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| number = ML103620049 | | number = ML103620049 | ||
| issue date = 12/18/2010 | | issue date = 12/18/2010 | ||
| title = | | title = Exhibit 50-The Case for Replacing Davis Besse with Efficiency Improvements and Renewable Energy Sources | ||
| author name = Compaan A | | author name = Compaan A | ||
| author affiliation = Univ of Toledo | | author affiliation = Univ of Toledo | ||
| addressee name = | | addressee name = | ||
| Line 19: | Line 19: | ||
=Text= | =Text= | ||
{{#Wiki_filter:The following eight pages reproduce the slides that were used in the presentation by A. Compaan on 12/18/2010. Minor formatting changes were made and references moved beneath the related slides. | {{#Wiki_filter:DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page1 The following eight pages reproduce the slides that were used in the presentation by A. Compaan on 12/18/2010. Minor formatting changes were made and references moved beneath the related slides. | ||
ThecaseforreplacingDavisBesse with efficiencyimprovementsandrenewable energysources AlvinD.Compaan DistinguishedUniversityProfessorofPhysics,Emeritus TheUniversityofToledo DavisBesse relicensingcommunityhearing St.MarksEpiscopalChurch,Toledo,OH December18,2010 Overviewofpresentation | |||
: 1. HistoryofDavisBesse indicatesthat20moreyearsofoperationwillseriously endangerthesurroundingcommunities. | |||
: 2. DavisBesse providesonly8.3%ofFirstEnergysbaseloadgenerationandcan readilybereplaced. | |||
: 3. OhioSenateBill221andtheAdvancedEnergyStandardrequires FEto: | |||
achievehigherefficiencybyreducingdemand22%by2025, achieve12.5%generationfromrenewables by2025, achieve12.5%generationfromadvancedenergyby2025,whichmay includenewadvancednuclear,butacontinuationofDBwillnotqualify. | |||
: 4. DistributedGenerationwillqualifyforSB221credit. | |||
: 5. AlternativesourcesareveryattractiveinOhio: | |||
WindnearorinLakeErie(class3toclass6 betterthanTexas!) | |||
SolarPV(costsaredecreasingrapidly;FEuseddata14yearsold!) | |||
DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page2 Whathappenstothehighly radioactivespentfuelrods? | |||
* | * ExpectationwhenDavisBesse wasbuiltafederal repositorywouldbeconstructedforstoringthehighlevel radioactivecomponentsasneededforthousandsofyears. | ||
* YuccaMountainstilldoesnothaveanoperatinglicense andnofundingwasproposedinthefederal2011budget. | |||
* For33years,allhighlevelradioactivecomponents includingfuelassemblieshavebeenstoredonsiteatDavis Besse.Initiallyinacoolingpondandtheninaboveground containers. | |||
Nonuclearplantlicenseextensionsshouldbegranted untilalongtermstoragefacilityisoperating. | |||
Atroublingindicator:Wheredoesthe tritiumintheDavisBesse ground watercomefrom? | |||
FromAppendixE:DavisBesse EnvironmentalReportp.2.32: | |||
Anotherwell,MW105A,whichhasbeenonaslow increasingtrendsincethespringof2009,hadatritiumlevel of4,158pCi/l.Asaresult,FENOCispursuingarootcause approachtoidentifythesourceofthetritiuminthewells.No tritiumconcentrationshavebeendetectedatorabovethe USEPAdrinkingwaterlimitof20,000pCi/l(40CFR141.66). | |||
DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page3 Abouttritiumanditsradioactivity: | |||
*SeveralotherPVmanufacturersarestartingupinOhio.*PVdesignandinstallationcreatesmanyjobs. | * Tritiumorhydrogen3(1protonand2neutrons)isnot naturallyoccurring.Ithasahalflifeof12.3years. | ||
* Tritiumisproducedinnuclearreactorsbyneutron bombardmentofLithium6andBoron10.[Asmallamount isproducedintheupperatmospherebycosmicrays.] | |||
* Tritiumisradioactiveanddecaysbyemittingahighenergy electron(betaparticle)plusanantineutrino. | |||
* Thebetaparticlehasanaverageenergyof5.7kiloelectron volts.Itwillnotpenetratetheoutermostskinlayersbutis verydangerousifinhaledashydrogen(H2 orHT)orwater vapororswallowedaswaternotH2ObutasHTO. | |||
Excellentalternativesexisttoextendingthe license20yearsandtheircostsaredeclining | |||
* TheincidentandaccidentrecordofDavisBesse andthe unchartedterritoryofextendingthelifeofanynuclearplant20 yearsbeyondthe40yeardesignlifeoftheoriginalshould stimulateFEtogetseriousaboutalternatives. | |||
* ThebestalternativesforOhioare(IMHO): | |||
: 1. Energyconservation | |||
: 2. Wind | |||
: 3. Solar | |||
* ThesearealreadymandatedbytheStateofOhio.FEis requiredtodevelopthesealternativesanywayANDisallowed byOhiolawtopassthecoststhroughtotheratepayers. | |||
DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page4 EssentialfeaturesofSB221 (passedinthespringof2008) | |||
: 1. AlternativeEnergyPortfolioStandard(O.R.C.4928.64.65) 25%electricitygenerationbyadvancedenergyby2025 12.5%byrenewables withsolarsetasideof0.5% | |||
Remaining12.5%mayincludeadvancedenergysuchas: | |||
*Cleancoal(w/oCO2 emissions) | |||
*Advancednuclear(NRCGenerationIIItechnology) | |||
[GenIIIincorporatespassivesafetysystemsand isdesigned for60yearsofoperation] | |||
: 2. Netmetering(O.R.C.4928.67,4905.31,4928.01) | |||
: 3. EnergyEfficiencyStandard(O.R.C.4928.66) 22%reductionby2025throughenergyefficiency 7%peakdemandreductionby2018 Costsmaybepassedthroughtocustomers! | |||
http://www.bricker.com/documents/publications/1533.pdf | |||
DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page5 LakeErieandtheLakeErieshoreisa greatresourceforwindenergy MapshowingaveragewindpowerinLakeEriebetter thanTexasandtheplainstates http://rredc.nrel.gov/wind/pubs/atlas/maps.html | |||
DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page6 Ohio,andparticularlyNWOhio,has excellentsolarinsolation wellsuited forphotovoltaics (PV) | |||
ErrorsintheFirstEnergyEnvironmentalReport(AppendixE): | |||
* mustconsiderfullskyinsolation,notjustdirectsolar | |||
* mustusecurrentcostsandcostprojectionsforPV,not datafrom1998! | |||
(directsunlightonly) | |||
Toledo/Orlando=75% | |||
Toledo/SanDiego =60%(directradiation) | |||
Toledo/Mojave=45% | |||
http://www.nrel.gov/gis/solar.html | |||
DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page7 PV Energy kWh/kW-yr 2 | |||
Toledo/Orlando=86% | |||
Toledo/SanDiego=79%(fullskyradiation) | |||
StephenORourke(212)2508670 SolarPVindustry-longtermoutlook 6% | |||
5% | |||
4% | |||
0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Grid cost, solar PV price, ($/kWh) c-Si (ave) c-Si (hi/lo) c-Si (hi CE) a-Si (um) | |||
CIGS CdTe Supply Demand cSi CIGS Si(2x) | |||
CdTe US Averagepriceof electricityin2009est: | |||
9.5 cents/kWh ElectricityfromsolarPVis becomingcheaper Gridcost convergence Periodicoversupplyis inevitable Potentialforexplosive growthindemandupon convergence Newtechnology wildcard Supply Demand Source:DeutscheBankestimates ElectricityPriceConvergence-5to6Years Source:DeutscheBank2009 Definitions: | |||
FirstGenerationPV:bulkcrystallinesilicon(monocrystalline,multicrystalline) | |||
SecondGenerationPV:Inorganicthinfilms(CdTe,aSi:H,aSiGe,ncSi:H,CIGS) | |||
ThirdGenerationPV:nanostructures,organic/hybrid,advancedconcepts http://www.slideshare.net/gwsolar/pv-status-and-pathways-stephen-orourke | |||
DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page8 StimulatingalternativescreatesOhio jobs | |||
* Energyconservation/efficiencyisabigjobcreatorand savestheconsumermoney. | |||
* Ohiohasalargenumberofmanufacturersthataresuppliers forwindturbines. | |||
* Maintenance ofwindturbinescreatesmanyjobs. | |||
* In2009thelargestPVmanufacturerintheworldwasFirst SolarwithallofitsU.S.manufacturing inPerrysburg. | |||
* SeveralotherPVmanufacturersarestartingupinOhio. | |||
* PVdesignandinstallationcreatesmanyjobs. | |||
References http://www.bricker.com/documents/publications/1533.pdf http://rredc.nrel.gov/wind/pubs/atlas/maps.html http://www.nrel.gov/gis/solar.html http://www.slideshare.net/gwsolar/pvstatusandpathwaysstephenorourke Presentationby: | |||
AlvinCompaan 9135W.BancroftSt. | |||
Holland,OH43528 December18,2010 Mobile:4192652641}} | |||
Latest revision as of 00:52, 14 January 2025
| ML103620049 | |
| Person / Time | |
|---|---|
| Site: | Davis Besse |
| Issue date: | 12/18/2010 |
| From: | Compaan A Univ of Toledo |
| To: | Atomic Safety and Licensing Board Panel |
| SECY RAS | |
| Shared Package | |
| ML103620048 | List: |
| References | |
| License Renewal 2, RAS 19320, 50-346-LR | |
| Download: ML103620049 (8) | |
Text
DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page1 The following eight pages reproduce the slides that were used in the presentation by A. Compaan on 12/18/2010. Minor formatting changes were made and references moved beneath the related slides.
ThecaseforreplacingDavisBesse with efficiencyimprovementsandrenewable energysources AlvinD.Compaan DistinguishedUniversityProfessorofPhysics,Emeritus TheUniversityofToledo DavisBesse relicensingcommunityhearing St.MarksEpiscopalChurch,Toledo,OH December18,2010 Overviewofpresentation
- 1. HistoryofDavisBesse indicatesthat20moreyearsofoperationwillseriously endangerthesurroundingcommunities.
- 2. DavisBesse providesonly8.3%ofFirstEnergysbaseloadgenerationandcan readilybereplaced.
- 3. OhioSenateBill221andtheAdvancedEnergyStandardrequires FEto:
achievehigherefficiencybyreducingdemand22%by2025, achieve12.5%generationfromrenewables by2025, achieve12.5%generationfromadvancedenergyby2025,whichmay includenewadvancednuclear,butacontinuationofDBwillnotqualify.
- 4. DistributedGenerationwillqualifyforSB221credit.
- 5. AlternativesourcesareveryattractiveinOhio:
WindnearorinLakeErie(class3toclass6 betterthanTexas!)
SolarPV(costsaredecreasingrapidly;FEuseddata14yearsold!)
DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page2 Whathappenstothehighly radioactivespentfuelrods?
- ExpectationwhenDavisBesse wasbuiltafederal repositorywouldbeconstructedforstoringthehighlevel radioactivecomponentsasneededforthousandsofyears.
- YuccaMountainstilldoesnothaveanoperatinglicense andnofundingwasproposedinthefederal2011budget.
- For33years,allhighlevelradioactivecomponents includingfuelassemblieshavebeenstoredonsiteatDavis Besse.Initiallyinacoolingpondandtheninaboveground containers.
Nonuclearplantlicenseextensionsshouldbegranted untilalongtermstoragefacilityisoperating.
Atroublingindicator:Wheredoesthe tritiumintheDavisBesse ground watercomefrom?
FromAppendixE:DavisBesse EnvironmentalReportp.2.32:
Anotherwell,MW105A,whichhasbeenonaslow increasingtrendsincethespringof2009,hadatritiumlevel of4,158pCi/l.Asaresult,FENOCispursuingarootcause approachtoidentifythesourceofthetritiuminthewells.No tritiumconcentrationshavebeendetectedatorabovethe USEPAdrinkingwaterlimitof20,000pCi/l(40CFR141.66).
DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page3 Abouttritiumanditsradioactivity:
- Tritiumorhydrogen3(1protonand2neutrons)isnot naturallyoccurring.Ithasahalflifeof12.3years.
- Tritiumisproducedinnuclearreactorsbyneutron bombardmentofLithium6andBoron10.[Asmallamount isproducedintheupperatmospherebycosmicrays.]
- Tritiumisradioactiveanddecaysbyemittingahighenergy electron(betaparticle)plusanantineutrino.
- Thebetaparticlehasanaverageenergyof5.7kiloelectron volts.Itwillnotpenetratetheoutermostskinlayersbutis verydangerousifinhaledashydrogen(H2 orHT)orwater vapororswallowedaswaternotH2ObutasHTO.
Excellentalternativesexisttoextendingthe license20yearsandtheircostsaredeclining
- TheincidentandaccidentrecordofDavisBesse andthe unchartedterritoryofextendingthelifeofanynuclearplant20 yearsbeyondthe40yeardesignlifeoftheoriginalshould stimulateFEtogetseriousaboutalternatives.
- ThebestalternativesforOhioare(IMHO):
- 1. Energyconservation
- 2. Wind
- 3. Solar
- ThesearealreadymandatedbytheStateofOhio.FEis requiredtodevelopthesealternativesanywayANDisallowed byOhiolawtopassthecoststhroughtotheratepayers.
DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page4 EssentialfeaturesofSB221 (passedinthespringof2008)
- 1. AlternativeEnergyPortfolioStandard(O.R.C.4928.64.65) 25%electricitygenerationbyadvancedenergyby2025 12.5%byrenewables withsolarsetasideof0.5%
Remaining12.5%mayincludeadvancedenergysuchas:
- Cleancoal(w/oCO2 emissions)
- Advancednuclear(NRCGenerationIIItechnology)
[GenIIIincorporatespassivesafetysystemsand isdesigned for60yearsofoperation]
- 2. Netmetering(O.R.C.4928.67,4905.31,4928.01)
- 3. EnergyEfficiencyStandard(O.R.C.4928.66) 22%reductionby2025throughenergyefficiency 7%peakdemandreductionby2018 Costsmaybepassedthroughtocustomers!
http://www.bricker.com/documents/publications/1533.pdf
DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page5 LakeErieandtheLakeErieshoreisa greatresourceforwindenergy MapshowingaveragewindpowerinLakeEriebetter thanTexasandtheplainstates http://rredc.nrel.gov/wind/pubs/atlas/maps.html
DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page6 Ohio,andparticularlyNWOhio,has excellentsolarinsolation wellsuited forphotovoltaics (PV)
ErrorsintheFirstEnergyEnvironmentalReport(AppendixE):
- mustconsiderfullskyinsolation,notjustdirectsolar
- mustusecurrentcostsandcostprojectionsforPV,not datafrom1998!
(directsunlightonly)
Toledo/Orlando=75%
Toledo/SanDiego =60%(directradiation)
Toledo/Mojave=45%
http://www.nrel.gov/gis/solar.html
DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page7 PV Energy kWh/kW-yr 2
Toledo/Orlando=86%
Toledo/SanDiego=79%(fullskyradiation)
StephenORourke(212)2508670 SolarPVindustry-longtermoutlook 6%
5%
4%
0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Grid cost, solar PV price, ($/kWh) c-Si (ave) c-Si (hi/lo) c-Si (hi CE) a-Si (um)
CIGS CdTe Supply Demand cSi CIGS Si(2x)
CdTe US Averagepriceof electricityin2009est:
9.5 cents/kWh ElectricityfromsolarPVis becomingcheaper Gridcost convergence Periodicoversupplyis inevitable Potentialforexplosive growthindemandupon convergence Newtechnology wildcard Supply Demand Source:DeutscheBankestimates ElectricityPriceConvergence-5to6Years Source:DeutscheBank2009 Definitions:
FirstGenerationPV:bulkcrystallinesilicon(monocrystalline,multicrystalline)
SecondGenerationPV:Inorganicthinfilms(CdTe,aSi:H,aSiGe,ncSi:H,CIGS)
ThirdGenerationPV:nanostructures,organic/hybrid,advancedconcepts http://www.slideshare.net/gwsolar/pv-status-and-pathways-stephen-orourke
DavisBesseCommunityHearing12/18/2010Compaan Page8 StimulatingalternativescreatesOhio jobs
- Energyconservation/efficiencyisabigjobcreatorand savestheconsumermoney.
- Ohiohasalargenumberofmanufacturersthataresuppliers forwindturbines.
- Maintenance ofwindturbinescreatesmanyjobs.
- In2009thelargestPVmanufacturerintheworldwasFirst SolarwithallofitsU.S.manufacturing inPerrysburg.
- SeveralotherPVmanufacturersarestartingupinOhio.
- PVdesignandinstallationcreatesmanyjobs.
References http://www.bricker.com/documents/publications/1533.pdf http://rredc.nrel.gov/wind/pubs/atlas/maps.html http://www.nrel.gov/gis/solar.html http://www.slideshare.net/gwsolar/pvstatusandpathwaysstephenorourke Presentationby:
AlvinCompaan 9135W.BancroftSt.
Holland,OH43528 December18,2010 Mobile:4192652641