Rev. 9

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Y L LC0 pril 13,1988 m a 33 ppR 15 B25B y

M CERTIFICATE OF SERVICE Sphe In the Matter of LONG ISLAND LIGHTING COMPANY (Shoreham Nuclear Power Station, Unit 1)

Docket No. 50-322-OL-3 I hereby certify that copies of TESTIMONY OF DIANE P. DREIKORN AND EDWARD B. LIEBERMAN ON TIIE REMANDED ISSUE OF THE BASES AND ACCURA-CY OF LILCO's HOSPITAL EVACUATION TIME ESTIMATES were served this date upon the following by Federal Express as indicated by cne asterisk, or by first-class mall, postage prepaid.

James P. Gleason, Chairman

• Atomic' Safety and Licensing Atomic Safety and Licensing Board Appeal Board Panel 513 Gilmoure Drive U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Silver Spring, Maryland 20901 Washington, D.C. 20555 Dr. Jerry R. Kline

• Adjudicatory File Atomic Safety and Licensing Atomic Safety and Licensing Board Board Panel Docket U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission East-West Towers, Rm. 427 Washington, D.C. 20555 4350 East-West Hwy.

Bethesda, MD 20814 Richard G. Bachmann, Esq. *

(By Federal Express or by Mr. Frederick J. Shon

• hand delivery:)

Atomic Safety and Licensing U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Board One White Flint North U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission 11555 Rockville Pike East-West Towers, Rm 430 Rockville, MD 20852 4350 East-West Hwy.

(By regular first-class mail:]

Bethesda, MD 20814 U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Office of the General Counsel Secretary of the Commission Washington, D.C. 20555 Attention Docketing and Service Section Herbert H. Brown, Esq.

• U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Lawrence Coe Lanpher, Esq.

1717 H Street, N.W.

Karla J. Letsche, Esq.

Washington, D.C. 20555 Kirkpatrick & Lockhart South Lobby - 9th Floor 1800 M Street, N.W.

Washington, D.C. 20036-5891 a

?'

e Fabian G. Palomino, Esq.

• Mr. Philip McIntire Richard J. Zahnleuter, Esq.

Federal Emergency Management Special Counsel to the Governor Agency Executive Chamber 26 Federal Plaza Room 229 New York, New York 10278 State Capitol Albany, New York 12224 Jonathan D. Feinberg, Esq.

New York State Department of Alfred L. Nardelli, Esq.

Public Service, Staff Counsel Assistant Attorney General Three Rockefeller Plaza 120 Broadway Albany, New York 12223 Room 3-118 New York, New York 10271 Ms. Nora Bredes Executive Coordinator George W. Watson, Esq.

• Shoreham Opponents' Coalition William R. Cumming, Esq.

195 East Main Street Federal Emergency Management Smithtown, New York 11787 Agency 500 C Street S.W., Room 840 Evan A Davis, Esq.

Washington, D.C. 20472 Counsel to the Governor Executive Chamber Mr. Jay Dunkleberger State Capitol New York State Energy Office Albany, New York 12224 Ageracy Building 2 Empire State Plaza E. Thomas Boyle, Esq.

Albany, New York 12223 Suffolk County Attorney Building 158 North County Complex Stephen B. Latham, Esq.

• Veterans Memorial Highway Twomey, Latham & Shea Hauppauge, New York 11788 33 West Second Street P.O. Box 298 Dr. Monroe Schneider Riverhead, New York 11901 North Shore Committeo P.O. Box 231 Wading River, NY 11792 U Y.

Rita A. Sheffey "U

Hunton & Williams 707 East Main Street P.O. Box 1535 Richmond, Virginia 23212 DATED: April 13,1988