ML103620049

2010/12/18-Exhibit 50-The Case for Replacing Davis Besse with Efficiency Improvements and Renewable Energy Sources

ML103620049
Person / Time
Site:	Davis Besse
Issue date:	12/18/2010
From:	Compaan A Univ of Toledo
To:	Atomic Safety and Licensing Board Panel
SECY RAS
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ML103620048	List: ML103620049 ML103620050 ML103620051 ML103620052 ML103620053 ML103620054 ML103620056 ML103620057
References
License Renewal 2, RAS 19320, 50-346-LR
Download: ML103620049 (8)

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The following eight pages reproduce the slides that were used in the presentation by A. Compaan on 12/18/2010. Minor formatting changes were made and references moved beneath the related slides. ThecaseforreplacingDavisBessewithefficiencyimprovementsandrenewableenergysourcesAlvinD.CompaanDistinguishedUniversityProfessorofPhysics,EmeritusTheUniversityofToledoDavisBesserelicensingcommunityhearingSt.Mark'sEpiscopalChurch,Toledo,OHDecember18,2010 Overviewofpresentation1.HistoryofDavisBesseindicatesthat20moreyearsofoperationwillseriouslyendangerthesurroundingcommunities.2.DavisBesseprovidesonly8.3%ofFirstEnergy'sbase loadgenerationandcanreadilybereplaced.3.OhioSenateBill221andtheAdvancedEnergyStandardrequires FEto:*achievehigherefficiencybyreducingdemand22%by2025,*achieve12.5%generationfromrenewablesby2025,*achieve12.5%generationfrom"advancedenergy"by2025,whichmayincludenewadvancednuclear,butacontinuationofD Bwillnotqualify.4.DistributedGenerationwillqualifyforSB221credit.5.AlternativesourcesareveryattractiveinOhio:*WindnearorinLakeErie(class3toclass6betterthanTexas!)*SolarPV(costsaredecreasingrapidly;FEuseddata14yearsold!)

Whathappenstothehighlyradioactivespentfuelrods?*ExpectationwhenDavisBessewasbuilt-afederalrepositorywouldbeconstructedforstoringthehighlevelradioactivecomponentsasneededforthousandsofyears.*YuccaMountain-stilldoesnothaveanoperatinglicenseandnofundingwasproposedinthefederal2011budget.*For33years,allhighlevelradioactivecomponentsincludingfuelassemblieshavebeenstoredonsiteatDavisBesse.Initiallyinacoolingpondandtheninabovegroundcontainers.Nonuclearplantlicenseextensionsshouldbegranteduntilalong termstoragefacilityisoperating.

Atroublingindicator:WheredoesthetritiumintheDavisBessegroundwatercomefrom?FromAppendixE:DavisBesseEnvironmentalReportp.2.3 2:"Anotherwell,MW105A,whichhasbeenonaslowincreasingtrendsincethespringof2009,hadatritiumlevelof4,158pCi/l.Asaresult,FENOCispursuingarootcauseapproachtoidentifythesourceofthetritiuminthewells.NotritiumconcentrationshavebeendetectedatorabovetheUSEPAdrinkingwaterlimitof20,000pCi/l(40CFR141.66)."

Abouttritiumanditsradioactivity:

• Tritiumorhydrogen 3(1protonand2neutrons)isnotnaturallyoccurring.Ithasahalflifeof12.3years.*TritiumisproducedinnuclearreactorsbyneutronbombardmentofLithium 6andBoron 10.[Asmallamountisproducedintheupperatmospherebycosmicrays.]*Tritiumisradioactiveanddecaysbyemittingahighenergyelectron(betaparticle)plusanantineutrino.*Thebetaparticlehasanaverageenergyof5.7kiloelectronvolts.Itwillnotpenetratetheoutermostskinlayersbutisverydangerousifinhaledashydrogen(H 2 orHT)orwatervapororswallowedaswater-notH 2 ObutasHTO. Excellentalternativesexisttoextendingthelicense20yearsandtheircostsaredeclining*TheincidentandaccidentrecordofDavisBesseandtheunchartedterritoryofextendingthelifeofanynuclearplant20yearsbeyondthe40yeardesignlifeoftheoriginalshouldstimulateFEtogetseriousaboutalternatives.

• ThebestalternativesforOhioare(IMHO):1.Energyconservation2.Wind 3.Solar*ThesearealreadymandatedbytheStateofOhio.FEisrequiredtodevelopthesealternativesanywayANDisallowedbyOhiolawtopassthecoststhroughtotheratepayers.

EssentialfeaturesofSB221(passedinthespringof2008)1.AlternativeEnergyPortfolioStandard(O.R.C.4928.64.65)*25%electricitygenerationbyadvancedenergyby2025*12.5%byrenewableswithsolarsetasideof0.5%*Remaining12.5%mayinclude"advancedenergy"suchas:*Cleancoal(w/oCO 2emissions)

• Advancednuclear(NRCGenerationIIItechnology)[GenIIIincorporatespassivesafetysystemsandisdesignedfor60yearsofoperation]2.Netmetering(O.R.C.4928.67,4905.31,4928.01)3.EnergyEfficiencyStandard(O.R.C.4928.66)*22%reductionby2025throughenergyefficiency

• 7%peakdemandreductionby2018Costsmaybepassedthroughtocustomers!

http://www.bricker.com/documents/publications/1533.pdf LakeErieandtheLakeErieshoreisagreatresourceforwindenergy MapshowingaveragewindpowerinLakeEriebetterthanTexasandtheplainstates http://rredc.nrel.gov/wind/pubs/atlas/maps.html Ohio,andparticularlyNWOhio,hasexcellentsolarinsolationwellsuitedforphotovoltaics(PV)ErrorsintheFirstEnergyEnvironmentalReport(AppendixE):*mustconsiderfull skyinsolation,notjustdirectsolar*mustusecurrentcostsandcostprojectionsforPV,notdatafrom1998! (directsunlightonly)Toledo/Orlando=75%Toledo/SanDiego=60%(directradiation)Toledo/Mojave=45% http://www.nrel.gov/gis/solar.html PV EnergykWh/kW-yr 2Toledo/Orlando=86%Toledo/SanDiego=79%(fullskyradiation)

StephenO'Rourke(212)250 8670SolarPVindustry-longtermoutlook 6%5%4%0.050.100.150.200.25 0.30200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020Grid cost, solar PV price, ($/kWh)c-Si (ave)c-Si (hi/lo)c-Si (hi CE)a-Si (um)CIGSCdTeSupplyDemand c Si CIGS Si(2x)CdTe USAveragepriceofelectricityin2009est:9.5cents/kWhElectricityfromsolarPVisbecomingcheaper-GridcostconvergencePeriodicoversupplyisinevitablePotentialforexplosivegrowthindemanduponconvergenceNewtechnologywildcardSupplyDemandSource:DeutscheBankestimates ElectricityPriceConvergence-5to6YearsSource:DeutscheBank2009Definitions:FirstGenerationPV:bulkcrystallinesilicon(monocrystalline,multicrystalline)SecondGenerationPV:Inorganicthinfilms(CdTe,aSi:H,aSiGe,ncSi:H,CIGS)ThirdGenerationPV:nanostructures,organic/hybrid,advancedconcepts http://www.slideshare.net/gwsolar/pv-st atus-and-pathways-stephen-orourke

StimulatingalternativescreatesOhiojobs*Energyconservation/efficiencyisabigjobcreatorandsavestheconsumermoney.*Ohiohasalargenumberofmanufacturersthataresuppliersforwindturbines.*Maintenance ofwindturbinescreatesmanyjobs.*In2009thelargestPVmanufacturerintheworldwasFirstSolarwithallofitsU.S.manufacturing inPerrysburg.

• SeveralotherPVmanufacturersarestartingupinOhio.*PVdesignandinstallationcreatesmanyjobs. Referenceshttp://www.bricker.com/documents/publications/1533.pdfhttp://rredc.nrel.gov/wind/pubs/atlas/maps.html http://www.nrel.gov/gis/solar.html http://www.slideshare.net/gwsolar/pvstatus andpathwaysstephenorourkePresentationby:AlvinCompaan 9135W.BancroftSt.Holland,OH43528December18,2010Mobile:419 265 2641