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{{#Wiki_filter: | {{#Wiki_filter:A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-1: The Battery, NY CO-OP Station 8518750 Top 20 Extreme Water Levels (AREVA, 2013a)1 2012 10 2 1960 _ 9 3 1992 12 4 1953 11 5 2011 8 6 1950 11 7 1962 3 8 2010 3 9 1991 10 10 1984 3 11 1987 1 12 1993 3 13 1968 11 14 1960 2 15 1961 4 16 1996 3 17 1996 10 18 1985 9 19 1938 9 20 1944 9 11.27 7.24 6.93 6.74 6.73 6.34 6.14 6.03 5.95 5.75 5.6 5.58 5.56 5.54 5.54 5.51 5.5 5.46 5.44 5.44 TS H2 ET ET TS ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET H2 H2 H1 Notes: 1.2.3.4.TS indicates Tropical Storm H1 indicates Category 1 Hurricane H2 indicates Category 2 Hurricane ET indicates Extra-tropical storm Page 3-57 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-2: Sandy Hook, NJ CO-OP Station 8531680 Top 20 Extreme Water Levels (AREVA, 2013a)1 1960 2 1992 3 2011 4 1953 5 1944 6 1962 7 2012 8 2010 9 1950 10 1968 11 1966 12 1984 13 1993 14 1987 15 1985 16 1991 17 1961 18 1996 19 1972 20 2009 9 12 8 11 9 3 10 3 11 11 1 3 3 1 9 10 4 3 2 10 7.27 7.26 6.95 6.87 6.57 6.57 6.53 6.21 6.17 5.99 5.97 5.85 5.84 5.81 5.76 5.74 5.67 5.51 5.43 5.34 H2 ET TS ET H1 ET TS ET ET ET ET ET ET ET H2 ET ET ET ETu unknown Notes: 1.2.3.4.TS indicates Tropical Storm H1 indicates Category 1 Hurricane H2 indicates Category 2 Hurricane ET indicates Extra-tropical storm Table 3.4-3: SLOSH MOMs at the Battery, NY and Sandy Hook, NJ (AREVA, 2013a)Sandy Hook, NJ 67-53 8.5 14.1 20.1 25.4 Page 3-58 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-4: ADCIRC Simulated Probable Maximum Storm Surges (AREVA, 2013d)Peak Surge at The Peak Surge at IPEC Storm Simulation Number and Meteorological Parameters Battery, NY (ft) (ft)(Forward Speed, Rad. Max Winds, Landfall Location, Storm Azimuth Direction)(NAVD88) (NGVD29) (NAVD88) (NGVD29)965 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3350), HT at IPEC 24.3 25.4 14.5 15.5 961 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3250), HT at IPEC 25.3 26.4 14.6 15.6 941 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3350), HT at IPEC 25.1 26.2 15.9 16.9 962 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 2, 3250), HT at IPEC 25.1 26.2 13.8 14.8 937 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3250), HT at IPEC 26.1 27.2 15.8 16.8 938 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 2, 3250), HT at IPEC 25.9 27 15.2 16.2 969 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3450), HT at IPEC 22.8 23.9 13.6 14.6 966 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 2, 3350), HT at IPEC 23.5 24.6 13.4 14.4 945 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3450), HT at IPEC 23.3 24.4 15.2 16.2 605 -(45knots, 25nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3350), HT at IPEC 23.3 24.4 13.2 14.2 978 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 2, 3650), HT at IPEC 15.3 16.4 10.0 11.0 959 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 3, 3700), HT at IPEC 15.7 16.8 10.1 11.1 949 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 1, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.9 21 13.6 14.6 973 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 1, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.6 20.7 12.4 13.4 950 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 2, 3550), HT at IPEC 18.1 19.2 12.4 13.4 925 -(30knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 1, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.5 20.6 16.2 17.2 925n -(30knots, 25nm Rmax, landfall Pt 1, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.0 20.1 16.0 17.0 974 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 2, 3550), HT at IPEC 18.0 19.1 11.3 12.3 926 -(30knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 2, 3550), HT at IPEC 18.4 19.5 14.9 15.9 985 -(30knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 5, 3550), HT at IPEC 20.4 21.5 18.0 19.0 985* -(30knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 5, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.3 20.4 15.9 16.9 Notes: Storm 985 is a steady state simulation; Storm 985* is a non-steady state simulation. | ||
A linear decaying of the maximum wind speed and a corresponding adjustment to the pressure deficit was applied after landfall for Storm 985*.Page 3-59 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-5: Discretized Probabilities for Central Pressure Deficit (CPD) (AREVA, 2013e)Bin Value (millibars) | |||
Bin Probability Cumulative Probability 40 0.08 0.858 50 0.038 0.896 60 0.045 0.941 70 0.032 0.973 80 0.023 0.996 90 0.004 1 100 0.000 1 Table 3.4-6: Discretized Probabilities for Forward Direction (0) (AREVA, 2013e)Bin Value (degrees) | |||
(NAVD88) | |||
(NGVD29) | |||
(NAVD88) | |||
(NGVD29)965 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3350), HT at IPEC 24.3 25.4 14.5 15. | |||
A linear decaying of the maximum wind | |||
Bin Probability Cumulative Probability 40 0.08 0. | |||
Bin Probability Cumulative Probability | Bin Probability Cumulative Probability | ||
-60 0.0076 0.0376-50 0.0124 0.05-40 0.0203 0.0703-30 0.0382 0.1085-20 0.0564 0.1649-10 0.0825 0. | -60 0.0076 0.0376-50 0.0124 0.05-40 0.0203 0.0703-30 0.0382 0.1085-20 0.0564 0.1649-10 0.0825 0.2474 0 0.1114 0.3588 10 0.136 0.4948 20 0.147 0.6418 Note: 1. Bearing is storm heading measured clockwise from north. Negative indicates west of north.Page 3-60 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-7: Discretized Probabilities for Forward Speed (Vf) (AREVA, 2013e)Bin Value (knots) Bin Probability Cumulative Probability 15 0.172 0.322 20 0.258 0.58 25 0.1724 0.7524 30 0.1351 0.8875 35 0.0594 0.9469 40 0.0335 0.9804 45 0.0087 0.9891 Table 3.4-8: Discretized Probabilities for Radius of Maximum Winds (Rmax) (AREVA, 2013e)Bin Value (nautical miles) Bin Probability Cumulative Probability 16 0.0878 0.1078 20 0.238 0.3458 24 0.2207 0.5665 28 0.2312 0.7977 32 0.0991 0.8968 36 0.0634 0.9602 Page 3-61 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-9: Factor of Landfall Probability Rmax/L for Track Offsets (AREVA, 2013e)Offset ID Adjustment Factor Distances to Adjacent Tracks (right, left)1 1.00 --, Rmax 2 0.75 Rmax, 1 Rmax 3 0.50 / Rmax ,1/ Rmax 4 0.50 1/2 Rmax ,1/ Rmax 5 0.50 1 Rmax, 1/2 Rmax 6 0.75 Rmax, 1/2 Rmax 7 1.00 Rmax, --Notes: 1. Left/right defined relative to storm heading.2. "--" denotes no track; zone of coverage extends beyond footprint of storm tracks.Page 3-62 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-10: Top 10 JPM SLOSH-Calculated Storm Surge Events (Determined by Simulated Surge Magnitude at IPEC) (AREVA, 2013e)Max Stillwater Elevation CPD 0 Vf Rmax Offset Event Joint (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)(mb) (deg.) (kts) (nm) ID Probability IPEC Battery PEG Battery 495 [49 89] [95 149] [49 89]15385 90 10 25 20 6 2.33E-07 18.0 19.3 19.0 20.4 14832 90 -10 30 16 6 3.27E-08 17.6 24.7 18.6 25.8 14460 90 -20 20 20 5 1.45E-07 17.5 19.4 18.5 20.5 14881 90 -10 35 20 6 4.87E-08 17.4 26.4 18.4 27.5 11451 80 -40 45 28 6 1.37E-08 17.3 28.6 18.3 29.7 14586 90 -20 35 20 5 3.33E-08 17.3 27.0 18.3 28.1 9070 70 -30 40 36 5 4.88E-08 17.3 23.2 18.3 24.3 11611 80 -30 30 24 5 3.28E-07 17.3 23 18.3 24.1 11324 80 -40 30 28 5 2.13E-07 17.3 22.7 18.3 23.8 11745 80 -30 45 28 6 2.58E-08 17.2 27.9 18.2 29.0 1) Notes: 1. CPD, e, Vf, Rmax reported in millibars, degrees relative to north, knots, and nautical miles, respectively. | ||
: 2. IPEC [95 149] and Battery [49 89] refer to SLOSH model grid cell locations. | : 2. IPEC [95 149] and Battery [49 89] refer to SLOSH model grid cell locations. | ||
: 3. Cumulative joint probability reflects joint probability based on storm intensity parameters, bearing and | : 3. Cumulative joint probability reflects joint probability based on storm intensity parameters, bearing and rate of occurrence. | ||
: 4. Datum conversions between NAVD88 and NGVD29 for IPEC and The Battery are included as | : 4. Datum conversions between NAVD88 and NGVD29 for IPEC and The Battery are included as Appendix C (NGS, 2013).5. Figure 14 provides an example depicting offset ID assignment. | ||
Page 3-63 | Page 3-63 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-11: Top 10 JPM SLOSH-Calculated Storm Surge Events (Determined by Simulated Surge Magnitude at The Battery) (AREVA, 2013e)Max Stillwater Elevation CPD 0 V~ Rax Ofset Cumulative Storm # CVo Rint Offset Joive (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)(mb) (deg.) (kts) (nm) ID # Poit Probability IPEC 95 Battery IPEC Battery 49 [49 89] [95 149] [49 89]13789 90 -50 45 20 6 1.07E-09 16.6 29.7 17.6 30.8 14083 90 -40 45 20 6 1.76E-09 16.9 29.6 17.9 30.7 13495 90 -60 45 20 6 6.57E-10 16.6 29.5 17.6 30.6 14377 90 -30 45 20 6 3.30E-09 17.0 29.2 18.0 30.3 11157 80 -50 45 28 6 8.38E-09 17.1 29.0 18.1 30.1 14041 90 -40 40 20 6 6.76E-09 16.9 29.0 17.9 30.1 10863 80 -60 45 28 6 5.14E-09 16.8 29.0 17.8 30.1 13747 90 -50 40 20 6 4.13E-09 15.9 28.9 16.9 30.0 14335 90 -30 40 20 6 1.27E-08 17.0 28.8 18.0 29.9 14082 90 -40 45 20 5 1.76E-09 16.7 28.7 17.7 29.8 2) Notes: 1. CPD, e, Vf, Rm,,ax reported in millibars, degrees relative to north, knots, and nautical miles, respectively. | ||
(AREVA, 2013e)Max Stillwater Elevation CPD 0 V~ Rax Ofset Cumulative Storm # CVo Rint Offset Joive (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)(mb) (deg.) (kts) (nm) ID # | |||
: 2. IPEC [95 149] and Battery [49 89] refer to SLOSH model grid cell locations. | : 2. IPEC [95 149] and Battery [49 89] refer to SLOSH model grid cell locations. | ||
: 3. Cumulative joint probability reflects joint probability based on storm intensity parameters, bearing and | : 3. Cumulative joint probability reflects joint probability based on storm intensity parameters, bearing and rate of occurrence. | ||
: 4. Datum conversions between NAVD88 and NGVD29 for IPEC and The Battery are included as | : 4. Datum conversions between NAVD88 and NGVD29 for IPEC and The Battery are included as Appendix C (NGS, 2013).5. Figure 14 provides an example depicting offset ID assignment. | ||
Page 3-64 | Page 3-64 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-12: ADCIRC Simulated Storm Surge Stillwater Elevations (AREVA, 2013e)Peak Surge The I The 1 I PEGC IPEC Battery Battery Rank Storm ID (Vmax, Vf, Rmax, CPD, e), Tide at IPEC (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)1 14460- (131kts Vmax, 20kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 17.49 18.08 18.59 19.08 2 13915 -(134kts Vmax, 25kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 23.26 17.22 24.36 18.22 3 11661 -(132kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 24.47 17.20 25.57 18.20 4 15385 -(134kts Vmax, 25kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, 10'), HT at IPEC 15.32 17.16 16.42 18.16 5 14251 -(137kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 23.97 17.11 25.07 18.11 6 11367 -(124kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 24.46 16.84 25.56 17.84 7 11324 -(121 kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40*), HT at IPEC 22.41 16.50 23.51 17.50 8 11611 -(125kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 21.39 16.44 22.49 17.44 9 11703 -(127kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 23.65 16.37 24.75 17.37 10 14790 -(138kts Vmax, 25kts Vf, 16nm Rmax, 90mb, -10°), HT at IPEC 17.91 16.28 19.01 17.28 11 11409 -(126kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40°), HT at IPEC 24.58 16.24 25.68 17.24 12 14881 -(140kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -10'), HT at IPEC 20.96 16.11 22.06 17.11 13 11696 -(131kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 23.95 15.99 25.05 16.99 14 11996 -(126kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -20o), HT at IPEC 22.47 15.88 23.57 16.88 15 14538 -(141kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 16nm Rmax, 90mb, -20°), HT at IPEC 21.10 15.88 22.20 16.88 16 11451 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40*), HT at IPEC 24.61 15.85 25.71 16.85 17 14292 -(140kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -30o), HT at IPEC 24.84 15.80 25.94 16.80 18 11745 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -30°), HT at IPEC 23.62 15.78 24.72 16.78 19 14335 -(142kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 25.33 15.77 26.43 16.77 20 14586 -(140kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 23.56 15.74 24.66 16.74 21 11990 -(131kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -20°), HT at IPEC 22.20 15.58 23.30 16.58 22 14832 -(141kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 16nm Rmax, 90mb, -10o), HT at IPEC 19.68 15.52 20.78 16.52 23 11157 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -50'), HT at IPEC 25.23 15.52 26.33 16.52 24 14041 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 25.76 15.52 26.86 16.52 25 14377 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 25.49 15.45 26.59 16.45 Page 3-65 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-12: ADCIRC Simulated Storm Surge Stillwater Elevations (con't)Peak Surge The [ The I IPEC I PEC Battery Battery Rank Storm ID (Vmax, Vf, Rmax, CPD, 0), Tide at IPEC (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)26 14629 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 23.65 15.34 24.75 16.34 27 11408 -(126kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 23.85 15.32 24.95 16.32 28 12039 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -20°), HT at IPEC 21.64 15.32 22.74 16.32 29 10863 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -60'), HT at IPEC 25.10 15.29 26.20 16.29 30 14083 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 25.87 15.29 26.97 16.29 31 12032 -(134kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -20*), HT at IPEC 22.69 15.26 23.79 16.26 32 11941 -(132kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 80mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 21.23 15.22 22.33 16.22 33 14923 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -10'), HT at IPEC 21.65 15.19 22.75 16.19 34 14922 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -10'), HT at IPEC 22.60 15.18 23.70 16.18 35 11744 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 23.47 15.12 24.57 16.12 36 9057 -(119kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 70mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 20.93 15.06 22.03 16.06 37 14671 -(146kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 23.79 15.02 24.89 16.02 38 11450 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 23.90 14.91 25.00 15.91 39 11737 -(134kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -300), HT at IPEC 23.86 14.72 24.96 15.72 40 13789 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -500), HT at IPEC 26.03 14.63 27.13 15.63 41 8182 -(115kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 32nm Rmax, 70mb, -60'), HT at IPEC 22.01 14.47 23.11 15.47 42 14040 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 25.00 14.43 26.10 15.43 43 9070 -(111 kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 36nm Rmax, 70mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 19.44 14.41 20.54 15.41 44 9358 -(115kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 32nm Rmax, 70mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 17.89 14.40 18.99 15.40 45 14670 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 24.02 14.38 25.12 15.38 46 8217 -(122kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 70mb, -60'), HT at IPEC 22.60 14.34 23.70 15.34 47 8776 -(111 kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 36nm Rmax, 70mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 19.72 14.21 20.82 15.21 48 9393 -(122kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 70mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 19.46 14.21 20.56 15.21 49 14082 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 25.01 14.14 26.11 15.14 50 8517 -(118kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 32nm Rmax, 70mb, -50'), HT at IPEC 21.13 13.55 22.23 14.55 Note: Rank shown in Table 3.4-12 based on the ADCIRC calculated maximum water levels at IPEC.Page 3-66 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-1: Location of NOAA Co-Op Stations in the Vicinity of PPEC (AREVA, 2013a)Page 3-67 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Legend$?. IPEC Long Island, NY & NJ Hurricane Stikme-BELLE- 1976-CAROL- 1954-GLORIA- 1985 HENRI- 1985 l NOT NAMED- 1858-NOT NAMED- 1893 NOT NAMED- 1897 I NOT NAMED- 198 Figure 3.4-2: Hurricane Strikes-to New York and New Jersey (AREVA, 2013a)Page 3-68 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-3: Hurricane Tracks of Recorded Extreme Water Levels at Sandy Hook, NJ and the Battery, NY (AREVA, 2013a)Page 3-69 A ARE VA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-4: New York, Version 3 (ny3) SLOSH 3.97 Model Grid (ADCIRC Mesh Model Elevation (m, NAVD88)Page 3-70 A ARE VA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-5: New York, Version 3 (ny3) Basin Digital Elevation Model (DEM) Defining Base of Model Domain (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-71 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-6: New York, Version 3 (ny3) Basin Digital Elevation Model (DEM) Defining Base of Model Domain in IPEC Vicinity (Upper Bay, New York and Hudson River) (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-72 A Document No.: 51-9195289-002 AREVA Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-7: New York, Version 3 (ny3) Grid Cells Corresponding to the IPEC River Frontage (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-73 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-8: Landfall Points for SLOSH 3.97 Storm Tracks (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-74 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-9: SLOSH 3.97 Bearing Range for Northerly Storm Tracks (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-75 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-10: SLOSH 3.97 Bearing Range for Westerly Storm Tracks (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-76 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-11: ADCIRC FEMA Region II Finite Element Mesh -Northern Atlantic (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-77 A AR EVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-12: ADCIRC FEMA Region II Finite Element Mesh -New Jersey/New York (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-78 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-13: ADCIRC FEMA Region II Finite Element Mesh -IPEC Vicinity (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-79 A ARIEVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-14: ADCIRC Module Mesh Elevation (m, NAVD88) -Northern Atlantic (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-80 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-15: ADCIRC Mesh Model Elevation (m, NAVD88) -New Jersey I New York (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-81 A AR EVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-16: ADCIRC Mesh Model Elevation (m, NAVD88) -IPEC Vicinity (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-82 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figurae3L 2013-8 Page 3-83 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Mamdrmum Wind Speed I World Imagery base map Figure 3.4-18: ADCIRC Envelope of Maximum Winds (m/s) of Storm No. 941 (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-84 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Maximum Wind Speed (m/s) I World Imagery base map Figure 3.4-19: ADCIRC Envelope of Maximum Winds (m/s) of Storm No. 985* (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-85 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Maxdmum Storm Tide Elevations (m) I World Imagery Base Map Figure 3.4-20: ADCIRC Maximum Storm Tide Stillwater Elevations (m, NAVD88) of Storm No. 941 (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-86 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Maximum Storm Tide Elevations (m) I World Imagery Base Map Figure 3.4-21: ADCIRC Maximum Storm Tide Stillwater Elevations (m, NAVD88) of Storm No. 941-IPEC Vicinity (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-87 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Maadmum Storm Tide Elevatons (m) I World Imagery Base Map Figure 3.4-22: ADCIRC Maximum Storm Tide Stillwater Elevations (m, NAVD88) of Storm No.985*(AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-88 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Max mum Storm Tide Elevatons (m) I World Imagery Base Map Figure 3.4-23: Maximum Storm Tide Stillwater Elevations (in, NAVD88) of Storm No. 985* -IPEC Vicinity (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-89 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-24: Comparison of Wind Field of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm No. 941 (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-90 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-25: Comparison of Wind Field of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm No. 985*(ARIEVA, 201 3d)Page 3-91 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 (Vf=- 40 kts; Rm=30 nm; 155 deg, LF=I)150 140 130 120 190 80 S70"o 60 50 30 20 10 0 I I-ADCIRC 10-min wind -941--ADCIRC 1-mm Wind -941-* SLOSH 1-min Wind -941 (CPD=85mb)-SLOSH 1-min Wind -941 (CPD=IOOmb) 0 34.5 69 103.5 138 172.5 207 Distance to Storm Center (miles, Rm = 34.5 ml)241.5 276 Figure 3.4-26: Comparison of Wind Profiles of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm No. 941 150____ (Vf= 30 kts; Rm=30 nm; 175 de&, LF--5)50 I I I 140 ADCIRC 10-mmn wind -985*130 ___ _10- -ADCIRC 1-min Wind -985*110 de"__ -SLOSH 1-min Wind -985 (CPD=95mb) 100 SLOSH 1-min Wind -985 (CPD=100mb) | ||
-SLOSH 1-min Wind -941 (CPD=IOOmb) 0 34.5 69 103.5 138 172.5 | -& 80_ __ _V 70 ____,_,60 50__ _40 __30 20_ _._-- 985*10 0 0 34.5 69 103.5 138 172.5 207 241.5 276 Distance to Storm Center (miles, Rm = 34.5 mi)Page 3-92 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 35 30 E 25 a z 20 M 0%.oV 15~ 0 36 31 IPEC 26 N a-21z z 0 41 16 G-D wv-.*e | ||
-& 80_ __ _V 70 ____,_, | * SLOSH -Storm No. 941-ADCIRC -Storm No. 941 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Linear Distance Following Hudson River Thalweg Starting from The Battery (Statute Miles)a.6 1 45 0 Figure 3.4-28: Comparison of Water Levels on Hudson River of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm 941 (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-93 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 35 30 E 2 25 0 Z 20 0.J~WI 15 S10 WI SI a-36 31 E 26 0n N 21 z 40 4._4-WI SIl t5*-*. SLOSH -Storm No. 985 6-ADCIRC -Storm No. 985*0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Linear Distance Following Hudson River Thalweg Starting from The Battery (Statute Miles)Figure 3.4-29: Comparison of Water Levels on Hudson River of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm 985* (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-94 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 30 25 2o 20 Z.15 0 ,-.10 LU 45 0-5 120 100 In 80 ._j 0 60 .C 40 S 4'20 .E 0-20 0 10 20 30 40 50 Time (hr)(a) The Battery 60--4-- Water Level at IPEC -Storm 941 25 --Simulated Tide at IPEC-U- Wind Speed at IPEC -Storm 941 20 20 Z.15 0 0 4-0 120 100 -1Z 4--80 60 40 ._._5 20 C E-20-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 Time (hr)60 (b) IPEC Figure 3.4-30: Time Series of Wind and Storm Tide Stillwater Elevation | ||
* SLOSH -Storm No. 941-ADCIRC -Storm No. | -Storm No. 941 Note: Hurricane (wind) decay after landfall not applied for Storm No. 941. (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-95 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 30'--*-Water Level at the Battery -Storm 985*25 j --Simulated Tide at the Battery-Wind Speed at the Battery- Storm 985*20 !C0 tF 15.2 S10 LU 45 1 120 100 80 0k.IAJ"a 60 .C 40 .S 20 .5 E 6-60 0-5 0-20 0 10 20 30 40 50 Time (hr)(a) The Battery 3025 0020 z~.1 C 0 4-EU 10-U-5-5--#-Water Level at IPEC -Storm 985*-,- Simulated Tide at IPEC-U-I Wind Speed at IPEC -Storm 985*60 120 100 , 20 'A 0-20 30 Time (hr)(b) IPEC Figure 3.4-31: Time Series of Wind and Storm Tide Stillwater Elevation | ||
-Storm No. | -Storm No. 985*Note: Hurricane (wind) decay after landfall applied for Storm No. 985*. (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-96 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-32: Example Storm Tracks (8=P40 degree bearing) with Offset Calculation (Offset IDs Indicated) from Base Track (ARE VA, 201 3e)Page 3-97 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-33: Landfall Points for the JPM Synthetic Storms Shown by Associated Storm Track Bearing (0) in Degrees (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-98 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-34: Storm Tracks (Rmax = 16 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-99 A AR EVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-35: Storm Tracks (Rm.a, = 20 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (ARE VA, 2013e)Page 3-100 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-36: Storm Tracks (Rmx = 24 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-101 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-37: Storm Tracks (RmP = 28 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-102 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-38: Storm Tracks (RmP = 32 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (ARE VA, 201 3e)Page 3-103 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-39: Storm Tracks (Rme = 36 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (ARE VA, 2013e)Page 3-104 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-1: The Battery, NY CO-OP Station 8518750 Top 20 Extreme Water Levels (AREVA, 2013a)1 2012 10 2 1960 _ 9 3 1992 12 4 1953 11 5 2011 8 6 1950 11 7 1962 3 8 2010 3 9 1991 10 10 1984 3 11 1987 1 12 1993 3 13 1968 11 14 1960 2 15 1961 4 16 1996 3 17 1996 10 18 1985 9 19 1938 9 20 1944 9 11.27 7.24 6.93 6.74 6.73 6.34 6.14 6.03 5.95 5.75 5.6 5.58 5.56 5.54 5.54 5.51 5.5 5.46 5.44 5.44 TS H2 ET ET TS ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET H2 H2 H1 Notes: 1.2.3.4.TS indicates Tropical Storm H1 indicates Category 1 Hurricane H2 indicates Category 2 Hurricane ET indicates Extra-tropical storm Page 3-57 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-2: Sandy Hook, NJ CO-OP Station 8531680 Top 20 Extreme Water Levels (AREVA, 2013a)1 1960 2 1992 3 2011 4 1953 5 1944 6 1962 7 2012 8 2010 9 1950 10 1968 11 1966 12 1984 13 1993 14 1987 15 1985 16 1991 17 1961 18 1996 19 1972 20 2009 9 12 8 11 9 3 10 3 11 11 1 3 3 1 9 10 4 3 2 10 7.27 7.26 6.95 6.87 6.57 6.57 6.53 6.21 6.17 5.99 5.97 5.85 5.84 5.81 5.76 5.74 5.67 5.51 5.43 5.34 H2 ET TS ET H1 ET TS ET ET ET ET ET ET ET H2 ET ET ET ETu unknown Notes: 1.2.3.4.TS indicates Tropical Storm H1 indicates Category 1 Hurricane H2 indicates Category 2 Hurricane ET indicates Extra-tropical storm Table 3.4-3: SLOSH MOMs at the Battery, NY and Sandy Hook, NJ (AREVA, 2013a)Sandy Hook, NJ 67-53 8.5 14.1 20.1 25.4 Page 3-58 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-4: ADCIRC Simulated Probable Maximum Storm Surges (AREVA, 2013d)Peak Surge at The Peak Surge at IPEC Storm Simulation Number and Meteorological Parameters Battery, NY (ft) (ft)(Forward Speed, Rad. Max Winds, Landfall Location, Storm Azimuth Direction)(NAVD88) (NGVD29) (NAVD88) (NGVD29)965 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3350), HT at IPEC 24.3 25.4 14.5 15.5 961 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3250), HT at IPEC 25.3 26.4 14.6 15.6 941 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3350), HT at IPEC 25.1 26.2 15.9 16.9 962 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 2, 3250), HT at IPEC 25.1 26.2 13.8 14.8 937 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3250), HT at IPEC 26.1 27.2 15.8 16.8 938 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 2, 3250), HT at IPEC 25.9 27 15.2 16.2 969 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3450), HT at IPEC 22.8 23.9 13.6 14.6 966 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 2, 3350), HT at IPEC 23.5 24.6 13.4 14.4 945 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3450), HT at IPEC 23.3 24.4 15.2 16.2 605 -(45knots, 25nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3350), HT at IPEC 23.3 24.4 13.2 14.2 978 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 2, 3650), HT at IPEC 15.3 16.4 10.0 11.0 959 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 3, 3700), HT at IPEC 15.7 16.8 10.1 11.1 949 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 1, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.9 21 13.6 14.6 973 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 1, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.6 20.7 12.4 13.4 950 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 2, 3550), HT at IPEC 18.1 19.2 12.4 13.4 925 -(30knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 1, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.5 20.6 16.2 17.2 925n -(30knots, 25nm Rmax, landfall Pt 1, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.0 20.1 16.0 17.0 974 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 2, 3550), HT at IPEC 18.0 19.1 11.3 12.3 926 -(30knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 2, 3550), HT at IPEC 18.4 19.5 14.9 15.9 985 -(30knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 5, 3550), HT at IPEC 20.4 21.5 18.0 19.0 985* -(30knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 5, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.3 20.4 15.9 16.9 Notes: Storm 985 is a steady state simulation; Storm 985* is a non-steady state simulation. | ||
-Storm No. 985*Note: Hurricane (wind) decay after landfall applied for Storm No. 985*. (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-96 | A linear decaying of the maximum wind speed and a corresponding adjustment to the pressure deficit was applied after landfall for Storm 985*.Page 3-59 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-5: Discretized Probabilities for Central Pressure Deficit (CPD) (AREVA, 2013e)Bin Value (millibars) | ||
Bin Probability Cumulative Probability 40 0.08 0.858 50 0.038 0.896 60 0.045 0.941 70 0.032 0.973 80 0.023 0.996 90 0.004 1 100 0.000 1 Table 3.4-6: Discretized Probabilities for Forward Direction (0) (AREVA, 2013e)Bin Value (degrees) | |||
A linear decaying of the maximum wind | |||
Bin Probability Cumulative Probability 40 0.08 0. | |||
Bin Probability Cumulative Probability | Bin Probability Cumulative Probability | ||
-60 0.0076 0.0376-50 0.0124 0.05-40 0.0203 0.0703-30 0.0382 0.1085-20 0.0564 0.1649-10 0.0825 0. | -60 0.0076 0.0376-50 0.0124 0.05-40 0.0203 0.0703-30 0.0382 0.1085-20 0.0564 0.1649-10 0.0825 0.2474 0 0.1114 0.3588 10 0.136 0.4948 20 0.147 0.6418 Note: 1. Bearing is storm heading measured clockwise from north. Negative indicates west of north.Page 3-60 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-7: Discretized Probabilities for Forward Speed (Vf) (AREVA, 2013e)Bin Value (knots) Bin Probability Cumulative Probability 15 0.172 0.322 20 0.258 0.58 25 0.1724 0.7524 30 0.1351 0.8875 35 0.0594 0.9469 40 0.0335 0.9804 45 0.0087 0.9891 Table 3.4-8: Discretized Probabilities for Radius of Maximum Winds (Rmax) (AREVA, 2013e)Bin Value (nautical miles) Bin Probability Cumulative Probability 16 0.0878 0.1078 20 0.238 0.3458 24 0.2207 0.5665 28 0.2312 0.7977 32 0.0991 0.8968 36 0.0634 0.9602 Page 3-61 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-9: Factor of Landfall Probability Rmax/L for Track Offsets (AREVA, 2013e)Offset ID Adjustment Factor Distances to Adjacent Tracks (right, left)1 1.00 --, Rmax 2 0.75 Rmax, 1 Rmax 3 0.50 / Rmax ,1/ Rmax 4 0.50 1/2 Rmax ,1/ Rmax 5 0.50 1 Rmax, 1/2 Rmax 6 0.75 Rmax, 1/2 Rmax 7 1.00 Rmax, --Notes: 1. Left/right defined relative to storm heading.2. "--" denotes no track; zone of coverage extends beyond footprint of storm tracks.Page 3-62 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-10: Top 10 JPM SLOSH-Calculated Storm Surge Events (Determined by Simulated Surge Magnitude at IPEC) (AREVA, 2013e)Max Stillwater Elevation CPD 0 Vf Rmax Offset Event Joint (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)(mb) (deg.) (kts) (nm) ID Probability IPEC Battery PEG Battery 495 [49 89] [95 149] [49 89]15385 90 10 25 20 6 2.33E-07 18.0 19.3 19.0 20.4 14832 90 -10 30 16 6 3.27E-08 17.6 24.7 18.6 25.8 14460 90 -20 20 20 5 1.45E-07 17.5 19.4 18.5 20.5 14881 90 -10 35 20 6 4.87E-08 17.4 26.4 18.4 27.5 11451 80 -40 45 28 6 1.37E-08 17.3 28.6 18.3 29.7 14586 90 -20 35 20 5 3.33E-08 17.3 27.0 18.3 28.1 9070 70 -30 40 36 5 4.88E-08 17.3 23.2 18.3 24.3 11611 80 -30 30 24 5 3.28E-07 17.3 23 18.3 24.1 11324 80 -40 30 28 5 2.13E-07 17.3 22.7 18.3 23.8 11745 80 -30 45 28 6 2.58E-08 17.2 27.9 18.2 29.0 1) Notes: 1. CPD, e, Vf, Rmax reported in millibars, degrees relative to north, knots, and nautical miles, respectively. | ||
: 2. IPEC [95 149] and Battery [49 89] refer to SLOSH model grid cell locations. | : 2. IPEC [95 149] and Battery [49 89] refer to SLOSH model grid cell locations. | ||
: 3. Cumulative joint probability reflects joint probability based on storm intensity parameters, bearing and | : 3. Cumulative joint probability reflects joint probability based on storm intensity parameters, bearing and rate of occurrence. | ||
: 4. Datum conversions between NAVD88 and NGVD29 for IPEC and The Battery are included as | : 4. Datum conversions between NAVD88 and NGVD29 for IPEC and The Battery are included as Appendix C (NGS, 2013).5. Figure 14 provides an example depicting offset ID assignment. | ||
Page 3-63 | Page 3-63 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-11: Top 10 JPM SLOSH-Calculated Storm Surge Events (Determined by Simulated Surge Magnitude at The Battery) (AREVA, 2013e)Max Stillwater Elevation CPD 0 V~ Rax Ofset Cumulative Storm # CVo Rint Offset Joive (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)(mb) (deg.) (kts) (nm) ID # Poit Probability IPEC 95 Battery IPEC Battery 49 [49 89] [95 149] [49 89]13789 90 -50 45 20 6 1.07E-09 16.6 29.7 17.6 30.8 14083 90 -40 45 20 6 1.76E-09 16.9 29.6 17.9 30.7 13495 90 -60 45 20 6 6.57E-10 16.6 29.5 17.6 30.6 14377 90 -30 45 20 6 3.30E-09 17.0 29.2 18.0 30.3 11157 80 -50 45 28 6 8.38E-09 17.1 29.0 18.1 30.1 14041 90 -40 40 20 6 6.76E-09 16.9 29.0 17.9 30.1 10863 80 -60 45 28 6 5.14E-09 16.8 29.0 17.8 30.1 13747 90 -50 40 20 6 4.13E-09 15.9 28.9 16.9 30.0 14335 90 -30 40 20 6 1.27E-08 17.0 28.8 18.0 29.9 14082 90 -40 45 20 5 1.76E-09 16.7 28.7 17.7 29.8 2) Notes: 1. CPD, e, Vf, Rm,,ax reported in millibars, degrees relative to north, knots, and nautical miles, respectively. | ||
(AREVA, 2013e)Max Stillwater Elevation CPD 0 V~ Rax Ofset Cumulative Storm # CVo Rint Offset Joive (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)(mb) (deg.) (kts) (nm) ID # | |||
: 2. IPEC [95 149] and Battery [49 89] refer to SLOSH model grid cell locations. | : 2. IPEC [95 149] and Battery [49 89] refer to SLOSH model grid cell locations. | ||
: 3. Cumulative joint probability reflects joint probability based on storm intensity parameters, bearing and | : 3. Cumulative joint probability reflects joint probability based on storm intensity parameters, bearing and rate of occurrence. | ||
: 4. Datum conversions between NAVD88 and NGVD29 for IPEC and The Battery are included as | : 4. Datum conversions between NAVD88 and NGVD29 for IPEC and The Battery are included as Appendix C (NGS, 2013).5. Figure 14 provides an example depicting offset ID assignment. | ||
Page 3-64 | Page 3-64 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-12: ADCIRC Simulated Storm Surge Stillwater Elevations (AREVA, 2013e)Peak Surge The I The 1 I PEGC IPEC Battery Battery Rank Storm ID (Vmax, Vf, Rmax, CPD, e), Tide at IPEC (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)1 14460- (131kts Vmax, 20kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 17.49 18.08 18.59 19.08 2 13915 -(134kts Vmax, 25kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 23.26 17.22 24.36 18.22 3 11661 -(132kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 24.47 17.20 25.57 18.20 4 15385 -(134kts Vmax, 25kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, 10'), HT at IPEC 15.32 17.16 16.42 18.16 5 14251 -(137kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 23.97 17.11 25.07 18.11 6 11367 -(124kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 24.46 16.84 25.56 17.84 7 11324 -(121 kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40*), HT at IPEC 22.41 16.50 23.51 17.50 8 11611 -(125kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 21.39 16.44 22.49 17.44 9 11703 -(127kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 23.65 16.37 24.75 17.37 10 14790 -(138kts Vmax, 25kts Vf, 16nm Rmax, 90mb, -10°), HT at IPEC 17.91 16.28 19.01 17.28 11 11409 -(126kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40°), HT at IPEC 24.58 16.24 25.68 17.24 12 14881 -(140kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -10'), HT at IPEC 20.96 16.11 22.06 17.11 13 11696 -(131kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 23.95 15.99 25.05 16.99 14 11996 -(126kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -20o), HT at IPEC 22.47 15.88 23.57 16.88 15 14538 -(141kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 16nm Rmax, 90mb, -20°), HT at IPEC 21.10 15.88 22.20 16.88 16 11451 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40*), HT at IPEC 24.61 15.85 25.71 16.85 17 14292 -(140kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -30o), HT at IPEC 24.84 15.80 25.94 16.80 18 11745 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -30°), HT at IPEC 23.62 15.78 24.72 16.78 19 14335 -(142kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 25.33 15.77 26.43 16.77 20 14586 -(140kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 23.56 15.74 24.66 16.74 21 11990 -(131kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -20°), HT at IPEC 22.20 15.58 23.30 16.58 22 14832 -(141kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 16nm Rmax, 90mb, -10o), HT at IPEC 19.68 15.52 20.78 16.52 23 11157 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -50'), HT at IPEC 25.23 15.52 26.33 16.52 24 14041 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 25.76 15.52 26.86 16.52 25 14377 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 25.49 15.45 26.59 16.45 Page 3-65 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-12: ADCIRC Simulated Storm Surge Stillwater Elevations (con't)Peak Surge The [ The I IPEC I PEC Battery Battery Rank Storm ID (Vmax, Vf, Rmax, CPD, 0), Tide at IPEC (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)26 14629 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 23.65 15.34 24.75 16.34 27 11408 -(126kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 23.85 15.32 24.95 16.32 28 12039 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -20°), HT at IPEC 21.64 15.32 22.74 16.32 29 10863 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -60'), HT at IPEC 25.10 15.29 26.20 16.29 30 14083 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 25.87 15.29 26.97 16.29 31 12032 -(134kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -20*), HT at IPEC 22.69 15.26 23.79 16.26 32 11941 -(132kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 80mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 21.23 15.22 22.33 16.22 33 14923 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -10'), HT at IPEC 21.65 15.19 22.75 16.19 34 14922 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -10'), HT at IPEC 22.60 15.18 23.70 16.18 35 11744 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 23.47 15.12 24.57 16.12 36 9057 -(119kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 70mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 20.93 15.06 22.03 16.06 37 14671 -(146kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 23.79 15.02 24.89 16.02 38 11450 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 23.90 14.91 25.00 15.91 39 11737 -(134kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -300), HT at IPEC 23.86 14.72 24.96 15.72 40 13789 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -500), HT at IPEC 26.03 14.63 27.13 15.63 41 8182 -(115kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 32nm Rmax, 70mb, -60'), HT at IPEC 22.01 14.47 23.11 15.47 42 14040 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 25.00 14.43 26.10 15.43 43 9070 -(111 kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 36nm Rmax, 70mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 19.44 14.41 20.54 15.41 44 9358 -(115kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 32nm Rmax, 70mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 17.89 14.40 18.99 15.40 45 14670 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 24.02 14.38 25.12 15.38 46 8217 -(122kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 70mb, -60'), HT at IPEC 22.60 14.34 23.70 15.34 47 8776 -(111 kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 36nm Rmax, 70mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 19.72 14.21 20.82 15.21 48 9393 -(122kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 70mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 19.46 14.21 20.56 15.21 49 14082 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 25.01 14.14 26.11 15.14 50 8517 -(118kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 32nm Rmax, 70mb, -50'), HT at IPEC 21.13 13.55 22.23 14.55 Note: Rank shown in Table 3.4-12 based on the ADCIRC calculated maximum water levels at IPEC.Page 3-66 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-1: Location of NOAA Co-Op Stations in the Vicinity of PPEC (AREVA, 2013a)Page 3-67 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Legend$?. IPEC Long Island, NY & NJ Hurricane Stikme-BELLE- 1976-CAROL- 1954-GLORIA- 1985 HENRI- 1985 l NOT NAMED- 1858-NOT NAMED- 1893 NOT NAMED- 1897 I NOT NAMED- 198 Figure 3.4-2: Hurricane Strikes-to New York and New Jersey (AREVA, 2013a)Page 3-68 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-3: Hurricane Tracks of Recorded Extreme Water Levels at Sandy Hook, NJ and the Battery, NY (AREVA, 2013a)Page 3-69 A ARE VA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-4: New York, Version 3 (ny3) SLOSH 3.97 Model Grid (ADCIRC Mesh Model Elevation (m, NAVD88)Page 3-70 A ARE VA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-5: New York, Version 3 (ny3) Basin Digital Elevation Model (DEM) Defining Base of Model Domain (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-71 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-6: New York, Version 3 (ny3) Basin Digital Elevation Model (DEM) Defining Base of Model Domain in IPEC Vicinity (Upper Bay, New York and Hudson River) (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-72 A Document No.: 51-9195289-002 AREVA Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-7: New York, Version 3 (ny3) Grid Cells Corresponding to the IPEC River Frontage (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-73 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-8: Landfall Points for SLOSH 3.97 Storm Tracks (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-74 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-9: SLOSH 3.97 Bearing Range for Northerly Storm Tracks (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-75 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-10: SLOSH 3.97 Bearing Range for Westerly Storm Tracks (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-76 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-11: ADCIRC FEMA Region II Finite Element Mesh -Northern Atlantic (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-77 A AR EVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-12: ADCIRC FEMA Region II Finite Element Mesh -New Jersey/New York (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-78 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-13: ADCIRC FEMA Region II Finite Element Mesh -IPEC Vicinity (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-79 A ARIEVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-14: ADCIRC Module Mesh Elevation (m, NAVD88) -Northern Atlantic (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-80 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-15: ADCIRC Mesh Model Elevation (m, NAVD88) -New Jersey I New York (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-81 A AR EVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-16: ADCIRC Mesh Model Elevation (m, NAVD88) -IPEC Vicinity (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-82 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figurae3L 2013-8 Page 3-83 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Mamdrmum Wind Speed I World Imagery base map Figure 3.4-18: ADCIRC Envelope of Maximum Winds (m/s) of Storm No. 941 (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-84 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Maximum Wind Speed (m/s) I World Imagery base map Figure 3.4-19: ADCIRC Envelope of Maximum Winds (m/s) of Storm No. 985* (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-85 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Maxdmum Storm Tide Elevations (m) I World Imagery Base Map Figure 3.4-20: ADCIRC Maximum Storm Tide Stillwater Elevations (m, NAVD88) of Storm No. 941 (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-86 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Maximum Storm Tide Elevations (m) I World Imagery Base Map Figure 3.4-21: ADCIRC Maximum Storm Tide Stillwater Elevations (m, NAVD88) of Storm No. 941-IPEC Vicinity (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-87 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Maadmum Storm Tide Elevatons (m) I World Imagery Base Map Figure 3.4-22: ADCIRC Maximum Storm Tide Stillwater Elevations (m, NAVD88) of Storm No.985*(AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-88 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Max mum Storm Tide Elevatons (m) I World Imagery Base Map Figure 3.4-23: Maximum Storm Tide Stillwater Elevations (in, NAVD88) of Storm No. 985* -IPEC Vicinity (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-89 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-24: Comparison of Wind Field of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm No. 941 (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-90 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-25: Comparison of Wind Field of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm No. 985*(ARIEVA, 201 3d)Page 3-91 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 (Vf=- 40 kts; Rm=30 nm; 155 deg, LF=I)150 140 130 120 190 80 S70"o 60 50 30 20 10 0 I I-ADCIRC 10-min wind -941--ADCIRC 1-mm Wind -941-* SLOSH 1-min Wind -941 (CPD=85mb)-SLOSH 1-min Wind -941 (CPD=IOOmb) 0 34.5 69 103.5 138 172.5 207 Distance to Storm Center (miles, Rm = 34.5 ml)241.5 276 Figure 3.4-26: Comparison of Wind Profiles of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm No. 941 150____ (Vf= 30 kts; Rm=30 nm; 175 de&, LF--5)50 I I I 140 ADCIRC 10-mmn wind -985*130 ___ _10- -ADCIRC 1-min Wind -985*110 de"__ -SLOSH 1-min Wind -985 (CPD=95mb) 100 SLOSH 1-min Wind -985 (CPD=100mb) | ||
-SLOSH 1-min Wind -941 (CPD=IOOmb) 0 34.5 69 103.5 138 172.5 | -& 80_ __ _V 70 ____,_,60 50__ _40 __30 20_ _._-- 985*10 0 0 34.5 69 103.5 138 172.5 207 241.5 276 Distance to Storm Center (miles, Rm = 34.5 mi)Page 3-92 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 35 30 E 25 a z 20 M 0%.oV 15~ 0 36 31 IPEC 26 N a-21z z 0 41 16 G-D wv-.*e | ||
-& 80_ __ _V 70 ____,_, | * SLOSH -Storm No. 941-ADCIRC -Storm No. 941 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Linear Distance Following Hudson River Thalweg Starting from The Battery (Statute Miles)a.6 1 45 0 Figure 3.4-28: Comparison of Water Levels on Hudson River of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm 941 (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-93 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 35 30 E 2 25 0 Z 20 0.J~WI 15 S10 WI SI a-36 31 E 26 0n N 21 z 40 4._4-WI SIl t5*-*. SLOSH -Storm No. 985 6-ADCIRC -Storm No. 985*0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Linear Distance Following Hudson River Thalweg Starting from The Battery (Statute Miles)Figure 3.4-29: Comparison of Water Levels on Hudson River of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm 985* (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-94 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 30 25 2o 20 Z.15 0 ,-.10 LU 45 0-5 120 100 In 80 ._j 0 60 .C 40 S 4'20 .E 0-20 0 10 20 30 40 50 Time (hr)(a) The Battery 60--4-- Water Level at IPEC -Storm 941 25 --Simulated Tide at IPEC-U- Wind Speed at IPEC -Storm 941 20 20 Z.15 0 0 4-0 120 100 -1Z 4--80 60 40 ._._5 20 C E-20-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 Time (hr)60 (b) IPEC Figure 3.4-30: Time Series of Wind and Storm Tide Stillwater Elevation | ||
* SLOSH -Storm No. 941-ADCIRC -Storm No. | -Storm No. 941 Note: Hurricane (wind) decay after landfall not applied for Storm No. 941. (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-95 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 30'--*-Water Level at the Battery -Storm 985*25 j --Simulated Tide at the Battery-Wind Speed at the Battery- Storm 985*20 !C0 tF 15.2 S10 LU 45 1 120 100 80 0k.IAJ"a 60 .C 40 .S 20 .5 E 6-60 0-5 0-20 0 10 20 30 40 50 Time (hr)(a) The Battery 3025 0020 z~.1 C 0 4-EU 10-U-5-5--#-Water Level at IPEC -Storm 985*-,- Simulated Tide at IPEC-U-I Wind Speed at IPEC -Storm 985*60 120 100 , 20 'A 0-20 30 Time (hr)(b) IPEC Figure 3.4-31: Time Series of Wind and Storm Tide Stillwater Elevation | ||
-Storm No. | -Storm No. 985*Note: Hurricane (wind) decay after landfall applied for Storm No. 985*. (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-96 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-32: Example Storm Tracks (8=P40 degree bearing) with Offset Calculation (Offset IDs Indicated) from Base Track (ARE VA, 201 3e)Page 3-97 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-33: Landfall Points for the JPM Synthetic Storms Shown by Associated Storm Track Bearing (0) in Degrees (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-98 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-34: Storm Tracks (Rmax = 16 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-99 A AR EVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-35: Storm Tracks (Rm.a, = 20 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (ARE VA, 2013e)Page 3-100 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-36: Storm Tracks (Rmx = 24 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-101 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-37: Storm Tracks (RmP = 28 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-102 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-38: Storm Tracks (RmP = 32 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (ARE VA, 201 3e)Page 3-103 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-39: Storm Tracks (Rme = 36 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (ARE VA, 2013e)Page 3-104}} | ||
-Storm No. 985*Note: Hurricane (wind) decay after landfall applied for Storm No. 985*. (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-96 | |||
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Text
A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-1: The Battery, NY CO-OP Station 8518750 Top 20 Extreme Water Levels (AREVA, 2013a)1 2012 10 2 1960 _ 9 3 1992 12 4 1953 11 5 2011 8 6 1950 11 7 1962 3 8 2010 3 9 1991 10 10 1984 3 11 1987 1 12 1993 3 13 1968 11 14 1960 2 15 1961 4 16 1996 3 17 1996 10 18 1985 9 19 1938 9 20 1944 9 11.27 7.24 6.93 6.74 6.73 6.34 6.14 6.03 5.95 5.75 5.6 5.58 5.56 5.54 5.54 5.51 5.5 5.46 5.44 5.44 TS H2 ET ET TS ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET H2 H2 H1 Notes: 1.2.3.4.TS indicates Tropical Storm H1 indicates Category 1 Hurricane H2 indicates Category 2 Hurricane ET indicates Extra-tropical storm Page 3-57 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-2: Sandy Hook, NJ CO-OP Station 8531680 Top 20 Extreme Water Levels (AREVA, 2013a)1 1960 2 1992 3 2011 4 1953 5 1944 6 1962 7 2012 8 2010 9 1950 10 1968 11 1966 12 1984 13 1993 14 1987 15 1985 16 1991 17 1961 18 1996 19 1972 20 2009 9 12 8 11 9 3 10 3 11 11 1 3 3 1 9 10 4 3 2 10 7.27 7.26 6.95 6.87 6.57 6.57 6.53 6.21 6.17 5.99 5.97 5.85 5.84 5.81 5.76 5.74 5.67 5.51 5.43 5.34 H2 ET TS ET H1 ET TS ET ET ET ET ET ET ET H2 ET ET ET ETu unknown Notes: 1.2.3.4.TS indicates Tropical Storm H1 indicates Category 1 Hurricane H2 indicates Category 2 Hurricane ET indicates Extra-tropical storm Table 3.4-3: SLOSH MOMs at the Battery, NY and Sandy Hook, NJ (AREVA, 2013a)Sandy Hook, NJ 67-53 8.5 14.1 20.1 25.4 Page 3-58 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-4: ADCIRC Simulated Probable Maximum Storm Surges (AREVA, 2013d)Peak Surge at The Peak Surge at IPEC Storm Simulation Number and Meteorological Parameters Battery, NY (ft) (ft)(Forward Speed, Rad. Max Winds, Landfall Location, Storm Azimuth Direction)(NAVD88) (NGVD29) (NAVD88) (NGVD29)965 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3350), HT at IPEC 24.3 25.4 14.5 15.5 961 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3250), HT at IPEC 25.3 26.4 14.6 15.6 941 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3350), HT at IPEC 25.1 26.2 15.9 16.9 962 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 2, 3250), HT at IPEC 25.1 26.2 13.8 14.8 937 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3250), HT at IPEC 26.1 27.2 15.8 16.8 938 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 2, 3250), HT at IPEC 25.9 27 15.2 16.2 969 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3450), HT at IPEC 22.8 23.9 13.6 14.6 966 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 2, 3350), HT at IPEC 23.5 24.6 13.4 14.4 945 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3450), HT at IPEC 23.3 24.4 15.2 16.2 605 -(45knots, 25nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3350), HT at IPEC 23.3 24.4 13.2 14.2 978 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 2, 3650), HT at IPEC 15.3 16.4 10.0 11.0 959 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 3, 3700), HT at IPEC 15.7 16.8 10.1 11.1 949 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 1, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.9 21 13.6 14.6 973 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 1, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.6 20.7 12.4 13.4 950 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 2, 3550), HT at IPEC 18.1 19.2 12.4 13.4 925 -(30knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 1, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.5 20.6 16.2 17.2 925n -(30knots, 25nm Rmax, landfall Pt 1, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.0 20.1 16.0 17.0 974 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 2, 3550), HT at IPEC 18.0 19.1 11.3 12.3 926 -(30knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 2, 3550), HT at IPEC 18.4 19.5 14.9 15.9 985 -(30knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 5, 3550), HT at IPEC 20.4 21.5 18.0 19.0 985* -(30knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 5, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.3 20.4 15.9 16.9 Notes: Storm 985 is a steady state simulation; Storm 985* is a non-steady state simulation.
A linear decaying of the maximum wind speed and a corresponding adjustment to the pressure deficit was applied after landfall for Storm 985*.Page 3-59 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-5: Discretized Probabilities for Central Pressure Deficit (CPD) (AREVA, 2013e)Bin Value (millibars)
Bin Probability Cumulative Probability 40 0.08 0.858 50 0.038 0.896 60 0.045 0.941 70 0.032 0.973 80 0.023 0.996 90 0.004 1 100 0.000 1 Table 3.4-6: Discretized Probabilities for Forward Direction (0) (AREVA, 2013e)Bin Value (degrees)
Bin Probability Cumulative Probability
-60 0.0076 0.0376-50 0.0124 0.05-40 0.0203 0.0703-30 0.0382 0.1085-20 0.0564 0.1649-10 0.0825 0.2474 0 0.1114 0.3588 10 0.136 0.4948 20 0.147 0.6418 Note: 1. Bearing is storm heading measured clockwise from north. Negative indicates west of north.Page 3-60 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-7: Discretized Probabilities for Forward Speed (Vf) (AREVA, 2013e)Bin Value (knots) Bin Probability Cumulative Probability 15 0.172 0.322 20 0.258 0.58 25 0.1724 0.7524 30 0.1351 0.8875 35 0.0594 0.9469 40 0.0335 0.9804 45 0.0087 0.9891 Table 3.4-8: Discretized Probabilities for Radius of Maximum Winds (Rmax) (AREVA, 2013e)Bin Value (nautical miles) Bin Probability Cumulative Probability 16 0.0878 0.1078 20 0.238 0.3458 24 0.2207 0.5665 28 0.2312 0.7977 32 0.0991 0.8968 36 0.0634 0.9602 Page 3-61 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-9: Factor of Landfall Probability Rmax/L for Track Offsets (AREVA, 2013e)Offset ID Adjustment Factor Distances to Adjacent Tracks (right, left)1 1.00 --, Rmax 2 0.75 Rmax, 1 Rmax 3 0.50 / Rmax ,1/ Rmax 4 0.50 1/2 Rmax ,1/ Rmax 5 0.50 1 Rmax, 1/2 Rmax 6 0.75 Rmax, 1/2 Rmax 7 1.00 Rmax, --Notes: 1. Left/right defined relative to storm heading.2. "--" denotes no track; zone of coverage extends beyond footprint of storm tracks.Page 3-62 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-10: Top 10 JPM SLOSH-Calculated Storm Surge Events (Determined by Simulated Surge Magnitude at IPEC) (AREVA, 2013e)Max Stillwater Elevation CPD 0 Vf Rmax Offset Event Joint (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)(mb) (deg.) (kts) (nm) ID Probability IPEC Battery PEG Battery 495 [49 89] [95 149] [49 89]15385 90 10 25 20 6 2.33E-07 18.0 19.3 19.0 20.4 14832 90 -10 30 16 6 3.27E-08 17.6 24.7 18.6 25.8 14460 90 -20 20 20 5 1.45E-07 17.5 19.4 18.5 20.5 14881 90 -10 35 20 6 4.87E-08 17.4 26.4 18.4 27.5 11451 80 -40 45 28 6 1.37E-08 17.3 28.6 18.3 29.7 14586 90 -20 35 20 5 3.33E-08 17.3 27.0 18.3 28.1 9070 70 -30 40 36 5 4.88E-08 17.3 23.2 18.3 24.3 11611 80 -30 30 24 5 3.28E-07 17.3 23 18.3 24.1 11324 80 -40 30 28 5 2.13E-07 17.3 22.7 18.3 23.8 11745 80 -30 45 28 6 2.58E-08 17.2 27.9 18.2 29.0 1) Notes: 1. CPD, e, Vf, Rmax reported in millibars, degrees relative to north, knots, and nautical miles, respectively.
- 2. IPEC [95 149] and Battery [49 89] refer to SLOSH model grid cell locations.
- 3. Cumulative joint probability reflects joint probability based on storm intensity parameters, bearing and rate of occurrence.
- 4. Datum conversions between NAVD88 and NGVD29 for IPEC and The Battery are included as Appendix C (NGS, 2013).5. Figure 14 provides an example depicting offset ID assignment.
Page 3-63 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-11: Top 10 JPM SLOSH-Calculated Storm Surge Events (Determined by Simulated Surge Magnitude at The Battery) (AREVA, 2013e)Max Stillwater Elevation CPD 0 V~ Rax Ofset Cumulative Storm # CVo Rint Offset Joive (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)(mb) (deg.) (kts) (nm) ID # Poit Probability IPEC 95 Battery IPEC Battery 49 [49 89] [95 149] [49 89]13789 90 -50 45 20 6 1.07E-09 16.6 29.7 17.6 30.8 14083 90 -40 45 20 6 1.76E-09 16.9 29.6 17.9 30.7 13495 90 -60 45 20 6 6.57E-10 16.6 29.5 17.6 30.6 14377 90 -30 45 20 6 3.30E-09 17.0 29.2 18.0 30.3 11157 80 -50 45 28 6 8.38E-09 17.1 29.0 18.1 30.1 14041 90 -40 40 20 6 6.76E-09 16.9 29.0 17.9 30.1 10863 80 -60 45 28 6 5.14E-09 16.8 29.0 17.8 30.1 13747 90 -50 40 20 6 4.13E-09 15.9 28.9 16.9 30.0 14335 90 -30 40 20 6 1.27E-08 17.0 28.8 18.0 29.9 14082 90 -40 45 20 5 1.76E-09 16.7 28.7 17.7 29.8 2) Notes: 1. CPD, e, Vf, Rm,,ax reported in millibars, degrees relative to north, knots, and nautical miles, respectively.
- 2. IPEC [95 149] and Battery [49 89] refer to SLOSH model grid cell locations.
- 3. Cumulative joint probability reflects joint probability based on storm intensity parameters, bearing and rate of occurrence.
- 4. Datum conversions between NAVD88 and NGVD29 for IPEC and The Battery are included as Appendix C (NGS, 2013).5. Figure 14 provides an example depicting offset ID assignment.
Page 3-64 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-12: ADCIRC Simulated Storm Surge Stillwater Elevations (AREVA, 2013e)Peak Surge The I The 1 I PEGC IPEC Battery Battery Rank Storm ID (Vmax, Vf, Rmax, CPD, e), Tide at IPEC (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)1 14460- (131kts Vmax, 20kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 17.49 18.08 18.59 19.08 2 13915 -(134kts Vmax, 25kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 23.26 17.22 24.36 18.22 3 11661 -(132kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 24.47 17.20 25.57 18.20 4 15385 -(134kts Vmax, 25kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, 10'), HT at IPEC 15.32 17.16 16.42 18.16 5 14251 -(137kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 23.97 17.11 25.07 18.11 6 11367 -(124kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 24.46 16.84 25.56 17.84 7 11324 -(121 kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40*), HT at IPEC 22.41 16.50 23.51 17.50 8 11611 -(125kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 21.39 16.44 22.49 17.44 9 11703 -(127kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 23.65 16.37 24.75 17.37 10 14790 -(138kts Vmax, 25kts Vf, 16nm Rmax, 90mb, -10°), HT at IPEC 17.91 16.28 19.01 17.28 11 11409 -(126kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40°), HT at IPEC 24.58 16.24 25.68 17.24 12 14881 -(140kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -10'), HT at IPEC 20.96 16.11 22.06 17.11 13 11696 -(131kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 23.95 15.99 25.05 16.99 14 11996 -(126kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -20o), HT at IPEC 22.47 15.88 23.57 16.88 15 14538 -(141kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 16nm Rmax, 90mb, -20°), HT at IPEC 21.10 15.88 22.20 16.88 16 11451 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40*), HT at IPEC 24.61 15.85 25.71 16.85 17 14292 -(140kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -30o), HT at IPEC 24.84 15.80 25.94 16.80 18 11745 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -30°), HT at IPEC 23.62 15.78 24.72 16.78 19 14335 -(142kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 25.33 15.77 26.43 16.77 20 14586 -(140kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 23.56 15.74 24.66 16.74 21 11990 -(131kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -20°), HT at IPEC 22.20 15.58 23.30 16.58 22 14832 -(141kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 16nm Rmax, 90mb, -10o), HT at IPEC 19.68 15.52 20.78 16.52 23 11157 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -50'), HT at IPEC 25.23 15.52 26.33 16.52 24 14041 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 25.76 15.52 26.86 16.52 25 14377 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 25.49 15.45 26.59 16.45 Page 3-65 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-12: ADCIRC Simulated Storm Surge Stillwater Elevations (con't)Peak Surge The [ The I IPEC I PEC Battery Battery Rank Storm ID (Vmax, Vf, Rmax, CPD, 0), Tide at IPEC (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)26 14629 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 23.65 15.34 24.75 16.34 27 11408 -(126kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 23.85 15.32 24.95 16.32 28 12039 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -20°), HT at IPEC 21.64 15.32 22.74 16.32 29 10863 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -60'), HT at IPEC 25.10 15.29 26.20 16.29 30 14083 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 25.87 15.29 26.97 16.29 31 12032 -(134kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -20*), HT at IPEC 22.69 15.26 23.79 16.26 32 11941 -(132kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 80mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 21.23 15.22 22.33 16.22 33 14923 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -10'), HT at IPEC 21.65 15.19 22.75 16.19 34 14922 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -10'), HT at IPEC 22.60 15.18 23.70 16.18 35 11744 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 23.47 15.12 24.57 16.12 36 9057 -(119kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 70mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 20.93 15.06 22.03 16.06 37 14671 -(146kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 23.79 15.02 24.89 16.02 38 11450 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 23.90 14.91 25.00 15.91 39 11737 -(134kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -300), HT at IPEC 23.86 14.72 24.96 15.72 40 13789 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -500), HT at IPEC 26.03 14.63 27.13 15.63 41 8182 -(115kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 32nm Rmax, 70mb, -60'), HT at IPEC 22.01 14.47 23.11 15.47 42 14040 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 25.00 14.43 26.10 15.43 43 9070 -(111 kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 36nm Rmax, 70mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 19.44 14.41 20.54 15.41 44 9358 -(115kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 32nm Rmax, 70mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 17.89 14.40 18.99 15.40 45 14670 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 24.02 14.38 25.12 15.38 46 8217 -(122kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 70mb, -60'), HT at IPEC 22.60 14.34 23.70 15.34 47 8776 -(111 kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 36nm Rmax, 70mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 19.72 14.21 20.82 15.21 48 9393 -(122kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 70mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 19.46 14.21 20.56 15.21 49 14082 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 25.01 14.14 26.11 15.14 50 8517 -(118kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 32nm Rmax, 70mb, -50'), HT at IPEC 21.13 13.55 22.23 14.55 Note: Rank shown in Table 3.4-12 based on the ADCIRC calculated maximum water levels at IPEC.Page 3-66 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-1: Location of NOAA Co-Op Stations in the Vicinity of PPEC (AREVA, 2013a)Page 3-67 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Legend$?. IPEC Long Island, NY & NJ Hurricane Stikme-BELLE- 1976-CAROL- 1954-GLORIA- 1985 HENRI- 1985 l NOT NAMED- 1858-NOT NAMED- 1893 NOT NAMED- 1897 I NOT NAMED- 198 Figure 3.4-2: Hurricane Strikes-to New York and New Jersey (AREVA, 2013a)Page 3-68 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-3: Hurricane Tracks of Recorded Extreme Water Levels at Sandy Hook, NJ and the Battery, NY (AREVA, 2013a)Page 3-69 A ARE VA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-4: New York, Version 3 (ny3) SLOSH 3.97 Model Grid (ADCIRC Mesh Model Elevation (m, NAVD88)Page 3-70 A ARE VA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-5: New York, Version 3 (ny3) Basin Digital Elevation Model (DEM) Defining Base of Model Domain (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-71 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-6: New York, Version 3 (ny3) Basin Digital Elevation Model (DEM) Defining Base of Model Domain in IPEC Vicinity (Upper Bay, New York and Hudson River) (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-72 A Document No.: 51-9195289-002 AREVA Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-7: New York, Version 3 (ny3) Grid Cells Corresponding to the IPEC River Frontage (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-73 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-8: Landfall Points for SLOSH 3.97 Storm Tracks (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-74 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-9: SLOSH 3.97 Bearing Range for Northerly Storm Tracks (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-75 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-10: SLOSH 3.97 Bearing Range for Westerly Storm Tracks (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-76 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-11: ADCIRC FEMA Region II Finite Element Mesh -Northern Atlantic (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-77 A AR EVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-12: ADCIRC FEMA Region II Finite Element Mesh -New Jersey/New York (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-78 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-13: ADCIRC FEMA Region II Finite Element Mesh -IPEC Vicinity (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-79 A ARIEVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-14: ADCIRC Module Mesh Elevation (m, NAVD88) -Northern Atlantic (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-80 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-15: ADCIRC Mesh Model Elevation (m, NAVD88) -New Jersey I New York (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-81 A AR EVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-16: ADCIRC Mesh Model Elevation (m, NAVD88) -IPEC Vicinity (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-82 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figurae3L 2013-8 Page 3-83 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Mamdrmum Wind Speed I World Imagery base map Figure 3.4-18: ADCIRC Envelope of Maximum Winds (m/s) of Storm No. 941 (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-84 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Maximum Wind Speed (m/s) I World Imagery base map Figure 3.4-19: ADCIRC Envelope of Maximum Winds (m/s) of Storm No. 985* (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-85 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Maxdmum Storm Tide Elevations (m) I World Imagery Base Map Figure 3.4-20: ADCIRC Maximum Storm Tide Stillwater Elevations (m, NAVD88) of Storm No. 941 (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-86 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Maximum Storm Tide Elevations (m) I World Imagery Base Map Figure 3.4-21: ADCIRC Maximum Storm Tide Stillwater Elevations (m, NAVD88) of Storm No. 941-IPEC Vicinity (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-87 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Maadmum Storm Tide Elevatons (m) I World Imagery Base Map Figure 3.4-22: ADCIRC Maximum Storm Tide Stillwater Elevations (m, NAVD88) of Storm No.985*(AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-88 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Max mum Storm Tide Elevatons (m) I World Imagery Base Map Figure 3.4-23: Maximum Storm Tide Stillwater Elevations (in, NAVD88) of Storm No. 985* -IPEC Vicinity (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-89 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-24: Comparison of Wind Field of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm No. 941 (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-90 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-25: Comparison of Wind Field of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm No. 985*(ARIEVA, 201 3d)Page 3-91 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 (Vf=- 40 kts; Rm=30 nm; 155 deg, LF=I)150 140 130 120 190 80 S70"o 60 50 30 20 10 0 I I-ADCIRC 10-min wind -941--ADCIRC 1-mm Wind -941-* SLOSH 1-min Wind -941 (CPD=85mb)-SLOSH 1-min Wind -941 (CPD=IOOmb) 0 34.5 69 103.5 138 172.5 207 Distance to Storm Center (miles, Rm = 34.5 ml)241.5 276 Figure 3.4-26: Comparison of Wind Profiles of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm No. 941 150____ (Vf= 30 kts; Rm=30 nm; 175 de&, LF--5)50 I I I 140 ADCIRC 10-mmn wind -985*130 ___ _10- -ADCIRC 1-min Wind -985*110 de"__ -SLOSH 1-min Wind -985 (CPD=95mb) 100 SLOSH 1-min Wind -985 (CPD=100mb)
-& 80_ __ _V 70 ____,_,60 50__ _40 __30 20_ _._-- 985*10 0 0 34.5 69 103.5 138 172.5 207 241.5 276 Distance to Storm Center (miles, Rm = 34.5 mi)Page 3-92 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 35 30 E 25 a z 20 M 0%.oV 15~ 0 36 31 IPEC 26 N a-21z z 0 41 16 G-D wv-.*e
- SLOSH -Storm No. 941-ADCIRC -Storm No. 941 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Linear Distance Following Hudson River Thalweg Starting from The Battery (Statute Miles)a.6 1 45 0 Figure 3.4-28: Comparison of Water Levels on Hudson River of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm 941 (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-93 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 35 30 E 2 25 0 Z 20 0.J~WI 15 S10 WI SI a-36 31 E 26 0n N 21 z 40 4._4-WI SIl t5*-*. SLOSH -Storm No. 985 6-ADCIRC -Storm No. 985*0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Linear Distance Following Hudson River Thalweg Starting from The Battery (Statute Miles)Figure 3.4-29: Comparison of Water Levels on Hudson River of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm 985* (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-94 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 30 25 2o 20 Z.15 0 ,-.10 LU 45 0-5 120 100 In 80 ._j 0 60 .C 40 S 4'20 .E 0-20 0 10 20 30 40 50 Time (hr)(a) The Battery 60--4-- Water Level at IPEC -Storm 941 25 --Simulated Tide at IPEC-U- Wind Speed at IPEC -Storm 941 20 20 Z.15 0 0 4-0 120 100 -1Z 4--80 60 40 ._._5 20 C E-20-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 Time (hr)60 (b) IPEC Figure 3.4-30: Time Series of Wind and Storm Tide Stillwater Elevation
-Storm No. 941 Note: Hurricane (wind) decay after landfall not applied for Storm No. 941. (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-95 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 30'--*-Water Level at the Battery -Storm 985*25 j --Simulated Tide at the Battery-Wind Speed at the Battery- Storm 985*20 !C0 tF 15.2 S10 LU 45 1 120 100 80 0k.IAJ"a 60 .C 40 .S 20 .5 E 6-60 0-5 0-20 0 10 20 30 40 50 Time (hr)(a) The Battery 3025 0020 z~.1 C 0 4-EU 10-U-5-5--#-Water Level at IPEC -Storm 985*-,- Simulated Tide at IPEC-U-I Wind Speed at IPEC -Storm 985*60 120 100 , 20 'A 0-20 30 Time (hr)(b) IPEC Figure 3.4-31: Time Series of Wind and Storm Tide Stillwater Elevation
-Storm No. 985*Note: Hurricane (wind) decay after landfall applied for Storm No. 985*. (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-96 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-32: Example Storm Tracks (8=P40 degree bearing) with Offset Calculation (Offset IDs Indicated) from Base Track (ARE VA, 201 3e)Page 3-97 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-33: Landfall Points for the JPM Synthetic Storms Shown by Associated Storm Track Bearing (0) in Degrees (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-98 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-34: Storm Tracks (Rmax = 16 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-99 A AR EVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-35: Storm Tracks (Rm.a, = 20 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (ARE VA, 2013e)Page 3-100 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-36: Storm Tracks (Rmx = 24 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-101 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-37: Storm Tracks (RmP = 28 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-102 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-38: Storm Tracks (RmP = 32 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (ARE VA, 201 3e)Page 3-103 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-39: Storm Tracks (Rme = 36 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (ARE VA, 2013e)Page 3-104 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-1: The Battery, NY CO-OP Station 8518750 Top 20 Extreme Water Levels (AREVA, 2013a)1 2012 10 2 1960 _ 9 3 1992 12 4 1953 11 5 2011 8 6 1950 11 7 1962 3 8 2010 3 9 1991 10 10 1984 3 11 1987 1 12 1993 3 13 1968 11 14 1960 2 15 1961 4 16 1996 3 17 1996 10 18 1985 9 19 1938 9 20 1944 9 11.27 7.24 6.93 6.74 6.73 6.34 6.14 6.03 5.95 5.75 5.6 5.58 5.56 5.54 5.54 5.51 5.5 5.46 5.44 5.44 TS H2 ET ET TS ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET ET H2 H2 H1 Notes: 1.2.3.4.TS indicates Tropical Storm H1 indicates Category 1 Hurricane H2 indicates Category 2 Hurricane ET indicates Extra-tropical storm Page 3-57 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-2: Sandy Hook, NJ CO-OP Station 8531680 Top 20 Extreme Water Levels (AREVA, 2013a)1 1960 2 1992 3 2011 4 1953 5 1944 6 1962 7 2012 8 2010 9 1950 10 1968 11 1966 12 1984 13 1993 14 1987 15 1985 16 1991 17 1961 18 1996 19 1972 20 2009 9 12 8 11 9 3 10 3 11 11 1 3 3 1 9 10 4 3 2 10 7.27 7.26 6.95 6.87 6.57 6.57 6.53 6.21 6.17 5.99 5.97 5.85 5.84 5.81 5.76 5.74 5.67 5.51 5.43 5.34 H2 ET TS ET H1 ET TS ET ET ET ET ET ET ET H2 ET ET ET ETu unknown Notes: 1.2.3.4.TS indicates Tropical Storm H1 indicates Category 1 Hurricane H2 indicates Category 2 Hurricane ET indicates Extra-tropical storm Table 3.4-3: SLOSH MOMs at the Battery, NY and Sandy Hook, NJ (AREVA, 2013a)Sandy Hook, NJ 67-53 8.5 14.1 20.1 25.4 Page 3-58 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-4: ADCIRC Simulated Probable Maximum Storm Surges (AREVA, 2013d)Peak Surge at The Peak Surge at IPEC Storm Simulation Number and Meteorological Parameters Battery, NY (ft) (ft)(Forward Speed, Rad. Max Winds, Landfall Location, Storm Azimuth Direction)(NAVD88) (NGVD29) (NAVD88) (NGVD29)965 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3350), HT at IPEC 24.3 25.4 14.5 15.5 961 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3250), HT at IPEC 25.3 26.4 14.6 15.6 941 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3350), HT at IPEC 25.1 26.2 15.9 16.9 962 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 2, 3250), HT at IPEC 25.1 26.2 13.8 14.8 937 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3250), HT at IPEC 26.1 27.2 15.8 16.8 938 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 2, 3250), HT at IPEC 25.9 27 15.2 16.2 969 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3450), HT at IPEC 22.8 23.9 13.6 14.6 966 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 2, 3350), HT at IPEC 23.5 24.6 13.4 14.4 945 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3450), HT at IPEC 23.3 24.4 15.2 16.2 605 -(45knots, 25nm Rmax, landfall Point 1, 3350), HT at IPEC 23.3 24.4 13.2 14.2 978 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Point 2, 3650), HT at IPEC 15.3 16.4 10.0 11.0 959 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 3, 3700), HT at IPEC 15.7 16.8 10.1 11.1 949 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 1, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.9 21 13.6 14.6 973 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 1, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.6 20.7 12.4 13.4 950 -(40knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 2, 3550), HT at IPEC 18.1 19.2 12.4 13.4 925 -(30knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 1, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.5 20.6 16.2 17.2 925n -(30knots, 25nm Rmax, landfall Pt 1, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.0 20.1 16.0 17.0 974 -(45knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 2, 3550), HT at IPEC 18.0 19.1 11.3 12.3 926 -(30knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 2, 3550), HT at IPEC 18.4 19.5 14.9 15.9 985 -(30knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 5, 3550), HT at IPEC 20.4 21.5 18.0 19.0 985* -(30knots, 30nm Rmax, landfall Pt 5, 3550), HT at IPEC 19.3 20.4 15.9 16.9 Notes: Storm 985 is a steady state simulation; Storm 985* is a non-steady state simulation.
A linear decaying of the maximum wind speed and a corresponding adjustment to the pressure deficit was applied after landfall for Storm 985*.Page 3-59 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-5: Discretized Probabilities for Central Pressure Deficit (CPD) (AREVA, 2013e)Bin Value (millibars)
Bin Probability Cumulative Probability 40 0.08 0.858 50 0.038 0.896 60 0.045 0.941 70 0.032 0.973 80 0.023 0.996 90 0.004 1 100 0.000 1 Table 3.4-6: Discretized Probabilities for Forward Direction (0) (AREVA, 2013e)Bin Value (degrees)
Bin Probability Cumulative Probability
-60 0.0076 0.0376-50 0.0124 0.05-40 0.0203 0.0703-30 0.0382 0.1085-20 0.0564 0.1649-10 0.0825 0.2474 0 0.1114 0.3588 10 0.136 0.4948 20 0.147 0.6418 Note: 1. Bearing is storm heading measured clockwise from north. Negative indicates west of north.Page 3-60 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-7: Discretized Probabilities for Forward Speed (Vf) (AREVA, 2013e)Bin Value (knots) Bin Probability Cumulative Probability 15 0.172 0.322 20 0.258 0.58 25 0.1724 0.7524 30 0.1351 0.8875 35 0.0594 0.9469 40 0.0335 0.9804 45 0.0087 0.9891 Table 3.4-8: Discretized Probabilities for Radius of Maximum Winds (Rmax) (AREVA, 2013e)Bin Value (nautical miles) Bin Probability Cumulative Probability 16 0.0878 0.1078 20 0.238 0.3458 24 0.2207 0.5665 28 0.2312 0.7977 32 0.0991 0.8968 36 0.0634 0.9602 Page 3-61 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-9: Factor of Landfall Probability Rmax/L for Track Offsets (AREVA, 2013e)Offset ID Adjustment Factor Distances to Adjacent Tracks (right, left)1 1.00 --, Rmax 2 0.75 Rmax, 1 Rmax 3 0.50 / Rmax ,1/ Rmax 4 0.50 1/2 Rmax ,1/ Rmax 5 0.50 1 Rmax, 1/2 Rmax 6 0.75 Rmax, 1/2 Rmax 7 1.00 Rmax, --Notes: 1. Left/right defined relative to storm heading.2. "--" denotes no track; zone of coverage extends beyond footprint of storm tracks.Page 3-62 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-10: Top 10 JPM SLOSH-Calculated Storm Surge Events (Determined by Simulated Surge Magnitude at IPEC) (AREVA, 2013e)Max Stillwater Elevation CPD 0 Vf Rmax Offset Event Joint (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)(mb) (deg.) (kts) (nm) ID Probability IPEC Battery PEG Battery 495 [49 89] [95 149] [49 89]15385 90 10 25 20 6 2.33E-07 18.0 19.3 19.0 20.4 14832 90 -10 30 16 6 3.27E-08 17.6 24.7 18.6 25.8 14460 90 -20 20 20 5 1.45E-07 17.5 19.4 18.5 20.5 14881 90 -10 35 20 6 4.87E-08 17.4 26.4 18.4 27.5 11451 80 -40 45 28 6 1.37E-08 17.3 28.6 18.3 29.7 14586 90 -20 35 20 5 3.33E-08 17.3 27.0 18.3 28.1 9070 70 -30 40 36 5 4.88E-08 17.3 23.2 18.3 24.3 11611 80 -30 30 24 5 3.28E-07 17.3 23 18.3 24.1 11324 80 -40 30 28 5 2.13E-07 17.3 22.7 18.3 23.8 11745 80 -30 45 28 6 2.58E-08 17.2 27.9 18.2 29.0 1) Notes: 1. CPD, e, Vf, Rmax reported in millibars, degrees relative to north, knots, and nautical miles, respectively.
- 2. IPEC [95 149] and Battery [49 89] refer to SLOSH model grid cell locations.
- 3. Cumulative joint probability reflects joint probability based on storm intensity parameters, bearing and rate of occurrence.
- 4. Datum conversions between NAVD88 and NGVD29 for IPEC and The Battery are included as Appendix C (NGS, 2013).5. Figure 14 provides an example depicting offset ID assignment.
Page 3-63 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-11: Top 10 JPM SLOSH-Calculated Storm Surge Events (Determined by Simulated Surge Magnitude at The Battery) (AREVA, 2013e)Max Stillwater Elevation CPD 0 V~ Rax Ofset Cumulative Storm # CVo Rint Offset Joive (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)(mb) (deg.) (kts) (nm) ID # Poit Probability IPEC 95 Battery IPEC Battery 49 [49 89] [95 149] [49 89]13789 90 -50 45 20 6 1.07E-09 16.6 29.7 17.6 30.8 14083 90 -40 45 20 6 1.76E-09 16.9 29.6 17.9 30.7 13495 90 -60 45 20 6 6.57E-10 16.6 29.5 17.6 30.6 14377 90 -30 45 20 6 3.30E-09 17.0 29.2 18.0 30.3 11157 80 -50 45 28 6 8.38E-09 17.1 29.0 18.1 30.1 14041 90 -40 40 20 6 6.76E-09 16.9 29.0 17.9 30.1 10863 80 -60 45 28 6 5.14E-09 16.8 29.0 17.8 30.1 13747 90 -50 40 20 6 4.13E-09 15.9 28.9 16.9 30.0 14335 90 -30 40 20 6 1.27E-08 17.0 28.8 18.0 29.9 14082 90 -40 45 20 5 1.76E-09 16.7 28.7 17.7 29.8 2) Notes: 1. CPD, e, Vf, Rm,,ax reported in millibars, degrees relative to north, knots, and nautical miles, respectively.
- 2. IPEC [95 149] and Battery [49 89] refer to SLOSH model grid cell locations.
- 3. Cumulative joint probability reflects joint probability based on storm intensity parameters, bearing and rate of occurrence.
- 4. Datum conversions between NAVD88 and NGVD29 for IPEC and The Battery are included as Appendix C (NGS, 2013).5. Figure 14 provides an example depicting offset ID assignment.
Page 3-64 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-12: ADCIRC Simulated Storm Surge Stillwater Elevations (AREVA, 2013e)Peak Surge The I The 1 I PEGC IPEC Battery Battery Rank Storm ID (Vmax, Vf, Rmax, CPD, e), Tide at IPEC (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)1 14460- (131kts Vmax, 20kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 17.49 18.08 18.59 19.08 2 13915 -(134kts Vmax, 25kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 23.26 17.22 24.36 18.22 3 11661 -(132kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 24.47 17.20 25.57 18.20 4 15385 -(134kts Vmax, 25kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, 10'), HT at IPEC 15.32 17.16 16.42 18.16 5 14251 -(137kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 23.97 17.11 25.07 18.11 6 11367 -(124kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 24.46 16.84 25.56 17.84 7 11324 -(121 kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40*), HT at IPEC 22.41 16.50 23.51 17.50 8 11611 -(125kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 21.39 16.44 22.49 17.44 9 11703 -(127kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 23.65 16.37 24.75 17.37 10 14790 -(138kts Vmax, 25kts Vf, 16nm Rmax, 90mb, -10°), HT at IPEC 17.91 16.28 19.01 17.28 11 11409 -(126kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40°), HT at IPEC 24.58 16.24 25.68 17.24 12 14881 -(140kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -10'), HT at IPEC 20.96 16.11 22.06 17.11 13 11696 -(131kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 23.95 15.99 25.05 16.99 14 11996 -(126kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -20o), HT at IPEC 22.47 15.88 23.57 16.88 15 14538 -(141kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 16nm Rmax, 90mb, -20°), HT at IPEC 21.10 15.88 22.20 16.88 16 11451 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40*), HT at IPEC 24.61 15.85 25.71 16.85 17 14292 -(140kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -30o), HT at IPEC 24.84 15.80 25.94 16.80 18 11745 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -30°), HT at IPEC 23.62 15.78 24.72 16.78 19 14335 -(142kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 25.33 15.77 26.43 16.77 20 14586 -(140kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 23.56 15.74 24.66 16.74 21 11990 -(131kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -20°), HT at IPEC 22.20 15.58 23.30 16.58 22 14832 -(141kts Vmax, 30kts Vf, 16nm Rmax, 90mb, -10o), HT at IPEC 19.68 15.52 20.78 16.52 23 11157 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -50'), HT at IPEC 25.23 15.52 26.33 16.52 24 14041 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 25.76 15.52 26.86 16.52 25 14377 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 25.49 15.45 26.59 16.45 Page 3-65 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Table 3.4-12: ADCIRC Simulated Storm Surge Stillwater Elevations (con't)Peak Surge The [ The I IPEC I PEC Battery Battery Rank Storm ID (Vmax, Vf, Rmax, CPD, 0), Tide at IPEC (feet, NAVD88) (feet, NGVD29)26 14629 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 23.65 15.34 24.75 16.34 27 11408 -(126kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 23.85 15.32 24.95 16.32 28 12039 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -20°), HT at IPEC 21.64 15.32 22.74 16.32 29 10863 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -60'), HT at IPEC 25.10 15.29 26.20 16.29 30 14083 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 25.87 15.29 26.97 16.29 31 12032 -(134kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -20*), HT at IPEC 22.69 15.26 23.79 16.26 32 11941 -(132kts Vmax, 35kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 80mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 21.23 15.22 22.33 16.22 33 14923 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -10'), HT at IPEC 21.65 15.19 22.75 16.19 34 14922 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -10'), HT at IPEC 22.60 15.18 23.70 16.18 35 11744 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 23.47 15.12 24.57 16.12 36 9057 -(119kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 70mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 20.93 15.06 22.03 16.06 37 14671 -(146kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 23.79 15.02 24.89 16.02 38 11450 -(129kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 80mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 23.90 14.91 25.00 15.91 39 11737 -(134kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 24nm Rmax, 80mb, -300), HT at IPEC 23.86 14.72 24.96 15.72 40 13789 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -500), HT at IPEC 26.03 14.63 27.13 15.63 41 8182 -(115kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 32nm Rmax, 70mb, -60'), HT at IPEC 22.01 14.47 23.11 15.47 42 14040 -(143kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 25.00 14.43 26.10 15.43 43 9070 -(111 kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 36nm Rmax, 70mb, -30'), HT at IPEC 19.44 14.41 20.54 15.41 44 9358 -(115kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 32nm Rmax, 70mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 17.89 14.40 18.99 15.40 45 14670 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 24.02 14.38 25.12 15.38 46 8217 -(122kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 70mb, -60'), HT at IPEC 22.60 14.34 23.70 15.34 47 8776 -(111 kts Vmax, 40kts Vf, 36nm Rmax, 70mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 19.72 14.21 20.82 15.21 48 9393 -(122kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 28nm Rmax, 70mb, -20'), HT at IPEC 19.46 14.21 20.56 15.21 49 14082 -(145kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 20nm Rmax, 90mb, -40'), HT at IPEC 25.01 14.14 26.11 15.14 50 8517 -(118kts Vmax, 45kts Vf, 32nm Rmax, 70mb, -50'), HT at IPEC 21.13 13.55 22.23 14.55 Note: Rank shown in Table 3.4-12 based on the ADCIRC calculated maximum water levels at IPEC.Page 3-66 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-1: Location of NOAA Co-Op Stations in the Vicinity of PPEC (AREVA, 2013a)Page 3-67 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Legend$?. IPEC Long Island, NY & NJ Hurricane Stikme-BELLE- 1976-CAROL- 1954-GLORIA- 1985 HENRI- 1985 l NOT NAMED- 1858-NOT NAMED- 1893 NOT NAMED- 1897 I NOT NAMED- 198 Figure 3.4-2: Hurricane Strikes-to New York and New Jersey (AREVA, 2013a)Page 3-68 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-3: Hurricane Tracks of Recorded Extreme Water Levels at Sandy Hook, NJ and the Battery, NY (AREVA, 2013a)Page 3-69 A ARE VA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-4: New York, Version 3 (ny3) SLOSH 3.97 Model Grid (ADCIRC Mesh Model Elevation (m, NAVD88)Page 3-70 A ARE VA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-5: New York, Version 3 (ny3) Basin Digital Elevation Model (DEM) Defining Base of Model Domain (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-71 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-6: New York, Version 3 (ny3) Basin Digital Elevation Model (DEM) Defining Base of Model Domain in IPEC Vicinity (Upper Bay, New York and Hudson River) (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-72 A Document No.: 51-9195289-002 AREVA Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-7: New York, Version 3 (ny3) Grid Cells Corresponding to the IPEC River Frontage (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-73 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-8: Landfall Points for SLOSH 3.97 Storm Tracks (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-74 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-9: SLOSH 3.97 Bearing Range for Northerly Storm Tracks (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-75 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-10: SLOSH 3.97 Bearing Range for Westerly Storm Tracks (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-76 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-11: ADCIRC FEMA Region II Finite Element Mesh -Northern Atlantic (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-77 A AR EVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-12: ADCIRC FEMA Region II Finite Element Mesh -New Jersey/New York (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-78 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-13: ADCIRC FEMA Region II Finite Element Mesh -IPEC Vicinity (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-79 A ARIEVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-14: ADCIRC Module Mesh Elevation (m, NAVD88) -Northern Atlantic (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-80 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-15: ADCIRC Mesh Model Elevation (m, NAVD88) -New Jersey I New York (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-81 A AR EVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-16: ADCIRC Mesh Model Elevation (m, NAVD88) -IPEC Vicinity (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-82 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figurae3L 2013-8 Page 3-83 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Mamdrmum Wind Speed I World Imagery base map Figure 3.4-18: ADCIRC Envelope of Maximum Winds (m/s) of Storm No. 941 (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-84 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Maximum Wind Speed (m/s) I World Imagery base map Figure 3.4-19: ADCIRC Envelope of Maximum Winds (m/s) of Storm No. 985* (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-85 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Maxdmum Storm Tide Elevations (m) I World Imagery Base Map Figure 3.4-20: ADCIRC Maximum Storm Tide Stillwater Elevations (m, NAVD88) of Storm No. 941 (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-86 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Maximum Storm Tide Elevations (m) I World Imagery Base Map Figure 3.4-21: ADCIRC Maximum Storm Tide Stillwater Elevations (m, NAVD88) of Storm No. 941-IPEC Vicinity (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-87 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Maadmum Storm Tide Elevatons (m) I World Imagery Base Map Figure 3.4-22: ADCIRC Maximum Storm Tide Stillwater Elevations (m, NAVD88) of Storm No.985*(AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-88 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 I Max mum Storm Tide Elevatons (m) I World Imagery Base Map Figure 3.4-23: Maximum Storm Tide Stillwater Elevations (in, NAVD88) of Storm No. 985* -IPEC Vicinity (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-89 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-24: Comparison of Wind Field of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm No. 941 (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-90 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-25: Comparison of Wind Field of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm No. 985*(ARIEVA, 201 3d)Page 3-91 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 (Vf=- 40 kts; Rm=30 nm; 155 deg, LF=I)150 140 130 120 190 80 S70"o 60 50 30 20 10 0 I I-ADCIRC 10-min wind -941--ADCIRC 1-mm Wind -941-* SLOSH 1-min Wind -941 (CPD=85mb)-SLOSH 1-min Wind -941 (CPD=IOOmb) 0 34.5 69 103.5 138 172.5 207 Distance to Storm Center (miles, Rm = 34.5 ml)241.5 276 Figure 3.4-26: Comparison of Wind Profiles of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm No. 941 150____ (Vf= 30 kts; Rm=30 nm; 175 de&, LF--5)50 I I I 140 ADCIRC 10-mmn wind -985*130 ___ _10- -ADCIRC 1-min Wind -985*110 de"__ -SLOSH 1-min Wind -985 (CPD=95mb) 100 SLOSH 1-min Wind -985 (CPD=100mb)
-& 80_ __ _V 70 ____,_,60 50__ _40 __30 20_ _._-- 985*10 0 0 34.5 69 103.5 138 172.5 207 241.5 276 Distance to Storm Center (miles, Rm = 34.5 mi)Page 3-92 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 35 30 E 25 a z 20 M 0%.oV 15~ 0 36 31 IPEC 26 N a-21z z 0 41 16 G-D wv-.*e
- SLOSH -Storm No. 941-ADCIRC -Storm No. 941 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Linear Distance Following Hudson River Thalweg Starting from The Battery (Statute Miles)a.6 1 45 0 Figure 3.4-28: Comparison of Water Levels on Hudson River of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm 941 (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-93 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 35 30 E 2 25 0 Z 20 0.J~WI 15 S10 WI SI a-36 31 E 26 0n N 21 z 40 4._4-WI SIl t5*-*. SLOSH -Storm No. 985 6-ADCIRC -Storm No. 985*0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Linear Distance Following Hudson River Thalweg Starting from The Battery (Statute Miles)Figure 3.4-29: Comparison of Water Levels on Hudson River of ADCIRC and SLOSH Models -Storm 985* (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-94 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 30 25 2o 20 Z.15 0 ,-.10 LU 45 0-5 120 100 In 80 ._j 0 60 .C 40 S 4'20 .E 0-20 0 10 20 30 40 50 Time (hr)(a) The Battery 60--4-- Water Level at IPEC -Storm 941 25 --Simulated Tide at IPEC-U- Wind Speed at IPEC -Storm 941 20 20 Z.15 0 0 4-0 120 100 -1Z 4--80 60 40 ._._5 20 C E-20-5 0 10 20 30 40 50 Time (hr)60 (b) IPEC Figure 3.4-30: Time Series of Wind and Storm Tide Stillwater Elevation
-Storm No. 941 Note: Hurricane (wind) decay after landfall not applied for Storm No. 941. (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-95 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 30'--*-Water Level at the Battery -Storm 985*25 j --Simulated Tide at the Battery-Wind Speed at the Battery- Storm 985*20 !C0 tF 15.2 S10 LU 45 1 120 100 80 0k.IAJ"a 60 .C 40 .S 20 .5 E 6-60 0-5 0-20 0 10 20 30 40 50 Time (hr)(a) The Battery 3025 0020 z~.1 C 0 4-EU 10-U-5-5--#-Water Level at IPEC -Storm 985*-,- Simulated Tide at IPEC-U-I Wind Speed at IPEC -Storm 985*60 120 100 , 20 'A 0-20 30 Time (hr)(b) IPEC Figure 3.4-31: Time Series of Wind and Storm Tide Stillwater Elevation
-Storm No. 985*Note: Hurricane (wind) decay after landfall applied for Storm No. 985*. (AREVA, 2013d)Page 3-96 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-32: Example Storm Tracks (8=P40 degree bearing) with Offset Calculation (Offset IDs Indicated) from Base Track (ARE VA, 201 3e)Page 3-97 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-33: Landfall Points for the JPM Synthetic Storms Shown by Associated Storm Track Bearing (0) in Degrees (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-98 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-34: Storm Tracks (Rmax = 16 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-99 A AR EVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-35: Storm Tracks (Rm.a, = 20 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (ARE VA, 2013e)Page 3-100 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-36: Storm Tracks (Rmx = 24 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-101 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-37: Storm Tracks (RmP = 28 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (AREVA, 2013e)Page 3-102 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-38: Storm Tracks (RmP = 32 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (ARE VA, 201 3e)Page 3-103 A AREVA Document No.: 51-9195289-002 Entergy Fleet Fukushima Program Flood Hazard Reevaluation Report for Indian Point Energy Center (IPEC) Units 2 and 3 Figure 3.4-39: Storm Tracks (Rme = 36 nautical miles) for the JPM Synthetic Storms (ARE VA, 2013e)Page 3-104