ML22061A099

PFHA-2022-Agenda - Final

ML22061A099
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Issue date:	02/15/2022
From:	Thomas Aird NRC/RES/DRA
To:
Aird, Thomas - 301 415 2442
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7th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop

February 15-18, 2022 (Via MS Teams)

Start time: 10:00AM EST

AGENDA Day 1 (Feb 15th, 2022) Oral Presentations Microsoft Teams Meeting (Day 1 Only):

Join on your computer or mobile app Click here to join the meeting Or call in (audio only) +1 301-576-2978,,537592428# United States, Silver Spring Phone Conference ID: 537 592 428# Find a local number

• denotes speaker

Session 1A: Introduction Chair: Joseph Kanney, NRC/RES 1A-0 Webinar Logistics Kenneth Hamburger*, 10:00 10:10 NRC/RES 1A-1 Opening Remarks Ray Furstenau*, Director, 10:10 10:25 NRC Office of Research 1A-2 NRC PFHA Research Program Tom Aird*, NRC/RES 10:25 10:40 Update 1A-3 Moving FEMA towards Probabilistic David Rosa*, Christina 10:40 11:05 Flood Risk Analysis and Lindemer, Federal Probabilistic Flood Hazard Analysis Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) 1A-4 Committee on the Safety of Nuclear John Nakoski*, NRC/RES 11:05 11:20 Installations (CSNI) Working Group (WGEV Chair) on External Events (WGEV)

Break 11:20 11:35

Session 1B: Sensors Chair: Joseph Kanney, NRC/RES 1B-1 (Keynote) Flood & Fire Sensors for Jeffrey Booth*, Department 11:35 12:00 Resilient Communities of Homeland Security, Science & Technology Directorate 1B-2 USACE Instrumentation and Georgette Hlepas*, 12:00 12:25 Monitoring Program Christopher Schaal*, U.S.

Army Corps of Engineers 1B-3 USGS Water Mission Area R. Russel Lotspeich*, U.S.12:25 12:50 Observing Systems Research and Geological Survey Development Program

7th Annual NRC PFHA Workshop Agenda Page 1 of 8 7th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop

February 15-18, 2022 (Via MS Teams)

Start time: 10:00AM EST

1B-4 State and Local Experience in David Ihrie*, Virginia 12:50 13:15 Virginia Implementing IoT Sensors Innovation Partnership and Data Systems Corporation 1B-5 Sensor Panel Discussion All Presenters 13:15 13:35

Lunch 13:35 14:35

Session 1C: Climate Chair: Elena Yegorova, NRC/RES 1C-1 (KEYNOTE) Big Stories from the David Novak*, National 14:35 15:05 Historic Winter of 2020/21 Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Weather Service (NOAA/NWS) 1C-2 Linking Arctic variability and change Judah Cohen*1, Laurie 15:05 15:30 with extreme winter weather in the Agel2, Mathew Barlow2, US including the Texas Freeze of Chaim Garfinkel3, Ian White3; February 2021 1Atmospheric and Environmental Research, 2University of Massachusetts Lowell, 3Hebrew University of Jerusalem 1C-3 2021 U.S. Billion Dollar Weather Adam Smith*, National 15:30 15:55 and Climate Disasters in Historical Oceanic and Atmospheric Context including New County -Level Administration, National Exposure, Vulnerability and Centers for Environmental Projected Damage Mapping Information (NOAA/NCEI) 1C-4 Climate Panel Discussion All Presenters 15:55 16:25

1D Day 1 Wrap-up 16:25 16:30

7th Annual NRC PFHA Workshop Agenda Page 2 of 8 7th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop

February 15-18, 2022 (Via MS Teams)

Start time: 10:00AM EST Day 2 (Feb 16th, 2022) Oral Presentations Microsoft Teams Meeting (Day 2 Only):

Join on your computer or mobile app Click here to join the meeting Or call in (audio only) +1 301-576-2978,,650395647# United States, Silver Spring Phone Conference ID: 650 395 647# Find a local number

Session 2A: Chair: Kevin Quinlan, NRC/NRR Precipitation 2A-1 Uncertainty in Azin Al Kajbaf*, Michelle Bensi, Kaye 10:05 10:30 Precipitation Frequency Brubaker; University of Maryland Estimates Under Current and Future Climate

2A-2 (KEYNOTE) Gridded Peter Thornton*, Oak Ridge National 10:30 11:00 Surface Weather Data Laboratory with Uncertainty Quantification - Daymet V4 2A-3 Utility of Weather Types Giuseppe Mascaro*, Arizona State 11:00 11:25 to Improve the University Nonstationary Frequency Analysis of Extreme Precipitation

Break 11:25 11:35

2A-4 Characteristics and Joshua Welty*1, Xubin Zeng2; 1U.S. 11:35 12:00 Causes of Extreme Navy Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Snowmelt over the Oceanography Center, 2Univerity of Conterminous United Arizona States 2A-5 LIP PFHA Pilot Study Rajiv Prasad*, Arun Veeramany, 12:00 12:25 Rajesh Singh; Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) 2A-6 Precip Panel Discussion All Presenters 12:25 12:55

Lunch 12:55 14:00

7th Annual NRC PFHA Workshop Agenda Page 3 of 8 7th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop

February 15-18, 2022 (Via MS Teams)

Start time: 10:00AM EST

Session 2B: Riverine Chair: Joseph Kanney, NRC/RES Flooding 2B-1 (KEYNOTE) Flood Nancy Barth*1, Michael Bartles2, John 14:00 14:30 Typing and Application to England2, Jory Hecht1, Gregory Mixed Population Flood Karlovits2, William Lehman2; 1U.S.

Frequency Analysis: An Geological Survey (USGS), 2U.S. Army Interagency Corps of Engineers (USACE)

Collaborative Effort 2B-2 Applying Stochastic Joe Bellini*1, Bill Kappel2, Dennis 14:30 14:55 Weather Generation and Johnson2, Doug Hultstrand2; 1Aterra Continuous Hydrologic Solutions, 2Applied Weather Associates Simulation for Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessments 2B-3 IWRSS Flood Inundation Robert Mason*1, Julia Prokopec*1, 14:55 15:20 Mapping for Flood Adam Barker*2, Cory Winders*3, Response Darone Jones*4; 1U.S. Geological Survey, 2Federal Emergency Management Agency, 3U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, 4National Weather Service 2B-4 Using HEC-WAT for William Lehman*, Gregory Karlovits, 15:20 15:45 NRC's PFHA Process David Ho, Leila Ostadrahimi, Brennan Beam, Sara O'Connell, Julia Slaughter; U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Hydrologic Engineering Center (USACE/HEC) 2B-5 Riverine Panel All Presenters 15:45 16:15 Discussion

2C Day 2 Wrap-up 16:15 16:25

7th Annual NRC PFHA Workshop Agenda Page 4 of 8 7th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop

February 15-18, 2022 (Via MS Teams)

Start time: 10:00AM EST

Day 3 (Feb 17th, 2022) Poster Presentations Separate Teams Meeting for Each Poster

Session 3A: Posters Chair: Thomas Aird, NRC/RES 3A-1 Flood Fragility Function Joy Shen*, Michelle Bensi, 10:00 11:00 Methodology for a Mohammad Modarres; University of Conceptual Nuclear Power Maryland Plant Click here to join the meeting 3A-2 Quantifying Uncertainty in Somayeh Mohammadi*, Michelle 10:00 11:00 Hurricane Warning Times to Bensi; University of Maryland Inform Coastal Hazard PRA Click here to join the meeting 3A-3 HEC-WAT Interface and Set David Ho*, William Lehman, Brennan 10:00 11:00 Up for the Trinity River Beam, Sara OConnell, Leila PFHA Pilot Project Ostadrahimi; U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Hydrologic Engineering Center Click here to join the meeting 3A-4 Riverine Flooding HEC-WAT Brennan Beam*, William Lehman, 10:00 11:00 Pilot Project Dam Break Sara OConnell, David Ho, Leila Modeling Ostadrahimi; U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Hydrologic Engineering Center Click here to join the meeting 3A-5 Flooding from Below - The Kevin M. Befus*1, Patrick L. 10:00 11:00 Groundwater Emergence Barnard2, Peter W. Swarzenski2, Hazard Clifford Voss2; 1University of Arkansas, 2U.S. Geological Survey Click here to join the meeting 3A-6 External Flooding PRA Marko Randelovic*1, Raymond 10:00 11:00 Guidance Schneider*2; 1Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI),

2Westinghouse Company Click here to join the meeting

Break 11:00 11:10

7th Annual NRC PFHA Workshop Agenda Page 5 of 8 7th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop

February 15-18, 2022 (Via MS Teams)

Start time: 10:00AM EST

Day 3 (Feb 17th, 2022) Oral Presentations Microsoft Teams Meeting (Day 3 Only):

Join on your computer or mobile app Click here to join the meeting Or call in (audio only) +1 301-576-2978,,267017189# United States, Silver Spring Phone Conference ID: 267 017 189# Find a local number

Session 3B: Coastal Chair: Joseph Kanney, NRC/RES Flooding 3B-1 (KeyNote) An Overview of Margaret Owensby*1, Chris Massey1, 11:10 11:40 CSTORM Model Tyler Hesser1, Mary Bryant1, Andrew Development and Results Condon2; 1U.S. Army Corps of for the South Atlantic Engineers (USACE), Engineer Coastal Study (SACS) Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory, 2USACE Jacksonville District

3B-2 Compound Flood Hazard Somayeh Mohammadi*1, Michelle 11:40 12:05 Assessment using a Bensi1, Shih-Chieh Kao 2, Scott Bayesian Framework DeNeale2, Joseph Kanney3, Elena Yegorova3, Meredith Carr4; 1Univeristy of Maryland, 2Oak Ridge National Laboratory, 3U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, 4U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory

3B-3 Coastal Flooding PFHA Victor M. Gonzalez*, Meredith L. 12:05 12:30 Pilot Study Carr, Karlie Wells, Norberto C. Nadal Caraballo; U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory 3B-4 Probabilistic Wave Height Beom-Jin Kim*, Daegi Hahm, Minkyu 12:30 12:55 Hazard Assessment Kim; Korea Atomic Energy Research Method at the NPP Site Institute Considering Storm Surge

7th Annual NRC PFHA Workshop Agenda Page 6 of 8 7th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop

February 15-18, 2022 (Via MS Teams)

Start time: 10:00AM EST 3B-5 Comparative Assessment Ziyue Liu*1, Michelle Bensi1, Meredith 12:55 13:20 of Joint Distribution Models Carr2, Norberto Nadal-Caraballo 2; for Tropical Cyclone 1University of Maryland, 2U.S. Army Atmospheric Parameters in Corps of Engineers Engineer Probabilistic Coastal Research and Development Center Hazard Analysis Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory 3B-6 Coastal Panel Discussion All Presenters 13:20 13:50

3C Day 3 Wrap-up 13:50 14:00

Day 4 (Feb 18th, 2022) Oral Presentations Microsoft Teams Meeting (Day 4 Only):

Join on your computer or mobile app Click here to join the meeting Or call in (audio only) +1 301-576-2978,,584586351# United States, Silver Spring Phone Conference ID: 584 586 351# Find a local number

Session 4A: Duane Arnold Chair: Joseph Kanney, Derecho Operational Experience NCR/RES 4A-1 Duane Arnold Energy Center Terry Brandt*, Nextera Energy 10:00 10:25 (DAEC) Loss of Offsite Power (LOOP) Due to Derecho 4A-2 The NRCs Regional Response to John Hanna*, U.S. Nuclear 10:25 10:50 the Duane Arnold Derecho Regulatory Commission, Region 3 (NRC/R3) 4A-3 Why the Risk of the Extended Christopher Hunter*, U.S. 10:50 11:15 Loss of Offsite Power Was Almost Nuclear Regulatory a Significant Precursor? Commission, Office of Research (NRC/RES) 4A-4 The NRCs Response to the Matthew Leech*, U.S. Nuclear 11:15 11:40 Duane Arnold Derecho Event Regulatory Commission, Office using the LIC-504 Process of Nuclear Reactor Regulation (NRC/NRR) 4A-5 Duane Arnold OpE Panel All Presenters 11:40 11:40 Discussion

Break 11:40 11:55

Session 4B: ASCE-7 Tornado Chair: Elena Yegorova, Wind Loads NRC/RES

7th Annual NRC PFHA Workshop Agenda Page 7 of 8 7th Annual Probabilistic Flood Hazard Assessment Research Workshop

February 15-18, 2022 (Via MS Teams)

Start time: 10:00AM EST

4B-1 Introduction to Tornado Loads in Marc Levitan*, National 11:55 12:25 the New ASCE 7-22 Standard - Institute of Standards and Including Long Return Period Technology Tornado Hazards Maps with Applications to Nuclear Facilities

Lunch 12:25 13:25

Session 4C: USACE Dam and Chair: Joseph Kanney, Levee Database Updates NRC/RES 4C-1 National Inventory of Dams Becky Ragon*, U.S. Army 13:25 13:55 Corps of Engineers 4C-2 National Levee Database Brian Vanbockern*, U.S. Army 13:55 14:25 Corps of Engineers

4D Workshop Wrap-up Discussion 14:25 14:45

7th Annual NRC PFHA Workshop Agenda Page 8 of 8